MODELO DE INFLACIÓN EN UNA ECONOMÍA CERRADA

MERCADO DE DINERO
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.9787153
Coeficiente 0.95788364
R^2 ajustado 0.95723067
Error típico 0.13156796
Observacione 132

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 50.7869236 25.3934618 1466.97132 1.8927E-89
Residuos 129 2.23300655 0.01731013
Total 131 53.0199301

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción -3.8647966 0.26078869 -14.819648 1.2456E-29 -4.3807734 -3.3488198 -4.3807734
LN(Yt) 2.99228981 0.05766624 51.8898042 2.7062E-88 2.87819575 3.10638388 2.87819575
it 0.00082671 0.00937227 0.08820839 0.92984784 -0.0177165 0.01936997 -0.0177165
Superior 95.0%
-3.3488198
3.10638388
0.01936997
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.9787153
Coeficiente 0.95788364
R^2 ajustado 0.95723067
Error típico 0.13156796
Observacione 132

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 50.7869236 25.3934618 1466.97132 1.8927E-89
Residuos 129 2.23300655 0.01731013
Total 131 53.0199301

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 9.95071393 0.26078869 38.1562333 3.9527E-72 9.43473713 10.4666907 9.43473713
LN(Yt) 2.99228981 0.05766624 51.8898042 2.7062E-88 2.87819575 3.10638388 2.87819575
it 0.00082671 0.00937227 0.08820839 0.92984784 -0.0177165 0.01936997 -0.0177165
Superior 95.0%
10.4666907
3.10638388
0.01936997
Año Mes PBI global DA i- expectativa Mt
2003 Enero 10,588.98 10588984000 23.083 0.007 6215.220
2003 Febrero 10,239.98 10239984000 23.050 0.007 6187.096
2003 Marzo 10,799.43 10799428000 23.103 0.005 6269.409
2003 Abril 11,729.94 11729940000 23.185 0.005 6292.918
2003 Mayo 12,177.96 12177964000 23.223 0.001 6378.182
2003 Junio 11,713.83 11713827000 23.184 0.000 6391.000
2003 Julio 11,338.19 11338193000 23.151 -0.001 6493.501
2003 Agosto 10,610.92 10610922000 23.085 -0.001 6593.120
2003 Setiembre 10,548.70 10548697000 23.079 -0.001 6627.601
2003 Octubre 10,909.33 10909328000 23.113 -0.002 6677.676
2003 Noviembre 10,684.70 10684704000 23.092 -0.004 6770.536
2003 Diciembre 11,202.88 11202879000 23.139 -0.002 6902.063
2004 Enero 10,933.29 10933291000 23.115 0.000 7012.780
2004 Febrero 10,683.12 10683117000 23.092 0.002 7131.119
2004 Marzo 11,432.11 11432107000 23.160 0.004 7237.396
2004 Abril 12,248.62 12248619000 23.229 0.005 7377.573
2004 Mayo 12,665.55 12665547000 23.262 0.005 7561.744
2004 Junio 11,991.11 11991112000 23.207 0.005 7689.954
2004 Julio 11,689.13 11689125000 23.182 0.005 7737.163
2004 Agosto 11,151.47 11151474000 23.135 0.005 7737.795
2004 Setiembre 11,069.71 11069712000 23.127 0.005 7960.382
2004 Octubre 11,351.14 11351140000 23.153 0.005 8147.222
2004 Noviembre 11,736.21 11736212000 23.186 0.005 8327.644
2004 Diciembre 12,189.80 12189795000 23.224 0.005 8537.789
2005 Enero 11,567.69 11567691000 23.171 0.006 8748.860
2005 Febrero 11,617.76 11617760000 23.176 0.007 8942.052
2005 Marzo 11,900.57 11900568000 23.200 0.006 9075.294
2005 Abril 12,856.20 12856202000 23.277 0.008 9389.296
2005 Mayo 13,543.96 13543962000 23.329 0.010 9649.471
2005 Junio 12,865.01 12865010000 23.278 0.013 9865.391
2005 Julio 12,508.03 12508026000 23.250 0.015 10104.021
2005 Agosto 11,993.96 11993963000 23.208 0.018 10264.124
2005 Setiembre 11,810.88 11810877000 23.192 0.019 10422.354
2005 Octubre 12,164.73 12164733000 23.222 0.020 10595.901
2005 Noviembre 12,725.44 12725441000 23.267 0.020 10715.690
2005 Diciembre 13,085.76 13085758000 23.295 0.021 10857.315
2006 Enero 12,282.85 12282845000 23.231 0.021 11113.730
2006 Febrero 12,325.33 12325331000 23.235 0.021 11088.209
2006 Marzo 13,254.90 13254902000 23.308 0.022 11194.926
2006 Abril 13,504.58 13504580000 23.326 0.024 11335.120
2006 Mayo 14,321.93 14321925000 23.385 0.025 11191.477
2006 Junio 13,721.54 13721539000 23.342 0.026 11303.781
2006 Julio 13,480.72 13480717000 23.325 0.027 11431.480
2006 Agosto 13,277.37 13277370000 23.309 0.026 11644.147
2006 Setiembre 12,856.40 12856402000 23.277 0.026 11843.653
2006 Octubre 13,354.75 13354753000 23.315 0.025 11987.096
2006 Noviembre 13,600.80 13600804000 23.333 0.027 12256.287
2006 Diciembre 14,164.30 14164296000 23.374 0.025 12678.159
2007 Enero 13,480.55 13480553000 23.325 0.028 13054.630
2007 Febrero 13,369.84 13369837000 23.316 0.026 13323.497
2007 Marzo 14,281.97 14281971000 23.382 0.023 13522.935
2007 Abril 14,522.22 14522217000 23.399 0.022 13748.151
2007 Mayo 15,800.90 15800904000 23.483 0.020 13937.071
2007 Junio 14,776.86 14776855000 23.416 0.016 14321.142
2007 Julio 14,771.93 14771932000 23.416 0.015 14393.096
2007 Agosto 14,219.48 14219478000 23.378 0.013 14726.645
2007 Setiembre 14,074.81 14074811000 23.368 0.017 15036.939
2007 Octubre 14,807.59 14807587000 23.418 0.019 15307.872
2007 Noviembre 14,821.07 14821067000 23.419 0.017 15732.759
2007 Diciembre 15,420.79 15420794000 23.459 0.016 16099.515
2008 Enero 14,955.42 14955417000 23.428 0.019 17853.287
2008 Febrero 15,003.48 15003477000 23.432 0.022 18734.000
