PRUEBA 1 DE HOMOGENIEDAD

ORDEN CAMBIO O
AÑO HP mm
(m) SECUENCIA
1 1973 66.3
2 1974 62.5 SECUENCIA
3 1975 42.8 CAMBIO
El cambio se da cuando un valor varía con respecto a la media de HP
Tamaño de la muestra nf
Media de la muestra S=
Cambios C=
Secuencias S=
Secuencias-Cambio S-C

Con esta ecuación se comprueba si es o no homogénea

√ 𝑓 ( ) √ 𝑓

PRUEBA 2 DE HOMOGENIEDAD
Divido la muestra en dos conjuntos de tamaño n=1=n2=n/2
Tamaño de la submuestra (1) n1= 9.5
Media de la submuestra (1) x1 48.6
Desviacion estandar de la submuestra (1) s1 10.96
Tamaño de la submuestra (2) n2 9.5
Media de la submuestra (2) x2 52.2
Desviacion estandar de la submuestra (2) s2 15.918

Las estadisticos de prueba se definen con la expresion

td= -0.542

17 grados de libertad

0.6892 leido de la tabla

-0.542 0.6892

ES HOMOGENEA
Prueba Estadistica de CRAMER

Se divide en dos bloques el 60% y luego el 40% restante del total de datos

Tamaño de la muestra n= 19
Media de la muestra X= 50.3
Desviacion estandar de la muestra total S= 13.27

Tamaño del bloque 1 12

Media del Bloque 1 52.8
Desviacion estandar del bloque 1 14.06

Tamano del bloque2 8

Media del Bloque 2 46.1
Desviacion estandar del bloque 2 11.52
nj - Tamaño de la muestra total
nw- Tamaño de la muestra al 60% y 40%
P60- Media al 60%
0.185 P- Media muestra total
τ w-τ 60 -τ 40 -

0.32

t60 1.028
t40 1.157

1.0281 < 0.6892 1.157 < 0.6892

NO ES HOMOGENEEA NO ES HOMOGENEEA

Prueba de Anderson

1)
 ORDEN
AÑO HP mm
(m) X-Xm (X-Xm)^2
1 1973 66.3 16.0 254.99
2 1974 62.5 12.2 148.07
3 1975 42.8 -7.5 56.72
4 1976 52.0 1.7 2.78
5 1977 54.7 4.4 19.08
6 1978 47.7 -2.6 6.93
7 1979 29.5 -20.8 433.95
8 1980 45.4 -4.9 24.32
9 1981 37.9 -12.4 154.54
10 1982 47.5 -2.8 8.02
11 1983 68.0 17.7 312.17
12 1984 79.1 28.8 827.62
13 1985 35.8 -14.5 211.17
14 1986 43.9 -6.4 41.37
15 1987 40.6 -9.7 94.70
16 1988 35.3 -15.0 225.95
17 1989 43.4 -6.9 48.05
18 1990 58.2 7.9 61.91
19 1991 65.7 15.4 236.19

Xm 50.3 3168.54

2)
k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5 k=6 k=7 k=8 k=9 k=10
194.31 -120.27 26.642 69.757 -42.022 -332.647 -78.750 -198.513 -45.216 282.137
-91.65 20.30 53.157 -32.022 -253.487 -60.010 -151.273 -34.456 214.997 350.066

Para obtener los valores de k1, k2, k3 ,kn se multiplica k1:16*12.2=194 ; k1:12.2*-7.5=-91.5

Para obtener k2:16*-7.5=-120.27 ; k2: 12.2*1.7=20.3

3) Sumatoria de K1, K2, K3, Kn.

