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42

GAMC No. :1703/2015-17. Issued by SSP Ahd. Valid up to 31-12-2017


VOL : 10 • Issue No: 26 RNI No : GUJENG / 2008 / 24320 13th Aug. 2017 to 19th Aug. 2017
○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○

FII Activity (Rs. Cr.)


Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
07-08-17 3789.74 3988.95 -199.21
08-08-17 6245.66 4705.84 1539.82
09-08-17 3238.44 4079.88 -841.44
10-08-17 4384.52 5555.73 -1171.21
11-08-17 4119.5 6063.36 -1943.86
21777.86 24393.76 -2615.9
DII Activity (Rs. Cr.)
Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
07-08-17 2572.38 2264.23 308.15
08-08-17 3151.6 2353.05 798.55
09-08-17 2886.47 2333.3 553.17
10-08-17 4085.04 3263.32 821.72
11-08-17 5085.82 3068.98 2016.84
17781.31 13282.88 4498.43

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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 4
Rapid Fire Stocks
- Kalpna J (Email- Kjtech79@gmail.com) (Ring : 97690 37711)

Cords Cable Industries Ltd. (Value Pic)


(Rs. 106.00) (Code : 532941)
Cords Cable Industries Ltd., incorporated Category No. of shares Percentage
in the year 1991, is a Small Cap company Promoters 6,646,938 51.42
(having a market cap of 135.55 Cr.) operat- General Public 3,912,465 30.26
ing in Cables sector. Others 2,221,175 17.18
For the quarter ended 31-03-2017, the Foreign Institutions 86,344 0.67
company has reported a Standalone sales Financial Institutions 60,858 0.47
of 108.25 Cr.,and has reported net profit af-
ter tax of 2.18 Cr. in latest quarter. YOY Profits have increased to 35% and "ACE Investor Mukul
Aggarwal is holding big chunk 8.5% of the stock".
Technical Discourse : Stock is in uptrend , Buy at CMP : 105.5, Target - 135-180 to ,SL- 78,
Time Frame 6 to 24 Months (Keep Adding in all Dips)

Akzo Nobel India Ltd. (Multibagger)


(Rs. 1755.00) (Code : 500710)
Akzo Nobel India Ltd., incorporated in the Category No. of shares Percentage
year 1954, is a Mid Cap company (having a Foreign Institutions 1,028,693 2.20
market cap of 8328.87 Cr.) operating in Paints Foreign Promoters 34,044,335 72.96
and Pigments sector. General Public 3,950,610 8.47
For the quarter ended 31-03-2017, the Others 3,829,702 8.21
company has reported a Standalone sales Financial Institutions 2,010,446 4.31
of 698.99 Cr., and has reported net profit af- NBFC and Mutual Funds1,796,252 3.85
ter tax of 72.64 Cr. in latest quarter. Central Government 276 0.00

Technical Discourse : Stock is in uptrend , Buy at CMP : 1770 , Target - 2200 - 2500 to ,SL-
1593 , Time Frame 6 to 24 Months (Keep Adding in all Dips)
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 5
Jatin Sanghavi
Market Scan (Mumbai)
(M) 098205 26455
jatinsanghavi100@yahoo.com

MUCH AWAITED 'CORRECTION' BEGINS


TREND TURNS BEARISH
'Correction' is one of the most interesting aspects of market behaviour. It is desired by market
participants when the market moves up considerably; whereas when it actually sets in, the same
market participants dread and pray for its end. The truth remains that for any rally to sustain and
head higher, it has to undergo a Correction which not only makes it stronger but also ready for
higher targets. After grappling with the target zone of Nifty 10100-10400 for almost two weeks,
Correction has set in and we are now looking at the Correction levels for this entire Upward Rally
which begun from Sensex 25717 and Nifty 7893. In the process, the short term and medium term
Trend has turned bearish and hence we can expect selling pressure on every rise.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING :- Sensex opened the week at 32377, made a high of 32396, low
of 31128 and closed the week at 31213. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 1112 points. At the
same time the Nifty opened the week at 10074, made a high of 10088, low of 9685 and closed the
week at 9710. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a loss of 356 points.
On the daily charts, Nifty has formed a Bullish Doji which is a bullish reversal pattern but requir-
ing confirmation whereas Sensex has formed a black body candle. On the weekly charts, both
Sensex and Nifty have formed a big Opening Black body Marubuzo which has engulfed previous
four weeks bullish candles. Thus more than daily, weekly candlestick pattern suggests strong bear-
ishness in the near term.

This Weeks Recommendations


Rec. Name CMP SL TGT-1 TGT-2
Sell Maruti 7457 7588 7255 7044
Sell PEL 2701 2760 2610 2518
Sell PVR 1286 1318 1238 1188
Sell STFC 952 974 919 885
Sell ONGC 160 164 154 148
:::: INDEX LEVELS ::::
S3 S2 S1 CLOSE R1 R2 R3
NIFTY 9448 9535 9615 9710 9792 9893 9988
SENSEX 30247 30638 30921 31213 31626 32104 32396
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 6
The fall this week took the market sharply lower and it has taken support at the Support Trendline
which is at Sensex 31200 and Nifty 9685. A breach of this Trendline will push the market lower
towards testing of intermediate bottom of Sensex 30680 and Nifty 9448.
This week finally witnessed the much awaited Correction, which is the first major Correction in
this entire rally of almost Sensex 7000 points and Nifty 2200 points, which began in last Decem-
ber. The Correction levels are placed at Sensex 30024-29202-28379 and Nifty 9280-9015-8751.
The current Rally has produced two major Bullish Gaps. The first Bullish gap is on daily charts,
between Sensex 29780-29681 and Nifty 9250-9225 will act as strong Support. The second Bullish
Gap which is more critical as it is also a Weekly Gap i.e. between Sensex 29356-29098 and Nifty
9060-8977 hold the key to the long term trend.
This week, both the indices breached both the short term average of 20dma (Sensex - 32109
and Nifty - 9962) and even the medium term average of 50dma (Sensex - 31616 and Nifty - 9774)
and closed below that. But both the indices continue to remain above the long term average of
200dma (Sensex - 29118 and Nifty - 9003). Thus the Trend in the short term and medium term
timeframe has turned bearish, whereas the trend in the long term timeframe continues to remain
upwards.
The weekly Bullish Gap between Sensex 29356-29098 and Nifty 9060-8977 forms a strong
confluence Support zone as it encompasses the 200dma (Sensex - 29118 and Nifty - 9003) as
well as the 50% Retracement level (Sensex - 29202 and Nifty - 9015). Thus if the Correction deep-
ens then the indices will be finding this Gap Support as very strong and difficult to breach. Interest-
ingly, this is the level where the current Cup and Handle formation was completed and a retest of
the neckline will be good for the overall health of the market.
On the weekly formation, both the indices had completed a Cup and Handle formation and the
targets are Sensex 34677-37554 and Nifty 10536-11413. If one considers the Cup and Handle
formation of 7 years from 2007 to 2014, the target for that pattern falls at Sensex 34715 and Nifty
10462. The Golden Ratio target of the current pattern weekly pattern of 2 years is at Sensex 34677
and Nifty 10536. Thus in the medium term one can expect a test of the above targets i.e. Sensex
34677-34715 and Nifty 10462-10536.
MACD and Price ROC, both continue in Sell mode. RSI (36) suggests strong bearish momen-
tum. Stochastic Oscillator %K (12) is not only oversold but also below %D and hence in Sell mode.
ADX is at 28, which suggests that the trend is strong. Directional Indicators continue in Sell mode
as +DI has gone below -DI. MFI (50) suggests Positive Money Flow. OBV is in Sell mode as it has
started making lower top, lower bottom formation. Bollinger Band has signalled a Sell this week as
the indices have managed a close below the lower Bollinger Band. Thus Oscillators are suggest-
ing a bearish bias.
Options data for August series indicate highest Call Open Interest has shifted lower at the strike
of 10000 and highest Put build-up has also shifted lower to 9500. Thus Options data suggests a
wide trading range with resistance coming in at 10000 and support at 9500.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 7

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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 8
Jignesh R Mehta
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
E-mail : support@kiranjadhav.com
Website : www.KiranJadhav.com
Phone: 95 95 113344

Nifty@Decline, Well Anticipated !


Now, What next?
Readers of my articles in Smart Investment are well aware that the weakness that Nifty is in, is
well anticipated. From last two weeks, we have created Negative view on Nifty mostly because of
the MOMENTUM COUNT that Nifty spot completed running upside and it was technical fall that
we were anticipating with first distribution sign over Nifty. While market participants are still won-
dering why a global outperforming market without any breaking news has to fall like this. People
who are aware of the Investor & Traders Delight System that we teach to our clients are also aware
of theMOMENTUM COUNTtheory. It is the maximum vertical distance that spot takes from its 200
DSMA going up or down. Such a maximum distance is considered as the maximum strength with
which spot can go away from its 200DSMA, either up or down. As we were in a great sort of mo-
mentum and bullrun, we were cruising along on upside with Nifty inching higher and higher. But
when Nifty approached 10100 mark, it was running to its highest distance on upside from its 200
day Simple Moving Average. This maximum distance was nearly same as it was in Sep-2014.
After going this far, we were searching for distribution sign and just two weeks back we found out
such signs through bearish engulf candlestick on daily chart with increased volume. And that was
exactly the time we anticipated a fall with Stop loss at 10115. Now, since Nifty has triggered down
move, everyone is asking whether Nifty will still stay in bear hands and if yes, how far it can go
down. Well, Nifty staying in weakness zone for considerable time now is anybody's guess be-
cause the fall of Friday already suggested that. What is next, is also not difficult to find if we use the
same IT Delight theory. Technically, Mighty 200 is calling Nifty towards itself and hence it will
continue to do that until Nifty goes in to a technical value zone. More than we look far away in to the
future we should eye nearest level that Nifty could easily go & that is 9500 in coming 3/4 weeks.
Hence, our down view should be continued with a revised stop loss at 9860 levels. At current
juncture Stop loss is about 150 points far on upside and target is still 210 point down which is quite
favourable when we are seating in great profits from already taken view. All the reader's must go
through all my previous articles in smart investment as many of them have this illustration even
associated with attached charts in them.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 9
Rising Star
Infosys (987.7)

While assessing the given daily chart of INFY, you can easily find that price was taking resis-
tance at 960 kind of levels ever since the starting of 2014. After breaching the same levels on
upside in Oct-14, price never really broke the zone of 920 to 960 in all these years. This same zone
is shown with transparent pink rectangle in the chart. The importance of the horizontal zone is well
amplified because from this very zone price took support in Jul-15 and in Nov-16. And then three
times consecutively in 2017. All these survival makes this zone an important support zone. While
market is falling like nine pins in last two days of the latest week, if we look at the price of this
counter is giving bullish candlestick patterns and all these is happening with both the group of
EMAs being in bullish spread. Also the shorter term of EMA is staying above the longer term EMA
group, which is also speaking for the bulls having an upper hand. Good amount of volume too is
seen on the charts. Support lines are drawn from earlier lower points because this counter is in
bullish trend since 2003 & hence concurrent support lines are many. The latest support line touches
the current price at 940 which should be our stop loss. Horizontal band gives us the target which is
doubled from that level and it should be roughly 1800 in coming 2 years. Hence everyone whose
financial advisor is allowing the risk up to stop loss can venture in to this stock for a great run.
Disclosers : Views expressed in this article/articles are personal opinion of Author and it doesn't
constitute an offer to buy or sell securities mentioned herein. Enough care has been taken before
arriving at these data, figures & charts, however, readers are advised to do their own assessment
before taking any actions in the market. The author and his company does not take any responsi-
bility for any results that may arise out of using this information.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 11
- Parag Salot
Technical Trading Trends (SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
M. : 91-9930011789
Nifty Overview : Nifty Overview: In Last Trading Session, Nifty closed at 9737. Nifty made all time high of 10150
and then corrected as expected. Nifty is in correction mode and can correct till 9500 levels. As it is in corrective mode,
it can be volatile as well. Intra-day signals would be required to initiate trade.
Bank Nifty Overview : In Last Trading Session, Bank Nifty closed at 24080. Bank Nifty made all time high of 25260
and then corrected as expected. Bank Nifty may correct till 23500 levels. Expect Bank Nifty to be volatile similar to
Nifty.
Stocks have corrected a good bit and there are chances of getting corrected further but that indeed would be a good
opportunity. It may so happen that index does not correct as much but stocks may correct drastically. It is difficult to
give prior calls (before market hours) at current levels. We will have to consider wide range in taking trades. Intra-day
levels & signals would help in taking trades. The stock specific levels given below are too far and it may seem absurd.
We would be able to give more realistic levels during market hours.

