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PolicyResearch
WORKING PAPERS
WaterandSanitation
Infrastructureand UrbanDevelopment
Department
The WorldBank
March1992
WPS879
Public Disclosure Authorized
Comprehensive
Water Resources
Management
Public Disclosure Authorized
A Concept Paper
Peter Rogers
Public Disclosure Authorized
Policy Research Working Papers disseminate the findings of work in progress and encourapet he exchange of ideas among Bank staff and
al others interested in development issues. These papers carry the names of thc authors, renect only their views, and should be used and
cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions are the authors' osn. They should not be atiibuted to the World Bank,
its Board of Directors, its management, or any of its member countries.
Policy Research
_~~~~ 11 I 9 e i-
Wterand Sanitation
WPS 879
This paper- joint product of the Water and Sanitation Division, Infrastructure and Urban Development
Department, and the Agricultural Policies Division, Agriculture and Rural Development Department -
is part of a larger effort to define a Bank water resources management policy. Copies of the paper are
available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433. Please contact Danielle
Ranger, room SI 1-043, extension 31296 (March 1992, 18 pages).
The world is entering a period of intense compe- water supply projects for the same water - and
tition for limited supplies of water for alternative many proposed irrigation projects and most
uses - in agriculture, in urban and industrial hydro project proposals are on hold because of
supplies, for recreation, by wildlife, for human environmental concems.
consumption, and to maintain environmental
quality. Until recently, the approaches taken to water
planning management by planners in the devel-
Manifestations of this competition and our oping countries and by analysts at the funding
current ability to deal with it can be observed in agencies were, by and large, appropriate and
many parts of the world. A large irrigation adequate to the task at hand. The increased
project in India does not operate because water competition for water, however, makes most of
has been diverted to the rapidly growing city of the project-by-project planning methods inad-
Pune. In China, industries are reducing their equate.
production because of water shortages, even
though they are surrounded by paddy fields. In Rogers discusses new approaches that are
California, selenium salts leached by irrigation needed to integrate water resource use among
are killing wildlife. Bank irrigation projects in different users .i across different economic
Algeria are now competing with Bank urban sectors.
The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the fmdings of work under way in the Bark. An objective of the series
is to get these findings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished. The findings, interpretations, and
conclusions in these papers do not necessarily represent official Bank policy.
1. Introduction .................................................. 1
1.1 The Water Sector at the World Bank ............................. 1
1.2 The Concept Paper ......................................... 2
2. FundamentalConcepts for Water Management ........................... 2
References ...... 17
1.
1.Introduction
Introduction ahydropowergenerationandforcoolingthermalgenerators.
major resource to electrical energy systemsboQi for
It is essentialto many transportationsystems.Inlandand
Theworldisenteringaperiodofintensecompetition estuarinefisheriesdepend upon adequate flows of high
o zer limited supplies of water for alternative uses in qualitywaterin the rivers.Rivers,lakes,and groundwater
agriculture,urban and industrialsupply,recreation,wild- are also extensivelyused for the disposalof treated or
life, human consumption,and maintenanceof environ- untreatedwastewater,that itselfhas servedto removeand
mentalquality.Manifestationsof thiscompetitionandour tansport chemicalor other wastes.Fresh water is used to
currentinabilityto deal with it can be observedin many stopthe penetrationofsalinityintosurfaceor groundwater
partsof the world.For example,a large irrigationproject sourcesofsupply.Increasinglywateraccessis becominga
in Indiadoes not operatebecausewater has beendiverted majorcomponentof both urbanandruralrecreativnfacili-
to the rapidlygrowingcityofPune.In Chinaindustriesare ties. In many places large investmentsare required to
reducing their production due to water shortages even minimizethe consequencesof naturallyoccurringfloods
thoughtheyare surroundedby paddyfields.In California and droughts.The maintenaaceof a locality's fauna and
seleniumsalts leached by irrigationare killing wildlife. flora is criticallydependentupon access to water.All of
BankirrigationprojectsinAlgeriaarenowcompetingwith these uses have either been funded, or are potentially
Bankurbanwater supplyprojectsforthe same water,and fundable,by Bankresources.
manyproposedirrigationprojectsandmost hydroproject
proposalsare on hold becauseof environmentalconcerns. The water sectoris also a substantialportionof the
Bank's unnuallending.For example,between 1984 and
Until recently the approachestaken to water plan- 1988,out of a total lendingof $83 billion, water project
ningandmanagementbyplannersinthedevelopingcoun- constituted$10.6billion,or 12.8%of the total. Irrigation
tries and by the analystsat the fundingagencieswere, by and drainageaccountedfor $4.6 billion,hydropowerfor
andlarge,appropriateandadequateto thetaskathand.The $2Abillion,andwatersupplyandwastewater$3.5billion.
increasedcompetitionforwaterhas, however,mademost Nodataare availableforfloodcontrol,watertransport,and
of the project-by-projectplanning methods inadequate. riverand estuarinefisheries.A sumequivalentto 55% of
New approaches are needed that will integrate water the total expendituresfor agriculturaland rural develop-
resourceuse among differentusers and across different ment was spenton waterprojects.In many countries(for
economicsectors.Realizingthatthe presentapproachesto exampleBrazil)water sector expendituresare as high as
dealingwiththeseenormouslycomplex anddifficultissues 30%of totalpublic expenditures.
are no longersufficient,the Bank has initiateda Compre-
hensive Water ResourcesManagementPolicy Studyto Water is dealt with independentlyin each of the
investigatehow best to resolve them. This paper is an Bank's regional bureausand in its central departnents.
attempttooutlinethe issueswhichshouldbeincludedinthe Thissituationhassometimesledto inconsistenciesinBank
Bank's PolicyPaper. policy between counMiesor betweenwater uses. Under
conditionsof watersuiplusessuch inconsistenciesare not
1.1The Water Sector at the World Bank necessarilybad, giventhe wide diversityof the countries
andrangeofusesfor water.Indeed,this is whatthe Bank's
The World Bank helps to fund water projects that ownOperationsEvaluationDepartmenthas found on the
havebroadimpactsthroughoutthe economiesof develop- manyprojectsforwhichit has cartiedoutpost-completion
ing countries.Water is used for domesticand industrial audits(morethan 140irrigationprojectsby 1989).Irriga-
purposes.It is used extensivelyfor irrigatingcrops,and is tionprojects,forexample,perfonnedquitewellin the and
I
regions in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa currentlyof widespreadconcernwithin the Bank and are
(EMENA)and LatinAmerica,but less well in the humid likely to be of greatimporlanceinto the next century.
tropics of South Asia, and quite poorly in sub-Sahar
Africa Hlowever,the current competitionfor water in
regions such as EMENAis becomingso severethat the 2 Fundainental Concepts
historicalperformancemay not be expectedto continue * ep
into the futurewithout seriousimprovementof pre-plan- for Water M anagement
ning, and the Africanprojectsneed specialcare to ensure g
adequatefutureperformance.
