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IPCS Special

Report

INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS

72 Analysing Regional Implications

MAY 2009

Mohit Anand

Institute of Peace and


Conflict Studies

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New Delhi 110029
91-11-4100 1900

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© 2009, Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies (IPCS)

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INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS
ANALYSING REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS
MOHIT ANAND
Former Research Officer, IPCS, New Delhi

AN OVERVIEW Look-East policy and began reviving its


economic relations with Southeast Asia.3
India has shared a close relationship with ASEAN too realized the importance of
ASEAN countries since the time of its India as the third-largest economy in Asia
independence. It started expanding its and an emerging regional power and saw
influence in the Southeast Asian region its significance for ASEAN’s political and
during the 1950s by supporting the economic future. The growing
Indonesian struggle for independence and complementarity of views led to the
involving itself in the Indochina crisis in the acceptance of India as ASEAN’s sectoral
1960s. It also signed friendship treaties partner in early 1992 and its full dialogue
with Indonesia, Myanmar and the partner in July 1996.4
Philippines and consolidated its bilateral
and diplomatic relations with them. The 1990s saw the rise of regionalism in
However, with the signing of an “India- Southeast Asia. In the aftermath of the
Soviet Peace and Friendship Cooperation economic crisis of the late 1990s, there has
Treaty”, relations between India and been a heightened emphasis on regional
ASEAN took a downturn. The ASEAN economic integration with the consequent
members’ perception of the Soviet Union proliferation of various Free Trade
was far from benign and the signing of the Agreements (FTAs) involving ASEAN and
treaty made them suspicious of India’s other countries in the region. With rising
intentions.1 Further, under the influence of economic growth and its emergence as an
the Soviet Union, India recognized the influential player in the region, India too
People’s Republic of Kampuchea regime has adopted a similar policy of
that was propped up in Vietnam in July establishing closer economic and strategic
1980 and through the decade, built strong engagements with ASEAN. At the second
political and military relations with ASEAN-India Summit in Bali in October
Vietnam. This was contrary to the ASEAN 2003, India and ASEAN signed an
view which condemned the Kampuchean agreement to establish a Free Trade Area.
regime and resulted in the worsening of The presence of India at the East Asia
relations between India and ASEAN.2 Summit in December 2005 and its inclusion
Through the 1980s, relations between India in the East Asia Community have further
and ASEAN were uncertain and plagued testified to the growing synergies between
by various political and diplomatic them and suggest a future entailing
differences which resulted in a compromise greater integration in the region.
of economic relations between them.
The objective of this paper is to highlight
However, with the collapse of the Soviet the trends in the interactions between India
Union, India embarked on re-orienting its and ASEAN and elaborate the relations
foreign policy priorities. India initiated its between them. While their motivations for

1 3
Mohammad Ayoob. 1990. India and Southeast Ibid.
4
Asia: Indian Perceptions and Policies. London: Syed Hamid Albar. 2002. “ASEAN-India
Routledge. Partnership: Opportunities and Challenges,” India-
2
Zhao Hong. “India’s Changing Relations with ASEAN Partnership in an Era of Globalization.
ASEAN: From China’s Perspective,” East Asian New Delhi: Research and Information System for
Institute Working Paper No. 133, October 2006. the Non-Aligned and Other Developing Countries.

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IPCS SPECIAL REPORT
No 72, May 2009

