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July 2002
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AN APPROACH TO ERM IN
THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY
RAMA WARRIER & PREETI CHANDRASHEKHAR

ERM has made a considerable impact


on comprehensive risk management
strategy…

1. ABSTRACT 2. INTRODUCTION

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) is a An enterprise operating in the current
relatively new approach to managing global market operates under various
risks. ERM differs from the traditional risk pressures. Some of them are:
management method in its perspective of  reduced time-to-market
seeing the risk exposure as a whole rather  increased innovation to respond to
than in parts. The benefits of this growing customer demands
integrated mode of risk management have  leaner structures for greater profit
been well recognized now and we are margins
witnessing a clear drift towards this way Pressures like these are the drivers for the
of addressing risks. This paper is an desire of enterprises to stabilize their
attempt to explore the ERM options operations around the expectations which
available for managing risks of an they would have carefully set for various
insurance company. groups like shareholders, customers,
employees etc. The line dividing success
The concept of ERM, its objectives and the and failure is rather thin and hence
way to implement it are discussed in the recognizing and managing risks which
paper. The main focus is to develop a high may tilt the stability is a matter of great
level methodology for implementing ERM importance. There are various ways of
approach in an insurance company. defining risks. From an investment
perspective, risk can be defined as the

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variance of return. Or, it is a measure of techniques as well as in maintaining an
one’s inability to meet financial liabilities integrated risk approach for the enterprise
as and when they arise. For an enterprise, as a whole. ERM helps in getting and
risk needs to be defined at a broader level. defining a flexible mechanism to handle
Any issue, action or threat that affects the both financial and operational risks.
company’s ability to meet its business
objective and execute its strategies
successfully is called a risk. Risk could
also be defined as a distinct business
possibility with a relatively low
probability of occurrence, but with a
significant adverse impact on the
operation and goals fulfilment of an
organization. Another way of looking at
risk is "Risk is what could lead to the
unexpected scenario which is detrimental
to the smooth and efficient functioning of
an organization in its efforts to achieve
pre-set goals". Or, we could define risk as
any possible event that could undermine In a recent survey conducted by
shareholder's value. There are various Economist Intelligence Unit, the CEOs and
methods of addressing risks - avoid risks, senior finance executive of a wide range of
reduce their effect, and even convert risks organizations mentioned that 41% of them
into opportunities. manage risks using ERM techniques. And
nearly one-fifth is planning to move
towards it within a year. This success of
ERM in financial and non-financial
3. ERM – A ‘CORPORATE’ organizations confirms beyond reasonable
APPROACH doubts that ERM is the future approach
Enterprise Risk Management, called ERM, for risk management.
involves identifying, understanding and

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


mitigating the major risks to the success of
one’s business. The method allows the 4. OBJECTIVES
organization to have a comprehensive risk ERM essentially aims at defining a process
outlook and management method which by which an organization monitors and
integrates various elements and helps in deals with enterprise-wide risks to enable
optimizing the solution. The traditional it to meet its business objectives. The
Risk Management approach looks at the single objective of ERM is enhancing the
component risk exposures and designs a shareholder's value. This, when translated
mitigation method for each component to a comprehensive risk management
without really mapping it into the big program for an organization would mean
picture. ERM looks beyond this and achievement of the following objectives:
focuses on an integrated management Strategic Objectives:
process to address the entire range of risks  Improving capital efficiency
faced by the organization spanning from  Building investor confidence
operational to the political risks. Hitherto,  Pro-active (rather than reactive) risk
Risk Management used to take place as a management processes
"silos focused " activity. This method  Improve ability to respond to critical
severely curtailed the efficiency in / catastrophic risks
application of risk management Operational Objectives:

