Professional Documents
Culture Documents
WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE
SEPTEMBER 9, 2018
Page Topic
2 Methodology
3 Key Findings
35 Cross-tabulation Report
METHODOLOGY
The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2018 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on September 5-7, 2018 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95
percent level of confidence. 64.0 percent of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 36.0 percent of respondents were
contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.
By a margin of 38.2 percent right – 48.2 percent wrong, Michigan voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a 10-point
margin.
o Independent voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a margin of 28.5 percent right track/ 46.3 percent wrong
track.
o 78 percent of Republican voters believe the nation is on the right track. 80.0 percent of Democratic voters believe
Michigan is on the wrong track.
o In January 2018, voters said the nation was on the wrong track by a margin of 33 percent-54 percent.
But by a margin of 46.0 percent-40.0 percent, Michigan voters believe the state is on the right track.
o Independent voters believe Michigan is on the right track by a margin of 50.4 percent-34.1 percent, a 16.3 percent
margin.
o In January 2018, voters said Michigan was on the right track by a narrow margin of 41.0 percent-37.3 percent.
49.8 percent of Michigan voters continue to believe Detroit is on the right track, while only 20.1 percent believe Detroit is on
the wrong track.
Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Governor Rick Snyder. Voters are split 46.0
percent approve to 46.6 percent disapprove of his performance.
o By a margin of 50.4 percent-40.6 percent, Independent voters approve of Governor Snyder’s performance.
Voters were asked to think back to 2010 and asked if things in Michigan had gotten better, worse, or stayed the same.
55.9 percent of voters believe things in Michigan are better than 2010.
18.6 percent believe things are worse.
And 22.5 percent believe things in Michigan are about the same.
Voters were asked on a one to ten scale, how motivated they were to cast a ballot in the November election. The higher the
number, the greater the motivation. Voters are motivated at a historically high 9.4 on a 10.0 point scale. Voters across all
demographic groups are extremely motivated to vote.
The chart below provides context into how unusual this motivation to vote is. We compared motivation to vote by party for
the past three elections compared to this November. Voters are substantially more motivated to vote than even during the
October 2012 period. Their motivation is in stark contrast to the particularly low levels of motivation in the 2016 election – of
particular note is the motivation compared to 2016 of Independents and Leaning Democratic voters.
Party Affiliation October 2012 October 2014 October 2016 September 2018
Strong Democratic 8.3 7.0 6.7 9.5
Lean Democratic 7.7 6.4 4.7 9.5
Independent 7.0 5.9 5.6 9.1
Lean Republican 7.5 6.2 6.2 9.2
Strong Republican 8.5 6.9 6.5 9.4
Voters were asked if the election were held today, would they generally vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic
candidate for State Representative. By a margin of 46.1 percent-33.9 percent, voters chose the generic Democratic candidate
over the generic Republican candidate – a lead of 12.2 percent for the Democratic candidate. In January 2018, the generic
Democratic candidate had a 10.8 percent lead in the generic ballot test. [NOTE: The survey was +6.1 percent Democratic.
Democrats are over-performing their base vote by 6.1 percent.]
o Independent voters chose the generic Democratic candidate over the Republican by a margin of 28.5 percent-11.4
percent -- a 17.1 percent lead for the Democratic candidate. In January 2018, Independents gave the generic
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 5
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Democratic candidate a 9.6 percent lead. Independent voters are breaking sharply for the Democratic candidate. (In
October 2016, the generic GOP candidate had a six-point lead among Independents on the generic ballot test.)
Men choose the generic Democratic candidate by a margin of 43.2 percent-40.1 percent -- a three point lead.
But women choose the generic Democratic candidate by a margin of 48.7 percent-28.0 percent -- a 20.7 percent lead among
women. This is a four-point increase since January 2018.
The chart below compares the generic ballot test by gender and outstate vs Metro Detroit. Republicans hold a lead among out
state men, but hold large leads among all other voters. In particular, Democrats hold a 33.7 percent advantage among
Metro Detroit women. College educated women give Democrats a 25.3 percent advantage on the generic ballot test.
Voters view Donald Trump unfavorably by a margin of 37.0 percent favorable to 56.6 percent unfavorable. These numbers
remain unchanged from January 2018.
o Independent voters view Donald Trump unfavorably by a margin of 26.0 percent-56.9 percent.
o But women view Trump unfavorably by a whopping margin of 34.1 percent-62.1 percent.
But while voters view Trump unfavorably, voters disapprove of the job he is doing by a margin of 44.3 percent approve to
51.1 percent disapprove.
o While 25.5 percent strongly approve of Donald Trump’s performance, 44.2 percent strongly disapprove of Trump’s
performance.