There are a few fundamentatconceptsthat underlie
1.2 The Concept Paper the theoryand practiceof water management.
4
allocation.One way of answeringthisquestionis to apply 3.1 Current Planning Approaches
the logic of social choice theory embodied in modem
economics,which allocatesthe water to the use with the Waterresourcesplaninghasreceivedalargeamount
highestvalue. of attention from economistsand planningp ofessionals
formanydecades.BasedontheFloodControlActof 1936,
Establishingthe willingness-to-pay for variouscon- federalagenciesin the United States,for example,were
sumersof wateris a fairlywelldevelopedfieldin econom- chargedwithdevisingeconomiccditeriatoensurethat only
ics and can be easily adapted in many water conflict waterprojectsforwhichthe "benefitsexceededthe costs"
dituationsto establish estinmates
of the opportunitycostof would be implementedby the federal government.This
water.Unfortunately,manyeconomicstudiesof wateruse policyledtomajorresearchthatculminatedinthe 1960sin
ignore the opportunitycostof water and only reflect the fundamentalworks by Eckstein(1958)and Maass et al.
actual costs of obtaining the water i'selK.As mentioned (1962) at HarvardUniversity,Hirshieifer,Millimanand
above,iftherewerewell-establishediiarketsforwaterthen DeHaven(1960)at theUniversityof Chicago;and Kneese
the marketpricewoulditselfreflecttL-eopportnity costof andBower(1968)at Resourcesforthe Futurein Washing-
water. However, in most countriessuch markets do not ton,D.C.Thefinishingtoucheswithregardtodealingwith
exist and one is left to estimate the opporunity cost in environmentalquality were in place by the end of the
indirectways. 1970s,with worksby Dorfmanand Dorfman(1972)and
BaumolandOats (1979).In additionto these booksthere
Theopportunitycostofwaterisonlyzerowhenthere are literallyhundredsof other excellenttexts explaining
isnoshortageofwater.Inevaluatingwaterinvestmentsthe many of the practicalaspectsof the detailedanalysis of
valueof watertoauseristhe costofobtainingthewatR.rplusbenefits,costs,andtechnologychoiceforeachpossibleuse
the opportunitycost. Igaoringthe opportunitycostpart of of water.Whilethiswastakingplaceinthewaterresources
valuewil undervaluewater,leadto failuresto invest,and field,the bank, UNDP,andmany other fundingagencies
causeseriousmisaflocationsofthe resourcebetweenusers. weredevelopingreliablemethodsfor economicappraisal
Theopportunitycostconceptalsoappliesto issuesofwater of investmentdecisionsin general.Outstandingexamples
and eavironmentalquality. of this literatureare Little andMirrlees(1974)and Squire
andvanderTak(1975),sponsoredbytheWorldBank,and
Das Gupta, Marglin, and Sen (1972) and the Guide to
3. Planning for
svs Water
w s s^sss^ss v v wswt
PracticlProjectAppraisal(1978),sponsoredbytheUnited
NationsIndubtral DevelopmentOrganizationP[NIDO).
Resources These works are the basis for the current evaluationof
investmentsin the water sector.
5
insteadofon floodcontrol,oronotherinvestmentsoutside sectors,such as energy,have well developedmethodolo-
the water sector,the rules forprojectanalysisnotedabove giestozelate sectoralandmacroplans. Mostofthese were
need tobe bolsteredby additionalassumptionsandtheory. developedin responseto the oil crisisofthe early 1970s.It
Inthe theory,pricingofthe resourceiscriticaltothecorrect is now possible for energy planners to show the
appraisalof the project and the correct implementation. macroeconomicconsequencesoofregulationof, andinvest-
Pricinghas a threefoldrole in waterpolicy.First,the price ments in, variousenergysources,and, in the other direc-
can be set to recover the cost of the investmentfrom the tion,to estimatethe consequencesofshifts inmacropolicy
beneficiaries.Second, increasingprices tends to raPton ondemandsandsuppliesforenergybyvarioussectors.This
water by cutting uneconomicalconsumption.Price in- has not beendone in the water sector.
creasescut thedemandforwaterbymovingup thedemand
curve, whichis the etTectmost decisionmakerslook for The role of water investme ts as infrastructureser-
when pricing policy is advocated. The third aspect of vices which serve as both intem.sdiate goods and final
pricing,andthe onemost fiequentlyoverlooked,is that of goods is alsooften overlookedin water planning.So for
increasingthesupply.Whentheprice ishigher,suppliesof instance, Ingram (1989) expresses concern that water
water frommore expensivesourcesbecomeavailable. infrastructuremay suffer under-investmentas a result
of the Bank's structuraladjustmentprogramsfor various
Price is also ma integral part of the definitionof countries.
"scarcity." The issues of pricing and costrecoveryare a
fundamentalpart of any approachto dealwith the n.odern A fundamentalpieceof informationmissingin most
realitiesof water planning.The fact that pricinghas not water plans is the opportunitycost of water. Addingthe
been rigorouslyapplied in the past, and that the cuirent upporunity costofwater to itsmarginalcostofsupplyand
pricesofwater are still generallyquitelow, is an indication comparingthiswithitscurrentpriceindicateshowefficient
that scarcityis a relathvelynew phenomenon.It alsogives currentwater use is and howefficientit couldbe. In order
confidencethat,at leastforthenextdecade,moderateprice to estimatethesenumbersit is necessarytohavesomeform
increaseswillsolvethewaterscarcityproblem.Pricingand ofintersectoralcomnparison of valueorwillingness-to-pay,
costrecoveryare an integralpart ofthe resolutionto many hence the need for a strongpolicydirectivein the Bank's
of the water issuesdiscussedbelow. PolicyPapertoestablishmethodsto evaluatewaterinvest-
mentsin an intersectoralcontext.
3.2 Where Does the Current Approach BreakDown?
2)Incorporatingsocialandenvironmentalconcerns
The Bank's OperationsEvaluationDepartmenthas directlyintoplanning.Socialand environmentalimpacts
shownthat cufrentplanningapproachesworkedfairlywell of Bank projectsare increasinglya sourceof contention
whenthe competitionforwater was less acute. The same between the Bank and environmentalinterest groupsin
methodsshouldalsowork underthe new conditions.That developedcountries.It wouldbe possibleforthe Bank to
theyare not workingis causedby a lack of attentionto the undertake economicanalyses of the environmentalim-
correctimplementationofthe methods.Forexample,even pacts of waterprojectsmorediligentlythanhas beendone
ifcorrectpricesarecomputedintheappraisals, theyarenot in the past There is no doubtthat this is a difficulttask;
used by the borrowinggovernmentsin implementingthe ne-rtheless, thereisnowalarge literaturedealingwiththe
projectsonce funded.This fact leadsto overconsumption economicimpactsas lowerboundson the total impactsof
of waterby someusers and artificialshortagesfor others. a project.
