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Overview
This is an advanced course on macroeconomics for students who have a good background
in micro and macro theory, econometrics, and mathematical techniques for economic
analysis. The objective of the course is to develop expertise with economic models used for
the analysis of macroeconomic policy issues. The course relies on recent economic research
with a policy focus, in order to build a substantive understanding of current issues in
macroeconomics, as well as a familiarity with the core tools of macroeconomics. Our motto
is to be rigorous, so that we know that our thinking is solid and well-grounded, and relevant, for
we want to have impact on policy changes in the real world.
Prerequisites
Readings
No single text covers all the material for the course. D. Romer‟s (DR) Advanced
Macroeconomics (3rd ed., McGraw-Hill, 2006) is a book that has a nice coverage of recent
research in macroeconomics, and will thus be our main source for background reading. In
fact, given the large amount of material we expect you to read from this source we have not
included Romer chapters in the package. In class I will be drawing mostly from this book,
with some additional elements being provided by D. Acemoglu‟s (DA) Introduction to Modern
Economic Growth (2009) (in the first part of the course), by O. Blanchard and S. Fischer‟s (BF)
Lectures on Macroeconomics (MIT Press, 1989), and by a number of mostly classical articles in
the field. Because this is a course to set up the stage for your understanding of
macroeconomics, with a few exceptions I have chosen to direct you to seminal or survey
articles in each topic, relying on DR for a discussion of the developments thereafter.
The reading list is short, under the assumption that you will skim through most of the pieces.
Still there are two types of readings, some which you are required to read (indicated by a *),
while others are included as background material for what I do in class and which may be
useful reference points to clarify lecture material.
For those interested in development at large, there are a couple of fairly recent books that
provide interesting reading, and a good link with material that is covered in class. Among
these:
Easterly, William (2001) The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists Adventures and Misadventures in
the Tropics, Cambridge University Press.
Helpman, Elhanan (2004), The Mystery of Economic Growth, Harvard University Press.
Lucas, Robert (2002) Lectures on Economic Growth, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Rodrik, Dani (2007), One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions and Economic Growth,
Princeton University Press.
Grading
a midterm (30%)
problem sets (20%)
a final (50%)
The midterm will take place on March 8 (in class), and the final will be on May 9 (Mon, 2-
5pm). The problem sets will be handed out every other Tuesday, and will be due the
Wednesday of the following week, by 10am, in the Littauer 2nd floor drop boxes.
Why do we do theory?
This is a recurrent question in a course like this one, which attempts to address very practical
questions with relatively abstract models. An excellent (and very readable) justification of
why we use these abstract models was written by Paul Krugman
(http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/dishpan.html): models, like maps, constitute a useful
and indispensable source of simplification without which we cannot comprehend the world.
Fiction is perhaps the best way to make this point, as illustrated by Argentinean writer Jorge
Luis Borges in his one-paragraph short story entitled “On rigor in science”:
“„... In that empire, the art of cartography reached such perfection that the map of one
province alone covered up the whole of a city, and the map of the empire, the whole
of a province. In time, those unconscionable maps did not satisfy, and the colleges of
cartographers set up a map of the empire which had the size of the empire itself and
coincided with it point by point. Less addicted to the study of cartography, succeeding
generations understood that this widespread map was useless and not without impiety
they abandoned it to the inclemency of the sun and of the winters. In the deserts of
the west some mangled ruins of the map lasted on, inhabited by animals and beggars;
in the whole country there are no other relics of the disciplines of geography.‟ Suárez
Miranda, Viajes de varones prudentes, Book IV, Chapter XLV, Urida, 1658.”
A Universal History of Infamy, Penguin, London, 1975
Course Contents
The course will cover five main areas of the macroeconomics debate: i) growth, ii)
overlapping generations models and social security, iii) consumption and investment, iv)
business cycles, and v) a discussion of fiscal and monetary policy.
I. Growth
Jan 25th and Jan 27th Introduction and the Solow model
* DR, Chapter 1.
* Barro, R. and X. Sala-i-Martin (2004), Economic Growth (2nd ed), McGraw-Hill, Introduction.
* Easterly, W. (2001) The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists Adventures and Misadventures in the
Tropics, Cambridge University Press, Chapter 2 and 3.
DA, Chapter 1.
Feb. 1st and 3rd The Ramsey model and optimal savings
* DR Chapter 3. Part A.
* Lucas, R. (1990) “Why doesn‟t Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries” American
Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 2, May.
DA Chapter 11.
* DR Chapter 3. Part A.
* Easterly, W. (2005) “Reliving the „50s: the Big Push, Poverty Traps, and Takeoffs in
Economic Development”, Center for Global Development, Working paper No. 65.
* Murphy, K., A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny (1989), “Industrialization and the Big Push,” Journal
of Political Economy, October.
* DA Chapters 3 and 4.
* Mankiw, G., D. Romer and D. Weil (1992) “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic
Growth” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No 2.
* Hall, R. and C. Jones (1999) “Why do Some Countries Produce so Much More Output per
Worker than Others?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, February.
Jones, C. and P. Romer (2009) “The New Kaldor Facts: Ideas, Institutions, Population, and
Human Capital” (http://www.stanford.edu/~chadj/Kaldor200.pdf)
* Feldstein, M. (1996) "The Missing Piece in Policy Analysis: Social Security Reform," The
Richard T. Ely Lecture, in American Economic Review, Vol. 86, No. 2, May, pp 1-14.
* Feldstein, M (1997) “Transition to a Fully Funded Pension System: Five Economic Issues”
NBER Working Paper, No. 6149.
* DR. Chapter 7.
* DR Chapter 8
Sachs, J. (1981) “The Current Account and Macroeconomic Adjustment in the 1970s”,
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
* DR Chapter 4.
* Prescott, E. (1986) “Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement”, Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis FED Quarterly.
* DR Chapters 5 and 6
Friedman, M. (1968) “On the role of Monetary Policy”, American Economic Review, Vol. 58,
No. 1.
Mankiw, G. and D. Romer (1991) “Introduction” in Mankiw G. and D. Romer (eds) New
Keynesian Economics, Cambridge MIT Press. (This is just a long list of contributions that you
can use as reference)
April 5th The Great Recession: Whither Macroeconomics?
Caballero, R. (2010) “Macroeconomics after the Crisis: Time to Deal with the Pretense-of-
Knowledge Syndrome” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 24, No. 4.
Fuster, A., D. Laibson and B. Mendel (2010) “Natural Expectations and Macroeconomic
Fluctuations” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 24, No. 4.
* DR Chapter 9
Summers, L. (1988) “Relative Wages, Efficiency Wages, and Keynesian Unemployment” The
American Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 2.
April 12th and 14th Public debt dynamics and the effectiveness of fiscal policy
* Barro, R. (1974) “Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?” Journal of Political Economy, Vo. 82,
No. 6.
Christiano, L., M. Eichenbaum and S. Rebelo (2009) “When is the Government Spending
Multiplier Large?” (http://faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu/~yona/research/Multiplier-
version12.pdf)
* Barro, R. (1979) “On the determination of Public Debt”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 87.
* Alesina, A. and R. Perotti (1994) “The Political Economy of Budget Deficits” IMF Staff
Papers,Vol. 42.
DR Chapter 10.6-10.7.
* Mishkin, Frederic (2006) “Monetary Policy Strategy: How did we get here?” NBER
Working Paper No. 12515, September.