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Ap~liedErgonomics 1982, 13.

4, 281-287

The present and future of human


factors
D. Meister
US Navy PersonnelResearchand DevelopmentCenter,San Diego,California 92152, USA

In view of the problems facing human factors specialists, how do they feel about the
present status of their profession and its future prospects? A small number of highly
qualified practitioners were asked their opinions about various questions which have
been discussed in two previous articles in this series. In a 1979 survey they agreed that
designers rarely solicit human engineering assistance and resist human engineering
inputs; that the behavioural research reported in the literature is of relatively little
value in system development work; that government does not monitor human
engineering in system development very effectively. In a survey performed for this
article, specialists were generally optimistic about the future of their discipline but
concerned about government funding and job support under the Reagan administration;
felt that engineering and public acceptance of human factors is increasing slowly; were
ambivalent about any significant improvement in methodology; and considered that
the scope of human factors work would expand in the future. The need for human
factors should increase in the future and the future looks reasonably promising if
specialists learn to deal with a rapidly changing technological environment.

Keywords: Human engineering, system development, problem solving

I ntroduction (4) Will there be a significant improvement in human


engineering methods?
In two previous articles (Meister, 1982a, b) the problems (5) What will the future scope of human factors work
facing the human engineer working in system development include?
(as well as human factors specialists in general) were (6) What are the major problems that human factors
described. The most important of these problems are: professionals face?
(1) Negative engineering and management attitudes Questions as global as these have no absolute answer and
toward human factors; empirical data bearing on them are almost non-existent. One
(2) Inadequate funding for human engineering in system way of approximating an answer is to solicit the opinions of
development; those most knowledgeable about human factors. These are
(3) Inadequate techniques for solving behavioural available in answers to two questionnaire surveys performed
problems arising during system development. by the author, one in 1979 and another specifically for this
This article addresses the present and future status of article.
human factors relative to these problems; specifically it It would be unfair to report these survey results without
focuses on the following questions: first cautioning the reader. Making predictions is in the
(1) How optimistic are human factors specialists about vernacular 'a mug's game'. Even the literature on the rather
the future of their discipline? more sophisticated forecasting of technological (equipment)
(2) Will acceptance of human factors by engineering and innovations (Wise, 1976) suggests that forecasts are poor
the general public increase? and in any case valid for no more than ten years in advance.
(3) Will funding by government military and civilian One of the problems we encounter is the tremendous
agencies increase or decrease and what will be the
variability in any forecast based on opinion. If, of 20 people
effect on jobs in human factors? asked a question, 10 answer 'yes'; five 'maybe'; three 'no';
and two refuse to commit themselves, what is the 'true'
answer? Majority opinions give us only a clue to an answer,
The opinionsexpressedare thoseof the author alone and not the answer itself. Moreover, opinions can be radically
do not representthe Departmentof Defenseor the altered by rapidly changing events. So - the reader is
Department of the Navy. warned.

