Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DANIELDRUCKMAN~
George Mason University
Key findings and conclusions from a landmark study conducted by a National Research
Council Committee are discussed. The 12-year study was divided into 4 phases that cov-
ered topics of individual, small group, and organizational performance. Concentrating pri-
marily on techniques with strong claims for enhancing performance, the committee found
little support for some (e.g., sleep learning, meditation, parapsychological techniques, hyp-
nosis, total quality management) and stronger support for others (e.g., mental practice,
expert modeling, cooperative learning, team training, practice to optimize transfer of cogni-
tive and social skills). Insights were also obtained about the roles of expectancy effects,
belief perseverance, emotions, thought suppression, and organizational cultures. The article
highlights the continuing contributions made by committee members in such areas as trans-
fer, expert modeling, self-efficacy, mental practice, organizational design and enhanced
performance, and conflict resolution.
'An earlier version of this article was presented at the Spring meeting of the North Carolina
Industrial and Organizational Psychologists in Raleigh, North Carolina o n March 30, 200 I . Special
thanks go to Robert Bjork, Warner Burke, Kim Cameron, Micki Chi, Gerald Davison, Michael Drill-
ings, Eric Eich, Deborah Feltz, George Huber, Ed Johnson, Lynne Reder. Jerome Singer, Daniel
Wegner, and Gary Yukl for their contributions to this aricle.
'Correspondence concerning this article should he addressed to Daniel Druckman, Institute for
Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University, 4260 Chain Bridge Road, Fairfax. VA
22030-4444. E-mail: ddrucknia@gmu.edu
2234
In his 1988 Scientific American review of the committee’s first book, Philip
Morrison said
“Be all that you can be,” those Army billboards urge. To turn many
a young man or woman into a skilled technician or a soldier fit for
battle is a major part of what the U.S. Army must do, but time is
short, turnover is high, severe stress is certain, and not all the
learners are prepared to progress (in the sense of having been
trained effectively). (p. 108)
He goes on
These quotes capture well the context within which the committee conducted
its work for 12 years. In 1984, the U.S. Army Research Institute asked the
National Academy of Sciences to form a committee to examine the possible
2236 DANIEL DRUCKMAN
value of certain techniques that had been proposed to enhance human perfor-
mance. The 14-member committee, chaired by John Swets, met for the first time
in June 1985. Little did we know at the time that this would be the beginning of
an extraordinary experience that would expose us to worlds that none of us could
have imagined existed. Clients eagerly seeking quick fixes are vulnerable to the
most extraordinary sales pitches made by entrepreneurs eagerly seeking to make
quick fortunes. Fueled by self-delusion, the buyers create a market for products
whose claims often do not correspond with their value. Our challenge then was to
evaluate the claims for a set of techniques being considered by the Army for use
in their training programs.
The set of techniques that was examined in the first phase could be viewed as
repackaged New Age approaches to performance. Many of them were developed
during the 1960s as part of the counterculture human potential movement. In the
I980s, advocates of the techniques had some success in marketing them commer-
cially with an appeal to self-help that was less ideological (in the sense of appeals
to lifestyle) and more directed toward improved performance.
Although the Army was interested in evaluations of particular techniques, the
committee decided that it would be more useful to consider them as being repre-
sentative of classes of techniques aimed at accomplishing certain purposes, such
as enhancing learning, improving motor skills, altering mental states, managing
stress, or improving social processes. This decision would allow us to include a
larger research literature in our review and evaluation. It would also address more
basic issues concerning psychological or social psychological processes. By
doing so, our review would have larger implications for performance issues, con-
tributing both to practical and theoretical literatures. However, applied concerns
related to missions influenced the particular processes that we chose to examine.
The first phase of the committee’s work was intended to provide guidelines
for ARI programs. Four areas were impacted directly by the committee’s recom-
mendations: parapsychology, neurolinguistic programming (NLP), rapid learn-
ing, and mental practice. Proposed programs on parapsychology and NLP were
not implemented. Conclusions about rapid learning led to another look at these
techniques, and recommendations made about mental practice produced research
within the ARI (Swets & Bjork, 1990). The next three phases, chaired by Robert
A. Bjork (Phases 2 and 3) and Jerome E. Singer (Phase 4), were intended prima-
rily to provide direction for the research community, rather than for ARI pro-
grams. The NRC committee was encouraged to identify promising lines of
research on human performance. By so doing, it was thought that the committee
would stimulate research in the academic community that could not be sponsored
by a government agency with limited resources. The committee’s findings did
serve to stimulate research on many topics. Examples of a number of these con-
tributions are presented along with the committee’s findings on each of several
themes in the sections to follow.
