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: MARSHALL SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
• UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in- Publication Data
Allen, Kathleen R.
Bringing new technology to market I Kathleen R. Allen.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-13-093373-2
J.. High technology-Marketing. 2. High technology industries. I. Tille.
HF5415 .A432 2002
658.5-dc21 2002017056
Credits and acknowledgments borrowed from other sources and reproduced, with
permission, in this textbook appear on appropriate page within text.
Copyright © 2003 by Pearson Education, Inc., Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458.
All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. This publication is
protected by Copyright and permission should be obtained from the publisher prior to
any prohibited reproduction, storage in a retrieval system, or transmission in any form
or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or likewise. For
information regarding permission(s), write to: Rights and Permissions Department.
. .
Prentice
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OVERVIEW
INTRODUCTION
Today, companies seeking to commercialize their technologies face a dynamic set of
challenges, attitudes, and values. The demand for better, faster, cheaper technology
products is a dilemma that few companies have successfully overcome. Intellectual
property, once a cost center for most corporations, has now become an important reve-
nue center-a critical competitive advantage for the firms that hold it and a significant
disadvantage for those that do not. Incremental innovation-improving on what has
already been done-has traditionally helped a company survive and compete. Today,
however, it is radical innovation that is critical for long-term sustainability.1
Unfortunately, although many companies have successfully commercialized incremen-
tal innovations on existing technologies, they have been far less successful in bringing
radical innovations or breakthrough products to market.
Thousands of new products are produced every year by corporations attempting
to increase their market share and stay competitive, but the vast majority of these·
products fail to make a profit for the companies that spent millions creating and mar-
keting them. Very few companies have enjoyed the consistent new product success of
Hewlett-Packard, 3M, and Pfizer, and many have disappeared from the corporate map
because they failed lo innovate and were overtaken by their more agile counterparts.
- . . - _.. . ._,. ., . , - - . . . - . . ---"W<------ --- . -~~ -·- . ··-- - . . .. ,~"'>!1 ,. - .&..., .. ~
Fully 40 percent of major corporations in business in 1975 are not in business today.2 principles. We will look at five of these adjustments to long-standing economic princi-
One of the explanations for this dismal record is that companies are still trying to link ples and how the changes affect competitive strategy.
emerging technologies with existing markets when they should be linking emerging
technologies with emerging markets.3 What customers want today, they will not want THE FINANCIAL REVOLUTION
tomorrow. Satisfying customers today and anticipating their latent needs for the future Venture capital (VC) funding is the fuel that powers the engine of innovation. VC
is like trying to hit a moving target. Now more than ever, it is important lo understand funding has soared from about $5 billion annually in 1988, a peak year to that point, to
how to effectively commercialize new technology products. about $100 billion in 2000.7 This increase in the level of investment has had an impor-
tant impact on the rate of technological change. Without the enormous· infusion of
capital to such companies as Genetech, Cisco, and Netscape, the Internet _age would
have come about much more slowly. The availability of capital accelerates innovation
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE AND exponentially. In fact, the primary reason that technological innova6on has not bene-
BASIC ECONOMEC PRINCIPLES fited countries such as Germany and Japan to the same extent that it has the United
States is their lack of access to the same levels of venture capital.
On August 9, 1995, when Netscape Communications went public and its stock more Venture capital speeds up the pace of innovation and stimulates new competition,
than doubled in less than 24 hours, it signaled the start of the Internet IPO market. It but it does not normally fund basic research that produces radical innovation. Because
was the gold rush of the 1990s. Companies that followed-Priceline.com, eBay, and basic research is a lengthy process with no particular commercialization goals in mind,
E*Trade-enjoyed successful IPOs with no major products, no profits, and virtually no its funding typically comes from the nonprofit sector and through government grants,
customers. Between November 1998 and November 1999, 10 companies showed first- university research centers, and corporate research and development (R&D) funds.
day price increases greater than 300 percent, despite generating little or no profit." But when basic research identifies potential applications in the market, venture capital
111is was certainly not the first time that a technology company had gone public can serve to hasten the development process. One example of the impact of venture
with no sales and no product yet ready for commercialization. In 1980, biotech giant capital on the pace of innovation is the Human Genome Project. Originally, the project
Genentech, in one of the largest stock run-ups ever, went public. Its stock shot from was funded with zovemment and nonprofit money with the purpose of mapping the
$35 a share to $88 dollars a share in less than an hour.5 Yet, it was not until 1985 that human genome. TI.1e target completion date to produce the complete ~1apping of the
Genentech finally received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration human genome was 2005. When venture-capital-funded Celera Genomics, a Maryland~--_
(FDA) to market its first product, Protropin, a growth hormone for children with based start-up, entered the picture, the Human Genome Project was impelled to co_m-
growth hormone deficiency. This was the first recombinant pharmaceutical product to plete its task in record time. Both the government and Celera announced the mapping
be manufactured and marketed by a biotechnology company. of most of the human genome in June 2000, five years ear her than planned.8 .
Until the 1980s, technological change was nowhere to .be found in economic Just as the availability of capital can stimulate innovation, the lack of capital can
growth models, which relied solely on inputs of capital and labor. In the 1980s, the work sharply curtail innovation efforts. For example, from 1987 to 1991, available venture
of Paul Romer and others identified technological change as a critical component of a capital declined by more than 50 percent and first-round financing for s_tart_-up compa-
growth model that responds to market incentives.6 Technological change comes about nies fell 75 percent, significantly inhibiting innovation effmts.9The decline mthe value
when a company identifies new customer segments that appear to be emerging, new of teclmology stocks that began in the spring of 2000 precipitated another shift ohen-
customer needs, existing customer needs that have not been satisfied, and new ways of ture capital funds away from the technology sector, which, if it las_ts for any significant
manufacturing and distributing products and services. Technological change has been lenzth of time, could seriously inhibit innovation efforts. Innovation depends on easy
behind the record growth that many companies have achieved. For example, Intel access to capital. Unfortunately, venture capital is highly sensitive to the economy, and
would not have experienced the high rate of growth it saw in the mid-1980s had it not to the stock market in particular.