4)Hallamos Auxiliar de rk
∑𝑘
Se obtiene 𝑟𝑘 ∑(𝑋−𝑋𝑚)2

± 9 √ 𝑘
lim 𝑓
√ 𝑘
n= Numero de muestras
k Limite inferior rk Limite Superior
1 -2.14 0.26923 1.67
2 -2.14 -0.19078 1.66
3 -2.15 -0.22306 1.65
4 -2.15 -0.27626 1.64
5 -2.16 -0.45329 1.62
6 -2.16 0.02407 1.61
7 -2.17 0.30118 1.59
8 -2.17 0.07817 1.57
9 -2.18 0.04177 1.54
10 -2.18 0.20278 1.51

Para graficar

k=x

lim superior/inferiro =y
 Precipitación máxima anual [mm]
Pamx Pmax mm
Año 22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
1944 36.0
1945 28.0
1946 18.0
1947 16.0
1948 23.1
1949 16.2 39.8
1950 25.4 29.4
1951 19.1 54.8 50.0
1952 24.4 46.8 43.0
1953 23.4 106.3 66.0
1954 32.1 38.8 39.5
1955 25.2 48.0 47.0
1956 32.4 X 52.0
1957 21.2 40.0 34.0
1958 29.5 72.0 60.0
1959 18.2 46.0 45.0
1960 32.0 56.4 27.0
1961 15.6 72.5 31.5 58.0 34.0 6.0 35.8
1962 44.0 53.0 58.0 52.0 43.0 40.0 57.0 32.1
1963 47.0 X 66.0 64.0 52.0 35.5 41.9 62.0
1964 64.5 X 51.5 54.0 39.0 75.0 50.0 30.2
1965 95.8 X 48.2 40.5 68.0 40.0 38.2 57.4
1966 62.0 X 66.7 36.0 61.0 44.5 57.0 33.8
1967 90.0 X 44.3 55.0 45.0 X 38.1 62.8 44.0
1968 43.0 60.0 62.5 52.0 49.0 21.0 41.7 40.0 43.5
1969 60.0 73.4 43.8 75.5 64.0 32.0 35.0 X 73.5
1970 40.0 60.0 31.2 55.5 134.0 60.0 34.5 X 52.0
1971 46.5 79.0 49.3 54.5 104.0 31.0 34.2 X 53.0
1972 74.0 X 51.5 43.0 51.0 42.0 49.6 X 63.5
1973 29.5 X 67.2 90.5 55.0 74.5 66.3 45.0 56.0 85.0 40.5 56.0 171.0
1974 53.2 X 41.5 40.8 57.7 50.0 62.5 22.1 78.0 65.0 60.0 28.8 57.7 38.0
1975 X X 53.0 42.0 X 33.0 X 41.0 46.0 22.0 95.0 58.5 43.1 64.0
1976 46.5 X 62.5 90.0 68.4 82.0 52.0 80.0 46.0 54.4 69.5 59.0 45.4 63.5 66.0
1977 X X 85.0 34.5 80.0 58.0 54.7 38.0 63.0 62.3 67.5 68.0 31.0 28.4 44.0
1978 76.0 X 26.5 32.2 42.6 53.0 47.7 54.3 31.0 43.7 36.0 40.0 32.9 39.7 45.0