Last Recommendation Review


Scrip Name BSE Buy/ Enter Did High/ Remark
Code Sell at Low
HPCL 500104 Sell 463 401 Target Achieved
IBreal 532832 Sell 270 216 Target Achieved
L&THF 533519 Sell 176 161 Target Achieved
Titan 500114 Sell 629 604 Target Achieved
Trading Buy
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Ajanta Pharma 532331 1225 1180/1200 1225 1245 1165
Dr. Reddy 500124 2020 1840/1860 1950 2050 1795
NMDC 526371 118 110 118 130 104
Ujjivan 539874 310 303/305 315 325 297
Wockhardt 532300 558 510/520 555 590 490
Trading Sell
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Century Tex 500040 1182 1265/1280 1250 1225 1300
Hindalco 500440 223 233/236 225 215 245
HPCL 500104 430 450/455 440 430 465
IGL 532514 1231 1290/1310 1270 1250 1333
L&TFH 533519 164 174/177 167 160 181
Maruti 532500 7422 7700/7730 7600 7500 7760
SBI 500112 280 297/303 290 280 311
Titan 500114 612 616/621 610 600 629
Yes Bank 532648 1746 1800 1750 1700 1835

Note : All calls are momentum calls based on technical analysis and all levels as per future prices (If scrip not available in futures then BSE Cash price). All
these calls are given based on daily charts but intra•]day signals are equally important to enter the trade in a timely manner. Timing is very important and we at
shareinfoline.com give you timely calls based on intraday charts. Read Disclaimer at ShareInfoline.com
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 12
SMART
BUY OF THE WEEK
Dark Horse

Last week in DARK HORSE we had recommended NTC INDUSTRIES @ 62.65, it zoomed
15.72% to Rs.72.50 levels in intraday trade. Second dark horse was SAKTHI FINANCE.
Recommended at Rs.39, zoomed 30.76% to Rs.51 levels in just 2 days and achieved our
medium term target in just 2 days.

BIMETAL BEARINGS LTD


(505681) (455) (Face Value Rs.10)
Founded in 1961, Coimbatore based Bimetal Bearings Limited manufactures and sells engine
bearings, bushings, thrust washers, and copper alloy powders in India. It also offers bimetallic
strips, such as sintered copper and aluminum alloy strips. The company serves various customer
groups, such as OEMs, including defense and railways, OE spares, and after-market; and automo-
tive segments consisting of passenger cars, multi utility vehicles, light/medium/heavy commercial
vehicles, tractors, industrial engines, and two wheelers. It also exports its products worldwide. It is
having 5 manufacturing plants which are located at Chennai, Coimbatore & Hosur. It is supplying
products to all major auto companies like TATA MOTOR, ASHOK LEYLEND, MAHINDRA, MARUTI,
MAHINDRA, HYUNDAI, SUZUKI, YAMAHA, SWARAJ MAZDA etc. It has a full-fledged R&D cen-
tre approved by the Department of Scientific & Industrial Research of the Ministry of Science &
Technology, Govt of India.
It has an equity base of just Rs.3.83crore that is supported by huge reserve of around
Rs.159.84crore. The promoters hold 74.88% while the investing public holds 25.12% stake in the
company. It has a share book value of Rs.427.89 & price to book value ratio is around 1.10 which
is cheapest in Bearing Industry.
Company has reported superb numbers for Q1FY18. For Q1FY18, BBL's net profit soared 92.90%
to Rs.2.72crore from Rs.1.41crore on 14.62% higher sales of Rs.42crore fetching an EPS of Rs.7.12.
Currently, the stock trades at a P/E of just 28x. It is regular dividend paying company. Company
has paid 75% dividend for FY17.
Investors can buy this stock with a stop loss of Rs.410. On the upper side, it could zoom to
Rs.510-525 levels in the short to medium term & Rs.600+ levels in long term.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 13
AGRI-TECH (INDIA) LTD
(537292) (60.75) (Face Value Rs.10)
Agri-Tech (India) Ltd is a group company of the Aurangabad-based Nath Bio-Genes, which
was demerged from Nath Seeds Ltd in 2004 to focus on agri sector activities.
It has an equity base of just Rs.5.94crore that is supported by huge reserve of around
Rs.41.95crore. The promoters hold 46.30% while the investing public holds 53.70% stake in the
company. It has a share book value of Rs.80.63& price to book value ratio is around 0.74 which is
cheapest in Bearing Industry.
The Company's value emerges from the following 3 verticals
1) Agri-Tech Holds 15.6 lakh shares of Nath Bio-Genes (CMP 330) valued at Rs.51 crore, which
may rise as per the trend of recent stake increases.
2) Agri-Tech owns 500 acres Land bank near Paithan in district Aurangabad, the market value
of which is Rs.110 crore (valued as per the recent sell transaction of 90 acres for Rs.20.4 crore by
the company in Q4 FY16.
3) Agri-Tech holds 66% stake in Paithan Mega Food Park Pvt Ltd (PMFP), along with 34%
stake with Nath Bio-genes.Agri-Tech's valuation of PMFP works out to approximately Rs.66 crore.
Thus, the total valuation from the 3 verticals totals around Rs.227crore while the Company's
market cap just Rs.34 crore and it is a debt-free company.
Investors can buy this stock with a stop loss of Rs.52. On the upper side, it could zoomRs.75-80
levels in short term.

Buy... Buy... Buy on Dips Hold Sell on High


HPCL 428.00 Bayer Crop. 4230.00
JSPL 127.00 Time Techno 163.00
J. P. Associates 21.00 Tata Steel 596.00 Bajaj Auto 2788.00
Petronet LNG 212.00 Kotak Bank 991.00
Alexander Stamp 41.00 CESC 919.00
Gota Carbon 259.00 United Spirit 2418.00
Ashok Leyland 102.00 Motherson Sumi 323.00 Teamlease Ser. 1414.00 Maruti 7452.00
Centram Capital 58.00 Ramkrishna Forg. 526.00 Infosys 987.00 NTPC 169.00
NCC 82.00 EROS Intl. 189.00 Quess Corp. 866.00 M&M 1348.00
Tinplate 127.00 Eicher Motors 29615.00
NMDC 117.00 Tata Motors 374.00
Aurobindo Ph. 704.00
HOEC 68.00 BHEL 125.00 Jubiland Food 1296.00 UPL 814.00
PTC India 108.00 Indian Nippon 781.00 Vinati Org. 976.00 Sun Pharma 337.00
MMTC 54.00 Coffee Day 237.00 Shree Cement 17477.00 Cadila HC 482.00
City Union Bank 155.00 Dhampur Sugar 239.00 Allahabad Bank 65.00
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 14
FIFTY – FIFTY
MAYANK SHARMA MUMBAI -Research Analyst

Expect Market downfall Continues


This financial year witnessed the Demonetization of high denomination currency by the Central
Government which affected the internal cash flow of India to a large extent. India’s Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) is expected to grow at 7.2 percent in 2017-18, World Bank indicated in its bi-annual
economic India Development Update. Goods and Services Tax (GST), one of the major indirect
tax reforms, got implemented in the second quarter of the financial year 2017-18 which affected
various sectors initially due to lack of clarity, destocking of goods, high rates, delay in implementa-
tion of GST based systems and so on. Global economic conditions have been supportive thus far
with economic growth strengthening, albeit at a gradual pace, in the key advance economies and
some emerging economies alike. Hence, global growth prospects appear positive although politi-
cal risks continue to prevail.
The current manufacturing PMI for India is lowest among a group of 20 nations. The reading
plunged to the lowest since February 2009 because new orders and output dropped following the
rollout of the goods and service tax (GST).
The FIIs made a Net Purchase of Rs. 1,882 Cr. and MFs of Rs. 11,800 Cr. in the month of
July’17 in Indian Equity market but currently they are selling their stakes in the market. Two things
have conspired to slow foreign portfolio investment into India. The first is simply that India’s equity
market is up over 24% year-to-date and it’s possible that investors are waiting for a pullback. The
second factor is that it was unclear how big and long, the effect of the goods and services tax (GST)
would be. India has had a slowdown due to last year’s demonetization programme and just re-
cently due to the transition to GST. While these changes may be positive in the long-term, in the
near-term, there has been some pain.
There is an upside risk to inflation emerging from continued sticky non-food inflation, implemen-
tation of GST, impact of higher allowances especially HRA on CPI and farm loan waivers.
There has been no improvement in growth of bank credit, a key indicator of the underlying health
and state of a country’s economy. The trade deficit has increased by 157% compared with Apr-
May’17.
Currently, stocks are highly valued compared to their performances. There has been overbuy-
ing in the Market and now a meaningful correction can be seen on cards.
We expect Nifty 50 to fall Upto 9,100 and Sensex Upto 28,500 from current levels.
Arvind Ltd reported Standalone Revenue of Rs. 1613.36 Cr ( up by 4.64% QoQ & 10.06%
YoY) & PAT of Rs. 73.34 Cr ( up by 64.77% QoQ & down by 16.13% YoY) for Q1FY18. However,
looking at consolidated f.st. Revenue rose 17.47% QoQ but PAT fall 22.56% YoY & 41.45% YoY to
Rs. 56.75 Cr for Q1FY18 due to loss making subsidiaries. Their earnings for Q1FY18 were largely
in-line with estimates as inventory clearance leads to a revenue beat. Margins however decline as
raw material costs rise 24 %. GST implementation leads to some discontinuities in the business,
making Q1 difficult for the company. Brand and retail margin impacted due to preponement of End
of Season Sale. But on positive side, the company has plans to open 30 stores supported by
correction in cotton prices QoQ and good monsoon in India leading to good crop once again.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 15
Intense Technologies Ltd: Some pseudo analyst had gumption to give target price of 5000 in 10
years. However, stock has already reacted from high of 260 and looks overpriced even at cmp. It is
a small IT company with topline of 70 crores for FY17. Small equity enabled operators to jack up
the share price to extremely unrealistic levels. Every quarter claims are made that big growth from
next quarter onwards which has not happened so far.
Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) is one of the largest franchisee in the world (outside US)
of carbonated soft drinks (“CSDs”) and non-carbonated beverages (“NCBs”) sold under trademarks
owned by PepsiCo. PepsiCo CSD brands produced and sold by VBL include Pepsi, Diet Pepsi,
Seven-Up, Mirinda Orange, Mirinda Lemon, Mountain Dew, Seven-Up Nimbooz Masala Soda,
Seven-Up Revive, Evervess Soda. PepsiCo NCB brands produced and sold by VBL include
Tropicana Slice, Tropicana Frutz (Lychee, Apple and Mango), Seven-Up Nimbooz as well as pack-
aged drinking water under the brand Aquafina. In Q1FY18, VBL’s Total Revenue zoomed by 82%
QoQ (down 2% YoY) at Rs. 1,939 Cr. and Net Profit surged by 3462% QoQ (up 21% YoY) at Rs.
246 Cr. VBL also declared interim dividend of Rs. 2.5 per share. Considering a very strong quarter,
we recommend a BUY to our investors.

