Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A.Velto Regents
World Go Boom
World Go Boom............................................................................................................................................................................1
Accidental Launch.........................................................................................................................................................................2
Acid Rain.......................................................................................................................................................................................3
Aids................................................................................................................................................................................................4
AirPower – Hegemony..................................................................................................................................................................5
Asia Stability.................................................................................................................................................................................6
Biodiversity...................................................................................................................................................................................7
*Cap Good*...................................................................................................................................................................................8
Extinction......................................................................................................................................................................................9
CO2..............................................................................................................................................................................................10
Equality........................................................................................................................................................................................11
*China*........................................................................................................................................................................................12
US-Taiwan ..................................................................................................................................................................................13
US –China...................................................................................................................................................................................14
Dehumanization...........................................................................................................................................................................15
Democracy...................................................................................................................................................................................16
Disease.........................................................................................................................................................................................17
Environment................................................................................................................................................................................18
*Economy*..................................................................................................................................................................................19
Mead............................................................................................................................................................................................20
Bearden........................................................................................................................................................................................21
Extinction Outweighs..................................................................................................................................................................22
High Food Prices.........................................................................................................................................................................23
*Hegemony*................................................................................................................................................................................24
Short Zad.....................................................................................................................................................................................25
Long Zad.....................................................................................................................................................................................26
Peace............................................................................................................................................................................................27
Ferguson......................................................................................................................................................................................28
Human Rights..............................................................................................................................................................................29
Iran Prolif.....................................................................................................................................................................................30
North Korea.................................................................................................................................................................................31
Nuclear Testing...........................................................................................................................................................................32
Nuclear War.................................................................................................................................................................................33
Nuclear War Outweighs..............................................................................................................................................................34
Poverty.........................................................................................................................................................................................35
Prolif............................................................................................................................................................................................36
Racism.........................................................................................................................................................................................37
Rape.............................................................................................................................................................................................38
Space............................................................................................................................................................................................39
Terrorism.....................................................................................................................................................................................40
Toxic Waste.................................................................................................................................................................................41
Trade Good .................................................................................................................................................................................42
Trade Bad....................................................................................................................................................................................43
Warming Bad...............................................................................................................................................................................44
Warming Bad – Chalko...............................................................................................................................................................45
Warming Good – Health.............................................................................................................................................................46
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Cal National Debate Institute 2009 World Go Boom
A.Velto Regents
Accidental Launch
An accidental launch would lead to retaliatory strikes and extinction within half an hour
The American Prospect, 2/26/01
The bitter disputes over national missile defense ( NMD) have obscured a related but dramatically more urgent issue of
national security: the 4,800 nuclear warheads -- weapons with a combined destructive power nearly
100,000 times greater than the atomic bomb that leveled Hiroshima -- currently on "hair-trigger" alert. Hair-trigger alert
means this: The missiles carrying those warheads are armed and fueled at all times. Two thousand or so of these warheads are on the intercontinental ballistic
missiles (ICBMs) targeted by Russia at the United States; 1,800 are on the ICBMs targeted by the
United States at Russia; and approximately 1,000 are on the submarine-based missiles targeted by the two
nations at each other. These missiles would launch on receipt of three computer-delivered messages. Launch crews -- on duty every second of every day -- are under
orders to send the messages on receipt of a single computer-delivered command. In no more than two minutes, if all went according to plan, Russia or
the United States could launch missiles at predetermined targets: Washington or New York; Moscow or St.
Petersburg. The early-warning systems on which the launch crews rely would detect the other side's missiles
within tens of seconds, causing the intended -- or accidental -- enemy to mount retaliatory strikes. "Within a
half-hour, there could be a nuclear war that would extinguish all of us, " explains Bruce Blair. "It would be, basically, a
nuclear war by checklist, by rote."