developing stronger ties are largely economies.6 While regionalism increased in


economic in nature, they rest to a large popularity due to obvious benefits arising
extent on definite geopolitical from greater market access and reduced
considerations. The paper examines these business costs, there were various other
factors and attempts to provide an reasons which brought about a preference
understanding of the direction in which their for regionalism among the ASEAN
relations are heading, along with an economies.
analysis of the dynamics affecting it.
First, the East Asian financial crisis
highlighted the need for effective
prevention, management, and resolution of
I financial crises and contagion. There was
RISE OF REGIONALISM IN SOUTHEAST growing dissatisfaction with the way the
ASIA IMF handled the crisis and a need was felt
for the establishment of a self-help
ASEAN, established in August 1967, has, mechanism between the East Asian
for long, been the only official economies, one that would include
organization that pursued regional information exchange, policy dialogue, a
economic integration in East Asia. It is regional liquidity support arrangement,
responsible for several economic financial sector development, and joint
integration initiatives in East Asia including policy making in critical areas such as
the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA), exchange rate policy coordination.7
the ASEAN Framework Agreement on
Services (AFAS) and the ASEAN Investment Second, with the growing integration of
Area (AIA). As part of the ASEAN vision both trade and FDI in the region there has
2020, it aims to establish an ASEAN been a growing need for a formal
Security Community, ASEAN Economic institutional framework for facilitation of
Community, and ASEAN Socio-Cultural trade and investment, harmonization of
Community by 2020. By achieving a free rules, standards and procedures and
flow of goods, investment, services and a dispute settlement. The deepening financial
reduction in poverty and socio-economic and macroeconomic interdependence has
disparity across the region, it hopes to also given rise to the need to resolve the
develop into a single market and problem of “collective action” by
production base by 2020.5 internalizing externalities and spill over
effects that arise from interdependence.
Most of these initiatives came about in the Given that a country’s shocks and crises can
late 1990s as part of the shift in ASEAN’s easily be transmitted to other economies
policies towards regionalism. This change within the same region, the need to
played out in the form of several regional establish financial safety nets has been
and bilateral trade agreements. While the recognized in the region.8
agreements were largely between ASEAN
economies, many also included South Asian Finally, there has been a tendency towards
countries like Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, regionalism as a defensive response to the
Nepal, Bhutan, and Sri Lanka. There were proliferation of regional trade agreements
also significant agreements between
ASEAN and the other major East Asian 6
Mukul G Asher and Rahul Sen, “India-East Asia
Integration: A Win-Win for Asia.” Research and
Information Systems for the Non-Aligned and Other
Developing Countries RIS Discussion Paper, No.
91, March 2005.
5 7
Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja, Masahiro Kawai. “East Asian Economic
“ASEAN+3 or ASEAN+6: Which Way Forward,” Regionalism: Progress and Challenges,” Journal of
Asian Development Bank Institute ADBI Discussion Asian Economics, Vol.16(1). January 2005: 29-55
8
Paper No. 77, September 2007. Ibid.

2
INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS

in Europe and the Western Hemisphere. and concern with the aim of promoting
The growing dissatisfaction with the slow peace, stability, and economic prosperity in
progress on trade liberalization at the East Asia.” Further, his statement laid stress
global level has also contributed to the on ASEAN’s commitment to the ‘Doha
same. East Asian governments are of the Development Agenda’ of the WTO and its
view that unless they develop their own preference for an ambitious and balanced
regional frameworks they will lose out in outcome in the Doha round. The summit,
global competition and multilateral however, faced various issues in its
negotiations. They feel the need to implementation, largely pertaining to
strengthen their bargaining power against membership, institutionalization and
the EU and the United States.9 agenda.

While the Asian countries were slow to ASEAN presently stands at a juncture
respond to the trend of regionalism, their where it is looking to integrate nations in
initiatives to propagate it increased the region not just in matters of trade, but
tremendously after the 1997-98 financial also in the larger sense, of the coming
crisis. However, their initiatives have gone together of countries as a consolidated
beyond forming regional trade centre of power. It has realized that
agreements and have included measures to integration at the bilateral level will hinder
increase cooperation in political, security, the exploitation of the potential of regional
environmental, energy, cultural, economic integration. There is therefore, a
educational, social, and institutional growing recognition of the importance of
sectors.10 Thus, what has emerged, is a integration at a pan-Asian level. There is a
framework for a virtual East Asian realization that any future growth has to
community. This framework is the basis of be fuelled from within the region, as
the East Asia Summit which is considered demonstrated by the formation of regional
the first step towards building an East trading blocs in the rest of the world.12
Asian Community. The first East Asia Summit There are significant complementarities that
was held in Kuala Lumpur on 14 December exist between countries in the region in
2005 and included, in addition to all ten terms of diverse comparative advantages
ASEAN countries, Japan, China, South and varied strategic and diplomatic
Korea, India, Australia, and New advantages. As Kumar puts it, “Regional
Zealand.11 The summit marked the formal cooperation could help in exploiting the
inclusion of non-Southeast Asian countries existing capacities in the region fully.”13
like India, Australia, and New Zealand into
the regional architecture of Southeast Asia.
The East Asia Summit has consequently
come to be known as ASEAN+6. The II
Chairman’s statement at the summit INDIA’S ATTENTION ON REGIONALISM
adequately highlighted the emphasis on
building an East Asian Community. He India’s new growth story is the direct result
described the East Asia Summit as a “forum of the conscious change in its economic
for dialogue on broad strategic, political, policy after its macroeconomic crisis in
and economic issues of common interest 1991. There was a realization of the need
to change the inward-looking growth
9
Ibid.
model that had been followed by India
10
SD Muni. 2006. “East Asia Summit and India,” since the time of its independence, due to
Institute of South Asian Studies Working Paper, No. its inappropriateness in the post-Cold War
13. era and an age of globalization. India,
11
Nagesh Kumar, “Towards a Broader Asian thus, initiated reforms to restructure,
Community: Agenda for the East Asia Summit,”
Research and Information Systems for the Non-
12
Aligned and Other Developing Countries RIS Ibid.
13
Discussion Paper, No. 100, November 2005 Ibid.