Nifty & Sensex Movement during the last week


NSE - Nifty Open High Low Close Diff
07-Aug-17 10074.8 10088.1 10046.35 10057.4 -9
08-Aug-17 10068.35 10083.8 9947 9978.55 -78.85
09-Aug-17 9961.15 9969.8 9893.05 9908.05 -70.5
10-Aug-17 9872.85 9892.65 9776.2 9820.25 -87.8
11-Aug-17 9712.15 9771.65 9685.55 9710.8 -109.45
Net Weekly Loss -355.6
Sensex Open High Low Close Diff
07/08/17 32,377.80 32,396.14 32,235.82 32,273.67 -51.74
08/08/17 32,341.05 32,354.77 31,915.20 32,014.19 -259.48
09/08/17 31,926.14 31,967.28 31,731.91 31,797.84 -216.35
10/08/17 31,750.73 31,756.27 31,422.80 31,531.33 -266.51
11/08/17 31,355.92 31,379.20 31,128.02 31,213.59 -317.74
Net Weekly Loss -1,111.8
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 16
Smart Picks Rohan Nalawade - Expert in financial analysis (Mumbai )

Nifty has good support at 9700


We had rightly stated in our last two weekly editions and clearly mentioned that profit booking
will be seen at higher levels around 10100 and a close above was must above 10100 for next up
move if not then profit booking will be seen and we did see weekly low was broken and nifty came
down 300-400 points from all time high and also bank nifty corrected 600-700 points .From last 6
months when Nifty was at 8000 levels we were stating in our articles that we are in bull market and
Nifty will test 10000 ,we had clearly mentioned in our previous month articles and we had also
cautioned in our last two article that profit booking can be seen at 10100-200 levels ,now what we
are in very important phase of market , bulls have to protect 9700 weekly basis as it is very strong
base for bulls as 9720 was important previous top of nifty and according to W.D.Gann price theory
and also technically top becomes a good support and if 9650-9700 holds on weekly basis we r
still in buy on dips trend will change only below 9650-9700 weekly closing is must ,and at these
levels it will be good oportunity to enter market in stocks at these levels for next move of market
towards 10400-10600 as we are in bull market every dips is good to make a entry then only those
who have grabbed the buying opportunity will be rewarded handsomely so right picking of stocks
which are market leaders will be best to start with metals sectors banking sectors will be good ,
Stocks to watch out for :- Long term smart picks
CDSL is a good long term pick around 300-325 for 400-450-500
Sun Pharma looks good around 445-458 For long term 650-700-750
BHEL looks good long term at 122-128 For 180-200
Can tops and bottom in market can be found Only with w.d.gann theory

BUY.... BUY....BUY TIPS OF THE WEEK


Co. Name Code Price Co. Name Code Price
Rain Ind. 500339 115.00 Cochin Ship. 540678 522.00
HCC 500185 33.00 ICICI Pur. 540133 426.00
Meghmani Org. 532865 53.00 Manpasand B 539207 790.00
Waterbase 523660 107.00 Future Retail 540064 442.00
Kallam Spg. 530201 27.00 Endurance T. 540153 970.00
Shilp Gravures 513709 129.00 Bharat Forge 500493 1162.00
Shivam Auto 532776 62.00 Infosys 500209 987.00
Munjal Auto 520059 62.00 Pidilite 500331 788.00
Bajaj Ele. 500031 306.00 Britannia 500825 4100.00
MOIL 533286 340.00 Century Tex. 500040 1176.00
Talbross Engg. 538987 498.00 Dr. Lal Path 539524 804.00
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 17
Nilesh S. Kotak
Value Buy (Mob. : 8866004076)

RACL Geartech Limited


BSE: 520073 / ISIN: INE704B01017
Work Profile :- RACL Geartech Ltd is in the Auto Ancillaries sector, having a market capitaliza-
tion of Rs. 48.86 crores. It has reported a sales of Rs. 29.31 crores and a net profit of Rs. 2.01 crores
for the quarter ended March 2017. The company management includes Gursharan Singh (Chair-
man And Managing Director), Madan Lal (Independent Director), Anil Sharma (Independent Direc-
tor), D R Arya (Director (Finance)), Raj Kumar Kapoor (Independent Director) among others.
Shareholding Pattern :- Promoter Group: 51% • Public Group: 49%
Technical Analysis :-
Market Cap: 48.86 Cr.
Stock P./E.:10.96
Current Price: 54.10
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Book Value: 38.46
Face Value:10
52 Week High/Low: 49.90 / 26.30
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 18
A. K. Asnani
(M) 9893512098
Smart Verc (Bhopal)
Author of Book
Way to Billionaire

Is this the peak ?


The most frequently asked question in market today - 'Is this the peak'?
Interestingly investors and advisors use different techniques to find out the state, some use price /
volume charts, others use astrology, and there are intelligentsias who use historical data (like PE ratio etc)
to support their claim.
To be honest, I never try to predict the market direction, because no one can!
Having experienced major booms and dooms from Harshad Mehta times to 2008-09 international finan-
cial crises, I recollected some common emotional investor behaviors and also macro fundamentals which
prevailed during such occasions.
Behavioral signs
" Rampant speculation in low priced stocks, specially.
" Increasingly investors are asking "How much I need to invest in stocks so as to get sufficient
returns to quit the job?" and "I want to become a full time advisor, what I need to do?"
" Another strong behavioral sign indicating the crazy market sentiments is query from my friends for
good tips, who always preferred to stay away from stocks.
" Couple of hard core Fundamental advisers switching to Technical (Chart based) advisory.
" Investors claiming 'This time is different'
Macro-economic scenario
" Interest rates are declining
" Inflation is low
" Private capex is yet to pick up.
" Our country's Foreign exchange reserves at record high of $392.867 billion during the week to July
28
" Low current account and fiscal deficits. With further planned cut in subsidies on petroleum products
and expansion of tax base due to introduction of GST and the increased surveillance after demonetisation
the situation is going to improve further.
" The government has projected its revenue spending to go up 20 per cent, and capital spending
nearly 26 per cent from 2017-18 to 2019-20
" Statements like this further instill the confidence - "There's no finishing line as far as reforms are
concerned and I think India still has to cover a huge distance." - ArunJaitley, Finance Minister
" Some infra sector companies have reported early signs of pick up in the sector.
Consider this statement "All our businesses have performed consistently well. While Government spending
continues in the Transmission, Distribution & Railway segments, we are seeing the first signs of Capex
spending by the Private Sector as well." - Sunil Mathur, MD and CEO, Siemens Ltd.
Companies like KEC International, Kalpataru Power, GE T&D too have reported good set of numbers for
the recently concluded quarter. (These company stocks may or may not be good bets price wise)
So what is the verdict? Economy wise there are hardly any signs indicating a peak but investor behavior
tells 180 degree opposite story.
There is a way out.
Focus on the company you invest, find out what it is doing, what is going to be its future, what promoters
are planning for it, how its earnings are being discounted (valuations) and regularly track the quarterly
results declared by it. Stay with such stocks as long as the company story remains enticing. That it
is the surest way to success if you invest for long term !
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 19
Technical News : 14-8-2017 to 18-8-2017
Manu Consultants : Manishkumar - Kolkata
SEBI REG:- RESEARCH ANALYST- INH300002449
• NIFTY FUTURE
NIFTY FUT SUPPORT AT 9700-9550 AND RESISITANCE 10150-10240
STRATEGY :- BUY NIFTY ON DIPS TILL 9640 SL 9550 TA 9880-9940
• STOCKS F&O:-
BALRAMPUR CHINI (165):- BUY BALRAMPUR CHINI ON DIPS TILL 161 SL 158 TA 180-84
ADANI ENT (114):- BUY ADANI ENT ON DIPS TILL 110 SL 105 TA 118-24
SI BANK (26):- BUY SOUTH INDIA BANK ON DIPS TILL 25 SL 24.5 TA 28.5-30
TITAN(610):- BUY TITAN ON DIPS TILL 600 SL 590 TA 632-44
• SELL STOCKS
SELL ICIL ON RISE TILL 124 SL 130 TA 100-92
SELL OBC ON RISE TILL 128 SL 134 TA 112-05
DELIVERY STOCKS
BUY PRAG MILK SL 200 TA 280-300
DISCLAIMER :- The Recommendations are based on technical analysis. There is a risk of loss in
trading.Please visit website www.dallalstreet.org for full disclaimer and disclosures.

Buy or Sell, Confused ?


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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 20
Dilip Davda Best Buy
e-mail Expert’s Eye Munjal Auto,
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com Laurus Lab.,
Swelect Energy,
SEBI action derailed market
sentiment to mark mega weekly loss
Market sentiment that was upbeat and marking new milestones week after week finally marked
derailment of sentiment following Shell company order from SEBI. However, as per analysts, the
market that was jubilant with one way traffic so far and in overbought position needed slope for
correction that was provided by SEBI coupled with mounting tension in Doklam on Indo-China
issue. While first session of the week marked minuscule loss, rest four days marked mega losses
that brought a panic week of mega losses after long. On the last day, while recovery was marked
for mid and small cap counters, index based mega selling spoiled the mood.
During the week, indices moved in the range of 10088.10-9685.55 and 32396.14-31128.02 for
NSE Nifty and S&P BSE Sensex respectively.
Secondary Market :- First session of the week opened on a firm note on Monday but post noon
it gave up the tempo to mark losses at the end. NSE Nifty marked loss of mere 9.00 points to close
at 10057.40 and BSE Sensex posted deficit of mere 51.74 points to end the day at 32273.67.
Surge in Crude Oil prices propelled Oil and Gas counters and got support from Metal, Consumer
Durables, Banking counters. IT counters were under selling spree that kept market in a negative
zone. However, Mid and Small cap counters met with value buying. FIIs were the net sellers for the
day and DIIs were the net buyers for the day. Global Space got listed on BSE SME and opened at
offered price of Rs. 66 marked the high of Rs. 70 and the low of 65.00 before closing with mere