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A.Velto Regents
Acid Rain
Acid rain destroys the quality of life, disintegrating lakes, forests, and buildings
Simon 90, (Cheryl, writes for National Academy of Sciences, “One Earth, One Future: Our Changing Global
Environment)
Even though the British scientist Angus Smith coined the term “acid rain” over a century ago, only in the last few decades have scientists recognized that widespread acidity in precipitation
causes damage far from its source. Over large stretches of the world, acid deposition has damaged life in lakes and streams and
corroded building materials and accelerated the aging of structures. In addition, it has become a
key suspect in the declining health of some species of forest trees in North America and
Europe. Acid deposition results when pollutants, particularly oxides of nitrogen and sulfur, are emitted from smokestacks, smelters, and automobile exhausts into the atmosphere.
These oxides are converted through a series of chemical reactions with other substances in the atmosphere, to acids that fall back to the earth’s surface dissolved in rain, snow, or fog, or as
gases dry up particles.
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Aids
Once sub-Saharan Africa is wiped out, it shall not be long before another continent is on the
brink of extinction. Sure as death, Africa's time has run out, signaling the beginning of the end
of the black race and maybe the human race
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A.Velto Regents
AirPower – Hegemony
Air power is the single most important aspect of military power, nothing else even comes
close.
WARDEN 1997 (Col. John A Warden 111, USAF (ret.), president of Venturist, Inc., Airpower
Confronts an Unstable World, Ed. Hallion, pp 239-240)
, air power dominates warfare. Those who have air power overwhelm those
As the 20th Century draws to a close
who don't; those who don't have it spend their energies trying to get it, thwart it or escape it. It
is control of the high ground writ large-but unlike the old days when high ground was largely
an accident of the situation, in the new world, air power allows the user to move the high
ground to wherever it is needed. Air power, when measured in terms of output per dollar or life
invested, is the cheapest, most effective method of fighting in human historyand the advent of
precision makes it even cheaper.
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A.Velto Regents
Asia Stability
nationalist passion at work in the region. All this comes with incredible pressure in the form of
environmental problems, population growth and ethnic violence. This might well mean that
some nuclear weapons could be let off in Asia, while a very big war could occur in the area by 2010 or 2015.
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Biodiversity
Biodiversity loss guarantees multiple scenarios for extincton, including nuclear war
Takacs, Environmental Humanities Prof @ CSU Monteray Bay, 1996 (David, “The Idea of Biodiversity:
Philosophies of Paradise” pg. 200-201)
So biodiversity keeps the world running. It has value and of itself, as well as for us. Raven, Erwin, and Wilson oblige us to think about the value of
biodiversity for our own lives. The Ehrlichs’ rivet-popper trope makes this same point; by eliminating rivets, we play Russian roulette with
global ecology and human futures: “It is likely that destruction of the rich complex of species in the Amazon basin could trigger rapid changes in global
climate patterns. Agriculture remains heavily dependent on stable climate, and human beings remain heavily dependent on food. By the end of the century the extinction of
perhaps a million species in the Amazon basin could have entrained famines in which a billion human beings
perished. And if our species is very unlucky, the famines could lead to a thermonuclear war, which could
extinguish civilization.” 13 Elsewhere Ehrlich uses different particulars with no less drama: What then will happen if the current decimation
of organic diversity continues? Crop yields will be more difficult to maintain in the face of climatic
change, soil erosion, loss of dependable water supplies, decline of pollinators, and ever more
serious assaults by pests. Conversion of productive land to wasteland will accelerate; deserts
will continue their seemingly inexorable expansion. Air pollution will increase, and local
climates will become harsher. Humanity will have to forgo many of the direct economic
benefits it might have withdrawn from Earth's wellstocked genetic library. It might, for example, miss out on a cure for cancer; but that will make little
difference. As ecosystem services falter, mortality from respiratory and epidemic disease, natural
disasters, and especially famine will lower life expectancies to the point where cancer (largely a disease
of the elderly) will be unimportant. Humanity will bring upon itself consequences depressingly
similar to those expected from a nuclear winter. Barring a nuclear conflict, it appears that civilization will disappear some time before the