redefined the way it saw the business, starting in 1979 when CEO and founder Andy
Grove announced that Intel would discontinue its memory chip business (it controlled FIRST MOVER TO SCALE
30 percent of the market) and focus on microprocessors. One year later, IBM released
the IBM PC with an Intel 8080 microprocessor, and the rest is history. Redefinition of One interesting idea to come out of the new economy was that lo succeed, a business
the business resulted in a completely different strategy for doing business. must be first in its market and scale out quickly, that is, the. business must position the
· Key shifts in basic economic principles resulting from the rapid pace of technologi- company's brand in as many places as possible as q~ickly as possible. However, history
cal change precipitated major changes in business strategy. With the dot-com implosion teaches that beinz first mover is more often a liability than a benefit. For example, not
of April 2000 and the subsequent crash of technology stocks, many believed that busi- many people under the age of 40 remember VisiCalc. VisiCalc was the first major com-
ness would return to its pre-dot-com ways, but that has not happened. The period from puter spreadsheet. Ultimately, it lost in the marketplace to Lotus 1-2-3; Lotus ~hen lost
1998 to 2001 was a period of great experimentation and creativity that shook nearly to Microsoft Excel, the third mover. The ubiquitous Palmf'ilot, with its Graffiti hand-
every industry in one way or another. It also had a profound impact on basic economic writing recognition software, was not the first personal digital assistant (PDA) Ill the
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market. It came years after Apple's Newton MessagePad. The Newton MessagePad is use it in business, resolving compatibility issues. These network effects create strong
a classic story of a first-mover company that did not listen to its customers. Its develop- barriers to entry for the companies that benefit from them, making it more difficult for
ers concentrated on producing a complex technology that customers did not appreci- competitors to enter the same market. This concept of increasing returns is not exclu-
ate because it did not solve their basic needs. The Newton MessagePad was designed to sive to the information age. In 1890, for example, gas, electricity, and railways enjoyed
read its owner's personal handwriting. In engineering terms, that meant that the com- increasing returns as well, chiefly from the network effects of more people using the
puter chip inside the Newton MessagePad had to adapt itself to millions of variations system. The more people who use a system, the cheaper the cost to maintain it.
in handwriting-a nearly impossible task. Consequently, the Newton MessagePad
often gave incorrect results and frustrated its user. MONOPOLIES
These examples are just two of the many cases where the second, third, or even Joseph Schumpeter, a 20th-century economist who is often thought of as the father of
fourth company entering the market prevailed over the pioneering company. In fact, entrepreneurship, espoused the theory of "creative destruction," which proposed that
most of the major brands that dominate the marketplace today were not pioneers in monopolies actually stimulate innovation and growth by allowing the firm a quiet
their industries. According to Jim Collins, author of the best-selling book Built to Last, 10 period with no rivals. According to the theory, without the ability to operate as a tem-
the companies that prevail are simply better at what they do. It is his belief that, except porary monopoly, a firm will be faced with competitive pricing that does not allow it
m rare cases, "best beats first, even if it takes a long time." There is an interesting story time to recoup its costs before it must compete on price. The U.S. Patent and Trademark
about a young product manager who, in the early 1980s, walked into the office of Cyril Office was created expressly to ensure inventors a temporary monopoly. Without that
Yansouni, the general manager of the Hewlett-Packard personal computer group. The quiet period free of competition, inventors would have no incentive to invest heavily in
young man was very concerned that Hewlett-Packard would lose a once-in-a-lifetime innovation, particularly disruptive or radical innovation. That being said, in the new
opportunity to be the best in portable and personal computers. The wise Yansouni economy, not only has the time from concept to market declined precipitously, but the
calmly responded that Hewlett-Packard might fail at being first, but it would learn from quiet time of temporary monopoly for the pioneering firm has declined as well. Today,
its mistakes and the mistakes of others. "We don't have to be first so Iona as in the end with technology life cycles shortening, different core technologies competing for the
we figure out how to be best. It might take 10 or 15 years, but we'll figureit out."11 same customers, and global companies increasing their technological innovation
_America Online (AOL) is another example of a technology company that investment, it is difficult for any company to survive and prosper with only a monopoly
achieved su~cess by being better, not first. In 1992, AOL only had 200,000 members status. Every company needs to build a diversified barrier of competitive advantages, of
compared to Prodigy's 2 million members.12 AOL ultimately beat its competitors and which a temporary monopoly is one, albeit very significant, advantage.
acquired them because it subscribed to a strategy of continual improvement-listening
to its customers and constantly making changes for the better. BETTER,FASTER,(HEAPER
TI1e new economy is driven by the demand for higher quality products, faster produc-
SCARCITY tion and distribution, and lower prices. Consequently, the dilemma for entrepreneurs is
When Adam Smith proposed his market system over 200 years ago, it was based on the how to crush the competition, produce at Internet speed, and still make sure the cus-
concept of scarcity, the idea that people make choices based on limited resources.13 . tamer is happy-a nearly impossible task. Speed is one of the key competitive advan-
Knowledge products, which are at the core of the new economy, present a problem for tages in the new product arena. The ability to get new products to market in record
economists because knowledge defies the law of scarcity. For example, if someone seJls time so as to take advantage of increasingly smaller windows of opportunity has never
a car, he no longer owns it; but, if someone sells an idea, he still owns it. In fact, he can been more critical to success. Speed produces:
sell it many times-it will never be used up. In traditional economic theory, industries • Competitive advantage. The business can gain a foothold in the market before com-
experience diminishing returns when unit costs start to rise. In other words, the gain petitors become aware of what they are doing.
