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STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ________?


(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T


FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

David Ige 41% 21% 37% 1%

Colleen Hanabusa 37% 31% 31% 1%


Andria Tupola 26% 4% 34% 36%

John Carroll 18% 17% 27% 38%

Raymond L’Heureux 3% 2% 14% 81%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll
*** 494 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ***
(Margin for error = ± 4.5%)

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ________?


(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T


FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

David Ige 49% 17% 34% -

Colleen Hanabusa 44% 22% 33% 1%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

STATE MEN WOMEN OAHU NEIGHBOR ISLANDS

David Ige 44% 55% 37% 43% 45%


Colleen Hanabusa 40% 33% 45% 42% 36%
Undecided (NOT READ) 16% 12% 18% 15% 19%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today,
for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

STATE MEN WOMEN OAHU NEIGHBOR ISLANDS

Josh Green 34% 27% 38% 31% 41%


Jill Tokuda 14% 11% 16% 16% 10%
Bernard Carvalho 14% 15% 13% 13% 17%
Kim Coco Iwamoto 10% 14% 7% 13% 4%
Will Espero 6% 7% 6% 5% 7%
Undecided (NOT READ) 22% 26% 20% 22% 21%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll
*** ALL VOTERS ***

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were David Ige, the Democrat, and Andria Tupola,
the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

IGE 57% 52% 61% 85% 13% 49%


TUPOLA 34% 41% 28% 11% 76% 38%
UNDECIDED 9% 7% 11% 4% 11% 13%

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were David Ige, the Democrat, and John Carroll,
the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

IGE 62% 60% 63% 88% 16% 56%


CARROLL 23% 27% 20% 6% 61% 21%
UNDECIDED 15% 13% 17% 6% 23% 23%

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were David Ige, the Democrat, and Raymond
L’Heureux, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

IGE 67% 62% 71% 89% 30% 62%


L’HEUREUX 20% 30% 11% 4% 57% 17%
UNDECIDED 13% 8% 18% 7% 13% 21%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll
QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Colleen Hanabusa, the Democrat, and Andria
Tupola, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

HANABUSA 48% 44% 52% 80% 7% 31%


TUPOLA 35% 41% 29% 10% 81% 39%
UNDECIDED 17% 15% 19% 10% 12% 30%

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Colleen Hanabusa, the Democrat, and John
Carroll, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

HANABUSA 51% 47% 54% 81% 12% 36%


CARROLL 31% 36% 27% 5% 78% 37%
UNDECIDED 18% 17% 19% 14% 10% 27%

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Colleen Hanabusa, the Democrat, and
Raymond L’Heureux, the Republican?

SEX PARTY ID
STATE MEN WOMEN DEM REP IND

HANABUSA 58% 55% 60% 91% 22% 38%


L’HEUREUX 26% 31% 22% 5% 65% 30%
UNDECIDED 16% 14% 18% 4% 13% 32%

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll
DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY IDENTIFICATION: Democrat 357 (45%)


Republican 171 (21%)
Independent/Other 272 (34%)

RACE/ETHNICITY: White 203 (25%)


Japanese 176 (22%)
Native Hawaiian 80 (10%)
Filipino 95 (12%)
Other Asian 26 (3%)
Mixed Race 157 (20%)
Other 58 (7%)
Refused 5 (1%)

AGE: 18-34 122 (15%)


35-49 236 (30%)
50-64 235 (29%)
65+ 202 (25%)
Refused 5 (1%)

SEX: Male 382 (48%)


Female 418 (52%)

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT: 1st Congressional District 391 (49%)


2nd Congressional District 409 (51%)

REGION: Oahu 535 (67%)


Neighbor Islands 265 (33%)

INTERVIEWS: Land-line 518 (65%)


Mobile 282 (35%)

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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

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