1979 X X 44.0 43.5 41.5 X 29.5 55.3 54.0 40.0 67.0 62.0 29.5 40.2 X
1980 X 59.0 X 90.0 39.3 56.0 45.4 36.0 38.0 27.0 37.0 64.0 38.5 35.2 38.5
1981 X 20.3 X 27.3 44.5 33.0 37.9 46.4 64.0 59.2 62.0 66.5 46.9 52.7 57.0
1982 45.0 50.0 X 50.5 59.5 45.0 47.5 47.0 33.0 39.3 30.5 60.5 40.5 41.5 35.2
1983 X 40.5 X 34.4 46.0 49.0 68.0 59.0 70.0 48.3 52.0 48.0 46.0 38.4 42.0
1984 X 51.4 46.0 60.0 51.2 58.0 79.1 25.0 61.0 36.0 42.0 65.0 44.4 31.5 50.0
1985 X X X X 57.3 65.0 X 44.0 90.0 50.0 50.0 44.7 35.5 45.8 27.0
1986 35.4 X X 70.0 42.0 66.0 X 48.3 28.0 40.0 20.0 65.0 28.3 41.0 33.0
1987 X 42.0 60.5 55.0 34.1 29.0 40.6 43.0 61.0 13.0 22.0 36.5 36.7 42.8 40.6
1988 X X 86.0 49.0 X 61.0 X 38.0 36.0 21.0 44.4 37.8 30.1 33.0 63.0
1989 48.6 X 40.6 70.5 X 21.4 43.4 X 35.0 7.2 40.1 49.5 40.2 52.2 36.0
1990 53.2 X 40.6 X X 50.5 X X 52.0 X 37.7 40.7 28.5 29.7 58.0
1991 X X 54.0 38.8 X 44.2 65.7 X 42.0 X 82.9 55.1 X 53.5 60.0
1992 X 37.3 57.1 62.0 X 68.1 X 36.0 18.3 53.4 48.8 2.8 57.0 X
1993 X 46.8 X 31.0 X 52.8 X 61.0 56.4 50.1 33.8 61.6 38.5 X
1994 X 56.4 41.0 X 39.3 X 38.0 X 39.4 32.5 50.8 36.5 60.0
1995 X X 48.0 X 77.2 X 53.0 52.4 55.5 43.0 X 56.0 60.0
1996 X 50.5 67.0 X 42.3 29.0 55.0 52.4 31.8 46.5 X 57.5 80.0
1997 X X 44.0 X 41.5 31.0 39.0 42.6 35.2 65.5 57.5 41.0 71.0
1998 X X 55.0 87.0 53.4 54.0 85.0 56.8 49.1 35.1 44.0 51.5 35.0
1999 X 33.0 65.5 X 46.7 77.0 43.0 32.6 54.8 70.1 26.1 35.0 X
2000 X 43.0 61.5 32.5 64.2 62.0 62.0 57.3 41.9 52.0 38.5 83.0 90.0
2001 X X 70.0 X 53.2 76.6 37.1 42.0 36.5 43.0 90.0
2002 58.0 X 44.5 70.2 69.0 47.6 104.0 29.0 51.0 X
2003 59.0 9.0 72.5 35.0 67.0 16.3 83.0 36.2 51.0 X
2004 54.0 X 61.5 86.0 38.0 53.6 70.0 33.5 X X
2005 X 46.0 X 25.0 X 55.6 96.0 22.6 X X
2006 56.0 X 57.5 33.0 46.0 43.2 37.0 X

