Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Jonathan A. Scott*
Temple University
Philadelphia, PA
August, 2006
* Corresponding author
E-mail: jonathan.scott@temple.edu
Phone: 215.204.7605
Technology, Banking and Small Business
USASBE Papers: Small Business
Abstract
This paper reports on the results of a recent survey of small business owners that
addressed the question of technology use in the conduct of their banking business. The
analysis focuses on three issues. First, what are the characteristics of owners who use
technology in banking? Second, do the characteristics that explain the use of technology
also explain their view of technology as an enabler of their banking business or whether
technology implementation is being forced upon them? And finally, has technology
implementation been disruptive enough to cause owners to shop for a new bank or take
the more costly step of changing banks?
Executive Summary
Using recent survey data of small firm owners, we find that small business has
been slow to adopt electronic banking, but the rate of adoption is increasing quickly. The
importance of technology is less related to the size of the business and more to the age of
the owner and education level of the owner. Owners appear free to accept the types of
technology they are comfortable using and reject the types they are not. The only
exception appears to be in the case of bank mergers where owners are more likely to
report technology getting in the way of the conduct of their banking business and being
forced to use more technology than the want.
This research has direct implications for regulators and policy-makers, bankers
attempting to establish, fortify or expand their share of the small business banking
market, and small-business owners who use and do not use the technology driven
services of their commercial bank. The practical implications are as follows: regulators
and policymakers should have little concern about the pace of technology implementation
among small firms or its effect on the value of relationship banking. However, regulators
need to carefully monitor the effect of mergers on technology use and implementation.
Owners at banks that merged are less likely to view technology as an enabler and more
likely to report technology use forced on them.
Small business owners have a mostly favorable view of technology
implementation, thinking it as enabling rather than confining, especially among owners
of the youngest, most information-opaque firms. The “haves” and “have nots” are not
related to firm size, but owner age and education. For now, the only “cost” or alternative
to those uncomfortable with the pace of technology change appears to be shopping for a
new bank. In this regard, the advantages of technology in the conduct of owner’s
banking business are not just limited to those using large banks. Not only do small banks
have just as much access to technology for their customers, but – in their tradition of
relationship banking – they are less likely to be viewed as forcing customers into
technology use. Finally, this research helps bankers better understand how to compete
for its desired share of the small-business banking market.
Technology, Banking and Small Business
The innovation and diffusion of technology into the delivery of banking services
has the potential to be a disruptive force for small firms and how they conduct business
with their bank. Petersen and Rajan (2002) argued that advances in technology are
moving banks geographically further away from their customers and conclude that the
importance of local information in small business lending has been reduced. If lender
proximity benefits small firm credit availability (Berger and Udell, 2002), then
technology could be disrupting a key element of relationship banking. One reason for the
growing distance could be the result of growing concentration of the U.S. banking
specifically credit scoring - adds to the concerns about the ability of small to benefit from
relationship banking, especially from smaller banks (DeYoung et al, 2004, Akhavein et
Despite these concerns, scant publicly available evidence exists regarding the
effect of technology on the conduct of small firm banking business. For example, do
larger firms with more resources to make the investments in people and systems, conduct
their banking business electronically more frequently than more resource constrained
businesses? What role does distance to the bank play? Do those located further away
from their bank make more use of technology because it is a more efficient way to
Banks that have made significant investments could be driving technology use to
achieve their target return. They could be pulling owners along at a pace that owners are
comfortable with or they could be pushing customers into using services they may not be
1
ready for or want. For example, the implementation of credit scoring could favor those
owners who want to substitute relationship banking for more impersonal, but more
meet their credit needs may consider changing banks if faced with credit scoring. Thus,
understand whether the owner characteristics that explain the use of technology are the
same ones that explain the differences between those owners who are happy with the
Bank size could affect this push-pull tension, especially considering that larger
banks have made the bigger investments. Yet while large banks might be expected to
actively encourage the use of technology, small banks still have the ability to purchase
the features they need to offer their customers. Is bank size related to how firms view the
firm perceptions about the use of technology in the delivery of banking services?
an opportunity to address the questions raised above. The survey includes information
about the extent to which owners use the internet for their banking business, their view of
how their primary bank has implemented technology in the delivery of banking services.
