Professional Documents
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Models
James A. Danoff-Burg
Dept. Ecol., Evol., & Envir. Biol.
Columbia University
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Evenness
Definition of Evenness
How equally abundant are each of the species?
A simple way to combine abundance and richness
Rarely are all species equally abundant
Some are better competitors, more fecund, more
abundant in general than others
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Evenness increases diversity
Increasing evenness greater diversity
True for all indices
S=4 S=4
N=8 N=8
Higher
Evenness,
Diversity
Site 1 Site 2
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Evenness as an Indicator
For many ecosystems, high evenness is a sign of
ecosystem health
Don’t have a single species dominating the ecosystem
Often invasives dominate
Paradox of enrichment
• E.g., polluted / enriched Lake Okeechobee, Florida
Disturbed areas are mostly edge species
• Simple biodiversity
• Dominance of a few species ecologically, numerically
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Evenness Across Locations
Between ecosystem comparability is usually not possible
Some areas have lower biodiversity naturally than others
• Tiaga is naturally much less even than the deciduous forest
• Tiaga is often dominated by a single species (e.g., Blue Spruce)
Seasonality may confound the comparison as well
• Earlier in temperate growing season, less even than later
This is a general principle for most all indices this term
When would you want to compare across locations?
Trying to prioritize areas for conservation
Based largely on biodiversity (not ecol. uniqueness)
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
New Ideas on Evenness
Types of evenness
Consequences of those types of evenness (a.k.a.
species abundance models)
Methods of testing and evaluation
Introduction to each series
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Types of Evenness
Types of evenness patterns are called Species
abundance models
Have four main types of abundance models
1. Geometric series
2. Log series
3. Log-normal series
4. Broken stick
Decreasing dominance of a single species from
#1 to #4
Possibly both numerical and ecological dominance
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
How would this
appear if:
Minimal Evenness (one species)
10
Maximal
1
Maximal Evenness evenness?
Per
Species Minimal
Abundance 0.1
evenness?
0.01
Next to Minimal Evenness (two species)
0.001
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
Geometric Series
0.001
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Abundance Models
Use all the available data
Most thorough representation of the data
Observations
Evenness increases from Geometric Log Log-
normal Broken Stick models
Dominance of any one species decreases from
Geometric Log Log-normal Broken Stick
models
Broken stick is the closest nature gets to maximal
evenness
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Other Methods of Abundance
Curves
How else could these graphs be constructed?
How would the data thereby be interpreted?
Possible ideas:
Biomass
Number of species per trophic level
• Trophic level ≅ Species
• Number of species ≅ Abundance
Number of species per feeding guild
• Feeding Guild ≅ Species
• Number of species ≅ Abundance
Others?
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Testability
Simple visual inspection of a single curve is
insufficient
How to test each abundance model differs
between each model
Geometric – simple rank / abundance plots with
abundance on log scale on Y axis (as already seen)
Log – frequency distribution of # of spp vs. abundance
Log-normal – similar to Log, but use a log scale on X
axis
Broken stick – rank / abundance plot, using ranks,
rather than abundance (more in a moment)
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
0.001
Geometric Series
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Geometric Series
Niche pre-emption is structuring the ecosystem
Species 1 takes a certain percentage of the resources
and prevents others from using them
• Assumes competitive exclusion and resource exhaustion
Species 2 takes a bit more
Continues with other species until all resources are
used and all species are included
Minimal cooperation in ecosystem
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Geometric Series
Assumes that the species abundance is roughly
proportional to total resource use
Linear increase in abundance linear increase in
resource use
Interspecific per-individual resource use is comparable
Mostly commonly found in species poor
communities
Early succession
Degraded ecosystems (Enriched, Invaded)
Harsh Ecosystems
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Testing the Geometric Series
Model – An Exercise
Should have: straight line species plot & statistical
test 100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
0.001
Geometric Series
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Worked Example 2
Magurran p. 130-131
Use the plant feeder data from one of the gardens
Work individually
Create a Rank / Abundance graph as in Fig. 2.4 of
Magurran
Only a gross approximation of whether it actually fits
Estimate k
Use Excel and do so iteratively
Conduct Chi-square goodness of fit test (GOF)
Use SPSS to do this
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
Geometric Series
0.001
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log Series Model
Closely related to geometric series
Some studies have found both fitting the same data
Similar to geometric in hypotheses about origin of
community
• Arrival of species to a novel environment
• Both say that a few factors predominantly structure the
community
• Both say that one (geometric) or a few (log) species dominate a
species
Log differs from Geometric in assumptions about arrival
• Arrivals are randomly arranged
– Can get some clumped, some long intervals between arrivals
• In geometric series, the arrivals are regular and continual
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log Series Model Mathematics
Base equations
Best fit to a GOF test between expected & obs data
Base form of log series: α, (αx2 / 2), (αx3 / 3), … (αxn / n)
Observed S = α[-ln(1-x)]
x is calculated iteratively
• Using the following equation S / N =(1-x) / x[-ln(1-x)]
• Solve S / N, then plug numbers in for x to determine its value
• 0.9 > x > 1.0
• If N / S > 20, then x > 0.99
α (a diversity index) = N(1-x) / x
• Plug in x once obtained and get α
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Testing the Log Series Model –
