Professional Documents
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200600052
REPORT
Electric Cars are the Future
J. Van Mierlo1*, and G. Maggetto2
1
Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Department of Electrical Engineering and Energy Technology (ETEC), Pleinlaan 2, BE-1050 Brussels, Belgium
2
AVERE, European Association for Battery, Hybrid and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles, Pleinlaan 2, BE-1050 Brussels, Belgium
Abstract
Battery and hybrid vehicles are today’s sustainable mobility 2050. Fortunately, many of the electric drive technologies
solutions, preparing a future shared with a hydrogen econ- common with hydrogen drive systems are already in devel-
omy. The summary report of the EU High Level Group for opment today and implemented in battery or hybrid electric
Hydrogen and Fuel Cells, presented in June 2003, develops vehicles.
a vision on the contribution that hydrogen and fuel cells Two transport technologies are ready to play a significant
could make to the realization of sustainable energy systems role in this context: the battery electric vehicle and the ther-
in the future [1]. mal hybrid electric vehicle. They are the missing link with a
However, it seems necessary to emphasize that, as it is a future hydrogen transportation economy. It is an established
long-term vision (2000-2050), there is a need to take strong fact that, from a well to wheel emission point of view, the
action in the short- and medium-term in order to address results are positive and in favour of battery electric vehicles
current environmental and energy concerns. [4]. Important and recent studies on the environmental bal-
As stated in the Commission’s November 2000 Green ance of battery electric vehicles show substantial emission
Paper on security of supply [2], in 1998 energy consumption and primary energy benefits, and thus CO2 reduction, when
in the transport sector was responsible for 28% of the emis- compared with conventional cars [4, 5].
sions of CO2, the main greenhouse gas. According to the lat- The battery electric vehicles and thermal hybrid electric
est estimates, current CO2 emissions from transport are vehicles are considered as the bridge to the future hydrogen
expected to increase by around 50%. transport economy. In any case, the hydrogen and electricity
It is both an ecological necessity and a technological vectors should be used in the most appropriate and effective
challenge to reduce the dependence on oil, from the current way to ensure, for the various applications, the optimum
level of 98%, by using alternative fuels and improving the mix of the primary energy sources at a European level.
energy efficiency of the various methods of transport [3].
It is planned that the hydrogen economy will only start Keywords: Battery Electric Vehicle, Emissions, Energy Con-
around 2020, at the earliest, and to be established around sumption, Fuel Cell Vehicle, Hybrid Vehicle
1 Introduction For all these reasons, often with the support of the EU
Commission and some member states, an increasing number
The electric vehicle is an optimum solution for urban mo- of cities and environmentally concerned companies have
bility as it emits no exhaust fumes. Particularly in cities and introduced electric vehicles into their fleets. Today, there is a
in adverse climatic conditions, traffic-generated emissions are clear necessity to generalize the support organized at a Eur-
degrading air quality up to the point where the physical opean level in preparing for movement towards hydrogen
health of the population is directly threatened. Several cities electric vehicles.
have already had to apply repeatedly drastic traffic restric- Energy storage remains a key point. The development of
tions. The electric vehicle is also ideally suited for integration alternative battery systems shows the possibility of making a
into new traffic management concepts, such as automatic
rent-a-car systems and goods distribution centres, or small –
buses for city-centre services. [*] Corresponding author, jvmierlo@vub.ac.be
FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173 © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim 165
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
real technical and economic breakthrough in the short- or me- from 50% for road transport and 34% for maritime transport.
REPORT
dium-term, consistent with important market developments. This growth means an increase, for cars, of 15% between 2000
New battery types, such as high-temperature batteries, and 2010, and of 21% up to 2020 [7, 8].
nickel-metal hydride batteries, and lithium-based batteries The growth of the number of cars worldwide is more wor-
are already on the market or will be available in the coming rying. At the 2030 horizon, the number of road vehicles in the
years. Due to their extremely high energy density, they will OECD countries (800 million vehicles) will be the same as in
offer unprecedented vehicle ranges, of up to 250 km [6]. the rest of the world, which means a doubling of today’s
However, a powerful publicised national and European sup- worldwide vehicle number. In addition, this corresponds to a
port is necessary, as well as an effective marketing approach. 65% growth in the OECD countries, resulting from a 2%
The long-range or multi-mission electrically driven vehicle annual growth [9, 10].
