chapter 3 forcasting

p 20

trend error sq Naïve error sq trend error Naïve error naïve trend
1 1 146
0 1 0 1 147 148
1 9 1 3 148 150
49 36 7 6 151 152
1 100 1 10 145 154
16 9 4 3 155 156
9 9 3 3 152 158
9 4 3 2 155 160
4 9 2 3 157 162
1 25 1 5 160 164
91 202 23 36

MAD 4 2.3

MSE 25.25 10.11111

Selected
170

165

160

155

150

145

140

135
10 12 14 16 18 20 22
 Actual units period
147 11
148 12
151 13
145 14
155 15
152 16
155 17
157 18
160 19
165 20
Sum

Actua l
trend
nai ve

20 22
 chapter 11
p 21

June July
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
forcast 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
orders 52 35 35 20 20
p.o.h inv 23 48 73 23 48 73 23 48
MPS 75 75 75 75 75 75
ATP 23 40 43 75 75 75

week prev inv required sum inv 70 MPs P.O.H inv

1 0 52 -52 75 23
2 23 50 -27 75 48
3 48 50 -2 75 73
4 73 50 -23 23
5 23 50 -27 75 48
6 48 50 -2 75 73
7 73 50 23 23
8 23 50 -27 75 78
chapter 16
p3
1st iteration 2nd iteration
A B C D E A
1 4 5 9 8 7 1 0
2 6 4 8 3 5 2 3
3 7 3 10 4 6 3 4
4 5 2 5 5 8 4 3
5 6 5 3 4 9 5 3

3ed iteration 4th iteration

A B C D E A
1 0 1 5 4 1 1 0
2 3 1 5 0 0 2 4
3 4 0 7 1 1 3 4
4 3 0 3 3 4 4 3
5 3 2 0 1 4 5 3

A B C D
Assignment 1 4 5 2
cost 4 2 3 3

total cost 18
B C D E
1 5 4 3
1 5 0 2
0 7 1 3
0 3 3 6
2 0 1 6

B C D E
1 5 3 0
2 6 0 0
0 7 0 0
0 3 2 3
2 0 0 3

E
3
6