In addition to the typical firm characteristics captured in a survey, it also includes owner
ratings of a set of characteristics important to the conduct of their financial business (e.g.,
knows my business, market and industry, speed of decisions, range of services offered,
2
location convenience, a rating of the bank’s performance on this same set of
With these data we develop a number of hypotheses that address three issues.
First, what are the characteristics of owners and their businesses that use technology in
banking? Second, do the characteristics that explain the use of technology also explain
their view of whether technology implementation is being forced upon them or their view
implementation been disruptive enough to cause owners to shop for a new bank or
firms is important to bankers and policy makers interested in maintaining small firm
access to capital markets. The results presented in this paper can help bankers better
understand the profile of small firms that have problems with the implementation of
technology as well as those that are amenable to its use. For policy makers and
regulators, the paper provides information on how technology is perceived by the most
information opaque firms that rely on relationship banking and the association of this
perception with bank size and changes in market structure such as mergers. In
considering both mergers and new bank charters, the interaction between bank size, the
incidence of mergers, and its effect the incidence of changing banks for small
The data for this study were collected for the NFIB Research Foundation by the
executive interviewing group of The Gallup Organization. The interviews for the survey
3
were conducted between February 2 and March 8, 2006 from a nationally-representative
addition to the owner(s), but no more than 249. After compiling the results, the
interviews yielded a sample of 752 observations. Table 1 lists descriptive statistics for
the sample, including information about owner characteristics (age and education level),
years in business, location of business, number of employees, sales growth, and industry.
The raw number of observations is presented in the table, but the weighted sample is used
Given the proliferation of web sites as portals for access to banking services, the
frequency of small firms reporting their use of the internet for any part of their banking
reported using technology in banking (Table 2). This frequency is almost a five-fold
increase from the response to a similar question asked in the 2001 Credit, Banks and
Small Business Survey.1 Firms use the internet most frequently to check balances (89
percent), followed by transfer money among accounts (70 percent), make payroll deposits
Fifty-two (52) percent of the firms rated this attribute “very important” or “important” on
1
Eleven (11) percent responded “yes” to the question, “Does your firm do any of its banking over the
Internet?” See www.nfib.org/research for details on this survey. The Credit, Banks survey uses a
somewhat different sampling frame than the current survey. The former is composed of NFIB members
only, a somewhat larger and more rural group than is the population. However, there is no reason to
believe that Credit Banks results vary from a more representative sample.
4
a five point scale with 35 percent rating it “very important.” While this question is
correlated with the use of the internet for banking (rho=.21, p=.000), the correlation
coefficient is not high, suggesting that both questions are not measuring the same
Firm and owner characteristics, including location, size of their bank, and
distance from their bank, should be related to the use of technology. Larger firms with
more resources or younger, better educated owners who are more facile with technology
ought to more frequently use technology in banking. Location should also affect the use
of technology if owners located further from their bank find it more efficient to use
technology for accessing bank services instead of personal visits. Finally, owners at
larger banks with more resources to develop electronic banking alternatives should be
more likely to use technology for their banking business. Table 2 presents a breakdown
of the responses to the technology questions by selected firm characteristics that enable a
Younger firms and firms with younger owners are more likely to report using the
internet for some of their banking business. For example, 63 percent of the owners under
age 35 and 63 percent of firms in business under 6 years report using the internet for
banking services compared to 30 percent for owners over the age of 65 and 36 percent of
firms in business over 30 years. Although the frequency of using the internet is higher
for firms with more rapid growth, size of the firm shows no noticeable association with
the use of the internet for banking. Home-based businesses, which typically would be
small operations, are more likely to use technology for their banking. A similar pattern is
5
observed for owners that report a bank’s web site is important or very important to the
Education plays a role in the use of the internet for banking. Owners with an
undergraduate (54 percent) or graduate degree (57 percent) more frequently use
technology compared to those with high school diplomas or their equivalent (38 percent).
Location plays a role in the use of electronic banking, but not as expected. Firms
located in rural areas (where the gains from technology might be greater in terms of
lower transportation costs to the bank) are less likely to use technology (38 percent)
compared to firms in highly urban areas (58 percent). While firms that are further away
from their banks (in time) might be expected to rely more on electronic banking, the data
show no association. This outcome could be due to lack of access to high speed
telecommunications in many rural areas.2 The only exception is for owners that
communicate with their bank by telephone only, where 86 percent report using the
internet for banking. A similar pattern is observed for the importance of a web site for
banking services, but the differences between rural and highly urban locations is not as
great.
