Professional Documents
Culture Documents
7 Interconnection’s P&L
7 Foregoing interconnection,
even when it is offered
8 Consider interconnection
more broadly
9 Refrain from ex-ante imposition
of interconnection
1—2 GSMA — Mobile Money for the Unbanked
The case for interoperability: Assessing the value that the interconnection
of mobile money services would create for customers and operators
Case study: Instant messaging interconnection, the player with the largest themselves of promotions that different mobile ■ In many cases, operators make it possible
In the 1990s, a proliferation of instant messaging market share loses the ability to capitalise on operators offer, and select the account that offers for registered mobile money customers
(IM) platforms emerged to allow customers network effects flowing from its user base as a them the best rates or coverage depending on to send money to customers who have not
to chat with each other using clients installed competitive advantage—which for an IM service their requirements for each call. (A parallel in the registered for mobile money (indeed, in most
on their desktops. These platforms were, like can be a key competitive differentiator. So that developed world would be the way that many cases, they need not even have a phone): when
mobile money services, walled gardens; if two player might reasonably question why it should customers have a wallet full of payment cards, they initiate the transfer, they are issued a
customers were affiliated with different IM take a step that would likely shrink its market and choose among them based on their features: secret code which they can convey to the
services, they could not chat with each other. This share. Such a step could make sense if the overall loyalty rewards, interest rates, foreign exchange recipient and which can be used to collect
state of affairs persisted for years. Why didn’t the size of the market—measured not just in users, fees, and so on.) A June 2010 survey indicated the transfer at an agent. We call this
providers of IM platforms interconnect? but in profits—was going to grow significantly that 43% of mobile money users in Uganda transaction type an off-net transfer. End-to-
with interconnection. Apparently, it was never were multi-SIMing, while the proliferation of end, off-net transfers are usually more
First, in instant messaging, the cost for customers obvious that such growth would result. dual-, tri-, and even quad-SIM phones around the expensive than on-net transfers
of affiliating with multiple instant messaging world provides anecdotal evidence for the trend.5
platforms is extremely low. People didn’t mind The instant messaging case study illustrates that ■ In other cases, operators make it possible for
having multiple clients on their desktop because interconnection of platform-mediated businesses In markets with more than one mobile money customers who have not registered for mobile
they were generally provided free and because is not inevitable. It also hints at conditions under service on offer, customers adopt the same money (again, often including even customers
Windows offered a perfectly acceptable way of which interconnection is likely to occur. strategy. The same survey of mobile money users who don’t have a phone) to send money:
switching between them. in Uganda showed that 12% of Zain Zap users they do so by visiting an agent, who
The more expensive it is for customers to affiliate and 22% of UTL M-Sente users had also used initiates the transfer on their behalf. We call
Second, even if providers gave customers a way with more than one service, the more they are MTN MobileMoney.6 this transaction type an over-the-counter
of chatting with all of their counterparts in one likely to value interconnection. At the other (OTC) transfer
interface, it’s not exactly clear how to monetize extreme, when it is very inexpensive to affiliate
Relative size and overlap of mobile money customer bases
that. Customers didn’t pay for IM. So it wasn’t with multiple services, customers are likely to July 2010, Uganda These capabilities are important, because
obvious that industry profits would increase find interconnection to be of limited value.4 Of they mean that customers are not restricted to
after interconnection. course, the degree to which customers value transacting only with customers affiliated with
interconnection is a key driver of the commercial their own network—or indeed any network at
Third, there was a chance that interconnection prospects for doing so, because as customers’ all. They are powerful because, even in countries
would not just fail to generate new revenues willingness to pay increases, the ability of the where mobile money has been adopted rapidly,
for the industry, but that it would actually industry to justify the costs of interconnection the proportion of mobile account holders from
erode the profitability of the service with the does, too. MobileMoney
all mobile money networks is still much smaller
largest number of users. That’s because with than the number of adults who might want to
send or receive money.