from producing an additional unit goes clown. With information-based products, such o More profit potential. The business has shortened the time to market.
as software, .books, and movies that can be cligitizecl, there are increasing returns, Fewer surprises. The business gets the product to market before customers' tastes
because information is costly to produce but inexpensive to replicate. Consequently, and preferences change.!"
industries that deal in information products have high fixed costs and extremely low
The longer it takes to develop a new product and bring it to market, the less likely
variable costs that afford them huge economies of scale.
it will still meet customers' needs. Every aspect of the product development ·environ-
Economies of scale are perhaps the biggest reason that new entrants have a diffi-
ment is changing at such a rapid pace that any lag time in commercializing a new tech-
cult time breaking into a market. Economists recognize that in the information age, the
nology can make it obsolete by the time it hits the market. Getting to market quickly
benefits of economies of scale accrue not only on the supply side, but also on the
can also mean higher profits. It is estimated that a 6-month jump on competitors in a
demand side clue to what they call "network effects" or "network externalities." In
market accustomed to 18- to 24-rnonth design lives can translate into as much as three
other words, the real value of an information product is realized as more people use the
product. Microsoft Windows is valuable Lo customers precisely because so many people times the profit over the market life of the design.
6 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGYCOMMERCIALIZATION CHAPTER 1 INNOVATION AND COMMERCIALIZATION 7
•!• Key Technologies to Watch 5. Microphotonics.The telecommunications industry has seen dramatic techno-
In tbe world of technology, opportunity comes from looking ahead, sometimes logical advances, but more is coming .in the form of microphotonics-
very far ahead, so that a business can position itself to pioneerthe application of . technologies that direct light on a microscopic scale. Microphotouics has the
a new technology when it reaches the commercialization stage. MIT has identi- potential to unclog the integration of fiber optics and electronic switching in
' fied 10 technologies to keep an eye on.15 Here five technologies are profiled and the telecommunications backbone. Technologies such as photonic crystals,
an additional five to watch out for are listed. · the work of MIT physics professor John Joannopoulos, have the best chance
of solving the problem through optical circuits that .will process data at the
1. Brain-machine interfaces. At Duky University, neurobiologist Miguel
speed of light. Joannopoulos' dream is ,an all-optical Internet that will carry
Nicolelis is pioneering the use of neural implants to study the brain. His goal
1,000 times more data than current fiber optics. See webrle.mit.edu/groups/g-
is' to better understand how the brain works so that systems can be designed
SUR.1-ITM.
that will allow for brain control of computers and other: machines-
essentially brain-machine interfaces. The ultimate goal of the project is to Here are an additional five technologies to watch out for.
permit human brains to control artificial devices that will restore Jost sensory
1. Biometrics. The identification of .individuals by specific biological traits.
· and motor functions to the physically challenged. See www.neuro.duke.edu/
2. Natural language processing. Speech recognition, speech generation, and
Faculiy/Nicolelis.Ium.
natural language understanding.
2. Flexible transistors. Everything is becoming or will become digital. This
3. Untangling code. The ability to trace and record every operation that a soft-
requires cheap and flexible integrated circuits. Recently, a materials scientist
ware application performs to allow a programmer to make global fixes.
at IBM's Watson Research Center, Cherie Kagan, discovered a way to.cneate
4. Robot design. Using robotics to perform complex tasks.
transistors from materials that combine the speed of inorganic materials with
5. Microfluidics. The ability to control and manipulate fluids at the microscale
the flexibility and affordability of organic materials. Her findings could result
for applications in genomics and pharmaceutical development.
in faster circuits that would deliver sharper flat-panel video displays and
bring down the cost of wall-panel displays. Seewww.watson.ibm.com!
3. Data mining. The ability to search through gigabytes of data to find mean-
ingful relationships and patterns goes well beyond the world of Amazon-
style e-commerce. With the.flow of information increasing at astronomical THE FOUNDATIONS OF
rates, the corporate world is demanding a way through the morass. Usama
Fayyad, referred to by some as the "father of data mining," recognized the
TECHNOLO GICAL INNOVATION
need for data mining when he took a summer job with General Motors while Innovation happens when old ideas are juxtaposed in new ways. When Alessandro
a graduate student at the University of Michigan. He wanted to find a way to Volta designed the eudiometer, his purpose was to explode bad smelling gases with
allow a service technician to query a database based on any aspect of a vehi- electricity, but his invention ultimately achieved its real value as the spark plug.
cle, for example, engine capacity, model, etc. He developed a pattern recogni- Wilhelm Maybach, while working for Daimler in Germany, juxtaposed a newly
tion algorithm to solve theproblem. That was just the beginning. Today, data- invented perfume sprayer with gasoline and invented the carburetor. Whether in the
mining technology has begun to move into methods for extracting conception of a new idea or in the development of applications of that idea, creativity
meaningful relationships from free-form text documents. Fayyad has com- plays a vital role.
mercialized his efforts through a data-mining company called digiMine.com. Today, innovation occurs at ever-increasing rates, but for the most part, this inno-
See www.digimine.com. vation has been incremental in nature, improving on something that already exists.16
4. Digital rights-management.One of the biggest challenges facing the Internet · As the speed of innovation continues to increase, incremental innovation will become
i. today is the conflict between the owners of intellectual property- '(beaks, continuous in nature and require escalating levels of creativity to sustain it. The next
f
i music, video, etc.] and Internet users who believe that any content distrib- section looks at the role creativity plays in invention and innovation.
-uted over the Internet should be free. Spinning out of research at Xerox's
Palo Alto Research Center (PARC), Ranjit Singh 's company, Cont~nt<;}u<1rd,- THE ROLES OF (RIE.ATIVITY AND INVENTION
wants to solve the pain faced by content providers and allow them to follow IN INNOVATION
their content to see "who is passing your content to whom." Contentfhiard is· Innovation and invention both require creativity, but there are distinct differences
an encryption device that lets -contentproviders control who receives and between the two activities. Invention relies solely on creativity, whereas innovation
distributes their proprietary content. See www.contentguard.com. requires a plan.17 Innovation, the improvement of something that already exists, occurs
at a much taster pace than invention, and is more directly affected by market shifts.