During the Week discount at Rs. 65.65. Total Transport and Keerti
Knowledge got listed on NSE SME and while the
Dividend Announcements first scrip opened at a premium , the other at a dis-
BNR Udyog (7%), Centrum Capital (5%), count.
Indo Thai Securities (10%), Natco Pharma
On Tuesday too markets opened on a firm note
(62.5%), Reliance Chemotex (10%), Coastal
but soon turned bearish amidst selling spree and
Corp (15%), Divyashakti Granite (15%),
ended with higher losses. NSE Nifty lost 78.85 points
Kaveri Seeds (150%), Ruchira Paper (22.5%),
to end the day at 9978.55 and BSE Sensex marked
SRF Ltd (60%), Accelya Kale (400%), Alicon
deficit of 259.48 points to close at 32014.19. Follow-
Cast (85%), Anuh Pharma (50%), DeNora
ing SEBI order, exchanges banning trades in 311
(20%), Incap (10%), Mac Charles (100%),
Shell Companies brought panic with selling across
Nirlon (7.5%), Simplex Castings (5%), Varun
the board. Banking and Oil and Gas counters took
Beverages (25%), Arihant Capital (15%),
Kilburn Engg (20%), Ludlow Jute (25%), the lead and got support from Pharma counters. Even
Manappuram Fin (25%), GMM Pfaudler Mid and Small cap counters met with hammering.
(95%), Madhucon Proj (10%), Rain Ind FIIs and DIIs were the net buyers for the day and
(50%), Sagar Prod (2%), Sun TV (50%), curtail the slide. Sintex Plastics got listed on BSE.
Triveni Engg (25%) etc. On Wednesday markets opened on a weak note
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 21
and continued to drift amidst selling spree. NSE Nifty posted loss of 70.50 Ex-Split
points to close at 9908.05 and mirroring similar trends, BSE Sensex Dwarikesh Sugar (10 for 1)
marked deficit of 216.35 points to end the day at 31797.84. Reports of
Bonus Announced
market manipulators under SEBI Radar coupled with US-North Korea BHEL (1 for 2),
war threat kept a tab on the market sentiment. While Mid and Small cap Bharat Ele. (1 for 10)
counters continued to bleed, Banking, Auto, Oil and Gas, Pharma Bharat Forge (1 for 1)
Manpasand Bev. (1 for 1)
counters too eased on profit booking at every rise. FIIs were net sellers
MOIL (1 for 1)
in cash but net buyers in futures. DIIs were the net buyers for the day. Reliance Gen. Ins. (1 for 1)
Surevin BPO got listed on NSE SME and opened at a premium to offer
Ex-Bonus
price. After quoting at discount in intraday, it closed with a mere gain.
ADCC (1 for 10)
On Thursday too markets opened lower and continued to slide on Gala Print (1 for 20)
selling pressure across the board. NSE Nifty marked deficit of 87.80
points to end the day at 9820.25 and BSE Sensex lost 266.51 points to close at 31531.33. Mount-
ing tension on US-North Korea issue kept a tab on global market and we too witnessed tremors for
the same. SEBI order keeping Mid and Small cap counters bleeding with all out selling. Auto,
Banking, Pharma, Realty, Capital Goods counters too eased on selling spree. FIIs were net buyers
in futures. SiS got listed on BSE and NSE. After opening at a premium to offer price, scrip closed at
a discount and thus spoiled the mood of primary market investors. Scrip turned ex-bonus included
ADCC (1 for 10) and Gala Print (1 for 20). Dwarikesh Sugar turned ex-split (10 for 1). Power
Finance deferred the bonus issue. Surprised bonus announcements came in from BHEL 1 for 2,
Bharat Electronics 1 for 10, Bharat Forge 1 for 1, Manpasand Beverages 1 for 1 and MOIL 1 for 1.
Even Reliance General Insurance too announced bonus in the ratio of 1 for 1. These entire bonus
announcements have surprised one and all as markets were heading southwards.
On Friday markets opened lower with a gap amidst weak trends of global markets, it kept mov-
ing southward with weekly traders adjustments. NSE Nifty posted loss of 109.45 points to close at
9710.80 and BSE Sensex marked deficit of 317.74 points to end the day at 31213.59. Thus both
benchmarks closed below the sentimental barriers of 9.75K and 31.25K respectively. SBI Q1 re-
sult indicating higher net was overshadowing by higher slippages of over Rs. 30K crore. Indices
settled around 5 and half week's low. While Healthcare and Oil and Gas counters were up, Metal,
Auto, Realty, Banking, IT, Capital Goods were down. Side market witnessed some recovery, but
index based selling played a spoil sport for the day. FIIs were the net sellers for the day while DIIs
were the net buyers. Late eve June 17 IIP data announced that contracted at -0.1% and may play a
spoil sport when market opens for trade on Monday. Cochin Shipyard got listed on BSE/ NSE and
closed at a premium of 21 to 22% to offer price. As per web sites of BSE/NSE till 18.20 hrs of Friday
Ashok Masala IPO got around 10.5 times subscription, Lexus Granito around 35.4 times, Geekay
around 1.12 times and Servotech around 0.24 times.
In a week of SEBI action on Shell companies, NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex marked net weekly
LOSS of (-355.60) and (-1111.82) points respectively.
Rupee turned weak to mark Rs. 64.15 a dollar. Crude Oil hovered around 51.80$ a barrel. Q1
result season set to keep market on stock specific mode amidst high volatility. Ensuing week has
just four sessions as markets will be closed on 15.08.17 on account of Independence Day celebra-
tions. However, banks have two holidays keeping market on a bay with BTST restrictions. As per
reports, SEBI is going to announce second list of Shell Company in near term that will shadow
over the market sentiment for a while and may propel further selling.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 22
Amidst such a scenario, NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex may hover between 9950-9500 and 31850-
30550 respectively for the ensuing week.
Bonus meets scheduled by Alexander Stamps on 14.08.17, Talbros Engg on 17.08.17, Kallam
Spg on 26.08.17.
Scrip Watch :- Investors may keep following scrip on radar that is gaining grounds with better
performances:
Munjal Auto (BSE Code: 520059) :- This auto parts and component manu-
facturing Sector Company has reported net profit of Rs. 10.36 crore on a turnover of Rs. 281.77
crore for Q1 of FY18 against net profit of Rs8.42 crore on a turnover of Rs. 246.31 crore for the
corresponding previous period. For FY17 it posted net profit of Rs. 31.77 crore on a turnover of Rs.
929.53 crore. As on 30.06.17 it's paid up equity capital of Rs. 20.00 crore (doubled after 1 for 1
bonus issue) is supported by free reserves of Rs. 240 crore plus. Scrip may be considered at
declined levels for medium to long term investment. It currently quotes around Rs. 62.90 against 52
week High/Low of Rs. 77/41, FV Rs.2.
Swelect Energy (BSE Code: 532051) :- This solar power and other related
activities company posted net profit of Rs. 7.30 crore on a turnover of Rs. 52.77 crore for Q1 of
FY18 against net profit of Rs. 3.87 crore on a turnover of Rs. 46.49 crore for the corresponding
previous period. For FY 17 it earned net profit of Rs.29.38 crore on a turnover of Rs. 216.23 crore.
As on 30.06.17 it's paid up capital of Rs. 10.11 crore is supported by free reserves of Rs. 650 crore
plus. Scrip may be considered at declined levels for medium term investment. It currently quotes
around Rs. 518.85 against 52 week High/Low of Rs. 633/295, FV Rs. 10.
Laurus Lab (BSE Code: 540222) :- This pharma sector company has (on a
consolidated basis) posted net profit of Rs. 38.91 crore on a turnover of Rs. 498.76 crore for Q1 of
FY18 against net profit of Rs. 25.64 crore on a turnover of Rs. 418.81 crore for the corresponding
previous period. For FY17 it posted net profit of Rs. 190.28 crore on a turnover of Rs. 1964.99
crore. As on 30.06.17 it's paid up equity capital of Rs. 10.58 crore is supported by free reserves of
Rs. 160 crore plus. Scrip may be considered for medium to long term investment. It currently quotes
around Rs. 546.15 against 52 week High/Low of Rs. 634/453, FV Rs. 10.
DISCLAIMER : No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be
construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All
matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no cir-
cumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified
financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published
here. Any reader taking decisions based on any information published here does so entirely at
own risk. Above information is based on the details available as on the date along with market
perceptions. Author has not traded in above three stocks mentioned in Scrip Watch during last one
month and has no holdings or plans to invest in any scrip referred above.
(THE AUTHOUR IS SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST) (Email:
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com )
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 23
Scrip Watch - Dilip K. Shah

Dr. Lal Pathlabs (Rs. 804.00) (Code : 539524) (F. V. : 10.00) :- Dr Lal
Pathlabs provides laboratory services for bio-chemistry, haematology, microbiology and a few other
pathological and radiological services to individual patients, hospitals, healthcare providers and
hospitals. The company sources a sizeable portion of its laboratory equipment under the rental
reagent model (RRM). This asset light model entails DLPL to purchase monthly a fixed number or
quantity of reagents, diagnostic kits and automated analysers in lieu of owned equipment that is
rented and not owned.The company’s suite of test offerings continues to grow with the addition of
around 70 new tests in the last fiscal. It now has a catalogue of 1,100 test panels, 1,934 pathology
tests and 1,561 radiology and cardiology tests.As Swine flu and other deaseses are rising, pathlab
will be more busy with all these tests. The promoters holding in the company stood at 57.92 %
while Institutions and Non-Institutions held 17.71 % and 22.52 % respectively. The stock has cor-
rected with overall market correction. Accumulate.
IOC (Rs. 412.00) (Code : 530965) (F. V. : 10.00) :- State-owned Indian Oil Corp.
(IOC) has said it will acquire up to a 50% stake in the Adani Group-backed Mundra LNG import
terminal in Gujarat for an estimated Rs750 crore.Mundra would be the second LNG project of
Adani where IOC is investing. IOC has taken 39% stake in the proposed 5 million tons a year LNG
import terminal at Dhamra in Odisha.Meanwhile, Indian Oil Corp has received the government nod
to buy one very large ship full of crude oil from the US every month this year as it looks at cheaper
alternatives that have emerged due to global supply glut. The shipping ministry has allowed the
country’s largest oil firm to import one parcel or cargo of crude oil from the US every month in
foreign ships, said a senior oil ministry official. India allows import of crude oil only on Indian
carriers.IOC's revenue rose to Rs 129,418.11 crore from Rs 107,670.95 crore in the year-ago pe-
riod. The company also slashed its debt to Rs 34,922 crore as on June 30 from Rs 54,820 crore as
on March 31 by repaying some loans.The stock is on strong momentum mode. Buy.
CESC (Rs. 919.00) (Code : 500084) (F. V. : 10.00) :- RP Sanjiv Goenka flagship
company CESC will invest Rs 1000 crore in the current fiscal in the power business.The company
has already stated that it will focus in power distribution instead in generation due to high regula-
tory interventions. CESC has won distribution franchisee in cities of Kota and Bharatpur in Rajasthan.
CESC has total generation of 187 MW in renewables including wind and solar.Meanwhile, on
Spencer's Goenka said in the first quarter the retailer earned cash break even and was doing
better in terms of margins.Shortly after making its foray into the fast moving consumer goods (FMCG)
space by floating a new closely held company, Guiltfree Industries, which currently deals in the
snacks business, CESC Ltd will shortly be coming up with its own plant to manufacture snacks.The
venture will entail an immediate investment of Rs 70-80 crore.It has also picked up a 70 per cent
stake in the Rajkot-based Apricot Foods Pvt Ltd, which sells a range of snacks under the e-Vita
brand. The enterprise value of this company stands at Rs 440 crore along with a topline of Rs 200
crore. The acquisition provides Guiltfree Industries direct control over Apricot Foods’ plants in Rajkot
and Hyderabad.So, there are possibillity of more diversification also. The stock is on strong up-
ward move. Buy.

Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short /
Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may
not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 24
Market Tips - Dilip K. Shah

Shilp Gravures (Rs. 129.00) (Code : 513709) (F. V. : 10.00) :- Shilp Gravures
is India's pioneer in electro-mechanical engraving, with a commanding market share in the flexible
packaging industry. Electro-mechanical engraving is a precision technology and the world's best
equipment and infrastructure are available at its manufacturing plant. Gravure printing is mostly
used in food packaging, wrapping papers, greeting cards, magazines, and furniture laminates
among several other applications. Gravure printing inks have several niche uses and cater to dif-
ferent printing needs. The per capita packaging consumption in India is quite low at 4.3 kg com-
pared with Germany's 42 kg and Taiwan's 19 kg. However, the emerging organized retail and e-
commerce offer huge potential for the packaging sector. Its sales grew 3% to Rs 18.68 crore and
the operating profit margins (OPM) improved 170 basis points (bps) to 24.8%, boosting operating
profit (OP) 10% to Rs 4.64 crore in the June 2017 quarter over a year ago. Net profit could expand
21% to Rs 2.53 crore. On an equity of Rs 6.15 crore (out of which 60.52% is held by the promoters)
and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS for FY 2018 works out to Rs 12.6. The scrip is trading
around 140. Buy.
Lumax Ind. (Rs. 1310.00) (Code : 517206) (F. V. : 10.00) :- Lumax Inds has
been a market leader with share of 55-60%in Indian Automobile Lighting industry and would be a
BIG beneficiary of increasing penetration of LED lighting in both 2 wheelers & 4 wheelers along
with changing perception about Auto lighting. Backed by the strong R&D capability, Lumax would
be able to capitalize on the opportunities available due to rising share of LED in automobile light-
ing systems and value of lighting content per vehicle as the new regulations are implemented. We
recommend a BUY with a price target of Rs 1597.In Q1FY18, Lumax Ind.s reported sales revenues
of Rs 390 cr (?15% YoY & ?9.8% QoQ), EBIDTA of Rs 26 cr (?7.2% YoY & ?5.2 QoQ) with EBIDTA
margin at 6.7% (correction of 50 bps on annual comparison). The standalone profit after tax was
reported at Rs 8.1 cr (?12.1% YoY) while consolidated PAT was reported Rs 15.2 cr (up 17.8%
YoY).
UPL (Rs. 814.00) (Code : 512070) (F. V. : 2.00) :- Agro-chemical major UPL Ltd
today reported a 31 per cent increase in its consolidated net profit at Rs 475 crore for the quarter
ended June 30.Its net profit stood at Rs 362 crore in the year-ago period. Total income increased to
Rs 3,952 crore in the first quarter of this fiscal from Rs 3,731 crore in the corresponding period of
the previous year.UPL posted a net profit of Rs 1,733 crore over a revenue of Rs 17,124 crore
during the entire last fiscal.The company has nearly 30 manufacturing units in India and abroad. It
has presence in 124 countries.EBITDA for the quarter rose by 2.5% yoy to Rs. 691 crore with a
corresponding margin contraction of 56 bps. EBITDA margin for the quarter stood at 17.9%. This
was due to 9.9% yoy increase in employee benefit expenses.The stock has corrected about 20 per
cent from its 52-week high. Grab this opportunity and enter into this counter.

Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short /
Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may
not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 25
SMART TIPS Smita N. Zaveri

Jindal Steel & Power (Rs. 126.00) (Code: 532286) :- The shares of this iron &
steel company are listed in the A Group of BSE and have face value of Re. 1. The share touched a
high of Rs. 159 and low of Rs. 62 in the last 52 weeks. It has started its Angul steel plant recently.
Its production is likely to go up by 70% in three quarters. JSPL is the country's most efficient steel
producer, and has an EBIDTA of Rs. 9,300 per tonne. High steel prices are likely to help the JSPL
meet its debt servicing requirements. Good performance of steel segment and strong seasonal
demand for power boosted June quarter numbers. It reported income of Rs. 5,607 crores, and loss
of Rs. 421.4 crores. EBIDTA for the quarter jumped 33% to Rs. 1,350 crores. Bloomberg has given
a target price of Rs. 163 on the stock, while Motilal Oswal is also likely to upgrade its rating.
Hindalco (Rs. 238.00) (Code: 500440) :- The shares of this A group listed and country's
largest aluminium company have face value of Re. 1. The shares touched a high of Rs. 244 and
low of Rs. 136 in the last 52 weeks. Hindalco's US subsidiary Novelis has also improved its perfor-
mance. Hindalco has lowered its interest cost by 23% by refinancing high cost debt. The net profit
surged by four times to $101 million. For the year 2016-17, the company reported income of Rs.
39,383 crores, and profit of Rs. 1,557 crores. For March quarter, income was Rs. 11,747 crores,
and profit was Rs. 503 crores. It is also expected to report strong results for June quarter, which will
lead to higher interest in the stock.
Waterbase Ltd. (Rs. 110.00) (Code: 523660) :- Shares of this food products com-
pany are listed in the XC group and have face value of Rs. 10. The share touched a high of Rs. 127
and low of Rs. 76. The company was established in November 1987 in Kolkata, before gradually
expanding. For the year 2016-17, the company reported income of Rs. 332 crores and net profit of
Rs. 12.56 crores. For June quarter, income was Rs. 132 crores, and net profit was Rs. 13.45 crores,
i.e. more than the whole of last year. The company has grown at a CAGR of 30% in the last five
years. While its competitors are trading at a PE multiple of 43, shares of Waterbase are trading at
just 21 times the earnings. The stock can be seen at Rs. 150 levels in the medium term.
GNFC (Rs. 263.00) (Code: 500670) :- Shares of Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers
and Chemicals are listed in the A group and have face value of Rs. 10. In the last 52 weeks, the
shares touched a high of Rs. 322 and low of Rs. 137. The fertilizer major sells urea and ammonium
nitrate phosphate under the 'Narmada' brand. It has reported profit of Rs. 105 crores before the tax,
which is more than double the figure of Rs. 51 crores in the same quarter last year. Income for the
quarter rose 11% to Rs. 1,055 crores, while net profit was Rs. 66.55 crores. GNFC aims to become
a debt-free company by the end of the year. The stock can be seen crossing Rs. 300 in the short
term and touching Rs. 350 in the medium term.

SEBI Registered Research Analyst)


* Disclosure :- The author has not brought / sold any stock advised in this news paper during last one month • All stocks rates / indices on 11th August 2017 unless
specified o Stoploos is useful for Short - Medium term investors only
* Disclaimer :- • Smart Investment will not be responsible / for any loss arising out of investment based on its recommendation. • Though, every care has been taken,
we will not responsible for any errors / omissions • All disputes are subject to Ahmedabad jurisdiction
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 26
Investment Ideas telegram.me/rupeegains7

NIFTY's biggest fall since Some Smart Recommendations


demonetization with effec- in last 6 Months (Feb-17 to July-17)
tive reasons… Stocks Rec. High (%)
Last week the domestic market opened in a
neutral mood, but Geopolitical threats on the Rate After
North Korea-USA and India-China front sent Recco.
shivers into global equity markets. Further,
NATH BIO 148 437 195%
SEBI's ban on 331 stocks spoilt the party. Al-
though the actual impact of the 331 stocks on GOA CARBON 140.45 384 173%
the overall market cap is miniscule but it had HILTON METAL 26 54 108%
changed sentiment completely in just one week.
Especially the way SEBI has decided made in- BHARAT SEATS 64.65 132 104%
vestors scared which switched into selling.The KOLTEPATIL 102.5 204 99%
fact is that the market was deeply overbought
and with these effective reasons completely
TALBROS ENG 306 530 73%
changes the state of market participant's mood LKP FINANCE 80.45 139 73%
from greed to fear and that is what has precisely GTN TEXTILE 17.4 29.5 70%
happened. In this 5 days fall Midcap-small cap
crashed heavily. High debt stocks which were PHYTOCHEM 51.55 85 65%
in flavor since last 2-3 months fell significantly. SAKUMA EXPORTS 70 114 63%
Now market sentiment has changed from greed
to fear which will not turn back in a week. After VIMTA LAB 109 164 50%
this sharp fall nifty may enter into consolidation ROYAL ORCHIED 86 128 49%
zone but with consolidation volatility will increase
EON ELECTRIC 64 95 48%
so don't trade without stop loss in coming days.
As per Astro view due to Chandra grahandt JMC PROJECT 246.45 361 46%
7th August and due to forth coming Surya RDB RASAYAN 47 68 45%
grahandt 21st August, till Diwali big volatility likely
in market. So don't trade or invest without strict ONWARD TECHNO 75 108 44%
stop loss till Diwali. AJMERA REALTY 177.2 252 42%
NIFTY :- For nextweek NIFTY has strong INDO AMINES 77.2 108.5 41%
support around 9640 levels. Break will take it to
MUNJAL AUTO 54.5 76.35 40%
9595/9545 levels. On the upper side NIFTY will
face strong hurdle at 9801 levels, cross over VINYL CHEM 70.75 97 37%
with volume and close above will create short AVT NATURAL 37.75 51 35%
covering at take NIFTY up to 9890 levels…
RCF 79 106.5 35%
BANK NIFTY :- For next week BANK
NIFTY has strong support around 23735 lev- PATSPIN INDIA 23 31 35%
els. Break will take it to 23525levels. On the GMR INFRA 16.6 22 33%
upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong hurdle
at 24190 levels, cross over with volume and
P G FOILS 124 161 30%
close above will create short covering at take JINDAL SAW 84 108 29%
BANK NIFTY up to 24325/24420 levels… MEGHMANI 44.4 57 28%
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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 27
SHORT TERM to MEDIUM TERM INVESTMENT IDEAS…
ECOPLAST LTD (526703)
(114) (Face Value Re.10)
Incorporated in 1981, Mumbai based Ecoplast Limited manufactures, processes, and sells co-
extruded plastic films for packaging, industrial, and other specialty applications worldwide. It offers
multilayer co-extruded polyethylene and co-polymer films. The company also provides lamination
films for various applications, including agro films, cosmetics and toiletries, food and beverages,
pharmaceuticals, medical/surgical products, cement packing, lube oils, easy peel seal films, masking
films and surface protection films, cable wraps, metalizing, pet foods, and auto industry, as well as
specialty applications. In addition, it offers surface protection films for substrates, such as stainless
steel, coated metals, aluminum composite panels, clean rooms, PVC/plastic, decorative laminates,
carpets, marble/tiles, and aluminum and PVC sections.
It has an equity base of just Rs.3crore that is supported by reserve of Rs.21.23crore. The Pro-
moters hold 66.38% while the investing public holds 33.62% stake in the company. Promoters
have increased their stake by 6.50% in last 2 years which is quite positive sign.
During FY17, its net profit falls 6.20% % to Rs.2.58crore on higher sales of Rs.105.19crore
fetching an EPS of Rs.8.61. Currently, the stock trades at a P/E of just 12.8x. It has declares 12%
dividend for FY17.
Stock is looking safe & strong at current level. Promoters have bought shares in every quarter
which is positive. Investors can watch this stock keeping stop loss of Rs.90. On the upper side
stock will zoom up to Rs.135-140 levels in medium term while it can zoom up to Rs.200 levels in
long term.