Case study: the origins of SMS interconnection Why was the interconnection of SMS platforms national payments switch for its banks, although Segment 1: Existing customers of mobile money services
in the UK followed by such dramatic growth? we understand that significantly less expensive With the advent of interconnection, existing
When UK operators introduced SMS in the implementations are possible.8 Still, payment customers may start making cross-net transfers.
early 1990s, services functioned within their In part, the answer lies in the differing construct switches are costly in part because of the very This has the potential to occur when a sender
own walled gardens: Cellnet customers could of the “walls” that enclose each service in a non- stringent operational requirements to which they and his counterparty have both previously
SMS other Cellnet customers, but not Vodafone interconnected state. Without interconnection, are subject. Switches must be extremely reliable registered for mobile money, but with different
customers, and vice versa. This state of affairs there was no way for customers of different and operate in realtime, often at high volume. mobile money service providers. If affiliations
lasted for months before interconnection operators to exchange SMS messages. And there with payment networks were random, we might
agreements were struck, first bilaterally between was certainly no way for customers with no In addition, each operator will need to integrate expect this situation to arise frequently. But there
Cellnet and Vodafone, and later with Orange mobile phone to send or receive them. with the switch, a task that will often be carried are two forces which drive customers to affiliate
and T-Mobile. The graph that accompanies this But mobile money is fundamentally different. out by the vendor of their mobile transaction with the same network as their transactional
story shown below illustrates one of the mobile Even without interconnection, customers can processing platform, with some support from the counterparties.
industry’s greatest successes: in short order, SMS often use the off-net or OTC transfer features operator’s technical staff.
volumes increased exponentially. described above. So even though mobile money 1. First, mobile operators create significant
services function within a walled garden Foregone revenues financial incentives in the core business for
environment, just like SMS initially did, in this people who want to call each other frequently
Finally, mobile operators may expect to
case there are sizeable cracks that enable mobile to affiliate on the same network; it is usually
experience lost revenue in their core business
money customers to connect across networks. cheaper to call on-network than off-network.11
on account of interconnection. Mobile operators
have invested in mobile money in large part Since customers have a smoother path to
SMS volumes, UK because they expect mobile money users to registration for a mobile money service offered
spend more and be more loyal, and we have by Operator A if they already use Operator A
evidence to suggest that these effects can for core mobile services, and if we assume that
be substantial.9 In an interconnected world, there is some correlation between the people
however, the churn-reducing, ARPU-uplifting a customer wants to talk to frequently and the
people a customer would want to transact with,
interconnection implemented
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$1.44 for an off-net transfer and $0.31 for an
themselves subsidising customers who make on-net transfer.12 Transactional partners with any
use of interconnection with revenues from those degree of price sensitivity who transact more
Source: Mobile Data Association
who don’t. than once will find it most economical to pay
order to implement. Interconnection will require the upfront cost of registering for a new SIM
What value would interconnection We specify that these transactions must be net- and wallet (cost: less than $2) in order to take
devising, negotiating, and implementing a host of new, because if the outcome of interconnection
8.“E-Payment: Banks, Others Shun
create for operators? business rules and service-level agreements. is simply a conversion of on-net transfers
advantage of lower per-transaction costs.
N500M Central Switch,” Nigerian
Best Forum¸10 March 2011 (http://
www.nigerianbestforum.com/
We now turn to the implications of the fact that to cross-net transfers, or off-net transfers to Customers who don’t bother to align on the same
generaltopics/?p=95560).
Infrastructure cross-net transfers, no growth will actually 9. “Is there Really any Money in Mobile
decent workarounds to the lack of cross-net network are likely to transact rarely.13 Money?” by Paul Leishman (http://
It is outside the scope of this article to explore have occurred—indeed, value will have
transfer functionality exist. The only scenario mmublog.org/wp-content/files_mf/
in which it would be commercially sensible for the technical requirements of interconnection, been destroyed since implementation of moneyinmobilemoneyfinal.pdf).