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 Standardizing understanding of risk services etc operate in silos and hence
across the organization having an integrated risk management
 More informed decision making method is essential. Another aspect which
 Converting risks into opportunities makes ERM a useful tool for insurance
 Establishing processes for stabilizing companies is the decision making process
results in the industry. Insurance decisions are
 Optimal allocation of resources for based on the highly dynamic information
risk mitigation pool. Unless there is an organization -level
approach to risk management, ensuring
that the decisions are optimal from the
risk management angle is impossible.
5. ERM IN INSURANCE – ITS
RELEVANCE
ERM has been found very useful and
effective by companies who have used it 6. STRATEGY FOR AN
to manage their primary risk exposures. EFFECTIVE ERM PROCESS
Insurance companies being risk carriers An effective ERM process for an insurance
need an even more integrated approach enterprise should integrate its non-
for risk management, as they are required insurance related activities with insurance
to manage secondary risks that yield less related ones resulting in a more
accurate impact analysis results. Insurance comprehensive and strategic approach.
companies the world over are operating in This means that over and above the
an environment of stiff competition and insurance related risks like strategic risks,
increased volatility. They are exposed to Legal risks, Political risks (including
higher risks of insolvency. Added to that terrorism risks) and Catastrophic risks, the
is the fact that there is additional pressure more general risks like technology risks
on technological innovation (expansion of should also be considered. The ERM cycle
e-commerce means that more and more could be modelled in four phases as
information is stored in the form of data shown in figure 2
thereby increasing technology risks). With  Identification phase
the expansion of operations of most  Quantification phase

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


insurers into new and emerging markets  Measurement and evaluation phase
with relatively lesser-known exposures  Management and Monitoring phase
and the simultaneous multiplication of the
complexity of risk exposures, the Essentially, the process entails developing
effectiveness of risk
management is growing in
relevance for the insurance
industry. Compared to many
other industries, insurance
industry has a very wide
range of operational
decision-makers at various
levels. Having a "risk
doctrine" with a clearly
defined direction is essential
to steer the organization in
the right path. Various
departments like
underwriting, claims, policy

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a Risk matrix at the enterprise level that and perhaps profit testing and
meshes together the risks identified with sensitivity analysis.
the acceptable level of risk. Such an  The technology that supports the
approach helps in crystallizing the risk company’s product development and
identification process and helps the management strategy should give it a
enterprise to map its risk management leading edge to reduce cycle time for
process to its business needs more introduction of new products and
effectively. changing business rules of existing
products.
 Deregulation in many South East
Identification Phase: Asian countries has brought in new
This phase entails identifying the various competitive pressures with increased
risks that an insurance company is pressure on margins for the existing
exposed to. After the risks have been players. e.g. in the Indian insurance
identified, they need to be prioritized to industry, some companies who have
arrive at a set of risk factors that are not traditionally been operating in
crucial to the business. The most suitable financial services have entered the
way of doing this is through interviews newly opened up insurance market.
with the management and any relevant  Globalization of the industry brings in
documentation that may be available. This new capital , best practices and
is better than verifying a checklist based business process know-how into the
on a preconceived idea of potential risk market.
factors. The risk should be such that it
should be material in preventing an
organization in meeting its goals. The Operational Risks :
risks can be broadly classified in the Another major area of risk exposure for
following categories: insurance companies is the operations.
The growing complexity of operations has
led to increase in the complexity in the
Marketplace risks: risk exposures as well. The important
The insurance company is exposed to categories of operational risk exposure are

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


various risks due to the environment in described below :
which it operates. The company has to  Technology Risks – With the
develop its market strategy keeping the dependency and investment in
various entities like its competitor, technology increasing in an
regulator etc. in mind. exponential pattern, one of the prime
 The company needs to develop a risk areas which require the attention
product management strategy that of the organization is technology
would reflect changing market and risks. Technology risk exposures
customer requirements. could vary from down-time of
 An efficient an effective Customer website which affects the image of the
Relationship Management strategy company and the service promises to
would enable to establish a profile for security risks which could jeopardize
customers and prospects to determine the whole organization. The potential
their insurance needs and also the risk exposures on the technology side
risks they are exposed to (occupation, are shown in the table given below.
financial strength, claims history etc.).
This information would enable the  Property risks : One of the primary
company to define new products, the risk exposures in operations is the
product specific underwriting rules property / fixed assets which are

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organization has to concentrate on
improving the efficiency of the HR
processes and management to curb
these risks.