There are two major areas where the current approach
seemsto be in trouble: A society that allowswaste dischargersto neglect
off-sitecostsof wastedisposalwill not only devoteb
1)Establishingand usingthe conceptofopporunity too fewresourcesto the treatmentof wastesbut will
cost of waterin different sectorsof water use. Since the alsoproducetoo muchwasteinview ofthe damages
methodsfor evwluationare appliedmainly to project-by- it causes.(Kneeseand Bower 1968).
projectappraisal,considerationof the intersector-A nature
of water use is neglected.Therefore,perfectlywell ana- Asuseincreases,thepublicgoodsnatureofwaterand
lyzedBanklirrigationprojects inAlgeria,forexample,find the pervasivenessof extermalitiesin water use lead inevi-
themselvesindirect conflictforthe samewaterwithother, tablytoanincreaseofpollution.Inthelate 1960sand 1970s
equallywell preparedBankprojectsfor urbanwatersup- the pubic perceptionin the developedcountrieswas that
ply. In such cases the relativemarginalbenefitsof addi- the environmentwas being "over-polluted." The exter-
donal investmentsin water must be carefullycompared nalitiesimplied in water poUlutionwere first extensively
with those of other sectoral investments.Otherresource discussedby theResourcesfortheFuturegroupinthe early
6
1960s.The above-citedbookbyKneeseandBower(1968) ri ..; weendifferentusesof water.Forexample,in
is still a leadingtext on the economicsof waterqtaiity. the EMENAregion the opportunitycost of water in Ihr
municipal secte.is at leasttwo to threetimesas high as the
Theconcernofeconomistsanalyzingwaterpollution marginal val'e of irrigated agriculturalproCactionper
is with "market failure." In particularthe issut of howto cubicmeterof water for all cropsexceptsomevegetables
intemalizethe e..emalities has receivedmostofthe atten- (tomatoesand cucumber).However,when the inigation
tion. At the most obviouslevel it would seem that if the projectsare evaluatedby themselves,without consider-
effluentcould be correctlypiced, then industryandother ationof theopportunitycostof waterin othersectors,they
polluterscouldbe taxedby just this amountand problem appearto haveacceptableInternalRatesof Retum (IRR).
woulddisappear- the correctamountof pollutionwould
be obtained,andif thiswere cons'deredtoo large thenthe Similarly,the externalitiesdue to envi.inmertal
effluentpricecouldberaiseduntilasatisfactorylowerlevel damagesare not integratedinto the appraisalof projects.
of pollutionwas achieved. The economicprinciplesdre clear, but little attentionhas
been devotedin the pas to evaluatingthe damages and
Coase (1960) showed that externalitiesby them- thereforethey tend to be overlookedin the analysis.
selves do not lead to economicallyinefficientsolutions
providedthat the pollutersand the peoplebeing affected 2) The theoryneedsrefining.
can freely and inexpensivelynegotiatewith each other.
Coase claimed that the responsibilityfor damages is a No theoryis perfect,and so it is with the theoretical
reciprocalone,with the affectedpartytakingstepsto avoid approachesto waterresourcesmanagement.The relevant
them as much as the perpetrator takes steps to avoid questionis howthe imperfectionsinthe theoreticalunder-
producingthem. Economic efficiencyis achievedwhen pinningsleadto unacceptableoutcomesfromthe point of
extemal damages are borne by the party that can most view of the Bank, other funding agenc,es, and govern-
cheaplyrepair them. ments.Thereare severalassumptionsaboutthe theorythat
cause difficulty in water plannirg, but there are also
Hufschmidtand Dixon (1986)have extendedenvi- approachesto softeningor eliminatingthese market fail-
ronmentaleconomicsto the issues faced in developing ures from the conceptualmodel. Threeareas standout as
countries,particularlywith respectto water projects.Pa- causingmore trouble than others and, hence, may need
pers by Devousagesand Smith (1983)and by Fisher and morerefinementof the theory.
Raucher(1984) show how contingentvaluationmethods
canbeused to evaluatethe benefits(and damages) associ- A. The difficulties associated with making
ated with a wide range of environmentalimpactsthat macroeconomic allocationsbetweeninvestmnents in water
hithertohad been thought to be non-measurable.In the resourcesandothereconomicsectors.The pervasiveness
PolicyPaperthe Bank shouldpursuethisline of thinking ofwaterusethroughouttheeconomymaypartiallyexplain
andlayouttheappropriatetmethodologiesforassessingthethe first problem, but other sectors, including energy,
economicdimensionsas wellas thenon-economicdimen- radiate similar pervasive connectinns throughout the
sions of environmentaldeterioration. economyand society.Waterplannin, zmas beenan integral
part of governmentalplanningformuch longerthanother
3.3 How the Froblems Can Be Resolved resourcesectors.Hence,largeandpowerfulinterestgroups
are fully cognizantof their stakes in planning. In most
There are two possible,and notmutuallyexclusive, countriesit is not of particular concern that the water
explanationsof why problemsarise in the way water planningand investnentsbe balancedwith other sectoral
resourcesare planned,appraised,and implemented. activities;indeed,theideaofsuchbalancingisthreatening
to groupswith a vestedinterestin water investmentsand
1)The acceptedeconomicprinciplesare adequate management.The developmentofreliableplanningmeth-
but the applicationis inadequate. odologyto relate water sectorplans to the overall macro
developmentofa countryis a genericproblemthat should
The appraisalapproachesused at the Bank and at guideinvestmentsand other Bankwater activities.
other fundingagenciesare based upon the generallyac-
ceptedprinciplesoutlinedvoluminouslyin the literature B. Dealingwithexternalitiesdirectlyin the analysis
referred to above. The applicationof the principles is (internaizingtheexternatides).Dealingwith externalities
flawedbecause,when faced with economicscarcity,the directlyinthe appraisalmethodologyisanotherimportant
water itselfmust be priced at its opporunity cost. This is requirement.The theoryand methodsfordoing this have
typicallynot done and leads to seriousmisallocationof been developedand many environmentalconsequences
7
can be adequatelytreatedwidin the existingbenefit-cost Economictheory provides "second best" pricing
methodology.Thesemethodshaveonlyreceivedsporadic algorithmsforsuchcircumitaces. However,accordingto
applicationinactualprojectevaluation.
