North Dakota Senate Poll

Conducted 10/23-24/18
1,498 Respondents
Likely 2018 General Election Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.12
Response Rate: 2.3%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%
 Trump Approval

Approve 27.1%

Strongly Approve 28.7%

Disapprove 5.1%

Strongly Disapprove 38.7%

No Opinion 0.4%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Column %
 Senate Ballot Test

Cramer (R) 49.4%

Leaning Cramer 5.1%

Heitkamp (D) 38.5%

Leaning Heitkamp 7.0%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Column %
 Gender

Female 52.1%

Male 47.9%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Column %
 Age Range

18-35 2.3%

36-45 10.3%

46-55 17.1%

56-61 16.7%

62+ 53.6%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Column %
 Ethnicity

Asian 0.9%

Black 0.7%

Latino 0.9%

White 95.9%

Other 1.6%

0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0%

Column %
 Party Registration

Democrat 17.6%

Republican 69.6%

Other/No Affiliation 12.8%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

Column %
Senate Ballot Test: Gender & Age
MarketSight® Crosstab
Weight Variable = 2018 Projections, Confidence Level = 95%
GENDER Age Range
Total Female Male Total 18-35 36-45 46-55 56-61 62+
Senate Ballot Test
Cramer (R)
Column % 49.4% 47.6% 51.3% 49.4% 41.4% 53.1% 53.6% 43.4% 48.2%
Leaning towards Cramer
Column % 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 9.7% 6.3% 7.6% 3.8% 4.3%
Heitkamp (D)
Column % 38.5% 39.4% 37.6% 38.5% 30.7% 36.6% 35.2% 47.9% 38.6%
Leaning towards Heitkamp
Column % 7.0% 7.7% 6.3% 7.0% 18.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 8.8%

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Senate Ballot Test: Ethnicity
MarketSight® Crosstab
Weight Variable = 2018 Projections, Confidence Level = 95%
Ethnicity
Total Asian Black Hispanic White Other
Senate Ballot Test
Cramer (R)
Column % 49.4% 74.8% 33.6% 25.2% 49.4% 44.8%
Leaning towards Cramer
Column % 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Heitkamp (D)
Column % 38.5% 25.2% 66.4% 51.0% 38.4% 45.3%
Leaning towards Heitkamp
Column % 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23.8% 7.1% 9.9%

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