Finally bank size varies with the use of technology as expected.3 Owners doing
business at the largest banks (over $10 billion in assets) more frequently report the use of
friendly web site for conducting banking business. What is interesting in Table 2 is that
2
See Telecommunications, NFIB National Small Business Poll, Volume 4, Issue 8 (4/7/2005) at
http://www.nfib.com/object/sbPolls
3
Care needs to be taken when relating bank size to internet use because the choice of bank may be driven
by the desire to use the internet. The tables only show association, not causation.
6
the use of technology does not decrease monotonically with bank size. The proportion of
owners at the smallest banks exceeds those at $100 million - $1 billion banks and is about
the same as those doing business at banks between $1 billion and $10 billion.
usage is presented in Table 3, where logistic regression is used to estimate the log odds of
an owner reporting that they use the internet for some of their banking business (1= yes,
they bank via internet; 0 otherwise). The dependent variables include firm size (log of
the number of employees), log of firm age, log of owner age, three owner education
categories (college degree omitted), real sales growth, a categorical variable for whether
or not the business is home-based, log of time to the owner’s principal bank, and four
(retail omitted) as control variables but not presented in the Table 3 results. Bank size is
excluded as a predictor because of the problem of controlling for small firms that choose
The log odds decrease with firm age and a high school education only, but
increase with firm size or if a home-based business. Owners that do not physically visit
their bank are more likely to use the internet for banking services. Otherwise, location
Also reported in Table 3 are the ordered probit regression results for the
their banking business (1= web site rated very important; 0 otherwise).4. The importance
of a customer-friendly web site to the conduct of banking business decreases with firm
4
OLS would be appropriate if all of the differences between the rating categories (1 to 5) were equal.
Because these differences are only a ranking, ordered probit is a better estimation technique (Greene, 2000)
7
age and increases if the owner has a college degree or has a home-based businesses or
does all of their banking electronically (no visits to the bank). It is not related to the size
opaque firms that rely on soft information for lending decisions, it could also enable
small firms to be more efficient in their financial transactions. The survey asks a
question that can help address this issue: “Over the last three years at your primary
business?” Fifty-three (53) percent reported helpful, 11 percent getting in the way, and
35 percent no effect.
Table 2. As was the case with the use of technology, firm and owner characteristics show
some distinct patterns with their view of technology as an enabler. Younger owners
(under age 35) and younger firms (under 10 years in business) more frequently report
firms (over 10 years in business) tend to more frequently report technology getting in the
way or having no effect. As was the case with use of technology, there is NO strong
frequently as having no effect. Faster growing firms (above 20 percent real growth in the
8
past two years) more frequently report technology as helpful, but slower growing firms
Location, like the use of the internet, is not related to technology as an enabler as
might be expected. Owners in urban areas more frequently report technology as helpful,
while those in non-urban areas are more likely to report it getting in the way. Although
further away from their primary bank less frequently report technology getting in the
way.
In the introduction an argument was made that small banks are at no special
disadvantage in the use of technology to assist the delivery of their banking services.
Supporting this contention, bank size is not related to the frequency of reporting
technology as an enabler – with one exception. Owners at banks under $100 million
more frequently report technology as getting in the way (19 percent) and less frequently
when an unordered response, such as the question related to technology as an enabler, has
more than two outcomes. The omitted category is “no effect” so that the coefficients
reduction (a negative coefficient) in the log odds between the included categories
The multivariate results generally support the conclusions drawn from Table 2.
Older firms are less likely to report technology “helpful” compared to those reporting “no
9
effect”, as are owners with less than college degrees. Larger businesses and home-based
businesses are more likely to report technology “helpful.” Only two characteristics are
related to reports of technology “getting in the way”: businesses that are growing more
rapidly are less likely to report this category as are owners with less than a college
education.