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IPCS SPECIAL REPORT
No 72, May 2009

deregulate, and liberalize its economy.14 China has provided military support to all
Since the reforms, India has assumed an of India’s neighbours and significant
outward economic orientation and has assistance to Pakistan for its nuclear
worked to improve its economic relations program. This has been a serious
with other countries. destabilizing factor for India. Further,
China’s rising presence in Southeast Asia
In keeping with its reformed approach and has posed serious security concerns for
the rise in bilateral and regional trading India. A country in control of the Indo-China
agreements around the world, India too, region would threaten India’s security, as
embarked on establishing trade and many Southeast Asian states have
investment linkages with a number of adjoining borders with India.19 As a
countries in Asia. The motivations for these consequence, India has attempted to
deals have been economic as well strategic improve its interaction with Southeast Asia
in nature. “India envisages PTAs as by rebuilding its long lost ties with ASEAN.
important foreign policy tools to forge new
strategic alliances with the rest of Asia, and This was largely due to the drastic increase
to contribute to regional security efforts.”15 in bilateral merchandise trade between
India and China, which rose from US$1.7
It has established trade agreements within billion in 1997-98 (US$0.7 billion in
SAARC, ASEAN and with individual exports and US$1 billion in imports) to
countries in East Asia. It has developed about US$7 billion in 2003-04 (US$3.0
partnerships with Latin American and billion in exports and US$4.0 billion in
Middle Eastern countries with its imports). The bilateral trade between India
agreements with the Mercosur grouping, and Japan however, has shown a decline.
Egypt and Chile.16 Its measures towards
trade integration are not restricted to Apart from merchandise trade, there has
merchandise trade alone, but also include also been growing trade in commercial
commercial services and financial services. The services sector has been
integration which will contribute to the rapidly expanding in India with its growth
strengthening of India’s market-based in IT and Business Process Outsourcing
economic integration, in addition to services along with its rise in other East
improving its competitiveness and economic Asian economies. There has consequently
robustness.17 With the deadlock at the been enhanced integration in their trade,
Doha round, Indian policy makers have especially due to improvement in
clearly indicated that bilateralism will be a technologies and increasing globalization.20
key instrument of India’s commercial trade The combination of a large supply of top-
strategy in the future.18 notch, low-cost labor, high-quality software
processes, and the scale to handle all types
China’s dominance in Southeast Asia of work, has allowed the Indian software
became a great cause of concern for India. industry to excel in the world market.21

14
Mukul G Asher, “India’s Rising Role in Asia,”
Research and Information Systems for the Non-
Aligned and Other Developing Countries RIS
Discussion Paper No. 121, March 2007
15 19
Ibid. p.21 Sajnani M Vashi, India’s Policy Towards
16
Ibid. Southeast Asia: 1992-2002, (Dissertation Dept. of
17
Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja. Political Science, Faculty of Arts & Social Sciences,
Op.Cit. National University of Singapore, 2003)
18 20
Rahul Sen, “New Regionalism in Asia: A Mukul G Asher and Rahul Sen. Op.Cit.
21
Comparative Analysis of Emerging Regional and Jaspreet Singh, “Country Analysis: India,”
Bilateral Trading Agreements Involving ASEAN, American University Website, 5 December 2003,
China and India,” Journal of World Trade, Vol. 40, http://www.american.edu/initeb/js5518a/Country-
No. 4, August 2006, pp. 553-596 analysis-india.html, accessed on 16 November 2007

4
.

Table 1: India’s Exports to East Asia, 2001-02 to 2006-07


Values in US$ million

Source: Directorate General of Foreign Trade, India

Table 2: India’s Imports from East Asia, 2001-02 to 2006-07


Values in US$ million

Source: Directorate General of Foreign Trade, India

According to the WTO ranking of growth rate of 7-8 per cent, India is poised
commercial trade in 2003, India ranked to emerge as a large economic power in
21st in global exports and imports of the years to come. With a rising middle
commercial services, accounting for 1.4 per class and an economy on an upward
cent of global service exports and 1.2 per trajectory, India has large economic
cent of global service imports.22 Its success potential and provides ample opportunities
in the services sector has allowed it to push for economies in the region to link up with
for reforms through the GATS and extend its economic resurgence. ASEAN has
proposals at the WTO regarding the same, certainly taken note of this fact and is
thereby, increasing hope for the aware that it is in its best interest to include
liberalization of commercial services.23 India in a regional framework and
thereby, capitalize on its emerging
strength. One of the objectives of the
III Framework Agreement on Comprehensive
ASEAN’S INTERESTS IN INDIA Economic Cooperation signed between
ASEAN and India is to “facilitate the more
With substantial growth in the last decade, effective economic integration of the new
India has emerged as one of the largest ASEAN member states and the bridging of
economies not just in Asia, but the entire development gap among the parties.”24
world. With the third largest GDP and a There is growing awareness that regional
disparities need to be addressed and
22
Mukul G Asher and Rahul Sen. Op.Cit.
23 24
Benny Kuruvilla, “Services Industry Drives India “Framework Agreement on Comprehensive
GATS Negotiations,” Focus on the Global South Economic Cooperation between the Republic of
Website, 30 June 2006, India and the Association of Southeast Asian
http://www.focusweb.org/services-industry-drives- Nations” ASEAN Official Website,
india-gats-negotiations.html, accessed on 16 http://www.aseansec.org/15278.htm, accessed on 16
November 2007 November 2007

