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DUKE MICHIGAN ST. LSU VIRGINIA TECH Mississippi st. MARYLAND LOUISVILLE VCU
Rebounding Margin per game 6.1 9 5.1 2.6 3.7 8.5 3.6 1.4
ATS Record 18-16 24-10 19-12-1 16-14-1 16-17 16-15-1 17-14-1 20-11- 1
Conference ATS Record 9-12 17-6 14-5 8-11- 1 9-11 12-9 11-9 13-6
O/U record 9-23- 2 14-19- 1 19-12 16-14- 1 16-17 15-17 14-19 12-18
9 SEED 10 SEED 11 SEED 11 SEED 12 SEED 13 SEED 14 SEED 15 SEED 16 SEED
UCF Minnesota Belmont Temple Liberty Saint Louis Yale Bradley Play In Winner
Incredibly effecient
When Amir Coffey NDST shoots it well,
offense, 20th in OE,
can get his, 46th overall in DE, 52 overall in OEFG.
36th in DE, lot of big 3rd in offensive EFG, 12th in the country in 11th in the country in Shoot 36.8% from 3,
Minnesota is Top 100 OE and DE EFG on the defensive NC Central is 22nd in
bodies shoot 37.1% from 3 EFG offensive EFG 58th in the country
successful. 12-3 when side is 26th the country on the
and 2nd overall in
he scores 18 or more offensive glass
the land from 2
Nick Muszynski's
Might just be happy
They may be big, but health is still Play at a very slow
They did most of with reaching the They're not very
you can get to the uncertain. The big tempo, 349th to be Yes, MSU has been
their damage in The Shoot 33.1% from 3, dance after an up- disruptive
offensive glass on the guy's absence in the exact. They get uninspiring of late in
Barn. The Gophers 204th overall in and-down year. defensively, towards DUKE
Knights. Second OVC title game might matched up with a the tournament but
were 2-9 in true road offensive EFG Hokies are finally the bottom of the
chance points are have been the run and gun team, they still play MSU
games. healthy and are country in forced TOs
their kryptonite. difference between bad news bears
hungry.
winning and losing.
1 SEED 2 Seed 3 SEED 4 SEED 5 SEED 6 SEED 7 SEED 8 SEED
VIRGINIA TENNESSEE PURDUE KANSAS ST. WISCONSIN VILLANOVA CINCINNATI MISSISSIPPI
ATS Record 23-9 17-15- 1 17-14- 1 19-13-1 16-16-1 20-14 14-20 23-9
Conference ATS Record 14-6 11-10 11-9- 1 14-5- 1 10-11- 1 12-9 7-14 12-7
O/U record 16-16 19-14 17-15 13-20 13-18- 1 12-19- 2 16-17- 1 13-19
9 SEED 10 SEED 11 SEED 12 SEED 13 SEED 14 SEED 15 SEED 16 SEED
Oklahoma Iowa St. Mary's Oregon UC Irvine Old Dominion Colgate Gardner Webb
Rebounding Margin per game 6.1 0.2 1.9 4.7 4.3 3.6 2.4 -2.3
ATS Record 21-12 19-15 15-16-1 16-17-1 19-14 18-14- 1 17-14- 1 19-14
Conference ATS Record 10-8 15-8 10-8- 1 11-10 11-9 10-11 10-10 13-7
O/U record 16-17 13-20 15-16 14-18- 2 12-18- 2 16-16 13-19 14-19
9 SEED 10 SEED 11 SEED 11 SEED 12 SEED 13 SEED 14 SEED 15 SEED 16 SEED 16 SEED
Baylor Florida Arizona State St.John's Murray State Vermont Northern KY Montana FDU P.VIEW
Shoot a ton of 3's ... Sleep walk through a Teams seem get to
43.4 % of all attempts Lost by 21 to lot of games. Lost to Have a few bad L's: the line fairly easy on
178th in the country Florida State's D will GONZAGA too GONZAGA too
are from 3 (3pt rate). Washington State Depaul twice, Xavier If Morant is off, they Eastern KY, Oakland, them. Will be a huge
in scoring - only 71 be a real problem for talented , too good talented , too good
Yet they don't shoot who is ranked 210th twice, Providence are dead in the water IUPUI, Ill-Chi. & Clev. problem vs faster
PPG them .... Blowout .... Blowout
it well - 33% (222nd according to Kenpom twice, and State gaurds, and bigger
in the country) Gerogetown post players
1 SEED 2 SEED 3 SEED 4 SEED 5 SEED 6 SEED 7 SEED 8 SEED
NORTH CAROLINA KENTUCKY HOUSTON KANSAS AUBURN IOWA ST. WOFFORD UTAH ST.