While President Trump’s favorable/unfavorable has remain unchanged, his job approval has climbed from 39.5 percent to 44.3
percent since January 2018 – an improvement of 4.8 percent points.
Voters were asked if President Trump’s performance would or would not be a major factor in how they vote this November.
67.9 percent of voters said President Trump WOULD play a major factor in how they voted this November.
But when you compare how people view Donald Trump compared to how they plan to vote in the generic ballot test, it is clear
that how voters view Donald Trump drives their position on the generic ballot test. The problem for Republicans is that far
more voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump.
The chart below compares Trump’s favorable/unfavorable by voters’ primary source of news media:
Democrats are using Betsy Devos in their messaging. Republicans are using Jennifer Granholm in their messaging. Voters
were asked their opinions of both women.
Jennifer Granholm has 95 percent name identification breaking 41.1 percent favorable to 41.0 percent unfavorable.
o Independents narrowly have an unfavorable impression of Jennifer Granholm by a margin of 32.5 percent-38.2 percent
o Strong Republican voters have a sharply unfavorable impression of Granholm by a margin of 17.5 percent-74.1
percent.
Betsy DeVos has 90.5 percent name identification breaking 22.4 percent favorable to 50.7 percent unfavorable.
o Independents have a sharply negative impression of Betsy Devos by a margin of 11.4 percent-51.2 percent.
o Even 33.3 percent of Leaning Republican voters and 18.2 percent of Strong Republican voters have an unfavorable
impression of Betsy Devos.
Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Betsy Devos as US Secretary of Education. Voters
disapprove of Betsy Devos’ performance by a margin of 24.4 percent approve to 60.2 percent disapprove. 50.3 percent of
Michigan voters STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of Betsy Devos’ performance.
Bill Schuette has 88.4 percent name identification breaking 26.2 percent favorable to 41.3 percent unfavorable. Bill
Schuette’s name identification is under water by 14.1 percent.
o Independents have an unfavorable opinion of Bill Schuette with only 18.7 percent viewing him favorably while 37.4
percent view him unfavorably. Schuette is viewed unfavorably by independent voters by a 2-1 margin.
Gretchen Whitmer has 80.9 percent name identification breaking 39.3 percent favorable to 19.1 percent unfavorable.
o Independents have a favorable opinion of Gretchen Whitmer with 35.0 percent viewing her favorably and 14.6 percent
viewing her unfavorably.
When asked which candidate they would support for Governor, Whitmer leads Schuette 49.8 percent-36.1 percent. 4.1
percent of voters would go to Third Party candidates. Only 10.0 percent of voters remain undecided.
o With a 13.7 percent-point lead, Whitmer could afford to lose the remaining 10 percent of undecided voters and still win
if she holds her current voters.
o The race is tied in out-state with Whitmer at 42.8 percent and Schuette at 42.5 percent. But in Metro Detroit, Whitmer
wallops Schuette by a margin of 56.6 percent-29.8 percent -- a 26.8 percent lead.
o Whitmer leads among Independent voters by a margin of 39.0 percent-25.2 percent -- a 13.8 percent lead.
o Whitmer leads among men 46.3 percent-39.8 percent -- a 6.5 percent lead. But Whitmer holds a lead of 53.2 percent-
32.5 percent among women – a lead of 20.7 percent. The chart below compares genders by region showing Whitmer
leading by 33 percent among Metro Detroit women. Schuette only leads among out state men.
o Schuette only leads among men with a high school education at 47.6 percent-36.1 percent. Whitmer leads among
men with some post high education by a margin of 50.0 percent-36.1 percent and among college educated men 48.4
percent-38.4 percent.
o Whitmer leads women of all education levels. Whitmer leads among women with a high school education 52.1
percent-36.7 percent. She leads among women with some post high school education by a margin of 47.7 percent-36.3
percent. But she holds a lead among college educated women 56.5 percent-28.6 percent.
o Among voters over 65 years old, Whitmer leads 52.9 percent-35.0 percent -- a 27.9 percent lead.
Debbie Stabenow has 97.7 percent name identification breaking 54.3 percent favorable to 31.1 percent unfavorable.
o Among independent voters Stabenow is viewed 56.9 percent favorable to 17.9 percent unfavorable
John James has 54.3 percent name identification breaking 20.9 percent favorable to 15.5 percent unfavorable.
o Independent voters have an unfavorable view of James by a margin of 8.9 percent favorable to 13.0 percent
unfavorable.
Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator. Voters
approve of Stabenow’s performance by a margin of 54.0 percent approve to 30.9 percent disapprove.
o Independent voters approve of her performance by a margin of 56.1 percent approve to 17.1 percent disapprove.
o
Stabenow leads in out-state by a margin of 49.1 percent-36.5 percent, a 12.6 percent lead.
o
Stabenow leads among Independent voters 54.5 percent-13.1 percent -- a lead of 41.4 percent.
o
Stabenow leads in Metro Detroit by a margin of 61.5 percent-28.8 percent, a staggering 32.7 percent lead.
o
Stabenow leads among men 51.7 percent-38.4 percent and among women 58.9 percent-27.0 percent -- a 38.2 percent
lead with women.
Attorney General: Nessel Leads Leonard by 12.9 percent
Dana Nessel has 17.1 percent name identification breaking 5.1 percent favorable to 3.0 percent unfavorable. Nessel has
minimal name identification.
Tom Leonard has 23.0 percent name identification breaking 3.3 percent favorable to 5.1 percent unfavorable. Leonard also
has minimal name identification.
In a head to head matchup, Nessel leads 42.3 percent-29.4 percent -- a lead of 12.9 percent. Third party candidates get 4.6
percent and 23.7 percent of voters remain undecided.
The chart below compares the race by party affiliation. Nessel has nearly united support of Strong and Leaning Democratic
voters, while Leonard appears to have more work to do among Leaning Republican voters.
Perhaps most noticeable is that Nessel holds a 15.5 percent lead among Independent voters with a large 55.3 percent of
Independents undecided.
Jocelyn Benson has 18.7 percent name identification breaking 5.3 percent favorable to 2.5 percent unfavorable. Benson has
minimal name identification.
Mary Treder Lang has 14.3 percent name identification breaking 2.6 percent favorable to 2.5 percent unfavorable. Like
Benson, Lang has minimal name identification.
In a head to head matchup, Benson leads 43.7 percent-28.5 percent -- a lead of 15.2 percent. Third party candidates get 5.2
percent. 22.5 percent of voters remain undecided.
The chart below compares the race by party affiliation. As with the Attorney General race, Strong and Leaning Democratic
voters are united behind their candidate. Strong Republicans are behind their nominee. But 37.0 percent of leaning
Republican voters remain undecided. And Benson holds a 12.9 percent lead among Independent voters.
Ballot Proposals: Pot Positioned for Win; Redistricting Proposal Muddled Support
o The chart below compares the proposal’s support by party affiliation. Unlike other proposals, there is no sharp
opposition by party affiliation. Republicans and Independents are split on the proposal, while Democratic voters
strongly support it.
o The more statistically significant demographic appears to be age. Only voters over the age of 65 are sharply opposed to
the marijuana proposal.
By a margin of 37.8 percent-31.4 percent, a plurality of Michigan voters narrowly support a constitutional amendment that
would create an Independent Redistricting Commission to handle redrawing legislative and congressional district boundaries.
30.8 percent of voters remain undecided. [Note: Official ballot language was not yet available.]
o There are stark differences on the redistricting proposal by party affiliation. Strong Republican voters are sharply
opposed to the constitutional amendment. Leaning Republican and Independent voters are split, with Democratic
By a margin of 36.3 percent-38.8 percent, Michigan voters are statistically split on the appointment of Brett Kavanaugh to the
US Supreme Court. 24.8 percent of voters remain undecided.
o The chart below compares support for the Kavanaugh appointment by party affiliation.
By a margin of 62.7 percent-31.3 percent, Michigan voters support the Mueller investigation – 46.4 percent of Michigan voters
strongly support the Mueller investigation.
51.3 percent say the Mueller investigation is fair. 31.9 percent say the investigation is rigged. 16.9 percent do not know.
o The chart below compares this question by party affiliation. Only Republican voters believe the investigation is rigged.
Voters who get their primary news from FOX disproportionately believe the Mueller investigation is rigged. The chart below
compares positions by primary source of news.
Voters were asked if they support or oppose regulating search engines to make sure positive stories about the Trump
Administration are more highly placed on searches. Voters reject this idea by a margin of 24.5 percent support to 55.4 percent
oppose. 47.0 percent of voters strongly oppose this idea.
o The chart below compares this question by party affiliation. Only Strong Republican voters support this idea.
The chart below compares positions on this issue by primary source of news. Again, Fox News viewers are disproportionately
in support of this idea compared to those that watch other sources of news.
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 15
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Regulation of Search
Engines Local TV FOX CNN/MSNBC Networks Radio Newspapers
Support 28.3 percent 41.8 percent 23.8 percent 6.2 percent 13.3 percent
15.9 percent
Oppose 44.7 percent 31.4 percent 65.1 percent 79.5 percent 64.5 percent
66.6 percent
Voters were asked if they support or oppose President Trump’s imposition of trade sanctions on other countries. By a margin
of 40.8 percent-50.0 percent, Michigan voters oppose the trade sanctions. While 26.5 percent strongly support the sanctions,
38.2 percent strongly oppose the sanctions.