Finally, recall that we are seeking to identify 10. We assume that operators will have
mobile operators to invest in interconnection is although these are complex. We will also skip interoperability is costly. sources of net-new transactions; simply replacing
to make cross-net transfers cheaper than
one in which they collectively have more to gain over the difficult question of who should own off-net transfers in order to drive adoption
an off-net transfer with a cross-net transfer does of cross-net transfers. And we assume
than to lose. At minimum, the new revenues that and operate the technical infrastructure that Below we consider two segments to assess the not count. As such, these pairs of customers
that they will make cross-net transfers
stem from introducing the ability for customers to will enable cross-platform payments. But we do likelihood that customers will begin making more expensive than on-net transfers to
must, in the world without interconnection, (1) generate revenues that can be used to
transact across networks must be greater than the need to understand the scale of investment that large numbers of net-new transfers. In our either be foregoing making transfers altogether
pay for the costs of interconnection and
costs of interconnection. is required. analysis, we assume that the end-to-end cost of (2) create an incentive for customers to
or using another mechanism to do so. This affiliate on their own network.
sending money cross-net will be greater than the implies that their willingness to pay for a
11. The cost structure for off-net calls
We can assume that to enable interconnection, cost of sending money on-net but less than the is almost always higher than the cost-
Interconnection is not free mobile money transfer must fall between the structure for on-net calls.
participating operators will need to invest in cost of sending money off-net.10 cost of a cross-net transfer and the cost of an
12. It’s common for operators to impose a
Resourcing a payments switch or in setting up bilateral higher fee for off-net than on-net transfers.
off-net transfer. First, this creates an incentive for recipients
First, interconnection is likely to make significant realtime payment instruction interfaces and to affiliate with the sender’s network.
demands on the time of senior management, settlement procedures. It has been reported Second, the sender’s network is subject
to additional costs for providing off-net
given the important strategic questions it raises. It that the Central Bank of Nigeria invested N500 transfers (i.e. SMS termination rate of
will also almost certainly necessitate new hires in million, or about US$3 million, to setup a recipient network). Source of tariff: MTN.
13. An alternative explanation for this
behaviour would be low price sensitivity–
probably found most frequently at the
upper end of the income distribution.
7—8 GSMA — Mobile Money for the Unbanked
The case for interoperability: Assessing the value that the interconnection
of mobile money services would create for customers and operators
Segment 2: New customers to mobile money Do these forecasts justify interconnection? That Encourage uncomplicated ways for customers to ■ Connecting mobile money platforms with
New customers may sign up for mobile money is, will the gross profit from processing cross-net transact across network boundaries other payment networks, like the ones
because cross-net transfers are now available to transfers be larger than interconnection’s cost? Implementing interconnection between mobile operated by Visa and MasterCard, would
them. What would their profile be? A customer And will it be so much larger that operators will money systems will be very complicated. allow mobile money account holders to
who only occasionally sends to others and be confidently able to deem interconnection a But as we have seen, simple solutions can buy goods and services at merchants
whose counterparties are affiliated with more priority—above all other prospective initiatives give customers many of the benefits that affiliated with those networks—and offer
than one network might be compelled to register they might otherwise undertake to bolster interconnection would. the payment networks a new source of
for mobile money in an interconnected world. growth of their mobile money service? transactional growth.
(Customers who regularly send to others will ■ In some markets, onerous SIM- and mobile
■ Connecting mobile money platforms from
presumably have taken the step of registering for Foregoing interconnection, money registration requirements make it
mobile money already; customers who meet this more difficult for customers to multi- different countries could unlock net-new
description but need only to send to affiliates of even when it is offered SIM, which in turn makes it more difficult for transaction volume for each in cases where
one network will find their decision unaffected them to transact with customers not already a significant remittance corridor exists.
by the introduction of interconnectivity, since At best, it is unclear whether interconnection on their network. Telecommunications and
they might today sign up for the same mobile of mobile money services stands to create as financial regulatory authorities should bear Refrain from ex-ante imposition of interconnection
money service that their transaction partners much value for customers as it would cost to this consequence in mind when Financial regulators from countries in which
already use.) implement. Customers can already affiliate with developing guidelines for registration. mobile money services have been launched may
multiple mobile money services, allowing them
be tempted to impose interconnectivity among
to send money inexpensively to customers of ■
Interconnection’s P&L In some markets, mobile money service mobile money services. It is already widely
any mobile money network. In fact, in countries
To recap, here are the profiles of customers providers are prohibited from allowing understood that doing so has the potential
where a mobile money service provider
who are likely to begin availing themselves customers to send money to unregistered to deter investment in mobile money. This is
allows customers to send off-net transfers
of the cross-net transfer functionality that customers or allowing unregistered principally because interconnection will dilute
to unregistered users, or allows customers
interconnection would make possible: customer to send money over the counter in the potential of mobile money to reduce churn
unaffiliated with their network to make transfers
an effort to deter money laundering and/or and increase usage of mobile services, which as
over-the-counter, substantially more customers
■ Pairs of customers who have each affiliated terrorist financing. Financial regulators should we have discussed previously is a key driver
can transact with each other already than
with a mobile money service, but who, consider customer due-diligence procedures of investment in mobile money by mobile
interconnection would permit.