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No 72, May 2009

cooperation increased, to broaden the Southeast Asia and its endorsement of the
range of countries that derive benefits from Southeast Asia Nuclear Weapons Free
growth in the region. Zone (SEANWFZ) has gone a long way in
assuring the region of India's intent. The
ASEAN and India also share common ASEAN looks at India's security needs more
interests with regard to regional peace as a factor emanating from the compulsions
and security. Since the 11 September 2001 of the geopolitical position that India holds,
attacks on the United States, terrorism has rather than being a derivative of any
become a new threat to global and hegemonic designs on India's part.”27
regional security. Both ASEAN and India
are faced with grave vulnerabilities with With increasing foreign exchange reserves
regard to terrorism and it is in their and a prudently managed financial system,
common interest to work together to build India is attracting attention for its strong
peace and security in the region. Further, macroeconomic fundamentals. Studies by
the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Goldman Sachs suggest that “India has the
rise in China’s power in the last decade potential to show the fastest growth over
and a half have drastically altered the the next thirty and fifty years.”28 With the
balance of power in Asia. “One of the growing economic integration of the Indian
considerations ASEAN took into account economy, its growth effects are bound to
while according bigger status to India was spill over to other countries as well. With
definitely the issue of China’s rising power booming demand for infrastructure and
profile and especially its naval incursions investments, India can counterbalance the
into the South China Sea as also China’s loss of the US market due to its attempts to
expanding acceptance worldwide.”25 With curb its growing trade deficit. With a rising
the withdrawal of US troops from strategic middle class, domestic demand in India is
locations in the region following the bound to increase by leaps and bounds in
collapse of the Soviet Union, the Southeast the next decade.29
Asian countries deemed it appropriate to
guard against Chinese influence by setting Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, India
up vital sea-lanes of communications such has pursued a Look East Policy and worked
as the Taiwan, Malacca, Sunda and towards integrating with East Asia.
Lombhok Straits. Accordingly, ASEAN Complimenting the rising trade integration
countries justifiably perceive India, with the with broader integration measures will only
largest Naval forces in the Indian Ocean consolidate the existing links and compound
and nuclear capabilities, a strategic the potential benefits for all countries
partner to balance China’s growing power involved. In the last decade, India has
in the region.26 successfully developed its software and
services sector. Along with East Asian
Conversely, there have also been specialization in manufactures, India’s
apprehensions within ASEAN regarding strength in services could result in a
India’s Navy and nuclear capabilities as formidable strategic combination. With the
India itself posseses the ability to yield realization of such potential, India is
substantial influence and power in the increasingly getting linked with existing
region. “But India's willingness to accede to East Asian production networks. This
the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in however, is in a latent stage and there is
large potential for beneficial synergies
25
Swatan Singh, “China Factor in India’s Ties with
Southeast Asia,” in Frédéric Grare and Amitabh
27
Mattoo (ed.), India and ASEAN: the politics of Shankari Sundararaman, “India and ASEAN,”
India's look east policy, (New Delhi: Manohar, The Hindu, 19 November 2002,
2001), p. 199 http://www.mea.gov.in/opinion/2002/11/19o02.htm,
26
Jaffrelot Christophe, “India’s Look East Policy: accessed on 17 November 2007
28
An Asianist Strategy in Perspective,” India Review, Nagesh Kumar. Op.Cit.
29
Vol. 2(2), April 2003 Ibid.