FisherandRaucher Hankeand Davis (1973)eventhese lead to problemsfor
(1984)reportonseveralsuchstudiesbutadditionalworkis utility managers.Tha:eforethey suggestedthe need to
needed to develop this methodology for the types of develop "third best" pricing methods,which would be
projectssupportedby the Bank. more responsiveto the political dh'.ensions of water
resourcepricing.In a studyof waterconservationin Perth,
C. Thepoliticaleconomyof tariffsemng in thewater Australia,HLanke (1982)outlineshowtoesti;nateeconond-
sector.Thepoliticaleconomyoftariffsetting is extremely callyefficientchoicesconsideringthe resourcecoa to the
importantandhas to alargeextentbeenneglectedbywater utility, the resourcecostto the consumers,and the useful
experts.This is particularlytruein the casesoftenencoun- consumptionforegoneas a resultof a particular .onserva-
teredwhenthereare economiesofscaleassociatedwiththe tion policy. Interestingly,whenhe comparedtwo pricing
investments.The canon of price theory is marginalcost policies(marginalcostpricing,andseasonalmargiMalcost
pricing.Tnotherwords,setthe priceat that pointwherethe pricing) with three non-pricepolicies (leakage control,
demand and the supply curves intersect.Unfortunately, metering,and mandatedwater restrictions)he ioundthat
establishing the r.arginal price for many water uses is the most economicallyefficientwas leakage control,fol-
difficultbecauseof the characteristicsof water that make lowedbymeteringandannualmarginalcostpricing.AUlof
itssupplya naturalmonopoly.Theexistenceofeconomies the otherpolicieshadnegativebenefits.This is an eloquent
of scaleensuresthat thosewhofirstenteredthe market .vill reminderthat rationingby pricingis not alwaysthe most
always be able to underpriceand drive out any potential efficient approach.In order to find out, however, it is
newcomers.They can decideon their desiredprof.. Level inperative to carry out analysisat the level of economic
and set the prices accordingly.This fact has been recog- sophisticationappliedby Hanke.
nized for a long time in the area of municipalwater and
wastewatertreatment and the suppliershave been regu- 3A Distinguishingbetween Generic and
lated,typicallybypublicutilitycommissions. Meier(1983) Region-SpecificTsues
showed that there are at least five different ways of
measuring marginal cost under these conditions,earh TheBankhas operationsin 152countries,aggregat-
resulting in a differentestimate of the marginalcost. hi
ingthemintofourmajarregions.To formulateBankpolicy
practice good estimatescan be obtainedfor most water withrespectto water it is essentialto distinguishbetween
investmentprojectswitheitherofthe approachescurrently issues that are generic to the managementof water as a
used in Bank appraisals:longrun marginalcost(LRMC), resource,andothersthatare specificto individualregions.
and averageincrementalcosts(AIC). Forexample,the difficultyofmaking"correct" allocation
decisionsbetweendifferentusesorusersis generictowater
Unfortunatelymost regulatory commissionshave aroundtFaglobe,but the relativeimportanceof irigation
tendedto takea "backwards"accountingstanceandallow variesby climaticzoneandwateravailability.Thegeneric
pricing based only upon average costs and the revenue issues are the ones for which the Bank needs to evolve
needs to meet them: institution-wide policy,the remainingissuescan be left to
the regionaldepartments.
Traditionalrate-settingmethods,employedby state
regulatorycommissionsas wellas localgovemnment Fourteen generic issues are briefly describedand
agencies, appear to have produced a situationof discussedbelow;nineas broadsector-wideissues(section
rapidly deterioratingwater systems,both rural and 4.1), and five as sub-sectorissues.
urban, characterizedby aging capital facilitiesand
under-maintainedwater systems.(Mann,1981)
Thisstanceisnotappropriate
insituationswhere
the 4. Generic Issues of
utilities are facing increasingmarginalcosts (all the be COnern fortheWorldBank
projectshavebeen builtand now it becomesincreasingly nc o e
difficult to supply the same amounts of water at the
histo il costs). Under these conditionsa "forward" In the waterplanningcommunitythere are several
lookingaccountingstanceis appropriate.Ifthispolicywere connectionsof "water and. . ." whichare takenby many
pursued,the emphasisonrevenuerequirementsof utilities as paramountrelationshipsthat brcok no questioning.As
would be replacedby establishingadequate -;re invest- arguedbelow,theBank'sComprehensiveWaterResources
met fimds. ManagemedtPolicyPapershouldtakea closelook at such
sanctifiedlinkages as water ane health, water and food, this. Hurst and Rogersbuilt an economy-widemodel for
water andequity,water scarcity,irrigationefficiency,and Bangladeshwhichincorporazedadetailedwatprsectorand
so forth,leavingno assumptionunexamined. i. nmacro economiclikages. Whenthemodelwasrun, the
optimalsolutiovwas radicallydifferentfrom the optimal
4.1 Broad Sectorwide Issues solutionprediLtedwhen the componentswere run sepa-
rately.In the overallmodel therewas a strongbiasagainst
4.).) InternationalCoiflicts over Water producingan exportcrop because:
Worldwidethere are hundredsof rivers sharedby The reason for this is that the growthof the non-
diffsrentnations(54 just betweer India and Bangladesh). agriculturalsevtor?dependuponthe importof raw
Inmanycasesseriousbilateral ortultilateral conflictsover materialsandiintermediate goods.ifthe foodrequire-
water have arisen. The currentdispute betweenTurkey, mentsoftheranidlygrowingpopulationmustbemet
Syria,andIraqovertheEuphratesisagoodexampleofsuch withfood-grairnImports(foragivenlevelofimpoits)
situations. Intemationat law on trausnationalrivers is lessraw materialsandintermediatematerialscanbe
weak;it is essentiallyleftupto the goodwilioftheupstream imported. Consequently,non-agticulturalsectors
riparianrtosettleproblemsamicably.Severaldecr4esago, must grow at a slower rate, and in order to meet a
the World Bank was a major player in one of the most reasonablelevel of nationalgrowth,the agricultural
successfulconflictresolutions;the IndusBasinsettlement sectornrustgrow rapidly.
betweenIndia and Pakistn.
