Introduction

This file is provided for those who do not have access to Excel's Data Analysis ToolPak.

This file includes worksheets containing regressions for the Hotel Kahana's occupancy problems.
For your convenience, an index is provided below listing which worksheet to consult at various
stages of the study.

Index
Clip
Complete Data Set
The Staffing Problem (II)
Solving the Staffing Problem (II)
The Staffing Problem (III)
Solving the Staffing Problem (III)
Worksheet
Kahana Occupancy Data
Occupancy vs. Bookings
Occupancy vs. Arrivals
Occupancy vs. Arrivals, Bookings
Occupancy vs. Arrivals, Bookings
Occupancy vs. Lagged Arrivals
Occupancy vs. Lagged Arrivals, Bookings
Occupancy vs. Lagged Arrivals, Bookings, Promotions
Occupancy vs. Promotions
Occupancy vs. Lagged Arrivals, Bookings
Occupancy vs. Bookings
Occupancy vs. Arrivals

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 Kahana Occupancy Data

Kahana Kauai Arrivals Kahana Advance 12-month Lagged Excelsior

Period Occupancy per Day Bookings Arrivals Promotions
Jan-99 308 2,622 200 * 1
Feb-99 471 3,189 250 * 0
Mar-99 399 3,022 250 * 1
Apr-99 373 3,003 175 * 0
May-99 380 2,890 185 * 0
Jun-99 373 3,080 180 * 1
Jul-99 484 3,418 300 * 1
Aug-99 438 3,184 250 * 0
Sep-99 399 2,702 250 * 0
Oct-99 477 3,358 285 * 0
Nov-99 367 2,898 200 * 0
Dec-99 276 2,538 170 * 1
Jan-00 315 2,499 255 2,622 1
Feb-00 393 3,092 200 3,189 0
Mar-00 471 3,045 300 3,022 0
Apr-00 419 3,019 200 3,003 0
May-00 432 2,963 240 2,890 0
Jun-00 438 3,312 205 3,080 0
Jul-00 451 3,424 315 3,418 1

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 Kahana Occupancy Data

Aug-00 458 3,168 265 3,184 0

Sep-00 406 2,852 250 2,702 0
Oct-00 425 3,044 210 3,358 1
Nov-00 328 2,423 260 2,898 1
Dec-00 295 2,640 185 2,538 1
Jan-01 328 2,490 260 2,499 0
Feb-01 393 3,093 300 3,092 1
Mar-01 419 2,948 270 3,045 0
Apr-01 367 2,695 305 3,019 1
May-01 386 2,797 250 2,963 1
Jun-01 432 3,452 250 3,312 0
Jul-01 438 3,313 275 3,424 1
Aug-01 471 3,217 305 3,168 0
Sep-01 250 2,102 150 2,852 1
Oct-01 354 2,405 280 3,044 1
Nov-01 282 2,238 175 2,423 0
Dec-01 295 2,297 185 2,640 1

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 Occupancy v Bookings

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6242
R2
0.3896
Adjusted R 2
0.3716
Standard Error 50.77
Observations 36

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 1 55,922 55,922 21.70 0.0000
Residual 34 87,623 2,577
Total 35 143,544

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 183.46 44.85 4.09 0.0002 92.31 274.61
Advance Bookings 0.86 0.18 4.66 0.0000 0.49 1.24

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 Occupancy v Arrivals

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8931
R2
0.7976
Adjusted R 2
0.7916
Standard Error 29.23
Observations 36

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 1 114,491 114,491 133.99 0.0000
Residual 34 29,053 855
Total 35 143,544

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept -72.08 40.10 -1.80 0.0811 -153.57 9.41
Kauai Arrivals 0.16 0.01 11.58 0.0000 0.13 0.19

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 Occupancy v Arrivals-Bookings

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9296
R2
0.8641
Adjusted R 2
0.8559
Standard Error 24.31
Observations 36

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 2 124,035 62,018 104.90 0.0000
Residual 33 19,509 591
Total 35 143,544

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept -101.35 34.14 -2.97 0.0055 -170.81 -31.90
Kauai Arrivals 0.14 0.01 10.73 0.0000 0.11 0.16
Advance Bookings 0.40 0.10 4.02 0.0003 0.20 0.60

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 Occupancy v Lagged Arrivals

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.7449
R2
0.5549
Adjusted R 2
0.5346
Standard Error 44.24
Observations 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 1 53,662 53,662 27.42 0.0000
Residual 22 43,049 1,957
Total 23 96,711

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept -116.29 96.20 -1.21 0.2395 -315.79 83.21
Lagged Arrivals 0.17 0.03 5.24 0.0000 0.10 0.24

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 Occ v LaggedArrivals-Bookings

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.7948
R2
0.6318
Adjusted R 2
0.5967
Standard Error 41.18
Observations 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 2 61,099 30,549 18.01 0.0000
Residual 21 35,612 1,696
Total 23 96,711

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept -131.58 89.85 -1.46 0.1579 -318.43 55.28
Lagged Arrivals 0.14 0.03 4.16 0.0004 0.07 0.21
Advanced Bookings 0.43 0.20 2.09 0.0486 0.00 0.85

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 Occupancy vs Promotions

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.4140
R2 0.1714
Adjusted R2 0.1470
Standard Error 59.15
Observations 36

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 1 24,606 24,606 7.03 0.01206
Residual 34 118,938 3,498
Total 35 143,544

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 413.37 13.57 30.46 0.0000 385.79 440.94
Excelsior Promotions -52.37 19.75 -2.65 0.0121 -92.50 -12.24

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 Occ v LaggedArrivals-Book-Promo

Dependent Variable: Kahana Occupancy (number of guests)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9258
R2
0.8572
Adjusted R 2
0.8357
Standard Error 26.28
Observations 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Signif. F
Regression 3 82,897 27,632 40.01 0.0000
Residual 20 13,814 691
Total 23 96,711

Coefficients Std. Error t-Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept -118.78 57.39 -2.07 0.0516 -238.49 0.93
Excelsior Promotions -60.38 10.75 -5.62 0.0000 -82.79 -37.96
Lagged Arrivals 0.14 0.02 6.72 0.0000 0.10 0.19
Advanced Bookings 0.45 0.13 3.42 0.0027 0.17 0.72

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