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POLICY
STATEMENT OF ORIGINALITY
PROGRAMME: Msc Energy studies with specialization in Oil and Gas Economics.
TITLE OF THE
RESEARCH PAPER: SHOULD NIGERIA DEREGULATE ITS DOWNSTREAM SECTOR?
ABSTRACT: Nigeria is blessed with oil resource which accrue huge amount of money to
the country every year. Subsequently, it was comfortable for the government
to regulate the downstream sector and subsidised the petroleum products to
make it affordable to the citizens especially the poor. But Recently, due to
low production level of refineries, non reflection of regulated prices at the
retail outlets, exclusion of the targeted group of people from the benefits
and increase in consumption of the petroleum product, government found it
unbearable to continue regulating the sector and decided to deregulate the
country’s downstream sector so that it can discharge its statutory functions
effectively. This has lead to serious challenges and criticisms from some
group of people. Consequently, this paper studied the two divergent
opinions with a view to find out whether it is economically efficient to
deregulate the country’s downstream sector. The paper has empirically
analysed the reform issues and conclude that if the government will be
prudent, committed and adhere strictly to the necessary steps and
recommendations in the process, deregulation will be good for the country
economically and politically.
WORD COUNT: 4,262
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Date: 11-05-2010.
TABLE OF CONTENTS Page
ABBREVIATIONS:……………………………………………...…... 3
Chapter 1:
INTRODUCTION:…………………………………………… …… 4
Chapter 2:
Rationales for Regulation in Nigeria:................................................... 9
2.1. Support for the poor:....…………………………………... .. 9
2.2. Encourage patronage:............................................................ 10
2.3. Fear of Inflation:…………………………........................... 11
Chapter 3:
Effects of Subsidies and Regulation:................................................... 12
3.1 Demand Growth:............................................................................ 12
3.2 Budgetary Burden:................................................................ 13
3.3 Hinder Growth of Alternatives:............................................ 13
3.4 Targeted individuals not achieved:....................................... 14
3.5 Regulated prices not reflected:.............................................. 15
Chapter 4:
4.1 Why Deregulate Nigerian downstream sector:.............................. 16
4.1.1. Availability of Products:.................................................... 16
4.1.2 Increase Government Savings:.......................................... 17
4.1.3 Environmental standard:......................................................18
4.1.4 Energy Security:................................................................. 18
4.1.5 Other economic Benefits:................................................... 19
4.2 Challenges of Deregulation:......................................................... 19
4.2.1 Lost of Jobs:...................................................................... 19
4.2.2 Inflation:............................................................................ 20
4.2.3 Resurgence of Traditional Energies:................................. 21
4.2.4 Market Exploitation and lack of trust on Government:..... 21
Chapter 5:
Recommendations for Effective Implementation of deregulation in
Nigeria:................................................................................................ 22
5.1 Transparency:........................................................................ 22
5.2 Awareness:............................................................................ 24
5.3 Use the Savings well:............................................................ 24
Chapter 6:
Conclusion:.......................................................................................... 26
BIBLIOGRAPHY………………………………………………....... 28
2
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS:
3
1. INTRODUCTION:
since the last four decades when oil was first found in the country. Despite
the enormous revenues Nigeria gets, it has not reflected into the lives of
The Nigerian Oil industry is separated into two sectors: the upstream sector
production while the downstream sector deals with refining and distribution
of crude oil for domestic consumptions. This paper only focused on the
significant impact on the lives of all Nigerians especially on how the sector
4
and regulations that constrain the operation of market forces. 1 Deregulation
refining in Nigeria dated back to 1965 when the first refinery was built.
Presently, the country has four refineries with the total capacity of
1
Sullivan, Arthur; Sheffrin, Steven M. (January 2002). Economics: Principles in Action. New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall. ISBN 0-13-
063085-3.
2
Diran Fawibe(2009); The need for complete deregulation in the Nigerian Petroleum Industry International Energy
Services Limited, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry.
5
Spirit (PMS) otherwise known as Gasoline, Automatic Gasoline (AGO),
Household Kerosene (HHK), Fuel Jet and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG).3
In the 1990’s, due to the increase in demand for Oil Products, which
import heavily from abroad to meet the escalating demand, and as a result,
the revenue generates from crude oil export has to be used to import refined
situation where meeting the major budget needs of the government became
difficult.4
Considering the fact that international oil prices were increasing and the
decided that it can no longer afford the continued subsidies in the pump
3
Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation ( NNPC) 2010, official website.com “ http://www.nnpcgroup.com “
4
Sarah, A. K., (1994), Nigeria: The Political Economy of Oil , Oxford institute for Energy Studies, Oxford University Press.
