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Crecimie
Probabilidad Venta Inicial Año 2
Optimista 25% $ 1,282,383 15%
Base 55% $ 1,165,802 10%
Pesimista 20% $ 932,642 3%
TASAS DE CRECIMIENTO
Crecimiento anual
Año 3 Año 4 Año 5
12% 10% 10%
5% 4% 4%
2% -1.50% 1%
CIFRAS SELECCIONADAS DE LOS ESTADOS FINANCIEROS ($USD miles)
PRONACA
688,197
325,485
362,712
37,123
154,602
97,787
87,776
192,157
71,227
141,336
7.12%
2015
908,703
692,094
216,609
95,685
71,713
101,618
38,832
10,303
41%
39,454
Date updated: 31-Dec-11
Created by: Aswath Damodaran, adamodar@stern.nyu.edu
What is this data? Historical returns: Stocks, T.Bonds & T.Bills with premiums
Home Page: http://www.damodaran.com
Data website: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html
Companies in each indushttp://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/indname.xls
Variable definitions: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm
Customized Geometric risk premium estimator
What is your riskfree rate? LT
Enter your starting year 2015
Value of stocks in starting year: 255553.3080863
Value of T.Bills in starting year: 1972.722275628
Value of T.bonds in starting year: 6295.785406613
Estimate of risk premium based on your inputs: 2.90%
Annual Returns on Investments in Compounded V
Year S&P 500 3-month T.Bill 10-year T. Bond Stocks
1928 43.81% 3.08% 0.84% $ 143.81
1929 -8.30% 3.16% 4.20% $ 131.88
1930 -25.12% 4.55% 4.54% $ 98.75
1931 -43.84% 2.31% -2.56% $ 55.46
1932 -8.64% 1.07% 8.79% $ 50.66
1933 49.98% 0.96% 1.86% $ 75.99
1934 -1.19% 0.32% 7.96% $ 75.09
1935 46.74% 0.18% 4.47% $ 110.18
1936 31.94% 0.17% 5.02% $ 145.38
1937 -35.34% 0.30% 1.38% $ 94.00
1938 29.28% 0.08% 4.21% $ 121.53
1939 -1.10% 0.04% 4.41% $ 120.20
1940 -10.67% 0.03% 5.40% $ 107.37
1941 -12.77% 0.08% -2.02% $ 93.66
1942 19.17% 0.34% 2.29% $ 111.61
1943 25.06% 0.38% 2.49% $ 139.59
1944 19.03% 0.38% 2.58% $ 166.15
1945 35.82% 0.38% 3.80% $ 225.67
1946 -8.43% 0.38% 3.13% $ 206.65
1947 5.20% 0.57% 0.92% $ 217.39
1948 5.70% 1.02% 1.95% $ 229.79
1949 18.30% 1.10% 4.66% $ 271.85
1950 30.81% 1.17% 0.43% $ 355.60
1951 23.68% 1.48% -0.30% $ 439.80
1952 18.15% 1.67% 2.27% $ 519.62
1953 -1.21% 1.89% 4.14% $ 513.35
1954 52.56% 0.96% 3.29% $ 783.18
1955 32.60% 1.66% -1.34% $ 1,038.47
1956 7.44% 2.56% -2.26% $ 1,115.73
1957 -10.46% 3.23% 6.80% $ 999.05
1958 43.72% 1.78% -2.10% $ 1,435.84
1959 12.06% 3.26% -2.65% $ 1,608.95
1960 0.34% 3.05% 11.64% $ 1,614.37
1961 26.64% 2.27% 2.06% $ 2,044.40
1962 -8.81% 2.78% 5.69% $ 1,864.26
1963 22.61% 3.11% 1.68% $ 2,285.80
1964 16.42% 3.51% 3.73% $ 2,661.02
1965 12.40% 3.90% 0.72% $ 2,990.97