International risks :
The operations of most of the major
players span over different countries,
required to run the business. This
which exposes them to a new set of
would include offices, business
political and market risks. The biggest
equipment, communication
perceived risk on account of international
infrastructure, computers etc. Several
operations is the political risk. The
insurance offices operating from the
peculiarity of this type of risk is that it is
World Trade Centre had to cope with
well beyond the ability of the organization
the problems generated by the
to influence, control or even foresee what
property risk exposure. The business
is likely to happen. Developing clear
continuity plan of the company needs
policies to deal with political risks is
to specifically address the issue of
essential for effectively handling them.
providing alternatives to the
The spectrum of political risks could range
dependence of operations on specific
from the political differences between the
property.
home-country and the host-country to
 Legal & Liability risks : Insurance
terrorism risks. In addition to political
companies handle two types of legal
risks, there are significant other exposures
issues – litigations against them and
like marketplace risks, cultural issues,
litigations taken over by them as a
demographic and economic issues which
part of claim settlement. Both these
needs to be carefully managed in the host-
expose the company to legal and
country.
liability risks which need to be
carefully assessed with legal M&A risks
assistance. The potential losses could There has been substantial M&A activity

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


include legal expenses, punitive in insurance markets in the recent past.
damages, liability awards made by This has led to the emergence of M&A
courts and fines. There is also a non- risks as an area of concern for insurance
quantifiable part to the legal / players. The exposure to M&A risks can
liability losses, which relate to the be classified into two – strategic and
reputation of the company. This is operational.
intangible and difficult to measure. The former relates to the objectives of the
However, careful allowance has to be merger. Studies have shown that majority
given to this factor while taking of mergers have eroded shareholders
important decisions on legal / value. Identifying and evaluating the
liability risks. assumptions of generating synergy,
 Human Resources risks : Any service leveraging the strengths of the individual
industry is highly human resources entities etc. is essential to ensure that the
dependent and insurance is no merged entity would be able to achieve
different. The availability of the right the desired results. The forecasts of
skill sets is a critical factor for running revenues, growth, cashflows etc and the
the business. The significant proposals of restructuring carry high level
exposures are in high employee of risks unless carefully studied and
turnover, labour issues, strikes, managed. The operations of the merged
reduced productivity, lay-offs etc. The organization are exposed to several risk

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factors emerging from the integration liberalization of regulations. Such sudden
issues. These could be related to increase in competition could upset the
infrastructure, systems, cultural, business plans and projections of the
management etc. The recent incident of established companies.
the merged Japanese banking giant
Mizuho failing to offer promised services
owing to systems breakdown is a good Quantification phase
example of how infrastructure and This phase entails modelling the risks
systems could pose a threat to operations based on the data gathered. The modelling
at the time of a merger . would involve analyzing:
 Causes of the risk factor.
 Various outcomes of a risk factor
Others  The likelihood of the risk factor.
The evolution of the insurance market has  Frequency and predictability of its
changed the way insurance is designed occurrence.
and transacted. The product development  Potential effect of the risk on the
activity is on the ‘fast track’. Innovation is financial metrics of the company.
a necessity to survive. The eagerness to All the risk factors have an element of
move ahead quickly on the path of uncertainty associated with them with
innovation exposes the organisation to a regards to the timing, nature and the
lot of risks, the main one being quantum. The uncertainty can be best
unintentional acceptance of unknown represented by a probability distribution.
risks from the insured. Increased So, the aim of modelling the risks is to be
competition is a business risk posed by the able to represent the risk, its causes and

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in

trends of Globalisation. Many of the effect in the form of a probability


markets have seen a sudden surge of a distribution.
large number of competitors with the