Whilethis particularmodel was never used in maldnga
The Bank should naintain its rule of not making plan,itdoesindicLtethatquitedifferentpolicyimplicatimns
loans for a project that is not acceptableto a country's arisewhen the macro linkages are explicitlyconsidered.
neighbors,but it shouldalso considerestablishinganego- Additionalresaarch in this area wouldhelp improve the
iatingunittoLelpcountriesdealwiththeseissues.Inmany qualitycf water investmentsin all sectors.
cases the provision of a neutral c)rner and unbiased
nterational expertisecouldmakeit politicallyeasier for and Data
4.1.3 WaterSectorPlanmingMethod9logy
countriesto exploretheir waterconflictsw a neighborsin Requirements
a non-threateningsituation,relatively free of inhibiting
politicallimelightand implicitthreats to national sover- At thenextlevel down,withinthe water sectorthere
eignty.Althoughregrettablynotfruitfiltodate,theBank's are a plethora of water plaing tools. One of these has
work over many years on hydro-electricityconflictsbe- cometo be called "multi-objectiveplanning." Although
tweenNepalandIndia is an exampleof suchan approach, conceptuallysatisfying,planningtheoreticianshavemade
and a credit to the Bank.Easing some of these disputes the approachunnecessarilycomplicatedwith its ownno-
would open up many new investment possibilitiesfor menclatureand dedicatedcomputersofhvare. In reaFty
constructivemulti-purposeuse of intemationallyshared multi-objectiveplanning is based upon the concept of
riverbasins. constrainedoptimization.One merely optimizesone ob-
jective, for example, national economicgrowth, while
4.1.2 Linking the WaterSectorto the NationalEconomy settingotherobjectives,suchas enviromnentalquality,as
constaintsupon the system.The Bank itselfhas already
It is a paradox that although water resourceshave been a major contributorto the developmentof "multi-
probablyreceivedmore analyticattentionthan any other objectiveplanning"throughitsmodeltingworkinMexico
kind of public investnent, there has been little attention and Pakistan.The issuesof equity,food self-sufficiency,
paid to relating the water sec.,r to intersectora!or macro andhealthdiscussedbeloware typicalof the issueswhose
aliocationdecisions.Thisla.kofanalysisshouldbeofgreat opportunitycosts manbe establishedby such methods.
concernin countriessuch as Brazil where30% of public There is nodoubtthat*hisapproachshouldbe takenin any
investmentis in the water sector. plnning study. Whether specialized softwareor more
general purpose models such as linear and non-linear
Other resource sectors such as energy have well programmingor simulationmodelsare used,the different
developedmethodologiesto relate sectoral and macro versionsofthis tool yieldessentiallythe sameresults,and
pans. The developmentofreliableplanningmethodology like all analyticapproachesshould be employedwith a
to relate water sectorplans to the overallmacro develop- greatdeal of caution.
ment of a country is a generic problem that is of major
significanceto guidinginvestmentsandother Bankwater The literature on water resources is also heavily
activities.In a paper with Hurst (Hurst and Rogers, 1985) influenced by the ideas of comprehensivemulti-purpose
the authorfoundin the literature only a few attempts to do river basin planning. This has historically been the ap-
9
proach taken in Westem Europe and the United States. systemshavebeendevisedwith littleorno idea abouthow
Althoughintellectuallysatisfying,it is not clearwhetherit the informationis to be used.Thisresultsin over-collection
is the bestapproachto practicalproblems.It is helpfulfor of sometypesof data andunder-collectiOnof others.The
the physicalaspectsof rainfaUand run-offbut much less experiencesof GISusers to date have not beenuniformly
helpfulfromthepoint of viewof politcaljurisdictionsand happy.Most systemsconcentratesolelyuponphysicaland
economicmarkets.la the United States it has since been scientficdata,andthereislittleornocoverageofimportant
abandonedbyalilmajoragenciesinvolvedinnationalwatereconomicfacts. Althoughmany of the economicdata do
planning.Today agenciesallow the specificpioblem to not needto be collectedaccordingto detailedgeographic
dictate the unit of analysis.With innxeasingconcem for distributions,theeconomicrealitiesmaybeasimportantas
broaderproblemssuchas environmentalquality,the idea the physicaldatathatdo,andmaybe criticaltounderstand-
of analyzing"problem-sheds"rather than river basinsis ing the meaningof the physical givens. More attention
gaining ground. A recent book by Major and Schwarz shouldalsobe paidto the statisticalvariabilityof the data.
shows how river basins can be buildingblocksin larger Currentlyavailablemethodstoest4blishstatisticalreliabil-
problem-sheds.The Bankwillhaveto examinecloselythe ity shouldbe insisted upon in all data Analysesand be
typesof issuesfacedby its clientsbeforerecommendinga carried over into the analyses of particular investment
particularplanningapproach. decisions.
Atthe practicallevel,however,littleplanningofany One issue that tier the methodologyand the data
kind seemsto have beenapplied consistentlyacrosswater together is the issue of "uncertainty." Not only is it
usesinthe economy.For example,inmanyplacestheuses importantto developand use reliE" . data but it is also
of water are still examined separately on a project by imperativethat the planningmethods used elucidatethe
projectbasis.Thus,inAlgeriaitispossibletofindexamples uncertaintyregardingthe planningdecisions.Alltoooften
ofcarefullyplannedirrigationprojectsalongsidecarefully inthe waterresourcesareathebulk ofthe analysisis aimed
pianned urban water supply projects, with no way of at the consequencesof hydrologicaluncertaintywhen,as
reconcilingthe conflictingdemandsthat both haveforthe demonstratedby James, Bower,and Matalas (1969),the
same water supply.In Brazil there was surprisewhenthe largestpartoftheuncertaintyintheimplieddecisionsstems
introductionof a tariff on wastewaterdischargesled to from the economicparameterswhich typically receive
large dc reases in revenue to the water supply utilitv little stochasticevaluation.
almostleadingto its bankruptcy.In these casesthe unit of
analysiswasnotlargeenoughtocapturetheexternaleffects In its Policy Paperthe Bank shouldmake a serious
of policiesdealingwith individLalcomponents. efforttoshowwhatarerealisticexpectationsaboutthedata
thatmayreasonablybe gathered,and the levelsofreliabil-
There is a needto ensurethat appropriatemodelsof the ity that can be achievedby the use of these data.