0003-6870/82/04 0281-07 $03.00 (~ 1982 Butterworth & Co (Publishers)Ltd AppliedErgonomics Docember1982 281
The 1979 survey must be translated by human engineers into specific design
terms or else the input is merely an additional burden to
In the 1979 survey (Meister, 1979) whose theme was the
the designer.
effect of government on human factors, 27 human engineers
responded along with 24 research contractors and Not unexpectedly, almost all the human engineers (96%)
30 government laboratory personnel and managers. The felt that, left on their own, designers would not incorporate
survey was deliberately elitist; it solicited only the opinions human factors considerations in design as effectively as
of those the author considered to be most qualified to would human engineers. There is considerable variability
answer his questions. among designers, a few being highly proficient in human
factors methods, the remainder much less so. If designers
As one would expect, the company human factors group
handled behavioural problems on their own, obvious
spends most of its time (63%) supporting system development
problems might be caught but not the more subtle ones.
(whether or not funded by the government), 24% of its time
Since, as was pointed out previously, design tends to be an
on government-funded research contracts and 13% on
adversary process between inputs from different disciplines,
incidental activities.
motivation to incorporate behavioural inputs - or rather
Since the human engineer attempts to apply behavioural the lack of motivation - becomes critical.
research in system development, the question of the Many human engineers (60%) view their work as
applicability of this research - as reported in journals like depending more on the human engineer's special talents
Human Factors, Ergonomics or the Journal o f Applied and persuasiveness than on a formal body of principles and
Psychology - to his problem is important. Over half (52%) data, which one can call science.
of the respondents considered that the research was non-
applicable. Obviously, many human engineers do not By a very large majority (78%) human engineers felt
believe that they are getting much out of the behavioural that behavioural research data are generally inadequate to
research reported in the literature. Sample comments about answer behavioural questions arising during system
these reports were that it was 'narrow', 'theoretical', with development. Their data do not lend themselves to concrete
'very little generalisability to system development'. design operations. In general, the human engineer needs
more specific detail than he can find in the literature. More
As has been pointed out previously, the relationship molecular aspects such as controls or displays are fairly well
between the human engineer and the designer is crucial for covered in the literature, whereas others such as task design
the effectiveness of human engineering. 64% of the human are not.
engineers felt that designers on their own are incapable of Almost half of the human engineers (48%) felt that if
understanding human factors inputs. However, some human factors is not more influential in system development,
respondents pointed out that engineers may understand it is because the necessary backup data are not available. Do
these inputs but do not push for their incorporation in human engineering handbooks like Woodson (1981) or
design. There are large individual variations in designer - Van Cott and Kinkade (1972) and military standards like
human engineer relationships. 1472C (Department of Defense, 1981) provide sufficient
76% agreed that designers do not solicit human engineering information to handle the great majority of human factors
assistance. Again there are individual variations, special design situations encountered? 44% said yes, 54% said no.
individuals and special circumstances, but the armed 80% felt that behavioural research performed under
neutrality between designer and human engineer seems the government sponsorship does not sufficiently address system
same as it was when it was first described 15 years ago development problems. On the other hand, some suggest
(Meister and Farr, 1967). A key element in securing designer that data are available but may not be used adequately; in
co-operation appears to be a supportive management. other words, that the interpretation of research results is
Respondents suggested a number of reasons to explain the perhaps as important as the research itself.
negative designer- human engineer relationship: the designer's 64% of the respondents felt that the influence human
wish to function with complete autonomy; his view of factors had on overall system development is minimal: A
human factors requirements as merely additional constraints; similar majority (69%) felt that other priorities such as cost
the human factors group's reputation which may not be very or reliability seriously diminish the influence of behavioural
positive. Human engineers may also have difficulty inputs on design.
communicating their ideas to designers.
With all this there is reason for hope. Three out of four
Slightly more than half (57%) of human engineers felt human engineers felt that over the years designers have
that there is still considerable resistance on the part of shown increasing appreciation of human factors in design.
designers to the inclusion of human factors inputs in design. The older ones tend to be more conservative. Perhaps as
The positive side is that almost half (41%) feel that the these r e t i r e . . .
situation is improving somewhat. And indeed it may be
improving, because in years past almost all human engineers
would have given a negative answer on this point. Some The 1982 survey
human engineers felt that if behavioural inputs are In this survey of 58 questionnaires mailed, 45
'reasonable', engineers will accept them. Unfortunately (approximately 78%) were returned. The survey consisted
human factors inputs are sometimes inadequate and this of a series of propositions to which those surveyed
creates resistance to or rather avoidance of the inputs. responded by checking one of five categories indicating
This resistance may result in part from the fact that, as degree of agreement or disagreement or amount of increase/
many of the respondents (72%) felt, engineers may find decrease. It was a condition that all responses be anonymous,
human factors inputs to design insufficiently precise and especially since a number of those reporting hold high
quantitative. Some pointed out that human factors data positions in industry and government.