Rebounding Margin per game 9.7 8.9 7.3 2.4 -1.3 0.7 5.2 8.9
ATS record 21-9-3 17-16 21-12-1 15-18-1 20-13-1 18-14-2 19-11 18-15
Conference ATS Record 14-6 10-10 13-8 9-11- 1 14-8 11-10 15-6 10-11
O/U record 15-18 12-21 14-19-1 21-12-1 18-16 17-16 16-14 17-16
9 SEED 10 SEED 11 SEED 12 SEED 13 SEED 14 SEED 15 SEED 16 SEED
Washington Seton Hall Ohio State New Mexico St. Northeastern Georgia State AB Christian Iona
Balanaced scoring
Houston wants to
lineup - Puscia 17.8, 4 straight NCAA
Battled with Number 5 in the play slow (267th in
They're disruptive Roland-14.7, Brace- Tournaments. Kids
Gonzaga, VT & country in tempo) . G'St wants
defensively and may 10. Gresham- 9.8. Shoot 38.3% from 3. understand the
Minnesota earlier in Strong on the rebounding margin at to play fast ( 67th).
be able to get BONUS- Here are Cheating Calipari has showcase , timing
the season. Their defensive end, 27th +9. Extremely deep, They can either-
Wofford out of their what these guys said on ESPN he's etc. Can score a ton
defense gives them a in DE, 58th in DEFG well balanced team. dictate tempo, or in a
game in the first shoot from 3- Puscia- concerned about it of points. Of all 14-
legit shot to get to #1 in the country in short game use their
round 40.1 %, Roland- 15-16's this is one to
the Sweet 16 bench minutes 38.1% from 3 to stun
40.8%, Brace- 41/5% , consider
the Cougs
and Gresham- 39.3%
Have I mentioned
Not a deep team at
that the Pac 12 is pile 6'9 Frosh Jalone
3 things to of garbage? 119th in
all. 310th in bench
Horrific at getting Shoot just 65.6 % Friday has been out
minutes. Foul trouble 267th in the NCAA in 67.3 from the FT line, Fast tempo leads to
DISLIKE OE, turn the ball over
and a long Big East PPG, averaging 69.3 293rd overall
offensive rebounds from the Free Throw for over a month, via
opposition layup drill
a ton, terrible -328th in the country Line suspension. Was
run could have them
rebounding team averaging 13 and 5.
gassed
defensively
Teams with Top 25 Adj. Offensive Eff. AND Top 25 Adjusted Defensive
Eff., = Final 4 / Title Contenders
Teams with Top 40 Adj. Offensive Eff AND Top 40 Adj. Defensive Eff. =
Elite 8 / Final 4 type teams
Teams with Top 75 Adj Offensive Eff AND Top 75 Adj. Defensive Eff =
Sweet 16 / & in rare cases - Elite 8/ Final 4
NFW LIST
Now, just as we discussed teams who excel on both sides of the floor,
I have devoted time to find teams who don’t have an exceptional
offense OR an exceptional defense.
In the tournament, teams can use 1 thing to ride a hot wave- think
Shaka Smart’s great Defense, or Kevin Pittsnogle’s great offense back
in the day.
These teams do neither. They are so-so on both sides of the ball,
which leaves them susceptible to upsets in the Big Dance.
Have made the tournament. As you can see about 85% of those teams
have exited in the first weekend, and a total of 3 have made the Final
Four. I call this the NFW LIst because if a team appears on here,
there’s “no freaking way” they make the Final Four.
*** I’m adjusting the list this year to BELOW 115.0 AND ABOVE 92.0
***
I am primarily doing this after noticing that very few teams in the
country are below 90.0 in raw Defensive Efficiency. In fact 92.0 still
gets you at the 15th best defense in the country. For example-
Houston is an elite team having the 24th best offense and 13th best
defense in the country but under the old rule would be an NFW team.
Same goes for Florida State . Now - I am very leery of Houston and
Florida State because they fit the old profile of below 115, above 90-
but because they rank high I’ve decided to adjust the list to
BELOW 115.0 AND ABOVE 92.0
Now, we’ve talked about teams who do things well, who do things
mediocre. Let’s talk about teams seeded 1-9 who have 1 glaring red
flag in their efficiency.- ie either and OE or a DE outside of 75.