1966 -9.97% 4.84% 2.91% $ 2,692.74
1967 23.80% 4.33% -1.58% $ 3,333.69
1968 10.81% 5.26% 3.27% $ 3,694.23
1969 -8.24% 6.56% -5.01% $ 3,389.77
1970 3.56% 6.69% 16.75% $ 3,510.49
1971 14.22% 4.54% 9.79% $ 4,009.72
1972 18.76% 3.95% 2.82% $ 4,761.76
1973 -14.31% 6.73% 3.66% $ 4,080.44
1974 -25.90% 7.78% 1.99% $ 3,023.54
1975 37.00% 5.99% 3.61% $ 4,142.10
1976 23.83% 4.97% 15.98% $ 5,129.20
1977 -6.98% 5.13% 1.29% $ 4,771.20
1978 6.51% 6.93% -0.78% $ 5,081.77
1979 18.52% 9.94% 0.67% $ 6,022.89
1980 31.74% 11.22% -2.99% $ 7,934.26
1981 -4.70% 14.30% 8.20% $ 7,561.16
1982 20.42% 11.01% 32.81% $ 9,105.08
1983 22.34% 8.45% 3.20% $ 11,138.90
1984 6.15% 9.61% 13.73% $ 11,823.51
1985 31.24% 7.49% 25.71% $ 15,516.60
1986 18.49% 6.04% 24.28% $ 18,386.33
1987 5.81% 5.72% -4.96% $ 19,455.08
1988 16.54% 6.45% 8.22% $ 22,672.40
1989 31.48% 8.11% 17.69% $ 29,808.58
1990 -3.06% 7.55% 6.24% $ 28,895.11
1991 30.23% 5.61% 15.00% $ 37,631.51
1992 7.49% 3.41% 9.36% $ 40,451.51
1993 9.97% 2.98% 14.21% $ 44,483.33
1994 1.33% 3.99% -8.04% $ 45,073.14
1995 37.20% 5.52% 23.48% $ 61,838.19
1996 22.68% 5.02% 1.43% $ 75,863.69
1997 33.10% 5.05% 9.94% $ 100,977.34
1998 28.34% 4.73% 14.92% $ 129,592.25
1999 20.89% 4.51% -8.25% $ 156,658.05
2000 -9.03% 5.76% 16.66% $ 142,508.98
2001 -11.85% 3.67% 5.57% $ 125,622.01
2002 -21.97% 1.66% 15.12% $ 98,027.82
2003 28.36% 1.03% 0.38% $ 125,824.39
2004 10.74% 1.23% 4.49% $ 139,341.42
2005 4.83% 3.01% 2.87% $ 146,077.85
2006 15.61% 4.68% 1.96% $ 168,884.34
2007 5.48% 4.64% 10.21% $ 178,147.20
2008 -36.55% 1.59% 20.10% $ 113,030.22
2009 25.94% 0.14% -11.12% $ 142,344.87
2010 14.82% 0.13% 8.46% $ 163,441.94
2011 2.10% 0.03% 16.04% $ 166,871.56
2012 15.89% 0.05% 2.97% $ 193,388.43
2013 32.15% 0.07% -9.10% $ 255,553.31
2014 13.52% 0.05% 10.75% $ 290,115.42
2015 1.36% 0.21% 1.28% $ 294,060.84
2016 11.74% 0.51% 0.69% $ 328,584.46
riable.htm
Estimates of risk premiums from 1928, over the last 50 years and over the last 10 years
are provided at the bottom of this table.
Compounded Value of $ 100
T.Bills T.Bonds Stocks - Bills Stocks - Bonds
$ 103.08 $ 100.84 40.73% 42.98%
$ 106.34 $ 105.07 -11.46% -12.50%
$ 111.18 $ 109.85 -29.67% -29.66%
$ 113.74 $ 107.03 -46.15% -41.28%
$ 114.96 $ 116.44 -9.71% -17.43%
$ 116.06 $ 118.60 49.02% 48.13%
$ 116.44 $ 128.05 -1.51% -9.15%
$ 116.64 $ 133.78 46.57% 42.27%
$ 116.84 $ 140.49 31.77% 26.93%
$ 117.19 $ 142.43 -35.64% -36.72%
$ 117.29 $ 148.43 29.21% 25.07%
$ 117.33 $ 154.98 -1.14% -5.51%
$ 117.36 $ 163.35 -10.70% -16.08%
$ 117.46 $ 160.04 -12.85% -10.75%
$ 117.85 $ 163.72 18.84% 16.88%
$ 118.30 $ 167.79 24.68% 22.57%