water sectorbe includedin any projectappraisal.The unit
ofanalysismustbe largeenoughto ensurethatmostof the 4.1.4 ThePoliticalEconomyof Pricing
relevantextemalitiesarecapturedin the analysis.Iniriga-
tionprojects,groundandsurfacewateras wellas drainage Apart from certainaspects of religious and health
must be analyzedas oneunit. Urban water supplycannot significance,most people in every day use do not regard
be divorcedfromwastewaterdisposaland its downstream wateras an end in itself.It is a commoditylike "ships and
impacts.Waterdiversionsfromriversmust consideralter- shoesand sealingwax," consumeddirectly or used as an
native in-streamuses of the same water for navigation, inputto otherprocesses.Empiricalobservationshowsthat
fisheries,downstreamusers,andthe maintenanceofstream in Boston as well as in Beijing, if the price of water is
ecosystems.Wellestablishedmethodsusingmathematicalincreased,consumerswill use less of it. In other words,
progammingandsimulationmodelsshouldberequiredas there is a "willingness-to-pay"for water that is not an
a prerequisiteforproject appraisalin such cases. abstwacteconomicconceptdependingonelaboratetheories
of privateproperty,but rather is a reliablebehavioraltrait
In any policy study the quality of the data used of consmnersof the products.The same behaviorcan be
determines to a large extent what conclusionscan be expectedin Kansasand Kathmandu- and is a goodbasis
reliablyreached.However,there is a mind-set,that always forassessingthe economicdemandfor water. (Waterhas
looksformoreandmoredataandmore andmorecomplete adownwardslopingdemandcurve.)Wecanexpecthuman
coverageof a regionor basin. Geographicalinformation actionsto meet demandto be similar in widelydifferent
systems (GIS) are currentlyvery popular. Some of he locations.The most accessiblewater for humanuse is the
practicalproblemsencounteredin the use of suchsystems cheapestto develop,the nextmost accessiblecosts a little
should be examined.For instance, many of the current more,the nextyet a little bit more, andso forth.Verysoon
10
- m *
The best approachprobablylies 3omewherebetweenthe yieldingwheat,andcashcropssuchas cotton,tobacco,and
twoextremes.Thetensionbetweenregulationandefficientoilseeds.
pricingwillalwaysremaina sourceof contentionbetween
the plannersandthe politicalprocess,however,as Brown Outside observersare surprisedby the disparities
and Sibley(1986)stated: among cost recovery rules for Bank loans in different
sectors. Il the electric energy and telecommunications
When regulation violates efficiency criteria seri- sectorstheBankinsistsonfull costrecoveryforthe capital
ously enough, not only economists become con- as well as O&M expenses.The goal is to create viable
cemed.Peak loadpricinginelectricity.forexample, publicutilities,abletosettariffsthatwillefficientlyfinance
was takenseriouslyintheU.S.whenit becameclear the future developmentof the sector. In contrast,water
that excessiveuse of electricitywas contributingto sector projects typically require only repaymentof the
an energy crisisthat alanned many people. Hence, O&Mand of some "reasonable"part of the capitalcosts.
normativeeconomicsplaysan important,thoughnot Manywould argue that thispolicyleads to sloppyperfor-
preeminent,role in the regulatoryprocess. manceon the part of both the suppliersand consumersof
water. Sincewe do knowthat wateruse is directlyrelated
Pricingis the major tool by which economistsat- to the prices charged;the higherthe prices,the lowerthe
temptto bringaboutefficientresourceuse. Pricingis more usage.
thancostrecovery;it alsoaimsat leadingsocietytocorrect
allocationdecisions. Unfortunately,when many of the The Bankshouldcarefullystudythe implicationsof
pricesin an economyare artificiallyset,it is hardto induce movingtoward full costrecoveryfor water sectorinvest-
rational resourceallocationby "correctly" pricingjust a ments,and alternativemethodsof doingso.
fewoftheresources.This isamajorprobleminall countries
and regions. For example, it is estimated that in the 4.1.5 EnvironmentalImpactsof WaterDevelopment
EMENAregion alone the subsidy to agriculturedue to
incorrectwaterpricingisofthe orderof$40billionperyear. There are increasingpressuresoninternationalinsti-
tutions to take the lead in respondingto concernsabout
The Bank must developstrategiesthat will enable environmentaldeterioration.The Bank should take the
countries to bring their resource pricing progressively initiative in dealing with these problems,instead of its
closer to market pricing,economywide,than is currently beingseenasmerelyreactingtospecificchallengesasthey
the case.TheBank's PolicyPaperwillhave to lay out the arise. Asthe industrializednationshavediscovered,assur-
issuesandconsequencesofpricepolicysothatpricepolicy ing water quality entails more than the regulation of
wil becomean integralpart of the Bank's ownoperations industial andmunicipalwastewaterdischarges.Nonpoint
as well as of those of the borrowingcountries. sourcessuchas agricultual runoff,are now recognizedas
major contributorsto environmentalproblemsthat canot
2. Cost Recovery be ignored.Moreimportantly,at the level of questionsof
susainability of ecosystemsas a whole, water use and
Inthe indianstateofBihar,the chargesforrrigation water contaminationplay major roles. They cannot be
Departmentwater from river diversionsand dams are so easily separated into water quality and water quantity
low and the attemptsto collect the feesso feeble,that in issues;both are critical.
1979the costincurredin collectingthe fees forwaterwas
117percent of the actual amountcollected.Owingto its From the environmentalpoint of view much of the
seriousfinancialdifficulties,theIigationDepartmenthas concernwith water projectsstemsfrom the casualway in
had to defer maintenance,and the water systemhas dete- which environmentalconsequencesare handledas a lst
riorated. Farmers have less incentive to pay for poor minute consideration,rather than being integratedinto
service,and a viciouscyclehas developed.Moreover,the project designfromthe beginning.Big offendersinclude
low water chargeshave led farmers to use water ineffi- irrigationprojectsinwhichdrainageissuesareneglectedin
ciently.Bycontrast,in boththe Punjabregionin Indiaand the initialplanning,navigationprojectsin whichthe dis-
inareas oftheUnited Statesthatrelyonwaterfromprivate posalofdredged materialsis haphazard,and floodcontrol
wells,fannersarefarmoreconservativeinhowmuchwater projectswhich ignoreflood-plainfisheries.In all of these
they use since they pay higher prices. (Well water costs casesadequatepre-planningguidelinescouldsubstantially
morebecauseit is notsubsidized.)Yetthesefarmers'crops reducetheenvironmentalimpacts.1There areotherprojects,
are not doomed to economic failure: when the cost of forexamplelargedams,whichhave majorenvironmental
pumping in the Punjab increased in the 1960s,fanners impactsthatcannotbemitigated, such as loss of habitat,
began growing more water-efficientcropssuch as high- loss of fertile bottom lands, destructionof forests,and
12
sedimenttrapping, in addition to the social impacts of goals.Theirrigationliteratureisrepletewithdiscussionsof
moving large numbers of people from their homes and howto defineequity,how to measureit and its effectson
farms. These consequencescan only be addressedon a productivityandothervalues,andhowtoplan forit. Some
politicallevel by providingthe rightkinds of institutions options are more equitable than others and should be
thatwill allowfordialogue,negotiation,andcompensationpursuedin the design and implementationof water re-
to the affectedgroups.However,guidelinesthat force a sources works. Nevertheless, if cie were looking for
thoroughsearchfor alternativescould,in the caseof large investmentsin the economyto achieveequitabledistribu-
dams,suggestattractivealternatesolutionssuchas modi- tions of benefits,water projects are not the most likely
ficationsofthe scale ofthe projector otherstorge options candidates.Evenwithinirrigationprojectsthemselvesit is
such as undergroundstorageor a largernumber of smaU important,forexample,thattheeconomiccostsofskewing
storagescloserto the users. The WorldBankOperational water allocationsin favor of equitythat are imposedupon
Memorandum4.00, Annexes A and B, could provide a societybedefinedintermsofthenumberoffarmers,rather
good startingpoint for the developmentqf appropriate than farmsizes, and that they be carefuly estinated and
guidelines. politicallyassessedas to whetherthey exceedthe accrued
socialbenefits.In somesituationsfarmsare toosmallto be
4.1.6 Social Impactsof WaterDevelopment economicallyefficientand the watermightbe betterused
on slightlylarger farms.