2008 Marzo 15,264.01 15264011000 23.449 0.024 19635.649
2008 Abril 16,558.87 16558870000 23.530 0.028 22511.774
2008 Mayo 17,054.60 17054595000 23.560 0.030 22835.782
2008 Junio 16,656.89 16656887000 23.536 0.031 22432.852
2008 Julio 16,342.89 16342886000 23.517 0.030 22412.689
2008 Agosto 15,718.63 15718626000 23.478 0.022 22324.588
2008 Setiembre 15,754.50 15754501000 23.480 0.012 22606.924
2008 Octubre 16,099.84 16099835000 23.502 0.007 22521.983
2008 Noviembre 15,725.89 15725888000 23.479 -0.003 21937.892
2008 Diciembre 16,231.59 16231589000 23.510 -0.010 21351.062
2009 Enero 15,383.66 15383659000 23.457 -0.006 20906.562
2009 Febrero 15,016.37 15016372000 23.432 -0.006 20457.711
2009 Marzo 15,659.18 15659175000 23.474 -0.007 20415.416
2009 Abril 16,267.02 16267016000 23.512 -0.009 19901.310
2009 Mayo 17,171.23 17171231000 23.567 -0.009 19920.866
2009 Junio 16,183.03 16183031000 23.507 -0.010 20119.706
2009 Julio 16,148.77 16148771000 23.505 -0.010 20455.560
2009 Agosto 15,679.61 15679609000 23.476 -0.013 20560.464
2009 Setiembre 15,783.50 15783495000 23.482 -0.010 20632.122
2009 Octubre 16,332.85 16332848000 23.516 -0.008 20774.940
2009 Noviembre 16,316.50 16316495000 23.515 -0.005 21124.406
2009 Diciembre 17,052.12 17052123000 23.560 -0.001 21735.822
2010 Enero 15,978.20 15978203000 23.494 0.003 22139.436
2010 Febrero 15,867.68 15867678000 23.488 0.005 22482.057
2010 Marzo 17,057.51 17057506000 23.560 0.005 22818.365
2010 Abril 17,768.50 17768497000 23.601 0.005 23322.871
2010 Mayo 18,681.24 18681240000 23.651 0.004 23891.469
2010 Junio 18,133.30 18133299000 23.621 0.006 24546.620
2010 Julio 17,619.89 17619887000 23.592 0.007 25663.892
2010 Agosto 17,133.89 17133885000 23.564 0.008 26917.886
2010 Setiembre 17,366.30 17366303000 23.578 0.010 27837.619
2010 Octubre 17,718.54 17718536000 23.598 0.012 29883.249
2010 Noviembre 17,980.67 17980673000 23.613 0.013 31023.433
2010 Diciembre 18,580.45 18580445000 23.645 0.013 31808.098
2011 Enero 17,513.77 17513765000 23.586 0.014 32253.936
2011 Febrero 17,194.68 17194680000 23.568 0.015 32853.598
2011 Marzo 18,378.76 18378756000 23.634 0.014 33410.994
2011 Abril 19,131.56 19131558000 23.675 0.013 34256.596
2011 Mayo 20,053.53 20053529000 23.722 0.014 34710.943
2011 Junio 19,139.06 19139059000 23.675 0.016 35572.381
2011 Julio 18,812.71 18812707000 23.658 0.016 35483.577
2011 Agosto 18,443.26 18443263000 23.638 0.014 36160.845
2011 Setiembre 18,319.40 18319395000 23.631 0.012 36892.360
2011 Octubre 18,715.47 18715469000 23.653 0.013 37097.979
2011 Noviembre 18,836.96 18836958000 23.659 0.014 37214.782
2011 Diciembre 19,764.20 19764195000 23.707 0.014 38138.570
2012 Enero 18,469.12 18469122000 23.639 0.014 39054.823
2012 Febrero 18,388.90 18388896000 23.635 0.014 40862.424
2012 Marzo 19,425.61 19425613000 23.690 0.015 41754.618
2012 Abril 20,010.43 20010430000 23.720 0.017 42441.694
2012 Mayo 21,486.04 21486040000 23.791 0.017 43544.762
2012 Junio 20,562.53 20562530000 23.747 0.017 44106.517
2012 Julio 20,231.06 20231063000 23.730 0.017 44810.532
2012 Agosto 19,639.47 19639472000 23.701 0.018 45117.165
2012 Setiembre 19,467.78 19467780000 23.692 0.018 46998.691
2012 Octubre 19,993.32 19993319000 23.719 0.018 48600.042
2012 Noviembre 20,110.71 20110711000 23.725 0.017 50470.388
2012 Diciembre 20,616.47 20616473000 23.749 0.017 50665.426
2013 Enero 19,703.30 19703296000 23.704 0.016 52592.499
2013 Febrero 19,329.35 19329353000 23.685 0.016 54613.994
2013 Marzo 19,917.16 19917155000 23.715 0.014 55267.371
2013 Abril 21,576.32 21576318000 23.795 0.013 56556.296
2013 Mayo 22,516.76 22516756000 23.838 0.014 56439.375
2013 Junio 21,461.01 21461007000 23.790 0.014 56487.869
2013 Julio 21,181.75 21181747000 23.776 0.013 56404.283
2013 Agosto 20,506.78 20506779000 23.744 0.013 56336.883
2013 Setiembre 20,330.45 20330453000 23.735 0.012 54561.360
2013 Octubre 21,087.31 21087312000 23.772 0.012 53267.851
2013 Noviembre 21,114.86 21114860000 23.773 0.010 53610.544
2013 Diciembre 21,648.84 21648844000 23.798 0.009 52493.388
LN(Mt) Pt LN(Pt) Yt Pt(e) Ῡt
8.735 82.953 4.418 73.222 1.98 3768.304
8.730 83.342 4.423 71.079 2.41 3738.344
8.743 84.274 4.434 74.343 2.54 3661.915
8.747 84.231 4.434 80.668 2.63 3546.278
8.761 84.204 4.433 83.223 2.55 3551.208
8.763 83.805 4.428 80.854 2.45 3644.326
8.779 83.680 4.427 79.207 2.40 3633.550
8.794 83.692 4.427 74.212 2.13 3461.510
8.799 84.159 4.433 73.868 2.01 3630.500
8.807 84.200 4.433 77.599 2.06 3649.550
8.820 84.342 4.435 75.573 2.03 3547.276
8.840 84.817 4.440 78.010 2.00 3571.422
8.855 85.273 4.446 75.913 2.41 3620.113
8.872 86.199 4.457 74.097 2.46 3692.439
8.887 86.596 4.461 78.635 2.58 3748.497
8.906 86.576 4.461 84.094 2.63 3622.752
8.931 86.883 4.465 86.511 2.62 3726.323
8.948 87.373 4.470 83.287 2.70 3739.582
8.954 87.541 4.472 82.107 2.89 3764.096
8.954 87.533 4.472 77.515 2.98 3715.860
8.982 87.548 4.472 77.403 2.75 3658.204
9.005 87.527 4.472 79.632 2.80 3734.923