6
international prices only to sell at a heavily subsidized rate. Presently, one
N114.32, therefore for every litre of Gasoline the government pays the
subsidies.5 The government claim that despite the huge amount spent, the
subsidies did not reach the targeted individuals but rather few higher
Products limits its ability to deliver its statutory functions such as power
refineries and invites other local Marketers to apply for licenses to build
private refineries. This was not achieved because the marketers who are
5
Chika, Amaze-Nwachiku, (2010), shake-up looms in oil industry , News paper article, this day News Paper online 21 st
April, http:// www.thisdayonline.com
7
necessary to deregulate and privatized the downstream sector in the
Parliamentarians and the public. It was against this backdrop that this paper
The paper is divided into chapters, the next chapter (Chapter 2) looked at
the rationale for the introduction of subsidy in Nigeria, the third Chapter
studies the effects of subsidies, chapter four analyses the benefits and
8
CHAPTER 2:
immediate domestic and political implications for the country than those
that may occur in the upstream sector” (Sarah 1994), hence the need to
followings:
movements and appliances that require modern fossil fuels were becoming
popular among poor and rich people. However, more than half of Nigerians
9
were living below one dollar per day. Subsequently, the Nigerian
the poor (majority group of people in the country). The government resolve
was due to the appreciation of the fact that the poor man cannot afford the
real prices of petroleum products, this came as a relief and support to the
poor as the government now pays up to 40% of the price of every litre of
Gasoline.
Traditional energy has dominated Nigerian Energy sector until the last forty
years when fossil fuels especially oil and gas were discovered in the
saved. This worked out effectively, as the traditional energy sources were
replaced with Fossil fuels in the country. Though, traditional energy is still
been utilized in the rural areas. But due to the provision of the subsidies the
10
people over concentrated on the exhaustible fossil fuels in their energy
Oil prices are so volatile and Nigeria import heavily refined products. This
for introducing subsidies to protect the citizens from facing the highly
11
CHAPTER 3:
EFFECTS OF SUBSIDIES:
Despite the huge amount of money spent in Nigeria to fund subsidies, its
inefficiently due to the lower petroleum products prices they face in the
could also be more costly. Therefore, removing subsidies will help address
relatively.
12
3.2 BUDGETERY BURDEN:
crude oil, the country face deficit budgeting due to the heavy subsidies on
fossil fuels, this has restrict the government commitments and concentration
and pay for the continue increasing interest on previous loans thereby
that, if relief from funding subsidies it will use the money to pay back these
Due to the heavy subsidies on the fossil fuels in the country, petroleum
13
predicament of fossil fuels depletion. This justifies the necessity to embark
However, due to the fact that fossil fuels have dominated every aspect of
practically, in Nigeria only the rich people who could conveniently afford
the real petroleum products prices enjoy the subsidies because the poor
cannot afford to buy some of the appliances or equipments that require fuel,
for example if Gasoline has been subsidised, it end up only the rich benefit
it, because the poor man cannot afford to buy a car or motorcycle.
14
The petroleum products prices are been regulated in Nigeria but still
consumers pay beyond the regulated prices, this could be due to corruption,
regulated to be fixed at N65 (43 cent) 8 but some of the marketing and
hoard the Gasoline and later sell it when it is scarce at higher prices
sometimes higher than N100. Despite the huge amount of money Nigerian
the aim is not achieved. Is only at the NNPC retail outlets which is own by
8
Petroleum Products and Pricing regulatory Agency (2010); official website, http://wwwpppra-nigeria.org/
9
Hary, O. C., (2006); Nigeria’s petroleum market segements: characteristics and financing requirement in oil gas
financing in Nigeria: issues, challenges and prospect. Lagos, Nigeria; CIBN.
15
CHAPTER 4:
“Reform and change are difficult undertaking in any nation. Poor economic
, new accounting rules and other changes to spur more efficient corporate
operate to regulate the delivered quantity and price which would prevail in
the domestic consumer market. A further addition of this logic claim that
the operation of market forces would ultimately intervene to ensure that the
10
Emmanuel, Ihenacho, (2009); who is afraid of deregulation of petroleum sector, news paper article, daily trust 7th
November.
16
4.1.2 INCREASE GOVERNMENT SAVINGS:
roughly about a quarter of the entire national budget for the year. The sum
11
Supra Notes 7, at 13.
17
4.1.3 ENVIRONMENTAL STANDARD:
the fossil fuels in meeting energy needs and its production is decreasingly
reducing. This has given a signal to most of the developed countries and
especially renewables.