Neither location nor distance from the bank has no significant association with
technology as “helpful.” Interestingly, firms that do not visit their bank report that
Even though owners at small banks ($100 million - $1 billion in assets) are less likely to
report technology “getting in the way,” the bank size coefficients as a group are not
significant for this category. However, owners reporting a recent bank merger are more
Implementation of Technology
Owners reporting that technology is “getting in the way” may have this perception
because banks are forcing technology use upon them. The survey asks owners “Is your
principal financial institution forcing you to use more technology in your banking
relationship than you would like?” This question attempts to capture the push (bank
Only 16 percent reported “yes,” which suggests that banks are letting there customers
move into technology at a comfortable pace. A fairly strong correlation exists between
those finding technology as an enabler and those reporting that the bank forces them to
use it more than they want. Only 31 percent of those reporting being forced to use more
10
technology than they would like also reported that technology was helpful, compared to
54 percent overall. Likewise, only 37 percent reporting being forced to use technology
reported that technology was getting in the way compared to 11 percent overall.
Table 2 also includes the responses to the “forced technology use” question
broken down by firm and owner characteristics. Interestingly, the responses to this
question appear to be less strongly correlated to firm and owner characteristics than the
other questions about technology. Although younger owners appear to more frequently
report being forced to use technology, so do the oldest owners and those owners with less
than a college degree. The smallest firms and those with lower real sales growth are
more likely to report being pushed to use technology, as are agricultural firms. Owners
in highly urban and fringe urban (but not urban) more frequently report being pushed, as
owner characteristics and banks forcing technology use. The logistic regression results
show that neither owner nor firm age affects the response to the question about forced
technology use (1=yes; 0 otherwise). Larger firms and those experiencing slow sales
growth are less likely to report being forced into technology use.
billion in assets) and large banks (between $1 and $10 billion in assets) were less likely to
report being forced into technology. This small bank “advantage” is consistent with the
generally favorable views owners have of small banks’ quality of service. Once again,
though, firms that have reported a recent merger are more likely to report being forced to
11
Technology and Relationship Banking
In the introduction the issue was raised as to whether the use of technology in
banking was antithetical to relationship banking for small, information opaque firms.
One way to identify those owners that value relationship banking is through ratings of
selected characteristics they rate as important to the conduct of their banking business.
banking: knows you and your business, provides helpful advice, know local market, and
social contact with loan officer (Scott, 2004). These variables have been combined into a
the viewpoint of small firms, then the correlation of importance ratings on these
The correlation coefficients presented in Table 6 provides no evidence that the use
negatively associated with the importance of relationship banking. For example, ratings
of all of the relationship banking characteristics are positively correlated with the
correlated with knows local market and social contact – an outcome consistent with
technology use at odds with relationship banking – there is no association with knows my
pushing them to use technology shows little correlation with owners that value
relationship banking.
12
The correlation coefficients, of course, are an incomplete way to investigate how
technology usage is related to the importance of relationship banking because it does not
control for firm age, a factor that is likely to be (negatively) related to the importance of
relationship banking. Though not shown, the inclusion of either the Relationship Index
or its components in the multivariate estimates shown in Tables 3, 4, and 5 confirmed the
correlation coefficient results. Thus, while those owners that place more value on
relationship banking are less likely to use the internet, there is no association with a view
that technology gets in the way or that they are forced to use more technology than they
want. These results suggest that banks are letting owners adopt technology at a pace that
small firm banking relationships is to examine the association with shopping for a new
bank and the incidence of changing banks. Table 7 presents logistic regression results for
two dependent variables: Shopped for a New Bank takes a value of 1 if the owner reports
shopping for a new bank in the past three years and Changed Banks takes a value of 1 if
the owner reports changing banks at any time within the recent past and 0 otherwise.
Approximately 20 percent of the owners reported shopping for a new bank, while almost
As shown in Table 7, column 1, owners who feel they are being forced to use
technology are more likely to report shopping for a new bank. However, their views on
2). While concerns about banks forcing technology on them leads to more shopping,
owners’ concerns are not severe enough to lead them to change banks (Table 7, column
13
3). Furthermore, owners that view technology as getting in the way are less likely to
change banks, as are those that find technology helpful in conducting their banking
business (Table 7, column 4). These findings further support the idea small firms, in
So What?
What are the implications of this research for bankers, regulators and policy
makers? First, they should have little concern about the pace of technology
implementation for small firms or its effect on the value of relationship banking. Small
as enabling rather than confining, especially for the youngest, most information-opaque
firms. The “haves” and “have nots” are not related to firm size, but owner age and
education. Over time, as the owner population ages and becomes increasingly educated,
the population should be at even greater ease with computer technology. For now, the
only “cost” to those uncomfortable with the pace of technology change appears to be
shopping for a new bank. Second, the advantages of technology in the conduct of
owner’s banking business are not just limited to those using large banks. Not only do
small banks have just as much access to technology for their customers, but – in their
tradition of relationship banking – they are less likely to be viewed as forcing customers
into technology use. And finally, regulators need to carefully monitor the effect of
mergers on technology use and implementation. Owners at banks that merged are less
likely to view technology as an enabler and more likely to report technology use forced
on them.
