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GF EC-058B East Tower, PSE Center, Exchange Road, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, PHILIPPINES 1605 (632)687-5071 (trunk)
DAILY REPORT TD012_2011_January 18_Tuesday
PSE Index Pts Change % Change Volume (m) Value (phpm) Advancers Decliners Unchanged
4,072.59 -75.57 -1.82% 3,290.66 5,148.19 44 105 38
DISCLAIMER: THE MATERIAL CONTAINED IN THIS PUBLICATION IS FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. IT IS NOT TO BE REPRODUCED OR COPIED OR MADE AVAILABLE TO
OTHERS. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES IS IT TO BE CONSIDERED AS AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY. WHILE THE INFORMATION HEREIN IS
FROM SOURCES WE BELIEVE RELIABLE, WE DO NOT REPRESENT THAT IT IS ACCURATE OR COMPLETE AND IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON AS SUCH. IN ADDITION, WE
SHALL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR AMENDING, CORRECTING OR UPDATING ANY INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN. SOME OF THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS
REPORT ARE NOT NECESSARILY OPINIONS OF ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION ON THE CREDIT-WORTHINESS OR INVESTMENT PROFILE OF THE COMPANY OR THE
INDUSTRIES MENTIONED.
DAILY Report Page 1 of 2
ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION
GF EC-058B East Tower, PSE Center, Exchange Road, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, PHILIPPINES 1605 (632)687-5071 (trunk)
DAILY REPORT TD012_2011_January 18_Tuesday
PSE Index Pts Change % Change Volume (m) Value (phpm) Advancers Decliners Unchanged
4,072.59 -75.57 -1.82% 3,290.66 5,148.19 44 105 38
LOCAL DEVELOPMENTS:
OFW remittances grew 10.5% in November, second highest last year, missing September's pace by a hairline. This brings the 11-month
total to US$17 billion. The BSP had anticipated only 8%. With December figures still unaccounted for, the ytd level is just half-a-billion short
of full year 2009 aggregate. Our Gross International Reserves (GIR) expanded by 40% to a record US$62.1 billion last year.
Optimism across all economic classes remain high with four out of ten expecting the quality of life further improving over the next 12 months,
and SWS survey revealed. Only a small portion (8%) held a contrary opinion. Note however that the survey, conducted in end-November,
do not yet include the recent increases in toll fees and the pending increase in MRT/LRT fare costs among others. This optimism may have
been among the catalysts that pushed the stock market index higher by 6.3% in December last year.
MARKET'S REACTION:
Despite the generally neutral-to-positive backdrop, share prices fell, following a marginal 1.39 points advance off the opening bell. The PSE
Index fell by as much as 83.17 points before a late surge of buying pushed the index slightly off the low to 4,072.59. The All shares index lost
2.0%. Only the Mining and Oil sector gained, pushed by Philex Mining Corporation [pse: PX, php15.90, +3.65%]. Semirara Mining
Corporation [pse: SCC, php211.80, unch] likewise made it to the Top Ten Actives list. The rest of the issues in this roll slumped. Surprisingly
(or not) most of the Asia Pacific region's markets rose with only a couple of neighboring Southeast Asian bourses retreating.
Value turnover reached php5.148 billion on 3.291 billion shares changing hands. Both are within the year-to-date averages. More than two
issues fell for each one that advanced, keeping the ADL indicator on an uncertain heading. Only 38 issues were unchanged.
PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, January 19, 2011
The market cannot continue ignoring positive data pointing to continuing bullish prospects for the overall economy, in general and the stock
market in particular. While there is still no clarity as to what the direction and form the revamped “aid” facility, there is a growing confidence
that a fitting solution will be reached as Germany dropped its early opposition to its functional expansion. We remain optimistic on the
fundamental side even as we remain wary of how the Chinese monetary tightening impacts on the pace of growth.
Technically however, the near-term picture is clouded by a growing near-term pessimism. The index, after Tuesday's slide, fell under the
10pd and 50pdEMA even as it continues to manage
levels above the 4,000 mark. STO (10,3) has tapered
off following a two-day steep rise off its break above the
trigger line. MACD (12,26) remains under the signal
line and is negative. The spread however is thin,
indicating that pressures are not mounting either way.
Over-all, despite the 1.82% slide, the index stays inside
its trading band raising the possibility of an ensuing
technical rebound as it approaches the lower end of the
range defined as the 4,170-4,200 range.
Dampening sentiments are index futures in both the US
and Europe in the negative, except London's FTSE 100
showing up 26.5 points in the green. Trades will
continue to focus on second and third line counters as
investors wait for a more substantial correction in top-
line counters' prices. Absent fresher leads, either on
the broad economic or company-level fronts, the
market will tread a sideways movement. The
magnitude of the long-term advance puts a negative
bias over the near-term with profit-taking and range
trading the overriding stance.
DISCLAIMER: THE MATERIAL CONTAINED IN THIS PUBLICATION IS FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. IT IS NOT TO BE REPRODUCED OR COPIED OR MADE AVAILABLE TO
OTHERS. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES IS IT TO BE CONSIDERED AS AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY. WHILE THE INFORMATION HEREIN IS
FROM SOURCES WE BELIEVE RELIABLE, WE DO NOT REPRESENT THAT IT IS ACCURATE OR COMPLETE AND IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON AS SUCH. IN ADDITION, WE
SHALL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR AMENDING, CORRECTING OR UPDATING ANY INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN. SOME OF THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS
REPORT ARE NOT NECESSARILY OPINIONS OF ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION ON THE CREDIT-WORTHINESS OR INVESTMENT PROFILE OF THE COMPANY OR THE
INDUSTRIES MENTIONED.
DAILY Report Page 2 of 2