Professional Documents
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Predictor of Cancer
In a long-term prospective study, medical students who later developed cancer, in contrast to
the rest of the cohort, gave Rorschach test responses indicating less satisfactory interpersonal
relationships as assessed by the Rorschach Interaction Scale (RIS). The scale remained as a
predictor of cancer after adjusting for smoking, serum cholesterol level, and age in medical
school, and after taking into account the date of diagnosis and length of follow-up time. An
exploration of the relationship between the RIS and specific types of cancer suggested that
cancers of the lung may be less influenced by this psychologic factor than are other cancers.
The findings were interpreted to suggest that internal self-other representations as measured
by the RIS are involved as regulators of biologic systems and manifestations of illness, such as
cancer.
pected to corroborate these earlier findings nearly half has consistently reported good health
regarding the role of interpersonal rela- (N = 488,47.3%). Excluding all those subjects among
tionships in health and illness. whom a major disorder was diagnosed before grad-
uation from medical school (N = 69), the following
In the previous report (1), the RIS scale disorder groups were identified as of January 1,1984.
was applied to the Rorschach responses Forty-five subjects reported major malignant neo-
given by 319 healthy medical students. The plasm as defined in Rubrics 140-190 and 192-207
individual ratings were then categorized of the International Classification of Diseases, World
Health Organization, Seventh Revision, 1957. The
by range of interaction as belonging to one types of cancer represented were lung (seven), testis
of six patterns that varied from a well-ad- (six), Hodgkin's disease (five), malignant melanoma,
justed attitude (i.e., moderate degrees of prostate, large intestine (three cases each), pancreas,
both positive and negative scores in the salivary gland, lymphosarcoma, bladder, and con-
rating) to less well-adjusted attitudes (i.e., nective tissue (two cases each), and one case each of
rectum, brain, stomach, larynx, thyroid, kidney, mul-
extreme scores of both positive and neg- tiple myeloma, and leukemia.
ative ratings, or a lack of any interactional Ninety-nine subjects reported having essential hy-
ratings.]. Comparisons between the youth- pertension and being under treatment with antihy-
ful relationship potential thus assessed and pertensive chemotherapeutic agents, whereas 43 had
midlife health or illness showed that the a coronary heart disease (for the most part coronary
future cancer victims differed significantly occlusion or angina pectoris). Thirty-seven men were
found to have a mental disorder usually severe enough
from their fellow students who remained to require a period of hospitalization. Among these
healthy but resembled those who later be- were ten suicide cases, of whom five had been hos-
came mentally ill or committed suicide; pitalized for mental illness while the others had been
both the cancer and the mental disorder severely emotionally disturbed. Two additional dis-
groups demonstrated, on the average, less order groups were considered because of their pos-
sible etiologic connection with cancer: skin cancer
well-adjusted interaction patterns. The (N = 51), consisting of subjects with basal or squa-
present report, using larger numbers of mous cell carcinoma of the skin, but excluding mel-
subjects and more rigorous statistical pro- anoma, which was placed under cancer, and benign
cedures, seeks to place the initial RIS find- tumor (N = 78), consisting of subjects with a non-
malignant neoplasm. Finally, duodenal ulcer (N = 35)
ings in the proper perspective by analyz- as a separate disorder group was included. The rest
ing them in more detail and examining of the subjects (N = 87) reported miscellaneous dis-
other factors which might be related. orders, but the number within each disorder group
was too small for useful comparisons.
METHODS
Selection of Covariates
Subjects and Data Base
A wide range of physiologic and metabolic mea-
The Rorschach test, in either the individual or group sures were collected from the subjects while they
form, was administered to 1154 medical students were in medical school as part of the Precursors Study
(86.3% of the cohort of 1337 students). At the time (5). Based on documented risk factors for major ill-
of the test, the students were all in good health; the nesses, in particular cancer and cardiovascular dis-
median age was 23 years. The present inquiry has eases (6-9), the effects of the following covariates
been confined to white male subjects for the sake of (risk factors) were statistically controlled on the RIS:
homogeneity because 88.6% of the entire cohort be- smoking (number of cigarettes smoked daily); serum
longed to that sex/race group: Of the 1032 white male cholesterol level; systolic blood pressure; Quetelet
subjects who took the Rorschach test in medical school index (weight in kilograms divided by squared height
(527 in the individual, and 505 in the group form), in meters); and age in medical school.