will become a reality through the development of hybrid
drive trains. Hybrid vehicles combine electric and other drive
2.3 Energy
systems, such as internal combustion engines, gas turbines,
and fuel cells. The main advantage of this combination is the The energy efficiency of the different means of transporta-
permanent interaction between the highly efficient electric sys- tion varies strongly as a result of the thermodynamic laws,
tem and the thermal engine or fuel cell. Here, power batteries or type of technology, and power level.
other power boosters, such as super capacitors, play a key role. The fact that the energy efficiency of a car in the city falls
A number of reliable vehicles are coming on the market today below 15% doesn’t appear to worry anybody (but 80% of cars
with a large spectrum of hybridization ratios (from start and are driven in the cities!) notwithstanding the fact that this
stop systems to a full hybrid power train). means that from a 50 litter fuel tank only 7.5 litres are useful
Due to the inbuilt dual function, hybrid vehicles have a and the remaining 42.5 litres are transformed into heat and
longer range than battery powered electric vehicles. They can pollutants. Amongst today’s fuels, diesel is the most efficient,
offer the option of running on electricity alone in urban envi- followed by gasoline and the gaseous fuels (natural gas and
ronments, generating zero emissions at this time. Some of LPG).
these vehicles can be plugged-in, effectively using conven- Caution is required during the evaluation of the energy con-
tional or renewable sources of energy. sumption of any means of transport. Indeed an empty vehicle is
Hybrid technology is now particularly favoured for heavy- wasteful and there is a clear necessity to evaluate its efficiency
duty vehicles, such as city-buses, and leads to a 20 to 30% with regard to its function, i.e., moving people or goods.
reduction in both energy consumption and associated emis- Taking the following filling rate as a reference: 35% for
sions. cars (1.4 persons per vehicle), 40 to 70% for trains, 60% for
intercity buses and national flights, the comparative results
listed hereunder are obtained [11]:
2 Facts Related to the Mobility of People and (i) For passenger transport:
Goods ● the train uses 15 to 50% less primary energy than the car;
● the intercity bus, lighter than the train, reaches about 70%
2.1 Employment – Economy of the energy consumption of the latter and 42% of the
The European transport industry is an important economy consumption of the car;
sector, as stated by the following data (for the 15 EU member ● the airplane is at 60% of the car but at 300% of the fast
states): 14 million workers or employees (i.e., 10% of the train (not valid for high speed trains); but for airplanes
active population) with less than 6 million in transport ser- time plays an important economic role;
vices, 2 million in the equipment sector, and 6 million in ● in the city, the underground easily consumes 50% less
rail, and less than 1% by tram or underground. The modal consumption of rail because of its diesel motorisation;
distribution of goods transport, formulated in ton kilometres ● rail transport reaches 40–50% of road transport consump-
166 © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
REPORT
Fig. 1 Oil demand and supply.
the potential energy benefit of the different means of transporta- 2.5 Emissions
tion. The benefit of rail (tram, underground) is the result of the
The environmental state of the earth is determined by the
combination of two important factors: the transport capacity
superposition of all local emissions, some are controllable
and the use of electric energy, thanks to the efficiency of the elec-
(transport, electricity production, industry, etc.), whilst others
tric drive system (power electronics and electric motor).
cannot be controlled (volcanoes, radiance of sun, etc.). Limit-
Long distance transportation (more than 2,000 km) is con-
ing the contribution of transport to pollution can only be per-
sidered in a different way, since the choice of the transporta-
formed through local and regional actions, whose success is
tion means is a function of the object that has to be trans-
strongly dependent on the awareness of the people con-
ported. 90% of the export trade of the EU (referring to the
cerned.
volume of goods) is performed by maritime transport, which
The gradual introduction of the mandatory European
also covers 41% of EU internal goods transportation.
emission standards, EURO I, EURO II, EURO III, EURO IV,
The use of energy by today’s transport systems clearly
and EURO V will lead to the control of the CO, NOx, hydro-
demonstrates low efficiency use.
carbon, and particulate emissions. They will be reduced in
the EU and in the other OECD countries, despite the increase
2.4 Evolution of the EU Energy Supply
in the automotive fleet and distance covered. A significant
The energy dependence of the EU has evolved from 60% increase, of between 45% and 55%, is expected for the differ-
in 1973 down to 50% in 1999. This could reach 70% within 20 ent pollutants in the rest of the world [12].
to 30 years, corresponding to 90% for oil, 70% for natural gas, The emissions of the electricity-producing sector are
and 100% for coal. Again, this will be in increasing trend in clearly more and more under control, which is a very positive
the extended EU [2]. situation for most of the public transport systems (trains,
Recently, oil companies revised their oil reserve, forecast- trams, underground, trolleybuses, and electric mini- and midi
ing an end to cheap oil (or oil as an energy source?) towards buses).
