Professional Documents
Culture Documents
015735
Peter Brønnum Nielsen, MSc, PhD1,2; Torben Bjerregaard Larsen, MD, PhD1,2;
1
Dept
De pt of
of Cardiology,
C rd
Ca dio
iollogy, Atrial Fibrillation Study
y Gr
Group, Aalborg U
University
niveers
rsity Hospital, Aalborg,
Denmark; 2Aa
Denmark; Aalborg
A lborg Thrombosis
Th
Thromb
h mb
mboosiss Research
Resseaarchh Unit,
Unit, Dept
Dept
ptt of
of C
Clinical
liiniccall Med
Medicine,
diccinee, Faculty
Facu
ultty off Health,
Heallth
l th ,
Aalborg
Aalb
Aa lbor
lborgg University,
or Univer
Un ersiity
er y, Aa
Aalborg,
Aalbor
rg,
g D rk;; 3Un
Denmark;
enmaark
en University
Univ
iver
iversi
r ity ooff Bi
Birm
Birmingham
rmin
rmi gh
ingham
am C
Centre
ent
n ree ffor
or C
Cardiovascular
ardioovascu
ar ulaar
1
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
Abstract
2
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
Introduction
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are increasingly treated with oral anticoagulation (OAC),
which has been shown to reduce the risk of stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality,
compared to control 1. Until recently, OAC usually meant Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA, e.g.
warfarin), and the most feared complication was major bleeding, particularly intracranial
haemorrhage (ICH). More recently, the Non-VKA Oral Anticoagulants (NOACs) have been
introduced into clinical practice and are associated with relatively lower – but not zero – risk of
ICH, when compared to warfarin 2,3. The acute development of ICH confers a poor prognosis
with a high rate of mortality and disability, whether or not a NOAC is used.
troke 4,5. Thus, a major unanswered question is the efficacy and safety of restarting OAC
stroke
reatm
tmen
tment,
en t, relative
treatment, rel
elativ
ve to not restarting OAC, following
follow
win
ingg a presentation with ICH 6–9. Patients with
h IC
prevalent
prev
valent ICH were
werre excluded
exc
xclu
lude
lu dedd from
de from
m randomized
ran
ndoomiize
zed clinical
cllin
nical
al trials
tri
rial
a s off O
al OAC
AC ffor
or stro
stroke
ro
oke pprevention,
reve
re vent
ve ntio
nt on, aand
nd
only
onnly small
small ccase control
ase co
as contro cohort
ol or co
ohort
oho studies
or sttud v ble 10–
aavailable
u iees aree availab 10–13
. Currently,
Curr
Cu rren
entlly,
en y the
thee opt
optimal
p im
pt imal treatment
tre
reatme
meent
opti
op tion
ti
optionon iiss unkn
un
nkn
know
ownn an
unknown andd re
requ
quir
ires
ir
requireses bbalancing
alaanc
al ncin
ingg th
in thee co
comp
mpet
mp etin
et
competingingg ri
in risk
sk ooff is
isch
chem
ch emic
em
ischemicic sstroke
tro
roke
ke aand
nd rrecurrent
ecur
ec urre
rre
rent
nt
ICH in AF patients.
Using Danish nationwide registries cohort, we investigated the hypothesis that, amongst
AF patients presenting with an ICH, restarting OAC was associated with a lower risk of recurrent
stroke and/or mortality, but with a small increase in major bleeding (particularly ICH) compared
to not restarting.
Methods
We used the civil registration number assigned to all Danish residents to link three nationwide
3
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
databases 14–16 as follows: (i) discharge diagnoses classified by the International Classification of
Diseases (ICD), admission and discharge dates were obtained from the Danish National Patient
Registry; (ii) dispensed prescriptions identified by the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC)
classification code, date of purchase, package size and volume of the medication since 1994 were
obtained from the Danish National Prescription Registry; and (iii) information on age, sex, date
of birth, emigration and vital status were attained from the Danish Civil Registration System.