Look at the matchups of these teams and see if their style of play can
expose the red flag teams weaknesses.
Kansas State (102nd OE), VCU (172th OE), Washington (119th OE)
Then is 2016, half the Final Four was heavily reliant 3pt teams with a
3pt rate over 40% - Oklahoma and of course Villanova.
Last year 3 of the teams in the Final Four (all but Loyola) were above
40% on their three point rate.
So the total is now 7 teams out of 72 teams (9.72%) have had a 3pt
rate above 40%, however the teams in 2016-2018 was 5 which is
41.6%.
I think this should be called the “Steph Effect”. Meaning he’s changed
the game like no other player. Everyone is shooting more 3’s. I saw a
graphic earlier this year that nearly half the country is now above 40%
3pt rate.
I’ve learned that this 3pt rate stat is not as much of a lock as it used to
be, however it’s still worth looking at.
It’s also good to note a team that shoots a ton of three’s and doesn’t
shoot them well (ie- their 3pt percentage).
Here are high seeded teams (1-6) currently above 40% 3pt rate (3pt
fga / total fga) , and their accuracy from deep :
2 - Michigan - 40% 3pt rate , shoot 35.1% from 3pt (133rd in country)
3- Houston- 42.6% 3pt rate , shoot 36.4% from 3pt (tie 77th)
3- Purdue - 44.5% 3pt rate, shoot 36.4% from 3pt (tie 77th)
4- VA Tech - 45% 3pt rate, shoot 39.4% from 3pt (8th in country)
4- Marquette- 41.7% 3pt rate, shoot 39.3% from 3pt (9th in country)
5-Auburn- 49.2% 3pt rate, shoot 38.1% from 3pt (27th in country)
6-Villanova- 53.5% 3pt rate, shoot 35.3% from 3pt ( 121st in country)
6- Buffalo- 43.9% 3pt rate, shoot 33.6 % from 3pt (215th in country)
There’s a few mysterious characters who are Rico Ryders who pop out every now
and then like clockwork. I laugh every time how this group is a mix between the
soldiers in BraveHeart, and the mutants at Table 9. But regardless, I respect how
dedicated everyone is to the craft. None more than the famous “BALL KID” who
came to me a few years back talking about his trends of different ball brands
affecting scoring etc. FYI- The NCAA Tourney uses Wilson Balls during all games.
Rico,
I am going to be tied up with work/travel the next couple weeks so I got a head of things
and compiled a quick excel sheet for you. It has the win/loss ATS and Over/under records
broken down by ball. Last year was an off year – I attribute that to some bad matchups
and expect it to be back to the norm this year. I also took the BPI rankings from like a
week ago and other teams I think have a shot at making the tournament and looked up
what they use for home games.
The games I played over the past three years are all teams that use the Wilson ball and
the over for those games. Even with last year’s disaster those are hitting a combined
55%. A bunch of mid majors use the ball this year like Hofstra, Houston, SD State, Murray
State and even our boys down at Lipscomb – could see some beneficial lines for the first
round.
I will get a break down after the bracket comes out but thought I would get this over to
you now.
Cheers,
As he mentioned- The big trend to look at is Wilson Overs, or Wilson teams
pulling outright upsets per his research. Good to consider while examining your
brackets and bets.
* - The Over Trend applies to any team who uses a Wilson ball during the year- *
Here’s which kind of ball tournament team’s play with during the
regular season. He got as many as he could, will be updating me as
they come in.
To get any inside info on any team you have questions on - hit up Ball
Kid on twitter. But for now- Here’s teams who use Wilson balls during
the year he’s sent me :
● Games in the 1st and 2nd round that were delayed 15+ minutes.
● The Unders in the 1st half and Game of those games was : 16-4
Give the guy Anthony a follow and a DM thank you when these cash.
TEMPO MATCHUPS
Really dove into this last year , and the screenshots are buried
somewhere, but really all you have to know is pace of play can affect
the hell out of games, and can result in upsets.
Last year I nailed Marshall over Wichita State because the Herd
wanted to run, and The Shockers wanted to slow it down. The Herd
dictated the pace and it was the difference.