22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
Años de registros 63 41 45 56 34 34 19 34 40 25 46 32 44 46 40
Años descartados 22 23 8 5 14 1 5 8 0 3 1 0 3 6 9
Años validos 41 18 37 51 20 33 14 26 40 22 45 32 41 40 31

22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
Media 41.9 51.6 52.6 51.4 53.7 52.0 52.9 48.9 55.0 41.4 45.0 57.5 39.0 45.5 57.5
Desv Estandar 20.28 14.81 16.49 16.38 14.9 16.36 13.81 15.89 21.09 15.82 17.17 18.47 11.24 11.90 26.60
CV 0.48 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.28 0.31 0.26 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.32 0.29 0.26 0.46

Para Cv= Desv/media

 Tabla. Matriz de relaciones ( Cv1/Cvi)^2 para cada pareja de estaciones
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
(cv/cv)^2 22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
22001 1 2.84 2.39 2.31 3.07 2.37 3.44 2.23 1.60 1.60 1.61 2.27 2.82 3.42 1.10
22003 2.84 1 1.19 1.23 1.08 1.20 1.21 1.28 1.78 1.77 1.76 1.25 1.01 1.20 2.59
2209 2.39 1.19 1 1.03 1.28 1.01 1.44 1.07 1.50 1.49 1.48 1.05 1.18 1.43 2.18
22025 2.31 1.23 1.03 1 1.33 1.03 1.49 1.04 1.45 1.44 1.44 1.02 1.22 1.48 2.11
22028 3.07 1.08 1.28 1.33 1 1.29 0.89 1.38 1.92 1.91 1.90 1.35 1.09 1.12 2.79
22031 2.37 1.20 1.01 1.03 1.29 1 1.45 1.07 1.49 1.48 1.47 1.04 1.19 1.44 2.16
22032 3.44 1.21 1.44 1.49 1.12 1.45 1 1.55 2.15 2.14 2.13 1.51 1.22 1.00 3.13
22034 2.23 1.28 1.07 1.04 1.38 1.07 1.55 1 1.39 1.39 1.38 1.02 1.27 1.54 2.03
15069 1.60 1.78 1.50 1.45 1.92 1.49 2.15 1.39 1 1.01 1.01 1.42 1.77 2.15 1.45
15192 1.60 1.77 1.49 1.44 1.91 1.48 2.14 1.39 1.01 1 1.00 1.42 1.76 2.13 1.46
15002 1.61 1.76 1.48 1.44 1.90 1.47 2.13 1.38 1.01 1.00 1 1.41 1.75 2.12 1.47
15187 2.27 1.25 1.05 1.02 1.35 1.04 1.51 1.02 1.42 1.42 1.41 1 1.24 1.51 2.07
15026 2.82 1.01 1.18 1.22 1.09 1.19 1.22 1.27 1.77 1.76 1.75 1.24 1 1.21 2.57
13083 3.42 1.20 1.43 1.48 1.12 1.44 1.00 1.54 2.15 2.13 2.12 1.51 1.21 1 3.12
13076 1.10 2.59 2.18 2.11 2.79 2.16 3.13 2.03 1.45 1.46 1.47 2.07 2.57 3.12 1

Tabla Matriz [ ( Años de numerador / Años denominador ara la prueba de fisher años grados de libertad fraccion valor texto
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
(cv/cv) 22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
22001 41/41 41/18 41/37 41/51 41/20 41/33 41/14 41/26 41/40 41/22 41/45 41/32 41/41 41/40 41/31
22003 41/18 18/18 37/18 51/18 18/20 33/18 18/14 26/18 40/18 22/18 45/18 32/18 41/18 18/40 31/18
2209 41/37 37/18 37/37 51/37 37/20 33/37 37/14 26/37 40/37 22/37 45/37 32/37 37/41 37/40 31/37
22025 41/51 51/18 51/37 51/51 51/20 51/33 51/14 26/51 40/51 22/51 45/51 32/51 51/41 51/40 31/51
22028 41/20 18/20 37/20 51/20 20/20 33/20 20/14 26/20 40/20 22/20 45/20 32/20 41/20 20/40 31/20
22031 41/33 33/18 33/37 51/33 33/20 33/33 33/14 26/33 40/33 22/33 45/33 32/33 33/41 33/40 31/33
22032 41/14 18/14 37/14 51/14 20/14 33/14 14/14 26/14 40/14 22/14 45/14 32/14 41/14 40/14 31/14
22034 41/26 26/18 26/37 26/51 26/20 26/33 26/14 26/26 40/26 22/26 45/26 26/32 26/41 26/40 31/26
15069 41/40 40/18 40/37 40/51 40/20 40/33 40/14 40/26 40/40 40/22 40/45 40/32 40/41 40/40 31/40
15192 41/22 22/18 22/37 22/51 22/20 22/33 22/14 22/26 40/22 22/22 22/45 22/32 22/41 22/40 31/22
15002 41/45 45/18 45/37 45/51 45/20 45/33 45/14 45/26 40/45 22/45 45/45 45/32 45/41 45/40 31/45
15187 41/32 32/18 32/37 32/51 32/20 32/33 32/14 26/32 40/32 22/32 45/32 32/32 32/41 32/40 31/32
15026 41/41 41/18 37/41 51/41 41/20 33/41 41/14 26/41 40/41 22/41 45/41 32/41 41/41 41/40 31/41
13083 41/40 18/40 37/40 51/40 20/40 33/40 40/14 26/40 40/40 22/40 45/40 32/40 41/40 40/40 31/40
13076 41/31 31/18 31/37 31/51 31/20 31/33 31/14 31/26 31/40 31/22 31/45 31/32 31/41 31/40 31/31