The chart below breaks down the question by party affiliation. Strong Republican voters overwhelmingly agree that the
media is the enemy of the people.
The chart below compares positions on whether the media is the enemy of the people by primary source of news. Only FOX
viewers believe the media is the enemy of the people.
By a margin of 40.8 percent-49.1 percent, Michigan voters oppose impeachment hearings against President Trump. But 40.8
percent of voters now support impeachment hearings.
o Independent voters are opposed to impeachment hearings by a margin of 33.5 percent support to 49.6 percent
opposed.
Hello, my name is __________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a survey of voters in our community. It should take
approximately ten minutes.
B. Thinking about the General Election on November 6th of this year, would you say are definitely going to vote, probably going
to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?
1. CODE:
2. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?
3. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?
4. And do you think things in Detroit are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the wrong track?
5. And what would you say is the most important issue facing our community right now?
And what would you say is the most important issue facing
our community right now? Number Percent
Jobs and the Economy 101 16.8 percent
Roads and Bridges 77 12.8 percent
Water and Sewer Infrastructure 26 4.3 percent
Government Spending 14 2.3 percent
High Taxes 13 2.2 percent
Education Quality 29 4.8 percent
Education Funding 25 4.2 percent
Auto Insurance Rates 14 2.3 percent
Crime and Drugs 49 8.2 percent
Poor Leadership/ Divided Politics 37 6.2 percent
Immigration 16 2.7 percent
Community Development 9 1.5 percent
Availability of Health Care 31 5.2 percent
Environmental Issues 15 2.5 percent
Morality and Social issues 21 3.5 percent
Racism/ Racial Inequality 5 0.8 percent
High Cost of Living/ Homelessness 22 3.7 percent
Poor Public Transportation 3 0.5 percent
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 20
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Misc 0 0.0 percent
Don't know/ Refused/ Nothing 93 15.5 percent
Total 600 100.0 percent
6. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person.
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
24. Do you approve or disapprove the job being done by Betsy DeVos as US Secretary of Education? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
25. Thinking back eight years to 2010, do you think things in Michigan have gotten better than they were eight years ago, things
have gotten worse than they were eight years ago, or would you say things are about the same as they were eight years ago?
26. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] John James
was the Republican candidates, Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate, George Huffman was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Marcia Squier was the Green candidate, and John Howard Wilhelm was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Michigan’s United State Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
27. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 26
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September10, 2018
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
28. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, and Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?
29. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 27
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September10, 2018
1. Benson/ Democratic 39.8 percent BENSON 43.7 percent
2. Lean Benson 3.9 percent
3. Lang/ Republican 26.0 percent LANG 28.5 percent
4. Lean Lang 2.5 percent
5. Stempfle/ Libertarian 3.9 percent THIRD PARTY: 5.2 percent
6. Gale/ US Taxpayers 1.3 percent
7. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 22.5 percent UNDECIDED: 22.5 percent
30. Michigan voters will decide several ballot proposals on Election Day. Would you say you support or oppose a proposal to
legalize recreational marijuana in Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
31. And would you say you support or oppose an amendment to Michigan’s Constitution that would create an Independent
Redistricting Commission to be in charge of redrawing Michigan’s legislative and congressional district boundaries. ASK:
WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
33. Do you support or oppose the investigation being conducted by Robert Mueller into Russian meddling in the 2016 election?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
34. And would you say the investigation is fair or would you say the investigation is rigged?
35. Do you support or oppose regulating internet search engines like Google to make sure that positive stories about the Trump
Administration are more highly placed in internet searches?
ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
36. Do you support or oppose President Trump’s imposition of trade sanctions on other countries? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
37. Would you agree or disagree with President Trump that the media are the enemy of the people? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY AGREE/DISAGREE OR JUST SOMEWHAT AGREE/DISAGREE?
39. Do you support or oppose the House of Representative bringing impeachment proceedings against President Trump? ASK:
WOULD YOU STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
40. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?
41. And would you say you are more a support of Donald Trump or more a supporter of the Republican Party?
42. And would you say you were more a supporter or Hillary Clinton or more a supporter of Bernie Sanders?
43. Do you or does any member of your family belong to a labor union or teachers association?
44. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s election? You can name any number from one to ten.
SCORE: 9.4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref
0.5 percent 0.0 percent 0.0 percent 0.3 percent 2.0 percent 1.8 percent 4.8 percent 9.9 percent 7.1 percent
73.7 percent 0.0 percent
46. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?
47. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?
50. TELEPHONE
51. This survey was commissioned by the news media. Occasionally, they choose to talk to several participants of the survey.
Can we release your name and telephone to them if they want to talk to you? Or would you prefer that your opinions remain
confidential? IF YES, ASK:
AND CAN WE RELEASE YOUR RESPONSES OR WOULD YOU PREFER THAT YOUR RESPONSES REMAIN
CONFIDENTIAL?
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 34
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1. Yes, release responses.
2. No, responses remain confidential.
2. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Metro 33.7 percent 55.7 percent
Out State 42.8 percent 40.5 percent
3. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?
Right Wrong
Metro 44.0 percent 41.7 percent
Out State 48.2 percent 38.1 percent
4. And do you think things in Detroit are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Metro 68.3 percent 15.9 percent
Out State 30.8 percent 24.4 percent
6. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
Dem GOP
Metro 53.4 percent 26.9 percent
Out State 38.5 percent 41.1 percent
7. Donald Trump
Strong Dem 4.2 percent 92.1 percent 1.9 percent 0.0 percent
Lean Dem 4.3 percent 89.4 percent 6.4 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 26.0 percent 56.9 percent 15.4 percent 0.0 percent
Lean GOP 74.1 percent 25.9 percent 0.0 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 85.3 percent 9.8 percent 4.9 percent 0.0 percent
8. Bill Schuette
Strong Dem 5.6 percent 66.8 percent 16.4 percent 9.8 percent
Lean Dem 8.5 percent 61.7 percent 17.0 percent 12.8 percent
Independent 18.7 percent 37.4 percent 27.6 percent 14.6 percent
Lean GOP 44.4 percent 17.3 percent 24.7 percent 13.6 percent
Strong GOP 58.7 percent 13.3 percent 21.09 percent 7.0 percent
9. Gretchen Whitmer
Strong Dem 66.4 percent 4.7 percent 18.7 percent 8.4 percent
Lean Dem 66.0 percent 2.1 percent 14.9 percent 17.0 percent
Independent 35.0 percent 14.6 percent 28.5 percent 19.5 percent
Lean GOP 8.6 percent 39.5 percent 27.2 percent 23.5 percent
Strong GOP 11.2 percent 38.5 percent 23.1 percent 26.6 percent
Strong Dem 15.9 percent 0.5 percent 15.4 percent 63.6 percent
Lean Dem 14.9 percent 2.1 percent 25.5 percent 55.3 percent
Independent 8.9 percent 5.7 percent 11.4 percent 71.5 percent
Lean GOP 1.2 percent 7.4 percent 14.8 percent 75.3 percent
Strong GOP 2.1 percent 7.0 percent 13.3 percent 76.9 percent
Strong Dem 7.9 percent 8.4 percent 17.3 percent 63.1 percent
Lean Dem 8.5 percent 6.4 percent 25.5 percent 57.4 percent
Independent 4.1 percent 5.7 percent 16.3 percent 73.2 percent
Lean GOP 6.2 percent 2.5 percent 14.8 percent 75.3 percent
Strong GOP 8.4 percent 5.6 percent 20.3 percent 65.0 percent
Strong Dem 82.2 percent 7.9 percent 8.9 percent 0.9 percent
Lean Dem 76.6 percent 10.6 percent 8.5 percent 4.3 percent
Independent 56.9 percent 17.9 percent 22.8 percent 2.4 percent
Lean GOP 35.8 percent 48.1 percent 9.9 percent 6.2 percent
Strong GOP 13.3 percent 74.1 percent 11.2 percent 1.4 percent
Strong Dem 6.1 percent 26.2 percent 15.4 percent 49.1 percent
Lean Dem 4.3 percent 29.8 percent 31.9 percent 34.0 percent
Independent 8.9 percent 13.0 percent 27.6 percent 48.8 percent
Lean GOP 42.0 percent 3.7 percent 14.8 percent 39.5 percent
Strong GOP 46.9 percent 3.5 percent 10.5 percent 38.5 percent
Strong Dem 3.3 percent 6.5 percent 12.1 percent 74.3 percent
Lean Dem 0.0 percent 6.4 percent 23.4 percent 66.0 percent
Independent 4.1 percent 4.9 percent 17.1 percent 73.2 percent
Lean GOP 1.2 percent 3.7 percent 17.3 percent 77.8 percent
Strong GOP 4.9 percent 3.5 percent 11.9 percent 77.6 percent
Strong Dem 9.3 percent 2.8 percent 9.8 percent 74.3 percent