282 AppliedErgonomics December 1982


A bare recital of those agreeing or disagreeing with a destiny') because systems are becoming more complex.
particular proposition would tell the reader very little. Nevertheless there is a strong underlying feeling that
About half the respondents provided detailed explanations human factors is still a minority discipline and must prove
of their opinions and these are presented in summary fashion itself anyway it can. Most realise that acceptance will take
immediately following each topic question. Responses are time.
phrased in terms of percentages because the number
responding to individual questions varied slightly (for a few Military financial support of human factors system
questions, by 2 or 3). development
There is some feeling that restricted government funding
The future of human factors in the near term (5-10 years) will cut human factors down a bit. Thus although of those
95% were either optimistic or highly optimistic. Some of responding to this question 52% felt that funding would
this optimism arises from respondents' conviction that increase somewhat, 41% felt that government support would
civilian-oriented human factors will become increasingly either remain the same or decrease. The optimism reported
more important. The perceived emphasis on defence previously with regard to human factors as a whole does
spending by the present government administration bodes not seem to carry over quite as strongly to military support,
well in their opinion for human engineering in system although new systems should be developed as a result of the
development. They see the shock effect on the public of massive infusion of money into the military. The money
the Three Mile Island nuclear incident as being quite would then trickle down to human factors. Those in the
important for human factors. In addition, there is some research end of things fear that funding for human factors
feeling that the tremendous increase in automation and research will be downgraded in favour of applied
computerisation and the behavioural problems associated development.
with these will require more human factors work. Others
feel optimistic because they see the scope of human factors Non-military financial support of human factors system
expanding into consumer products and industry which they development
believe have a greater potential demand than human factors There is also some pessimism about non-military support
specialists will be able to supply. of human factors in a time of straitened circumstances.
Only 36% feel that non-military support will increase; the
The future of human factors in the long term (10+ years) remainder feel that it will either remain the same or decrease.
Again 95% were optimistic or highly optimistic. Optimism The present administration's curtailment of funding for
for the long term is even greater than for the near future. work in civilian agencies like Labour, Transportation, etc,
There may be some temporary reduction in human factors will hurt. Nuclear power is considered about the only
activity because of 'Reaganomics' which worries many exception to this. Respondents recall that in any event
specialists, but the long term future is seen as good the amount of non-military government support of human
because of the increasing complexity of the systems people factors has never been very great. There is some hope that
have to operate and maintain. Again, many see the long following the present administration there will be an upsurge.
term future of human factors as involved more with civilian Industry may take up the slack.
than with military uses of equipment but they are cautious
about this. They feel that there is an implicit need for Future improvement in human factors methodology
human factors but that that need has not yet been fully Respondents are very divided on this point, 48% seeing
realised by those who should utilise our products. The some improvements, 24% being non-committal, and 26%
expansion of human factors is seen as paralleling and disagreeing. If new methodological approaches are needed,
depending on the increasing recognition by engineers and no one seems to know what these would be. Part of the
the general public of that need. A number of respondents negativism about methodology is a carryover from the general
were afraid that other disciplines such as industrial pessimism resulting from government cutbacks. Another
engineering would assimilate human factors and we will point of view is that if the methodology we do have is not
either lose our identity or at least become less behaviourally being applied (by engineers, presumably), why do we need
oriented. more sophistication? What will these new methods be?
Computer-aided design is what most people think of; others,
Engineering/public acceptance of human factors field research and multivariate problems, particularly where
This is generally seen as increasing (90%). A major highly robust techniques are needed; but see Topmiller
problem still persisting is the lack of acceptance by engineers (1981 ). The pace of methodological development will be
of the value of human factors work. Respondents cite slow.
indices of greater approval, such as human engineering being
mentioned in advertisements for commercial products, as Human factors jobs in civilian system development
well as the importance attributed to human engineering by There is considerable optimism about the availability of
the investigatory arm of Congress, the General Accounting jobs in civilian system development based in part on the
Office (1981). The Three Mile Island incident with its increased attention given human factors by Three Mile
emphasis on human error was helpful in this connection. Island and by the increase in computerisation. 85% of the
Some human factors specialists feel that additional publicity respondents felt that the number of civilian oriented jobs
is necessary and appeal for more public relations activity. will increase, only 13% that they would remain the same or
Others feel that acceptance has been especially good in the decrease somewhat. The increase in jobs will occur in high
civilian sector. Some of the optimism with regard to technology companies that are at the forefront of research
acceptance assumes that it is inevitable because of an and development for civilian products such as computers,
implicit need for human factors (a form of 'manifest communications and electronics. For many the rationale for

Applied Ergonomics December 1982 283


the increase in jobs is an article of faith based on the concept In both cases there is agreement that the scope will increase,
of a consumer 'demand' which, being inevitable, will but greater agreement that the variety of topics will expand.
somehow manifest itself. This faith is tied also to a feeling The expansion will be into new consumer and social areas.
that military human factors, where we began and where we Some of the respondents who perhaps have a wider view-
are still most active, is somehow not fully respectable point see human factors as being applied to just about
because it is non-productive, whereas consumer human everything in our culture. We are presumably only at the
factors is good because it satisfies people's wants. Many beginning of this trend. Others say that the number of
respondents are, however, afraid that the current recession problems to be solved by human factors may not increase
will slow down any civilian progress, that the 'civilianisation' but that their nature will change. There is a feeling that
of human factors is a long term phenomenon. In the near technological changes will force a change in scope and that
term there may be a loss in civilian employment but this there will also be greater opportunities for cross-disciplinary
will be reversed later. work.

