When dollar’s demand will on rise, supply less , rupee will be in pressure.

How demand supply created: We export, amount received in lieu of, our workers are working abroad,

they sent tarseelat from abroad, the import we carried out, have to pay for the same in lieu of, old debt

which we took have to return back, also have to pay interest for debt, so that’s why how the conclusion

rises in the end against these figures are said to be current account deficit. Aur iss main ye tumam

cheezain shamil ho jati hain. Jab ye farq bohat ziada barh jata hai jaisa k Pakistan main her 4, 5 saal bahd

hota ha to uss say ropia pressure main aa jata hai. When PML N govt took office, current account deficit

was 2 ½ billion dollars aur balance of payment crises kharha ho gaya tha aur IMF main chali gai thee

hakoomat k halat bohat kharab hain. Jab k yahan 19 billion dollars ka deficit tha aur wo bhee within a

year barh raha tha, May, Jun, July 2018, her maheenay 2 billion dollars ka deficit ho raha tha yahni 24

billion dollars ki pace per hum pohanch chukay thay. Deficit was more in last year that that’s previous

year and in previous year was less than of that’s previous year and so on aur within last year bhee alag

barh raha tha. So in 8 months main uss deficit ko first of all stop karna tha phir iss ko neechay lay kar

aana tha. So total trade deficit of last year’s 8 months incl goods and services was 24.2 billion dollars

which is now 21.5 billion dollars, current account deficit of last 8 months of previous year was 11.4

billion dollars which is now 8.5 billion dollars. So we can say that gap between demand and supply of

dollars decrease in comparison with last year’s 8 months w.e.f Oct 2017 to Jul 2018. Now in comparison

of these 7 months with previous year’s 8 months of PML N govt, the gap is reducing rapidly due to the

policies we adopted. Trade deficit was 2.9 billion dollars in Feb 2018, and in Feb 2019 it was 2.3 billion

dollars, current account deficit in Feb 2018 was 1.2 billion dollars which comes to 360 million dollars in

Feb 2019 so reduces 72% reduce. So fake news, fake screen shots made negative impact, nothing

related to reality. SBP categorically said that rupee is in equilibrium which is a technical term. Means

“Real Effective Exchange Rate” is a technical term iss say ye daikha jata ha k ropia apni sehi value k

ooper ha ya ye apni value say ziada yak am hai. In Jan 2018, it was 127 rare means technical analysis told
that ropia 27% apni haqeeqi qadar say ziada hai issay 27% kam honay ki zaroorat hai apnay equilibrium

per aanay kay liay. Today, SBP stated that rupee is in its equilibrium. Yahni koi waja nahin hai k ropay ki

value main koi lambi chorhi kami ho, speculative hai aur aisay main logon ko bhee keh raha hoon k inn ki

baton main na aaian. Jo balance of account payment ka deficit hum nain inherit kia ha wo deficit iss

deficit ka ashar-e-asheer bhee nahin tha mojooda ka. Uss k bawjood ropay kay sath kia hua tha wo aap

kay samnay hai. PPP’s first 8 months, ropay ki dollar parity main 25.5% kami ho gai. Yahni ropay ki qadar

main dollar kay muqablay main 25.5% kami ho gai. During 1st 8 months of PML N, this kami was 10.1%

aur hamaray waqt main 10.8 % kami hui. So iss kay bawjood k unhain current account deficit 2.5 billion

dollars mila tha un kay pehlay 8 months main ropay ki qadar main kami taqreeban hamaray pehlay 8

months ki ropay ki qadar main kami kay barabar hai halan k hamain current account deficit 24 billion

dollars milla tha. And during devaluation of PML N govt, finance minister was Ishaq Dar.

Dollar was 105 in Dec 2017, It rises from 105 to 127 from Dec 2017 to 25 Jul 2018 in just 7 months and

during this period, neither IK was PM nor AU was FM. 22 ropay ki kami aai thee. PTI govt aanay kay

bahed ropay ki qadar main mazeed 14 ropay ki kami aai ha magar pichli govt say kam kami hai.

As for inflation: Jab aap kay khasaray (deficits) barh jatay hain naan khatarnak had tak phir aap ko ye

faislay karnay parhtay hain k hum nay iss gap ko kam karna hai, uss main structural reforms, intizami

dhanchay kay andar behtari, chori per qabu time consuming steps hotay hain laikin jab aap bilkul edge

per hotay hain to aap ko price actions bhee lainay parhtay hain, kuch taxation measures bhee lainay

parhtay hain aur unn kay effects hotay hain. Aur wo paisa awam ko bear karna parhta hai. Jo sab say

ziada mehangai daikhi gai pehlay 8 months kay andar wo PPP ki govt thee jab mehangai ki shara 25.3%

thee, Then PML N govt arrived, average mehangai inflation rate 8%, maximum 10.9%, PTI: average 6.9%

Maximum: 9.4%.

Foreign Direct Investment: 1st 7 months, 573 million dollars

PTI: 1st 7 months, 1441 million dollars means more than double foreign investment

Overall foreign debt PML N govt: From Dec 2017 to Jun 2018, 6 months, 5.9 billion dollars foreign debt

increased.

PTI: 1st 6 months, 3.5 billion dollars, approx 40% reduction in increasing factor of foreign debt.

Public debt jo govt laity hai: 6 months, 3.7 billion dollars izafa hua external debt main.

PTI: 1st 6 months, 1.4 billion dollars izafa hua external debt main.

That’s why jo hum nain deficit main kami ki hai to qarzon ki zaroorat kam ho gai hai. Abhee bhee

khasaray hain iss liay abhee bhee qarz liay ja rahay hain magar kam.

Note: Jab bhee mulk kay andar balance of payment deficit hota hai aur aap uss say bachnay ki koshish

kartay hain to hamaisha moheeshat ka pahia by design uss say zara slow kia jata hai. Kuin k agar aap ussi

rafter say chaltay rahain to mazeed crises ka shikar ho jatay hain.

So, at this time of moment, I can’t give you GDP figures, at the end of year, I will be able to share with

you the same in comparison with previous 2 governments.

Cement production is 1.7% more than previous year.

Urea’s production is 5.9 % more than previous year.

Car’s production is 4% more than previous year. It is to be noted that it was record sale previous year

and this year its sale is even more than previous year. Motor cycle’s production was low of 4%.

Petrol’s consumption is 6.3% more than previous year.

Gas supply is 2.2% more than previous year.

Power generation is 5.4% more than previous year.

So economy’s pace is slow comparatively but is slow by design.

In previous govt, average pace of economic growth or average GDP was 4.5% officially.

Insha Allah, we will share you 4.5% ratio at the end of tenure.

According to Dr. Hafeez Pasha, who is an independent economist, who also remained FM during NS’s

govt previously, he has no political affiliation, bohat articles likh chukay hain, unn ki kitab ki pichlay

dinon taqreeb-e-roonmai ya launch Marriot main hui, uss main Dr sb nain bataya ha 4.5 % ki jo figure hai

wo bilkul jehli aur fake hai. Growth fraud thee, iss say kam growth hui hai, Ghurbat main kami kay

dahway kiay gaiay halan k ghurbat main inn kay daur main bay panah izafa hua hai. Jahli numbers istimal

kiay gaiay. Pooray ahdad-o-shumar diay gaiay hain. Pehlay IMF walay kia keh chukay hain k figure

fugging kartay hain.