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original article
A bs t r ac t
Background
From Risk MR Pharmacovigilance Services, A previous meta-analysis of data from clinical trials showed an association between
Zaragoza (A.A., F.M.A.); the Department antiepileptic drugs and suicidality (suicidal ideation, behavior, or both). We used
of Psychiatry, Hospital Universitario de la
Princesa, Universidad Autónoma de Ma- observational data to examine the association between the use or nonuse of anti-
drid, and Centro de Investigación Bio- epileptic drugs and suicide-related events (attempted suicides and completed sui-
médica en Red de Salud Mental, Instituto cides) in patients with epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder.
de Salud Carlos III, Madrid (J.L.A.-M.) —
all in Spain; and RiskMR, Bridgewater, NJ
(C.E.W., F.M.A.). Address reprint requests Methods
to Dr. Arana at Risk MR Pharmacovigi- We used data collected as part of the clinical care of patients who were representa-
lance Services, Jerónimo Zurita 14, 1-D,
50001 Zaragoza, Spain, or at arana.riskmr@ tive of the general population in the United Kingdom to identify patients with epi-
gmail.com. lepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder and to determine whether they received anti-
epileptic drugs. We estimated the incidence rate of suicide-related events and used
N Engl J Med 2010;363:542-51.
Copyright © 2010 Massachusetts Medical Society. logistic regression to compute odds ratios, controlling for confounding factors.
Results
In a cohort of 5,130,795 patients, the incidence of suicide-related events per 100,000
person-years was 15.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.6 to 15.5) among patients
without epilepsy, depression, bipolar disorder, or antiepileptic-drug treatment, 38.2
(95% CI, 26.3 to 53.7) among patients with epilepsy who did not receive antiepileptic
drugs, and 48.2 (95% CI, 39.4 to 58.5) among patients with epilepsy who received
antiepileptic drugs. In adjusted analyses, the use of antiepileptic drugs was not as-
sociated with an increased risk of suicide-related events among patients with epi-
lepsy (odds ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.98) or bipolar disorder (1.13; 95% CI, 0.35
to 3.61) but was significantly associated with an increased risk among patients with
depression (1.65; 95% CI, 1.24 to 2.19) and those who did not have epilepsy, depres-
sion, or bipolar disorder (2.57; 95% CI, 1.78 to 3.71).
Conclusions
The current use of antiepileptic drugs was not associated with an increased risk of
suicide-related events among patients with epilepsy, but it was associated with an
increased risk of such events among patients with depression and among those who
did not have epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder.
S
uicide is the 13th leading cause of the manuscript. All authors reviewed the manu-
death worldwide,1 and attempted suicide is script and decided before the study began to sub-
a major cause of injury.2 Psychiatric disor- mit the manuscript for publication.
ders (especially affective conditions) increase the
risk of suicide.3-5 Epilepsy increases both the risk Source Population and Data
of suicide among patients with psychiatric disor- We performed the study using The Health Im-
ders6 and the risk of the development of psychi- provement Network (THIN) database, which is rep-
atric illness.7 The early onset of epilepsy, female resentative of the general population in the Unit-
sex, psychiatric illness, temporal-lobe epilepsy, ed Kingdom12 and includes more than 6.7 million
and inadequate neurologic follow-up are risk fac- patients. THIN data are entered at general prac-
tors for suicide among patients with epilepsy.6,8 titioners’ offices and are based on the daily rec
Depression is common in patients with severe ord keeping of these practices. The data provide
epilepsy,8 but the severity of epilepsy does not anonymous demographic, medical, and prescrip-
necessarily correlate with the risk of suicide.5 tion information on individual patients, and they
The risk of suicide increases soon after the onset provide a longitudinal medical record for each
of epilepsy5 and then decreases gradually. Patients patient.13
with long-standing epilepsy or dysphoric condi-
tions appear to have an increased risk of suicide Study Population
soon after gaining control of their seizures.9 Patients were eligible for inclusion in the study
In January 2008, the Food and Drug Admin- population if they were enrolled in a clinical prac-
istration (FDA) issued a safety warning on the tice for at least 6 months during the study period
risk of suicidality associated with antiepileptic (from July 1, 1988, through March 31, 2008). A
drugs.10 The warning summarized the results of a history of a suicide attempt is the major risk fac-
meta-analysis of placebo-controlled clinical trials tor for a subsequent suicide attempt.14 Thus, we
of 11 antiepileptic drugs; this meta-analysis showed excluded patients with a family history of suicide
a risk of the development of suicidality (primar- and a personal history of one or more suicide at-
ily suicidal behavior or ideation) that was twice tempts.