Inaperfectworld,waterdevelopmentprojectswould
haveonlypositiveimpactson societies.However,because Equity is an emotionallycharged issuewhich the
of the exteralities inherent in many water investment Bankcan helpborrowinggovernmentsweighproperlyby
projects,thereare almostalways somewinnersand some providinga dispassionatediscussionof it in its Policy
losers.Localpeople losetheir landsso that urbanpopula- Paper.Thereisalarge rolefortheBankinhelpingcountries
tionscanhaveelectricpowerandlowlandfarmerscanhave deal with these types of impactsin a straightforwardway
irrigation.Upstreamusers pollute rivers with wastes or by givingthem due weightin their own indigenousplan-
choke them with sediment, causing severe damages to ningmethodsandorganizations.Someof these resources
downstreamusers. Attention must be paid in planning are already covered by the Bank's own environmental
projectsto minimizedisruptionoutsideofthe projectarea assessmentguidelines.They shouldbe madeexplicitin the
and to provide compensationto the affectedparties. PolicyPaper.
14
ratelyexamined.Food securityis amajorconcernofevery vision;itcanthrowthe largerbenefit-costpictureseriously
govenmuentthroughoutthe world but how to achieve a out of balance, and lead to misplaced investmenton a
satisfactorylevel of securityis not obvious.Nationalself- significantscale.
sufficiencyin food grains is not the imperativethat it is
oftenassumedtobe.Inthe modernworldoilis essentialfor In its PolicyPaper the Bank will have to devote a
survival, but nowhere do we find the belief that every major effortto analyzingirrigationsince this is one of its
countryshouldbe self-sufficientin oil. There is no reason major lendingactivities.However,there are many other
whyeverycountryshouldgrowgrain,whichrequires2,000issuesinvolvingchoiceof technologyand croppingpoli-
to3,000tonsofwaterperton.1nanandcountrywatercan cies that have not been featuredhere, which are also of
havemuch highervalue forotheruses.Internationaltrade major concernin this partofthe watersector.Many of the
canredistributewater- inthe formofgrain- tonationsthat sector-wideissuesapplyintheirrigationarea.Forexample,
decide not to grow it. Israel subscribesto this practice, a recentpaper by Johnson(1990)indicatesthat the prob-
emphasizipgvaluablecashcropssuchasfruits,vegetables,lems with irrigation in South and Southeast Asia are
and flowersfor the Europeanmarket.Countriesthat take becomingparticularlyacutebecauseof the fundingof the
thisapproachcouldmaintainstockpilesofthe basicgrains; operationsand maintenance(O&M) of the systems. As
even though stockpilesare costly and can deteriorate, indicatedabove,pricingand cost-recoveryare fundamen-
replacingspoilage is less expensivethan growing grain. tal to achievingproper operation and maintenance of
Suchcountriescouldgrowa diversityof cashcropssothat systems.
fluctuatingintemationalprices could not devastatetheir
economies. 4.2.2 Waterand Health
Even the definitionof self-sufficiencyis not clear. A relationshipbe.tweenwater and health has been
Doesit meanthat acountry shouldbe self-sufficienton the acceptedsince at least the time of Frontinus,the Water
average,orfordroughtyears,oronly75%ofthe time?The Commissionerof Romein 97 A.D.,but the exactrelation-
choiceof the definitionhas a large impacton planningfor ship is not well understoodeven now. A World Bank
water use in agriculture.It is imperativethat the Bank position paper on domesticwater supply (WorldBank,
addressthis issuehead-on in its PolicyPaper. 1976)cautiouslylimiteditselfto sayingthat "other things
being equal,a safeandadequatewatersupplyis generally
Increasing"wateruse efficiencies"inagricultureis associated with a healthier population." Many of the
a widelysuggestedsolutionto water shortages.However, benefitsobservedduringthe "sanitary revolution" in the
in many parts of the world one farmer's inefficientuse industrializedworld wereachievedwhenprotectedwater
provides the water for another farmer downstreamor supplieswere provided to societieswith rising income
rechargesthe groundwaterfor many other farmers.It has levels,whichinducedotherpositivebehaviorswithrespect
been argued that the irrigationefficiencyin California's to personalhygieneandnutrition.At low levelsof devel-
SanJoaquinBasinapproaches100%despitethe factthaton opment,investmentsin improveddomesticwater supplies
any one fa&mthe efficiencymay only be 60-70%.Indi- are often necessarybut generallynot sufficientto realize
vidual casesmust be closelyconsideredbeforemuch can the potentialhealthbenefits.Formiddle-leveldeveloping
be made of the advisability of improving "irrigation countries,where the populationis generallybetter edu-
efficiency." Many commentatorslooking only at farm cated, the health benefitsof investmentsin water supply
level efficiencieshave advocatedimprovementof effi- andsanitationaregenerallysubstantial.Athigherlevelsof
ciencyof water applicationas the best way to conserve developmentonetypicallyobservessmalladditionalhealth
water. Althoughthis may be true in some cases, it is not benefitsfrom furtherinvestmentsin such facilities.
universallytrueandshouldbesubjectedtocarefulanalysis.
