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What is This?
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Barbara J. McMorris
University of Washington
Mayra Gómez
Centre on Housing Rights and Evictions
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In the rural Egyptian hamlet where we have conducted fieldwork some women
were not familiar with groups that did not circumcise their girls. When they
learned that the female researcher was not circumcised their response was
disgust mixed with joking laughter. They wondered how she could have thus
gotten married and questioned how her mother could have neglected such an
important part of her preparation for womanhood. It was clearly unthinkable
to them for a woman not to be circumcised.
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Table 2 Background Statistics for Egypt, Kenya, Mali, Niger and the Sudan
Egypt Kenya Mali Niger Sudan
Population,
in millions 67.0 28.8 10.4 10.0 34.5
Land (km2) 1.00 million 583,000 1.24 million 1.27 million 2.51 million
Infant mortality
(deaths per
1000 live births) 67 59 119 113 71
Life expectancy
in years 62 47 48 42 56
Fertility rate
(children born
per woman) 3.3 3.9 7.0 7.2 5.6
GDP per capita
(purchasing
power parity) US$2850 US$1550 US$790 US$970 US$930
Male literacy
rate 63.6 86.3 39.4 20.9 57.7
Female
literacy rate 38.8 70.0 23.1 6.6 34.6
Source: Central Intelligence Agency (1999).
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the south as a result of the war are having their daughters circumcised
even if they themselves were not circumcised. (Note in Table 1 that 4.5
percent of uncircumcised women in our sample had circumcised their
daughters.) Mali and Niger adopted anti-FGC policies only recently.
Neither government has proposed legislation prohibiting FGC, but both
support educational efforts to eliminate the practice and provide media
access to proponents of its elimination. In 1997, the Ministry for the Pro-
motion of Women in Mali created a National Committee Against Violence
Towards Women that links all the international organizations active in
preventing FGC in Mali. Likewise, the Niger government has been co-
operating with UNICEF to eradicate the practice in that country. Inter-
national organization involvement in eradication efforts is extensive in all
of the countries.
In Egypt, the government reissued and expanded a health ministry
decree to ban the performance of any type of FGC in public health clinics
in 1994. Yet, the reissued decree came under political and legal attack by
Islamic fundamentalists. Their legal claim was that the decree went
against Islam, the state religion. Ultimately, national courts upheld the
decree on the ground that Islam does not require FGC. Subsequently, a
discussion of FGC and its dangers was added to the curriculum of the
Egyptian school system. Television programs condemn the practice there.
Kenya’s current president has issued two presidential decrees banning
FGC. In 2001, the Kenya legislature adopted a law banning FGC. Explicit
anti-FGC policies are in place in all of the countries.
Hypotheses
As our brief description of the practice suggests, the issue of FGC rep-
resents cultural conflict in the modern world. The issue generates strong
emotions from both supporters and critics. Its eradication is not incon-
ceivable, but neither is it assured. These factors make FGC a uniquely
important issue for understanding whether and how individuals forgo
certain social practices that are targeted by the international community.
From this starting point, we move to our specific empirical question: the
social psychological basis for conformity to the international anti-FGC
norm.
Modernization theory posits that individuals who have gained inde-
pendence from the vagaries of nature see themselves as more efficacious
than those who are highly susceptible to nature’s whims. They act upon
the world rather than the other way around and reject a fatalistic approach
to life (Inkeles, 1996: 572; see also Bell, 1976). One consequence of less-
ening direct reliance on the physical environment and developing a sense
of individual instrumentality is a greater belief in the efficacy of science
13
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16
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17
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response is coded as ‘1’; if not, their response is coded as ‘0’. Since most of
the circumcisions had occurred before the survey, we had to infer that the
status of the independent variables for women had not changed dramati-
cally over time. To provide a partial test of this assumption, we conducted
the analysis on a smaller subset of women who had at least one daughter
under six years of age. All effects were in the same direction and were con-
sistent in statistical significance. Although the analysis of the behavior vari-
able must be interpreted with caution because of these assumptions, the
alternative of not considering it at all is hardly persuasive.
Table 3 lists and describes the explanatory variables used in the hier-
archical logistic analyses. Indicators of modernity and exposure to inter-
national norms are years of education and dummy variables indicating
college attendance, radio ownership, working for pay and living in an
urban area. We expect western influence to be particularly strong at the
college level. University systems are based on western models and are
important carriers of world norms. We use radio rather than television
ownership as a measure of exposure because the latter is highly corre-
lated with the presence of electricity. We also predicted that older women,
18
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when all other factors are controlled, would express less favor for the
practice of FGC.16 Modernization theorists have demonstrated that
attitude change is possible among older as well as younger individuals
(see Inkeles, 1971; cf. Inglehart and Baker, 2000). Nevertheless, older
woman are particularly likely to have grown up in an environment where
FGC was simply taken for granted. Furthermore, older women may have
more of a stake in the status quo. We therefore include age as a control
variable.