as high among patients who received antiepilep- The study had two components. In the descrip-
tic drugs as among patients who received pla- tive analysis, we estimated the crude incidence
cebo. The risk increased soon after the initiation rate of suicide-related events among patients with
of treatment, persisted through week 24, and was epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder, with or
elevated regardless of the type of antiepileptic without the use of antiepileptic drugs. We then
drugs received and the indication for their use. performed a case−control analysis to examine
The assessment of suicidality in the clinical the association between the use or nonuse of
trials that were included in the meta-analysis antiepileptic drugs and suicide-related events.
was subject to several limitations such as the
lack of systematic or standardized language to Definition of the Cohorts
define suicidal ideation and behavior across In the descriptive analysis, we defined the refer-
clinical trials.11 We examined the association be- ence group as patients who did not have epilepsy,
tween antiepileptic drugs and suicide-related depression, or bipolar disorder and did not re-
events (defined as suicide attempts and completed ceive antiepileptic drugs. The other cohorts are
suicides), using data collected as part of clinical listed in Table 1.
practice in the United Kingdom.
Cohort Follow-up
Me thods Patients were assigned to cohorts according to
the presence of an event that defined a given co-
Study Design and Oversight hort. The index date was the date when the last
The study was designed by the investigators in Read code15 that would include a patient in a co-
Spain. The data were collected by the second au- hort was recorded. Patients were followed until
thor, and the analyses were performed by the death, loss to follow-up, or the end of the study
first and second authors. The last author wrote period, whichever came first.
Selection of Controls
Exposure to Medications For the case−control component of the study, we
The antiepileptic drugs of interest were those randomly selected five controls from the cohort
drugs identified in the FDA’s meta-analysis which for each case patient, matched according to age
were available in the United Kingdom: carbamaz at the index date (±5 years), sex, and clinical prac-
epine, gabapentin, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, tice. Using risk-set control sampling, we defined
oxcarbazepine, pregabalin, tiagabine, topiramate, the date of the end of the follow-up period for the
valproate, and zonisamide (felbamate was not in- controls as the date when the case patient received
cluded because it was not marketed in the United a diagnosis. There were no unmatched case pa-
Kingdom). Current use was defined as the inter- tients. For the analysis of the use or nonuse of
val between the date of the prescription of an antiepileptic drugs within each category of ill-
antiepileptic drug and 75 days after that date. ness, another set of controls, matched according
After that interval, as long as no other antiepilep- to age, sex, clinical practice, and psychiatric or
tic drug was prescribed, the patient was consid- neurologic condition, was selected. A total of 103
ered to be a previous user. Patients without codes case patients did not match any controls.
for antiepileptic drugs were classified as nonusers.
Statistical Analysis
Case Identification and Characterization We described the characteristics of the various
Cases of suicide-related events were based on cohorts using frequency tables. We calculated
codes for suicide, attempted suicide, and inten-the incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals
tional self-inflicted injuries plus suicide. A com-
for suicide-related events in each of the cohorts
pleted suicide was defined as a code for suicidal-
with the use of a Poisson regression model.
ity followed by a code for death in the following The relationship between the use or nonuse
month and a final date of any administrative of antiepileptic drugs and suicide-related events
activity in the database or disenrollment within(expressed as odds ratios and 95% confidence
6 months after the suicidality code. If the disen-
intervals) was assessed with the use of a fixed-
rollment date occurred more than 6 months after effects conditional logistic-regression model. In
a suicidality code, we reviewed the patient’s pro-
addition to matching for age, sex, clinical prac-
file. Patients with a last medical or other health-
tice, and condition when applicable, we controlled
related code that was recorded within 1 month for potential confounders (Table 2) with the use
after the suicide date were also considered to of a backward-elimination process by stepwise
have completed suicide. deletion of the confounder that made the small-
est change in the exposure−effect estimate on
Case Validation deletion, provided that the effect of the con-
We selected a random sample of 218 cases of founder was 10% or less of the estimated effect.