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INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS

between them. Further, excellent trade and South Asia was always a dubious
transport links with Southeast Asian framework for situating the Indian security
economies can act as a link to provide paradigm. Given its size, geographical
access to markets in East Asia.30 location, trade links and the EEZ, India’s
security environment and therefore
While East Asia is on the verge of entering potential concerns range from the Persian
a phase of demographic burden with a Gulf to the Straits of Malacca in the West,
lower share of working age population South and East, Central Asia in the
and a higher median age of workers; India Northwest, China in the Northeast and
is entering a demographic boon phase with South Asia.”34 Thus, India is looking to
a higher share of working age population develop associations with countries beyond
and can prove to be a human resource its immediate neighbourhood, perceiving
base for East Asia.31 countries in East and Northeast Asia as its
far eastern neighbours and the ASEAN
The increasing relevance of India in the countries as its near eastern neighbours.35
East Asian framework has contributed to its One of the first concrete steps taken by
rising interaction with ASEAN. Though there India was the setting up of the Mekong-
has been turbulence in their relations in the Ganga Cooperation Project in 2000 which
past, it is evident that the importance of includes India and the five ASEAN countries
integrating in today’s interconnected (including the four newer ASEAN members
globalizing world has been recognized by – Vietnam, Lao, Cambodia, Myanmar and
countries in East Asia. With ASEAN as the Thailand). India was aware that economic
established hub and the framework of cooperation with ASEAN would depend on
regionalism in place in the region, it has how fast the new ASEAN countries could
been realized that it is prudent to include catch up with the rest of ASEAN and
India and allow it to participate for intended to provide them with economic
increased benefits and growth. and technical assistance.36

INDIA’S FOCUS ON ASEAN The institutionalization of ASEAN-India


India-ASEAN relations stepped up a notch relations came with the First ASEAN-India
towards the end of 1990s and the Summit in Pnhom Penh on 5 November
beginning of 2000. In 1998, the then 2002 and was perceived as the success of
Indian Prime Minister, Mr. Atal Bihari India’s Look East Policy. It was considered
Vajpayee intended to accelerate India’s an acknowledgement of India’s emergence
Look East Policy.32 “The concept of as a key player in the Asia Pacific
‘extended neighbourhood’ was Region.37 This breakthrough came after a
popularized by Indian leaders such as I.K. long and arduous effort on the part of the
Gujral and Jaswant Singh.”33 In a lecture Indian diplomacy to convince ASEAN
at the Institute of Strategic Studies in countries to hold a separate ASEAN-India
Singapore in 2000, Jawant Singh summit. This sentiment was echoed in an
explained, “India’s parameters of security article in a leading Indian newspaper
concerns clearly extend beyond confines of which stated that “The first Association of
the convenient, albeit, questionable Southeast Asian Nations-India Summit held
geographical definition of South Asia. in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, sets the stage
for India to move purposefully ahead in
30
Ibid.
developing a broad strategic partnership
31
Ibid.
32 34
Zhao Hong. Op.Cit. Ibid. P. 270
33 35
Malla VSV Prasad. 2006. “Political and Security Ibid.
36
Cooperation between India and ASEAN,” in Zhao Hong, Op.Cit.
37
Kumar, Sen and Mukul Asher (eds.), India-ASEAN Man Mohini Kaul. 20 November 2002. “Time for
Economic Relations: Meeting the Challenges of a Great Leap Eastwards,” The Indian Express.
Globalizatoin. Singapore: Institute of Southeast http://www.mea.gov.in/opinion/2002/11/20o03.htm
Asian Countries. (accessed on 17 November 2007)