because they need to transact only very that can be applied to unregistered customers operators. Given the positive network effects that
occasionally with each other, have not when they transact. accrue to successful mobile money platforms by
For this reason, it would be risky to confidently
taken the step of affiliating with the virtue of the large size of their network of users,
forecast that the volume of cross-net transfers
same network, and who today, rather than will be large. Even in an interconnected world, ■ In some markets, operators have not mandating interconnectivity could, perversely,
using the off-net transfer functionality, opt price-sensitive customers who send or receive considered the benefits of allowing deter the very mobile operators which have
to forgo making a transfer or use a non- money with any regularity are likely to continue customers to send money to unregistered the appetite to make major investments in their
mobile-money mechanism to do so to multi-home in order to gain access to the best customers or allowing unregistered mobile money services in order to reach scale.
value money transfer they can arrange based on customers to send money over the counter. It
the affiliation(s) of the recipient. is not obvious that offering this functionality This paper raises another consideration.
■ Customers who occasionally want to send or
is always desirable—for one thing, the knock- Mandating interconnectivity would presumably
receive money to or from affiliates of more be undertaken to promote customers’ interests.
For a clue to how customers will react to the on effects of mobile money adoption on core
than one mobile money service, but who Our research suggests the importance of
introduction of interconnectivity in mobile mobile usage are probably diluted when these
today, rather than using the off-net transfer clarifying whether the lack of interconnection
payments, we need look no further than the core options are provided to customers—but they
functionality, opt to forgo making a transfer or does in fact manifest itself as a pain point for a
mobile business. As discussed previously, in are worth evaluating.
use a non-mobile-money mechanism to do so significantly large group of customers. Given
emerging markets where prepaid accounts are
most common, customers are likely to carry more Consider interconnection more broadly that the “walls” in the walled gardens of mobile
How large are these segments of customers money are, as we have seen, porous, it is not
than one SIM card. Often, it is much cheaper to There are a range of tangible benefits that can be
for any given market? It’s impossible to know make on-net calls as compared to off-net calls, obvious that imposing interconnection would
without undertaking a nationally-representative unlocked for customers when mobile operators
so customers collect SIM cards so they can do interconnect with other platforms: create significant welfare gains for customers.
quantitative survey. Even harder to answer as much of their calling on-net as possible. In Indeed, it might have the opposite effect, if
definitively is the question of how many new other words, price-sensitive customers in many mobile operators must raise prices or curtail
transactions they are likely to make with the ■ Introducing the ability to move money
markets eschew interconnection regularly—even investment in other areas in order to implement
introduction of interconnection. But intuitively, when it is in place. between a mobile money account and
interconnectivity.
the prospects are underwhelming. By definition, an account offered by a bank that is
these segments are composed of customers who already connected to the broader financial
need to transfer only very occasionally. They are Some ways forward system would unlock a host of transactional
also customers who consider off-net transfers too features that are not currently available
expensive, but who would be willing to absorb The commercial case for interconnection is not to mobile money customers. It could also
the cost of signing up for a new service in order clear cut, because it is not obvious that enough provide account holders with an opportunity
to make occasional cross-net transfers. customers want interconnection badly enough to earn interest on their balance in countries
to justify investing in it. What other next steps where regulators forbid paying interest on
make sense? mobile money accounts.
For further information please contact
mmu@gsm.org
GSMA London Office
T +44 (0) 20 7356 0600