In addition to the hypothesized main effect of religion on attitudes and
behavior, our theory predicts that international ideals will be more salient
for Christians than for those of other religions. To test this idea, we include
tests for interaction terms that multiply the Christianity measure times
radio ownership and whether the woman had attended college.
Finally, we include a variable to represent intergenerational stability in
attitudes and behavior – whether the respondent herself is circumcised.
Although this is a cross-sectional analysis, by controlling for whether
women themselves are circumcised, we are able to make some assessment
of change over time. In conditions where no change is occurring, women
who are circumcised will circumcise their daughters; those who are not
circumcised will not. Likewise, women who are circumcised will favor
the continuation of FGC. As noted previously, Table 1 demonstrates the
almost invariant distribution of the dependent variables on women’s cir-
cumcision. Uncircumcised women tend both to not have their daughters
circumcised and to oppose the practice (85.4 percent), while circumcised
women tend both to circumcise their daughters and to favor the practice
(79.0 percent). If we find that other factors decrease the probability that
women circumcise their daughters or favor the continuation of the prac-
tice when the women’s own circumcision experience is controlled, then we will
be able to make cautious inferences about changes in attitudes and behav-
iors over time.
The individual, within-region, model is:
where B0j is the intercept, Xqij is the value of the coefficient q associated
with respondent i in region j, and Bq is the partial effect of a coefficient
on the log of the odds of favoring the continuation of FGC or having one’s
daughter circumcised. This equation reflects the influence of micro-level
effects: how women’s characteristics affect the probability of favoring the
continuation of FGC and of practicing this behavior on their daughters.
Although it is common to center all individual-level variables at their
group means to facilitate interpretation of the intercept and regression
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Table 4 Hierarchical Non-Linear Modela of Individual and Regional Effects on the Probability of Women with Daughters
Circumcising their daughters Favoring the continuation of FGC
12/2/02
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
Coeff. T-ratio Odds Coeff. T-ratio Odds Coeff. T-ratio Odds Coeff. T-ratio Odds
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Intercept: Mean log-odds –2.51*** –9.73 0.08 –0.85† –1.90 0.43 –0.78*** 4.02 0.46 0.77† 1.83 2.16
2:25 pm
Regional level, predicting
intercept (N = 33)
Country (Egypt omitted)
Page 20
Mali –3.23*** –4.88 0.04 –2.43*** –3.86 0.09
Niger –2.49** –3.56 0.08 –1.92** –2.93 0.15
Sudan –0.14 –0.25 0.87 –1.29* –2.44 0.28
Regional Development b –0.70** –2.84 0.50 –0.62* –2.68 0.54
Personal level (N = 24,976)
Physical environment
Electricity 0.06 0.56 1.06 0.04 0.37 1.04 –0.34*** –4.09 0.71 –0.36*** –4.19 0.70
20
Urban area 0.11 1.34 1.12 0.12 1.44 1.13 –0.44*** –5.82 0.64 –0.44*** –5.81 0.64
Exposure to global culture
Education –0.16*** –14.22 0.85 –0.16*** –14.16 0.85 –0.18*** –18.72 0.84 –0.18*** –18.39 0.84
College –1.85*** –15.40 0.16 –1.85*** –15.42 0.16 –1.45*** –12.52 0.22 –1.47*** –12.63 0.23
Has radio –0.12* –1.99 0.89 –0.11† –1.90 0.90 –0.29*** –4.90 0.75 –0.27*** –4.61 0.76
Works outside home –0.58*** –7.71 0.56 –0.58*** –7.76 0.56 –0.40*** –5.87 0.67 –0.40*** –5.74 0.67
Christian –0.82*** –6.28 0.44 –0.79*** –5.95 0.45 –1.26*** –10.61 0.28 –1.22*** –9.95 0.30
College*Christian –1.26* –2.44 0.28 –1.28* –2.48 0.28 –0.93† –1.85 0.39 –0.94† –1.89 0.39
Radio*Christian –0.41*** –3.49 0.66 –0.41*** –3.52 0.66 –0.13 –1.15 0.88 –0.14 –1.23 0.87
Age 0.06*** 19.82 1.06 0.06*** 19.83 1.06 –0.01*** –4.46 0.99 –0.01*** –4.23 0.99
Respondent circumcised 4.94*** 44.28 139.77 4.94*** 44.85 139.77 3.69*** 42.71 40.04 3.67*** 41.90 39.26
Random effect (baseline
2.41, Models 1 and 2;
1.94, Models 3 and 4)c 1.86 0.73 1.05 0.67
coefficients (Bryk and Raudenbush, 1992), we chose to center only the age
variable at the regional mean. The other explanatory variables are dummy-
coded or distributed continuously, such that a value of 0 (Xqij = 0) is
meaningful in this context.