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No 72, May 2009

with the countries of Southeast Asia. While must not confront China, but should prepare
Indian political leaders constantly talk to face stiff competition from it and
about how they will end poverty, the possible conflict in the future.43
leaders in East and Southeast Asia speak
about how they will enhance the prosperity The increasing importance of maritime
of their peoples.”38 trade and energy security for India has
made it imperative to ensure the safety of
There is a clear recognition in Indian Sea Lanes of Communication (SLOC’s) in
political circles of the economic and Southeast Asia. Maritime piracy has large
strategic importance of ASEAN to India’s implications for security in the economic
national interest. At the Annual Singapore sphere and in the Malacca Straits, is a
Lecture in 2002, the then Indian Prime common threat to India and the ASEAN
Minister, Mr. Atal Bihari Vajpayee stated, region. With India being dependent on sea
“[The Southeast Asian] region is one of the ways for over 97 per cent of its global
focal points of India’s foreign policy, trade, the safety of sea lanes around the
strategic concerns and economic ASEAN region is of vital importance to
interests.” The strategic location of the
39 India. India understands that a prosperous
ASEAN region places it among the most and stable ASEAN that safeguards vital
crucial regions in the world. With Myanmar sea lanes between the Indian and Pacific
being included in ASEAN, India now shares Oceans will serve its best interests.44
a land boundary with ASEAN, apart from “Coordination between India and ASEAN in
sharing maritime frontiers with Indonesia safeguarding their shared marine
and Thailand and its exclusive economic environment and its resources, promoting
zone (EEZ) with Malaysia.40 India considers the safety and security of navigation in
ASEAN to be the nucleus of the East Asian their common ocean areas, and ensuring
region and believes in laying emphasis on legitimate, peaceful and sustainable uses
its interaction with ASEAN. With deep of the oceans, can contribute to both
concern regarding China’s influence in the maritime development and maritime
region, India is looking towards ASEAN to security in the region.”45
carry forward a multilateral security order Complimenting the extent of strategic
in the Asia-Pacific.41 At the same time, as cooperation between India and ASEAN, the
explained by Hong, “from the ASEAN and scope for stronger economic relations
Japan perspectives, India was seen as a between them has also been steadily
possible counterweight to China in rising. There is tremendous potential
Southeast Asia, India has publicly avoided between India and ASEAN in various fields
being drawn into such a role.”42 India is, in including trade and investment, science and
fact, looking to develop a complementary technology, tourism, human resource and
relationship with China instead of a infrastructure development. Such
competitive one. There is a sense that India cooperation contains the scope for greater
economic integration between the two and
38
G Parthasarathy. 21 November 2002. “The Gains potentially large economic benefits for the
of Looking East,” The Pioneer. people of all the countries involved.
http://www.mea.gov.in/opinion/2002/11/21o03.htm
(accessed on 17 November 2007) Cooperation in the monetary and financial
39
AB Vajpayee. 9 April 2002. “India’s Perspectives
on ASEAN and the Asia Pacific Region,” India’s
sectors facilitates investment, trade
Ministry of External Affairs Website, integration and contributes to sustained
http://www.mea.gov.in/sshome.htm (accessed on 17
43
November 2007) Amitabh Mattoo Op.Cit.
40 44
Malla VSV Prasad. Op.Cit. Malla VSV Prasad. Op.Cit.
41 45
Amitabh Mattoo, 2001. “ASEAN in India’s ASEAN-India Network of Think Tanks. 2004.
Foreign Policy,” in Frédéric Grare and Amitabh ASEAN-India Vision 2020: Working Together for a
Mattoo (eds.), India and ASEAN: the politics of Shared Partnership. Delhi: Research and
India's look east policy. New Delhi: Manohar. Information Systems for the Non-Aligned and Other
42
Zhao Hong. Op.Cit. P.12 Developing Countries.

8
INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS

growth in countries. India needs to attract exchange programs, India study centers in
foreign capital and direct investment from ASEAN and vise versa and arrangements
abroad and the ASEAN countries are a between ASEAN and Indian institutes with
good resource for them. Initiatives towards specific focus on Southeast Asian studies.
integration of capital markets between Such measures are going to help build a
countries will go a long way in facilitating specialized and vibrant resource base for
the same. The limited export-import all countries involved.48
financing which proves a hindrance to
trade between the countries can be INDIA-ASEAN TRADE
overcome by the setting up of an Trade is one of the principal channels of
association of export and import banks in India’s economic integration with ASEAN.
the region. The development of an Asian With large potential for India and ASEAN
Bond market would also be beneficial to countries to develop trade relations, it is
India due to the stability in foreign one of the primary areas of concentration
exchange prices that it would achieve on both sides. This is especially relevant as
through it. Therefore, there is tremendous there is growing consensus that India’s
potential for benefits from financial and economic structure, being services oriented,
monetary integration between India and is largely complementary to the
ASEAN. manufacturing-oriented economies in
ASEAN.49 Trade between ASEAN and India
There is large scope for cooperation has increased over the past decade,
between India and ASEAN in the area of keeping in line with efforts towards
science and technology. ASEAN has economic integration by both sides. Tables
significant hardware and manufacturing 5 and 6 provide a more up-to-date
capabilities owing to its largely export- picture. One can observe the sharp rise in
oriented economies. India needs to exploit cumulative exports from India to ASEAN
possible synergies between the hardware since 2002. This rise is especially large with
capabilities of ASEAN countries and its own respect to Singapore. The rise has also
software and services capabilities in order been noticeable between 2005-06 and
to strengthen the IT foundation of the 2006-07. Overall, with the exception of a
region and bridge the digital divide.46 few new members in ASEAN, the volume of
Both India and ASEAN have great exports has increased from 2005-06 to
potential in the tourism industry. It is an 2006-07. A similar trend can be observed
area where India is keen to link up with in the case of imports. Most notably, India’s
ASEAN in order to promote two-way tourist imports from Malaysia and Singapore
traffic and to leverage its have risen more than 5 times between
complementarities to ASEAN tourist circuits 2002 and 2007.
in the international tourism markets.
Specific destinations in India are being Imports from Thailand too, have risen
identified in order to address related favourably, exhibiting a trend of consistent
infrastructure needs involving both ASEAN increase with higher growth rates in
and Indian investors. India is looking successive years. However, Indian policy
towards ASEAN to gain expertise in the makers should be aware that India-ASEAN
development of tourism infrastructure and trade, though increasing, is not substantial
other related services.47 enough compared to global figures and