end of the next century - not with a bang but a whimper.14
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A.Velto Regents
*Cap Good*
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A.Velto Regents
Extinction
by human action. The most destructive catastrophes are man-made, and above all statesman-made. They come from his
appetite for conquest and domination, from the dead-end political systems he thinks up, his uncountable religious or ideological fanaticisms, and, especially, his obsessive need
to reform societies instead of letting them change at their own pace. Democracy blocks, or at
least slows down, this disastrous-and wicked-human propensity. Twentieth-century history is clear on two points: only capitalism
engenders economic development; only democracy can correct the worst political abuses and
errors. This is why humanity faces a stark choice: democratic capitalism or extinction . I would revise Michael Novak's
term to read: democratic and liberal capitalism. For capitalism can be illiberal-protectionist and closely associated to the state. In this case, it is not as much of an obstacle to development and
the best system: it is the only one [that works]. The parrots who keep telling us about its imperfections are right, it is imperfect. But the only
prohibitive vice for a system, is not for it to be without vices, but to be without qualities. And what we know about all the tested alternatives to liberal
democratic capitalism is that they are without qualities. It deserves plenty of criticism, but these should not lead to the temptation of returning to
collectivism or even milder forms of state control. Of course democratic capitalism has its share of sins; but as Robert Nozick put it, socialism does seem to be an excessively heavy
punishment for them. And anyway it has been tried already.
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A.Velto Regents
CO2
needed. Entire industries will vanish, to be replaced by new ones. You think the coal industry will go away quietly? Not a
chance. The problem is rooted in the very nature of capitalist society, which is made up of thousands of corporations, all competing for investment and for profits. There is no “social
capitalism, cooperation doesn’t exist, and cooperation on a global scale is precisely what is
needed to stop global warming.
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A.Velto Regents
Equality
for the economy. Many South African companies have long suffered from shortages of skilled labor, yet they have been politically prevented from tapping a huge segment of
the populace for such positions. As a result, wages for white workers have been far greater than the market would
dictate, a situation hardly advantageous for capital. Even more importantly, the fact that so many people have been reduced
to dire poverty by political edict greatly reduces the internal South African market, which in turn undercuts the potential profitability of
consumergoods firms. The underdevelopment of the consumer economy, in turn, severely hampers the country's overall economic performance.
The same underlying patterns may be seen, albeit in weaker form, in the United States. It was, of course, the capitalistic Republican Party that dismantled slavery until relatively recent times
Efficient corporations welcome talented individuals from all social ranks into their middle and
upper echelons-so long as they are adept at making profits. Thus the editor of Fortune magazine tells us that "One of America's great competitive weapons is that we are far
ahead of the Japanese and. most other foreign competitors in at last beginning to admit women to positions of real power" (July 30, 1990, p. 4). Of course, individual
capitalists can be as bigoted as anyone else, and many are blind to the general requirements of the system as a whole. And so too, equality of
opportunity must never be confused with social equity, as those individuals lacking the demanded skills and motivation will always be poorly rewarded by the rational corporation.
Although capitalism , in the end, precludes economic equality, itdoes suffer if wage differentials grow too great , as we have already
noted in the case of South Africa. As many marxist scholars now recognize, low wages across the board translate into minimal purchasing power, which is hardly advantageous for a capitalist
productivity gains have been partially shared with workers in the form of higher wages, the
aggregate result being a prosperous working class and a healthy economy.
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*China*
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US-Taiwan
Nuclear War
Chicago Tribune ’96 [“China Prepares New Show of Strength,” Uli Schmetzer, Feb. 6//uwyo-
crowe]
the Peoples Liberation Army have pledged to use force if
While a peaceful solution remains a priority, both the politburo and
necessary to regain the island on which the Nationalists settled after losing the civil war to Mao Tse-tung in 1949.