9.027 87.778 4.475 82.720 2.59 3785.804
9.052 87.770 4.475 85.650 2.50 3797.975
9.077 87.858 4.476 79.979 2.50 3581.016
9.099 87.652 4.473 80.134 2.53 3751.675
9.113 88.221 4.480 81.396 2.50 3744.324
9.147 88.326 4.481 87.073 2.50 3736.329
9.175 88.438 4.482 92.141 2.52 3712.855
9.197 88.671 4.485 88.456 2.48 3693.541
9.221 88.764 4.486 87.277 2.46 3770.783
9.236 88.604 4.484 82.989 2.45 3652.309
9.252 88.521 4.483 82.088 2.38 3728.488
9.268 88.649 4.485 84.803 2.33 3737.412
9.279 88.709 4.485 90.495 2.42 3776.973
9.293 89.081 4.490 91.546 2.50 3818.204
9.316 89.526 4.495 85.659 2.50 3685.008
9.314 90.017 4.500 84.629 2.50 3812.203
9.323 90.429 4.505 91.229 2.50 3874.851
9.336 90.890 4.510 91.778 2.50 3792.860
9.323 90.410 4.504 97.762 2.62 3662.139
9.333 90.290 4.503 95.073 2.55 3811.040
9.344 90.136 4.501 92.962 2.52 3813.785
9.363 90.262 4.503 91.555 2.45 3783.456
 9.380 90.287 4.503 88.769 2.40 3908.873
9.392 90.326 4.503 92.182 2.43 4071.079
9.414 90.071 4.501 94.787 2.32 3982.762
9.448 90.095 4.501 99.418 2.15 4070.164
9.477 90.103 4.501 89.949 1.96 3948.461
9.497 90.337 4.504 88.675 1.92 4066.503
9.512 90.652 4.507 96.717 1.85 3994.813
9.529 90.814 4.509 96.636 1.90 3925.247
9.542 91.260 4.514 104.745 1.94 4060.325
9.569 91.689 4.518 101.256 1.98 4062.466
9.575 92.125 4.523 102.535 2.06 4083.042
9.597 92.251 4.525 100.114 2.27 3999.896
9.618 92.816 4.531 100.226 2.23 3967.571
9.636 93.108 4.534 103.155 2.44 4056.525
9.664 93.211 4.535 104.111 2.71 3892.946
9.687 93.633 4.539 111.882 2.85 4125.105
9.790 93.841 4.542 98.515 3.26 3973.450
9.838 94.692 4.551 100.710 3.64 3936.981
9.885 95.679 4.561 104.115 3.78 4204.242
10.022 95.826 4.563 110.288 4.17 4061.494
10.036 96.180 4.566 112.121 3.83 4031.120
10.018 96.921 4.574 112.212 3.85 4198.926
10.017 97.459 4.579 112.321 4.33 4079.158
10.013 98.034 4.585 108.922 4.65 3950.227
10.026 98.591 4.591 110.725 4.58 4048.054
10.022 99.195 4.597 111.641 4.33 4091.721
9.996 99.502 4.600 110.655 4.10 4011.819
9.969 99.860 4.604 117.494 3.75 3934.605
9.948 99.966 4.605 103.013 3.50 3955.095
9.926 99.891 4.604 101.020 3.17 4057.180
9.924 100.251 4.608 107.122 2.96 4134.200
9.899 100.270 4.608 108.808 2.85 4197.381
9.900 100.227 4.607 114.225 2.80 4084.357
9.909 99.886 4.604 108.888 2.35 4081.648
9.926 100.073 4.606 110.718 2.27 4143.131
9.931 99.865 4.604 109.796 2.20 4033.306
9.935 99.778 4.603 110.866 1.83 4117.295
9.942 99.900 4.604 112.956 1.88 4285.877
9.958 99.789 4.603 113.624 1.97 4242.746
9.987 100.105 4.606 122.426 2.10 4332.265
10.005 100.401 4.609 106.153 2.13 4348.824
10.020 100.725 4.612 106.146 2.21 4308.607
10.035 101.008 4.615 115.834 2.28 4372.031
10.057 101.033 4.615 117.485 2.50 4275.064
10.081 101.274 4.618 123.029 2.50 4358.345
10.108 101.528 4.620 123.163 2.50 4250.628
10.153 101.897 4.624 121.894 2.52 4309.419
10.201 102.171 4.627 119.608 2.57 4419.832
10.234 102.138 4.626 122.292 2.66 4275.289
10.305 101.993 4.625 123.835 2.54 4378.833
10.342 102.002 4.625 123.761 2.50 4404.989
10.367 102.184 4.627 132.102 2.50 4337.142
10.381 102.583 4.631 116.607 2.87 4261.043
10.400 102.975 4.634 114.949 2.92 4467.619
10.417 103.698 4.641 125.022 3.08 4431.468
10.442 104.404 4.648 126.557 3.18 4389.352
10.455 104.379 4.648 130.030 3.23 4407.167
10.479 104.483 4.649 126.941 3.05 4306.963
10.477 105.311 4.657 129.393 2.93 4501.409
10.496 105.591 4.660 127.436 2.95 4409.501
10.516 105.944 4.663 128.311 2.83 4388.418
10.521 106.278 4.666 129.418 2.80 4464.719
10.524 106.736 4.670 129.645 2.88 4428.097
10.549 107.025 4.673 143.601 3.00 4528.964
10.573 106.917 4.672 122.823 2.82 4367.122
10.618 107.264 4.675 122.918 2.70 4433.125
10.640 108.086 4.683 132.131 2.70 4449.113
10.656 108.661 4.688 130.158 2.90 4413.632
10.682 108.703 4.689 138.808 3.03 4522.017
10.694 108.663 4.688 136.276 3.00 4453.820
10.710 108.762 4.689 138.551 2.86 4560.629
10.717 109.315 4.694 136.186 2.87 4411.914
10.758 109.908 4.700 136.751 2.85 4552.758
10.791 109.728 4.698 138.734 2.88 4526.885
10.829 109.577 4.697 137.252 2.73 4584.068
10.833 109.861 4.699 148.240 2.55 4588.628
10.870 109.988 4.700 130.274 2.59 4403.258
10.908 109.892 4.699 128.857 2.58 4607.167
10.920 110.887 4.709 136.602 2.56 4638.920
10.943 111.167 4.711 141.482 2.48 4590.700
10.941 111.383 4.713 144.685 2.48 4528.486
10.942 111.674 4.716 144.335 2.50 4621.277
10.940 112.287 4.721 145.943 2.51 4672.819
10.939 112.896 4.726 143.792 2.58 4528.599
10.907 113.019 4.728 143.547 2.70 4614.784
10.883 113.062 4.728 147.504 2.66 4726.446
10.890 112.816 4.726 147.501 2.63 4587.527
10.868 113.003 4.727 158.804 2.70 4663.653
LN(Ῡt) LN(Yt) it Ld LN(Ld)
8.234 4.294 2.5 7544.833 7544833434.000 22.7441289
8.226 4.264 2.75 7666.621 7666621104.000 22.7601418
8.206 4.309 2.5 7947.244 7947244413.000 22.7960911
8.174 4.390 2.75 7979.438 7979438049.000 22.8001338
8.175 4.422 2.75 7980.134 7980134209.000 22.8002211
8.201 4.393 2.75 8000.064 8000063824.000 22.8027154