Fastest tempos :
● UNC (5) vs Iona (45)
● Buffalo (9) vs Zona St (46) or St.John’s (48)
● LSU (66) vs Yale (44)
● Ole Miss (129) vs Oklahoma (112)
● Marquette (116) vs Murray State ( 98)
Slowest tempos :
● Wisconsin (332) vs Oregon (328)
● Nova (333) vs St.Mary’s (347)
● K’State (342) vs UCI (296)
● Syracuse (251) vs Baylor (291)
● Michigan (320) vs Montana (225)
● Kentucky (265) vs AB Christian (254)
-Rico Bo$co
MLP (Money Line Parlays)
I went through and looked at key efficiency numbers for Final Four teams through the last 10 years. The red line
represents the average of each number for the last decade. Obviously, the teams listed are from this year’s field. All
numbers were taken from the king, Ken Pomeroy. The “weight” number is based on my own research and the higher
the number, the more this stat is correlated to success in the tournament. Only teams seeded 1-11 were included.
We start with...
Weight: 9.01
Teams Above Avg: Gonzaga, Virginia, Tennessee, Michigan State, Purdue, Duke,
North Carolina, Auburn, Iowa State, LSU, Virginia Tech, Wofford, Kentucky, Mississippi
State, Iowa, Villanova
Stat: Offensive Effective Field Goal Percentage
Weight: 5.72
Teams Above Avg: Gonzaga, Wofford, Belmont, Virginia Tech, Michigan State,
Virginia, Tennessee, Iowa State, Mississippi State, Auburn, Utah State, Marquette,
Nevada, St. Mary’s, Texas Tech, Duke, Villanova, Buffalo, Kentucky, Ole Miss, North
Carolina, Purdue, UCF, Iowa
Stat: Offensive Three-Point Percentage
Weight: 5.71
Teams Above Avg: Wofford, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Marquette, Michigan State, Auburn,
Mississippi State, St. Mary’s, Belmont, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Gonzaga, Iowa State, North
Carolina, Kentucky, Purdue, Tennessee, Iowa, St. John’s
Stat: Offensive Rebound Percentage
Weight: 3.01
Teams Above Avg: Baylor, Cincinnati, LSU, Kentucky, Duke, Purdue, Mississippi State,
Houston, North Carolina, Michigan State, Maryland
Stat: Offensive Turnover Percentage
Weight: 5.76
Teams Below Avg: Michigan, St. John’s, Nevada, Wisconsin, Gonzaga, Virginia, Belmont,
Buffalo, Temple, Purdue, Tennessee, Cincinnati, Wofford, Iowa State, St. Mary’s, Houston,
Villanova, North Carolina, Iowa
Stat: Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
Weight: 7.49
Teams Below Avg: Michigan, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Kansas State, Virginia, Duke, VCU,
Michigan State, Florida State, North Carolina, Kentucky
Stat: Defensive Possession Length
Weight: 3.31
Teams Above Avg: Gonzaga, Florida, Virginia, Virginia Tech, VCU, Washington, Auburn,
Michigan, Purdue, Kansas State, Michigan State, Cincinnati, Iowa State
Stat: Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage
Weight: 6.14
Teams Below Avg: Houston, Texas Tech, VCU, Virginia, Michigan State, Michigan, Gonzaga,
Duke, Wisconsin, UCF, Marquette, Maryland
Stat: Defensive Three-Point Percentage
Weight: 3.30
Teams Below Avg: Virginia, VCU, Houston, Michigan, Duke, Buffalo, Texas Tech, Wisconsin,
Kansas State, UCF, Louisville, Michigan State, St. Mary’s, Marquette, Maryland, Florida,
Syracuse
Stat: Block Percentage
Weight: 4.35
Teams Above Avg: Syracuse, Duke, Washington, Auburn, Texas Tech, Tennessee, Cincinnati,
Kentucky, Michigan State, Baylor, Houston, Gonzaga, Mississippi State, Maryland, Purdue,
Iowa State, Florida State, UCF, Utah State, Virginia, VCU, LSU
Stat: Steal Percentage
Weight: 4.66
Teams Above Avg: Washington, Auburn, Duke, LSU, Syracuse, Temple, St. John’s,
Mississippi State, Kansas State, VCU, Florida, Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Ole Miss, Virginia Tech,
Iowa State
Here’s the final tally. Each column is worth its weight. It’s nothing incredibly groundbreaking, but
there are a few teams that may seem out of place. Obviously Iowa State is near the top, which
doesn’t really fall in line with the 6 seed they were pegged with. I took them at 66-1 back in early
February mainly based on some of these numbers. That looked like a waste of money for a few
weeks, but then they go and win the Big 12 Tournament.
Probably the other most notable thing is Kansas putting up a goose egg. The Jayhawks may not
make it out of the first round.