A PLA analysis--leaked to Western media--suggests that in the event of war with Taiwan , the U.S. would not intervene because U.S. commercial interests in
China would be damaged and any intervention could lead to a new Sino-Russian alliance.
the defeat of Taiwan, and a Sino-U.S. conflict might lead to a global nuclear holocaust.
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A.Velto Regents
US –China
Conflict between the U.S. and China escalates and causes nuclear war
Johnson, Journalist, 5-14-2K1 (Chalmers, “Time to Bring the Troops Home,” The Nation, Volume 272, Number 19)
China is another matter. No sane figure in the Pentagon wants a war with China, and all serious US militarists know that China's minuscule nuclear
capacity is not offensive but a deterrent against the overwhelming US power arrayed against it (twenty archaic Chinese warheads versus more than 7,000 US warheads). Taiwan, whose status
constitutes the still incomplete last act of the Chinese civil war, remains the most dangerous place on earth. Much as the 1914 assassination of the Austrian crown prince in Sarajevo led to a
a misstep in Taiwan by any side could bring the United States and China into a conflict that
war that no one wanted,
neither wants. Such a war would bankrupt the United States, deeply divide Japan and probably end in
a Chinese victory, given that China is the world's most populous country and would be
defending itself against a foreign aggressor. More seriously, it could easily escalate into a
nuclear holocaust. However, given the nationalistic challenge to China's sovereignty of any Taiwanese attempt to declare its independence formally, forward-deployed US
forces on China's borders have virtually no deterrent effect.
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A.Velto Regents
Dehumanization
any "being" at all, the loss of humanity's openness for being is already occurring.,, Modernity's
background mood is horror in the face of nihilism, which is consistent with the aim of
providing material "happiness" for everyone by reducing nature to pure energy.s6 The
unleashing of vast quantities of energy in nuclear war would be equivalent to modernity's slow-
motion destruction of nature: unbounded destruction would equal limitless consumption. If
humanity avoided nuclear war only to survive as contented clever animals, Heidegger believed we would
exist in a state of ontological damnation: hell on earth, masquerading as material paradise . Deep
ecologists might agree that a world of material human comfort purchased at the price of everything wild would not be a world worth living in, for in killing wild nature, people would be as
good as dead. But most of them could not agree that the loss of humanity's relation to being would be worse than nuclear omnicide, for it is wrong to suppose that the lives of millions of
extinct and unknown species are somehow lessened because they were never "disclosed" by humanity
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A.Velto Regents
Democracy
often murdered during a war, such thugs have murdered about 123,000,000 of their own people from 1900 to 1987. Adding foreigners they have killed
raises the toll to an incredible near 170,000,000. Adding to this unbelievable toll since 1987 is the million people the Hutu rulers of Rwanda
may have slaughtered in four months (Chapter 6. Even now, these mass murders still go on in Burma, Sudan, Afghanistan, North Korea, Rwanda, Burundi, Zaire, Sierra Leone, Liberia, and
the Congo, just to mention the most glaring examples. Serb democide It should be clear, then, why I refer to the rulers of these murderous regimes as thugs. I am not a diplomat nor
government official and do not have to worry about the delicate sensitivities of these rulers. I can speak truth to power, and call thugs the thugs they are. As should be clear from this book and
web site, they often murder people by carefully thought out plans, they set up a bureaucracy to do so, they train people for this purpose, and then they order the killing. Sometimes they murder
people because of their race, ethnicity, or religion; their parents or other relative's political activities, or beliefs, or speech; or their lack of proper enthusiasm for their glorious rulers.