8 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION CHAPTER 1 INNOVATION AND COMMERCIALIZATION 9
Furthermore, innovation does not just refer to products and processes, but also to inno- tion strategies. For example, oil companies certainly make money by selling fuel, but
vations in engineering, manufacturing, purchasing, and marketing-essentially every they also make money by improving the drilling and distribution process. Oil compa-
aspect of the business. nies now mine data archives to find ways to modify their systems to conserve on energy
The ability of an inventor to view the world not as others see it, but in unique con- costs, and they pass those savings on to customers.
figurations, allows the inventor to create something that others are not able to con- Researchers have constructed many frameworks to assist in the definition of inno-
ceive. The inventor takes the impossible and makes it possible. By examining a sticky vation and innovative products: technology push versus market pull, evolutionary ver-
cocklebur he had plucked from his clothing under a microscope, Swiss engineer sus revolutionary, radical versus incremental, and sustaining versus disruptive.They all
George de Mestral discovered a way to bind cloth without hooks or buttons-Velcro. essentially refer to the same concept. In this book, disruptive or radical technology will
The black residue that clings to oil rig pumps was not considered to have any value, but be used to refer to technology that derives from new knowledge and displaces previous
chemist Robert Chesebrough decided to try to extract something of value from it and technologies and sustaining or incremental technology to refer to technologies based
succeeded in reducing the black goop to a white jelly. He named the new product on existing knowledge.
Vaseline. It has become one of the most successful products in history, being used as
hair tonic, a salve, and fish bait. Creativity and the invention process will be addressed SUSTAINING VERSUS DISRUPTIVE MODEL OF INNOVATION
in more detail in Chapter 2. The sustaining versus disruptive model of innovation was developed by Clayton
Christensen of Harvard in his work identifying innovations that are paradigm
THE ROLE OF BASIC RESEARCH IN INVENTION shifters-those that radically change the way we do things.2011)ese paradigm-shifting
AND INNOVATION innovations are disruptive technologies. A sustaining technology is compatible with
existing standards and addresses current needs in the market, whereas a disruptive
Research driven solely by curiosity, unfettered by existing technology, is quickly technology makes existing standards obsolete and addresses future needs. Disruptive
becoming rare. Years ago, major corporations funded institutes or entire divisions technologies represent not a simple change from one technology to another, but a radi-
devoted to basic research. One notable example was Bell Telephone Laboratories, cal change at a systemic level with far-reaching implications. These technologies come
which invented the transistor in 1947 as a result of theoretical and experimental inves- about when the needs of the customer can no longer be met inside the current technol-
tigations into the properties of semiconductors. The period from the late 1950s to the ogy parameters, and they are successful only when the change they bring about pro-
mid-1980s has been called a golden era for academic research. People came from all duces significant improvements in features, benefits, and costs.21
over the world to study and conduct research in the United States.18 Historically, disruptive technologies only came along once every couple of decades .... _
Today, however, most of the major corporate research units no longer exist or do or so, but today these technologies appear on an almost annual basis. Christensen
not devote the bulk of their efforts to basic research. Basic research is frequently noted that a critical differentiating factor between disruptive technologies and sustain-
bypassed in favor of applied research with shorter time frames. This change is largely ing technologies is that the latter tend to be more profitable earlier for their inventors
driven by the availability of massive amounts of capital and "media hype that show- because they are more easily absorbed into the market as they are based on technolo-
cases researchers who have scored major successes in the entrepreneurial world. It is gies that customers already understand. Curiously, disruptive technologies often do not
no wonder then that the federal government is the dominant financial supporter of reap their full value until they achieve mass-market acceptance. They are typically
basic research as it is not constrained by time. In fact, the time lines on many research characterized as cheaper, smaller, simpler, and more convenient than the existing tech-
grants far exceed the market viability of the technology, particularly in the information nologies. However, these pioneering products often display poor performance. When
technology area. However, even government entities are feeling the pressure to Sony introduced its battery-powered transistor radio in the late 1950s, it produced a
respond more quickly to the market. For example, the National Science Foundation very poor quality of sound by any standard, but it served the needs of the early
(NSF), a primary supporter of academic research, now demands that research projects. adopters, teenagers who wanted to listen to the new rock-and-roll music out of earshot
not only be of high interest, quality, and importance, but that they demonstrate the of their parents. Over time, the transistor radio became cheaper, smaller, and produced
solution to a societal need or goal. Chapter 9 explores the resources for R&D and a better quality of sound.
looks more closely at the role of basic research in the technology transfer and com- Sustaining technologies improve on existing technologies, most often in the area of
mercialization process.. performance. Each generation of Palm's successful PDA bas improved on the previous
version in terms of performance. However, the PalmPilot was not the pioneer in the
DEFINING INNOVATION PDA market. The Apple Newton MessagePad, a disruptive technology designed to be
Invention is often a random and unpredictable process, whereas innovation.is a man- an alternative to paper daily organizers, pioneered the PDA market. It performed
ageable process that turns an invention into something useful having commercial poorly and consequently never reached the required mass-market acceptance.
value.19 In the past, innovation typically involved the design of new products. Today, it Once mass acceptance has been achieved, disruptive technologies ultimately have a
has taken on a much broader definition. Now, innovation is also about creating new positive impact on the economy, producing new categories of products and services, not
ways of doing things, and may include the development of new processes or distribu- to mention new companies and many jobs. However, in their early stages, disruptive
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TMc;"' S;ft-
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everything that came before it obsolete, as some might suggest. Louis Gerstner, Jr., the opens the door to genetic therapies targeted at an individual's specific genetic makeup
CEO who turned around a failing IBM, claims that the "Internet is going to be remem- and ultimately to the ability to cure the most devastating of diseases. At the same time,
bered a lot like the way we see the importance of the electric motor today-it was first it invites opportunity in ethically challenging areas such as human cloning that will
used in heavy industries, but eventually it was absorbed and adopted by every indus- have to be dealt with in the coming decades.
