Trip Generation (Section 8.

4)

8.1 A large retirement village has a total retail employment of 120. All 1600 of the
households in this village consist of two nonworking family members with household
income of $20,000. Assuming that shopping and social/recreational trip rates both peak
during the same hour (for exposition purposes), predict the total number of peak-hour
trips generated by this village using the trip generation models of Examples 8.1 and 8.2.

8.2 Consider the retirement village described in Problem 8.1. Determine the amount of
additional retail employment (in the village) necessary to reduce the total predicted
number of peak-hour shopping trips to 200.

8.3 A large residential area has 1400 households with an average household income of
$40,000, an average household size of 4.8, and, on average, 1.5 working members. Using
the model described in Example 8.2 (assuming it was estimated using zonal averages
instead of individual households), predict the change in the number of peak-hour
social/recreational trips if employment in the area increases by 25% and household
income by 10%.

8.4 Consider the Poisson trip generation model in Example 8.4. Suppose that a household
has five members with an annual income of $150,000 and lies in a neighborhood with a
retail employment of 320. What is the expected number of peak-hour shopping trips, and
what is the probability that the household will make more than one peak-hour shopping
trip?

8.5 Consider a Poisson regression model for the number of social/recreational trips
generated during a peak-hour period that is estimated by (see Eq. 8.3)

BZi = −0.75 + 0.025 (household size) + 0.008(annual household income, in

thousands of dollars) + 0.10 (number of nonworking household members).

Suppose a household has five members (three of whom work) and an annual income of
$100,000. What is the expected number of peak-hour social/recreational trips, and what is
the probability that the household will not make a peak-hour social/recreational trip?

8.6 If small express buses leave the origin described in Example 8.5 and all are filled to
their capacity of 20 travelers, how many work trip vehicles leave from origin to
destination in Example 8.5 during the peak hour?