Q MÁX INSTANTÁNEO

AÑO (m3/s)
Promedio (μ) 41.09 Periodo de
1977 23.7 desv estandar (σ) 18.29 retorno
1978 52 numero de datos (n) 34.00 2.33
1979 44 maximo 85.00 5
1980 36.98 minimo 10.28 10
1981 31.95 Rango 74.72 25
1982 85 intervalos 6.00 50
1984 49.7 ancho de intervalos 12.45 100
1985 47.76
1986 47.76
1987 47.25
1990 39 numero de intervalo
1991 27 intervalos inferior
1992 10.28 1 10.28
1993 27 2 22.73
1994 33.79 3 35.19
1995 27 4 47.64
1996 27 5 60.09
1997 23.5 6 72.55
1998 30.8
1999 72.39
2000 79.96
2001 39.06
2002 28.1
2003 73.9
2004 83.5
2005 36.03
2006 43.6
2007 30
2008 27.72
2009 29.54
2012 35.91
2013 37.73
2014 37.13
2015 31.05
 probabilidad de probabilidad de no Factor de frecuencia Caudal maximo Z(1-α/2)
SET
excedencia excedencia (K) (m3/s)
0.43 0.57 0.178 44.354 3.1611 1.96
0.2 0.8 0.842 56.482 3.6496 1.96
0.1 0.9 1.282 64.527 4.2324 1.96
0.04 0.96 1.751 73.106 4.9909 1.96
0.02 0.98 2.054 78.648 5.5299 1.96
0.01 0.99 2.326 83.633 6.0375 1.96

Distribución Normal
Kolmogórov-Smirnov
probabilidad probabilidad
intervalo superior frecuencia absoluta
acumulada teorica
22.73 1 0.03 0.1577270329 0.1283153
35.19 15 0.44 0.3734008393 0.0677756
47.64 25 0.74 0.6398749468 0.0954192
60.09 29 0.85 0.850622876 0.0023183
72.55 30 0.88 0.9572921927 0.0749393
85.00 34 1.00 0.9918265427 0.0081735

estadistico 0.1283153
valor critico K-S 0.1436
se ajusta si
 Limite Limite
inferior superior
38.1586 50.5499 Distribución normal
49.3288 63.6349 140
56.2316 72.8223 120
63.3241 82.8881
100
67.8100 89.4867

Caudal (m3/s)
71.8001 95.4667 80 CAUDAL MAX
LIMITE INFERIOR
60 LIMITE SUPERIOR
40

20

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Tiempo de retorno (aaños)
mal

CAUDAL MAX
LIMITE INFERIOR
LIMITE SUPERIOR

120
 Q MÁX INSTANTÁNEO
AÑO LN(Qmax) (m3/s)
(m3/s)
Promedio (μ) 41.09
1977 23.7 3.1654750481 desv estandar (σ) 18.29
1978 52 3.9512437186 promedio LN(μ) 3.63
1979 44 3.7841896339 desv estandar LN (σ) 0.43
1980 36.98 3.610377226 numero de datos (n) 34.00
1981 31.95 3.4641721808 maximo 4.44
1982 85 4.4426512565 minimo 2.33
1984 49.7 3.9060049331 Rango 2.11
1985 47.76 3.8661884691 intervalos 6.00
1986 47.76 3.8661884691 ancho de intervalos 0.35
1987 47.25 3.8554526539
1990 39 3.6635616461
1991 27 3.295836866
1992 10.28 2.33020026
1993 27 3.295836866
1994 33.79 3.5201649007 numero de
1995 27 3.295836866 intervalos
1996 27 3.295836866 1
1997 23.5 3.1570004212 2
1998 30.8 3.42751469 3
1999 72.39 4.2820681683 4
2000 79.96 4.3815265096 5
2001 39.06 3.6650989254 6
2002 28.1 3.3357695763
2003 73.9 4.302712828
2004 83.5 4.4248466319
2005 36.03 3.5843519248
2006 43.6 3.7750571504
2007 30 3.4011973817
2008 27.72 3.3221541743
2009 29.54 3.3857452771
2012 35.91 3.5810158082
2013 37.73 3.630455534
2014 37.13 3.6144252682
2015 31.05 3.4355988084