ENHANCING HUMAN PERFORMANCE 2237
In its second and third phases, the committee took up the issues of skill reten-
tion (how long) and skill transfer (how far or wide). Of all the topics considered,
none has produced a body of experimental findings that rivals the work on indi-
vidual learning. Two counterintuitive insights from this research are especially
interesting. One is that procedures that might appear optimal if measured by
short-term performance may be less than optimal if performances are measured
ENHANCINGHUMANPERFORMANCE 2239
attempts made to eschew and disavow empirical findings on transfer and other
aspects of cognitive science. This debate has attracted considerable public inter-
est, including invitations to Reder and her collaborators to speak at international
meetings. It is an example of an issue addressed by the committee leading to an
expanded collaboration and public debate about the merits of a popular approach
to training.
Another example of the heuristic benefits of the committee’s work comes
from a review of research on expert modeling (Druckman & Bjork, 1991). Com-
mittee member Chi explored some of the open questions raised in Chapter 4 of
that publication. One question was: “Since it is known that confrontation by a
teacher is not necessarily an effective means of instruction, it is not clear why
self-perceived conflicts as obtained through reflection would be effective at
promoting learning” (199 1, p. 63). Recent research by Chi (2000) has shown that
it would be effective. Another question is that in expert modeling “one cannot
separate the role of expert from the role of learner” (Druckman & Bjork, 1991,
p. 63). This issue is explored in some detail, along with issues of scaffolding
(also discussed i n Chapter 4), by Chi and colleagues (Chi, Siler, Jeong,
Yamauchi, & Hausmann, 2001). Further, ongoing work by Chi and her col-
leagues explores the benefits of collaborative pairs of students observing a video-
tape of tutorial dialogues. Preliminary results eliminate objections raised in the
committee’s chapter: First, the tutor is not simply monitoring, but is tutoring and
scaffolding through dialogues. Second, the observer is not simply passive, but
has the opportunity to actively participate through discussion with his or her part-
ner (see also the research on cooperative learning reviewed in Druckman &
Bjork, 1994). The finding that observers, under certain conditions, do as well as
participating tutees is a promising basis for interesting research.
The committee took a detailed look at the use of mental practice routines for
improving motor performance. This look led to positive recommendations that
were implemented by the Army. Mental practice refers to the symbolic rehearsal
of a physical activity in the absence of any gross muscular movements. For
example, a tennis player closes his or her eyes, and in imagination goes through
the motions of serving.
A comprehensive review of experiments showed that mental practice does
contribute to gains in performance. These gains are stronger for motor tasks that
have cognitive components and when it is combined with physical practice (Feltz
& Landers, 1983). However, these results should not be used to endorse such
popular enhancement packages as SybervisionB. These are videotapes of expert
performers repeatedly serving tennis balls or driving golf balls with background
ENHANCING HUMAN PERFORMANCE 2241
music. As with several other commercial packages, this one contains many ele-
ments. The impact of mental practice per se in these packages is not clear; nor is
it clear how mental practice combines with (or is masked by) the other elements
in influencing performance.
This subject was investigated further in the committee’s second phase. Like
sleep learning, the committee’s research recommendations made in its first phase
(Druckman & Swets, 1988) were implemented by researchers in time for review
in the second phase. This research had gone further in identifying specific proce-
dures and combinations of mental and physical practice that contribute to
enhanced performance, including the value of repetitive pre-performance rou-
tines for sports perf~rmance.~ Related topics reviewed by the committee include
visual concentration (ineffective), biofeedback (may be good for fine motor
skills, but generally not better than relaxation training), and other forms of
preparation and exercise that contribute to improved performance. Based on our
recommendations, the ARI supported research to investigate the impact of men-
tal practice in military training settings.