Study population
All Danish citizens with an incident nonvalvular AF diagnosis between January 1997 and
December 2013 were identified. Patients with a subsequent incident ICH (ICD10:
0:: I60-I62;
I60
60-I
-I62
-I 62;;
62
S063C; S064-S066) requiring admission to a hospital were included. Exclusion criteria were
valv
vul
ular
ar A
valvular F de
AF ddefined
fiine
ned as presence of mitral stenosi
siss oorr mechanical heart vvalve
si
stenosis a ve (ICD10: I05 and
al
Z 9552-Z954). Pa
Z952-Z954). atie
tients
ts w
Patients ithh IC
it
with ICH
H orr ccomplications
ompplicat
om atio
at ons ffrom
room
om IICH
CH ((ICD10:
ICD
IC D10:
0: II690-692)
6900-6992) pprior
69 rior
ri or too th
thei
eirr AF
ei
their
di
iag
agnnosis we
diagnosis werre also
were also excluded.
ex
xcluded
ed
d. We
W fu
furt
the
herr re
further equuired
requiredd ppatients
attie
iennts to
o bbee in
nO AC tre
OAC eat
atm
mentt ddefined
treatment efin
ned ass a
clai
cl aime
ai medd VKA
me
claimed VKA or NOAC
NOA
OACC prescription
pres
pr escr
es crip
cr ipti
ip tion
ti on within
wit
ithi
it hinn 6 months
hi mont
mo nths
nt hs prior
pri
rior
or to
to the
the ICH
ICH event.
even
ev entt. This
en Thi
hiss was
waas done
done to
to
support the assumption that included patients were indeed in OAC treatment at the time of the
incident ICH event. Patients were followed in the National Patient Registry after a ‘quarantine
period’ defined as 6 weeks after hospital discharge. This period was chosen to ensure that events
could reasonably be attributed to treatment regimens rather than inadequate correction of the
initial coagulation deficit, i.e. reversal of the incident ICH (and adjacent) event 9,17–20 . Further,
the use of a relatively long quarantine period can reduce confounding by indication, as those
patients initially deemed at a very high risk of recurrent ICH would probably not be advised to
resume anticoagulation within this period (e.g. patients with lobar haemorrhage 21).
4
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
treatment’, ‘Antiplatelet therapy’ or ‘OAC treatment’. The following ATC codes were utilised to
account for OAC treatment: B01AA (coumarin derivatives), B01AE07 (dabigatran etexilate);
B01AF01-02 (rivaroxaban and apixaban). For antiplatelet therapy the following ATC codes were
utilised: B01AC06 (aspirin) and B01AC04, B01AC22 and B01AC24 (Thienopyridines). When
discharged from the hospital, all included patients were initially assigned to ‘no antithrombotic
treatment’ and if antithrombotic therapy was reinitiated, to either ‘Antiplatelet therapy’ or ‘OAC
treatment’
reatment’ categories, whichever prescription was claimed first [Figure 1]. Treatment
Treatme
ment
me nt exposure
exp
xpos
osur
os ure
ur
Outcome
Outc omee measures
tccom measur
me ures
ur e
The
T analysis
hee primary an
naly iss pplan
alysis laan us
lan ed tthe
used he pprincipal
rinc
ri al ooutcomes
ncipal mess ooff is
utcom
om ischemic
isch emicc sstroke/systemic
chem
ch em trookee/syyst
tr stem ic eembolism
emic
em mbollis
mb ismm
(SE),
E),, all-cause
SE) use mortality
all-caus
us mortallityy andd recurrent
mo reecu
c rr e t ICH.