1 2.33020026
3.1570004212
2 3.1654750481
3.295836866
 3.295836866
3.295836866
3.295836866
3.3221541743
3.3357695763
3.3857452771
3.4011973817
3.42751469
3.4355988084
3.4641721808
3.5201649007
3.5810158082
14 3.5843519248
3.610377226
3.6144252682
3.630455534
3.6635616461
3.6650989254
3.7750571504
3.7841896339
3.8554526539
3.8661884691
3.8661884691
3.9060049331
3.9512437186 12
4.2820681683
4.302712828
4.3815265096
4.4248466319
4.4426512565 5
4.6876714075
4.7841528415
4.8690717298 3

37
 P de Factor de LN Q maximo
Tr P de no excedencia
excedencia frecuencia (K) (m3/s)
2.33 0.43 0.571 0.178 3.704
5 0.2 0.8 0.842 3.989
10 0.1 0.9 1.282 4.179
25 0.04 0.96 1.751 4.381
50 0.02 0.98 2.054 4.511
100 0.01 0.99 2.326 4.628

Distribución Log-Normal
Kolmogórov-Smirnov
intervalo intervalo probabilidad probabilidad
frecuencia absoluta
inferior superior acumulada teorica
2.33 2.68 1 0.03 0.0141053133 0.0153064514
2.68 3.03 1 0.03 0.0843318305 0.0549200658
3.03 3.39 10 0.29 0.2881914322 0.0059262148
3.39 3.74 22 0.65 0.6022435008 0.0448153227
3.74 4.09 29 0.85 0.8592582744 0.0063170979
4.09 4.44 34 1.00 0.9709423576 0.0290576424

estadistico 0.0549200658
valor critico K-S 0.1436
se ajusta si

2
3

6
Caudal maximo Z(1-α/2) LN Limite LN Limite Limite Limite
ln SET
(m3/s) inferior superior inferior superior
40.600 0.0744 1.96 3.5579 3.8496 35.090 46.975
54.014 0.0859 1.96 3.8209 4.1576 45.643 63.920 250
65.277 0.0996 1.96 3.9834 4.3739 53.697 79.354
79.886 0.1175 1.96 4.1503 4.6109 63.454 100.572 200
91.019 0.1302 1.96 4.2559 4.7662 70.522 117.473

Caudales (m3/s)
150
102.352 0.1421 1.96 4.3499 4.9070 77.467 135.231
100

50

0
0
 Distribución Log-Normal
250

200
Caudales (m3/s)

150 Caudal
Li mi te i nferi or
100 LIMITE SUP

50

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Tiempo de retorno (años)
 Q MÁX
AÑO INSTANTÁNEO
(m3/s)

1977 23.7 Promedio (μ) (m3/s) 41.0908824

1978 52 desv estandar (σ) (m3/s) 18.2872624
1979 44 Coeficiente de variación 2.2469674
1980 36.98 numero de datos (n) 34
1981 31.95 α 16.132
1982 85 μ 32.354
1984 49.7 μY 0.54162
1985 47.76 σY 1.13362
1986 47.76 maximo 85
1987 47.25 minimo 10.28
1990 39 Rango 74.72
1991 27 intervalos 6
1992 10.28 ancho de intervalos 12.453
1993 27
1994 33.79
1995 27
1996 27
1997 23.5
1998 30.8
1999 72.39
2000 79.96
2001 39.06
2002 28.1
2003 73.9
2004 83.5
2005 36.03
2006 43.6
2007 30
2008 27.72
2009 29.54
2012 35.91
2013 37.73
2014 37.13
2015 31.05
 Factor de caudal maximo
Tr P de excedencia P de no excedencia frecuencia (K) (m3/s)
2.33 0.429 0.571 0.001 41.1115
5 0.2 0.8 0.7195032077 54.2486
10 0.1 0.9 1.3046114051 64.9487
25 0.04 0.96 2.0438971636 78.4682
50 0.02 0.98 2.5923415716 88.4977
100 0.01 0.99 3.1367363521 98.4532