8.198 4.372 2.75 8563.191 8563191418.000 22.8707388
8.149 4.307 2.75 8195.804 8195804115.000 22.8268882
8.197 4.302 2.75 8222.294 8222294056.000 22.8301151
8.202 4.352 2.75 8298.781 8298780837.000 22.8393745
8.174 4.325 2.5 8456.981 8456981359.000 22.8582581
8.181 4.357 2.5 9311.633 9311633206.000 22.9545303
8.194 4.330 2.5 8978.164 8978163578.000 22.9180612
8.214 4.305 2.5 9278.922 9278921555.000 22.9510112
8.229 4.365 2.5 9846.025 9846024937.000 23.0103337
8.195 4.432 2.5 9827.175 9827174960.000 23.0084173
8.223 4.460 2.5 9925.831 9925830781.000 23.0184064
8.227 4.422 2.5 9954.962 9954962415.000 23.021337
8.233 4.408 2.5 10387.594 10387594215.000 23.0638781
8.220 4.350 2.75 10191.520 10191520471.000 23.0448219
8.205 4.349 2.75 10251.384 10251383746.000 23.0506785
8.225 4.377 3 10849.620 10849620266.000 23.1073959
8.239 4.415 3 11065.261 11065261089.000 23.1270764
8.242 4.450 3 12419.629 12419628526.000 23.242544
8.183 4.382 3 11906.166 11906166294.000 23.2003223
8.230 4.384 3 12195.486 12195486051.000 23.2243317
8.228 4.399 3 12343.034 12343033920.000 23.2363577
8.226 4.467 3 12619.197 12619197117.000 23.2584851
8.220 4.523 3 12563.013 12563012862.000 23.2540228
8.214 4.483 3 12749.938 12749937797.000 23.2687922
8.235 4.469 3 13808.239 13808239181.000 23.3485313
8.203 4.419 3 13397.822 13397821800.000 23.318358
8.224 4.408 3 13536.742 13536741918.000 23.3286734
8.226 4.440 3 13736.518 13736517514.000 23.3433236
8.237 4.505 3 13882.060 13882060366.000 23.3538632
8.248 4.517 3.25 15488.872 15488871512.000 23.4633876
8.212 4.450 3.5 14369.814 14369814109.000 23.3883956
8.246 4.438 3.75 14644.631 14644630621.000 23.4073396
8.262 4.513 4 14891.658 14891658128.000 23.424067
8.241 4.519 4.25 14579.166 14579166155.000 23.4028594
8.206 4.583 4.5 14588.390 14588389749.000 23.4034918
8.246 4.555 4.5 15087.170 15087170043.000 23.4371106
8.246 4.532 4.5 15600.942 15600941802.000 23.4705971
8.238 4.517 4.5 15313.520 15313519839.000 23.4520019
8.271 4.486 4.5 15527.062 15527061977.000 23.4658503
8.312 4.524 4.5 15887.161 15887161029.000 23.4887771
8.290 4.552 4.5 16138.658 16138657827.000 23.5044833
8.311 4.599 4.5 18975.453 18975452546.000 23.666412
8.281 4.499 4.5 17720.112 17720111612.000 23.5979661
8.311 4.485 4.5 18071.896 18071896172.000 23.6176239
8.293 4.572 4.5 19144.794 19144793538.000 23.6752966
8.275 4.571 4.5 19148.938 19148938407.000 23.6755131
8.309 4.652 4.5 18761.900 18761899696.000 23.655094
8.310 4.618 4.5 19274.714 19274713874.000 23.6820599
8.315 4.630 4.75 20309.041 20309041100.000 23.734332
8.294 4.606 4.75 20471.753 20471752884.000 23.7423119
8.286 4.607 5 20148.626 20148626286.000 23.7264019
8.308 4.636 5 20990.201 20990200969.000 23.7673215
8.267 4.645 5 21446.625 21446624901.000 23.7888331
8.325 4.717 5 24476.050 24476050340.000 23.9209609
8.287 4.590 5.25 23287.020 23287019570.000 23.8711619
8.278 4.612 5.25 24572.383 24572382756.000 23.924889
8.344 4.645 5.25 25902.348 25902348079.000 23.9775995
8.309 4.703 5.5 26152.702 26152702239.000 23.9872184
8.302 4.720 5.5 25999.167 25999166816.000 23.9813303
8.343 4.720 5.75 27046.179 27046178928.000 24.0208116
8.314 4.721 6 27052.989 27052989230.000 24.0210633
8.282 4.691 6.25 27106.428 27106428248.000 24.0230367
8.306 4.707 6.5 26925.034 26925034382.000 24.0163223
8.317 4.715 6.5 26978.457 26978456508.000 24.0183045
8.297 4.706 6.5 27041.556 27041556360.000 24.0206406
8.278 4.766 6.5 28930.094 28930094094.000 24.0881482
8.283 4.635 6.5 27183.662 27183662274.000 24.025882
8.308 4.615 6.25 27912.540 27912539910.000 24.0523419
8.327 4.674 6 27430.693 27430693080.000 24.0349284
8.342 4.690 5 26839.218 26839218266.000 24.01313
8.315 4.738 4 27264.390 27264389959.000 24.0288473
8.314 4.690 3 28204.709 28204708939.000 24.0627548
8.329 4.707 2 28689.703 28689702799.000 24.0798041
8.302 4.699 1.25 28900.503 28900503286.000 24.0871248
8.323 4.708 1.25 28835.132 28835131561.000 24.0848603
8.363 4.727 1.25 29698.962 29698962014.000 24.1143779
8.353 4.733 1.25 30861.315 30861314825.000 24.1527693
8.374 4.808 1.25 33146.582 33146581897.000 24.2242054
8.378 4.665 1.25 33229.043 33229043362.000 24.2266901
8.368 4.665 1.25 33491.518 33491518213.000 24.2345581
8.383 4.752 1.25 34660.180 34660179977.000 24.2688573
8.361 4.766 1.25 34431.527 34431526529.000 24.2622385
8.380 4.812 1.5 35326.166 35326166485.000 24.2878898
8.355 4.814 1.75 36556.672 36556672428.000 24.3221296
8.369 4.803 2 36659.609 36659609221.000 24.3249414
8.394 4.784 2.5 37462.709 37462708851.000 24.3466118
8.361 4.806 3 37105.904 37105903644.000 24.3370419
8.385 4.819 3 38052.831 38052831415.000 24.3622413
8.390 4.818 3 39562.586 39562585502.000 24.4011497
8.375 4.884 3 42650.591 42650590970.000 24.476307
8.357 4.759 3.25 40449.596 40449596000.000 24.4233225
8.405 4.744 3.5 40715.457 40715456800.000 24.4298736
8.396 4.828 3.75 41985.223 41985222800.000 24.4605836
8.387 4.841 4 42249.101 42249101075.000 24.4668489
8.391 4.868 4.25 41496.145 41496145273.000 24.4488664