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In order to be able to model the risk, the
first step is an understanding of the causes There are various other methods also
of the risk. An insight into the causes available – influence diagrams, decision
could be obtained through historical trees etc which illustrate graphically how
evidence, interviews and brainstorming different variables or factors that influence
with the senior management. Tools like risk interact with one another. However,
flow charts, questionnaires etc could be all these methods assume certain amount
used to improve the efficiency of this of prior information or knowledge (based
process. on some preliminary analysis based on
If one maps the cause-risk-effect empirical data).In cases where empirical
relationship in a graphical manner, it not data is not available, the key challenge lies
only helps in the causal analysis and in coming up with a probability
better understanding of the risk, but also distribution that best represents the risk
helps in risk mitigation strategies. factor that is being modelled. In the
An illustration for the cause-risk-effect absence of data or any scientific
relationship for an insurance product is knowledge, one needs to rely on expert
given below. opinion.
Cause-risk-effect mapping for an insurance If one looks at the various methods that
product is given in figure 3 can be used, they can be positioned in a
Another way of analyzing risks is by continuum depending upon the extent of
mapping the risks with the possible knowledge that one has with regard to the
indicative measures that can be used to outcome. While one end of the spectrum is
model them. The output is a risk matrix complete knowledge, the other end is total
that maps the various risks with the lack of knowledge. In between lies the
measures which enables to classify risks area that deals with problems whose
according to their scope and ability to outcome has varying degrees of
affect the enterprise. uncertainty.
The various methods used to model risks
Given below is an illustration: range from empirical analysis at one end
of the spectrum to that based on expert

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


statements and interviews on the other.
The other methods like the Bayesian
approach (causal modelling) fall
somewhere in the middle of these two.
(Refer: Enterprise Risk Management, An
Analytical approach; Tilinghast-Towers
Perrin, 1/2000).

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There is no straitjacket approach to addressed by changes in business
modelling risks. Each of the methods has processes, technology etc. They cannot be
its advantages and disadvantages. The managed through hedging in the capital
method to be chosen should depend upon market. Let us try and illustrate this
the circumstances and data available. through a model for an insurance
company that shows how the various
components of business can be meshed
Measurement and evaluation together to map to the financial metrics.
phase These components can be then mapped to
After the risks have been modelled, we the various risks that the enterprise is
need to be able to
identify the top
risks for an
enterprise. The risks
identified need to
be prioritized in the
order in which they
impact the
enterprise. For this,
the risks need to be
linked to the
financial metrics at
the corporate level.
What is required for
this is a framework
that links the risks
to the financial
metrics. However,
the various risks that are modelled as exposed to. Figure 4 shows the
articulated in the previous section may be illustration. Once that is done, the various
expressed as different units. For e.g. the risks need to be classified as shown in

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


risk of competition that can be measured figure 5
in terms of loss of sales volumes can be a
probability distribution based on Risks which appear in the top two
introduction of new technology, quadrants are highly critical and deserve
regulatory changes (de-regulation), special attention of the risk manager. The
attrition rate (especially of skilled risks which are low on impact but high on
workers) among others. control would require re-visiting as the
control measures appear disproportionate
with the exposure and may need toning
down to save costs.
The risks need to be combined to the
extent possible and linked to the financial
metrics of the company. Though the
financial risks can be aggregated in at the
enterprise level, the aggregation of
operational risks poses a major challenge.
There are no robust methods readily
available to represent operational risks.
For one, there is very little historical data
available. Secondly, operational risks are