Two field experiments conducted by the ARI investigated the effects of men-
tal practice on gunnery skills and on soldering performance. The gunnery-skills
experiment compared randomly assigned participants to experimental (mental
practice training in addition to the regular Army protocol) and control (only the
regular Army protocol) groups. No differences in performance were found. How-
ever, two design problems raise questions about the comparison. One problem is
that some soldiers in the control group used mental practice spontaneously, even
though they were not instructed to do so. Another is that the groups were not
matched on pre-treatment performance. Some evidence that the experimental
group showed initial superiority in performance, despite random assignment,
may have precluded further gains for that group (Morrison & Walker, 1990).
The soldering experiment also produced no difference between randomly
assigned mental-practice and no-mental-practice groups. The problem with this
experiment, however, concerns the dependent variable. Institutional pressures for
grade inflation reduced variation in assessed performance, mitigating against
reaching conclusions about the effectiveness of the treatment. These experiments
present examples of some of the methodological problems that often arise in field
experiments, as discussed by Druckman and Swets (1988).
Altering mental states and stress management were other topics examined by
the committee in its first phase and continuing into later phases of its work. The
3These studies are reviewed in Chapter 11 of Druckman and Bjork (1991). Committee member
Landers has continued his research on this topic (e.g.. Landers, 2000).
2242 DANIEL DRUCKMAN
committee had a continuing interest in the relation between mental states and per-
formance. In our first phase, we focused on issues concerning brain hemispheric
specialization and synchronization. Meditation was the focus in the second
(Kundalini yoga) and third phases (transcendental meditation, TM). Hypnosis
and restricted environmental stimulation were subjects treated in the third phase.
Except for hypnosis, each of the topics was associated with a technique of inter-
est to the Army. The work on hemispheric specialization was used as a scientific
basis for the development of a technique known as Hemi-SyncTM(patented by
Robert Monroe of the Monroe Institute of Applied Sciences). The technique is
intended to integrate hemispheric activity presumed to enhance performance.
The committee found no evidence to support the claim that hemispheric special-
ization is linked to learning or performance or that Hemi-SyncTM,in particular,
has an impact on performance (Druckman & Swets, 1988, Chapter 6).
The committee’s work on meditation was interesting. The conclusion that
meditation may not reduce stress or improve performance any better than relax-
ation techniques was challenged vigorously by believers in the power of such
techniques, especially the TM professionals at Maharishi University in Iowa,
where political candidate and physicist John Hagelin is located. We concluded
that the rituals of meditation add little to the relaxation-and accompanying
reduced anxiety-produced by the practice. The amazing feats of some yogis
who can remain buried for many hours without suffocating are probably a result
of confidence in their ability to slow their respiration rate, as well as faith that
they can survive the ordeal if they do not panic. Perceived control and predict-
ability serve to reduce anxiety, which is probably the key to their survival
(Druckman & Bjork, 1991, Chapter 7).
The committee took issue with meta-analytic findings on meditation-
performance relationships (Alexander, Rainforth, & Gelderloos, 1991) and was
challenged at a public briefing by David Orme-Johnson, a psychologist at
Maharishi University. Orme-Johnson’s critique was bolstered by his display of
five volumes of studies produced by his colleagues. Our committee member,
John Kihlstrom, defended the committee’s conclusion through a phone line
hooked up to a microphone at the podium; this was clearly an example of turning
the tables by providing the audience with an “out-of-body’’ response!
Running through all of the phases are evaluations of various approaches for
enhancing social skills and performance. In the first phase, we took up issues of
interpersonal influence and group cohesion. In the second phase, we considered
4A paper prepared for the committee by Mclntosh (1994) provides a thorough review of this lit-
erature.
ENHANCINGHUMANPERFORMANCE 2245
case studies of actual groups are difficult to generalize. The enhanced morale and
cohesion resulting from team-building activities may not improve performance
and may increase intraorganizational conflict between teams. By strengthening
the ties between members within teams, the intervention can weaken relation-
ships with members of other teams in the organization. This effect is heightened
to the extent that team-building exercises include strategy formation as part of the
procedure. These issues were explored further in the committee’s fourth phase on
organizational performance, which also included a review of what is known
about intergroup and international conflict resolution. This work is discussed
following a summary of the most controversial, if not sensational, part of the
committee’s study.
The considerable amount of national media publicity that followed the com-
mittee’s first book was not a result of the kinds of topics discussed to this point.