Distribución Gumbel
Kolmogórov-Smirnov
numero de probabilidad
intervalo inferior intervalo superior frecuencia
intervalos acumulada
1 10.28 22.733 1 0.03
2 22.733 35.187 15 0.44
3 35.187 47.640 25 0.74
4 47.640 60.093 29 0.85
5 60.093 72.547 30 0.88
6 72.547 85.000 34 1.00
 180 Distribución Gum
160
Z(1-α/2) Intervalo intervalo
δ SET inferior
140 superior
1.0006 1.960 3.138 34.961
120 47.262
1.5458 1.960 4.848 44.747 63.750

Ca uda l (m3/s )
100
2.0878 1.960 6.548 52.115 77.782
2.8150 1.960 8.829 61.164
80 95.772
3.3685 1.960 10.564 67.792 109.203
60
3.9240 1.960 12.307 74.333 122.574
40 caudal max i nterval o i nferi or

20

probabilidad 0
absoluta 0 20 40 tiempo de retorno
60 (años )
teorica
0.559 0.529891609
0.7730866341 0.3319101635
0.8758310693 0.1405369517
0.9442656999 0.0913245234
0.9696727626 0.0873198214
0.9835228837 0.0164771163

estadistico 0.529891609
valor critico K-S 0.1436
se ajusta no
Distribución Gumbel

max i nterval o i nferi or i nterval o s uperi or

tiempo de retorno
60 (años ) 80 100 120
 Q MÁX INSTANTÁNEO LN (Q MAX INSTANTANEO)
AÑO (m3/s) (m3/s)

1977 23.7 3.1654750481

1978 52 3.9512437186
1979 44 3.7841896339
1980 36.98 3.610377226
1981 31.95 3.4641721808
1982 85 4.4426512565
1984 49.7 3.9060049331
1985 47.76 3.8661884691
1986 47.76 3.8661884691
1987 47.25 3.8554526539
1990 39 3.6635616461
1991 27 3.295836866
1992 10.28 2.33020026
1993 27 3.295836866
1994 33.79 3.5201649007
1995 27 3.295836866
1996 27 3.295836866
1997 23.5 3.1570004212
1998 30.8 3.42751469
1999 72.39 4.2820681683
2000 79.96 4.3815265096
2001 39.06 3.6650989254
2002 28.1 3.3357695763
2003 73.9 4.302712828
2004 83.5 4.4248466319
2005 36.03 3.5843519248
2006 43.6 3.7750571504
2007 30 3.4011973817
2008 27.72 3.3221541743
2009 29.54 3.3857452771
2012 35.91 3.5810158082
2013 37.73 3.630455534
2014 37.13 3.6144252682
2015 31.05 3.4355988084
 Promedio (μ) (m3/s) 41.0908824 probabilida
Periodo de d de
desv estandar (σ) (m3/s) 18.2872624 retorno excedencia
Promedio LN (μ) (m3/s) 3.62693403 2.33 0.429
desv estandar LN (σ) (m3/s) 0.43049687 5 0.2
Coeficiente de variación 2.2469674 10 0.1
numero de datos (n) 34 25 0.04
α 0.380 50 0.02
μ 3.421 100 0.01
μY 0.54162
σY 1.13362 Distri
maximo 4.44265126 Kolm
minimo 2.33020026 numero de intervalo
Rango 2.112451 intervalos inferior
intervalos 6 1 2.33020026
ancho de intervalos 0.352 2 2.682
3 3.034
4 3.386
5 3.739
6 4.091
probabilida
d de no Factor de LN (caudal Caudal maximo Z(1-α/2)
frecuencia (K) maximo) (m3/s) (m3/s) δ LN SET
excedencia
0.571 0.001 3.627 37.616 1.001 1.960 0.0739
0.8 0.720 3.937 51.248 1.546 1.960 0.1141
0.9 1.305 4.189 65.928 2.088 1.960 0.1541
0.96 2.044 4.507 90.634 2.815 1.960 0.2078
0.98 2.592 4.743 114.770 3.368 1.960 0.2487
0.99 3.137 4.977 145.081 3.924 1.960 0.2897