try."29 The Internet will change the way much of business is transacted, but it does not As a result of the Human Genome Project, hundreds of business opportunities
allow business people to forget all the fundamentals of good business practice. have been created. Companies such as PE Biosystems Group and Qiagen make equip-
According to Gerstner, superior businesses today will result from technology leader- ment that genomics companies use to sequence and assemble genes. Diagnostic labo-
ship and operational leadership, not an Internet presence. ratories see opportunities in gene-based diagnostic tests. Drug makers are counting on
Three disruptive technologies that will affect innovation and opportunity in every the ability to make more effective medicines by tailoring them to a patient's genetic
industry for the foreseeable future are the Human Genome Project, nanotechnology, profile. However, despite all of these opportunities, it will probably take up to a decade
and wireless technology. or more for most companies to realize profits from these scientific discoveries.
Arguably the most important scientific finding of the 1990s was the mapping of the Another major scientific advance is nanotechnology. Nanotechnology comprises those
human genome, which was announced in June 2000. Two teams of researchers, one pri- technologies that operate in the nanometer area of scale. Nano is a term used by scien-
vate, one government-funded, found that humans have only about 30,000 genes, far tists to refer to 1 billionth (10·9) of a metric unit. This means that 1 nanometer is 1 bil-
fewer than originally thought. Surprisingly, they also discovered that genetic differ- lionth of a meter, or 1 millionth of a millimeter.31 Try to imagine storing the data from
ences between any two people are relatively small. The mapping of the human genome five high-density floppy disks on a thousandth of a millimeter. Or, consider that
10 nanometers are 1,000 times smaller than the diameter of a human hair.
As with many great scientific discoveries in the past, the new emphasis on nano-
technology was born out of a need-in this case, to develop a nonsilicon chip. Why is it
.:+ Are We Heading Toward a Nano Economy? necessary to develop a nonsilicon chip? The reason stems from the fact that over the
As recently as 5 years ago, uanotechnology, engineering and science at the mole- past 35 years the number of transistors on a single chip has increased 5,000 times, from
cular level, was considered on the edge, not quite equivalent to the paranormal 2,300 in 1971 to 10.5 million on the Pentium III processor.32 Trying to pack that many
phenomena that form the basis of the television series The XiFiles, but close. In transistors on a single silicon chip has become a very costly process. Replacing the sili-""
the not-so-distant past, nanotechnology was seen as possible, but not likely to con chip with less expensive molecular computing components may be a way to reduce
become a reality for decades. However, in a world where everything seems to be the financial barriers faced by the microprocessor industry. Some research suggests
moving faster, nanotechno1ogy has become a commercial reality-at least to the that future generations of molecular machines will actually build themselves by grow-
-many entrepreneurs who have chosen to start ventures in that area and believe in ing complex lattices of crystals.33 Scientists at UCLA, in conjunction with Hewlett-
its commercial viability. Packard Laboratories, have created a crude prototype of what will be a computer
Bob Gower, a former chemical industry executive, and Richard Smalley, the based on exotic molecules, rather than silicon, that is expected to lead to microproces-
199.6 Nobel Prize-winning chemist who discovered fullerenes, a new class of car- sors that are billions of times more powerful and compact than today's most advanced
bon compounds, have founded Carbon Nantechnologies Inc. (CNI) to produce chips. Nanotechnology is clearly opening the door to a wealth of innovation.
and market carbon nanotubes (pipe-shaped molecules), a type of fullerene that
holds extraordinary electrical and heat conducting properties. Nanotubes can be WIRELESS TECHNOLOGY
.bundled together to form fiber that is 100 times stronger than steel. Gower and
Smalley have the potential to create nanowires and transistors in ultradense inte- It all started with the cellular telephone. Then came the cellular modem, the digital
grated circuits, which can be used in such things as flat-panel displays and in alphanumeric pager, and the PDA with-wireless access to the Internet. Today, anyone
electromagnetic shielding for cell phones.-" See www.cnanotech.cotn for more can check inventory levels, monitor shipping progress, send and receive e-mail, or buy
on CNI. and sell stock transparently with the help of a Web-enabled cell phone or PDA.
In another area of nanotechnology, BioFcirce Laboratory, Inc. has become The worldwide market for wireless applications is predicted to grow from $10 bil-
the leading developer of next-generation, ultraminiaturized laboratory tools for . lion today to $74 billion by 2005.34 Nokia, Motorola, and Ericsson dominate the mobile
labs working at the molecular level in the area ofdisease identification and diag- phone market with about 53 percent of worldwide sales. However, Web-enabled hand-
nostics as well as drug and gene therapy development. See www.bioforcelab.com held devices are just the beginning. One MIT graduate, Alex Lightman, founder of
for more on BioForce Laboratory, Inc. Charmed Technology, believes that people will become walking Internet portals
through wearable wireless tecbnology.35 Charmed Technology produces everything
JiL& a ***¥
14 PART! THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION
CHAPTER 1 INNOVATION AND COMMERCIALIZATION
15
from a dizital business card that reads and stores data from other business cards to the which is why at some point the benefits to customers of incremental innovations
more cutting edge wearable wireless computer kit. Lightman believes that_ wireless decline and the potential for acceptance of a radically new innovation increases.
technology is an extension of the senses that permits an individual to have an mterface
RAPIDLY (HANGING TECHNOLOGY
with everything wherever they go. . .