TSI
Spread Investor
Lines that stand out in the opening round:
Oregon -1.5 v s Wisconsin: Oregon is on an 8-0 SU and ATS run and they’ve made an amazing
comeback to get themselves into the tournament. Wisconsin is very reliant on Happ for scoring
and Oregon has the length to defend Happ. Plus this game is in San Jose, which gives Oregon
a major travel advantage.
Cincinnati -3.5 vs Iowa in Columbus. Cincinnati is off a huge win vs Houston and Cumberland
can take over a game. Iowa’s defense is terrible and they haven’t played well down the stretch.
St. Mary’s +5.5 vs Villanova, 130. St. Mary’s just beat Gonzaga and held them to 47 points.
Gonzaga beat Duke. Villanova didn’t cover their last 2 games in the Big East tournament
against Seton Hall and Xavier, and they’re on a 3-6 ATS run. St. Mary’s also lost to LSU by just
4. This team is dangerous and they really defend and slow you down.
New Mexico St is +7 vs Auburn. A lot of people are going to jump on Auburn because of their
run in the SEC tournament but this was their first SEC championship since 1985 and it was a
very emotional win. If they don’t come out with the same energy New Mexico St can really
threaten them. They’re on a 19 game win streak, lost to Kansas earlier this year by 3, they have
size, depth and really defend well. They’re 8th in the country in offensive efficiency and 1st in
offensive rebounding. Auburn has to travel 1800 miles to Salt Lake City for this game that starts
at 1:20 Thursday.
Arizona St -1.5 should beat St. John’s in the first four. Arizona St. has been a much more
consistent team than St. John’s and the Johnnies are coming off getting blown out vs Marquette
in the Big East tournament.
Utah St -2.5 vs Washington. Washington just lost to Oregon and Utah St plays really good
defense and has a lot of size. They beat Nevada two weeks ago and beat San Diego St twice
this year, who also beat Nevada. They beat St. Mary’s this year by 17 and lost to Houston by
10. They’re a great passing team and their PG Sam Merrill is a playmaker and averages 21.2
ppg.
Belmont can make a run. They’re the number 1 team in the country in assists and have scored
83 points or more in 6 of their last 7. They’re -3 vs Temple, would play Maryland if they win who
is struggling, and would get the winner of Yale and LSU who is without their head coach.
Belmont beat Murray St 92-74 on 1/19 and lost at Purdue by 11.
Old Dominion +13 v s Purdue - they play really good defense and are on a 9-1 Under run. They
held their last 3 opponents to 57 ppg and they beat VCU earlier this year 62-52. Head Coach
Jeff Jones is battling prostate cancer and you could never underestimate the power of a team
riding the emotional wave of their coach.
Yale +8 vs LSU - Yale is a really good passing team and shoots the ball well. Naz Reid can take
over later in this game but he usually doesn’t take over games until the second half. LSU will be
without their head coach.
Notes:
Liberty shoots the three really well but don’t have any wins against top 50 competition this
season.
Nevada is 1-7 ATS their last 8 and Florida is 7-3 ATS their last 10. Nevada has been a bad first
half team and good second half team lately and betting this game live might be the better move.
Wofford is on an 11-1 ATS run. Fletcher McGee is an unbelievable scorer and they have a big
man in Cam Jackson who can really play. They have a lot of good guards. They lay -2.5 vs
Seton Hall who has played really well lately also and have one of the best players in the country
in Myles Powell. This is likely a game I’m passing that I’ll just enjoy the entertainment.
Northeastern is on a 6-0-1 ATS run but they don’t have any wins vs top 50 competition this
season.
Trends by seed:
#8 vs #9: the dog in this game is 24-12-4 ATS the last 10 years
#11 seeds are on a 25-15 ATS run in the first round over the last 10 years. Loyola Chicago and
Syracuse were both 11 seeds last year.
#14 seeds: 10-5 ATS the last 5 years when +12 or more
#12 seeds are on a 24-14-2 ATS run the last 10 years
RB- If your asking for a total - that’s easy - Iona UNC Over 166. The fact
the Duke over vs Iona didn’t hit last year was a crime. This one gets me the
redemption. Spread wise… how about Old Dominion catching 12 versus
Purdue ? Purdue shoots a ton of three’s - which can alway be a problem.
But these teams match up really well in terms of tempo - Purdue 276th,
ODU 325. ODU plays great defense (48th D.Eff) and have a rebounding
margin of +5 per game. - this number seems huge.