14
Conclusion
system have the potential to disrupt small business banking relationships. For small
information opaque firms that rely on personal relationships, technology that is forced
upon them – possibly through a bank merger involving a larger acquiring bank – could
affect credit availability. This paper makes use of recent survey data of small firm
owners that asks several questions about their use of technology in banking, their view of
how banks are implementing technology in the delivery of banking services, and their
banking business.
Small firms have been relatively slow to adopt electronic banking, with no more
than half using it for anything. Yet the use of electronic banking has increased almost
five-fold since 2001. And over half of the owners report that a customer-friendly web
site is important to the conduct of their banking business. The importance of technology
is less related to the size of the business, but more to the age of the owner and business.
While technology use might be expected to be concentrated in more rural areas where the
cost efficiencies may be the greatest, the opposite conclusion is found, possibly because
Not all small business owners are totally happy with that development as many
continue to prefer a personal banking relationship. Still, banks are not systematically
forcing technology on small firms as only 16 percent report that they are forced to use
more technology than they are comfortable with. Owners appear free to accept the types
of technology they feel comfortable with and reject the types they are not. The only
15
exception appears to be in the case of mergers, where owners are more likely to report
technology getting in the way or being forced into using more technology than they want.
Whether these problems are directly related to technology, have an effect on credit
availability, or reflect a broader concern with the merger transition remains for future
research.
16
References
Akhavein, J., Frame, W.S., and White, L.J., 2005.“The Diffusion of Financial
Innovations: An Examination of the Adoption of Small Business Credit Scoring by
Large Banking Organizations.” Journal of Business, 78, 577–96.
Berger, A.N., Frame, S., Miller, N., 2005.“Credit Scoring and the Availability, Price and
Risk of Small Business Credit”. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 37, 191–222.
Berger, A. N., and Udell, G.F., 2002. “Small Business Credit Availability and
Relationship Lending: The Importance of Bank Organisational Structure.” Economic
Journal 112, F32-F53.
DeYoung, R., Hunter, W.C., Udell, G.F., 2004. The Past, Present, and Possible Future for
Community Banks? Journal of Financial Services Research 25, 85-133.
Greene, W., 2000. Econometric Analysis (4th ed., Prentice-Hall, New York, New York).
Petersen, M.A. and R. G. Rajan, 2002. Does Distance Still Matter? The Information
Revolution In Small Business Lending. Journal of Finance 57, 2533-2570.
Scott, J.A., 2004. Small Business and the Value of Community Financial Institutions.
Journal of Financial Services Research, 25, 207-230.
17
Table 1
Sample Description
The distribution of the responses to the National Federation of Independent Business' Credit, Banks and
Small Business Poll conducted by the Gallup Organization. The raw number of observations is shown with
the frequency distributions adjusted for the oversampling of large businesses.