But apartfromdrinkdngwaterandsanitation, serious
Itismoreappropriatetostartfromthelargerperspec- hunan health problemscan be introducedinto an area
tive ofthe overallregionalefficiencyoftheuseof waterfor throughthe developmentof water resources.The classic
irrigation.But eventhis is a difficultconcept,and agricul- caseisthespreadofschistosomiasisinAfricaandAsiaafter
tural and irrigationprofessionalswill be on still stronger the introductionof irrigation.Debilitatingratherthan fatal
ground if they orient themselvesto the further-reaching in most cases,schistosomiasisnow infectsmore than 200
concept of the "economic efficiency" of aU water use million people. Malaria, filariasis, yellow fever,
rather than of "irrigation efficiency." "Irrigation effi- onchocerciasis(river blindness),dracunculiasis(Guinea
ciency" is a seductive notion because it simplifiesthe worm disease),and sleepingsickness can be spreadby
problemto wateralone by focusingit on engineeringand inrigationprojects.Manywater-solublechemicalsused in
managementvariables.Butit canbecomea formoftunnel agriculture,particularlychlorinatedhydrocarbons,accu-
15
mulatein animalandplanttissuesandthusenterorbecome ness-to-payforthese servicesby differentsocioeconomnic
concentratedin the food chain. High concentrationsof groups.Suchstudies are conceptuallydifficultas well as
nitrogenfertilizerin water suppliescauseblooddiseasesin time-consuming,but they should obecarriedout in a suffi-
infants.In manycountriesunregulatedandindiscriminate cientlylargenumberof casesthat the basicmagnitudesof
productionanddisposalofchemicalsandtheirwasteshave the expectedbenefitscanbe demonstrated.This isparticu-
led to seriouscontaminationof surfaceandgroundwaters larly importantin this sector since most of the litetature
by toxic and carcinogenicsubstances.Someof the worst focusesuponthecostofthe servicesand oncomplaintsthat
casesare observedin developingcountrieswhichhavefew theyare becomingtoo expensive."Too expensive" com-
resourcestodealwiththem.Acarefulreviewofallofthese pared to what? The only meaningfulcomparisonis with
componentsof "water and health" is in order,notjust of the benefits received from consumingthese goods and
drinidngwater and sanitation. services.
16
chooseto pretreatitswaste,decreaseitswateruse,improve intersectoralnatureof electricityand theconflictsoverthe
housekeeping,change either the productionprocess or potentialusesof the water betweenusers.In addition,the
products, or it can choose to pay the effluent fee. The pricing of the output from multipurposewater resources
industrialchargesare typicaUyrelated to the quantityof projectsthatincludehydropowerneedscarefulreappraisal.
waterusedand the "strength" of the effluentmeasuredin The temptationis to loadadisproportionateamountof the
termsofthe oxygen-demanding organicwasteload(BOD) costrecoveryon the electricityconsuners and not on the
and total suspendedsolids. These charges can give an agriculturalandotherusersofthejointoutputoftheproject.
incentiveto industriesto changethe amountsandstrength
oftheirsewageeffluents.Hudson'sstudyoffivelarge cities The Bank's Policy Paper should help developex-
(Atlanta,Chicago,Dallas,Salem(Oregon),andSouthSan plicit guidelinesfordealingwith theseissues,particularly
Francisco)and 101 industriesfoundthat effluentcharges the environmentaland social impactsdiscussedabove,in
were overwhelminglypreferred by the industrialiststo its own operationsand to encourage the governments
dischargehimitations.Therewasauniversalattemptbythereceivingfundsto recognizethemas potentialproblems.
industriesin the sample to respondto the effluent fees
despitetheirrelativelysmallcoststo the industries.Hudson
concludedthat; "...we are confidentthat economicincen-
tivesworkwellandcanbe effectivelyadministered." In its
PolicyPaperthe Bankshouldstressthe applicationof well REFERENCES
establishedeconomicprinciplesand innovativetechnical
approachesin this area. Baumol,W.J.andW.E. Oates.Economics,Environmental
Policy,and the QualityofLife. Prentice-Hall,1979.
4.2.4 Rural WaterSupply and Sanitation
Brown,S.3. andD. S. Sibley.The TheoryofPublic Utility
This one problem area could easily consume the Pricing.CambridgeUniversityPress, 1986.
entireBank lendingportfolio and still not be completely
resolved.1990isthe endofthe UnitedNationsWaterand Dasgupta,P., S. A. Marglin,and A. Sen. Guidelines for
SanitationDecade,but in percentagetermsthe population ProjectEvaluation.UnitedNationsIndustial Develop-
coveredremains similar to that at the beginningof the ment Organization,1972.
Decade.Moreeffortis neededon the socialandeconomic
sideof this issue,and Bank-sponsoredresearchon assess- Desvouges,W. H. and V. Kerry Smith.Benefit-CostAs-
ing willingness-to-payfor rual water supply should be sessmentfor WaterPrograms,VolumeI. Preparedfor
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4.2.3.,too much of the discussionfocusesupon the costs TriangleInstitute,North Carolina, 1983.
andtoolittleon the benefits.In addition,thereis aneed for
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individualor privatesectorundertakingsto providegoods ment.W.W.Norton, 1972.
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Coase,R. "The Problemof Social Cost." TheJournalof
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and problemswith respectto this entire set of activities. nomicsofProjectEvaluation. HarvardUniversity,1958.
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ties."InternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnaly-Kneese,A. V.and B. T. Bower.ManagingWaterQuality:
sis, Laxenburg,Austria,December,1982.Mimeo. Economics,Technology,Institutions.Johns Hopkins
Press, 1968.
Hanke,S. H and R Davis. "Potential for MarginalCost
Pricingin Water ResourcesManagement," WaterRe- Little, I. M. D. and J. A.Mirrlees.ProjectAppr *,al and
sourcesResearch9, 4, August1973. PlanningforDevelopingCountries.BasicBoo1 ;,1974.
Hurst, C. and P. Rogers. "A Tale of Two Simulations: Meier, 0. M, editor. Pricing Policy for Development
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Planing Models." Paperpresentedatthel2thInterna- ' JohnsHopkinsPress, 1983.
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sachusettsInstituteof Technology,August1985. Postel,S. "SavingWaterforAgriculture,"in L. R Brown
et al. State of the World:1990.W.W.Norton, 1990.
Ingramn,0. K. "Note on the MacroeconomicLinkagesof
Infiastructure."WorldBank, October,1989.Mimeo. Rogers,P. "Water: Not As CheapAsYou Think." Tech-
nologyReview 89, 8, Nov/Dec1986.
James,I. C., B. T. Bower,and N. C. Matalas. "Relative
Importanceof Variables in Water Resources Plan- Squire,L. and H. G. van der Tak.EconomicAnalysisof
ning." Water ResourcesResearch. 5, 6, December Projects.JohnsHopkinsPress,1975.
1969.
UnitedNationslndustrialT)evelopmentOrganization.
Guide
Johnson,S.H."ProgressandProblemsofIrrigationInvest- to PracticalProjectAppraisal.UNIDO, 1978.
mentin SouthandSoutheastAsia."WaterInternational
15(1990):15-26. WorldBank. VillageWaterSupply.WorldBank, 1976.
18
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