Buy newlylisted Cochin shipyard at cmp and at every dips with


support of 493 and stoploss of 475 for target of 592 to 619 by
December end

Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members
may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his
dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website.
Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or
down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable &
authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on &
conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for
any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or
financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 28
Primary Market - Dilip K. Shah

Despite higher valuation majority of the listed companies witnesses 'Premiums'


Two NSE IPO- Geekway Wires and Servotech Power to open this week
Apex Frozen Foods' mainline IPO with price band of Rs171 to 175 will open on August 22
Cochin Shipyard skyrocketed after listing, while SIS (I) falls flat on ground
Morbi-based Lexus Granito's IPO gets robust response from the investors: Subscription touches high level
Last week five SME IPOs get listed: Two witnessed 20% spurt, one remained flat and one in discount
Lexus Granito subject to rates in grey market touched Rs21,000: Now at Rs17,000
What next after listing of Cochin Shipyard and SIS (I)
IRDA to take call on HDFC Life IPO at its meeting on August 28
Kosmattam's NCDs issue gets 1.5 times subscription: It closed ahead of scheduled date
Have Servotech Power and Geekway Wires NSE IPO got fully subscribed?
Total Trans. and Captain Tech. got listed at 20% premium but crumbled after listing
New India Insurance's Rs10500 crore IPO will be the biggest ever IPO of finance sector
Reliance Capital will submit documents for its mutual fund arm's IPO
GIC RE files papers with Sebi for Rs6000 crore IPO
Aster DM Healthcare company approaches Sebi once again with curtailing the issue size
Last week Cochin Shipyard issue gave good return to the investors but SIS (I) issue disappointed.
On the one hand, having touched 10,000 mark Nifty is in correctin APEX FROZEN Foods
mode with plunging 350 points, while Sensex has plunged by 1100 Retailers may apply
Price Band Rs. : 171 to 175
points. On the other hand, investors are reaping benefits in primary Bid Lot : 80 Shares
Shares Amt. Shares Amt.
market. Despite higher valuation, the high profitability will benefit the 80 14,000 640 1,12,000
investors in the long run. 160 28,000 720 1,26,000
240 42,000 800 1,40,000
* Last week's mainboard and SME issue listing:- 320 56,000 880 1,54,000
SIS (I) (540673) :- The IPO got listed on August 10. It got listed at 400 70,000 960 1,68,000
480 84,000 1040 1,82,000
Rs875 which shows 8% premium on the offer price of Rs815. After 560 98,000 1120 1,96,000
listing it went up to Rs878 and down to Rs849 and ultimately got closed Subscription Figure of
at discounted rates of Rs756. On Friday, the stock closed at Rs770. It Kosamattam Finance
Category No of Bonds Subscribed
is advisable to encash the shares. Reserved (X)
Cochin Shipyard :- The issue with offer price of Rs432 got listed at i) Institutions 110000 0.00
ii) Corporate 440000 1.12
nominal premium of 0.69% and afterwards touched Rs522 and came iii) Retail 550000 2.10
Total 1100000 1.50
down to Rs435 before closing at Rs522. It is believed that majority of
the shares have been bought by well-to-do families. So it is advisable Listing Information of
to hold on the stocks till Diwali as it is likely to touch Rs600/700 level. SIS India IPO
* SME IPO Listing:- BSE Code 540673
Listing Date 10-8-2017
Captain Techno (BSE SME) (540652) :- The issue with fixed price
Offer Price 815.00
of Rs40 got listed on August 1 at price of Rs48, i.e. 20% premiums, Listing Price 875.00
went up to Rs48 and down to Rs47.80 before closing at Rs48. On LIsting Gain (%) 7.36%
Friday, the stock closed at Rs45. Listing Day High 878.00
Listing Day Low 749.00
Global Space Techno (BSE SME) (540654) :- The issue with offer
Listing Day Close 756.70
CMP (11-8-2017) 770.40
Financial Weekly

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13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 29
Main - line IPO (Non SME)
Sr Company Issue Open Dt. Issue size Offer price Min. Rs. 1,00,00 Rs. 2,00,000 Listing Lead Rating Remark
Issue Close Dt. (Rs. Cr.) (Rs.) App. Limit Limit Manager %
1. APEX Frozen 22-8-2017 87,00,000 Eq. Shares 171 to 175 80 Shares 560 Shares 1120 Shares BSE Karvy Next
Foods Ltd. 24-8-2017 (Rs. 152.25 Cr.) - (Rs.14,000) (Rs.98,000) (Rs.1,96,000) NSE Investment Week
(Book Building) Fresh Iss. : 72,50,000
OFS : 14,50,000 Eq. Sh.

Listing Information of SME IPO


Co. Name BSE Listing Offer Listing Listing Listing Listing Listing CMP
Code Date Price Price Gain Day Day Day
(Rs.) (Rs.) (%) High Low Close 11-8-17
Surevin BPO Services NSE SME 09-08-17 40 48 20% 48 38.3 40.2 40.00
Global Space Technologies 540654 07-08-17 66 66 0% 70 65 65.65 60.00
Captain Technocast 540652 01-08-17 40 48 20 % 48 47.8 48 45.00
Total Transport Systems NSE SME 07-08-17 45 54 20% 54 54 54 47.35
Keerti Knowledge NSE SME 07-08-17 52 51 -1.92% 52.4 49 51.22 43.25

price of Rs45 got listed with 20% premium and closed at Rs54. On Cochin Shipyard IPO
Friday, the stock closed at Rs47.35. Basis of Allotment
CategoryShares Ratio CategoryShares Ratio
Keerti Knowldege (NSE SME) :- The issue with fixed price of Rs51 Allotted Allotted
got listed at 1.9% discount and went up to Rs52.40 and down to Rs49 30 30 86 : 423 270 30 86 : 423
60 30 86 : 423 300 30 86 : 423
before closing at Rs51.22. On Friday, the stock closed at Rs43.25. 90 30 86 : 423 330 30 86 : 423
120 30 86 : 423
Surevin BPO (NSE SME) :- The issue with offer price of Rs40 got 360 30 86 : 423
150 30 86 : 423 390 30 86 : 423
listed at Rs48 (20% premium) and went down to Rs38.50 before clos- 180 30 86 : 423 420 30 86 : 423
210 30 86 : 423 450 30 86 : 423
ing at Rs40.20. On Friday, it closed at Rs40. 240 30 86 : 423 480 30 86 : 423
Last week's SME IPO subscription :- There were five SME issue
in the market out of them four were from NSE SME and one from BSE Listing Information of
SME platform. Cochin Shipyard IPO
BSE Code 540678
Lexus Granito (NSE SME) :- The issue with price band of Rs41- Listing Date 11-8-2017
45 opened on August 9 and closed on August 11. Rs25.92 crore is- Offer Price 432.00*
sue got 35.46 times subscription. It got 13.22 times subscription in Listing Price 435.00
QIB category, 64.96 times in NII and 39.01 times in retail category. It LIsting Gain (%) 0.69%
Listing Day High 522.00
has got 25000 bids worth Rs917 crore, which is a sort of record. There- Listing Day Low 435.00
fore, the issue may get listed with around 20% premiums. In the grey Listing Day Close 522.00
market subject to rates are quoted around Rs17000. CMP (11-8-2017) 522.00
Vaishali Pharma (NSE SME) :- The issue opened on august 7 and * Retail Discount : Rs. 21
(Offer Rs. 432-21 = 411)
closed on August 10. It got 1.87 times subscription.
Ashok Masala Mart (BSE SME) :- The issue opened on august 7 and closed on August 10. It
got 10.91 times subscription.
* SME IPOs of this week :- There is no SME IPOs this week, but two NSE SME IPOs that
opened last week will get closed this week.
Servotech Power Systems :- The issue of Rs15.13 crore with price of Rs31 opened on August
9 and will get closed on August 14. It has got 0.23 times subscription on the third day.
Geekay Wires :- The issue with fixed price of Rs33 opened on August 9 and get closed on
August 14. It has got 1.12 times subscription.
Financial Weekly

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13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 30
Non Convertible Debenture (NCD) Issues at a Glance
Sr Company Issue Open Bond size F.Value Min. Listing Rating Recomm.
Issue Close (Rs. Cr.) (Rs.) App.
4-8-2017 1,000/- 10 NCDs BSE IND BBB-
AVOID
1. Kosamattam 1-9-2017 (Rs. 110 Cr.) (Rs.10,000) NSE Outlook Stable
Finance Base : Rs. 110 Cr. Lead manager : A.K. Capital
+ (Retain Ovr. Sub. up to Edelweiss Capital
Rs. Rs. 220 Cr.) SPA Capital

NSE SME IPO


Sr Company Issue Open Dt. Issue size Offer price Minimum Rating Remark
Issue Close Dt. (Rs. Cr.) (Rs.) Applications Size %
1. Servotech 9-8-2017 48,80,000 Eq. 31 4000 Eq. Shares 39 % : Apply
Power Sys. 14-8-2017 (Rs. 15.13 Cr.) (Rs. 1,24,000) Short - Mid Term
2. Geekay 9-8-2017 33,32,000 Eq. 33 4000 Eq. Shares 32 % : Avoid
Wires Ltd. 14-8-2017 (Rs. 11.00 Cr.) (Rs. 1,32,000) Costly Bet

* Next week's issues :- Apex Frozon Subscription Figure of BSE SME IPO
Foods' mainline issue has been announced. SME IPOs Day Issue Date Subscirbed (X)
Geekay Wires NSE SME 3rd Day Subscribed 1.12
Apex Frozon Foods :- Rs152.25 crore Servotech Power NSE SME 3rd Day Subscribed 0.23
issue with price band of Rs171-175 will open Lexus Granito NSE SME Issue Closed on 11-8-2017 35.46
on August 22 and close on 24 August. The QIB (3.22x) ; NII (64.96x)
Retail (39.01x), Market Maker (1x)
company will offer 72.50 lakh fresh equity Vaishali Pharma NSE SME Issue Closed on 10-8-2017 1.87
shares and 14.50 lakh shares under OFS. Ashok Masala BSE SME Issue Closed on 11-8-2017 10.91

Lead manager is Karvy Investor and it will get listed in 'T' group. More Basis of Allotment of
analysis will be published next week. Surevin BPO Services
* NCDs issue :- Only debt issue in the market was Kosamattam's No. of Shares Applied 3000
No of Application 5072
Rs110 crore issue that opened on August 4. More details were pub- Total Eq. Shares
lished in the last week's edition. The issue has got 0% subscription in Applied 1,52,16,000
Proportionate
institution, 1.12 times in corporate and 2.10 time in retail category taking Shares Available 4,32,000
overall subscription to 1.50 times. Allocation per Appl. 85.17
* Insight into upcoming issues:- Ratio 9 : 317
Total no of Equity
New India insurance :- It will be the biggest issue from non-life insur- Shares Allotted 4,32,000
ance company in the India and also the biggest issue of finance sector. Surplus (Deficit) --
The company will offer shares under fresh equity issue and OFS in
Rs10,500 crore mega issue. It has filed DRHP with Sebi on Wednesday.
GIC RE :- The government owned General Insurance Company of India has submitted papers
with Sebi for Rs6000 crore issue. The company will offer 107.50 million shares of the Government
and 17.30 million shares of GIC RE so total 124.30 million shares will be offered.
* Reliance Mutual Fund IPO :- The company with 46.57% stake of Reliance Capital and 49%
stake of Nippon Life will file DRHP with Sebi for IPO.
HDFC Life IPO :- The company with 91800 crore AUM has approached IRDA for IPO permis-
sion and IRDA will take call at its meeting on August 28.
Aster DM Healthcare :- Hospital Chain and Private healthcare service provider company has
approached Sebi by curtailing its original issue size. Earlier the company wanted to offer 36 million
shares which has been cut down to 16.34 crore shares. The issue size will be Rs775 crore.
Crystal Crop :- Delhi based company plans Rs1000 crore IPO.
Financial Weekly

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INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 31
Smart Best Buy S. N. Zaveri

