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Key Risk Indicators

GCOR X
RMA's 10th Annual Governance,
Compliance, and Operational
Risk Conference
Overview
• Basics Viney Chadha
• The journey Leader Operational Risk Analytics
• Pitfalls GE Capital Americas
• Implementation
• The program

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New World Order Emerges…

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Metrics are metrics…
“Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that
counts can be counted.”
-Albert Einstein

• Risk Indicator: Metric that provides information on the level of exposure to a given
operational risk which the organisation has at a particular point in time

• Control Indicator: Metric that provide information on the extent to which given control is
meeting its intended objectives

• Performance Indicator: Metrics that measure performance or the achievement of targets

An indicator becomes “key” when it tracks an especially important risk


exposure (key risk), or it does so especially well (key indicator), or ideally
both
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Providing insights
An Indicator is a numeric value produced through the combination of
measures which provides business insight. KPI, KRI, KCI…

− Are they Different?

− Does it Matter?

Yes No
 Indicators inform management discussions and  The ‘Project’ to establish and implement
decisions
− Know your audience to determine the types of indicator  Design process and framework
 Establish clear definitions for each types of indicator
− Apply the definitions consistently across the  Ongoing Program Management & Oversight
organization
− Identify the relationships between indicators to enable
reuse of data and to promote informed discussions  Purpose & Use
− All are used to inform and facilitate decision
 Focused and timely responses making

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Response matters
“What you measure is what you get”
• Performance Indicator: Metrics that measure performance or the achievement of targets
“Are we achieving the desired level of Performance e.g. Revenue achieved by On-time-arrival
(objective)?”

• Risk Indicator: Metric that provides information on the level of exposure to a given
operational risk which the organisation has at a particular point in time
“How is the Risk Profile changing and is it within the tolerance levels? E.g. Age of Tracks”

• Control Indicator: Metric that provide information on the extent to which given control is
meeting its intended objectives
“Are the internal controls effective? E.g. timely maintenance”

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The journey

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The big picture

Better business
decisions

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Integration into ERM
How Do KRI’s Fit ?
KRIs interface type How KRIs

Core ERM processes (Input, Output, interface (Direct,

Both) Indirect, Both)

Risk Appetite Both Both

Strategic Planning Both Both

Capital Planning or Investment Input Indirect

Stress Testing Input Indirect

Risk Identification & Assessment Both Direct

KRIs become the mechanism for viewing the risk profile


dynamically and managing the risk proactively.
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Potential pitfalls

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Data (how much?)
• Metrics for metrics sake
• Too many metrics
• Measuring what is easy
• All metrics are not equal
• Old metrics never die

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Data (accurate &
consistent?)
• (seems) same but
interpreted differently
• Same but measured
differently
• Same but what is
measured is different
• All of the above plus
accurate

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Social
• Threshold setting Everything you look
• Analysis (interpretation) for and all that you
perceive has a way of
proving whatever you
believe.

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Culture
• Organizational
• Tone from the top

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Implementation

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Framework, project, program
• Framework
• Design, roles & responsibilities, standards, procedures &
documentation requirements
• Project
• 5 steps: Foundation, Building Blocks, Implementation,
Integration, Establishment
• Program
• Management of KRIs as a continuous process
• Assess effectiveness, relevance and actionability of
metrics and thresholds

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Optimizing for success
KRI Process A Model for Change

Leaders Lead

Instill the need to change

Desired outcome is clear

Commitment from Key


constituents

Integrating change to
make it last

Measure for success

Systems and Organization


reinforce the Change

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Success or…

The soft stuff …….


really is the hard stuff

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Identification approach
Bottoms Up
 Existing metrics
 Processes
 Controls.

Top Down
 Strategic
Objectives
 Risk Appetite
 Enterprise Risks Combination
 Critical Business
Processes

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Strategic Objectives
Strategic KRI Mitigating KCI
Potential Risk
Initiative # 1 Controls
KPI

Increase KRI Mitigating KCI


Potential Risk
Revenue Strategic Controls
Initiative # 2
KRI Mitigating KCI
Profitability KPI Potential Risk
Controls
Strategic
Reduce Costs Initiative # 3 KRI Mitigating KCI
Potential Risk
KPI Controls

Strategic KRI Mitigating KCI


Potential Risk
Initiative # 4 Controls
KPI

“Risk — let's get this straight up front — is good. The point of risk
management is not to eliminate it [but] to manage it… to choose where to
place bets and where to avoid betting altogether.”
“Managing Risk in the 21st Century,”
Thomas A. Stewart,
Fortune, 7 February 2000
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The program

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Using KRIs
“Risk is like fire: If controlled it will help you; if uncontrolled it will rise up
and destroy you.”
-Theodore Roosevelt

 KRI analytics and reports are the smoke detector.


 Use the reports, pay attention to them

Reduce the variability in process execution


Early warning for management
Increased responsiveness
Minimize control failures or loss events 22
Analysis & interpretation
“Big data is pretty complex music
-Bill Hostmann, vice president at Gartner.

Data analysis, creativity and risk


imagination 23
Reporting
“Clarity and excellence in thinking is very much like clarity and excellence in
display of data. When principles of design replicate principles of thought, the
act of arranging information becomes an act of insight”
-Introduction to Visual Explanations by Edward R. Tufte,, 10th edition

Know your Audience!


Avoid information overload…Limit to ‘Key’ information
Design reports based on Organization preference/culture
Seek Feedback…Back test and validate conclusions
Benchmark – internally & externally

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Recap & key takeaways

• Remember the big picture


• Strike a balance between art &
science
• Be consistent and overlay strong
governance
• Remember your stakeholders when
using & reporting

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Questions?

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To learn more…
http://riskbooks.com/key-risk-
indicators?___SID=U

Authors:
Ann Rodriguez & Viney Chadha

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