$ 118.75 $ 172.12 18.65% 16.45%
$ 119.20 $ 178.67 35.44% 32.02%
$ 119.65 $ 184.26 -8.81% -11.56%
$ 120.33 $ 185.95 4.63% 4.28%
$ 121.56 $ 189.58 4.68% 3.75%
$ 122.90 $ 198.42 17.20% 13.64%
$ 124.34 $ 199.27 29.63% 30.38%
$ 126.18 $ 198.68 22.20% 23.97%
$ 128.29 $ 203.19 16.48% 15.88%
$ 130.72 $ 211.61 -3.10% -5.35%
$ 131.98 $ 218.57 51.60% 49.27%
$ 134.17 $ 215.65 30.94% 33.93%
$ 137.60 $ 210.79 4.88% 9.70%
$ 142.04 $ 225.11 -13.69% -17.25%
$ 144.57 $ 220.39 41.94% 45.82%
$ 149.27 $ 214.56 8.80% 14.70%
$ 153.82 $ 239.53 -2.71% -11.30%
$ 157.30 $ 244.46 24.37% 24.58%
$ 161.67 $ 258.38 -11.59% -14.51%
$ 166.70 $ 262.74 19.50% 20.93%
$ 172.54 $ 272.53 12.91% 12.69%
$ 179.28 $ 274.49 8.50% 11.68%
$ 187.95 $ 282.47 -14.81% -12.88%
$ 196.10 $ 278.01 19.47% 25.38%
$ 206.41 $ 287.11 5.55% 7.54%
$ 219.96 $ 272.71 -14.80% -3.23%
$ 234.66 $ 318.41 -3.12% -13.19%
$ 245.32 $ 349.57 9.68% 4.43%
$ 255.01 $ 359.42 14.80% 15.94%
$ 272.16 $ 372.57 -21.03% -17.97%
$ 293.33 $ 379.98 -33.68% -27.89%
$ 310.90 $ 393.68 31.01% 33.39%
$ 326.35 $ 456.61 18.86% 7.85%
$ 343.09 $ 462.50 -12.11% -8.27%
$ 366.87 $ 458.90 -0.42% 7.29%
$ 403.33 $ 461.98 8.58% 17.85%
$ 448.58 $ 448.17 20.52% 34.72%
$ 512.73 $ 484.91 -19.00% -12.90%
$ 569.18 $ 644.04 9.41% -12.40%
$ 617.26 $ 664.65 13.89% 19.14%
$ 676.60 $ 755.92 -3.47% -7.59%
$ 727.26 $ 950.29 23.75% 5.52%
$ 771.15 $ 1,181.06 12.46% -5.79%
$ 815.27 $ 1,122.47 0.09% 10.77%
$ 867.86 $ 1,214.78 10.09% 8.31%
$ 938.24 $ 1,429.72 23.37% 13.78%
$ 1,009.08 $ 1,518.87 -10.61% -9.30%
$ 1,065.69 $ 1,746.77 24.62% 15.23%
$ 1,101.98 $ 1,910.30 4.09% -1.87%
$ 1,134.84 $ 2,181.77 6.98% -4.24%
$ 1,180.07 $ 2,006.43 -2.66% 9.36%
$ 1,245.15 $ 2,477.55 31.68% 13.71%
$ 1,307.68 $ 2,512.94 17.66% 21.25%
$ 1,373.76 $ 2,762.71 28.05% 23.16%
$ 1,438.70 $ 3,174.95 23.61% 13.42%
$ 1,503.58 $ 2,912.88 16.38% 29.14%
$ 1,590.23 $ 3,398.03 -14.79% -25.69%
$ 1,648.63 $ 3,587.37 -15.52% -17.42%
$ 1,675.96 $ 4,129.65 -23.62% -37.08%
$ 1,693.22 $ 4,145.15 27.33% 27.98%
$ 1,714.00 $ 4,331.30 9.52% 6.25%
$ 1,765.59 $ 4,455.50 1.82% 1.97%
$ 1,848.18 $ 4,542.87 10.94% 13.65%
$ 1,933.98 $ 5,006.69 0.84% -4.73%
$ 1,964.64 $ 6,013.10 -38.14% -56.65%
$ 1,967.29 $ 5,344.65 25.80% 37.05%
$ 1,969.84 $ 5,796.96 14.69% 6.36%
$ 1,970.44 $ 6,726.52 2.07% -13.94%
$ 1,971.42 $ 6,926.40 15.84% 12.92%
$ 1,972.72 $ 6,295.79 32.08% 41.25%
$ 1,973.77 $ 6,972.34 13.47% 2.78%
$ 1,977.91 $ 7,061.89 1.15% 0.08%
$ 1,988.00 $ 7,110.65 11.23% 11.05%
Risk Premium Standard Error
Stocks T.Bills Stocks T.Bonds Stocks T.Bills Stocks T.Bonds
7.96% 6.24% 2.12% 2.26%
6.57% 4.37% 2.39% 2.72%
7.90% 3.62% 6.06% 8.63%