rren CH.. Given
IC Givenn the
thee severity
ty ooff th
se erity
seve studied
tudieed ooutcomes,
thee st utcom wee oonly
omes,, w
om nlly
considered
cons
co nsid
ns ider
id ered
ered eevents
ntss if tthe
veent
vent he ppatient
atie
at ient
ie as aadmitted
nt was dmit
dm tedd to tthe
itte
it te tall 22; hence,
he hhospital
ospi
os pita
pi ta henc
he ncee, wee did
nc did not
not consider
cons
co nsid
ns ider
id er
ambulatory diagnosis. Additionally, emergency room coded diagnoses were not included in this
study due to poor validity 23. The primary study endpoint was a combined endpoint of ischemic
stroke/SE (ICD10 diagnosis: I63; I64; I74) and all-cause mortality, given the positive impact of
OAC on stroke and mortality 1 and recognising that in registry data, some deaths may be due to
Secondary analyses were carried out for ischemic stroke/SE; for recurrent ICH; for major
extra cranial bleeding (ICD10: D62; J942; H113; H356; H431; N02; N95; R04; R31; R58; K250
K260 K270 K280 K290), and for all-cause mortality. If, in the primary analysis, antithrombotic
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
therapy did show benefit versus being left untreated (commonly seen in practice post-ICH 5,24), a
secondary analysis calculating net clinical benefit (NCB) of resuming antithrombotic therapy (vs
ischaemic stroke reduction versus the increased risk of ICH 25. NCB with 95% confidence
intervals (CI) were based on rate differences and standard errors estimated obtained using
Poisson regression. We applied a weight of 1 for ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality and
a weight of 1.5 for recurrent ICH as proposed by Singer et al 25. Accompanying the NCB
analysis, we also investigated the event rate for the composite outcome of ischemic
analysis by altering the quarantine period when investigating the outcome of ische
hemi
he micc st
mi
ischemic stro
roke
ro ke/S
ke
stroke/SE/SE
/S
and all-cause mortality and recurrent ICH. This was done to assess if the choice of quarantine
peri
iod would
period wou
ould
ld differ
difffe
ferr from the main analysis (using
(usin
ng a 6 weeks quarantinee pperiod).
eriod).
P attient
ti
Patient characcte
terrist
sttic
characteristicsicss an
andd co
conc
nccom
mit
itant me
concomitant medica
ation
n
medication
Co
omo
morbidittie
iess w
Comorbidities ere as
were sceertain
in
ned fro
ascertained om ppreceding
from reeced
din
ng ho
ospittall dia
hospital agn
gnos
osess uuntil
os
diagnoses n il ddischarge
nt isch
chaarge ffrom
ch rom th
rom he
the
nci
cide
dent
de
incidentnt ICH
ICH event.
event
veent
nt. Filled
Fill
Fi lled
lled prescriptions
pre
resc
scri
sc ript
ri ptio
pt ions
io ns 1 year
yea
earr pprior
ea rior
ri or tto
o ba
base
seli
se line
li
baselinene ddefined
efin
efined
ined oother
ther
ther cconcomitant
onco
on comi
comita
mitant
tant
medication. The cardiovascular comorbidity and risk of stroke at baseline were assessed by the
CHA2DS2-VASc [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age >75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke,
vascular disease, age 65–75 years, and female sex)] score 26,27. We calculated the HAS-BLED
international normalized ratio (not included), elderly (age >65 years), drug consumption/alcohol
excess (aspirin was not included due to status of exposure)] score for each patient to assess the
bleeding risk 28. Supplementary Table 1 provides detailed description on outcomes and
concomitant medication.
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
Statistical analyses
Patients were followed until occurrence of the following censoring events: a claimed prescription
indicating dual treatment regimen (both OAC and antiplatelet treatment), occurrence of a study
endpoint, emigration, end-of-study, or death whichever came first [Figure 1]. For outcome
analyses events were ascertained from 6 weeks after hospital discharge. Exposure to
antithrombotic treatment was regarded as two time-dependent covariates (one for OAC treatment
and one for antiplatelet therapy) with one irreversible binary transition (from 0 to 1). We
calculated crude events rates at 1 and 5 years by dividing the number of events occurring during
follow-up with the person-years of follow-up for each treatment group. To compare event rates
adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were estimated by means of the Cox proportional hazards model.
adjusted
Thee ad
adju
just
ju sted
st analyses
ed ana
aly
lyses included information on ag spline);
agee (restricted cubic spli
linne); gender (binary); yea
li year
of iinclusion
of nclusion ((categories
caate
teggori
ries
ri e ooff ffive
es ve yyears);
ive ears
ears
rs); ssince
) time si
); last
ast cclaimed
nce la laim
la imed
im OAC
ed O AC pprescription
resccript
re ptio
pt before
ionn be
io befo
fore
fo re the
he
incident
nci dent ICH
c de H event
nt (restricted
eveent ed cubic
(reesttricted u ic spline);
cub ne)); and
spplin nd categories
an ri s off the
catteggories t e CHA
th CHA2D
DS
S2-V
-VAScc sscore
corre (0; 1;
22 points)
poin
po ints
ints)) and
ts and HAS-BLED
HAS
HA S-BL
BLED
BL ED score
sco
core
re (0-2;
(0-2; 3 points).