2030–2040. This is confirmed by other independently pub- The case of CO2 emissions is totally separate, due to its
lished data. Referring to the IEA, Figure 1, the maximum oil proportional connection with the performed p.km for people
production could be reached within 10 to 15 year, naturally mobility and t.km for goods transport. The efficiency of the
followed by a production decrease and demand exceeding internal combustion engine (ICE) can still increase somewhat
the available supply [12]. over the next ten years (but with costly investment), but the
Consequently, a price increase is to be expected together thermodynamic limits are being reached and consequently
with geopolitical tensions. Even the exploitation of less acces- asymptotic values are being approached. In any case, it is
sible and/or lower quality reserves will not alleviate this situ- worth noting that the mean yearly emissions of a car is 4 to
ation. The conditions prevailing for natural gas are the same 5 tons of CO2, corresponding to four to five time the mass of
but with a somewhat longer delay (10–20 years). a 1,000 kg vehicle.
FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173 www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim 167
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
The automotive industry (ACEA) has committed itself to 3.1.3 Hybrid Systems
REPORT
168 © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
REPORT
EUCAR is still forecasting a dominant position for this
type of motorisation in the next 15 years, with a share of 30 to
40% for diesel and 50 to 65% for gasoline vehicles. Hybrids
and other alternative solutions could reach a share of 15%
after 2010, increasing up to 25% after 2020 [4]. However,
everybody understands that these shares will be strongly
influenced by access to oil, which in fact comes from fossil
Fig. 4 Parallel drive train with torque addition.
sources and is a powerful carrier of hydrogen atoms. The pos-
sibility to decouple energy use from “geo-carbons” is under
Combining the series hybrid structure with the parallel serious consideration, relating to the introduction of bio fuels,
structure leads to the so-called “combined” or “series-parallel” carbon atoms from biomass, and organic waste materials,
structure (see Figure 5). The parallel energy pathway is com- which all lead to even more powerful carriers of hydrogen
posed of a tank, an ICE, a transmission, a power electronic atoms.
converter, and an electric motor. The series energy pathway
is composed of a tank, an ICE, a transmission, an electric gen- 3.2.2 Battery Electric-, Hybrid Electric-, Fuel Cell Drive
erator, a power electronic charger, a battery, a power elec- Systems
tronic converter, and an electric motor. Naturally, the differ- Soft hybrid solutions, integrating the electric starter-
ential is common to both pathways. generator and allowing the recuperation of braking energy,
There is evidently a continuum of possible solutions, the seem to be an important step towards future hybridisation.
value of which have to be assessed from an energy efficiency, The association of the electric motor and thermal engine in
environmental, and economic point of view, as well as from a parallel structure allows the use of the engine at its best effi-
the technological feasibility and user’s perspective. Simula- ciency, avoiding for instance, the bad impact of a transitory
tion software has been developed at the “Vrije Universiteit working period. However, success in only warranted if the
Brussel” for the evaluation of these drive trains, in the frame- electric motor and its associated power electronics are de-
work of a PhD thesis, which can be consulted at the following signed properly. The introduction of alternative vehicles
web address: http://etec.vub.ac.be/VSP/. becomes possible without a dramatic multiplication of the
ground-fuelling infrastructure.