Publicity would have been more limited had we not ventured into the realms of
fact and fancy concerning extrasensory perception (ESP). The Army’s interest in
this topic stemmed from their view that, if real and controllable, ESP could be
used for intelligence gathering and, because it includes precognition, it could be
used to anticipate the actions of an enemy (among other things). One of the more
bizarre suggestions
This suggestion was picked up by Tom Brokaw in his telecast on the day the
book was released. The experience of interacting with the community of believ-
ers was every bit as interesting as was our review of the scientific evidence.
A huge body of literature on ESP, including both reports of naturally occur-
ring incidents and laboratory studies, has accumulated in journals, monographs,
and books since 1882. Our task was to review the scientific literature, which we
did in the areas of remote viewing, random-number generators, and the Ganzfeld
psi experiment^.^ We reached a general conclusion concerning this evidence:
Although proponents of ESP have made sweeping claims for its existence and
possible applications, an evaluation of the best available evidence does not jus-
tify such optimism. The best scientific evidence does not justify the conclusion
that ESP (i.e., gathering information about objects or thoughts without the
5The research is also reviewed in a paper prepared for the committee by Alcock (1988).
ENHANCING HUMAN PERFORMANCE 2247
The committee turned its attention in the fourth phase away from individuals
and small groups, and toward various organizational issues, including design,
culture, leadership, development, and relations with other organizations. It also
tackled aspects of international relations, particularly the role of the Army after
the Cold War.7 This change of topics shifted the makeup of the committee from
mostly psychologists to a mix of disciplines, including sociologists, management
specialists, and political scientists. Also, unlike the previous phases, we were pre-
sented with a relatively weak research base for deriving conclusions as a result, at
least in part, of the complexity of the subject matter. The book may be regarded
primarily as a conceptual contribution. It provides a way to think about organiza-
tions and to frame ideas for future research.
The rapid growth in the complexity of the environment and the tempo of
organizational change have altered the sequence of the relationship between
research and practice: Research now lags practice. Organizations need a rational
basis for developing strategies for change. When knowledge is lacking, managers
look for help wherever it can be found. This explains the large and expanding
market for popular approaches to organizational transformation. While some of
this advice may have utility, much of it likely will turn out to be passing fads.
Part of our task consisted of evaluating the utility of some popular techniques for
organizational effectiveness and change. Another part consisted of providing a
conceptual foundation for relating functions with processes and performance.
Following are synopses of what we discovered on each topic and the new
research stimulated by these discoveries.
This is the topic that links most closely to the themes of the committee’s ear-
lier phases. We focused attention on three well-known approaches to change:
total quality management (TQM), downsizing, and re-engineering. Despite
dramatic claims and some demonstrations of success in the popular press, these
approaches to change have not been shown to be related to improved organiza-
tional effectiveness. Although there is limited evidence to suggest that positive
results can be achieved under some circumstances, few attempts have been made
to implement them in these ways. The difticulty may lie in the objective of trying
ENHANCING HUMAN PERFORMANCE 2249
On Organizational Culture
Because cultures channel behaviors in some ways rather than others, there is
reason to expect that they influence organizational performance. Although pre-
cise linkages between culture and performance have not been documented, some
progress has been made by Kotter and Haskett (1 992) in specifying criteria for
defining types of cultures and performances. They distinguished between
adaptive (performance-enhancing) and unadaptive corporate cultures in terms of
core values and common behaviors. The values and behaviors can either promote
or hinder response to changing environments. They found that strong cultures
may be eficient, but are often unadaptive. Emphasizing the difference between
management and leadership, they depict contrasting processes that produce
unhealthy organizational environments on the one hand; and foster and preserve
healthy, performance-enhancing environments on the other. Taking Kotter and
Haskett’s ideas a step further, the committee described the way that strong
corporate cultures can impede negotiations over interorganizational collaboration
(see Druckman et al., 1997, and the section on interorganizational relations in
this article).
Insights into the culture-performance relationship may be obtained indirectly
by studying the way culture affects those thoughts, feelings, and behaviors that
2250 DANIEL DRUCKMAN
On Developing Leaders
On Interorganizational Relations
dependence, from the least managed consortiums and alliances to the most man-
aged mergers and acquisitions. They occur most easily (and effectively) in highly
networked industries. But, regardless of the type of collaboration, a pattern can be
discerned for the way the arrangement is negotiated. Referred to as a life cycle, the
process consists of five stages: pre-engagement, negotiation and renegotiation,
operation, evaluation, and exit (Druckman et al., 1997).