Certainly there are a multitude of devices and applications bem~ developed that With the marginal cost of added technology capability being very small, many
will take advantage of the freedom of wireless commumcaticn, including the ability to companies seek to compete by adding more and more capability to their products.
construct a business LAN without having to wire a building.At this point, the real chal- However, customers are not willing to pay for "bells and whistles" that do not satisfy
lenge to rapid growth of the wireless industry is the lack of agreement on an industry- a specific need just because those enhancements are technologically available. Cus-
wide communications standard. tomers do not purchase the technology per se, but rather the solution to a particular
The three disruptive technologies discussed here, in combination with the Internet, problem-the benefit of the technology. To compete, successful companies must not
are having an impact on the economy and society in ways that may not be understood only produce innovative technologies and their associated products, they must also
for years to come. Both disruptive and sustaining technologies emerge from a process develop innovative processes that are integrated with their products, making it difficult
that requires creation, invention, and innovation. for a competitor lo produce at the same quality level and at the same cost.
SHRINKING PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT T!MELINES
STIMULATING INNOVATION A new product no longer has a long life cycle before it becomes obsolete. Where
50 years ago a new tool would have an 18-year life and a new toy would have a 16-year
Whether the subject is sustaining or disruptive technology, successful innovat(on life, today those life cycles have shrunk to 5 years.38 These shortened product life cycles
comes only after intense questioning of existing products and patterns, and go1~g are forcing companies to innovate constantly just to stay ahead of the game. They are
beyond the limits of existing capabilities. Sustaining or incremental mnova_t1on will also effectively shortening the temporary monopoly enjoyed by companies with pro-
meet customer needs for a time, but it must be supplemented by periods of d1s_rupt1ve prietary technology.
or radical innovation.I" Therefore, creating a company culture that encourages mnova-
tion is critical to long-term success in the marketplace. In addition to the availability of.
capital, innovation is stimulated by four fundamental factors:37 EFFECT OF INNOVATiON ON COMPANY SUCCESS
• Globalization Today, new products account for an average of 33 percent of company sales revenues.'?
• Sophisticated customers in fragmented markets Success in technology ventures has been measured by market share, stock value, return ··-· -
• Widely diversified and changing technologies on investment, profit, and even survival in the case of new ventures. First-mover advan-
• Shrinking cycle times tage is also considered a measure of success in the commercialization process. First
movers derive their advantage by securing intellectual property protection, specifically
These factors will be considered in more detail. patents, on a particular technology, or by preempting others from gaining access to
resources by recognizing and controlling a scarce resource-retail shelf space, key
GLOBALIZATION
The number of companies competing in the global marketplace has been increas- °
location, limited raw materials, or skilled labor-before others see its value.4 First-
ing dramatically since the 1980s. When global expansion is combmed _with the fact mover advantage will be discussed in Chapter 12 when entry and growth strategies are
that most new products come from products already 111 the market, it is easy to see considered, but suffice it to say here that first-mover has its disadvantages as well.
why the marketplace has become so competitive. Companies from every part of the Second movers often benefit from the pioneer's work and are able to develop around
world are imposing their standards on products and processes and a technology com- the protected technology without incurring the heavy costs of basic research. The sec-
pany must be ready to respond rapidly to threats _that ma_y Come from a COmpet_1tm I~ ond mover also is free from the costs and delays associated with compatibility issues
another part of the world. As competition has intensified, so has the potential for with complementary products.41 One study found a negative correlation between
innovation. R&D intensity and success, that is, the greater the investment in R&D, the less chance
of success.V Therefore, it appears that the uniqueness of a technology in and of itself
SOPHISTICATED CUSTOMERS does not determine success but rather the ability to successfully commercialize that
Customers whether consumers or businesses, have so many choices today that technology in the market.
innovators find' they need to differentiate their products on many.levels just to co_rn- However, a more recent study has confirmed that even though first-mover advan-
pete, Customers demand superior performance and value-based pnc~ng as the startmg tage does not indicate success in the Jong term, it does give the firm an advantage in
point for competitive advantage. Innovators must exceed those cntena, surpassmg cus- seeking funding and also provides an initial quiet period or temporary monopoly dur-
tomer expectations to stand out from the crowd. Moreover, customers are savvy about ing which to establish a foothold in the market and build brand loyalty before having
technology and the value or lack of it when it comes to incremental improvements, to deal with direct competitors.f
16 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION CHAPTER 1 INNOVATION AND COMMERCIALIZATION 17
Yet another of the determinants of success with new products is the ability to phenomenon that occurs when something new is discovered. From this discovery
effectively navigate the innovation and commercialization process. This issue will be comes an invention that has the potential to produce applications in a variety of differ-
taken up in the next section. ent contexts. The invention and innovation portion of the process will be discussed in
more depth in Chapter 2.
OPPORTUNITY RECOGNITION
OVERY EW OIF THIE HN OVATKON Inventing a new device or process or innovating on an existing one is important, but that
AND COMMERCIALIZA
TION process alone will not produce an opportunity. An opportunity is the intersection of an
PROCESS idea and a market need or space. It is often reflected in a business concept statement
that describes the product/process, the customer/end-user for the technology, the bene-
The innovation and commercialization process is not linear. In fact, it moves more like a
fits and applications of the technology, and the distribution strategy. This concept state-
pinball machine-taking off in one direction until it hits a snag, then bouncing off in
ment will provide a basis for testing the feasibility of the opportunity in the market.
another direction.This chaotic process continues until the goal is achieved. Innovation is
Chapter 3 discusses opportunity recognition and concept development in more detail.