Human factors jobs in military system development Problems facing human factors professionals
There is much less optimism about jobs resulting from A final question asked respondents to rank seven major
military system development. Only half (54%) say the problems facing human factors. Table 1 lists the problems,
number of such jobs will increase somewhat, the remainder the number of respondents ranking each problem along
feeling that the number of jobs will either remain the same the scale of 1 to 7 and the mean ranking of the problem.
or decrease. Some feel that the military will devote its This last was determined by multiplying the number ranking
money to systems that do not require extensive human a problem in each category by the rank of that category
engineering, others that human factors has not yet convinced (eg, 7 respondents in rank 1 = 7), then adding the total
the military that it is worth supporting. Those who are per problem (eg, (7 x 1) + (6 x 2) + (9 x 3 ) . . . = 90) and,
optimistic see the manpower situation in the American since not all respondents ranked every problem, dividing
military (ie, the all volunteer force) as creating a demand by the number of respondents ranking that problem (eg,
for human factors to assure maximum ultilisation of systems. 90 + 31 = 2.90). The lower the ranking, the higher the
priority the problem has.
Human factors/obs in research
There appears to be no great anticipation that jobs in The two problems tied almost in a dead heat are the
human factors research will increase. Only 28% of problem of demonstrating the worth of human factors
respondents felt that these jobs will increase; 51% that they (2"88) and lack of adequate professional training (2-90).
would remain the same; and 20% that they would decrease. The first is the acceptance problem again. The second, a
feeling that many of those claiming to be human engineers
Part of the problem is the present economic climate which
are not completely qualified.
is depressing and the feeling that the Reagan administration
and government as a whole are more application than Enough has already been said about the problem of
research-minded. In consequence the biggest growth surge gaining acceptance (which is next in importance with a
may occur in applications, which translates into human ranking of 3-13) to which the demonstration of human
engineering in industry. If there is to be any improvement factors worth is tightly linked. The problem of lack of
in the research picture, it will take time. adequate training is one which frankly the author had not
thought was a serious one. That it is serious is suggested not
Scope of human factors work only by the responses to this survey item but also by the
Almost everyone (94%) agrees that this will increase in Committee on Human Factors of the National Research
the future. One can think of scope in terms of the number Council, which recently ran a workshop to consider the
of human factors jobs that will become available or the problem of post-graduate education and those techniques
range of topics the human engineer will have to deal with. for which human factors professionals need most retraining.

Table 1: Ranking of problems facing human factors professionals

Number in rank category


Number Total
Problem 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 responding rankvalue Mean rank