HOLD- UC Irvine +5.5. Irvine has the number 1 defense in the country
when it comes to 2 pointers, only allowing teams to shoot 40.6% from
inside the arc. Kansas State is 225th in the country shooting from 2.
Overall, K State is not a great offensive team. 102nd in OE, 231st in
Offensive EFG, 33.6% from 3 and a bismal 66.4% from the free throw line.
K State is very good defensively as well but think we get a rock fight and
Irvine hangs in all game.
● What’s your first round upset that makes the most sense ?
RB- Seems too cliche to say Murray State now that every dweeb in an
office knows about Ja Morant , but the Howard injury should worry
Marquette backers. We answered these separately so I assume UC Irvine
is taken. If they are - I love Belmont vs Maryland who’s remarkably
mediocre.
MLP- Probably Northeastern. The Huskies have been on a tear for a while
now, they’ve got a legit guy in Vasa Pusica, Kansas is kind of messy, and
it’s just got that “late Thursday night” craziness feel to it. The Jayhawks
finally have to travel and we’ll see if they have enough to handle it.
HOLD- I would have to say Liberty at first glance. Liberty shoots the 3
pointer at a high clip of 37.8%, good for 35th in the country. Miss. State
can’t defend the 3 well, 224th in the country. Liberty shoots the ball well
from all over the floor and MSST isn’t a team that overly impresses me.
RB- Virginia Tech won/t be afraid of Duke , Buzz is a great coach- they
make sense in the East. Nevada in the West just because I still say they
are a matchup nightmare for people. Without crazy deep research I’ll go
way deep on a dark horse here and say UC Irvine. In a bracket with either
Wiscy or Oregon (both slow, then likely Virginia)- their D and slow play is
exactly what teams will be playing against them right up until the regional
final vs Tenn. Midwest- take your pick on Utah St, Wofford, or Seton Hall.
MLP- I’ll probably change my mind by Thursday after more research, but
off the top I like Buffalo in the West, Iowa State in the Midwest, Cincinnati in
the South, and Virginia Tech in the East.
HOLD- Gun to my head right after the bracket release, Virginia Tech in the
East, Marquette in the West (if Howard is fully healthy), Villanova in the
South and Iowa State in the Midwest.
● Which team do you think the general public is too in love with ?
RB- Is it crazy to say Duke ? And I’m a Duke fan. Now don’t get me wrong -
I think they are fantastically talented. But I worry a lot about their shooting.
Also in terms of value- they whole world will be picking them to win it all,
makes sense to go contrarian on your brackets in the final four/ final game.
TSI - Liberty. They have no big wins this year and a lot of people are
picking them to beat a talented Mississippi St team.
MLP- I don’t really know who the public is in love with, but based on futures
odds I guess Gonzaga? They’re only 5-1 to win it all. They’re a really good
team, but people may point to that Duke win earlier this year as a reason to
believe in them. It was a big win, but I felt like it was a game that they
survived due to a young team’s inability to execute early in the season
more than anything. They lost to Tennessee on a neutral on the West
Coast and gave up a 103 burger to the Tar Heels. Otherwise they haven’t
played great teams and lost the WCC title. My biggest concern with them is
that they don’t really shoot it well. If they play other talented bigs that can
limit Clarke and Rui, I don’t trust Perkins to carry them.
HOLD- Michigan. Not sure if the public is in love with them but I would
imagine so after they just got a 2 seed and had a good weekend in the Big
10 Tourney. Their path is very tough with the likes of Nevada/Florida,
Buffalo and Texas Tech. Their offense can leave a lot to be desired at
some points.
● Which team do you think is under the radar based off the public ?
RB- Houston lost a heartbreaker to Michigan last year, have a coach with
tourney experience, and some real playmakers. The Kentucky draw sucks
for them, but I think they can raise eyebrows. Based on the draw - I think
Texas Tech playing hellacious defense on people in a pod where they can
disrupt Buffalo, then advance to a Michigan team who’s struggled scoring -
I think that’s a good draw + most people won’t know too much about them.
TSI - Texas Tech. They’re in Michigan’s region and Michigan will always
get more attention. Tech has the defense to make a run.
MLP- Houston. They’re not from a prestigious conference and they just lost
when everyone was paying attention. But they’ve beat LSU, Utah State,
and Oregon, and they dominated the AAC. People won’t realize that the
Cougars were pretty banged up in that championship game Sunday with
Cincinnati. My only problem with them here is that they’re in the same pod
as Iowa State and the Cyclones were probably my #2 choice here.