Bajaj Electricals : Consumer spending and Smar city projects will offer growth
Bharat Forge announced 1:1 bonus, grab it
Tata Motors : Worst seems to be over, Accumulate
Gulf Oil Lubricants : Make your portfolio smoth with this lubricant
HPCL: Merger with ONGC and new oil purchase policy from the US will be positive
Bajaj Electricals (Rs. 306.00) (Code : 500031) (F. V. : 2.00) :- A constituent
of the Shekhar Bajaj Group, Bajaj Electricals (BEL) is more than a 75-year-old consumer durable-
cum-engineering major, with interest in lighting, consumer durables and engineering and projects
(E&P).The wide range of kitchen and domestic appliances include mixers, water heaters, coolers,
induction cookers, toasters, kettles, microwaves, rice cookers, gas stoves, chimneys, non-electri-
cal kitchen aids, pressure cookers, stabilizers and water purifiers. The dominant player in small
appliances and enjoys leadership in mixers, water heaters and irons. Implementation of the Sev-
enth Pay Commission, increasing employment opportunities on heavy public spending, offering
ample growth opportunities to the consumer-facing businesses.The demand for Led luminaries is
expected to go up. The luminaries division, with its significant presence in this segment, is in a
sweet spot to exploit the opportunities. The smart city projects will offer more room for growth and
a tie-up has been entered into with Cisco of the US for smart outdoor lighting solutions and Gooee
of the UK for internet of things-enabled lighting systems.The stock is trading around Rs.330 level.
Buy in phased manner.
Bharat Forge (Rs. 1162.00) (Code : 500493) (F. V. : 2.00) :- Auto ancillary
company Bharat Forge reported solid performance in the quarter ended June 2017 and announced
the issue of bonus shares in the proportion of one bonus share for every share held. Its net profit
surged 43.4 percent year-on-year to Rs 175 crore on robust exports business. Revenues increased
31.4 percent to Rs 1,258 crore. Despite disruption in domestic automotive demand caused by GST
transition, domestic revenues were flat compared to previous year on the back of market share
gain and new product ramp up. Exports in Q1 grew by 64.6 percent to Rs 671.4 crore and domestic
business saw a growth of 5 percent at Rs 560.2 crore YoY. Operating profit grew by 36.4 percent to
Rs 333 crore and margin expanded by 70 basis points to 27.7 percent compared with same quarter
last year despite inflationary expenses.Meanwhile, Bharat Forge has secured its maiden order
from Ministry of Defence to supply 1,050 dual technology detection equipment. This order worth
Rs 201.60 will be manufactured in India and will be concluded within two years. The stock has
corrected even after 1:1 bonus announced due to overall market correction. Grab this opportunity
to enter into this counter.
Tata Motors (Rs. 374.00) (Code : 500570) (F. V. : 2.00) :- Tata Motors Ltd
posted a 42% rise in quarterly profit last week. Profit was Rs 3,182 crore in the first quarter ended
June 30, compared with Rs 2,236 crore a year earlier.Its total income fell about 10% to Rs 59,972
crore versus Rs 66,339 crore a year ago.The company made a one- time gain of Rs 3,609 crore
related to the changes made to Jaguar Land Rover pension plans.Volume sales, including exports
of commercial and passenger vehicles for the quarter stood at 1,11,860 units, down 11.8%. On a
standalone basis, Tata Motors posted loss of Rs 467.05 crore for the June quarter of 2017-18
fiscal. It had registered a profit of Rs 25.75 crore in the same period of 2016-17.Total income from
operations on a standalone basis during the quarter was at Rs 10,375.32 crore as compared to Rs
11,434.91 crore in the year-ago period, down 9.26%.British arm JLR reported a revenue of 5.6
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 32
billion pounds, up 244 million pounds. Worst seems to be over for the company and the stock has
been punished much more than expected. It is worth accumulation.
Gulf Oil Lubricants (Rs. 808.00) (Code : 538567) (F. V. : 2.00) :- Gulf Oil has
progressed from a B2B player to a premium lubes company over past 7-8 years. Balanced ap-
proach to B2B and B2C segments has led to strong volume growth at firm margin. Product portfolio
covers entire gamut of auto lubes, with no product gaps.Gulf is expected to gain market share on
new product launches (in two-wheelers/cars), OEM tie-ups and brand building. Gulf Oil’s core
volumes grew 7% YoY in Q1FY18 (vs. 10% normal growth) even as GST-led destocking led to 10-
15% volume degrowth for peer lubricant players. Volumes are likely to pick up from Aug ’17, which
will further help Gulf’s volume growth and margin (operating leverage). EBITDA margin rose to Rs
23.7/ltr in Q1FY18 (FY17: Rs 21.2/ltr) partly benefitted by price hike taken in May ‘17. Balance
sheet remains strong with net cash at Rs 1.4 bn (RoCE adj. for cash at ~85% vs. unadjusted RoCE
at 42%).
HPCL (Rs. 428.00) (Code : 500104) (F. V. : 10.00) :- Hindustan Petroleum
Corporation Ltd. has gained the most among state-run oil refiners and marketers in the last six
sessions, driven by its proposed merger with ONGC and quarterly earnings. HPCL rose 22 per-
cent during the period, compared to Indian Oil Corporation Ltd.’s 17 percent and Bharat Petroleum
Corporation Ltd.’s 11 percent.Better-than-expected earnings for the quarter ended June, higher
refining margins, a stronger rupee and high crude prices have also aided HPCL’s performance.That
has helped the oil refiner outperform peers year to date, gaining 56 percent. IOC has risen 33
percent and BPCL 25 percent so far this year. Meanwhile, HPCL plans to buy low-sulphur oil from
the United States in the next few months for its 166,000 barrel per day (bpd) Vizag refinery in
southern India. HPCL reported a 56 percent drop in net profit for the fiscal first quarter on Friday, as
inventory losses dragged down its refining margins.Net profit for the quarter ended June 30 came
in at 9.25 billion rupees ($145.26 million), from 20.98 billion rupees a year earlier.The stock has
strong momentum. Buy.

(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)


* Disclosure :- The author has not brought / sold any stock advised in this news paper during last one month • All stocks rates / indices on
11th August 2017 unless specified o Stoploos is useful for Short - Medium term investors only
* Disclaimer :- • Smart Investment will not be responsible / for any loss arising out of investment based on its recommendation. • Though,
every care has been taken, we will not responsible for any errors / omissions o All disputes are subject to Ahmedabad jurisdictioner
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 33
Nayan Patel
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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 34
Dalal Street Whispers - Dilip K. Shah

Jagran Prakashan (Rs. 173.00) (Code: 532705) :- The company has reported strong advertis-
ing growth for June quarter. Centrum has given a 'Buy' rating on the stock with a target price of Rs.
245, while ICICI Direct has given a target price of Rs. 210.
HCC (Rs. 33.00) (Code: 500185) :- Hindustan Construction Company has bagged a Rs. 810
crore order for a hydro power plant in Kashmir.
63 Moons Techno (Rs. 64.00) (Code: 526881) :- The company has reported very good num-
bers for the June quarter. Net sales for the quarter rose by 265%, and net profit was up by 250%.
The trading volume in the share has shot up by 17 times, while the shares are hitting the upper
circuit.
Ashok Leyland (Rs. 102.00) (Code: 500477) :- The company has reported good growth in
vehicle sales. It has recently received a Rs. 20 crore order from a domestic logistics company.
Ashiana Housing (Rs. 173.00) (Code: 523716) :- The June quarter results were better than
market expectations. Leading brokerages have upgraded the share. The interest in the stock is
expected to go up in the coming days.
BLS Intl (Rs. 180.00) (Code: 540073) :- The company reported 300% jump in net profit and
56% rise in income for the June quarter. Both trading volumes and share prices have gone up.
Shivam Auto (Rs. 63.00) (Code: 532776) :- Shivam Auto is a subsidiary of Hero Motors. The
delivery-based trading volumes in the stock are as high as 58%.
Talbross Auto (Rs. 182.00) (Code: 505160) :- The company's board will meet on August 23,
and is likely to announce strong June quarter results and also a bonus issue. As against sectoral
PE of 36, Talbross Auto's share is trading at PE of 14 and is attractively priced.
Seamec (Rs. 159.00) (Code: 526807) :- This shipping sector company is expected to report
turnaround results for June quarter, which has led to some movement in the stock.
RCI Industries (Rs. 163.00) (Code: 537254) :- This commercial trading company is benefiting
from the increase in copper prices in international markets.
Tinplate (Rs. 127.00) (Code: 504966) :- It is expected to report strong Q1 numbers. It is likely to
be merged with a bigger company as a part of Tata Group's consolidation moves.
Snowman Logistics (Rs. 48.00) (Code: 538635) :- As per the government's plans, heavy ve-
hicles will now not be required to wait at toll nakas. Such a move would reduce the company's fuel
cost by as much as 20%. A positive decision is likely in the next meeting of GST Council.
Nitco Tiles (Rs. 58.00) (Code: 532722) :- Lower gas prices are helping the company's margins.
This will be visible in the quarter results. It is also expected to benefit from the 'Housing for All'
scheme.
Veto Switchgears (Rs. 98.00) (Code: 539331) :- From Rs. 150, the company's shares rose to
touch a high of Rs. 230. However, the stock has corrected from those levels. However, the share is
expected to bounce back quickly as market punters have acquired a large number of shares through
delivery-based trades.

Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short /
Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may
not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 35
High Risk High Return Shares - Dilip K. Shah

Indian Nippon (Rs. 781.00) (Code: 532240) :- The share of this auto parts manufacturer has
surged two times from the 52-week low to touch all-time high. Experts say the share could touch
Rs. 800 in the short term.
MCX (Rs. 1,040.00) (Code: T534091) :- The Exchange is likely to launch Gold Options Con-
tract in October. It is believed that SEBI has given permission for the same.
Heritage Foods (Rs. 1,218.00) (Code: 519552) :- The board of this packaged foods company
has approved splitting of Rs. 10 equity shares into two shares of Rs. 5 each. The board also ap-
proved setting up of a Greenfield plant along with France's Novandie SNC.
Jubilant Food (Rs. 1,296.00) (Code: 533155) :- Jubilant Food operates chain of Domino's
Pizza and Dunkin Donuts in the country. The company will invest Rs. 100 crores over the next 12
months to expand its presence.
PVR (Rs. 1,280.00) (Code: 532689) :- In a bid to divest all non-core assets and to focus on its
core cinema exhibition business, multiplex operator PVR has entered into an agreement with
Smaash Entertainment to sell its premium bowling and entertainment format BluO Entertainment.
The deal has been struck for Rs. 86 crores.
MOIL (Rs. 340.00) (Code: 533286) :- The PSU has reported fantastic numbers for the first quar-
ter. Net profit jumped by 107%, while income was up by 86%. The EBIDTA also surged by five
times. It has also declared bonus issue in 1:1 ratio.
Infosys (Rs. 987.00) (Code: 500209) :- The poor results of TCS had hit IT stocks. Expectations
were low from the numbers of Infosys too, but the company gave strong guidance for rupee and
dollar revenues. It also projected higher EBIDTA margin. The stock is on the radar of the market.
Centrum Capital (Rs. 58.00) (Code: 501150) :- ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund acquired 21 lakh
shares of this merchant banker in bulk deals at Rs. 51 per share, putting the stock on the radar of
investors.
Century Textiles (Rs. 1,176.00) (Code: 500040) :- Momentum is being seen in the counter for
the past few days. Experts say that the company is likely to make some major announcements in
the near future.
Quess Corp (Rs. 866.00) (Code: 539978) :- The RBI has hiked the investment limit by FIIs and
FPIs from 24% to 74%. RBI has also hiked the foreign investment limit for Ramkrishna Forging
from 24% to 49%. This will enable foreign investors to buy more shares of the two companies.
Voltamp (Rs. 1,068.00) (Code: 532757) :- This heavy electrical equipment manufacturer will
announce its June quarter results on August 12. Aggressive buying is being seen in the stock in
anticipation of strong numbers.
Flex Foods (Rs. 114.00) (Code: 523672) :- This other agri products company has reported two
times jump in net profit for June quarter. Big market players are taking positions in the stock. The
share is likely to show bullish trend in the coming days.
Vinati Organics (Rs. 974.00) (Code: 524200) :- Along with its quarterly results, the company's
board is also likely to announce buyback plan. The share is likely to remain in focus.

Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short /
Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may
not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 36
Lt Col Ajay
Astromoneyguru says 09414056705, 9887056704

Geo-political tension ease and stock market up


As per Col Ajay CEO Www.ajay astromoneyguru.com 2nd week of August 2017 (14-18 August)
is represented by planet known as Jupiter and year 2017 is represented by planet as Sun.
Important planet Mercury will turn retrograded while Sun & Mars, Rahu and Mercury are making
conjunctions.
It is also important to note that Mercury and Rahu both planets are in retrograded conditions
during week.
As per Astro economics all these planets may bring positive movement in Indian stock market.
Please refer to my previous article, recommended stocks have seen good upward move in spite
of deep corrections in stock market
Geo- political tension was developing between North Korea and US. As per planets Geo-politi-
cal tension may ease positive effort may be seen in Global stock market.
Following stocks may be kept under observations -
(1) Hind copper (2) Hind Zinc (3) Power grid corp. (4) NTPC
Copper may see fresh buying interest in commodity market.
You may follow me at face book for daily recommendation and market views.
The above analysis is base on fundamental analysis and financial astrology. Risk management
is mandatory tool in stock and commodity market
Col Ajay Astromoneyguru
Mobile 9414056705
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 37
Senior Astrologer
Dharmesh Joshi
Mob. : 9909941816
E-mail :
stockmarket@ganeshaspeaks.com

Sensex Predictions : Dt. 14th August to 18th August

Please consider 10 minutes plus and minus in each prediction, and act accordingly. Ganesha
advises you to compare every prediction with the prediction of the previous time slot. Please order
your copy of the 2017-18 Stock Market Predictions Book at the

14-08-2017 Monday :- Tomorrow 15-?8-2?17 will be a holiday on account of Indepen-


dence Day. Hence, avoid taking any position. You witnessed our perfect prediction about Sun
Pharma. This was already mentioned in our book on page number 62. Due to the lunar eclipse of
7-8-2o17, last week's trend was soft or negative. This was already conveyed by Ganesha in our
weekly and monthly file. Opening till initial 3o minutes, avoid trading. 9.45 to 11.35 Nifty will main-
tain its strength. 11.35 till closing bell, if it is not essential, avoid trading as this period is boring,
says Ganesha.

15-08-2017 Tuesday :- The market will remain closed today on account of Independence
Day.

16-08-2017 Wednesday :- The market trend will be on one side, as Moon-Mercury-


Jupiter and Sun-VenusMars are together. 9.15 to 11.35 overall view will be OK or slightly upwards.
11.35 to 14.35 Nifty will be very boring and go down. 14.35 to 15.3o a technical bounce at Nifty is
foreseen by Ganesha, before one week.

17-08-2017 Thursday :- The Sun will change signs today, and move into its own sign.
Do Intraday within your capacity and for the amount you can take delivery. Around 9.3o buy Nifty
and around 1o.3o take an exit. Around 11.25 sell Nifty and exit on earning a profit of 2 rupees.
Around 13.25 sell Nifty and around 14.25 exit.

18-08-2017 Friday :- Don't take a blind risk, as Moon and Rahu are together today. Pre-
opening to 9.3o just don't go to the market. 9.3o to 11.3o Nifty will go up. 11.3o to 14.45 Nifty will be
mixed to down. 14.45 to 15.3o Nifty will follow the Asian markets, which shall be positive.
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 38
REVIEW OF “SMART PLUS NEWS LETTER”
Amazing 18% RETURN SMART GAIN
FOR SMART INVESTORS
Company Reccom. Weekly Ch. Company Reccom. Weekly Ch.
7-8-17 High (%) 7-8-17 High (%)
TBZ 110 113 2.73 Sunteck Realty 249 261 4.82
Subros 238 249 4.62 KEC Intl. 298 306 2.68
Water base 110 121 10 Sona Koyo 112 118 5.36
Kothari Pr. 188 194 3.19 Bharat Ele. 171 183 7.02
Man Infra 65 68 4.62 KRBL 454 480 5.73
Essel Propack 245 255 4.08 Tech Mahindra 408 414 1.47
Mahanagar Gas 1024 1088 6.25 Reliance Capital 743 817 9.96
UPL 884 893 1.02 PFC 128 139 8.59
M & M Fin. 423 434 2.6 Adani Enterprise 138 141 2.17
Eicher Motors 31637 32464 2.61 Felx Foods 132 136 3.03
Sobha Ltd. 386 394 2.07 Crompton Greaves 213 223 4.69
Tata Elxsi 1698 1753 3.24 Delta Corp. 165 178 7.88
Bajaj Fin. 1723 1830 6.21 Seamec 179 194 8.38
TCPL Packging 635 665 4.72 NOCIL 138 143 3.62
Hero Moto 3959 4019 1.52 NMDC 121 130 7.44
Century Tex. 1222 1291 5.65 Kothari Products 190 194 2.11
Kaveri Seeds 687 708 3.06 Trident 85 87 2.35
Jamna Auto 261 293 12.26 Vrinchi 90 92 2.22
Birla Corp. 953 980 2.83 Triveni Engg. 97 107 10.31
Motherson Sumi 336.1 343 2.05 JSPL 139 148 6.47
Alpha Geo 879 900 2.39 NTC Ind. 62 72 16.13
Avantee Feeds 1783 1850 3.76 Sail 62 64 3.23
Kansai Nerolac 444 457 2.93 Rural Electrification 173 184 6.36
PC Jew. 258 306 18.6 MRPL 129 140 8.53
I. G. Petro 449 465 3.56 PTC India Fin. 40 41 2.5
J K Tyres 160 167 4.38 J K Paper 90 97 7.78

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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 40

Editor : Dilip K. Shah

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Disclaimer :- Investment recommendations made in Smart Investment are for information
purposes only and derived from source that are deemed to be reliable but their accuracy and
completeness are not guaranteed. Smart Investment or the analyst / writer do not accept any
liability for the use of this column for the buying or selling of securities. Readers of this column
who buy or sell securities based on the information in this column are soley responsible for their
actions. The author, his company or his acquaintance may / may not have positions in the scrips
featured herein
Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 41
D(en)O(f)W(ealth)
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Financial Weekly

SMART
INVESTMENT
13th August 2017 to 19th August 2017 42
Grand Success Story of
D(en)O(f)W(ealth) : Dow Scheme
Date Stock Reco. Target Achieved Return Date Stock Reco. Target Achieved Return

Rate (Rs.) Rate (%) Rate (Rs.) Rate (%)

3rd June-16 J M FIN 47 56-59-65 132 181% 5th Jan 17 MAGNGALORE CHEM 48.2 55-60 82 70%

9th June-16 BAJAJ ELE 232 300 387.4 67% 6th Jan 17 INDO RAMA 34.25 36-37 42.6 24%

20th June-16 GAEL 58 75-85 153 164% 11th Jan 17 TRIDENT 62.5 75-100 92 47%

24th June-16 IOL CHEM 136 175-275 156 15% 13th Jan 17 PITTI LAMINATIONS 60 63-65 69.85 16%

1st July 16 IL&FS TRANS 78.5 95-105 124.8 59% 20th Jan 17 SUPER CROP SAFE 136 225 163 20%

7th Junly 16 NETWORK18 45.5 64-71 54.8 20% 27th Jan 17 IHTL 192 202 202 5%

15th July 16 SARDA ENERGY 141 180-200 296.2 110% 2nd Feb 17 SUBEX 10.6 13-14 12.35 17%

22nd July 16 AARTI IND 553 620-625 978 77% 6th Feb 17 BGR ENERGY 138.5 175 183.4 32%

28th July 16 MAGMA FIN 106 135-140 138 30% 6th Feb 17 LAURUS LAB 538 625 611 14%

3rd Aug 16 GARWARE WALL 453 535-540 849 87% 14th Feb 17 ATLANTA 83 105 120.45 45%

5th Aug 16 ION EXCHANGE 327 445-450 473.8 45% 16th Feb 17 PITTI LAMINATIONS 62 72-75 69.85 13%

12th Aug 16 IOL CHEM 137 175-275 156 14% 16th Feb 17 EON ELECTRIC 63.5 85-90 80 26%

18th Aug 16 SAMBANDAM SPI 113 130-140 152 35% 28th Feb 17 KWALITY 157 175-185 167.95 7%

22nd Aug 16 SUBEX 12.65 16.5-18.4 13.5 7% 1st Mar. 17 SPARC 339 370-385 357.4 5%

31st Aug 16 IDFC 58.25 70 71.3 22% 2nd Mar. 17 KOPRAN 71 83-95 102.45 44%

8th Sep 16 IRB INFRA 242 270-285 272.65 13% 8th Mar. 17 AJMERA REALTY 197 250-260 252 28%

8th Sep 16 TALBROS ENG 238 255-260 399.6 68% 10th Mar.-17 CORDS CABLE 81.5 84-86 111 36%

16th Sep 16 NOCIL 68 85 111.4 64% 15th Mar. 17 ADANI ENTER 99.5 115-120 160.7 62%

21st Sep 16 CONART ENG 40 48 58 45% 17th Mar.17 GUJ THEMIS 48 53-55 55.5 16%

23rd Sep 16 KEI IND 120.5 140-170 238 98% 17th Mar.17 SHILCHAR TECHNO 380 450-525 524.9 38%

29th Sep 16 DYNAMIC IND 60 70-75 82.9 38% 20th Mar.17 ELECTROSTEEL CAST 29.5 37-40 40.65 38%

29th Sep 16 GSFC 77 101 148.5 93% 24th Mar.17 ONWARD TECH 74.5 78-80 98.8 33%

5th Oct 16 MAGMA FIN 116 140 138 19% 24th Mar.17 AVT NATURAL 37 39.5-41 49.9 35%

19th Oct 16 JINDAL POLY 429 460-490 477 11% 29th Mar.17 SANKHYA INFO 58.5 70-75 60 3%

25th Oct 16 A2Z INFRA 40.75 50 52.65 29% 31st Mar.17 MOLD-TEK 53.5 55-56 56.8 6%

30th Oct 16 JENBRUKT PHARMA 482 700 572.5 19% 5th April-17 MTNL 25.75 31-35 27.1 5%

30th Oct 16 ADVANCED ENZ 2125 2700 2375.5 12% 6th April-17 SARDA ENERGY 258 300 277.7 8%

4th Nov 16 MAFATLAL IND 443 425-500 448 1% 13th April-17 WEIZMANN 524 560-570 648 24%

4th Nov 16 ABC BEARINGS 174 210-250 198 14% 20th April-17 COMPUCOM SOFT 17.5 19.5-20.5 18.1 3%

2nd Dec 16 MRPL 100 119-138-149 142.8 43% 21st April-17 ALEMBIC 46.7 55-61 51.7 11%

9th Dec 16 SONATA SOFT 164 195 224 37% 28th April-17 REL INFRA 595 700 620 4%

16th Dec 16 INDIA GLYCOL 137 180-200 203.9 49% 28th April-17 DAMODAR IND 95 100 99.5 5%

30th Dec 16 MADHAV MARBLE 59 64-66 79.5 35% 2nd May-17 VIPPY SPINPRO 50 55-56 47 -6%

30th Dec 16 ORIENT BEVERAGES 160 170-172 181 13% 2nd May-17 DEEP IND 332 400 343 3%

4th Jan 17 RAIN IND 56.5 70 122.8 117% 15th May-17 TALBROS AUTO 175 210 196.1 12%

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