Lean Dem 12.8 percent 0.0 percent 6.4 percent 76.6 percent
Independent 2.4 percent 4.9 percent 10.6 percent 78.9 percent
Lean GOP 1.2 percent 0.0 percent 7.4 percent 88.9 percent
Strong GOP 0.7 percent 4.2 percent 8.4 percent 84.6 percent
Strong Dem 9.3 percent 2.3 percent 10.7 percent 73.4 percent
Lean Dem 8.5 percent 0.0 percent 17.0 percent 70.2 percent
Independent 4.1 percent 3.3 percent 10.6 percent 78.9 percent
Lean GOP 1.2 percent 0.0 percent 12.3 percent 84.0 percent
Strong GOP 1.4 percent 4.2 percent 8.4 percent 84.6 percent
Strong Dem 4.7 percent 3.3 percent 8.9 percent 79.4 percent
Lean Dem 4.3 percent 2.1 percent 10.6 percent 78.7 percent
Independent 1.6 percent 2.4 percent 12.2 percent 79.7 percent
Lean GOP 0.0 percent 0.0 percent 7.4 percent 92.6 percent
Strong GOP 1.4 percent 2.8 percent 7.7 percent 86.7 percent
Strong Dem 68.2 percent 16.8 percent 11.7 percent 2.3 percent
Lean Dem 51.1 percent 27.7 percent 19.1 percent 2.1 percent
Independent 32.5 percent 38.2 percent 22.8 percent 4.9 percent
Lean GOP 18.5 percent 58.0 percent 16.0 percent 7.4 percent
Strong GOP 17.5 percent 74.1 percent 4.2 percent 4.2 percent
Strong Dem 17.3 percent 73.4 percent 8.9 percent 0.5 percent
Lean Dem 31.9 percent 53.2 percent 12.8 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 37.4 percent 39.8 percent 20.3 percent 2.4 percent
Lean GOP 55.6 percent 23.5 percent 19.8 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 69.2 percent 21.7 percent 9.1 percent 0.0 percent
Strong Dem 11.7 percent 72.0 percent 9.3 percent 6.1 percent
Lean Dem 6.4 percent 80.9 percent 6.4 percent 2.1 percent
Independent 11.4 percent 51.2 percent 24.4 percent 11.4 percent
Lean GOP 29.6 percent 33.3 percent 32.1 percent 4.9 percent
Strong GOP 49.0 percent 18.2 percent 18.9 percent 11.9 percent
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strong Dem 2.8 percent 6.5 percent 5.6 percent 82.7 percent
Lean Dem 2.1 percent 4.3 percent 10.6 percent 80.9 percent
Independent 17.1 percent 24.4 percent 14.6 percent 33.3 percent
Lean GOP 46.9 percent 30.9 percent 7.4 percent 9.9 percent
Strong GOP 62.2 percent 30.1 percent 0.7 percent 3.5 percent
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Debbie Stabenow as United States Senator? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strong Dem 46.7 percent 28.5 percent 7.9 percent 5.6 percent
Lean Dem 34.0 percent 42.6 percent 6.4 percent 2.1 percent
Independent 26.8 percent 29.3 percent 10.6 percent 6.5 percent
Lean GOP 4.9 percent 37.0 percent 24.7 percent 19.8 percent
Strong GOP 5.6 percent 14.0 percent 23.1 percent 45.5 percent
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Rick Snyder as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE
STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strong Dem 3.3 percent 15.9 percent 20.6 percent 52.3 percent
Lean Dem 8.5 percent 31.9 percent 17.0 percent 34.0 percent
Independent 17.1 percent 33.3 percent 20.3 percent 20.3 percent
Lean GOP 21.0 percent 39.5 percent 22.2 percent 8.6 percent
Strong GOP 36.4 percent 39.9 percent 10.5 percent 9.1 percent
24. Do you approve or disapprove the job being done by Betsy DeVos as US Secretary of Education? ASK: WOULD THAT
BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strong Dem 2.3 percent 6.1 percent 5.6 percent 77.1 percent
Lean Dem 6.4 percent 2.1 percent 14.9 percent 70.2 percent
Independent 2.4 percent 14.6 percent 11.4 percent 51.2 percent
Lean GOP 16.0 percent 19.8 percent 22.2 percent 27.2 percent
Strong GOP 28.7 percent 24.5 percent 6.3 percent 16.1 percent
25. Thinking back eight years to 2010, do you think things in Michigan have gotten better than they were eight years ago, things
have gotten worse than they were eight years ago, or would you say things are about the same as they were eight years ago?