Worked Example 3
Procedure:
Construct a rank abundance plot as in the geometric
• Estimate rough estimate of how well it fits to theoretical
Determine log2 based classes (octaves = doubling abd)
Determine numbers of each class in observed data
Estimate x
Solve for α
Calculate expected abundance for each abd level
Group into classes
Conduct GOF test
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
Geometric Series
0.001
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log Normal Series
Most communities fit the Log Normal Series
Usually large, mature communities
E.g., temperate forest trees
Ubiquity may be b/c of simple mathematics
Normal distribution is often a consequence of large
numbers
Central Limit Theorem
• Large # factors random variation will result in normal
distribution
• Central assumption behind parametric statisticss
• ↑ probability with ↑ # of factors
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log Normal Series
Species are grouped into classes
Octaves – most common (Log2)
Any log base can be used
16
14 2
4
12
8
Number 10 16
of 8 32
6 64
Species 128
4
256
2 512
0
Number of Individuals
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log Normal Community
Assembly
Assumption about community formation
Sequential breaking of empty niche space (Sugihara
1980)
• Each species that arrives splits the niche space
• Occupies a niche space proportional to its relative abundance
• Probability of niche space being subdivided is independent of its
sizes
• Breakages occur successively
Mechanism can be through an ecological or
evolutionary process
Fit to model: not necessarily supports assumption
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Other Explanations
Central Limit Theorem
Not necessarily a biological explanation (May 1981)
Ugland & Gray 1982
Species can be divided into three abundance classes
• Rare (65%), Intermediate (25%), Common (10%)
Communities are composed of patches
Abundance of species = sum of abd in all patches
enough to result in Log Normal distribution
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Log-Normal Miscellany
Missed species
Very rare species will not be sampled
Those less abundant than the critical number are beind
the veil line
Need to estimate how many there should be there
Smaller the sample increased number behind veil
line
• Because have a higher veil line, relative to larger samples
Simplicity of calculations
Would be there, but for the veil line
Pielou (1975) created a fit to truncated log normal
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Testing the Log-Normal Series
Model – Worked Example 4
Use Pielou’s Truncated Log Normal process
Estimating # of spp missed to the left of veil line
Process (14 Steps!)
Sort species, from most to least abundant, ln transform
Calculate mean and variance of community
Determine observed class abundance
Calculate Gamma & Sobs
Estimate Theta
Calculate Mu, Vx, zo
Lookup po of zo
Estimate total S (including those behind veil line)
Lookup po of zo of each class abundance
Conduct GOF test
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Today: Evenness and
Abundance Models
Evenness – a review
Evenness – new issues
Introduction to the Models
Geometric Series
Log Series
Log-Normal Series
Broken-Stick Model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Hypothetical Model Curves
100
1
Per
Species
Abundance 0.1
Log-Normal Series
0.01
Log Series
Geometric Series
0.001
10 20 30 40
Species Addition Sequence
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Broken Stick Model
Sometimes called random niche boundary
hypothesis
“broken stick” – MacArthur (1957)
A stick randomly and simultaneously broken into S
pieces
No real relationship between earlier species
presence and niche size of subsequent arrivals
Unlike all earlier models
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Examples of fits to Broken
Stick
Successfully fit in past
Passerine birds (MacArthur 1960)
Minnows and Gastropods (King 1964)
In General:
Best fit in narrowly defined communities of
taxonomically related organisms
No adequate diversity index needed if data fit
Broken Stick
S is adequate measure of diversity
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Broken Stick Model
Most equitable species abundance as ever
happens naturally
Most biologically realistic “uniform” distribution
Theoretically, only looking at one resource
E.g., space
Strongly subject to sample size
Don’t have crowding limitations between species
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Limitations of Broken Stick
Model
Not really applicable to a single sample
Usually conceived of as the average spp abd.
Distribution
Can be misleading to test fit of a single sample to theory
of equal resource partitioning
Fine to use as we will use it
Adherence to a species abundance model
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Testing the Broken Stick
Model – An Exercise
Procedure (5 steps)
Calculate N and S
Determine Observed species in each Log2 abundance
classes
Calculate Expected species for each abundance level
(1-2000 or so)
Determine Expected species in each Log2 abundance
class
Conduct GOF test
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Our Data This Term I
Relationship between plant biodiversity, pest
insect biodiversity, and beneficial insect
biodiversity
Read website at
http://www.columbia.edu/itc/cerc/danoff-burg/web-
pages/gardens_main.htm
Has a pretty good amount of background on the topic
Field sites were in Manhattan and Brooklyn community
gardens
Data collected during summer 2001
I will also email you the data matrix
• Please begin looking it over so that you are comfortable with it
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Our Data This Term II
Influence of Hemlock Woolly Adelgid on carrion
beetle biodiversity
Separated by many (at least 3) trophic levels
Adelgid is a phloem-feeding insect
Carrion beetles are detritivores or predators on fly
larvae on carrion
Field sites at Black Rock Brook, Black Rock Forest
Data collected during summer 2001
I will also email you these data
• Please begin looking over the data set
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu
Next week:
Abundance, An Introduction
Read
Magurran Ch 2
Magurran Worked Examples 1-6
Southwood & Henderson 2.1, 2.2, 13.1
We will conduct a few evenness and species
abundance models next week
Decide which of the two projects on which you are
interested in working collaboratively
3 people per group
Lecture 3 – Evenness & Species Abundance Models © 2003 Dr. James A. Danoff-Burg, jd363@columbia.edu