Distribución Log-Gumbel
Kolmogórov-Smirnov
intervalo probabilidad probabilidad
frecuencia absoluta
superior acumulada teorica
2.682 1 0.03 0.559 0.52989161
3.034 1 0.03 0.773 0.74367487
3.386 10 0.29 0.876 0.58171342
3.739 22 0.65 0.944 0.29720688
4.091 29 0.85 0.970 0.11673159
4.443 34 1.00 0.984 0.01647712

estadistico 0.74367487
valor critico K-S 0.1436
se ajusta no
LN intervalo LN intervalo Intervalo intervalo
inferior superior inferior superior Distribución Log-Gumbel
450
3.483 3.772 32.545 43.476
400
3.713 4.160 40.977 64.094
350
3.886 4.491 48.738 89.182
300

Caudal (m3/s)
4.099 4.914 60.309 136.207
250
4.256 5.230 70.492 186.859
200
4.409 5.545 82.226 255.981
150
100
50
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Tiempo de retorno (años)
bución Log-Gumbel

cauda l maxi mo
l i mi te i nferi or
l i mi te s uperi or

60 80 100 120
etorno (años)
AÑO Q MÁX INSTANTÁNEO (m3/s)

PARAMETROS PEARSON
1977 23.7 Promedio (μ) 41.09
1978 52 desv estandar (σ) 18.29
1979 44 numero de datos (n) 34
1980 36.98 maximo 85
1981 31.95 minimo 10.28
1982 85 Rango 74.72
1984 49.7 intervalos 6
1985 47.76 ancho de intervalos 12.45
1986 47.76 CS 1.1903105
1987 47.25 β 2.8231858
1990 39 α 10.8837602
1991 27 XO 10.364005
1992 10.28 Z 1.96
1993 27 K 2.4491839
1994 33.79 CV 0.4
1995 27
1996 27
1997 23.5
1998 30.8
1999 72.39
2000 79.96
2001 39.06
2002 28.1
2003 73.9
2004 83.5
2005 36.03
2006 43.6
2007 30
2008 27.72
2009 29.54
2012 35.91
2013 37.73
2014 37.13
2015 31.05
Tr probabilidad de probabilidad de no Z K
excedencia excedencia
2.33 0.43 0.57 0.178 -0.020
5 0.2 0.8 0.842 0.729
10 0.1 0.9 1.282 1.333
25 0.04 0.96 1.751 2.080
50 0.02 0.98 2.054 2.622
100 0.01 0.99 2.326 3.153

Distribución Pearson tipo III

Kolmogórov-Smirnov

numero de intervalo inferior intervalo frecuencia

intervalos superior
1 10.28 22.73 1
2 22.73 35.19 15
3 35.19 47.64 25
4 47.64 60.09 29
5 60.09 72.55 30
6 72.55 85.00 34
 Caudal maximo U1-α/2 Intervalo Intervalo
δ ST
(m3/s) inferior superior
40.732 1.3352 4.19 1.96 32.524 48.939
54.423 1.7042 5.34 1.96 43.947 64.898
65.464 2.2525 7.06 1.96 51.618 79.310
79.121 3.6572 11.47 1.96 56.641 101.602
89.045 5.3161 16.67 1.96 56.367 121.723
98.749 7.1107 22.30 1.96 55.040 142.458

earson tipo III

v-Smirnov
probabilidad probabilidad absoluta
acumulada teorica
0.03 0.858695855 0.82928409
0.44 0.9853721725 0.5441957
0.74 0.9984002055 0.26310609
0.85 0.9999254717 0.1469843
0.88 0.9999932324 0.11764029
1.00 0.9999994185 5.8151E-07

estadistico 0.82928409
valor critico K-S 0.1436
se ajusta no
 Distribución Pearson tipo III
160.000
140.000
120.000
Caudal (m3/s)