No. of Weighted %
Observations of Total
Owner age
Under 35 59 8
35-44 157 17
44-54 251 34
54-65 194 27
65+ 69 11
Don't know/no answer 22 3
Owner education
High school/GED 155 21
Some college 179 26
Undergraduate 259 29
Graduate/professional 154 24
Don't know/no answer 5 1
Business age
< 6 years 178 23
6-10 139 18
11-20 181 23
21-30 153 22
31+ 92 12
Don't know/no answer 9 1
Employment
One 98 22
2-4 138 31
5-9 114 27
10+ 402 21
Home-based business
Yes 130 25
No 616 74
Don't know/no answer 6 1
Real sales growth
>30% 155 17
20-29% 129 19
10-19% 180 22
+/- 10% 180 25
Fell by 10% 75 12
Don't know/no answer 33 5
Industry
Agriculture 19 3
Manufacturing/mining 64 8
Construction 72 10
Wholesale 41 7
Retail 115 14
Transportation 35 4
FIRE 60 15
Professional/science/techical 86 9
Education/Health care 60 6
Art/Entertainment 95 3
Other services 83 13
Don't know/no answer 22 10
Total 752 100
18
Table 2
Use of Technology in Conducting Banking Business (% responding "yes" to each category)
Use of Technology in Implemen-
Banking Technology as an Enabler tation
Made to use
Bank via Web site Getting in more than
Internet important Helpful the way No Effect desired
Owner age
Under 35 63 62 67 10 24 27
35-44 58 56 51 7 42 18
44-54 58 55 56 12 31 12
54-65 42 48 53 15 32 16
65+ 30 35 42 7 51 21
Owner education
High school/GED 38 47 42 10 46 21
Some college 50 49 51 9 38 19
Undergraduate 54 57 60 12 27 14
Graduate/professional 57 52 58 13 29 12
Business age
< 6 years 63 68 64 6 28 16
6-10 50 51 60 6 35 10
11-20 41 49 51 13 35 19
21-30 45 43 45 17 38 17
31+ 36 40 44 13 41 22
Employment
One 50 58 50 12 38 20
2-4 54 55 55 9 35 19
5-9 45 43 53 14 33 13
10+ 54 51 56 9 33 14
Home-based business 60 61 61 11 27 16
Real sales growth
>30% 65 53 60 8 31 11
20-29% 54 54 60 6 33 11
10-19% 48 49 53 11 35 18
+/- 10% 48 53 51 11 38 20
Fell by 10% 41 49 43 25 30 25
Location
Rural 38 50 49 12 38 16
Small cities/towns 50 54 48 10 41 15
Fringe urban 54 53 51 17 32 23
Urban 54 56 60 7 33 7
Highly urban 58 61 59 9 31 24
Time to bank
under 5 minutes 50 52 56 10 34 17
5 minutes 50 52 51 16 33 18
6-10 minutes 49 48 53 8 38 14
Over 10 minutes 54 52 56 7 36 16
Use telephone only 89 86 44 33 22 20
Bank size
Over $10 billion 58 59 54 11 35 17
$1-$10 billion 49 51 56 10 33 13
$100 million - $1billion 43 48 55 8 36 11
Under $100 million 48 53 46 19 36 23
Non-bank 67 67 69 0 31 39
Total 51 54 53 11 35 16
19
Table 3
Multivariate Analysis of the Determinants of Technology Usage
Logistic regression results are presented for Bank via Internet (1= owner responds yes; 0 otherwise).
Ordered probit is use for Web Site Important (5 = owner rates very important to 1= owner rates not
important). Robust standard errors are reported that allow for clustering on firm size.
*** significant at .01 level; ** significant at .05 level; * signficant at .10 level
20
Table 4
Multivariate Analysis of Technology as an Enabler
Multinomial logit is used to estimate the effect of firm and owner characteristics on the how technology is
viewed as an enabler. The dependent variable has three 1/0 categories: Technology Is Helpful, Technology
Gets in the Way, and Technology Has No Effect. Technology Has No Effect is the omitted category and the
cofficients on the independent variables should be evaluated versus this category. Robust standard errors are
reported that allow clustering on firm size.
No of Obs. 723
Psuedo r-squared 0.103
*** significant at .01 level; ** significant at .05 level; * signficant at .10 level
21
Table 5
Multivariate Analysis of Small Firm View of Technology Implementation
Logistic regression is used to estimate the log odds that banks are forcing technology on small
firms. The dependent variable =1 if owners report banks making them use more technology than
the want and 0 otherwise. Robust standard errors are reported that allow for clustering on firm
age.
No of Obs. 729
Psuedo r-squared 0.132
*** significant at .01 level; ** significant at .05 level; * signficant at .10 level
22
Table 6
Technology Use and Relationship Banking: Correlation Coefficients
Customer friendly web site 0.221 0.353 0.201 0.203 0.318 0.355 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Technology is helpful 0.054 0.102 -0.012 -0.015 0.035 0.448 0.411 1.000
0.137 0.005 0.735 0.678 0.344 0.000 0.000
Technology is in the way -0.009 -0.068 0.042 0.005 -0.012 -0.120 -0.245 -0.375 1.000
0.812 0.065 0.253 0.891 0.738 0.001 0.000 0.000
Technology has no effect -0.046 -0.057 -0.007 0.008 -0.030 -0.383 -0.264 -0.780 -0.255 1.000
0.206 0.121 0.841 0.829 0.421 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Bank is forcing technology -0.031 -0.016 -0.052 0.021 -0.023 -0.130 -0.153 -0.202 0.364 -0.024 1.000
0.401 0.673 0.161 0.578 0.530 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508
23
Table 7
Multivariate Analysis of the Effect of Technology on Search for New Banking Relationship
Logistic is used to estimate the effect of the technology implementation variables on the incidence of shopping for a new
bank and the incidence of changing banks. Shopped for a New Bank takes a vlue of 1 if the owner reports shopping for a
new bank within the past three years and 0 otherwise. Changed Banks takes a value of 1 if the owner reports changing
primary banks within the past three years and 0 otherwise. Robust standard errors are reported that allow for clustering on
employment.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Shopped for New Shopped for New
Bank Bank Changed Banks Changed Banks
Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err.