Risk Premium
Stocks T.Bills Stocks T.Bonds
6.11% 4.62%
5.25% 3.42%
6.15% 2.30%
over the last 10 years
data.html
me.xls
datafile/variable.htm
Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk
0.85 6.27% 0.91 0.6671
0.89 5.21% 0.94 0.5241
0.73 4.23% 0.76 0.4760
0.67 4.30% 0.71 0.4968
0.35 6.46% 0.38 0.6222
0.85 8.90% 0.94 0.5478
0.37 9.89% 0.41 0.2658
0.33 10.76% 0.36 0.2325
0.63 11.30% 0.71 0.5805
0.74 4.84% 0.78 0.5856
0.68 2.17% 0.70 0.4266
0.36 14.97% 0.42 0.4577
0.83 4.05% 0.87 0.3818
0.82 3.52% 0.85 0.5200
0.80 2.32% 0.82 0.3395
0.65 4.00% 0.68 0.5526
1.14 6.50% 1.22 0.5298
0.94 3.97% 0.98 0.4924
0.57 5.34% 0.61 0.6001
0.79 5.24% 0.83 0.5390
0.89 5.61% 0.94 0.4866
0.98 4.68% 1.02 0.4424
0.58 7.84% 0.63 0.3951
1.18 5.54% 1.25 0.5805
0.89 3.98% 0.93 0.6179
0.94 10.16% 1.05 0.5865
0.97 6.42% 1.04 0.6252
0.91 5.99% 0.97 0.6086
0.74 10.02% 0.83 0.4951
0.93 8.26% 1.01 0.5056
0.93 3.59% 0.97 0.6605
0.62 0.95% 0.63 0.5837
0.59 3.88% 0.62 0.5482
0.07 2.29% 0.07 0.2947
0.61 2.57% 0.63 0.4214
0.91 1.76% 0.93 0.3878
0.67 3.39% 0.69 0.4789
0.43 8.85% 0.47 0.6770
0.89 3.91% 0.92 0.5348
0.74 10.07% 0.82 0.5096
0.80 4.22% 0.83 0.5458
0.73 5.33% 0.77 0.3321
0.44 1.43% 0.45 0.4817
0.64 3.43% 0.67 0.4598
0.67 2.97% 0.69 0.5926
0.84 3.71% 0.87 0.3452
0.69 3.92% 0.71 0.2761
0.67 16.83% 0.80 0.2818
0.67 4.61% 0.70 0.2524
0.57 15.46% 0.68 0.3809
0.89 4.28% 0.93 0.4467
0.86 2.98% 0.89 0.7440
1.03 6.31% 1.09 0.4362
0.93 2.05% 0.95 0.5161
0.94 5.44% 0.99 0.6405
0.68 0.76% 0.69 0.4215
1.04 6.27% 1.11 0.5450
0.59 2.55% 0.60 0.3546
0.79 4.87% 0.83 0.5042
0.32 2.46% 0.33 0.2648
1.01 8.33% 1.10 0.7586
0.89 7.77% 0.96 0.4132
0.41 1.61% 0.41 0.2392
0.43 8.47% 0.47 0.6038
1.05 3.71% 1.09 0.4391
0.58 5.21% 0.62 0.5913
0.73 4.54% 0.76 0.5233
0.59 8.30% 0.65 0.2514
0.59 2.36% 0.61 0.4123
0.62 1.12% 0.63 0.4333
1.11 1.66% 1.12 0.2621
0.75 2.19% 0.77 0.5018
0.80 2.73% 0.82 0.2805
0.46 1.25% 0.46 0.3599
1.13 3.79% 1.17 0.5212
0.73 4.29% 0.76 0.4108
0.82 8.09% 0.89 0.4555
1.06 4.78% 1.11 0.4717
0.96 12.69% 1.10 0.4324
0.83 2.83% 0.85 0.5953
0.78 5.59% 0.83 0.3007
0.86 11.29% 0.96 0.6124
1.09 2.64% 1.12 0.6293
0.94 5.33% 0.99 0.5614
1.11 7.04% 1.19 0.5972
0.55 5.92% 0.58 0.6530
0.80 6.86% 0.86 0.4893
0.66 1.78% 0.68 0.4531
1.11 2.38% 1.13 0.6350
0.80 3.51% 0.83 0.3969
0.65 1.82% 0.66 0.2829
0.72 4.25% 0.76 0.4577
0.25 0.65% 0.25 0.1515
0.47 0.43% 0.47 0.4530
0.62 4.92% 0.65 0.4822
0.81 4.08% 0.85 0.5249
Standard deviation in
operating income (last
Standard deviation of equity 10 years)
72.80% 17.05%
40.75% 14.67%
38.61% 99.37%
47.15% 24.77%
29.21% 366.54%
50.64% 54.10%
25.85% #DIV/0!