Rorschach Interaction Scale computer (10,11). The printout of each protocol was
labeled only by a confidential identification number
The assumption underlying the RIS scale is that a and kept entirely separate from the subjects' medical
person projects his or her basic, enduring sense of data. The ratings were made from the printouts of
emotional relatedness with others on the Rorschach the individual protocols and were done without
responses involving human, humanlike, or animal knowledge of the subjects' identities, including their
figures in interaction (1). Thus only those responses health status.
that describe two or more figures in some sort of Two research assistants and the first author, work-
mutual arrangement are used for scoring. Further- ing independently from the printouts, rated the pro-
more, only responses given in the spontaneous or tocols. A satisfactory interrater agreement between
free association period are used without regard to each assistant and the first author was obtained
card, location, determinants, or elaborations added (r = 0.83, 0.82, respectively). However, to ensure
during the inquiry. The bipolar 11-point scale con- maximal reliability of final ratings, the first author
sists of scores ranging between +5 and - 5 , where checked the individual ratings, and, in cases of dis-
scores from 0 to + 5 represent increasingly positive agreement, the final ratings were made jointly fol-
degrees of emotional involvement, whereas scores lowing discussion. In all, 7312 ratings were obtained,
from - 1 to - 5 represent increasingly negative de- yielding approximately seven responses per protocol
grees of involvement (Table 1). (X = 6.51, SD = 4.80).
which each protocol was categorized by range of in- Pattern 4: "Controlled." An emotionally reserved in-
teraction responses. To clarify, the mean RIS score volvement in relationships in that positively and
for each individual would represent the overall, or negatively toned feelings are experienced and tol-
average emotional tone of the interactions in the en- erated in a controlled, restricted range only. Com-
tire Rorschach protocol. But a mean score of "0," for prises both positive and negative scores within the
example, would encompass such widely diverse pat- + 3 to - 3 range, with one or both of these scores
terns of response as a) a subject who gave only a included in the rating.
single 0 response, and b) a subject who gave a single Pattern 5: "Ambivalent." A poorly balanced ap-
- 5 and a single +5 response. It appeared desirable, proach showing emotions in extreme, poorly mod-
therefore, to consider variations in the combination ulated forms, either in destructive, hostile, or vi-
of positive and negative scores. These combinations olent content, or in highly affectionate, intimate
were conceptualized as reflecting variations in in- content, or both. Range between - 5 and +5, in-
dividual capacity to regulate and tolerate mutually cluding one or both of these extreme ratings.
opposite feelings in relationships with others (12). Pattern 6: "Avoidant." A distant, or withdrawn, ori-
Two considerations guided the identification of entation in relationships. Subjects giving no scor-
the ranges. First, the frequency distribution of the able responses on the RIS are included in this
scores was taken into account; for example, the pro- pattern.
portionately low occurrence of the extreme scores
(2% each) would suggest a special selectivity and
importance of a response with a +5 or - 5 rating. The patterns were subsequently ordered according
Second, the qualitative differences between the score to their postulated degree of emotional balance in
categories, embedded in the construction of the scale, interpersonal relationships and given a simple nu-
were considered. Thus an expression of feelings of merical weight (13). As mentioned, the Flexible pat-
deliberate contention or antagonism without physi- tern was considered a well-adjusted approach and
cal contact (-3) would appear significantly different was therefore given the weight of 1. The Conformist
from an expression of deliberate physical aggression pattern, postulated to be somewhat less balanced,
(-4) and would represent a qualitatively different was weighted 2. Since the Emphatic Positive and
approach to angry or aggressive feelings. Controlled patterns appeared equally adequate, both
Again, the patterns and their ranges were defined patterns were weighted 3. The Ambivalent and
without knowledge of the individual subjects' health Avoidant patterns, considered to represent the least
status. Six patterns of interaction were defined and well-balanced patterns, were given the weights of 4
are described here briefly. A more extended descrip- and 5, respectively.
tion is given in the previous report (1).