3.2 Evolution and Main Technological Characteristics A discussion is arising, in the road transport sector, con-
cerning hybrid technology and the use of only one source of
Numerous electrical subsystems are introduced into cars fuelling for all types of energy. In other words, how should
and other road vehicles for the comfort of the user. In this sit- the on-board electricity used be generated? Obviously, this
uation, electricity is the energy driver and many elegant solu- can only be achieved from loaded fuel or through a connec-
tions are achieved. The features related to safety (for instance tion with the mains. Evidently, the answer to this question is
ABS), as well as the drive by wire solutions introduced in complex.
high class cars, are worth mentioning. The electric vehicle is able to produce the highest energy
economy, 40 to 50%, compared to an equivalent thermal vehi-
3.2.1 Internal Combustion Engines (ICE’s) cle. Nevertheless, this is only true if good system integration
Considerable research is still performed to improve their has been realised and this integration has to consider differ-
intrinsic thermodynamic features (though asymptotic regions ent working situations. Indeed, in city use, the electric vehicle
are now being reached) and their electronic control. A break- often works at low load and undergoes frequent braking. The
through is expected from SiC technology in relation to the real working pattern of the vehicle has to be taken into
necessity to position the electronic components in high tem- consideration when optimizing system efficiency, which
perature areas. influences motor and power electronic design.
The same approach is valid for the design of the battery
charger for which two charging situations can occur: normal
charging conditions and end of charge. The time-share
between these two working conditions surely has an impor-
tant impact on the resulting efficiency and the charger elec-
tronics will have to be designed accordingly. No good electric
vehicle could be developed without considering these work-
ing conditions. Many examples of poor design have been put
on the road in the past.
Thermal hybrid electric vehicles may lead to 30 to 40% energy
economy, compared to an equivalent thermal vehicle. However,
this is dependent on the grade of hybridisation, the same inte-
Fig. 5 Combined hybrid drive train.
FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173 www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim 169
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
gration considerations as for the electric vehicle, and the most production of hydrogen is 13.7 to 21.9% of the primary
REPORT
170 © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
REPORT
Fig. 7 Road map for environmentally friendly vehicles with electric propulsion systems.
Evidently, this roadmap is matched to the duration of Finally yet importantly, it is evident that a large number of
access to cheap oil and indicates the steps necessary to reach these components will be common with the “hydrogen” solu-
a situation for a viable and sustainable hydrogen economy. tions because of the absolute necessity to develop compo-
It is a long-term viewpoint. However, it neglects the short nents for the largest possible market.
and medium-term situation, with the increasing geopolitical
tension around oil. Moreover, it neglects possible competition
between different energy vectors: hydrogen, electricity, bio 4 Conclusions
fuels, synthetic fuels, etc., and the corresponding transporta-
4.1 Battery and Hybrid Vehicles are Today’s Sustainable
tion technology.
Mobility Solutions, Preparing a Future Shared with a Hydrogen
There is an absolute necessity to consider today’s techno-
Economy
logies and their evolution in the short-, medium-, and long-term,
together with the emergence of long-term hydrogen technology. The summary report of the High Level Group for Hydro-
This is the best way to define continuity for our national indus- gen and Fuel Cells presented in June 2003 developed a vision
tries. As an example, let us consider the “Road Map for Environ- on the contribution that hydrogen and fuel cells could make
mentally Friendly Vehicles with Electric Propulsion Systems”, to the realization of sustainable energy systems in the future.
given in Figure 7 [17]. All systems are taken into consideration. However, it seems necessary to emphasize that, as it is a
The ICE serves as a reference. long-term vision, there is a need to take strong action in the
Battery and hybrid electric vehicles offer clear short- and me- short- and medium-term, in order to address current environ-
dium-term solutions, with a large number of common compo- mental and energy concern.
nents. These common components must be defined and are of
the utmost importance for our industry. An exhaustive list will
4.2 Energy and Environmental Challenges for Transportation
be the result of studies and of national and EU research pro-
grammes. The following can already be pointed out: As stated in the Commission’s November 2000 Green
● batteries, Paper on security of supply, in 1998 energy consumption in
● super capacitors, the transport sector was responsible for 28% of CO2emissions,
● power electronic converters, the main greenhouse gas. According to the latest estimates,
● electric motors, CO2 emissions from transport can be expected to increase by
● voltage levels, 36/42V, high voltage(s) for drive systems, around 50% to reach 1113 billion tons by 2010, compared with
● components for auxiliaries, the 739 million tons recorded in 1990, 84% of which were at-
● etc. tributed to road transport [18].
FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173 www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim 171
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
It is both an ecological necessity and a technological chal- unprecedented vehicle ranges, even up to 250 km. However,
REPORT
lenge to reduce the dependence on oil from the current level a powerful public national and European support is neces-
of 98%, by using alternative fuels and improving the energy sary, as well as an effective marketing approach.
efficiency of transport. It is planned that the hydrogen econ-
omy will begin around 2020, at the earliest, and will be estab- 4.5 Thermal Hybrid Electric Vehicles Combining Long-Range
lished by around 2050. Fortunately, much of the common and Energy Efficiency
electric drives technology preparing for a future shared with
a hydrogen economy are already in development today. The long-range or multi-mission electrically driven vehicle
Two transport technologies are currently ready to play a will become a reality through the development of hybrid
significant role in this context: the battery electric vehicle and drive trains. Hybrid vehicles combine electric and other drive
the thermal hybrid electric vehicle. They are the missing link systems, such as internal combustion engines, gas turbines or
to a possible hydrogen transportation economy. fuel cells.
The technology developed for the battery electric vehicle The main advantage of this combination is the permanent
is, without any doubt, a basic technology for mainly fuel cell interaction between the highly efficient electric system and
vehicles. the thermal engine. This leads to efficient energy manage-
ment, as well as the recovery of the kinetic energy while brak-
ing. Here too, the batteries or other power boosters, such as
4.3 Battery Electric Vehicles, an Available Sustainable Solution super capacitors or flywheels, play a key role. A number of
for Urban Mobility reliable vehicles are coming on the market today with a large
It is an established fact that from a well-to-wheel emission spectrum of hybridisation ratios (from start and stop systems
point of view, research is in favour of the battery electric vehi- to a full hybrid power train).
cle. Important and recent studies on the environmental bal- Due to the inbuilt dual function, hybrid vehicles have a
ance of battery electric vehicles showed substantial emission longer range than battery electric vehicles. They can offer the
and primary energy benefits and thus CO2 reduction, when option of running on electricity alone in urban environments
compared to conventional cars [19]. and so are locally zero emission. Some of these vehicles can
The electric vehicle is an optimum solution for urban mo- be plugged-in using conventional or renewable sources of
bility, as it emits no exhaust fumes. energy in an effective way.
In cities and in adverse climatic conditions, in particular, The hybrid technology is now particularly favoured for
traffic-generated emissions degrade air quality, up to the heavy-duty vehicles such as city-buses and leads to a 20 to
point where the physical health of the population is directly 30% reduction in both energy consumption and associated
threatened. Several cities have already had to apply repeat- emissions.
edly drastic traffic restrictions. For private cars, the deployment of hybrid drive trains is a
The electric vehicle is also ideally suited for integration logical way to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions.
into new traffic management concepts, such as automatic Battery and hybrid electric vehicles are able to ensure a
rent-a-car systems and goods distribution centres, or small sustainable mobility solution, preparing a future shared with
buses for city-centre services. These measures emphasize the the hydrogen economy.
synergies between different transport methods and contri- At the present phase of their development, electric and
bute to the relief of traffic congestion. Again, the electric vehi- hybrid vehicles still need support from public authorities, so that
cle, through its respect for the environment, allows access to the market can reach a size allowing its natural development.
historic city centres and contributes to the reduction of air
and noise pollution. 4.6 Components Development
An increasing number of cities and environmentally con-
R&D development efforts are also needed for higher
cerned companies have introduced electric vehicles into their
efficiency and lower cost electric drive systems (batteries, power
fleets for all of the above reasons, often with the support of
electronics, etc.). These components will also be needed for fuel
the EU Commission and some member states.
cell vehicles in the long-term, though there will also be the need
for specific components (compressors, pumps, connectors, pres-
4.4 Batteries, the Challenge sure valves, membranes, tanks, reformers, etc.).
Energy storage remains a key point. The development of
alternative battery systems shows the possibility of making a
List of Symbols
real technical and economic breakthrough in the short- or me-
dium-term, consistent with important market development. ABS Antilock brake system
New battery types, such as high-temperature batteries, ACEA Association of European Automobile Manufac-
nickel-metal hydride batteries, and lithium-based batteries turers
are already on the market or will be available in the coming AVERE European Association for Battery, Hybrid and Fuel
years. Due to their extremely high energy density, they offer Cell Electric Vehicles
172 © 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim www.fuelcells.wiley-vch.de FUEL CELLS 07, 2007, No. 2, 165–173
Mierlo et al.: Fuel Cell or Battery: Electric Cars are the Future
REPORT
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