8.368 4.844 4.25 41727.031 41727030869.000 24.454415
8.412 4.863 4.25 43670.599 43670599210.000 24.4999409
8.392 4.848 4.25 45088.850 45088849836.000 24.5319008
8.387 4.854 4.25 44245.355 44245354838.000 24.5130162
8.404 4.863 4.25 45266.237 45266236600.000 24.5358273
8.396 4.865 4.25 44833.490 44833489529.000 24.5262212
8.418 4.967 4.25 48766.340 48766340076.000 24.6103062
8.382 4.811 4.25 47660.215 47660215421.000 24.5873628
8.397 4.812 4.25 47244.886 47244886147.000 24.5786103
8.400 4.884 4.25 48303.579 48303579478.000 24.6007715
8.392 4.869 4.25 48877.634 48877633689.000 24.6125857
8.417 4.933 4.25 49049.268 49049267699.000 24.6160911
8.402 4.915 4.25 49688.613 49688612642.000 24.6290416
8.425 4.931 4.25 51211.407 51211407458.000 24.6592281
8.392 4.914 4.25 52317.048 52317047715.000 24.6805881
8.423 4.918 4.25 51704.110 51704109815.000 24.6688031
8.418 4.933 4.25 52997.567 52997567365.000 24.6935119
8.430 4.922 4.25 53405.378 53405378358.000 24.7011773
8.431 4.999 4.25 57246.573 57246572749.000 24.7706336
8.390 4.870 4.25 55965.265 55965265347.000 24.7479971
8.435 4.859 4.25 58133.641 58133640877.000 24.7860104
8.442 4.917 4.25 56992.099 56992099071.000 24.7661785
8.432 4.952 4.25 57213.375 57213375226.000 24.7700535
8.418 4.975 4.25 56633.895 56633895273.000 24.7598735
8.438 4.972 4.25 57058.777 57058777286.000 24.7673478
8.450 4.983 4.25 58546.303 58546303127.000 24.7930838
8.418 4.968 4.25 58304.364 58304363879.000 24.7889428
8.437 4.967 4.25 57289.206 57289205950.000 24.7713781
8.461 4.994 4.25 57220.329 57220329200.000 24.7701751
8.431 4.994 4 57879.349 57879348680.000 24.7816265
8.448 5.068 4 62228.834 62228834108.000 24.8540843
β0 23.4
β1 3.6
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.169359
Coeficiente 0.02868247
R^2 ajustado 0.0212108
Error típico 0.21143957
Observacione 132

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 0.17162131 0.17162131 3.83882821 0.05221855
Residuos 130 5.81186992 0.04470669
Total 131 5.98349123

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 23.4092707 0.02759592 848.287347 3.426E-245 23.3546755 23.463866 23.3546755
i- expectativa 3.60332532 1.83909488 1.95929278 0.05221855 -0.0351039 7.2417546 -0.0351039
Superior 95.0%
23.463866
7.2417546
PBI Global DA i- expectativa
2003  Enero 10,588.98 1.0589E+10 23.0830801 0.007375
2003  Febrero 10,239.98 1.024E+10 23.0495659 0.0069166667
2003  Marzo 10,799.43 1.0799E+10 23.102759 0.00475
2003  Abril 11,729.94 1.173E+10 23.1854104 0.005
2003  Mayo 12,177.96 1.2178E+10 23.2228939 0.0009166667
2003  Junio 11,713.83 1.1714E+10 23.1840358 0.0004166667
2003  Julio 11,338.19 1.1338E+10 23.1514428 -0.00075
2003  Agosto 10,610.92 1.0611E+10 23.0851497 -0.0013333333
2003  Setiembre 10,548.70 1.0549E+10 23.0792682 -0.0011666667
2003  Octubre 10,909.33 1.0909E+10 23.112884 -0.002
2003  Noviembre 10,684.70 1.0685E+10 23.092079 -0.0039166667
2003  Diciembre 11,202.88 1.1203E+10 23.1394366 -0.0023333333
2004  Enero 10,933.29 1.0933E+10 23.1150782 0
2004  Febrero 10,683.12 1.0683E+10 23.0919305 0.002
2004  Marzo 11,432.11 1.1432E+10 23.1596916 0.004125
2004  Abril 12,248.62 1.2249E+10 23.228679 0.005
2004  Mayo 12,665.55 1.2666E+10 23.2621513 0.005
2004  Junio 11,991.11 1.1991E+10 23.2074315 0.0046666667
2004  Julio 11,689.13 1.1689E+10 23.1819248 0.005
2004  Agosto 11,151.47 1.1151E+10 23.1348375 0.005
2004  Setiembre 11,069.71 1.107E+10 23.1274786 0.0047916667
2004  Octubre 11,351.14 1.1351E+10 23.152584 0.00525
2004  Noviembre 11,736.21 1.1736E+10 23.1859449 0.0054166667
2004  Diciembre 12,189.80 1.219E+10 23.223865 0.0055
2005  Enero 11,567.69 1.1568E+10 23.1714818 0.00625
2005  Febrero 11,617.76 1.1618E+10 23.1758008 0.0066666667
2005  Marzo 11,900.57 1.1901E+10 23.199852 0.0058333333
2005  Abril 12,856.20 1.2856E+10 23.2770922 0.0075
2005  Mayo 13,543.96 1.3544E+10 23.3292067 0.01
2005  Junio 12,865.01 1.2865E+10 23.2777771 0.0125
2005  Julio 12,508.03 1.2508E+10 23.2496364 0.015
2005  Agosto 11,993.96 1.1994E+10 23.2076693 0.0175
2005  Setiembre 11,810.88 1.1811E+10 23.1922867 0.0188333333
2005  Octubre 12,164.73 1.2165E+10 23.2218069 0.0195
2005  Noviembre 12,725.44 1.2725E+10 23.2668691 0.0197916667
2005  Diciembre 13,085.76 1.3086E+10 23.2947903 0.0205
2006  Enero 12,282.85 1.2283E+10 23.2314694 0.021
2006  Febrero 12,325.33 1.2325E+10 23.2349224 0.02075
2006  Marzo 13,254.90 1.3255E+10 23.3076333 0.0218333333
2006  Abril 13,504.58 1.3505E+10 23.3262947 0.0235
2006  Mayo 14,321.93 1.4322E+10 23.3850574 0.025375
2006  Junio 13,721.54 1.3722E+10 23.3422326 0.0258333333
2006  Julio 13,480.72 1.3481E+10 23.3245261 0.0265
2006  Agosto 13,277.37 1.3277E+10 23.3093269 0.026
2006  Setiembre 12,856.40 1.2856E+10 23.2771077 0.0255833333
2006  Octubre 13,354.75 1.3355E+10 23.3151382 0.02525
2006  Noviembre 13,600.80 1.3601E+10 23.3333947 0.0269166667
2006  Diciembre 14,164.30 1.4164E+10 23.3739903 0.0248333333
2007  Enero 13,480.55 1.3481E+10 23.324514 0.02775