suicide-related events (86 suicides and 132 at- Any confounder with an effect of more than 10%
Table 2. Demographic Characteristics and Risk Factors for Suicide-Related Events, According to Use or Nonuse
of Antiepileptic Drugs.*
No Epilepsy, Depression,
Bipolar Disorder, or Use Antiepileptic Epilepsy and Use
of Antiepileptic Drugs Drugs Only Epilepsy Only of Antiepileptic Drugs
Variable (N = 4,514,366)† (N = 77,319) (N = 16,120) (N = 39,325)
Male sex — no. (%) 2,273,135 (50.4) 34,978 (45.2) 8,565 (53.1) 20,868 (53.1)
Age — no. (%)
<20 yr 1,413,006 (31.3) 3,975 (5.1) 3,715 (23.0) 7,935 (20.2)
20–34 yr 1,204,371 (26.7) 7,506 (9.7) 4,786 (29.7) 8,815 (22.4)
>34–64 yr 1,326,817 (29.4) 34,689 (44.9) 5,564 (34.5) 14,031 (35.7)
>64 yr 500,482 (11.1) 30,848 (39.9) 1,762 (10.9) 8,008 (20.4)
Data missing 69,690 (1.5) 301 (0.4) 293 (1.8) 536 (1.4)
Mean age — yr 32.0±23.1 56.5±20.6 35.3±20.9 41.3±23.5
Duration of time in study — yr 6.2±5.3 3.9±3.9 5.4±4.9 5.4±4.7
Drug use in previous yr — no. (%)
Antipsychotic agent 53,894 (1.2) 7,910 (10.2) 488 (3.0) 2,588 (6.6)
Antidepressant agent 103,343 (2.3) 23,034 (29.8) 810 (5.0) 3,002 (7.6)
Lithium 1,146 (<0.1) 402 (0.5) 6 (<0.1) 38 (0.1)
History — no. (%)
Drug abuse 1,232 (<0.1) 80 (0.1) 15 (0.1) 25 (0.1)
Diagnosis of mental disorder 171,846 (3.8) 13,845 (17.9) 1,794 (11.1) 4,174 (10.6)
Alcohol abuse 26,189 (0.6) 2,106 (2.7) 620 (3.8) 1,199 (3.0)
Chronic disease score‡
Mean score 0.45±0.97 3.26±1.96 0.68±1.20 2.09±1.51
Score — no. (%)
0 3,443,036 (76.3) 1,776 (2.3) 10,801 (67.0) 973 (2.5)
1 509,052 (11.3) 16,023 (20.7) 2,236 (13.9) 18,973 (48.2)
2 329,417 (7.3) 12,478 (16.1) 1,650 (10.2) 7,111 (18.1)
3 137,521 (3.0) 14,830 (19.2) 788 (4.9) 5,644 (14.4)
4 59,001 (1.3) 12,887 (16.7) 375 (2.3) 3,468 (8.8)
5 36,339 (0.8) 19,325 (25.0) 270 (1.7) 3,156 (8.0)
on the estimate was kept in the model. To con- follow-up. Table 2, and Table 1 in the Supplemen-
trol for the severity of chronic disease, we included
tary Appendix, show the demographic character-
a modified version of the chronic disease score istics of the patients. Overall, 48.6% of the pa-
in the model.17,18 All analyses were conducted tients were male, and the mean (±SD) age was
with the use of SAS software, version 9.1 (SAS 33.7±23.1 years. The mean follow-up time for all
Institute) and Stata software, version 7.0 (Stata). the cohorts was 6.2±5.2 years. A total of 66,925
patients had epilepsy; 16,120 of these patients
R e sult s did not have a diagnosis of depression or bipolar
disorder and did not receive antiepileptic drugs.
Characteristics of the Patients A total of 435,790 patients with depression only
The cohorts included a total of 5,130,795 pa- and 3814 with bipolar disorder only did not re-
tients, with a total of 31,527,585 patient-years of ceive antiepileptic drugs. A total of 77,319 pa-
Table 3. Incidence of Suicide-Related Events, According to Cohorts and Use or Nonuse of Antiepileptic Drugs.