Since human resource development has a


significant bearing on economic 48
Amitabh Mattoo. Op.Cit.
development, India hopes to undertake 49
Rahul Sen, Mukul G Asher and Rakishen S.
various initiatives including academic Rajan, “ASEAN-India Economic Relations: Current
Status and Future Prospects,” Research and
Information Systems for the Non-Aligned and Other
46
Ibid. Developing Countries RIS Discussion Paper, No.
47
Malla VSV Prasad. Op.Cit. 73, May 2004

9
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No 72, May 2009

needs to be increased further to realize the INDIA-ASEAN TRADE INTEGRATION:


potential between the countries. CURRENT STATUS

Services trade between India and ASEAN The offer by India’s former Prime Minister,
grew at more than twice the rate of Mr. Atal Bihari Vajpayee for a free trade
merchandise trade. India’s share in world pact between India and ASEAN at the
trade of commercial services in 2002 was Phnom Penh ASEAN-India summit marked
higher than Malaysia, Indonesia, and the the beginning of a new phase in ASEAN-
Philippines and almost about as much as India relations. Following this, at the
Singapore’s trade in commercial services. Second India-ASEAN Summit in Bali in
The Information and Communication October 2003, the establishment of an
Technology (ICT) services and related India-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement was
services were the major driving force put on the agenda. This was done in the
behind services trade in India. “The growth form of a Framework Agreement on
of this sector has been propelled by the Comprehensive Economic Cooperation
nurturing of a pool of skilled ICT between India and ASEAN. According to
manpower, combined with an increasing the agreement, its purpose was to
international demand doe such competitive “minimise barriers and deepen economic
and skilled manpower.”50 linkages between the Parties; lower costs;
increase intra-regional trade and
According to Gartner Research, “The investment; increase economic efficiency;
[Indian] ICT industry is rapidly growing in create a larger market with greater
size and importance to the overall Indian opportunities and larger economies of
economy. Its impact is rising in terms of scale for the businesses of the Parties; and
being a larger and more significant enhance the attractiveness of the Parties to
component of the overall export market, as capital and talent.”53
well as in helping improve the local and
global competitiveness of Indian companies With the East Asia Summit, India-ASEAN
across industries.”51 However, India’s share relations have progressed even further. It is
in the global software market is still small. noteworthy that India is being considered
Its cooperation with ASEAN countries like as an integral part of the East Asian
Singapore and Malaysia could create Community. This has been possible due to
synergies for mutual benefit in this area as the consolidated support from ASEAN and
these countries already have highly ASEAN+3 countries like Singapore,
developed capabilities in this field.52 In Indonesia, Thailand and Japan. Their
2000, the ICT services sector accounted for support for India has largely been due to
close to 70 per cent of India’s service the recognition of India’s considerable
exports which was the second highest share economic and strategic strengths.
in ICT exports after the Philippines. This
share would only have increased over the Significantly, trade negotiations on the
years and suggests the strong bearing it India-ASEAN FTA were finally concluded
has on India’s exports especially to ASEAN. on 7 August 2008. According to the
Framework Agreement on Economic
V Cooperation signed between the two
countries in October 2003, the negotiations
were supposed to have been completed by
50
Ibid. P.14 June 2006 with the FTA itself being
51
Partha Iyengar. 18 April 2006. “India's ICT implemented by 1 January 2007.
Industry: Increasing in Global Visibility and However, the inability to resolve several
Relevance,” Gartner Research Website. contentious issues due to fierce protection
http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?doc_cd of domestic industries attempted by the
=138416 (accessed on 19 November 2007)
52
Rahul Sen, Mukul G Asher and Rakishen S.
53
Rajan. Op.Cit. P.14 Framework Agreement. Op.Cit.