an iterative process where the inventor learns from his mistakes. and builds on that
learning. Figure 1-1 depicts the innovation and commercialization process as ca.te-
zories of activities. Within each category are many nonlinear, often chaotic activities. PROTECTING INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY ASSETS
Toe broad categories will be discussed briefly here and in more detail in the chapters to Early in the invention and innovation process, the inventor will need to find ways to
follow. A more elaborate commercialization process will be introduced later in the book. protect the intellectual property (IP) assets that are being created. Many inventors fail
to realize how important it is to legally protect their work so that they have the option
INVENTING AND INNOVATING to apply for a patent or other form of IP at the appropriate time. The protection of
innovative ideas and inventions is critical to successful commercialization. However,
The invention and innovation process generally consists of four broad categories of
determining which type of protection to choose and which strategy will best meet
activities: connection, discovery, invention, and application .. Briefly, connection involves commercialization goals is also vital. Part II of this book addresses intellectual prop-
recognizing a relationship that might lead to a discovery, which is the "ah ha" or "eureka!" erty issues.
rFl~URE.1:1 THE INNOVATION AND (OMME;C;ALIZ~TION Ptwciss . REACHING THE FIRST CRITICAL DECISION POINT:
WHETHER TO PATENT
Invention & Protecting Intellectual
Opportunity
1Jnn°'1ation Recognition
Property Assets TI1e first critical decision point is whether to seek patent protection for the invention or inno-
Connection Patents vation, assuming the technology qualifies according to the requirements of the U S. Patent
Discovery Trademarks
Idea + Customer Need = Copyrights and Trademark Office (PTO). Three questions must be answered at this juncture.
Invention Business Concept
Application Trade Secrets
• Does the technology appear to be a feasible design?
Critical
Decision
• Is a patent necessary to the successful commercialization of the technology?
Point • Does the technology meet the PTO requirements?
For some products, getting a patent will take longer than the window of opportu-
nity will allow. For others, a patent will provide a brief quiet period to enter the market
without competitors. After deciding whether or not to patent, the inventor will also
Developing Product have to develop a prototype and determine if the product is technically feasible. TI1e
The Development
Business Prototyping patent process will be discussed in Chapter 5.
Business Development. Technology Feasibility
Business Plan · Alpha Testing
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT, PROTOTYPING,
AND TECHNOLOGY FEASIBILITY
Every new product goes through a design, development, and prototyping phase during
Launching the which the feasibility of the technology is tested. Today, designing right the first time,
Business shortening the time to market, prototyping early, and outsourcing noncore capabilities
, - ---...--..1- . : --· ~ . . . . ., ,.;,. , __ . __.. -~ -··-·. ·- - - . . . ......r.~'>l . .
Once a business concept is judged to be feasible and the decision has been made to The Inventor Platform Sometimes a company is formed around a creative genius
create a company, it is necessary to develop the infrastructure for the business. This is typi- who carries the vision for the company and without whom the company would have no
cally accomplished by preparing a comprehensive business plan that documents the purpose. In reality, the sole purpose of the company is to serve as a creative platform
operations of the business, policies, a marketing and growth plan, and a complete set of for the ideas and inventions of its founder. One could argue that Microsoft exists for
financial statements, as well as updated industry; market, and team analyses from the fea- the sole purpose of developing and propagating the technology ideas of its founder,
sibility study. Business development also entails setting up the legal structure of the busi- Bill Gates. Certainly, that was true of Polaroid for Edwin Land, its founder. General
ness and the distribution of equity to the shareholders. If the inventor/entrepreneur is Electric was founded out of the genius of Thomas Edison, who developed the light
seeking outside capital, negotiations with investors will also take place. The inventor/ bulb and then handed the invention off to people who could build a company infra-
entrepreneur will need to negotiate with strategic partners to implement certain areas of structure around it and commercialize it. Business models and how to structure the
the business plan. Preparing a business plan is the subject of Chapter 15. most effective one for a particular situation will be the subject of Chapter 8.
The process of taking an invention from idea to business concept to ma~·k~t- •!• .INTERNET RESOURCES
technology commercialization-faces a unique set of challenges and opportunities 111 a Blueprint of the Body E-Business Research Center
fast-paced market. Products must be developed faster, prototyped earlier, and_ brought www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/2000/genome! www.cio.com
to market in record time. Small entrepreneurial companies are 111 a good pos1t1011 to do CNN special report on the Human Genome Good source of e-commerce case studies
tbat as they tend to be more flexible and fast lo respond to environmental changes. In Project
22 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION
23
2.4 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION
CHAPTER 1 INNOVATION AND COMMERCIALIZATION 25
Dunlevie's firm, Sutter Hill Ventures, and Tandy, ters that would enable the software to better
Hawkins and Dubinsky face the challenge of dif- wonder bow they can do a better job of finding
Hawkins was able to raise $1.3 million to fund his understand their handwriting. As a result, Graffiti
ferentiating themselves in ways that are valuable the gaps in the market before their competitors
new venture. was born. Hawkins also believed that the device
to customers and that create new value. They find them. !"JI
Hawkins was wise enough to realize that his should be small enough to fit in a shirt pocket.
strength was as the idea person, so to make sure This time they were not going to make the
that the business was run properly, he hired same mistakes. Hawkins and Dubinsky formed a Sources: Adapted from Pat Dillon, "The Next Small Thing," Fast Company, 15 (June 1998): 97; Pat Dillon,
Donna Dubinsky, a Yale graduate who ran Apple virtual company and outsourced hardware "TI1is Is Jeff Hawkins on Brains," Fast Company, 15, (June 1998): 104; Pat Dillon, "Exit Interview: Jeff
Computer's distribution network. T11e success of design and manufacturing. However, funding for Hawkins, Inventor of the PalmPilot," Palml'ower, August 1998 (www.palmpowacorn);
www.handspring.com; Stephanie Miles, "Palm Cofouncler Shares Design Philosophy," Cnet News,
PalmPilot can be attributed in large part to the marketing was a problem. Dubinsky figured they
October 20, 1999 (www.cnet.com/newsl); www.palm.com.