tients received antiepileptic drugs but did not Supplementary Appendix. The incidence rate of
have epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder. The suicide-related events among patients who did
indications for the use of antiepileptic drugs in not have epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder
these patients were not known, although pain was 57.9 (95% CI, 42.8 to 76.5) per 100,000 per-
and pain-related diagnoses (e.g., herpes zoster) son-years for current users of antiepileptic drugs
were documented in the records of 18.7% of these and 32.3 (95% CI, 25.2 to 40.7) per 100,000 per-
patients in the 30 days before prescription of the son-years for previous users of antiepileptic drugs
antiepileptic drugs. (Table 4 in the Supplementary Appendix). Among
patients with depression alone, the incidence rate
Incidence of Attempted and Completed of suicide-related events was 129.1 (95% CI, 124.7
Suicides to 133.6) per 100,000 person-years for those who
A total of 8212 patients attempted suicide, includ- were not currently receiving antiepileptic drugs
ing 464 patients who completed suicide. The in- and 177.3 (95% CI, 155.2 to 201.6) per 100,000
cidence rate of suicide-related events among pa- person-years for those who were receiving anti-
tients without epilepsy, depression, or bipolar epileptic drugs. Among patients with bipolar dis-
disorder who did not receive antiepileptic drugs order alone, the incidence rate of suicide-related
(the reference group) was 15.0 (95% confidence events was 215.0 (95% CI, 158.5 to 285.1) per
interval [CI], 14.6 to 15.5) per 100,000 person- 100,000 person-years for those who were not re-
years (Table 3). Details of the incidence of suicide ceiving antiepileptic drugs and 441.3 (95% CI,
according to the patient’s psychiatric or neuro- 315.2 to 600.9) per 100,000 person-years for those
logic condition are available in Table 2 in the who were receiving antiepileptic drugs. Among
Table 4. Combined Effect of Use of Antiepileptic Drugs and Various Conditions on the Risk of Suicide-Related Events,
Adjusted for Covariates.*
Case
Cohort Patients Controls Odds Ratio (95% CI)
number
No epilepsy, depression, or bipolar disorder
No use of antiepileptic drugs (reference group) 5,948 45,620 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 76 84 2.57 (1.78−3.71)
Epilepsy only (no depression or bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 64 168 3.34 (2.34−4.78)
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 134 380 2.31 (1.77−3.02)
Depression only (no epilepsy or bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 3,475 4,448 1.58 (1.43−1.74)
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 239 159 2.06 (1.36−3.11)
Bipolar disorder only (no epilepsy)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 60 42 2.44 (1.48−4.03)
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 40 7 3.77 (1.24−11.43)
Epilepsy and depression (no bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 33 37 1.60 (0.91−2.81)
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 93 59 2.82 (1.71−4.67)
Epilepsy and bipolar disorder
No use of antiepileptic drugs 0 1 0
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 2 0 Infinite
* Odds ratios were derived from one conditional logistic-regression model with matching according to age (±5 years),
sex, and clinical practice. Odds ratios were adjusted for age, duration of disease, previous use of antiepileptic drugs,
lithium, antipsychotic drugs, or antidepressants; presence or absence of a history of alcohol abuse or a mental disor-
der; and chronic disease score.
Odds Ratio
to draw firm conclusions. Among patients with
bipolar disorder in our study, the odds ratio for
1.0
suicide-related events was 0.56 (95% CI, 0.11 to
1.71) among those who received antiepileptic
drugs and lithium and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.45 to 1.19)
among those who received lithium alone, as 0.1
No Disorder Epilepsy Depression Bipolar Disorder
compared with patients who received neither
lithium nor antiepileptic drugs. However, the
number of case patients who received lithium Figure 2. Effect of Current Antiepileptic-Drug Use on the Risk of Suicide-
Related Events.
was low (29 overall).
The risk is shown according to disease status (epilepsy, depression, bipolar
In general, our results do not confirm the disorder, or none of these conditions). The bars indicate 95% confidence
findings previously reported by the FDA.10 The intervals.
FDA study was a meta-analysis of data from
placebo-controlled clinical trials of the use of
antiepileptic drugs across a number of indica- of treatment and epidemiologic studies have a
tions for up to 24 weeks. Among the 142 cases long follow-up, the incidence of these early-occur-
of suicide-related events included in the meta- ring suicides becomes diluted in epidemiologic
analysis, 4 (2.8%) were completed suicides and studies as compared with clinical trials.