2; 3 poin
po ints
ints)). W
ts Wee ad
addi
diti
di tion
ti onal
on
additionallyally
al ly use
sedd in
se
used info
form
fo rmat
rmatio
at ionn on iischemic
io
information sche
sc hemi
he micc
mi
stroke/SE and/or recurrent ICH events during the quarantine period (binary). The reasoning
behind this adjustment was that such events could affect the choice of antithrombotic treatment
before the observation time commenced. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis was conducted by
To depict the overall five year prognosis, we obtained the Kaplan-Meier estimates. The
patients were stratified according to purchase of OAC (respectively, antiplatelet drugs) during
the quarantine period (6 weeks landmark) and patients with dual treatment exposure were
excluded (prescription claim of both an OAC and antiplatelet drug). To assess the impact of
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
allowing more time for claiming a prescription used for treatment regimen allocation, we made a
analyses were performed by using SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute) and Stata version 13 (StataCorp LP).
Results
A total of 6,138 patients with non-valvular AF who suffered an incident ICH were identified in
the period from January 1st 1997 to December 31st 2013. Within the quarantine period of 6 weeks
1,652 patients died, while 32 patients were excluded due to insufficient follow-up time (i.e.
encountered study-end within the quarantine period). The study population was co
comp
comprised
mpri
mprise
risedd of
se
1,752 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria by having claimed an OAC prescription within
six
ix months
mont
mo nths
nt hs ooff thee in
iincident
cident ICH event and were st
stil
still
illl alive after the 6 we
il weeks
eek
eks quarantine period; see
Figure
F iggure
gu 1 for fflowchart
lo
owc
w haart aand
nd Ta
Table
Tabl
blee 1 ffor
bl or sstudy
tudy
dy ppopulation
opul
ullatio
on ch
char
characteristics.
araccte
ar teri
rist
stic
ticcs.
s TThe
hee pproportion
ropo
port
po rtio
rt on of
patients
pa
ati ents included
t en inclu d d in
lude
lu in the
thhe analysis
analy
ly siss with
ysi wiith prior
priior OAC
OA treating g receiving
treeatiing reece v ng VKA
eceivi
vi A was
VKA as 65%,
waas 65%,, and
and the
th
he
comb
co
combination
mbin
mb inat
in atio
at ionn of VKA
io VKA and
and antiplatelet
ant
ntip
ipla
ip late
la tele
te lett therapy
le ther
th eraapy
er py iin
n 33
33%
33%.
%. W
With
ithh NO
it NOAC
NOACs,
ACss, tthe
AC he pproportion
ropo
ro port
po rtio
rt ionn was
io waas 2%
while <1% received combination therapy with a NOAC and antiplatelet therapy. The mean
CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.9 and the mean HAS-BLED score was 3.2, indicating a study
population at high risk of both thromboembolic events as well as high risk of bleeding.
Of the patients who resumed OAC treatment (n=621), 77% claimed an OAC prescription
within first 3 months after hospital discharge, with an overall median days of 34 to first claimed
prescription. For those who received antiplatelet therapy (n=759), 65% claimed a prescription
within first 3 months, with an overall median time of 24 days. During the first year of follow-up,
218 patients either shifted treatment or initiated dual antithrombotic treatment and were
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
accordingly censored.
A total of 39 patients suffered an ischemic stroke/SE during the quarantine period of 6 weeks; of
those, 5 patients had already claimed an OAC prescription, while 11 patients received
antiplatelet therapy. The overall event rates (expressed as per 100 person-years) using 1 year of
follow-up of the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality in OAC
treated vs no antithrombotic treatment were 13.6 vs 27.3 (adjusted HR: 0.55, 95%CI 0.39-0.78),
and 25.7 for antiplatelet therapy (adjusted HR: 0.87, 95%CI 0.67-1.14) [Table 2 and Figure 2].