A variety of conditions influence the success or failure of a collaboration,
including culture clashes, approaches taken by leaders, group identities as
divided or cross-cutting, and stresses on the persons responsible for managing the
relationships between the organizations. Among the unanswered questions are
the conditions for effective collaborations between organizations forced to work
together for expedient reasons (as in many political or military alliances) and
between nonmarket organizations who are concerned more about ideology and
mission than about profits.
Committee member Burke included a section on interorganizational relations
in his most recent book (Burke, 2002). He added this fourth level of analysis-
individual, group, larger system, interorganizational-as a result of his work with
the committee. The committee’s chapter on this topic in Druckman et al. (1 997)
is summarized in some detail in Burke’s book. In a personal communication, he
commented that participation on the committee had a considerable influence on
his subsequent thinking, writing, and consulting. Rather than generating specific
research projects, this example shows how the committee influenced a member’s
general approach to a topic.
An analysis of the 16 post-Cold War missions confronting the Army (e.g., tra-
ditional peacekeeping, election supervision) indicates that they have varied in
terms of two dimensions: Army roles as primary or third party, and mission pro-
cesses as integrative or distributive (Druckman et al., 1997). These dimensions
were then used to identify skills and training strategies.
The missions require different combinations of combat and contact skills.
Our focus was on developing the contact or human-relations skills, a focus not
typically emphasized in military training programs. Menus of goal setting, anal-
ysis, strategies, tactics, and maneuvers were tailored to the distinctions made
between roles and processes. Additional considerations include dealing with
culture shock, interacting with civilians, dealing with people who have different
perceptions of the conflict, and experiencing new social structures and norms.
Many of the training issues discussed in earlier phases come into play here, nota-
bly retention and transfer issues.
But, a larger issue is the extent to which overall mission effectiveness
depends on training. Even with the best training, some contextual factors may
2252 DANIEL DRUCKMAN
limit the effectiveness of missions. These factors include geography, the amount
of violence in the situation, type of conflict, and timing of interventions. Effec-
tiveness at the micro level of interpersonal interactions, for which conflict-
management skills are particularly useful, may not translate into effectiveness at
the macro level where contextual factors play a larger role. The evaluation of
effectiveness depends on the goals established for a mission, and managing
conflicts or stopping violence may be sufficient for some missions, while longer
term resolution is appropriate for others (Druckman et al. 1997). Our discussion
of evaluation issues led us to conduct a forum in which different views were
debated among five scholars of peacekeeping. The exchange appears in
Druckman and Stem (1997).
In addition to the forum on peacekeeping, committee members Diehl, Wall,
and Druckman collaborated on several projects. One project consisted of expand-
ing the committee’s two-dimensional framework of peacekeeping operations
(distributive and integrative tasks; primary and third-party roles). A third dimen-
sion was added (contact and combat activities) and applied to an analysis of
conflict-resolution roles (Druckman, Wall, & Diehl, 1999) and to mediation
(Wall, Druckman, & Diehl, 2002). Both of these chapters provided advice for
peacekeepers and developed implications for civilian conflict-resolution roles.
Another project consisted of an empirical investigation of mediation activities
in various peacekeeping missions. An experiment was designed to evaluate the
impact of three variables-dispute severity, time pressure, and peacekeeper’s
rank-on choice of mediation technique. Peacekeepers used more techniques in
the severe dispute condition than in the non-severe dispute condition. And, con-
sistent with image theory (McAllister, Mitchell, & Beach, 1979), they used tech-
niques that had a higher probability of success, even if they were not familiar or
easy to implement (Wall & Druckman, 2003). These projects are examples of
how the committee process fostered productive collaboration among members.
The committee’s work across the four phases produced an impressive series
of books on enhancing human performance (EHP). Our findings and recommen-
dations have contributed to a variety of academic research and practitioner com-
munities and have been cited frequently.* While capturing the state of the science
on many topics, the books also have informed training practice, within the U.S.