TABLE 2. Number of Subjects in Seven Disorder Groups and Their Controls; Means and Standard
Deviations of Ages in Medical School and Rorschach Interaction Scale (RIS) Scores
Ag;e in Medical
School RIS-Score
Disorder N X SD X SD
Cancer 45 24.00 2.88 53.31 a 10.36
No cancer 982 23.35 2.76 49.82 9.95
adjusting for age, smoking, and serum cho- For hypertension, both of its specific risk
lesterol level. For mental disorder, the RIS factors—systolic blood pressure (p < 0.001)
score is marginally significant (p = 0.07), and Quetelet index (p = 0.01)—remained
while for the remaining six disorders, the as predictors for the illness. Furthermore,
score fails to predict subsequent illness. age was shown to predict both for skin
Regarding the disease-specific risk factors, cancer (p = 0.02) and mental disorder
serum cholesterol showed only marginal (p = 0.04): subjects who later developed
significance for cancer (p = 0.07), but re- either disorder were older when in med-
mained highly significant for coronary heart ical school.
disease (p < 0.001). Regarding this latter Besides the contribution of the weighted
disorder, both smoking and age contrib- RIS scores, the predictive potential of each
uted significantly as well: subjects who separate RIS pattern for cancer was ex-
subsequently developed coronary heart amined. The Kaplan-Meier plot (Fig. 1)
disease smoked more (p = 0.01) and were shows the cumulative proportion of sub-
older (p < 0.001) while in medical school. jects in each RIS pattern who developed
'Jl
'J
Jll
P. L. GRAVES, L.A. MEAD, and T. A PEARSON
D FLEXI8LE
O CONFORMIST
0.00-
20 30
Fig. 1. Cumulative proportion of subjects with cancer by Rorschach Interaction Patterns. Number of subjects
with cancer in each pattern (total number in parentheses): Flexible, 5(214); Conformist, 10(292);
Emphatic Positive, 4(120); Controlled, 11(203); Ambivalent, 12(162); Avoidant, 3(36).
cancer. By 20 years of follow-up, the pat- ference between the six curves was sig-
tern groups begin to show a difference in nificant (x2 = l i . l l , p = 0.05).
the proportion of cancer: the Avoidant The relative risks and 95% confidence
group has the highest proportion, 5.5%, intervals for each RIS pattern were cal-
the Ambivalent group has 3.5%, while the culated using the Cox proportional haz-
other groups have 2% or less. ards model and adjusting for smoking,
At the end of 30 years of follow-up the serum cholesterol level, and age in med-
Flexible group has the lowest proportion ical school. Using the Flexible group as
of cancer with 3%, and the Ambivalent a reference group, the relative risks for de-
and Avoidant groups still have the highest veloping cancer ranged from 1.32 for
proportions, with 13% and 12%, respec- the Conformist group to 3.02 for the
tively. The other three groups are inter- Ambivalent and 4.10 for the Avoidant
mediate, with proportions ranging from 5% groups (Table 4). Thus, the relative risk
to 6.5%. The logrank test for overall dif- of developing cancer appears to increase
the higher the RIS pattern stands in the subjects would indicate a tendency to-
order where poor adjustment ranks the ward a less well-balanced approach to in-
highest. terpersonal relationships.
prompted the design of the RIS. A system- low-up time lengthens in a cohort study
atic examination of the role that quaJity of (17). The following discussion elaborates
human relationships exerts on health and these and other aspects with the purpose
illness such as cancer thus appeared war- of critically evaluating the present find-
ranted. ings.
The present findings confirm the earlier First, it should be noted that the cancer
findings with the RIS. The findings show group under present study consisted of
that medical students who later developed subjects of whom a large part formed the
cancer, in contrast to the rest of the cohort, earlier study sample. As Fox (8) points out,
gave test responses indicative of poorer re- it cannot be ignored that the present, sim-
lationship potential. The possibility that ilarly significant results could arise in part
the RIS may indeed be a cancer-specific "from the portion of the later case and con-
predictor was strengthened by the fact that trol groups that might have been signifi-
five of the seven disorder groups studied cantly different by chance in the early
failed to show an association with the groups" (p. 97). When the disorder groups
measure. Mental disorder as the sixth dis- become larger, samples independent from
order group showed a near-significant as- those used in this study will be possible
sociation and thus corroborated the earlier and additional validation will result. But
suggestion of a psychologic resemblance it has also been pointed out that ulti-
between later cancer and mental disorder mately, the validity and utility of any test
subjects (1, 3). is an empirical question, i.e., to what ex-
The present findings are based on a more tent a given test differentiates among in-
rigorous examination in at least three dif- dependently defined groups or, alterna-
ferent aspects. First, the study sample con- tively, identified or predicts important
sisted of the entire cohort of white males states or outcomes (18). Using such an em-
who had taken the Rorschach test pirical criterion, the present findings in-
(N= 1032]; also, the number of cancer pa- dicate that the RIS is a promising psycho-
tients had increased considerably since the logic predictor of cancer.