2007  Febrero 13,369.84 1.337E+10 23.316267 0.0255833333
2007  Marzo 14,281.97 1.4282E+10 23.3822638 0.022875
2007  Abril 14,522.22 1.4522E+10 23.3989455 0.0215
2007  Mayo 15,800.90 1.5801E+10 23.483333 0.019875
2007  Junio 14,776.86 1.4777E+10 23.4163279 0.0160833333
2007  Julio 14,771.93 1.4772E+10 23.4159947 0.01475
2007  Agosto 14,219.48 1.4219E+10 23.3778786 0.0133333333
2007  Setiembre 14,074.81 1.4075E+10 23.3676526 0.0166666667
2007  Octubre 14,807.59 1.4808E+10 23.4184055 0.019
2007  Noviembre 14,821.07 1.4821E+10 23.4193155 0.0167083333
2007  Diciembre 15,420.79 1.5421E+10 23.4589827 0.016
2008  Enero 14,955.42 1.4955E+10 23.4283394 0.01925
2008  Febrero 15,003.48 1.5003E+10 23.4315478 0.0216666667
2008  Marzo 15,264.01 1.5264E+10 23.4487637 0.0239583333
2008  Abril 16,558.87 1.6559E+10 23.5301877 0.0275
2008  Mayo 17,054.60 1.7055E+10 23.5596855 0.0299583333
2008  Junio 16,656.89 1.6657E+10 23.5360896 0.0308333333
2008  Julio 16,342.89 1.6343E+10 23.5170585 0.030375
2008  Agosto 15,718.63 1.5719E+10 23.4781122 0.0215
2008  Setiembre 15,754.50 1.5755E+10 23.4803919 0.012
2008  Octubre 16,099.84 1.61E+10 23.5020749 0.0065
2008  Noviembre 15,725.89 1.5726E+10 23.4785741 -0.0027083333
2008  Diciembre 16,231.59 1.6232E+10 23.5102251 -0.0095
2009  Enero 15,383.66 1.5384E+10 23.4565717 -0.00575
2009  Febrero 15,016.37 1.5016E+10 23.4324069 -0.0063333333
2009  Marzo 15,659.18 1.5659E+10 23.4743228 -0.0072083333
2009  Abril 16,267.02 1.6267E+10 23.5124053 -0.0085
2009  Mayo 17,171.23 1.7171E+10 23.5665012 -0.0088333333
2009  Junio 16,183.03 1.6183E+10 23.5072291 -0.0095833333
2009  Julio 16,148.77 1.6149E+10 23.5051098 -0.01025
2009  Agosto 15,679.61 1.568E+10 23.4756269 -0.0125
2009  Setiembre 15,783.50 1.5783E+10 23.4822306 -0.01
2009  Octubre 16,332.85 1.6333E+10 23.5164441 -0.0075
2009  Noviembre 16,316.50 1.6316E+10 23.5154424 -0.0052083333
2009  Diciembre 17,052.12 1.7052E+10 23.5595405 -0.0006666667
2010  Enero 15,978.20 1.5978E+10 23.4944913 0.003375
2010  Febrero 15,867.68 1.5868E+10 23.48755 0.0045833333
2010  Marzo 17,057.51 1.7058E+10 23.5598562 0.0050416667
2010  Abril 17,768.50 1.7768E+10 23.6006929 0.005
2010  Mayo 18,681.24 1.8681E+10 23.6507856 0.0038333333
2010  Junio 18,133.30 1.8133E+10 23.6210158 0.0058333333
2010  Julio 17,619.89 1.762E+10 23.592294 0.00675
2010  Agosto 17,133.89 1.7134E+10 23.5643239 0.0081666667
2010  Setiembre 17,366.30 1.7366E+10 23.5777976 0.0101666667
2010  Octubre 17,718.54 1.7719E+10 23.5978772 0.012
2010  Noviembre 17,980.67 1.7981E+10 23.6125633 0.0131666667
2010  Diciembre 18,580.45 1.858E+10 23.6453755 0.013
2011  Enero 17,513.77 1.7514E+10 23.586253 0.01425
2011  Febrero 17,194.68 1.7195E+10 23.5678659 0.0145
2011  Marzo 18,378.76 1.8379E+10 23.6344613 0.0136666667
2011  Abril 19,131.56 1.9132E+10 23.6746051 0.0125
2011  Mayo 20,053.53 2.0054E+10 23.721671 0.0142916667
2011  Junio 19,139.06 1.9139E+10 23.6749971 0.0155
2011  Julio 18,812.71 1.8813E+10 23.6577984 0.0155
2011  Agosto 18,443.26 1.8443E+10 23.637965 0.0135
2011  Setiembre 18,319.40 1.8319E+10 23.6312262 0.0121666667
2011  Octubre 18,715.47 1.8715E+10 23.6526162 0.0125
2011  Noviembre 18,836.96 1.8837E+10 23.6590866 0.0139166667
2011  Diciembre 19,764.20 1.9764E+10 23.7071378 0.0138333333
2012  Enero 18,469.12 1.8469E+10 23.6393661 0.014
2012  Febrero 18,388.90 1.8389E+10 23.6350128 0.01375
2012  Marzo 19,425.61 1.9426E+10 23.6898583 0.01525
2012  Abril 20,010.43 2.001E+10 23.7195195 0.017
2012  Mayo 21,486.04 2.1486E+10 23.7906693 0.0165833333
2012  Junio 20,562.53 2.0563E+10 23.7467363 0.01675
2012  Julio 20,231.06 2.0231E+10 23.730485 0.016875
2012  Agosto 19,639.47 1.9639E+10 23.7008073 0.0176666667
2012  Setiembre 19,467.78 1.9468E+10 23.6920266 0.0177083333
2012  Octubre 19,993.32 1.9993E+10 23.718664 0.0175
2012  Noviembre 20,110.71 2.0111E+10 23.7245184 0.017375
2012  Diciembre 20,616.47 2.0616E+10 23.7493563 0.0166666667
2013  Enero 19,703.30 1.9703E+10 23.7040518 0.0155
2013  Febrero 19,329.35 1.9329E+10 23.6848907 0.0159166667
2013  Marzo 19,917.16 1.9917E+10 23.7148473 0.0136666667
2013  Abril 21,576.32 2.1576E+10 23.7948622 0.013
2013  Mayo 22,516.76 2.2517E+10 23.8375256 0.0135833333
2013  Junio 21,461.01 2.1461E+10 23.7895035 0.0141666667
2013  Julio 21,181.75 2.1182E+10 23.7764057 0.013125
2013  Agosto 20,506.78 2.0507E+10 23.7440214 0.0125
2013  Setiembre 20,330.45 2.033E+10 23.7353857 0.0123333333
2013  Octubre 21,087.31 2.1087E+10 23.7719374 0.01175
2013  Noviembre 21,114.86 2.1115E+10 23.7732429 0.0095416667
2013  Diciembre 21,648.84 2.1649E+10 23.7982179 0.0086666667
LN(Mt) LN(Pt) LN(Yt) it Ѱ Ө
8.735 4.418 4.294 2.5 0.46045415 -0.7907841 Ѱ
8.730 4.423 4.264 2.75 0.46293099 -0.7177615 Ө
8.743 4.434 4.309 2.5 0.45765153 -0.7887507
8.747 4.434 4.390 2.75 0.44938383 -0.7174353
8.761 4.433 4.422 2.75 0.44693354 -0.718591
8.763 4.428 4.393 2.75 0.45045666 -0.7195254
8.779 4.427 4.372 2.75 0.45355148 -0.7210751