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Management & Monitoring The steps of the Management process are
After the top risks affecting an enterprise shown in figure 6
have been identified and
prioritised, the focus shifts to
effectively managing them.
Broadly, the risk manager has
four options to choose from - (i)
Avoidance (ii) Retention (iii)
Reduction and (iv) transfer Risk
avoidance is the ideal way to
manage any type of risk. But it
is more impractical in business
contexts. Risk Retention
involves efforts to optimise the
level of retention of risk within
the company without exposing
the organization to exposures
beyond what is strategically
acceptable. Retention is a key
decision owing to the impact
which it could make on the
bottom line and the difficulty in
arriving at the best possible retention The effect of a particular risk management
level. Risk Reduction is the strategy strategy should translate to its effect on
adopted to contain the potential effects of financial metrics of the enterprise.
any exposure. Risk reduction actions
could include steps like altering the Monitoring
business process to reduce the exposures. The effectiveness of the risk management
Risk Transfer is the easiest to implement, program depends on the speed with
but the most expensive option at the same which it responds to the changes in the
time. assumed scenarios. The environments in

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


which most companies operate are so very
dynamic that frequent revisions may be
The Risk Manager would choose one or a
called for, to maintain the program in line
combination of the options to manage the
with the changes in exposure. The best
identified risks. He has to strike a balance
example is the recent development of
between the cost – benefit relationship of
terrorism exposures. In the aftermath of
each option. In order to arrive at the best
September 11, all the insurance companies
option, the current methods employed
radically reviewed their risk management
need to be studied in terms of their
programs.
effectiveness for evaluating their capacity
Monitoring process would include
to cater to the future risk management
measuring the effectiveness of the current
requirements at the enterprise level. The
risk management program as well
foremost objective of ERM is enhancing
evaluating the risk factors to verify
shareholders value. However, the
whether any change in the program is
corporate objectives like maximizing
required. Major changes may need to go
growth and improving financial measures
through the full ERM life cycle to get
have to be taken into account at the same
properly integrated.
time.
The monitoring process needs to be
clearly defined at the time of formulation

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of the ERM plan. The roles and Insurance companies are yet to adopt this
responsibilities of the people involved and approach in a full measure. This would be
the frequency, methodology and reporting more relevant to insurance carriers as
of the monitoring process should be their risk exposure is much more complex
clarified and documented to stop than those of other industries owing to the
inefficiency of implementation. complication of accepted risks in addition
to the organizational risk exposures. ERM
as a strategic approach should be an
avenue which insurance companies would
need to explore, especially in the highly
competitive and low-margin market
conditions prevailing today.
ERM needs to be culturally integrated into
the enterprise. It is not a mere technique to
manage risks, but a philosophy which
suggests that risks needs to be identified,
measured and managed with a holistic
perspective.

7. IMPLEMENTATION OF ERM 9. REFERENCES :


Implementing ERM involves a lot of 1. Metzner Claude S. 2001, Enterprise
challenges as it requires a cultural change Risk Management - An Insurance
in the organisation. Unless the concept is Company Perspective
well sold inside the organisation, one 2. Tillinghast Towers Perrin
cannot hope to get the best results. Enterprise Risk Management - An
Corporate communication plays a key role Analytical Approach
here. Enterprises which have successfully 3. Holton Glyn A. Enterprise Risk

An approach to ERM in the insurance industry | www.conzulting.in


implemented ERM have carefully Management, Contingency Analysis
managed internal communication, 4. Kessler Denis 2001 Anticipating and
awareness- building and training of Managing Risks in the 21st Century,
resources. The Geneva Papers on risk and
There are several impediments to the Insurance Vol. 26
implementation process. The main 5. Dickinson Gerry 2001 Enterprise
hurdles include the following : Risk Management : Its origins and
 ERM objectives not in alignment conceptual foundation, The Geneva
with the corporate objectives Papers on Risk and Insurance Vol.
 Lack of good decision support and 26
statistical analysis tools / systems. 6. Tillinghast Towers Perrin Creating
 Cultural mis-matches Value Through Enterprise Risk
Management - A Practical Approach
 Operations in a highly
for the Insurance Industry
underdeveloped market
 Ambiguous organisational
structure within the enterprise.

8. CONCLUSION
ERM has made a considerable impact as a Authors could be reached at warrier@conzulting.in
comprehensive risk management strategy. or Preeti.Chandrashekhar@towerswatson.com
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