Worth of human factors 12 7 4 2 4 3 2 34 98 2-88

Lack of adequate training 7 6 9 4 3 1 1 31 90 2.90

Poor acceptance 5 6 6 6 4 2 29 91 3-13

Too few professionals 3 9 4 5 2 5 28 93 3.32

Inadequate training 6 3 7 2 5 2 3 28 99 3"53

Lack of government support 3 5 3 10 3 2 2 28 103 3"67

Not enough jobs 1 1 6 6 14 85 6"07

284 Applied Ergonomics December 1982


There is some feeling that there are too few human factors welfare, police) but there it is wise to be circumspect
professionals (ranking of 3.32) which may be linked to lack because of the many political factors influencing the design
of adequate training. The problem of inadequate techniques of such systems.
(ranking of 3.53) did not seem to bother respondents as Overall the future for human factors looks reasonably
much as the author had anticipated; they may believe that promising if
there are many techniques and the difficulty is one of not
using them. (1) Human factors specialists obtain and maintain the
necessary level of competence in dealing with a very
Lack of government support is apparently not the most rapidly changing system/hardware environment.
pressing problem for respondents and this is tied to the Specifically, the rate of computerisation, and the
problem of insufficient number of jobs which few thought increasing degree of sophistication of computer-based
was important enough to rank and those who did felt it systems, will be the big challenge to human factors
was much less important than the other problems noted. practitioners.
(2) New tools are provided for human engineering
The cloudy crystal ball* application which the human engineer has the ability
From the variability in responses to the two surveys, it to understand and apply.
is clear that the future of human factors is just as obscure to (3) Human factors practitioners make the effort to
our 'experts' as it is to the reader. However, certain trends improve the level of their professionalism (ie,
are apparent. competence) and the relevance of human factors
research to real world problems. Currently much
The need for human factors in the future human factors research is academic in orientation,
The need for human factors assistance should increase in and, as we have seen, not particularly useful in a work-
the years to come because oriented context. Its emphasis must be reoriented to
the real world system.
(1) Technological sophistication will increase so much
that it will significantly exceed the capability of The single most significant technical driving force for
personnel to operate and maintain systems (particularly human factors in the next two decades will be the increasing
the latter). The discrepancy between technological sophistication of computer systems and the concurrent
sophistication and personnel capability is already developments in artificial intelligence and 'cognitive science'.
evident in the United States Navy. For example, one The result will be very different capabilities for systems
highly advanced propulsion system had to be removed and system hardware which will also change the functions
from a number of ships and replaced at great expense of operators as well. It is almost a clich~ to say that
with one less advanced because personnel did not computer-based systems have changed the operator's role
have the expertise to utilise the former. from user to monitor and/or decision-maker. The expanded
(2) The fact that less qualified personnel enter the capabilities of such systems will result in the computer and
military services and industrial production lines will software doing much of what is now considered monitoring
exacerbate the problem posed by technological and decision-making, in particular data reduction, the
sophistication. Among less qualified personnel one analysis of relationships and some evaluative functions. The
finds women, people whose mental and/or educational results will probably be that future human factors design
qualifications are less than desired and people from technology will have to meet new (and as yet undefined)
developing countries. Women may be somewhat criteria involving display content, data rates, user/user
culturally deprived because their upbringing tends to interaction and user/system interaction.
reduce their contact with technology. The need for These modifications will also mean changes of emphasis
military personnel has led to the recruitment of for the human engineer. For example, with increased
personnel with less than a high school (leaving school) automation, personnel will become system managers in the
certificate, some of whom are functionally illiterate. sense that operator functions will emphasise complex and
Opportunities for human factors may expand creative information processing, analyses and decision-
significantly in the design of equipment for Third making rather than routine operations. Design implications
World people (see the December 1968 issue of Human will centre around the cognitive rather than psychomotor
Factors). functions. With computerisation the human engineer will be
concerned more about software than hardware. If systems,
Changes in future human factors scope because of complexity, become increasingly more difficult
Further expansion of human factors efforts will take to maintain, he will be asked to turn his attention to design
place in the civilian sector; the demand for human for maintainability, an area most human engineers working
engineering of military systems will level off. Computers, in system development have managed to steer clear of
office furniture, medical systems, trucks and tractors, (because of its difficulty).
process control systems, ships and aircraft - to name only
There have been continuing efforts - and one presumes
a few; it is reasonable to hypothesise that all will be
that they will continue to be made - to bring the human
exploited by human factors more fully in the further, if
engineer into the very early phases of system development,
not nearer, future. There may be some tentative human
when the system is only a glint in the developer's eye and
factors advances into the design of social systems (eg,
only the rough outlines of the system can be discerned
conceptually. If the human engineer does get more involved
*The author acknowledges with pleasure the contribution in earlier system development phases, his expertise will have
of R.A. Newman to the writing of this section. to emphasise much more sophisticated analytic techniques.