22.84% #DIV/0!
44.18% 27.49%
52.80% 16.55%
41.01% 18.50%
44.96% 40.20%
33.77% 48.36%
44.71% 20.37%
30.78% 40.08%
59.91% 54.64%
45.48% 26.46%
45.44% 27.95%
73.31% 84.87%
45.57% 16.36%
60.29% 57.15%
38.87% 28.00%
23.28% 21.92%
75.23% 68.61%
67.61% 12.05%
51.51% 43.36%
54.63% 17.78%
66.94% 57.44%
48.91% 30.66%
44.23% 20.48%
44.71% 18.90%
57.94% 14.25%
41.14% 26.67%
29.20% 45.33%
30.98% 22.15%
52.66% 15.60%
42.94% 28.13%
47.60% 97.34%
56.59% 11.19%
50.06% 22.08%
52.46% 37.38%
33.76% 137.06%
44.67% 32.38%
39.32% 26.38%
50.91% 6.48%
36.65% 34.87%
30.38% 76.49%
27.80% 34.97%
25.41% 59.96%
34.30% 32.59%
38.59% 22.89%
77.36% 32.69%
33.85% 14.76%
46.30% 44.08%
75.08% 70.00%
45.13% 45.25%
60.50% 33.60%
29.58% 20.50%
38.67% 38.75%
24.11% 7.62%
78.31% 72.93%
48.08% 13.57%
24.67% 27.75%
39.45% 336.02%
24.99% 170.32%
50.15% 41.20%
46.01% 28.71%
21.23% 79.92%
39.10% 21.59%
28.30% 36.36%
39.62% 23.30%
40.48% 38.55%
40.00% 6.58%
35.13% 17.61%
48.86% 51.38%
42.19% 21.86%
63.88% 46.21%
42.08% 33.61%
38.24% 50.41%
73.54% 24.62%
37.21% 26.27%
48.14% 119.34%
55.85% 46.53%
47.40% 17.04%
54.19% 65.41%
37.67% 42.23%
49.24% 17.73%
47.21% 37.74%
61.73% 16.67%
32.72% 24.08%
27.05% 28.20%
42.01% 33.32%
19.32% 6.86%
45.04% 25.14%
45.04% 17.28%
48.81% 16.91%
PAIS PUNTOS % Dia % Mes % Año
Equipos
Cámara Congelados 16,500
Cámara Frescos 16,500
Cortadora de embutidos 3,267
Plancha para sanduches 1,800
Microondas 205
Balanza de recepción jabas 7,000
Balanza productos 20,599
Vitrina de Servicio 6', Mr. Pollo 26,778
Vitrina 8', 5 niveles, Hortana 6,460
Vitrina de 2 puertas, 5 niveles de estantes 17,250
Vitrina 8', un nivel, productos Mr. Chancho 20,150
136,508
Mobiliario / Adecuaciones
Mesones de acero inoxidable 6,000
Mobiliario para exhibición de productos 12,000
Señaletica / Labeling 800
Obra civil (adecuaciones) 56,185
Equipos Baño 1,200
Iluminacion 5,000
Grifo y estación de limpieza 5,000
86,185
TOTAL 445,386
DETALLE OBRA CIVIL
Otros
Coches de compras 1,400
Canastastillas producto 50
Varios 10,000
11,450
CAPEX 250,898
ETALLE OBRA CIVIL
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
Vueltos $ 300
Gastos Varios $ 200
Sanducheria $ 300
Caja Chica* $ 9,600
Inventario como % de las ventas 1.33%
WACC=Re*(%E/V)+Rd*(%D/V)*(1-T) 5.85%
Proyecciones Pro Forma
Horizonte
2018 2019 2020
3 4 5 Capital de Trabajo
1,651,709 1,816,880 1,998,568 1 2
12.00% 10.00% 10.00% 26,656 29,406
1,258,602 1,384,463 1,522,909 9,600 9,792
173,412 176,880 180,418
17,508 19,259 21,185
18,817 21,954 25,090
1,154 1,154 1,154
210,892 219,247 227,847
18,996 16,056 16,056
163,220 197,115 231,757
66,920 80,817 95,020
96,300 116,298 136,737
150,424
4 5
8.8% 10.0%
Capital de Trabajo
3 4 5
31,956 34,352 36,972
9,988 10,188 10,391
ALMACENES PRONACA
