EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

1. (a)  m  150 ;  m 2  5500

5500 & 2147

 t  71.6 ;  t 2  930 ;  mt  2147 B1
seen

357 M1
150  71.6 Accept = 59.5
Smt  2147   357 60 A1
6

150 2 
Smm  5500   1750 Accept 291. 6
6 A1 (4)
No working shown SR: B1 B1 only

(b) 357 M1
b  0.204
1750

71.6 150 
a  0.204   6 .8 3 M1
6 6

(Accept 6.8 3 , 6.83,
 t  6.83  0.204m
5 A1
6 %) (3)
No working seen SR: t = 6.83 + 0.204m B1 only 6

7.35  m  35
(c)

  M1
 t  6.8 3 0.204  35  13.97 3 14.0 AWRT
A1 (2)

(d) (i) 9.00  m  120

B1;
No; outside range of data (after 7.50 am) B1

No; No evidence model will apply one B1;

(ii)
month later B1 (4)

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

2. (a) Symmetrical (about the mean  )

Mode = mean = median

Horizontal axis asymptotic to curve B1;B1;B1

(3)

Distribution is ‘bell shaped’ – accept sketch Any 3

sensible
properties
95% of data lies within 2 sd’s of the mean

(b) X ~ N (27, 10 2 )

Standardising with
 = 27, M1
 26 - 27 28  27 
 P (26    28)  P  Z   = 10 or
 10 10  A1
10
One correct
(seen)
 P (- 0.1  Z  0.1) -0.1 or 0.1 A1

  (0.1)  1   (0.1)
or 2 x   (0.1)  0.5

= 0.0796 0.0796 or 0.0797 A1

(4)

Data is continuous B0
Area under curve = 1 B0
Limits are -  &  B0
IQR contains 50% of data B0
68% between    B1
Most of data within 3 s.d of mean B1
No +ve or –ve skew B1
Never touches axes at either side B1
(ie asymptotic)

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Mark

3. (a) P (1  X  3)  P (X  2)  P (X  3) M1

1 1 2 1 2 1
    ; ; 0.167;
12 12 12 6 12 6 A1
  (2)
0.16 6 ; 0.16

11
; 0.917;
1 12
11
(b) F (2.6)  P(X  2)  1  P(X  3)  1    B1
12 12 0.916 (1)

1 1 1 11
(or : P(X  2)     )
3 2 12 12

Use of
xP(X  x)
(c)  1  1  11 M1
E ( X)   0    ...   3    11
 3  12  12 ; AWRT A1
12 (2)
0.917

(d) E (2X-3) = 2E(X)-3 Use of M1

E (ax + b)

11 14 7 7 1
 2 3    - ; -1 ;
12 12 6 6 6 A1 (2)
AWRT -1.17
(e)

Use of M1
 
2
1 1  11 
E X 2   E X 
2
Var (X)  1   ...  3 2 
2
 
2 12  12  A1
Correct
substitution

107 107
 ; A1
144 144 (3)
AWRT 0.743

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

4 1 4 2 Use of M1
4. (a) (i) P(A  B ' )  P(A/B ' ) P(B ' )     A1
5 2 10 5 P (A/B ' ) P (B ' )

(ii) P (A  B)  P(A)  P(A  B ' ) M1

2 2
 
5 5

= 0 A1

(iii) P (A  B)  P(A)  P(B) - P(A  B) M1

2 1
  0
5 2

9

10 A1

(iv)
(A  B)
P (A/B)  P 0 B1
P(B) (7)

(b) (i) since P (A  B)  0 seen B1

A and B are mutually exclusive B1 (2)

B1
(ii) Since P (A/B)  P (A) or equivalent B1 (2)
A and B are NOT independent

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

5. (a) Sales No. of days Class width Freque ncy de nsity

Frequency M1
1-200 166 200 0.830 densities
A1
201-400 100 200 0.500
Graph
401-700 59 300 0.197
701-1000 30 300 0.100 3 (5)
1001-1500 5 500 0.010

NB Frequency densities can be scored on graph

Q 2  200.5 
180  166  200  228.5
(b) 228/229/230 M1
100 A1

90 109 AWRT A1
Q1  0.5   200  108.933
166

( 270  266)
Q 3  400.5   300  420.838 AWRT 421/425 A1
59

(n = 270.75  Q3 = 424.6525)

IQR = 420.830  108.933  311 .905 B1 (5)

Attempt at
(c)
 fx  110980 ;  fx 2  58105890 fx or fy M1

x - 100.5Attempt at M1
 fy  748 ;  fy 2  3943.5 where y 
100 fx or fy
2 2


  308.277 7 308 AWRT M1 A1

  257.6238
258 AWRT M1 A1
(6)
No working shown: SR B1 B1 only for  ,  .

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Frequency density

1.0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5
Scales & Labels B1
Bases B1
Heights B1
0.4
3

0.3

0.2

0.1

0 200.5 400.5 600.5 800.5 1000.5 1200.5 1400.5

Sales
Mark Scheme Marks
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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME
Question

(d) Median & IQR B1

Sensible reason e.g. Assuming other years are B1 dep

(2)
skewed.

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

6. (a)
¼ Tree with
K
correct number M1
½ K ¾ K
of branches
¼ 2 1
K K , A1
⅔ ½ K 3 3
¾ K
1 1 1 1
K , , , A1
⅓ ¼ 2 2 2 2
K ½ K
¾ 1 3 3
K , ... A1
4 4 4 (4)
K ¼ K
½
¾
K

1 
2 1 1 2 1 ; 0.08 3 ;
(b) P (All 3 Keys) =   =  12 M1 A1 (2)
3 2 4 24 12
0.0833

 2 1 3 1 1 3 1 1 1
P (exactly 1 key)                3
(c)  3 2 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 M1
triples added

10 5 Each correct A1 A1 A1
=  10 5
24 12 ; ; A1
24 12 (5)

0.416 ; 0.417

(d) P (Keys not collected on at least 2 successive

stages)

3 triples added M1
 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
          +   
 3 2 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 Each correct A1 A1 A1

10 5
10 5 ; ;
  24 12 A1 (5)
24 12 
0.416 ; 0.417

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

6. (d) Alternative:

1 – P (Keys collected on at least 2 successive stages) M1

 2 1 1   2 1 3   1 1 1 
= 1 –               A1 A1 A1
 3 2 4   3 2 4   3 2 4 
5 A1
=
8 (5)