The regional-level model includes a latent variable reflecting regional
development and dummy variables representing country of residence
(with Egypt as the omitted country). The latent development variable was
created to conserve degrees of freedom at the regional level – the sample
size at this level is 33. Using principal components factor analysis, three
indicators, the percentage of men employed outside agriculture, the
female literacy rate and the percentage of households with electricity,
loaded onto a single development factor (factors loadings were all greater
than .78), explaining 72 percent of the variance. A regression-scored factor
was then used as our measure of development in subsequent regional-
level analyses. The regional-level model, then, predicts the value of the
intercept (B0j) in the individual-level equation.17 This model specification
allows us to examine the influence of aggregate variables measuring
regional or national features on women’s attitudes or behavior, after
statistically adjusting or controlling for their individual characteristics.
The model can be written as:
B0j
0001(development)02(Kenya)03(Mali)04(Niger)05(Sudan)U0j
Results
Table 4 displays the results of the hierarchical logistic analyses in model-
building steps. The effects of women’s individual-level characteristics on
the likelihood of circumcising daughters and favoring the continuation of
the practice are shown in Models 1 and 3. In Models 2 and 4, we test for
21
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the possibility that the mean regional probability of having the daughter
circumcised or favoring the continuation of FGC may be explained by the
regional level of development or the country where the region is located,
after adjusting for individual-level characteristics.18 We show estimated
regression coefficients and their test statistics for comparison, as well as
exponentiated values of the coefficients (Exp(B)), or odds-ratios, which
are often more easily interpreted. Random effects of the constant term or
intercept coefficient are found in the lower panels in the two tables. Com-
paring these variance components across models indicates how much of
the variability in attitudes and behavior across regions is explained by
our predictors.
We hypothesized, based on modernization theories, that development
would decrease the probability that women would favor the continuation
of FGC or have their daughters circumcised. The results are quite inter-
esting and suggest that the effect of development varies depending on
the level of analysis considered. Electricity decreased the probability that
a woman would favor the continuation of FGC by 29 percent (Exp(B) =
.71), but had no effect on behavior. Likewise, the effects of urbanization
are mixed – living in an urban area decreases the probability that a woman
will favor the continuation of FGC by 36 percent, but had no significant
effect on behavior. When education, media, employment and the other
factors are controlled, urban women are just as likely as rural women to
circumcise their daughters. Living in a city led women to voice opposi-
tion to FGC, but city women were no less likely to circumcise their daugh-
ters than rural women. These finding are particularly informative because
most modernization analyses only consider attitude change. The most
plausible interpretation is that attitudes change before behavior, and that
our analysis captured women in the midst of change.
Turning to national development measured at a more macro-level of
analyses, we found that regional development, when all regions were con-
sidered, had no statistically significant effect on either attitudes or behav-
ior. However, when we controlled for country, intra-national regional
development did correspond to reductions in the probabilities that
women would favor the continuation of FGC or circumcise their daugh-
ters (Models 2 and 4). The most surprising finding was that women in
Egypt – the most developed country – were more likely to favor circum-
cision or have their daughters circumcised than women in other coun-
tries. (The greater probability of favoring FGC in Egypt was statistically
significant compared to all other countries; the greater probability of cir-
cumcising one’s daughters was statistically significant compared to all
other countries except the Sudan and, even there, the difference was in
the same direction.) This likely explains why regional development had
no effect without controlling for country.
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Discussion
This research empirically examines the conditions under which individual
behaviors and attitudes are consistent with an international norm – a
norm already institutionalized in national policies. Based on a growing
literature, we know that global institutions diffuse and become national
policies. In the case of FGC, we also know that each of the five countries
in this analysis have an official state policy against the practice (as do all
other countries in which FGC is practiced, if they have a government).
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What had never been addressed prior to this research is the diffusion of
norms from the international/national levels to individual attitudes and
behavior. We found that neoinstitutionalism helps to explain how
modernization processes actually work. Modernization is not simply a
process of changing the perspectives of individuals in ‘modern’ environ-
ments; rather it is a process of reshaping individuals’ entire cultural uni-
verse.
Factors linked to how individuals experience their physical environ-
ment – urban dwelling and electricity – affected attitudes but not behav-
ior. Specifically, we found that, all else being equal, women who lived in
urban areas and whose households had electricity were more likely to say
they opposed the continuation of FGC, but were no less likely to have cir-
cumcised their daughters. The women in our sample circumcised their
daughters in an earlier time period, but are expressing current attitudes.
Thus, this may indicate steps in a process of change where attitude change
is followed by behavior change (see Mackie, 1996; contra Festinger, 1964).