Valores aproximados de la prueba de fisher para significancia del 99% "obtenido de la tabla de prueba de fisher"
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
22001 2.11 2.84 2.15 2.01 2.69 2.22 3.27 2.42 2.11 2.58 2.06 2.3 2.11 2.11 2.22
22003 2.84 3.14 2.84 2.79 3.01 2.9 3.58 2.98 2.84 3.04 2.82 2.91 2.84 2.44 2.92
2209 2.15 2.84 2.11 2.05 2.71 2.2 3.3 2.27 2.11 2.37 2.11 2.2 2.11 2.11 2.2
22025 2.01 2.79 2.05 1.95 2.65 2.24 3.22 2.17 2.01 2.27 1.99 2.1 2.09 2.05 2.1
22028 2.69 3.01 2.71 2.65 2.94 2.75 3.51 2.84 2.69 2.92 2.67 2.78 2.69 2.37 2.78
22031 2.22 2.9 2.2 2.24 2.75 2.39 3.33 2.4 2.24 2.49 2.23 2.33 2.2 2.2 2.39
22032 3.27 3.58 3.3 3.22 3.51 3.33 3.52 3.41 3.27 3.49 3.25 3.34 3.27 3.27 3.35
22034 2.42 2.98 2.27 2.17 2.84 2.4 3.41 2.6 2.42 2.65 2.4 2.45 2.27 2.27 2.5
15069 2.11 2.84 2.11 2.01 2.69 2.24 3.27 2.42 2.11 2.58 2.05 2.26 2.11 2.11 2.2
15192 2.58 3.04 2.37 2.27 2.92 2.49 3.49 2.65 2.58 2.83 2.32 2.51 2.37 2.23 2.67
15002 2.06 2.82 2.11 1.99 2.67 2.23 3.25 2.4 2.05 2.32 2.05 2.28 2.11 2.11 2.15
15187 2.3 2.91 2.2 2.1 2.78 2.33 3.34 2.45 2.26 2.51 2.28 2.39 2.2 2.2 2.39
15026 2.11 2.84 2.11 2.09 2.69 2.2 3.27 2.27 2.11 2.37 2.11 2.2 2.11 2.11 2.2
13083 2.11 2.44 2.11 2.05 2.37 2.2 3.27 2.27 2.11 2.23 2.11 2.2 2.11 2.11 2.2
13076 2.22 2.92 2.2 2.1 2.78 2.39 3.35 2.5 2.2 2.67 2.15 2.39 2.2 2.2 2.39

Leer en la tablas al 0.01

Si el valore de la relación es inferior al de la tabla se acepta la hipótesis de que la muestra
perteneces a la misma población ejm.= 2.39 < 2.15 por lo tanto va “NO”

Resultados de la Prueba de Fisher( No: pareja de estaciones que no superan la prueba)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
22001 22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026 13083 13076
22001 NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
22003 NO
2209 NO
22025 NO NO
22028 NO NO
22031 NO
22032 NO
22034
15069 NO
15192
15002 NO
15187
15026 NO NO
13083 NO NO NO NO
13076 NO NO NO NO

Se saca el promedio de las estaciones validas

22003 2209 22025 22028 22031 22032 22034 15069 15192 15002 15187 15026
PROMEDIO 51.56 52.63 51.42 53.73 52.02 52.88 48.92 55.00 41.37 44.98 57.49 38.99

Se divide cada valor parcial para el promedio

Se tabula.