XOnecitation search engine (IS1 Web of Science) generated about 150 journal articles that cited
the committee’s books, divided as follows: Druckman and Swets (1988), 33%; Druckinan and Bjork
(1991), 320/0;Druckman and Bjork (1994), 27%; and Druckman et al. (1997), 8%. Interestingly, the
citations covered most of the topics addressed in the books. Thirty-six percent of the citations to the
first committee book (Druckman & Swets, 1988) were on the parapsychology findings.
ENHANCING HUMAN PERFORMANCE 2253
Army and elsewhere. Credit for these contributions must be given to that rare
combination of an appreciative and patient sponsor and a committee process in
which members from different disciplines were eager to make it work. A number
of substantive and procedural conclusions follow from the experiences.
On Techniquesfor EHP
Very few of the techniques reviewed met our criteria for effectiveness or use-
fulness. Many were construed as quick fixes, and some as fads or fashions. While
taking advantage of human plasticity, the technique developers did not take into
account the implications of research on skill retention and transfer, group process,
or the persistence of organizational cultures. Had they done so, durable improve-
ments in individual, group, or organizational performance would have occurred.
The reviews made apparent where some gaps in knowledge exist, calling for
more research. Examples are the effects of cooperative learning with adult popu-
lations in work settings, the conditions that optimize team performance, an eluci-
dation of the mechanisms that influence the way emotions are transmitted from
one person to another, the conditions for enhancing the positive effects on perfor-
mance of group cohesion and team-building interventions, the conditions that
maximize the impact or reduce resistance to techniques for improving organiza-
tional effectiveness, and a better understanding of the roles of training and con-
text in implementing peacekeeping missions. For many of these topics, the value
of further research depends on improved conceptual frameworks or understand-
ing of the phenomena and more refined methodological approaches, including
quasi-experimental field designs.
We learned three lessons about the applicability of theories and research find-
ings to training programs. One lesson is that the ARI makes decisions based on
implications from research findings generated by the academic community. Their
decisions to close down programs on NLP and parapsychology and to encourage
programs on mental practice were based on the committee’s recommendations.
Another lesson is that publicizing evaluations of approaches to training has a
serious impact on the markets for those approaches. Entrepreneurs and true
believers resist coming to terms with (and often try to influence the direction of)
scientific findings. A third lesson is that political policies shape the perceived
value of research on some topics. U.S. military policy on peacekeeping largely
precluded paying attention to our analyses and recommendations concerning
missions and conflict-resolution training. The impact of research must be under-
stood within the context of a national policy agenda.
research team in the time it took the committee to complete its work. Members
were chosen strategically, both for their own areas of expertise and for their
breadth of interest in the performance issues in genera!. We took advantage of
specialties through a subcommittee structure and benefited from committee-wide
input on each topic through a plenary structure or meetings of the whole commit-
tee to discuss directions and to review progress and products produced by the
subcommittees. Commissioned papers from scholars who are experts on their
subjects provided important input to the subcommittees, as did site visits to labo-
ratories and briefings.
Furthermore, the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) review process was
strenuous and rigorous. The reports were greatly improved as a result of this
feedback. It seems as though the NRC was invented to conduct this sort of study.
But, it is also the case that we may have developed our own organizational cul-
ture that had the effect of encouraging a kind of groupthink about some of the
topics we were studying.
1 was the link between phases, the “institutional memory” for the committee’s
work. It was a unique experience, not even remotely similar to what I had done at
think tanks, consulting firms, or at universities. Consider the challenges of
”om Brokaw said that an NRC report proved that “indeed men walk through walls.” A more
detailed reporting of the study’s conclusions was precluded by the television network’s videotape
problems. His statement, made in jest, led to some hesitation by the Army to continue the committee’s
work into a second phase. Several briefings were needed to undo the damage caused by this national
news report.
2256 DANIEL DRUCKMAN
ensuring sufficient support from the sponsor, recruiting and then motivating vol-
unteer committee members, managing the process during and between meetings,
contributing to the substance of the report, integrating the various parts into a
whole, editing the chapters, responding to reviews, balancing sponsor interest
with independence from sponsor influence, and setting the stage for the next phase
as resources began to evaporate. Further, I was doing all of this while trying to
maintain my own career of research on conflict resolution. Like many life experi-
ences, you cannot do this work forever. I valued the time I spent with the members
of NRC committees. It was a unique opportunity to learn and contribute to applied
social science (for more on research consulting careers, see Druckman, 2000).
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2258 DANIEL DRUCKMAN