Strong Dem 86.9 percent 6.1 percent 1.9 percent 0.5 percent 3.7 percent
Lean Dem 83.0 percent 4.3 percent 2.1 percent 0.0 percent 6.4 percent
Independent 49.6 percent 4.9 percent 9.8 percent 3.3 percent 29.3 percent
Lean GOP 17.3 percent 2.5 percent 59.3 percent 4.9 percent 13.6 percent
Strong GOP 7.7 percent 2.1 percent 80.4 percent 6.3 percent 2.1 percent
Male 48.0 percent 3.7 percent 35.0 percent 3.4 percent 7.5 percent
Female 54.1 percent 4.8 percent 24.5 percent 2.5 percent 12.4 percent
Union 54.9 percent 4.2 percent 27.2 percent 2.3 percent 9.4 percent
Non Union 49.6 percent 4.4 percent 30.3 percent 3.3 percent 10.5 percent
18-29 48.1 percent 6.5 percent 23.4 percent 7.8 percent 11.7 percent
30-39 36.3 percent 7.8 percent 30.4 percent 2.9 percent 16.7 percent
40-49 49.0 percent 5.0 percent 33.0 percent 2.0 percent 10.0 percent
50-64 55.6 percent 2.7 percent 31.6 percent 2.7 percent 7.0 percent
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65+ 60.0 percent 1.4 percent 27.9 percent 1.4 percent 7.9 percent
27. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Strong Dem 88.3 percent 5.1 percent 2.8 percent 0.0 percent 2.3 percent
Lean Dem 78.7 percent 4.3 percent 4.3 percent 2.1 percent 2.1 percent
Independent 33.3 percent 5.7 percent 21.1 percent 4.1 percent 29.3 percent
Lean GOP 8.6 percent 0.0 percent 53.1 percent 16.0 percent 16.0 percent
Strong GOP 4.9 percent 1.4 percent 79.0 percent 7.0 percent 4.2 percent
Male 43.9 percent 2.4 percent 35.4 percent 4.4 percent 7.5 percent
Female 48.4 percent 4.8 percent 27.4 percent 5.1 percent 12.4 percent
Union 48.8 percent 4.2 percent 25.4 percent 5.2 percent 11.3 percent
Non Union 45.2 percent 3.3 percent 34.2 percent 4.4 percent 9.5 percent
18-29 44.2 percent 5.2 percent 27.3 percent 6.5 percent 6.5 percent
30-39 39.2 percent 4.9 percent 25.5 percent 8.8 percent 13.7 percent
40-49 43.0 percent 4.0 percent 36.0 percent 4.0 percent 11.0 percent
50-64 49.7 percent 2.7 percent 34.2 percent 2.1 percent 9.1 percent
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65+ 50.0 percent 2.9 percent 30.0 percent 5.0 percent 10.0 percent
28. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, and Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Strong Dem 79.0 percent 5.6 percent 2.8 percent 0.0 percent 9.8 percent
Lean Dem 61.7 percent 8.5 percent 2.1 percent 0.0 percent 25.5 percent
Independent 24.4 percent 2.4 percent 8.9 percent 2.4 percent 55.3 percent
Lean GOP 2.5 percent 1.2 percent 45.7 percent 9.9 percent 33.3 percent
Strong GOP 4.2 percent 0.7 percent 71.3 percent 7.7 percent 11.2 percent
Male 35.7 percent 3.1 percent 30.3 percent 3.7 percent 21.1 percent
Female 41.7 percent 3.8 percent 21.7 percent 3.5 percent 26.1 percent
Union 42.3 percent 4.2 percent 18.8 percent 4.2 percent 23.9 percent
Non Union 37.5 percent 3.1 percent 29.6 percent 2.8 percent 23.4 percent
18-29 36.4 percent 7.8 percent 23.4 percent 2.6 percent 19.5 percent
30-39 32.4 percent 4.9 percent 26.5 percent 2.0 percent 28.4 percent
40-49 34.0 percent 4.0 percent 31.0 percent 5.0 percent 22.0 percent
50-64 41.2 percent 1.6 percent 26.2 percent 4.3 percent 22.5 percent
65+ 45.0 percent 2.1 percent 22.1 percent 3.6 percent 25.7 percent
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 60
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September10, 2018
29. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michgian’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Strong Dem 81.3 percent 6.5 percent 1.9 percent 0.0 percent 7.5 percent