100.000
cauda l
80.000 i nterval o i nferi or
60.000 i nterval o s uperi or

40.000
20.000
0.000
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Tiempo retorno (años)
 Q MÁX INSTANTÁNEO LN (Q MAX INSTANTANEO)
AÑO (m3/s) (m3/s)

PARAMETROS PEARSON
1977 23.7 3.1654750481 Promedio (μ)
1978 52 3.9512437186 desv estandar (σ)
1979 44 3.7841896339 Ln (μ)
1980 36.98 3.610377226 Ln (σ)
1981 31.95 3.4641721808 numero de datos (n)
1982 85 4.4426512565 maximo
1984 49.7 3.9060049331 minimo
1985 47.76 3.8661884691 Rango
1986 47.76 3.8661884691 intervalos
1987 47.25 3.8554526539 ancho de intervalos
1990 39 3.6635616461 CS
1991 27 3.295836866 β
1992 10.28 2.33020026 α
1993 27 3.295836866 XO
1994 33.79 3.5201649007 CV
1995 27 3.295836866
1996 27 3.295836866
1997 23.5 3.1570004212
1998 30.8 3.42751469
1999 72.39 4.2820681683
2000 79.96 4.3815265096
2001 39.06 3.6650989254
2002 28.1 3.3357695763
2003 73.9 4.302712828
2004 83.5 4.4248466319
2005 36.03 3.5843519248
2006 43.6 3.7750571504
2007 30 3.4011973817
2008 27.72 3.3221541743
2009 29.54 3.3857452771
2012 35.91 3.5810158082
2013 37.73 3.630455534
2014 37.13 3.6144252682
2015 31.05 3.4355988084
METROS PEARSON P de P de no
Tr Z K
41.09 excedencia excedencia
18.29 2.33 0.429 0.571 0.178 -0.0197
3.63 5 0.2 0.8 0.842 0.7290
0.43 10 0.1 0.9 1.282 1.3328
34 25 0.04 0.96 1.751 2.0796
4.44265126 50 0.02 0.98 2.054 2.6223
2.33020026 100 0.01 0.99 2.326 3.1529
2.112451
6 Distribución Log-Peardon tipoIII
0.35 Kolmogórov-Smirnov
1.1903105 numero de intervalo frecuencia
intervalo inferior superior
2.8231858 intervalos
0.25621247 1 2.33020 2.68227543 1
2.90359861 2 2.68228 3.03435059 1
0.1 3 3.03435 3.38642576 10
4 3.38643 3.73850092 22
5 3.73850 4.09057609 29
6 4.09058 4.44265126 34
 Ln Q maximo Caudal maximo δ ST U1-α/2 Intervalo Intervalo Intervalo
(m3/s) (m3/s) inferior superior inferior
3.618 37.281 1.3352 0.10 1.96 3.4253 3.81 30.73
3.941 51.458 1.7042 0.13 1.96 3.6942 4.19 40.21
4.201 66.733 2.2525 0.17 1.96 3.8748 4.53 48.17
4.522 92.038 3.6572 0.27 1.96 3.9930 5.05 54.22
4.756 116.258 5.3161 0.39 1.96 3.9866 5.53 53.87
4.984 146.094 7.1107 0.52 1.96 3.9553 6.01 52.21

ón Log-Peardon tipoIII
ogórov-Smirnov
probabilidad probabilidad
acumulada teorica absoluta

0.03 0.9534 0.9240

0.03 0.9603 0.9309
0.29 0.9650 0.6709 Distribución Log-Pearso
0.65 0.9700 0.3229 450.000
400.000
0.85 0.9731 0.1201
350.000
1.00 0.9758 0.0242

Caudal (m3/s)
300.000
250.000
200.000
estadistico 0.9308598 150.000
valor critico K-S 0.1436 100.000
se ajusta no 50.000
0.000
0 20 40 60
Tiempo de retorno (

cauda l i nterval o i nferi or

 Intervalo
superior
45.23
65.85
92.45
156.24
250.90
408.79

Distribución Log-Pearson tipo III

20 40 60 80 100 120
Tiempo de retorno (años)

uda l i nterval o i nferi or i nterval o s uperi or