success of the partnership between Jeff Hawkins would need $5 million to properly launch this
and Donna Dubinsky. They had compatible product, which they were calling "Touch-
strengths and usually agreed, but they were not down." Raising that amount was difficult, and the •:• NOTES
free from mistakes. young company soon found itself in dire straits
In the early days, they took on several big financially. Dubinsky frantically looked for a l. Clayton Christensen, The Innovator's 15. "10 Emerging Technologies TI1at Will Change
partners: Casio to manufacture the hanclheld potential strategic partner with enough synergy Dilemma (Boston: Harvard Business School the World," MIT Technology Review (January-
device, Geoworks to provide the operating sys- to make the deal worthwhile. She finally found Press, 1997), 208-211. February 2001). www.techreview.com.
tem, Intuit to provide personal financial soft- that partner in U.S. Robotics, the fast-growing 2. R. N. Foster, "Managing Technological 16. Andrzej M. Pawlak, "Fostering Creativity in
ware, and America Online as the Internet Service modem manufacturer. U.S. Robotics was trying Innovation for the Next 25 Years," Research- the New Millennium," Research-Technology
Provider. The problem came when they discov- to make its way into Silicon Valley, and Palm Technology Management 43, 1 (January- Management 43, no.6 (November/December
ered that a committee of all the partners was offered a solution. Hawkins and Dubinsky February 2000): 29. 2000): 32.
making every decision, both major and minor. wanted $5 million in cash, but U.S. Robotics sur- 3. Greg A. Stevens and James Burley, "3,000 17. Leonard S. Cutler, "Creativity: Essential to
Consequently, it is no surprise that their first prised them with an offer to buy Palm. After Raw Ideas= 1 Commercial Success!" Technological Innovation," Research-
product, Zoomer PDA, bombed. It was big, much debate, the partners agreed to become a Research-Technology Management Technology Management 43, no. 6
expensive, and terribly slow. The only fortunate division of U.S. Robotics for $44 million in stock, (May-June 1997). (November/December 2000).
outcome of their first failure was that it was not and Touchdown became the Pilot. The first 4. NASDAQ, November 1998 to November 1999. www.iriinc.org/webirilindex.cfin.
the first PDA in the market. Apple had released PalmPilots shipped in April 1996 and by mid- 5. www.gene.com/gene!about!co1porate!history/ 18. Marinus Los, "Creativity and Technological
its Newton MessagePad 2 months before, and the summer, it was impossible to keep up with timeline/1980.jsp Innovation in the United States," Research- ..
hype over it and subsequent ridicule over its inef- demand. 6. Paul Romer, "Increasing Returns and Long- Technology Management 43, no. 6
fectiveness overshadowed Zoomer's faults. When 3Com, the network hardware com- Run Growth," Journal of Political Economy (November/December 2000).
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Hawkins and Dubinsky decided to conduct in- Dubinsky found themselves once again in a 7. Michael J. Manciel, "The Next Downturn," 19. William L. Mil.ler and Langdon Morris, 4th
depth interviews with Zoomer users. What they very large company. These two entrepreneurs, Business Week (October 9, 2000): Generation. R&D (New York: John Wiley &
learned changed the entire direction of the com- who enjoy the small company environment, www.businessweelc.co111!2000IOO_ 41/ Sons, 1999), pp. 1-4.
pany. T11ey learned that people were not purchas- decided to leave 3Com to build a brand new com- b3702001.htm. 20. Christensen, The Innovator's Dilemma.
ing a PDA as a replacement for the computer, but pany and a new type of PDA geared toward the 8. 111e Human Genome Project, U.S. 21. Miller and Morris, 4th Generation R&D, 8.
to replace paper, the daily paper record keeper consumer rather than the businessperson. In Department of Energy, www.oml.gov/hgmis/. 22. Andrew Grove, Only the Paranoid Survive
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sible feat because it meant that the software had lot of unnecessary bells and whistles. They now The Beginning of a Great Adventure," The Radical Product Innovation," Iournal of
to recognize millions of different combinations find themselves in the strange position of licens- Economist (September 23, 2000) Vol. 356, Marketing 64, no. 3 (July 2000) pp.1-17.
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and ask the customer to learn a few easy charac- In what is quickly becoming a crowded market, (Cambridge, MA: Perseus, 2001), 3. 1980): 52-58.
26 PART I THE FOUNDATIONS OF TECHNOLOGY COMMERCIALIZATION
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Companies Can Outsmart Upstarts, 4. 1997 PDMA Report (Chicago: Product
27. Kathleen Conner, "Strategies for Product Development & Management Associa-
Cannibalism," Strategic Management tion, 1997).
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28. Robert Gordon, "Does the New Economy Mover Advantage," Strategic Management
Measure Up to the Great Inventions of the Journal 9 (1988): 41-58.
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no. 14 (Fall 2000) 49-74. Effects of an Inventive Idea on the Success
29. Robert Buderi, "What New Economy." MIT of a Firm," unpublished paper prepared for
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32. J. R. Heath. P. J. Kuekes, G. S. Snider, and Mover Disadvantages: Retrospective and
R. S. Williams, "A Defect-Tolerant Com- Link with the Resource-Based View,"
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33. Ibid., pp. 716-721. Technology (Upper Saclc!Je River, NJ:
34. Doug Harper, "A Wireless Frontier," Prentice Hall, 1990).
www.manufacturing.net/ind/ Industrial 45. R. Kanter, "Supporting Innovation and
Distribution (December 2000). Venture Development in Established
35. Hans Ibold, "Wireless Wearables," Los Companies," Journal of Business Venturing 1
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www.labusinessjournal.com/. 46. Jim Collins, "Built to Flip," Fast Company
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37. K. Clark and T. Fujimoto, Product 47. Ibid.
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38. Christoph von Braun, "The Acceleration
Trap," Sloan Management Review 32, no.1
(Fall 1990): 49.