Lean Dem 57.4 percent 12.8 percent 0.0 percent 0.0 percent 23.4 percent
Independent 26.0 percent 2.4 percent 12.2 percent 3.3 percent 48.8 percent
Lean GOP 3.7 percent 1.2 percent 42.0 percent 7.4 percent 37.0 percent
Strong GOP 4.2 percent 0.0 percent 73.4 percent 3.5 percent 14.0 percent
Male 35.4 percent 4.4 percent 29.3 percent 3.1 percent 19.4 percent
Female 43.9 percent 3.5 percent 22.9 percent 1.9 percent 25.5 percent
Union 44.6 percent 4.2 percent 20.2 percent 3.8 percent 20.7 percent
Non Union 37.8 percent 3.9 percent 29.3 percent 1.8 percent 22.9 percent
18-29 40.3 percent 7.8 percent 23.4 percent 1.3 percent 20.8 percent
30-39 34.3 percent 3.9 percent 21.6 percent 7.8 percent 21.6 percent
40-49 32.0 percent 5.0 percent 30.0 percent 1.0 percent 25.0 percent
50-64 43.9 percent 2.7 percent 27.8 percent 1.1 percent 21.4 percent
65+ 43.6 percent 2.9 percent 25.0 percent 2.1 percent 24.3 percent
Strong Dem 54.7 percent 16.4 percent 5.6 percent 18.7 percent
Lean Dem 42.6 percent 27.7 percent 8.5 percent 8.5 percent
Independent 26.0 percent 21.1 percent 8.1 percent 37.4 percent
Lean GOP 24.7 percent 24.7 percent 13.6 percent 35.8 percent
Strong GOP 28.7 percent 12.6 percent 9.1 percent 43.4 percent
Strong Dem 33.6 percent 15.0 percent 9.3 percent 18.7 percent
Lean Dem 42.6 percent 12.8 percent 6.4 percent 10.6 percent
Independent 22.0 percent 14.6 percent 14.6 percent 18.7 percent
Lean GOP 13.6 percent 19.8 percent 12.3 percent 21.0 percent
Strong GOP 5.6 percent 14.0 percent 11.9 percent 26.6 percent
Strong Dem 2.8 percent 9.3 percent 14.5 percent 55.6 percent
Lean Dem 2.1 percent 8.5 percent 25.5 percent 40.4 percent
Independent 15.4 percent 14.6 percent 14.6 percent 18.7 percent
Lean GOP 42.0 percent 29.6 percent 2.5 percent 6.2 percent
Strong GOP 53.8 percent 12.6 percent 0.7 percent 4.2 percent
Strong Dem 75.7 percent 13.1 percent 2.3 percent 4.2 percent
Lean Dem 76.6 percent 21.3 percent 2.1 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 43.9 percent 26.8 percent 6.5 percent 16.3 percent
Lean GOP 17.3 percent 18.5 percent 11.1 percent 45.7 percent
Strong GOP 11.2 percent 9.1 percent 10.5 percent 60.1 percent
Fair Rigged
Metro 55.0 percent 26.9 percent
Out State 47.5 percent 37.1 percent
Strong Dem 7.9 percent 7.9 percent 6.5 percent 58.9 percent
Lean Dem 2.1 percent 10.6 percent 6.4 percent 74.5 percent
Independent 10.6 percent 13.0 percent 9.8 percent 47.2 percent
Lean GOP 21.0 percent 7.4 percent 7.4 percent 42.0 percent
Strong GOP 23.1 percent 16.8 percent 11.2 percent 23.1 percent
Strong Dem 5.6 percent 5.6 percent 15.0 percent 67.8 percent
Lean Dem 4.3 percent 14.9 percent 12.8 percent 59.6 percent
Independent 17.9 percent 18.7 percent 15.4 percent 34.1 percent
Lean GOP 42.0 percent 21.0 percent 13.6 percent 8.6 percent
Strong GOP 63.6 percent 19.6 percent 2.8 percent 7.0 percent
Strong Dem 2.8 percent 2.8 percent 7.5 percent 85.0 percent
Lean Dem 0.0 percent 0.0 percent 8.5 percent 89.4 percent
Independent 13.8 percent 13.0 percent 17.1 percent 48.8 percent
Lean GOP 35.8 percent 16.0 percent 16.0 percent 24.7 percent
Strong GOP 42.7 percent 23.1 percent 12.6 percent 11.2 percent
Strong Dem 61.2 percent 14.0 percent 8.9 percent 6.5 percent
Lean Dem 42.6 percent 21.3 percent 12.8 percent 6.4 percent
Independent 23.6 percent 8.9 percent 18.7 percent 30.9 percent
Lean GOP 2.5 percent 7.4 percent 23.5 percent 61.7 percent
Strong GOP 4.2 percent 2.1 percent 3.5 percent 85.3 percent
SCORE
Metro 9.5
Out State 9.3
Male 9.2
Female 9.5
Union 9.3
Non Union 9.4
18-29 8.8
30-39 9.0
40-49 9.2
50-64 9.5
65+ 9.8