The event rates for ischemic stroke/SE in OAC treated vs no antithrombotic treatment were 5.3
vs 10.4 at one year of follow-up (adjusted HR: 0.59, 95%CI 0.33-1.03), whilst for
orr aantiplatelet
ntip
nt ipla
ip late
la tele
te lett
le
therapy,
herapy, 10.3 (adjusted HR: 0.98, 95%CI 0.65-1.49). For all-cause mortality, the event rates were
9.7 fo
forr OA
OAC ttreated
C tr ted vs 19.1 for no antithrombotic
eaate antithromboti treatment (adjusted HR
tiic tr HR: 0.55, 95%CI 0.37-
0.82),
0.822), and 19.5 for
for antiplatelet
an
ntipl
plat
pl therapy
ateeleet th
at the
eraapy (adjusted
apy (a
adjjustted HR:
te HR 0.90,
R: 0.
0.90 95%CI
90, 95
90 %CII 00.67-1.21).
95%C
%C .67
67-1
1.21)
1).. Th
1) ccrude
Thee cr ude an
ud andd
adjusted
ad
dju
just analyses
s ed ana
st lysees contrasting
aly conttraastin treatment
ng tr
trea
e tm nt rregimens
men egi
gime
mens w
me were
eree ccomparable.
om
mpar
arab
ar blee. Supplementary
ab S pp
Su mentarry Table
ppleme
me Taable 2
provides
prov
pr ovid
ides
ides eevent
veent rrates
vent es bbased
ates
at ed aand
ased
as nd adjusted
adj
djus tedd hazard
uste
ste haza
ha ard ratios
zard ratioss based
atio
io base
ba sedd on 5 years
se yea
ears
ea rs of
of follow-up,
foll
fo llow
ll ow-upp, sshowing
howi
ho wing
ing
consistency.
Figure 3 depicts the Kaplan-Meier estimates of 5 year survival in patients who resumed
OAC treatment, respectively received antiplatelet therapy, and those who did not. A landmark at
6 weeks (quarantine period) was used to allocate patients treatment regimens: 1,089 were
assigned to the no antithrombotic treatment group; 303 to OAC treatment; and 360 to the
Of a total of 298 recurrent ICH events, 177 events (60%) occurred during the quarantine period,
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
i.e. before the observation time commenced; of these 27 patients had claimed an OAC
prescription, while 35 patients received antiplatelet therapy. For recurrent ICH using one year of
follow-up, the rates were 8.6 for OAC treated vs 8.0 for no antithrombotic treatment (adjusted
HR: 0.91, 95%CI 0.56-1.49), and 5.3 for antiplatelet therapy (adjusted HR: 0.60, 95%CI 0.37-
1.03). The event rates of major extra cranial bleedings in OAC treated vs no antithrombotic
treatment were 1.5 vs 1.5 (adjusted HR: 0.92, 95%CI 0.30-2.76), and 2.6 for antiplatelet therapy
(adjusted HR: 1.57, 95%CI 0.62-3.92) [Table 2 and Figure 2]. The crude and adjusted analyses
Secondary analysis
The one-year event rate for the combined endpoint of ischemic stroke/SE/major bl
bleeding
blee
e di
ee ding
ng
(including
including ICH) was 27.4 for no antithrombotic treatment, 17.1 for OAC treatment, and 23.2 for
patients
patien
en who
nts w ho receiving
o receiv ng antiplatelet therapy. As OAC
e vi
ei OAC did demonstrate a significant
si reduction in
stroke/SE
oke/SE andd al
tro all-cause
alll-ccaus mortality,
use mo
mort
rtal
rt alit
ality,
it wee ca
y, w ccalculated
lcul
ulat
ulatted the one
ne yyear
hee on
ne earr N
ea NCB
CB ooff OA
OAC
O AC or aantiplatelet
ntip
nt ipla
ipl te
tellett
therapy
apyy use versus
herap ve us no antithrombotic
an mbottic treatment.