18
4.1.5 OTHER ECONOMIC BENEFITS:
Apart from the potentials which exist for the elimination of the
help to provide correct price signals to the investors as all prices will be set
It is possible that in the short term unemployment may arise due to price
the refinery, this will be done by investors who aim to maximize efficiency,
once they acquire control.12 Schipke (2001) notes that, “Countries in which
intervention are also likely to have highly regulated labour markets. Hence,
12
Ifiok, Ibanga, (2006), The Economics of privatizating and deregulating the Nigerian Downstream oil sector, florin.com
19
a reduction in government ownership without the simultaneous
4.2.2 INFLATION:
products because with high demand, and not enough supply the price would
sky rocket. Similarly, prices of other inputs and commodities will increase
due to the increase in the transportation cost; this may lead to labour strikes
and chaos. This may encourage the military to try and take over governance
Due to the fact that majority of Nigerians are poor, people may resort to
revive the use of traditional energy sources after the subsidies have been
removed, because the people may not be able to afford the un-subsidised
20
prices of fossil fuels. Usually this may happen in some of the developing
countries.
GOVERNMENT
Nigeria only few individuals could be able to buy a major part of the shares,
CHAPTER 5:
socially desirable. At the same time, it should not be so slow as to allow the
21
costs to persist for too long. Another approach is to directly link subsidy
removal with another measure that is likely to be seen by all or most of the
5.1TRANSPARENCY:
defines fiscal transparency as the extent of the openness to the public about
the government’s past, present and future fiscal activities, and about the
13
International Monetary Fund. (2007). Code of Good Practices on Fiscal Transparency. Washington DC: International
Monetary Fund.
22
Improved information about fossil-fuel subsidies, in particular, can help
From the argument in this paper, Nigeria can be pointed out that its cost of
has been undermined due to the fear that the government may not be
transparent in the process. For the Nigerian government to earn the public
transformation. This has to do with letting citizens to know the amount and
5.2 AWARENESS:
absence of knowledge on the benefit and what the deregulation entails from
14
Wolfe, R., and Helmer, J., (2007). Trade policy begins at home: Information and consultation in the trade policy
process. In Process Matters: Sustainable Development and Domestic Trade Transparency. Eds. M. Halle and R. Wolfe.
Winnipeg: International Institute for Sustainable Development.
23
campaign through individual campaign, as well as Electronic and Print
Media. Vocal middle class citizens shall be educated on the reform and
deregulation has not been embraced by the citizens and considers it non-
like power, roads, education and health. Similarly due to the fact that some
of the poor people may not be able to afford the un-regulated prices of
petroleum products, the government shall use part of the funds to support
the poor by replacing the subsidy with direct transfer or other means of
15
Xiaoyi, Mu, (2010), Price Regulation of Petroleum Products, lecture slide, unit 6, Economics of Regulation and
Restructuring of Energy Industries, Centre for Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee.
24
Similarly, due to the over reliance on oil in Nigeria, the country is
to be real, therefore the government shall use the funds in discovering and
25
CHAPTER 6:
CONCLUSION:
the country, yet the subsidies did not get to the targeted populace but rather
few income groups. Similarly, the pump prices of the petroleum products
are higher than the regulated price and the four refineries are not up to its
result, the country has to borrow money from abroad and also imports 85%
of refined products to the country. At the same time government has been
blame for the backwardness and other failures in the economy and social
sold to almost 50% of the shares to the citizens before other core investors,
the country. To make the free market competitively strong and effective,
the government also as part of the reform decided to remove subsidies. This
26
has made some citizens in the country to vehemently clamour against the
reform on the assumption that it will bring about inflation and suffering in
the country due to the fact that majority of the people in the country are
poor.
Presently, the reform is slacking due to the pressure, scepticism and lack of
Nigeria with a view to advice whether the country should deregulate its
proposed in the paper, the deregulation will be far better for the country
solution for Nigeria in order to solve its economic and social crisis. The
word limits of the paper has restrain the author from dwelling on the effects
27
BREFERENCES:
BOOKS:
Edward, J.L., (2001), Arthritic Japan: The slow pace of economic reform,
Brookings Institution press, Washington, D.C.
ARTICLES:
Diran, Fawibe, (2009), The need for complete deregulation in the Nigerian
Petroleum Industry International Energy Services Limited, Lagos Chamber
of Commerce and Industry.
28
Ifiok, Ibanga, (2006), The Economics of privatizating and deregulating the
Nigerian Downstream oil sector, florin.com
Wolfe, R., and Helmer, J., (2007). Trade policy begins at home:
Information and consultation in the trade policy process. In Process
Matters: Sustainable Development and Domestic Trade Transparency. Eds.
M. Halle and R., Wolfe. Winnipeg: International Institute for Sustainable
Development.
OTHERS:
29
Petroleum Products and Pricing regulatory Agency (2010); official website,
http://wwwpppra-nigeria.org/
30