Valoración - Flujo de caja libre
Proyecciones Pro F
Horizonte
Estado de Resultados 2015 2016 2017
Año 0 1 2
Ventas Almacen Modelo 1,165,802 1,282,383
Crecimiento Anual 0.00% 10.00%
Costo de Ventas 76.20% 888,341 977,176
Gastos Fijos 2% 166,678 170,012
Gastos Variables 1.06% 12,358 13,593
Mantenimiento equipos 2% 12,545 15,681
Seguros 0.46% 1,154 1,154
Total gastos operativos 192,735 200,440
Menos: Depreciación 18,996 18,996
EBIT 65,731 85,771
Impuestos 41% 26,950 35,166
Utilidad Neta 39,454 38,781 50,605
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
Vueltos $ 300
Gastos Varios $ 200
Sanducheria $ 300
Caja Chica* $ 9,600
Inventario como % de las ventas 1.33%
WACC=Re*(%E/V)+Rd*(%D/V)*(1-T) 5.85%
Proyecciones Pro Forma
Horizonte
2018 2019 2020
3 4 5 Capital de Trabajo
1,346,502 1,400,362 1,456,376 1 2
5.00% 4.00% 4.00% 25,105 26,848
1,026,034 1,067,076 1,109,759 9,600 9,792
173,412 176,880 180,418
14,273 14,844 15,438
18,817 21,954 25,090
1,154 1,154 1,154
207,656 214,832 222,099
18,996 16,056 16,056
93,815 102,399 108,462
38,464 41,983 44,470
55,351 60,415 63,993
146,169
4 5
8.8% 10.0%
Capital de Trabajo
3 4 5
27,896 28,812 29,761
9,988 10,188 10,391
ALMACENES PRONACA
Valoración - Flujo de caja libre
Proyecciones Pro F
Horizonte
Estado de Resultados 2015 2016 2017
Año 0 1 2
Ventas Almacen Modelo 932,642 960,621
Crecimiento Anual 0.00% 3.00%
Costo de Ventas 76.20% 710,673 731,993
Gastos Fijos 2% 166,678 170,012
Gastos Variables 1.06% 9,886 10,183
Mantenimiento equipos 2% 12,545 15,681
Seguros 0.46% 1,154 1,154
Total gastos operativos 190,263 197,030
Menos: Depreciación 18,996 18,996
EBIT 12,710 12,603
Impuestos 41% 5,211 5,167
Utilidad Neta 39,454 7,499 7,436
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
Vueltos $ 300
Gastos Varios $ 200
Sanducheria $ 300
Caja Chica* $ 9,600
Inventario como % de las ventas 1.33%
WACC=Re*(%E/V)+Rd*(%D/V)*(1-T) 5.85%
Proyecciones Pro Forma
Horizonte
2018 2019 2020
3 4 5 Capital de Trabajo
979,834 965,136 974,787 1 2
2.00% -1.50% 1.00% 22,004 22,568
746,633 735,434 742,788 9,600 9,792
173,412 176,880 180,418
10,386 10,230 10,333
18,817 21,954 25,090
1,154 1,154 1,154
203,770 210,218 216,994
18,996 16,056 16,056
10,435 3,428 (1,051)
4,278 1,406 (431)
6,157 2,023 (620)
142,390
4 5
8.8% 10.0%
Capital de Trabajo
3 4 5
23,020 23,024 23,356
9,988 10,188 10,391
PROYECTO ALMACENES PRONACA - RESUMEN
Escenario Pesimista Base Optimista
Probabilidad 25% 55% 20%
VPN proyecto $ (125,993) $ 75,888 $ 244,628
VAE flujos $ 42,813 $ 90,542 $ 130,435
Pay Back (años) 4.55 3.82
TIR -3.39% 16.84% 30.14%
WACC 5.85%
Re 6.19%
D/E 0.21
D/V 17.04%
E/V 82.96%
Nombre
1 Ana Belén
2 Sebastián
3 David
4 Miguel
5
Apellido Paralelo
Erazo 70
Marín 70
Chaguaro 70
Lema 70