8.794 4.427 4.307 2.75 0.46119557 -0.7223037
8.799 4.433 4.302 2.75 0.46138721 -0.7218239
8.807 4.433 4.352 2.75 0.45650232 -0.7223615
8.820 4.435 4.325 2.5 0.45984162 -0.7955431
8.840 4.440 4.357 2.5 0.45690793 -0.7962687
8.855 4.446 4.330 2.5 0.46005525 -0.7967405
8.872 4.457 4.305 2.5 0.46239304 -0.7963113
8.887 4.461 4.365 2.5 0.45638603 -0.7968177
8.906 4.461 4.432 2.5 0.45046766 -0.7985784
8.931 4.465 4.460 2.5 0.44849098 -0.8001557
8.948 4.470 4.422 2.5 0.45262318 -0.8006538
8.954 4.472 4.408 2.5 0.45420382 -0.8008558
8.954 4.472 4.350 2.75 0.46022664 -0.728073
8.982 4.472 4.349 2.75 0.46182065 -0.7303518
9.005 4.472 4.377 3 0.46003379 -0.671254
9.027 4.475 4.415 3 0.45688758 -0.6724557
9.052 4.475 4.450 3 0.45457407 -0.6743262
9.077 4.476 4.382 3 0.46282311 -0.6759942
9.099 4.473 4.384 3 0.46397502 -0.6779767
9.113 4.480 4.399 3 0.46240875 -0.6780964
9.147 4.481 4.467 3 0.45700789 -0.680447
9.175 4.482 4.523 3 0.45251311 -0.682288
9.197 4.485 4.483 3 0.45746676 -0.683532
9.221 4.486 4.469 3 0.45992571 -0.6851486
9.236 4.484 4.419 3 0.46614827 -0.6865919
9.252 4.483 4.408 3 0.46817599 -0.6878738
9.268 4.485 4.440 3 0.4654247 -0.6888794
9.279 4.485 4.505 3 0.45919982 -0.6896104
9.293 4.490 4.517 3.25 0.45824681 -0.6368701
9.316 4.495 4.450 3.5 0.46574196 -0.5922075
9.314 4.500 4.438 3.75 0.46632951 -0.5519192
9.323 4.505 4.513 4 0.45857702 -0.5174319
9.336 4.510 4.519 4.25 0.45806191 -0.4870947
9.323 4.504 4.583 4.5 0.45166135 -0.4599453
9.333 4.503 4.555 4.5 0.45504784 -0.4605735
9.344 4.501 4.532 4.5 0.4580266 -0.4613027
9.363 4.503 4.517 4.5 0.46033707 -0.4620697
 9.380 4.503 4.486 4.5 0.46432031 -0.46288
9.392 4.503 4.524 4.5 0.46099428 -0.4634291
9.414 4.501 4.552 4.5 0.45954338 -0.4648166
9.448 4.501 4.599 4.5 0.45638614 -0.4664608
9.477 4.501 4.499 4.5 0.46797462 -0.4678958
9.497 4.504 4.485 4.5 0.47020161 -0.4686325
9.512 4.507 4.572 4.5 0.46163871 -0.469003
9.529 4.509 4.571 4.5 0.46234227 -0.4696318
9.542 4.514 4.652 4.5 0.45448943 -0.4697932
9.569 4.518 4.618 4.5 0.45865176 -0.470643
9.575 4.523 4.630 4.75 0.45716804 -0.4456379
9.597 4.525 4.606 4.75 0.46049963 -0.4465692
9.618 4.531 4.607 5 0.46076627 -0.4245894
9.636 4.534 4.636 5 0.45843653 -0.4250835
9.664 4.535 4.645 5 0.45871399 -0.426187
9.687 4.539 4.717 5 0.45233966 -0.4267778
9.790 4.542 4.590 5.25 0.46961133 -0.4105931
9.838 4.551 4.612 5.25 0.46873462 -0.411794
9.885 4.561 4.645 5.25 0.46654013 -0.4128213
10.022 4.563 4.703 5.5 0.46704152 -0.3993708
10.036 4.566 4.720 5.5 0.4656973 -0.3996172
10.018 4.574 4.720 5.75 0.46401254 -0.380925
10.017 4.579 4.721 6 0.46331446 -0.3645788
10.013 4.585 4.691 6.25 0.46556708 -0.3494088
10.026 4.591 4.707 6.5 0.46395343 -0.3359773
10.022 4.597 4.715 6.5 0.46235334 -0.3354045
9.996 4.600 4.706 6.5 0.46170049 -0.3343008
9.969 4.604 4.766 6.5 0.45430012 -0.3331336
9.948 4.605 4.635 6.5 0.46609915 -0.3323542
9.926 4.604 4.615 6.25 0.46712709 -0.3449503
9.924 4.608 4.674 6 0.46080971 -0.358968
9.899 4.608 4.690 5 0.45807548 -0.4296368
9.900 4.607 4.738 4 0.45346605 -0.5371495
9.909 4.604 4.690 3 0.4588907 -0.7174475
9.926 4.606 4.707 2 0.45784418 -1.0775326
9.931 4.604 4.699 1.25 0.45910252 -1.7257186
9.935 4.603 4.708 1.25 0.45840397 -1.7266503
9.942 4.604 4.727 1.25 0.45678812 -1.7273893
9.958 4.603 4.733 1.25 0.4570957 -1.7307093
9.987 4.606 4.808 1.25 0.4509813 -1.7344753
10.005 4.609 4.665 1.25 0.46532712 -1.7365568
10.020 4.612 4.665 1.25 0.46572232 -1.7380081
10.035 4.615 4.752 1.25 0.4575623 -1.7395259
10.057 4.615 4.766 1.25 0.45717286 -1.7432208
10.081 4.618 4.812 1.5 0.45364315 -1.4554141
10.108 4.620 4.814 1.75 0.45451118 -1.2501671
10.153 4.624 4.803 2 0.45713693 -1.0978498
10.201 4.627 4.784 2.5 0.46083559 -0.8818953
10.234 4.626 4.806 3 0.46025017 -0.7373843
10.305 4.625 4.819 3 0.46237522 -0.7427211
10.342 4.625 4.818 3 0.46410497 -0.7454072
10.367 4.627 4.884 3 0.45883572 -0.7469194
10.381 4.631 4.759 3.25 0.47110044 -0.6898088
10.400 4.634 4.744 3.5 0.47297118 -0.641145
10.417 4.641 4.828 3.75 0.46479328 -0.5984661
10.442 4.648 4.841 4 0.46405513 -0.5615871
10.455 4.648 4.868 4.25 0.46208017 -0.5292465
10.479 4.649 4.844 4.25 0.46536341 -0.5303744
10.477 4.657 4.863 4.25 0.46263608 -0.5293486
10.496 4.660 4.848 4.25 0.46466286 -0.5300018
10.516 4.663 4.854 4.25 0.46456097 -0.5306332
10.521 4.666 4.863 4.25 0.46367272 -0.530556
10.524 4.670 4.865 4.25 0.46321703 -0.5302253
10.549 4.673 4.967 4.25 0.4544758 -0.5311529
10.573 4.672 4.811 4.25 0.4703997 -0.5324638
10.618 4.675 4.812 4.25 0.47200914 -0.5343714
10.640 4.683 4.884 4.25 0.46521035 -0.5345859
10.656 4.688 4.869 4.25 0.46683476 -0.5348005
10.682 4.689 4.933 4.25 0.46181695 -0.5360434
10.694 4.688 4.915 4.25 0.46413907 -0.5367286
10.710 4.689 4.931 4.25 0.4631769 -0.5374199
10.717 4.694 4.914 4.25 0.46459292 -0.5371811
10.758 4.700 4.918 4.25 0.4654349 -0.538608
10.791 4.698 4.933 4.25 0.4656838 -0.5404735
10.829 4.697 4.922 4.25 0.46846987 -0.5425236
