7/31/2018 New poll has CA-7 statistically tied | Andrew Grant | Sacramento | Andrew Grant for Congress

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New poll has CA-7 statistically tied
June 19, 2018 | Public Opinion Strategies
Grant challenges
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July 16, 2018

New poll has CA-7

statistically tied
June 19, 2018

Combat Veterans
for Congress
Endorse Andrew
  Grant
May 31, 2018
Public Opinion Strategies recently completed a survey of 400 likely voters in California’s 7th
Congressional District. The survey was conducted June 12‐14, 2018 and has a margin of error of
Taking the Hill: Why more
±4.9%. The memorandum below reviews the key findings of the poll. The survey was sponsored
veterans are running for
by Andrew Grant for Congress.
Congress
  May 25, 2018
1. Congressman Ami Bera has a narrow lead and soft support against an unknown
opponent. Grant Earns Endorsement of
Although Congressman Bera is much more well known in the district having 93% name Elk Grove Chamber PAC in Race
identification compared to Andrew Grant’s 19%, Bera only leads Grant 50% to 41%. Bera’s For 7th California
support is soft with only 35% of voters saying they are “definitely” voting for him. Congressional District
  May 16, 2018

2. Undecided voters are predisposed to support Andrew Grant.

Undecided voters have an unfavorable impression of Bera with 26% having a favorable Gas Tax Repeal Author
view and 41% having an unfavorable view. Moreover, undecided voters prefer a Endorses Grant
May 14, 2018
Republican represent them by a 22‐point margin and 56% approve of the job President
Trump is doing.
Sacramento Bee Endorses
3. The race moves into a statistical tie once voters learn more about Andrew Grant. Andrew Grant for Congress
May 1, 2018
After hearing a short biography and some positive and negative messaging on Grant, the
race moves into a statistical tie with Bera receiving 47% of the vote and Grant receiving
Grant Statement on Historic
45%. Grant’s service as a combat Marine and as a small business owner resonates with
Korean Peace Agreement
independent voters who move a net nine points toward him on the ballot. April 27, 2018
 
4. Ami Bera’s image is within striking distance of being one‐to‐one. Folsom Telegraph: Grant to
After three close elections, Bera’s strength in the district has weakened. Bera’s image is open constituent office in VA
nearing one‐to‐one territory with 46% of voters having a favorable view and 36% having facility if elected
an unfavorable view of him. Image intensity for Bera leans toward the negative with 23% April 11, 2018

having a strongly favorable view and 24% having a strongly unfavorable view.
Grant Will Open
5. President Trump is more popular than Nancy Pelosi in the district. Constituent Office
President Trump’s 46% approval rating in the district is higher than his approval nationally in Sacramento VA
according to the latest RealClearPolitics average of 43% approval. Only 38% of voters have Facility
April 9, 2018
a favorable view of Nancy Pelosi. Among independent voters, Pelosi’s image is a net six
points worse than Trump’s approval.
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7/31/2018 New poll has CA-7 statistically tied | Andrew Grant | Sacramento | Andrew Grant for Congress
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Bob Keen
September 2017 (11)
Andrew . . . get veterans to speak out for you in future ads. Bera has little or no connection to
that group. August 2017 (4)
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