Sometimes they established a murder quota to fill, or kill people randomly to set an example. While we can approximate how many these thugs have killed, we cannot even guess at the
heartbreak and misery these deaths have caused their loved ones, and how many of these grieving survivors have died of a broken heart or committed suicide. Moreover, the term murder
hardly carries the full weight of the pain and misery of the victims. Some lucky ones died quickly with a shot to the back of the head, or had their head decapitated. Most died quite
wretchedly, in pain from torture or beatings; by drowning, being buried or burned alive; or in agony from wounds. Many died from intentionally administered starvation, thirst, exposure, or
disease. Some died horribly as the result of repeated human medical experiments. We have no pain/misery index to measure all this except for the incredible pile of corpses these thugs have
created in nearly one century. We must assume that a penumbra of pain and misery, of love and hope squashed, and a future stolen surrounds each of these millions of corpses. Castration
What is true about freedom and internal violence is also so for this mass democide. As clear from Table 8.1,
the more freedom a people have, the less likely their rulers are to murder them. The more power the thugs have,
the more likely they will murder their people. Could there be a greater moral good than to end or minimize such mass murder? This is what freedom does and for this it is,
regimes and have utterly corrupted the institutions of tenuous, democratic ones. Nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons continue to
proliferate. The very source of life on Earth, the global ecosystem, appears increasingly endangered. Most
of these new and unconventional threats to security are associated with or aggravated by the weakness or absence of democracy, with its provisions for
legality, accountability, popular sovereignty, and openness. LESSONS OF THE TWENTIETH CENTURY The experience of this century offers important lessons. Countries
that govern themselves in a truly democratic fashion do not go to war with one another. They do not
aggress against their neighbors to aggrandize themselves or glorify their leaders. Democratic governments do not ethnically "cleanse"
their own populations, and they are much less likely to face ethnic insurgency. Democracies do not sponsor terrorism against one another. They do not
build weapons of mass destruction to use on or to threaten one another. Democratic countries form more reliable, open, and enduring
trading partnerships. In the long run they offer better and more stable climates for investment. They are more environmentally responsible
because they must answer to their own citizens, who organize to protest the destruction of their environments. They are better bets to honor
international treaties since they value legal obligations and because their openness makes it much more difficult to breach agreements in secret. Precisely because, within their own borders,
they respect competition, civil liberties, property rights, and the rule of law, democracies are the only reliable foundation on which a new world order of international security and prosperity
can be built.
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Disease
comeback. As we enter the twenty-first century, changing conditions have enhanced the potential for widespread
contagion. The rapid growth rate of the total world population, the unprecedented freedom of movement across international borders, and scientific advances that expand the
capability for the deliberate manipulation of pathogens are all cause for worry that the problem might be greater in the future than it has ever been in the past. The threat of
infectious pathogens is not just an issue of public health, but a fundamental security problem
for the species as a whole.
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A.Velto Regents
Environment
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A.Velto Regents
*Economy*
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A.Velto Regents
Mead
In that case, we will face a new period of international conflict: South against North, rich against
poor, Russia, China, India – these countries with their billions of people and their nuclear
weapons will pose a much greater danger to the world order than Germany and Japan did in the
‘30s
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Bearden
have increased the intensity and number of their conflicts, to the point where the arsenals of
weapons of mass destruction (WMD) now possessed by some 25 nations, are almost certain to be released. As an example, suppose a starving North
Korea launches nuclear weapons upon Japan and South Korea, including U.S. forces there, in a spasmodic suicidal response. Or suppose a desperate China-whose long-range nuclear missiles
quickly draw other nations into the conflict, escalating it significantly. Strategic nuclear studies have shown for decades
that, under such extreme stress conditions, once a few nukes are launched, adversaries and potential adversaries are then compelled to launch on perception of preparations by one's adversary.
The real legacy of the MAD concept is this side of the MAD coin that is almost never discussed. Without effective defense, the only chance a nation has to survive at all is to launch
WMD exchange occurs. Today, a great percent of the WMD arsenals that will be unleashed, are already on site within the United States itself. The
resulting great Armageddon will destroy civilization as we know it, and perhaps most of the
biosphere, at least for many decades.