ntithrrom tre
reat
a men The
ment. T hee NC
NCBB wa calculated
was ca
alccul
ulated weighted
ed ass a we
w ig
ght sum
um ooff
hted su
rate
ate ddifferences
iffe
if fere
fe renc
re nces
nc es ffor
or tthe
he ccombined
ombi
ombine
bi endpoint
nedd en
ne endp
dpoi
dp oint
oi nt ooff is
ischemic
isch
chem
ch ic sstroke/SE
emic
em trok
tr oke/
ok SE aand
e/SE
e/ nd aall-cause
ll-cau
cause mortality
se morta
or tali
ta ty aand
lity
li nd
recurrent ICH. The NCB for OAC vs versus no antithrombotic treatment was 14.6 (95%CI 6.4-
22.8), while the NCB was non-significant for antiplatelet therapy vs versus no antithrombotic
Sensitivity analysis
using a landmark at 180 days (relative to hospital discharge) for treatment allocation is shown in
Supplementary Figure S1. A total of 1541 patients contributed to this analysis, and the survival
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
Altering the quarantine period ranging from 2 weeks to 10 weeks did essentially not
affect the primary outcome of ischemic stroke/SE and all-cause mortality, see Figure 4. The total
number of patients contributing to these analyses was 1.838; 1.793; 1.752; 1.732; 1.712 using 2;
4; 6; 8; and 10 weeks quarantine period, respectively. Contrary, the outcome of recurrent ICH
was somewhat affected by the choice of quarantine period. The HR contrasting OAC treatment
vs no treatment was ranging from 0.41 (95%CI 0.27-0.63) for 2 weeks quarantine period, to HR
1.42 (95%CI 0.83-2.43) when applying a 10 weeks quarantine period. The obtained results on
HR contrasting treatment regimens were generally not affected by excluding those patients who
experienced an event (ischemic stroke/SE and/or recurrent ICH) during the quarantine period.
d aan
However, the outcome of recurrent ICH for patients on OAC treatment displayed adjusted
n ad
adju
just
ju sted
st HR
ed H R
Discussion
D isscussion
sc
In
n tthis analysis
his analys
hi ysis
ys wee foun
i w found
und tha
un that AF
at A
at patients
F pa
patie who
entts w suffer
ffeer aan
hoo suff ICH
n IC
CH ar very hhigh
aree very ig
gh risk ischaemic
risk of is
iscchaaem
mic
stroke
tro ke and
roke mortality,
and m orta
or tali
ta lity
li ty, if tthey
hey are
he are not
not on antithrombotic
ant
ntit
ithr
ithrom
hrombo
omboti
boticc therapy.
ti ther
theraapy
er py. Patients
Pat
atie
ient
ientss who
nt weere nnot
whho were ot oon
n OA
OAC
C
treatment had the worse adverse outcomes, which were similar to rates seen with antiplatelet
therapy. Importantly, OAC treatment was associated with a significant reduction in subsequent
ICH is the most feared complication of OAC treatment, being associated with a high
mortality and morbidity, and survivors often have greater disability. Patients with ICH were not
included in randomised trials, and it is an open problem to decide the best time window to
reintroduce OAC treatment following a presentation with ICH. Our analysis does not define the
best time window to reintroduce OAC but makes the observation in this non-randomised
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
observational cohort that OAC use was associated with significantly lower risks of ischaemic
The risk of recurrent ICH was also high in our patients, and was equally high amongst
non-OAC treated or OAC-treated, while slightly lower in patients who received antiplatelet
therapy. Factors contributing to recurrent ICH have been reported in different studies 8,9,29,30 and
include increasing age, concomitant use of aspirin or NSAIDs, uncontrolled hypertension, etc.
As previously shown in clinical trial and nationwide registries, the HAS-BLED score is the only
bleeding risk score that is predictive of major bleeding risk, and reflects the risk factors
(commonly
commonly aspirin) as a ‘safer’ alternative to OAC following a presentation with ICH, and the
AHA/ASA
AHA/
A/AS
A/ ASA
AS A gu
guidel
guideline
elin
eli e provides a Class IIb recom
in recommendation
mme
mendation of antiplate
antiplatelet
ele
lett therapy after all types
of ICH
of C (and “O
ICH “OAC
OAC might
AC m ht bbee cconsidered
ight
ig onsi
onsi
s de after
dereed af
fte nnon-lobar
ter no n-lo H”) 32. Our
ICH”)
obaar IC
ICH”
H” Our da
ddata
ata ddo
o no
nott su
supp
support
por
o t su
such
ch
an
n approach
app
pproachh with
pp w th
wi h a higher
hig
gher ischaemic
issch
chaaemi
micc stroke
sttro
oke and
an
nd substantially
suubstaanttiall
llly hi
hhigher
gheer mo
mort
mortality,
talit
ity,
it y, withh a no
non-
on-
significant
ign
gnif
ific
if ican
ic antt reduction
an redu
re duct
ctio
ct ionn in recurrent
io rec
ecur
urre
rre
rent
nt ICH
ICH amongst
amo
mong
ngst
ng st antiplatelet
ant
ntip
ipla
iplate
latele
telett therapy
le ther
therap
erapy users.