10.833 4.699 4.999 4.25 0.46116328 -0.5424184
10.870 4.700 4.870 4.25 0.47491299 -0.5441539
10.908 4.699 4.859 4.25 0.47772164 -0.5461433
10.920 4.709 4.917 4.25 0.47166039 -0.5456915
10.943 4.711 4.952 4.25 0.46905535 -0.5465509
10.941 4.713 4.975 4.25 0.46666432 -0.5462233
10.942 4.716 4.972 4.25 0.46666924 -0.5459633
10.940 4.721 4.983 4.25 0.4650295 -0.545257
10.939 4.726 4.968 4.25 0.46583373 -0.5445729
10.907 4.728 4.967 4.25 0.46452283 -0.5428538
10.883 4.728 4.994 4.25 0.46093998 -0.5416158
10.890 4.726 4.994 4 0.46142668 -0.5760721
10.868 4.727 5.068 4 0.45366518 -0.5747565
 0.46
-0.67
 LN(Pt) LN(Ῡt) LN(Yt) µ µ
4.41827606 8.2343802 4.29350097
4.42295336 8.22639793 4.26379802
4.43406915 8.20574139 4.3086858
4.43356045 8.173654 4.39033839
4.43324015 8.17504313 4.4215195
4.42849762 8.20092668 4.39264227
4.42700434 8.19796528 4.3720649
4.42713889 8.14946017 4.30692605
4.43270933 8.19712552 4.30227749
4.43319953 8.20235926 4.35155343
4.43487497 8.17393536 4.32509297
4.44049864 8.18071899 4.3568336
4.44585872 8.1942606 4.32959147
4.45666101 8.21404248 4.30538093
4.46125493 8.2291102 4.36482278
4.4610272 8.19498931 4.43194084
4.4645594 8.22317712 4.46026661
4.47018164 8.22672901 4.42229799
4.47211086 8.2332631 4.40802025
4.47201545 8.22036541 4.3504666
4.47218234 8.20472765 4.3490203
4.47194484 8.22548248 4.37742174
4.47481081 8.23901353 4.41545614
4.47471725 8.24222334 4.45027275
4.47571824 8.18340173 4.38176612
4.47336928 8.22995763 4.38370598
4.4798502 8.22799643 4.39933121
4.48103773 8.22585892 4.46675198
4.48230024 8.21955627 4.52332495
4.48493419 8.21434083 4.48250269
4.48597975 8.23503797 4.4690824
4.48418208 8.2031148 4.41871389
4.48323885 8.22375813 4.40779022
4.48468561 8.22614854 4.44032767
4.48536583 8.2366783 4.5052959
4.48954931 8.24753549 4.51684078
4.49453296 8.21202806 4.4503748
4.50000076 8.2459625 4.43827135
4.50456197 8.26226259 4.51336947
4.50964908 8.24087551 4.51937265
4.50435558 8.2058027 4.582535
4.50302933 8.24565733 4.55464397
4.50132347 8.24637743 4.53218651
4.50271597 8.23839311 4.5169373
4.50298961 8.27100435 4.48604121
4.50342741 8.31166331 4.52376713
4.50060187 8.28973071 4.55163672
4.50085995 8.31143845 4.5993368
4.50095423 8.28108113 4.49924164
4.50354554 8.31053861 4.48498271
4.50702782 8.29275204 4.57178589
4.50880831 8.27518449 4.57094973
4.51371496 8.30901823 4.65152647
4.51840089 8.30954534 4.61765059
4.52314507 8.31459763 4.63020159
4.52451321 8.29402364 4.60630904
4.53061953 8.28590945 4.60742707
4.53375476 8.30808205 4.63623106
4.53486422 8.26692159 4.64545435
4.53938503 8.32484676 4.71744868
4.54160303 8.28738997 4.59020859
4.55063233 8.2781694 4.61224371
4.56099694 8.34384924 4.64549901
4.56253795 8.30930606 4.70309208
4.56622605 8.30179957 4.71957788
4.57389261 8.34258411 4.72038646
4.57943196 8.31364583 4.72135653
4.58531945 8.28152826 4.69063472
4.59097544 8.30599154 4.70705027
4.597088 8.31672087 4.71528876
4.60017347 8.29700014 4.70641726
4.60376924 8.27756589 4.76638321
4.60482647 8.28276001 4.63485618
4.60407832 8.3082435 4.61531719
4.60767404 8.32704909 4.67396414
4.60786413 8.34221598 4.68958562
4.60743398 8.31491956 4.7381671
4.60403244 8.31425606 4.69031641
4.60589758 8.32920718 4.70698409
4.60382139 8.30234171 4.6986199
4.60294914 8.32295175 4.70832072
4.60417465 8.36308052 4.72699834
4.60305335 8.35296605 4.73289656
4.6062194 8.37384588 4.80750331
4.60917419 8.3776607 4.66488169
4.61239408 8.36836986 4.66481855
4.61519827 8.38298288 4.75215582
4.61545181 8.36055436 4.76630663
4.61782758 8.37984774 4.81241931
4.62033293 8.35482196 4.81350629
4.62396588 8.36855834 4.80315531
4.62664743 8.39385702 4.78421856
4.6263273 8.36060703 4.80641422
4.62490908 8.38453753 4.81895079
4.62498813 8.39049307 4.81835297
4.6267712 8.37497085 4.88357435
4.63066796 8.35726921 4.75881232
4.63448388 8.40461087 4.744491
4.64148401 8.39648629 4.82848587
4.64827006 8.38693682 4.84069315
4.64803297 8.39098732 4.86776524
4.64902391 8.36798826 4.84372284
4.65692216 8.41214566 4.86285388
4.65957681 8.39151681 4.84761702
4.66291309 8.386724 4.85445657
4.66605665 8.40396159 4.86304835
4.6703616 8.39572516 4.8647985
4.67306702 8.41824856 4.96704112
4.67205329 8.38185945 4.81074096
4.67529711 8.39686004 4.81151358
4.68292809 8.40046 4.88379051
4.68822941 8.39245323 4.86875076
4.68862194 8.41671338 4.9330893
4.68825492 8.40151733 4.91468362
4.6891581 8.42521594 4.93123559
4.69422923 8.39206382 4.91402185
4.69964162 8.42348859 4.91816176
4.69800706 8.41778931 4.93255777
4.69663142 8.43034216 4.92182206
4.69921583 8.43133629 4.99883263
4.70036934 8.39010011 4.86963769
4.69949753 8.43536833 4.85870576
4.70851615 8.44223688 4.91707352
4.71103683 8.43178785 4.95216929
4.71297082 8.41814288 4.97455897
4.71558537 8.43842634 4.97213871
4.72105517 8.44951786 4.98321543
4.72646954 8.41816795 4.96837065
4.72755675 8.4370204 4.96666347
4.7279394 8.46092882 4.99385439
4.72575458 8.43109635 4.99383412
4.72741138 8.4475543 5.06767165