date of the first report in 1981, from 28 to A frequently noted concern, even in
45 cases. Second, the previously used uni- prospective studies, is the possibility that
variate statistical analyses were supple- the disease may influence psychologic and
mented by multivariate analyses that al- other variables even when it is not yet clin-
lowed for control of the possible ically manifest. Therefore, the time inter-
confounding effects of risk factors. Third, val between diagnosis and the psychologic
the use of survivorship analyses permitted assessment is an important consideration.
the examination of the rates of cancer oc- Most of the cancer group were in their early
currence adjusting for different lengths of twenties (X = 23.87, SD = 2.81) when they
follow-up time, together with the relation- took the Rorschach test, whereas the ma-
ship between these rates and the psycho- jority were in theirjriid-forties when can-
logic measure. Such an examination is cer was diagnosed (X = 48.64, SD = 9.02).
particularly important since other studies Thus a time interval of 15-30 years was
have noted that the relationship between not unusual. We may therefore be reason-
certain psychosocial variables and inci- ably certain that the medical school mea-
dence of illness (e.g., coronary heart dis- surements reflected a premorbid condition
ease) would tend to diminish as the fol- of functioning in our subjects.
Noteworthy is the fact that the present cancer research (22-28). Methodologic
study group has not yet reached the age at differences between the present and the
which the occurrence of cancer starts to earlier studies, however, make direct com-
increase at an accelerated rate—approxi- parisons difficult. For the most part, the
mately from the sixth decade on (19). Fox earlier studies are retrospective and cross-
(8) has proposed that the role of psycho- sectional and, therefore, limited in their
logic factors in the development of cancer efforts to determine whether the associa-
may be more evident in instances where tion of psychologic factors to cancer was
cancer occurs relatively early in life, a result of the disease rather than its pre-
whereas the role of external factors will be cursor. Such limitations notwithstanding,
most important in cancers occurring at later the earlier reports highlight distinct per-
ages with long-term exposure to carcino- sonality characteristics typical of cancer
gens. It may be that the RIS may lose its patients, based on global personality de-
predictive potential when the future can- scriptions (22, 28), or clusters of person-
cer subjects develop the disease at an older ality traits (23, 24-27). In contrast, the fo-
age and the effect of external factors will cus of the present work is on one single
have increased. At the same time, it is pos- psychologic factor, "relationship poten-
sible that already relatively early in life, tial."
certain cancers are less influenced by psy- The RIS was developed to measure "re-
chologic factors than others. This sugges- lationship potential," that is, variations in
tion stems from the exploratory finding in- individual perceptions and emotional ex-
dicating that the mean RIS score for the pectations in relationship to others. Clin-
lung cancer subjects was not different from, ical dynamic psychology stresses that it is
and was even somewhat lower than, the not the absence of negative feelings, but
mean score for subjects without cancer, rather the tolerance and moderation of
whereas the mean scores were higher mutually opposite feelings (love-hate; af-
among the rest of the cancer subgroups. It fection-aggression) in significant relation-
seems likely that smoking as an external ships which is a mark of mature, "good"
factor, as other studies have suggested (16], adjustment (12). In contrast, the occur-
is the most important determinant for this rence of poorly balanced, intensely nega-
particular type of cancer, surpassing the tive and/or intensely positive feelings sig-
effect of such psychologic factors as mea- nifies poor adjustment (29). The RIS
sured by the RIS. As an alternative con- patterns were defined in accordance with
sideration, some investigations indicate that such clinical guidelines. These patterns
lung cancer patients tend to demonstrate showed that students who later developed
a high degree of social conformity and thus cancer or became mentally ill differed sig-
appear socially well-adapted due to strong nificantly from the rest of their classmates.
internal control, which blocks outlets for In each instance, relationship potential
emotional discharge (20, 21). It may be that tended to be poorer and the predominant
the RIS is not an appropriate measure in RIS patterns indicated less successful ad-
efforts to differentiate this apparently so- justment.
cially well-adjusted group of future cancer These findings may not be surprising
subjects from their controls. among those subjects who later developed
The present study follows a rich tradi- a mental illness, as any mental illness rarely
tion in the use of the Rorschach test in develops without early, even lifelong signs
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