ap usser
user
erss. Ev
E
Even
ven
en iin
n ra
rand
randomised
ndom
nd omis
omised
is ed
trials of stroke prevention in AF, the risk of ICH (and major bleeding) is no different between
OAC and aspirin treated patients, especially in the elderly 33,34. Also, our secondary analyses
show that the NCB for OAC treatment was positive, vs no antithrombotic therapy – whilst the
The present study has clinical implications, in that it supports OAC re-introduction as
soon as clinically feasible. However, given the non-randomized design and data limitations
caution on over-interpretation the results are warranted: we were not able to distinguish between
the severities of risk factors, which may reflect physician’s choices of OAC resumption.
12
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
Potentially correctable risk factors for ICH should be addressed including assessment of the
HASBLED score, correction of uncontrolled high blood pressure, concomitant use of aspirin or
NSAIDs, etc. ICH can sometimes be related to trauma or a vascular anomaly, and for the latter,
Limitations
We did not have data on INR values hence no estimate of OAC intensity, and we also recognise
the importance of the quality of anticoagulation control, as reflected by time in therapeutic range
35,36
. VKAs are associated with a relatively higher rate of ICH compared to NOACs, but the latter
were only used in a minority of patients in ourr study. We also did not ha
have
ve any cer
cerebral
ereb
er ebra
eb rall im
ra imag
imaging
agin
ag ing
in
data, to distinguish the subtypes of ICH, but ourr principal hypothesis pertained
pertained to the simple
ques
question
sti
tion
on of
of whether
w etthe
wh her or not restarting
r OAC after ICH
ICH was associatedd with
wit
ithh a beneficial effect on
it
stroke
tro mortality,
oke and mor
rta in ppatients
talitty, in atie
at ient
ie ntss wi
nt with AF.
th A Indeed,
F. In
Ind the
de , th
deed, presence
he pr
preesen
ence
ence ooff m
microbleeds
robbleeeds iiss an imp
icro
ic ro important
mpor
mp orta
or tant
ta n
nt
risk
isk for
o ICH,
for H, and
ICH a d many
an ny stroke
many strokke physicians
phys
ph ysic
ys ns would
i iaans
ic ould be
wou be cautious
cau
uti about
tiouus ab
abou restarting
ouut re
est OAC
s arttingg O patient
AC inn a pa
patien
nt
with
wi widespread
ith wid
ides
idespr
esprea
pr cerebral
eadd ce
ea cere
rebr
re bral
br microbleeds
al micro
icrobl
ro blee
bl ds 37,
eeds
ee 37,38
,38
.
procedures after hospital discharge: patients are likely to be re-admitted to a hospital for a
inherit the coding from the incident ICH with no evidence of any recurrent bleeding. This
conjecture was supported by the sensitivity analyses of altering the quarantine period, and also
by excluding those patients who experienced an event during the quarantine period. On the other
hand, with the lack of information on cause of death, the number of ischemic events or recurrent
ICH could be underestimated if they carried a terminal outcome. Our analysis on treatment
13
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
initiation was performed using an assumption of adherence to treatment (unless changed from
OAC to antiplatelet therapy or vice versa), recognising the limitations of a ‘real world’ cohort
design, where patients could change from treatment (and doses) to no treatment over time. We
also only included patients with an index hospitalisation for AF, and documented ICH – thus,
confounding by indication and selection bias could be evident, and our results may not be
an ICH would require hospitalisation, and AF-related hospitalisations are common (and
increasing); thus, our analysis would reflect the likely burden of AF patients in healthcare
systems. Although this was a nationwide study, the ethnic background of the Danish population
iss presumably Caucasian, and thus the obtained results might not generalise to alll ethnic
ethn
et hnic
hnic
groups39.