Applied Ergonomics December 1982 285


New developments in modelling and simulation technology, load analysis, etc, are almost non-existent. It is even unclear
new mathematical tools and new methods of working with to what extent these methods are actually used in
time-variant dynamic variables are becoming available for development and how.
application to system analysis. These may represent the
next generation of system development technology in It cannot be repeated sufficiently that human factors
human factors. will be able to capitalise on the opportunities of the future
only to the extent that its methods are appropriate to those
opportunities. There are of course computerised models
lmplicationsfor the human engineer of the future and methods (eg, CAFES - Boeing, 1975) but as Topmiller
These implications centre around the functions the (1981) has pointed out there is little application of these
human engineer will perform in future system development methods, perhaps because these 'advances' do not answer
and his training to perform those functions. It seems the questions actually asked during system development.
unlikely that his development functions will change Beyond that, where is the quantitative, probabilistic human
significantly because, ff he performs as he ideally should, performance data base that many have been clamouring for
he is presently involved with all behavioural aspects of for years? How well do we know the basic mechanisms of
the system and this will not change. The critical behavioural system development with which human factors technology
questions raised in system development will not change must mesh? Why is it that we can do so little in the area of
substantially with technological sophistication; they may design for maintainability? As we trip bright-eyed into the
become even more important. future, we leave a large vacuum of unsatisfied needs behind
US.
The training of the future human engineer should
change a bit more. With computerisation one can see much
more emphasis being given to mathematics and statistics, to What must be done?
learning about computers, how to use them, how to program The author has no immediate solution to the problems
them and how to use computer-aided design tools. A major that have been raised in this series of articles, nor is he
area of emphasis in the training of prospective human presumptuous enough to suggest one. As a minimum,
engineers will be highly sophisticated mathematical analyses however, human engineers can examine the issues and
which underly the increasing sophistication of computerised discuss them. Do most human engineers fred the problems
systems. Many human factors specialists are not currently discussed in these articles to be real problems? Are there
trained in these areas and may have difficulty communicating things that can realistically be done to help solve them?
with the designers of such systems. It is remarkable that over the years there has been very
Designing for the operator as system manager should little discussion by human engineers about their role in the
require more academic training in mathematical decision- system development process, although there is usually a
making and cognitive processes. It is the author's impression vast amount of discussion about academic research questions.
that universities whose human factors training programmes Human engineers themselves seem to fail to recognise
are well known, eg, North Carolina State University, adequately the tremendous significance (or potential
Virginia Polytechnic Institute, do heavily emphasise those significance) of their role. The system development process
areas for their graduate students and the loading will increase is one of the few crucial mechanisms determining (at least
in the future. Fortunately an increasing number of students in part) our technological culture. Within that process only
are entering the university Human Factors programme with the human engineer really represents the behavioural aspects
a background considerably broader than one finds in the of that culture.
traditional academic psychology department. However, it is If human engineers believe these things, then they should
the current generation of human factors practitioners that not merely accept the constraints (both external and internal)
will determine the course of the discipline's development under which they perform. The human engineering function
in the next two decades. deserves the best efforts of its practitioners, not the least
part of which should be an awareness of the larger
significance of their work and a conscious attempt to
Technological lag in human factors improve its effectiveness.
It is obvious to everyone that human factors is evolving.
If one makes the assumption, as the author does, that
human factors effectiveness depends upon the adequacy of
its methods, one must ask whether our technology, ie, the References
totality of our methods, is also evolving. The answer to this
Boeing Corporation
question is somewhat disturbing.
1975 CAFES - Computer-aided function allocation
The author sees little evidence that human factors evaluation system (Executive summary). Report
practitioners as a whole are concerned about methodology. DI80-18577-1, Crew Systems Technology, Boeing
If in some respects we move rapidly, in others progress is Aerospace C9, Seattle, Washington.
intolerably slow. To the great majority of human engineers,
Department of Defense
human factors methodology is the methodology of the late
1981 MIL-STD- 1472C. Human engineering design criteria
1950s and early 1960s. The author was recently required to
for military systems, equipment and facilities.
write a report describing analytic techniques used in system
Washington, DC.
development (Meister, 1982c, in press) and found himself
consulting volumes written in the early 1960s (Folley et al, Folley, J.D., et al (Eds)
1960) because nothing newer was available or adequate. 1960 Human factors methods for system design. Report
Useful descriptions of such basic (and primitive) techniques AIR-290-60-FR-225, American Institute for Research,
as time line analysis, operational sequence diagrams, work- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

286 AppliedErgonomics December 1982


General Accounting Office Meister, D., and Farr, D.E.
1981 Effectiveness of US forces can be increased through 1967 Human Factors, 9.1, 71-87. The utilisation of
improved weapon system design. Report PSAD-81-17, human factors information by designers.
Washington, DC. Topmiller, D.A.
Meister, D. 1981 Methods: Past approaches, current trends and future
1979 The influence of government on human factors requirements. In Moraal, J., and Kraiss, K.F. (Eds).
research and development. Proceedings, Human 'Manned systems design: Methods, equipment and
Factors Society Annual Meeting, 5-13. application'. Plenum Publishing Corporation, New York.
Meister, D. Van Cott, H.E, and Kinkade, R.G. (Eds)
1982a Applied Ergonomics, 13.2, 119-124. The role of 1972 Human engineering guide to equipment design
human factors in system development. (revised edition), US Government Printing Office,
Washington, DC.
Meister, D.
1982b Applied Ergonomics, 13.3. 219-223. Human factors Wise, G.
problems and solutions. 1976 Futures, 8.5, 411-419. The accuracy of technological
forecasts, 1890-1940.
Meister, D.
1982c (in press) Behavioural inputs to the weapon system Woodson, W.E.
acquisition process. Report US Navy Personnel Research 1981 Human factors design handbook, McGraw-Hill, New
and Development Center, San Diego, California. York.

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288 AppliedErgonomics December1982

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