Going forward, one might find that urban dwelling and electricity will
begin to affect behavior as well as attitudes. Our findings suggest that
control over nature operates differently, perhaps more slowly, than script-
carriers.
One of our most interesting findings was how the independent effect of
modernization varied across levels of analysis. As noted earlier, whether
a household had electricity was influential on attitudes toward FGC, but
had no independent effect on behavior. At the regional level, regional
development by itself had no effect on either attitudes or behavior. It was
only when we introduced the categorical country variable that regional
development had a significant negative effect on the probabilities of favor-
ing FGC or circumcising one’s daughter. Furthermore, the population in
the most developed of our five countries, Egypt, when individual-level
factors were controlled, was the most resistant to changing attitudes and
behavior with respect to FGC. It appears that, under some circumstances,
development at the national level can actually provide a source of resist-
ance to international norms. This is consistent with, but elaborates on, a
theme of other recent research, that ‘cultural zones’ or national ‘rational-
ized meaning systems’ are important sources of uniqueness in the ‘global
village’ (Inglehart and Baker, 2000; Dobbin, 1996). It is also consistent with
earlier findings that it is often the poorest countries that are the first to
‘sign on’ to new international goals – and that this national-level acquies-
cence to international edicts has an effect on individuals.
‘Script-carriers’ – education, college, mass media and employment –
consistently created significant reductions in the probability that women
in five African countries circumcised their daughters or favored the con-
tinuation of FGC. In other words, script-carriers influenced both attitudes
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Notes
This research was funded by the National Science Foundation, Grant No. SBR-
9806088, ‘POWRE: The Adoption and Enforcement of Anti-Female-Genital-Muti-
lation Laws’. The authors would like to thank Lara Cleveland, Ryan King, Corwin
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11. In Niger, women were asked whether they had heard of FGC. If they had not,
they were excluded from the analysis. Based on the data regarding age of
daughter’s circumcision, we determined that some girls were circumcised in
their teens (most were circumcised much younger). Thus we selected 18 as
the upper age limit. Because the sample could include women who had their
daughters circumcised before international pressure was intense, we included
a control variable for daughter’s age. It had no effect. We also conducted an
identical analysis on a subset of women with at least one child under six. The
results of that analysis are reported in the text.
12. Specific descriptions of regions are available from the authors upon request.
13. We use the computer program HLM 4.04 to estimate all HGLM equations.
14. In Sudan women were asked what form of circumcision (sunna, clitoridec-
tomy, infibulation) they would like to see continue. We could not take
advantage of that information because it was not available for the other
countries and limiting the analysis to Sudan would have made regional and
national comparisons impossible. See Williams and Sobieszczyk (1997) for a
more detailed analysis of Sudanese attitudes.
15. In Egypt and the Sudan, women were asked whether they had or intended to
have their eldest daughter circumcised. In Kenya, Mali and Niger, women
were asked whether they had or intended to have any of their daughters
circumcised. To test whether the phrasing of the question had an effect, we
ran the same analysis, selecting women with only one child. The results were
similar in terms of effects and statistical significance.
16. Daughter’s age and month of survey were initially included as controls as
well, but were never statistically significant. The lack of statistical significance
for month of survey suggests that countries had not yet reached the ‘tipping
point’ theorized by Mackie (1996), that is, the point at which behavior changes
dramatically and abruptly. Perhaps because the effect of ‘social disorganiz-
ation’ on gender relations can be contradictory (see Sanday, 1981; Lipman-
Blumen, 1972), we also found no independent effect for a regional social
disorganization factor that was initially included in the analysis.
17. Preliminary analysis of random coefficient models indicated insignificant
levels of variation across regions in the individual-level coefficients. Thus,
these coefficients are specified as fixed effects in the following models, and
the only coefficient that is allowed to vary randomly is the intercept. This
model specification is termed a random intercept model with level-1 covari-
ates by Bryk and Raudenbush (1992).
18. Note that the coefficients for the individual-level effects remain stable across
models. This is due to specifying these parameters as fixed across regions; the
only parameter that is allowed to vary is the constant term.
19. The effect of education on modernization outcomes can vary by country (see
Weil, 1985). To test for this possibility in our analysis, in separate equations
(comparable to Model 3 in Table 4), we allowed the effect of education to vary
and predicted the error term using the categorical country variable. We found
no significant national differences in the effect of education on behavior. With
respect to attitudes, education in all of the countries had a significant negative
effect on the probability that a woman would favor the continuation of FGC,
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Biographical Note: Mayra Gómez recently received her PhD from the University
of Minnesota. Her dissertation research explained the rise, fall and changing
character of human rights abuses by governments in Cuba, Nicaragua and El
Salvador over the last half-century. She has published extensively in human
rights journals, and is currently a research officer for the Centre on Housing
Rights and Evictions (COHRE).
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