***
Forced to use technology 0.968 0.232 *** 0.907 0.210 0.104 0.386 0.290 0.392
**
Technology is helpful -0.111 0.263 -0.587 0.231
***
Technology is getting in the way 0.127 0.300 -1.278 0.462
** **
Log of firm age -0.395 0.197 -0.411 0.206 -0.074 0.161 -0.111 0.174
** **
Log of owner age 0.222 0.172 0.219 0.171 -0.215 0.099 -0.214 0.095
** ** *** ***
Log of firm size 0.254 0.116 0.262 0.131 0.298 0.082 0.353 0.084
*
High school diploma -0.418 0.253 -0.427 0.264 -0.046 0.467 -0.139 0.482
Some college -0.095 0.321 -0.091 0.324 -0.414 0.326 -0.540 0.357
Graduate/professional degree 0.295 0.198 0.290 0.199 0.144 0.263 0.164 0.267
** **
Real sales growth 0.213 0.093 0.214 0.093 0.122 0.152 0.116 0.148
*
Home-based business -0.553 0.287 -0.539 0.291 -0.337 0.440 -0.240 0.458
*** ***
Industry: Agriculture 0.181 0.602 0.206 0.611 1.293 0.458 1.431 0.515
Industry: Manufacturing -0.336 0.348 -0.336 0.357 0.382 0.683 0.339 0.678
Industry: Construction 0.472 0.426 0.482 0.438 0.351 0.593 0.506 0.604
* *
Industry: W holesale 0.237 0.555 0.249 0.579 -1.196 0.618 -1.141 0.634
Industry: Transportation -0.847 0.605 -0.852 0.576 -0.869 0.808 -0.986 0.829
** **
Industry: Professional/science/tech. 0.486 0.420 0.521 0.412 1.185 0.518 1.242 0.508
Industry: FIRE 0.030 0.365 0.037 0.381 0.145 0.563 0.226 0.568
*** ***
Industry: Education/Health care -1.528 0.432 -1.526 0.452 -0.759 0.802 -0.747 0.863
** **
Industry: Art/Entertainment 0.233 0.313 0.245 0.317 0.993 0.423 1.000 0.462
Industry: Other services 0.225 0.408 0.246 0.420 0.634 0.609 0.734 0.639
Log time to bank -0.039 0.139 -0.040 0.143 0.180 0.138 0.155 0.135
* *
Does not visit bank 1.154 0.684 1.108 0.674 -1.386 0.969 -1.194 0.974
** ** * **
Recent merger of primary bank 0.575 0.252 0.564 0.253 0.499 0.292 0.566 0.248
Very large bank 0.283 0.297 0.287 0.302 0.168 0.490 0.120 0.477
* *
Large bank 0.408 0.234 0.415 0.229 -0.016 0.422 -0.029 0.384
Small bank 0.059 0.333 0.068 0.320 0.135 0.389 0.158 0.387
Location: metro -0.286 0.360 -0.276 0.358 -0.605 0.522 -0.579 0.510
** ** * *
Location: urban -0.629 0.321 -0.618 0.315 -0.801 0.438 -0.776 0.451
Location: fringe urban 0.036 0.270 0.030 0.270 -0.222 0.601 -0.210 0.616
***
Location: small city 0.248 0.297 0.254 0.309 0.069 0.269 -2.480 0.956
*** *** ***
Constant -2.666 0.728 -2.591 0.728 -2.883 0.937
*** significant at .01 level; ** significant at .05 level; * signficant at .10 level
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