38 (26.8%) were suicide attempts. Our study fo- The incidence rate of completed suicide in our
cused on these “harder” end points that are of population was 1.5 per 100,000 patient-years. In
greatest clinical concern and involved a longer 2007, the incidence rate was 16.8 per 100,000
follow-up (mean, 6.2 years). Unlike the FDA meta- among men and 5.0 per 100,000 among women
analysis, our results suggest that in patients in the United Kingdom.27 Potential explanations
with epilepsy, the use of antiepileptic drugs is for the lower incidence of suicide in our cohort
not associated with an increased risk of suicide include the fact that we calculated the incidence
attempts or completed suicide. Our results were rate of suicide after excluding from the sample
similar for patients with bipolar disorder: we did patients with a family history of suicide or a per-
not detect a significant effect of antiepileptic sonal history of suicide attempts and the fact
drugs on suicide-related events among patients that suicide has been shown to be underreported
with this condition, which is associated with a in THIN.28 Underreporting would not have a
high risk of suicide,23 although our results had major effect on the associations observed in our
wide confidence intervals. We could not rule out case−control analyses unless it affected some
a large association, since the upper bound of the cohorts more than others. The high positive pre-
95% confidence interval for the odds ratio ex- dictive value for the diagnosis of suicide-related
ceeded 3, but we also could not rule out a “pro- events in the case validation supports the valid-
tective” effect, since the lower confidence limit ity of our study.
was 0.35. Our findings in bipolar disorder were An increased risk of suicide-related events
consistent with those of other studies.24 Differ- among patients receiving specific antiepileptic
ences between the results of a meta-analysis drugs as compared with patients receiving topi-
conducted by the FDA and epidemiologic studies ramate for any indication has recently been re-
of suicidality have also been reported with regard ported.29 This study addressed a different ques-
to antidepressants.25 Reasons for these differ- tion and used substantially different methods.
ences include ascertainment bias11 and the in- For a patient who is being treated with antiepi-
creased frequency of suicide in the first month leptic drugs, the risk of suicide results from the
after initiation of antidepressant treatment.26 combination of the risk associated with the ill-
Since most clinical trials have a short duration ness prompting the use of these drugs and the
Table 5. Association between Current Use of Antiepileptic Drugs and Suicide-Related Events in Each of the Cohorts,
Adjusted for Covariates.*
Case
Cohort Patients Controls Odds Ratio (95% CI) P Value
number
Epilepsy only (no depression or bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 64 282 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 104 399 0.59 (0.35−0.98) 0.04
Depression only (no epilepsy or bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 3475 17,747 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 99 157 1.65 (1.24−2.19) 0.001
Bipolar disorder only (no epilepsy)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 60 65 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 17 14 1.13 (0.35−3.61) 0.84
Epilepsy and depression (no bipolar disorder)
No use of antiepileptic drugs 33 64 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 61 85 1.24 (0.56−2.72) 0.60
Epilepsy and bipolar disorder
No use of antiepileptic drugs 0 0 1.00
Current use of antiepileptic drugs 1 0 Infinite (0.00) Infinite
* Odds ratios were derived from conditional logistic-regression models matched according to diagnostic category, age
(±5 years), sex, and clinical practice. Odds ratios were adjusted for age; duration of disease; previous use of antiepilep-
tic drugs, lithium, antipsychotic drugs, or antidepressants; presence or absence of a history of alcohol abuse or a men-
tal disorder; and chronic disease score. A total of 103 case patients did not match any controls.
risk associated with the drugs themselves. Our that patients with pain, which is associated with
results, stratified according to the indication for an increased risk of suicide, received antiepilep-
drug use, suggest that illness carries more im- tic drugs. The way we built our cohorts, with no
portance than the use of antiepileptic drugs. The overlap of subjects between cohorts, may have
results of our analysis of individual antiepileptic led to immortal time bias. This bias was avoided
drugs were imprecise, with wide confidence in- in the case−control analysis.
tervals, but they point to differences in risk as- In conclusion, our findings do not provide
sociated with antiepileptic drugs used for vari- support for an association between antiepileptic
ous indications. drugs and suicide-related events among patients
To minimize confounding, we excluded from receiving antiepileptic drugs for epilepsy. How-
the analysis those patients with a history of sui- ever, we did observe an association between the
cide-related events, so it is theoretically possible current use of antiepileptic drugs and suicide-
that our results cannot be extrapolated to this related events among patients with depression
high-risk population. Although we tried to limit and among patients who did not have epilepsy,
confounding, some of the results may be partially depression, or bipolar disorder.
attributable to confounding by indication.30 For Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with
example, the increased risk observed among the full text of this article at NEJM.org.
We thank Delories Dunn, Dr. Janet Price, and Dr. Randal Mar-
patients with pain may be due to an effect of shall for their suggestions for revisions of an earlier version of
antiepileptic drugs or may simply reflect the fact the manuscript.
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