In cconclusion,
oncluusio
on i n, AF patients who suffer an
io n IICH
C are at very high rrisk
CH iskk of ischaemic stroke
is
treatment
reeatm
eatm
tment re
resulted
esu
sulteed in a significant
signiffic
ican
a t reduction
an redu
re ducttio
du i n inn subsequent
sub
bseequ
uen
ent ischaemic
iscchae
is chae
aem
micc stroke
stro
roke and
and all-cause
alll-c
-causse
mortality.
mort
mortal
rt alit
ality. As
it As such,
such
su ch, this
ch this study
stu
tudy
dy supports
suppo
up
ppo
port
rtss OAC
rt OAC reintroduction
rein
re intr
introd
tr oduc
oducti
cti
tion
on post-ICH,
pos
ostt-IC
ICH
ICH, but
butt due
duee to
to risk
risk of
of bias
bias by
by
treatment post-ICH are encouraged to provide further evidence to guide clinical practice.
Funding Sources: The Obel Family Foundation partly funded this research by an unrestricted
grant. The sponsor had no role the design and conduct of the study; collection, management,
analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Professor Lip has served as a consultant for Bayer, Astellas,
Merck, AstraZeneca, Sano¿, BMS/Pfizer and Boehringer Ingelheim, and has been on the speaker
bureaus for Bayer, BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim and Sano¿. Associate Professor Larsen
14
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DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.015735
has served as an investigator for Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC and Boehringer Ingelheim.
Associate Professor Larsen and Professor Rasmussen have been on the speaker bureaus for
Bayer, BMS/Pfizer, Roche Diagnostics, Boehringer Ingelheim and Takeda Pharma. Other
authors – none declared.
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18
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Table 2. Event rates of various outcomes according to stratification on treatment regimen using 1 year of follow-up.
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Figure Legends:
Figure 2. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios on treatment regimen of various outcomes using
one-year follow-up (adjusted for sex, age, year of inclusion, time since last claimed OAC
prescription, and occurrences of ischemic stroke/SE and recurrent ICH events during the
quarantine period).
Figure 3. Five years Kaplan-Meier survival curve for restarting OAC treatment, re
receiving
rece
ceiv
ce ivin
iv ingg
in
antiplatelet therapy, and for not receiving antithrombotic treatment using a landmark at 6 weeks
(relative
relat
ativ
ativee to ddischarge
iv i ch
is treatment
harrge from hospital) for treatmen regimens
nt re stratification.
egimens stratificatio
on..
Figure
Fi
igu
gure Sensitivity
r 4. Sen i ity aanalysis
ensiti
en tivi investigating
nalysiis in
inve
est
stigaatiing th outcomes
thee ou
utccomes ooff isch
mes ischemic
c em
ch emic stroke/SE
icc st
trooke/
e/SE
e/ nd all-cause
SE and all--caausee
mortality
mort
mo rtal
rt alit
al ity an
it recurrent
andd re
recu
curr
rren
rr ICH,
entt IC
en ICHH, sstratified
traati
tr tifi
fied
fi ed aaccording
ccor
cc ordi
or ding
di ng tto treatment
o tr
trea
eatm
ea tmen
tmentt re
en regimen
regi
gime
gi menn an
me andd to aapplied
ppli
pp ed qquarantine
lied
li uaara
uara
rant
ntin
nt inee
in
period.
21
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Figure 1
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Figure 2
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Figure 3
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Figure 4
SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL
code
Condition
E11.9
S06.6
Z71.4; Z72.1
Medication
Dabigatran B01AE07
Rivaroxaban B01AE07
Apixaban B01AF02
Aspirin B01AC06
Beta-blockers C07
Renin-angiotensin system
Statin C10
Digoxin C01AA05
Amiodarone C01BD01
* We identified subjects with hypertension from combination treatment with at least two of the following classes of
antihypertensive Drugs:
II. Non-loop diuretics (C02DA, C02L, C03A, C03B, C03D, C03E, C03X, C07C, C07D, C08G, C09BA, C09DA,
C09XA52)
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