10
INDIA-ASEAN RELATIONS

two parties, drastically delayed the Asian Community, it is important that India
conclusion of the agreement.54 Negotiations substantiate its position in the grouping to
had stalled due to India’s tariff cut offers secure its economic and strategic interests
on crucial agricultural products which were in the region. The FTA certainly is a crucial
considered inadequate by ASEAN first step in this direction.56
members. India refused to roll back tariffs
on petroleum, palm oil, pepper, tea and While the ASEAN-India relations at present
coffee in order to protect its sensitive are the best they have been through
domestic sector. Most significantly, history, there still remain various aspects
negotiations were on the verge of collapse which need to be looked into for the
as Malaysia and Indonesia sought larger continued success of their relations in the
access for their palm oil exports, requiring future. To obtain maximum benefits and
India to lower import duties from its associated advantages from the FTA, it is
preferred 45 per cent to 30 per cent. India important for India to ensure that it
attempted a compromise by trimming its undertakes concomitant reforms in taxation,
negative list from 1,414 products down to infrastructure, and governance. Such
560 before finally settling at 490 measures are important to prevent any
products, contrary to ASEAN, which adverse outcomes of such an agreement on
increased its negative list from the initial the Indian industry and to ensure that the
600 to a 1,000 plus products. Nonetheless, opportunities presented by the FTA are
ASEAN’s insistence on obtaining greater utilized to the maximum. It also needs to
concessions on palm oil exports caused guard against the so-called ‘Noodle Bowl
excessive delay in reaching an Effect’ that is resulting due to East Asian
agreement.55 Trade Integration. The plethora of FTAs
within East Asia has given rise to a complex
The FTA, once implemented, will improve set of non-uniform and overlapping rules of
India’s trading position in the region in light origin, a situation that presents the risk of
of the preferential access extended to fuelling trade disputes. A sincere attempt
China by ASEAN. Preferential tariffs towards effective management of the
enjoyed by ASEAN members among regional integration process should include
themselves too have contributed to the dismantling non-tariff barriers, an effort
deteriorating competitiveness of Indian which will ensure a progressive framework
exports to the region. With the FTA in which will work to facilitate trade at the
place, India can look forward to greater multilateral level.57
market access with better terms of trade India stands to gain tremendously through
and hope to compete successfully with greater economic integration with ASEAN,
goods from other countries in the region. provided cooperation goes beyond free
Owing to China’s rising competitiveness in trade of goods and commodities.
global trade and investment, the FTA will Tremendous opportunities exist in areas of
enable India to forge ties with ASEAN to media and entertainment, tourism and
ensure its support as a crucial ally. It is technology services. With Indian manpower
important for India to consolidate its being technically and professionally
position in East Asia in light of China’s competitive, India possesses a distinct
growing influence through trade, aid and leverage over China’s largely labour and
investment. With countries in the region manufacture-oriented human resource.
moving at a fast pace towards an East
56
Ibid.
54 57
Mohit Anand. 28 August 2008. “India-ASEAN Mohit Anand. 22 September 2008. “India's
FTA: Implications for India,” Institute of Peace and Economic Competitiveness in ASEAN: A
Conflict Studies, No. 2664, Comparison with China,” Institute of Peace and
http://www.ipcs.org/southeastasia_publications2.jsp Conflict Studies, No. 2692.,
?action=showView&kValue=2680&country=1016 http://www.ipcs.org/southeastasia_publications2.jsp
&status=article&mod=a ?action=showView&kValue=2708&country=1016
55
Ibid. &status=article&mod=a

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No 72, May 2009

However, its prospects of competing in ASEAN’s strategic location makes its


industrial and manufactured goods stand stability crucial for India’s energy and
greatly diminished in light of China’s economic security, and it looks to develop
towering prowess in the same.58 its influence in the region by forging vital
. ties with ASEAN.
VI
CONCLUSIONS The ASEAN-India partnership holds ample
potential for a successful future. As things
ASEAN-India relations have come a long stand, it is evident that both India and
way since their turbulent Cold War phase. ASEAN are keen to establish a strong
The 1990s have seen a distinct rise in their relationship with a long-term emphasis on
interaction along with firm measures to greater cooperation and integration, apart
integrate and cooperate in the economic as from the strengthening of economic and
well as political spheres. Their partnership strategic ties. While there are definite
has progressed from a sectoral dialogue challenges to be addressed before
partnership to a summit level interaction achieving a consolidated East Asian
within a decade i.e. 1992-2002. With the Community, it is evident that conscious
ASEAN-India FTA in the offing, this efforts are being made on both the sides in
partnership only stands to be further developing synergies for the shared
strengthened. There is a clear sense that prosperity and mutual benefit of India,
ASEAN intends to integrate the East Asian ASEAN and the Asian region at large.
region into one consolidated regional bloc
and it is certain of the importance of
having India as a part of it.

ASEAN sees India as an emerging power in


Asia and is keen to develop relations with
it that would be beneficial to countries
within ASEAN and to the region as a whole.
It realizes that India possesses large
strategic capabilities and can be a strong
stabilizing force in the region. Economically,
India, with its burgeoning middle class, can
be a significant market for ASEAN
manufactures and consequently, an
important source of welfare for the region.
There is a lot that ASEAN can gain from
India’s development in its service sector
and it looks to develop wide ranging
economic partnerships with her.

India understands that the ASEAN grouping


consists of countries which have achieved
significant development in the past 20
years. It is in its interest to establish
beneficial linkages with the countries to
benefit from their past experience and
current standing. There is large potential in
the synergies between its economy and
that of the ASEAN countries and is keen to
strengthen its economic ties with them.

58
Ibid.

12

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