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A.Velto Regents
Extinction Outweighs
stream is the most destructive event possible. Never before has this level of question –
superkilling by a superkiller -- been deliberately faced. What is ethically callous is the maelstrom of killing insensitivity to forms of life
and the sources of producing them. What is required is principled responsibility to the biospheric earth. Several billions years worth of creative toil, several million species of teeming life,
have been handed over to the care of this late-coming species in which mind has flowered and morals have emerged. Life on earth is a many slendored thing: extinction dims its luster. If, in
this world of uncertain moral convictions, it makes any sense to claim that one ought not kill individuals, without justification, it makes more sense to claim that one ought not to superkill the
species, without superjustification. That moves from what is to what ought to be, and the fallacy is not committed by naturalists who so argue but by humanists who cannot draw these
conclusions.”
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High Food Prices
Even if they
Nations considers essential to provide a margin of safety in world food security. During the food crisis of the early 1970s, world grain stocks were at 15 percent. "
are merely blips, higher international prices can hurt poor countries that import a significant
portion of their food," he said. "Rising prices can also quickly put food out of reach of the 1.1 billion
people in the developing world who live on a dollar a day or less." He also said many people in low-income countries already spend more than half of their
income on food.
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A.Velto Regents
*Hegemony*
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A.Velto Regents
Short Zad
Nuclear War
Khalilzad 95, (Zalmay Khalilzad, RAND analyst, “Losing the Moment,” WASHINGTON QUARTERLY, Spring
1995, LN.)
Under the third option, the United States would seek to retain global leadership and to preclude the rise of a global rival or a return to multipolarity for the indefinite future. On balance, this is
leadership would have tremendous advantages. First, the global environment would be more open and more receptive to American values -- democracy, free markets, and the rule of
law. Second, such a world would have a better chance of dealing cooperatively with the world's major problems, such as nuclear
proliferation, threats of regional hegemony by renegade states, and low-level conflicts. Finally, U.S. leadership would help preclude the rise of
another hostile global rival, enabling the United States and the world to avoid another global cold or hot war and all the attendant dangers,
including a global nuclear exchange. U.S. leadership would therefore be more conducive to global stability than a bipolar or a multipolar balance of power system.
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Long Zad
Withdrawl sparks global power wars in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, economic
collapse, proliferation, and nuclear war
Khalilzad, Policy Analyst at the Rand Corporation, 95 (Zalmay, “Losing the Moment?: The United States and the
World after the Cold War,” The Washington Quarterly, Spring)
What might happen to the world if the United States turned inward? Without the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), rather than
cooperating with each other, the West European nations might compete with each other for domination of East-Central
Europe and the Middle East. In Western and Central Europe, Germany -- especially since unification -- would be the natural leading power. Either in cooperation or competition with Russia,
Germany might seek influence over the territories located between them. German efforts are likely to be aimed at filling the vacuum, stabilizing the region, and precluding its domination by
rival powers. Britain and France fear such a development. Given the strength of democracy in Germany and its preoccupation with absorbing the former East Germany, European concerns
about Germany appear exaggerated. But it would be a mistake to assume that U.S. withdrawal could not, in the long run, result in the renationalization of Germany's security policy. The same
is also true of Japan. Given a U.S. withdrawal from the world, Japan would have to look after its own security and build up its military capabilities.
China, Korea, and the nations of Southeast Asia already fear Japanese hegemony. Without U.S. protection, Japan is likely to increase its military capability dramatically -- to balance the
This could result in arms races, including the possible acquisition by Japan
growing Chinese forces and still-significant Russian forces.
of nuclear weapons. Given Japanese technological prowess, to say nothing of the plutonium stockpile Japan has acquired in the development of its nuclear power
industry, it could obviously become a nuclear weapon state relatively quickly, if it should so decide. It could also build long-range missiles and
carrier task forces. With the shifting balance of power among Japan, China, Russia, and potential new regional powers such as India, Indonesia, and a united
Korea could come significant risks of preventive or proeruptive war. Similarly, European competition for regional dominance could lead to
major wars in Europe or East Asia. If the United States stayed out of such a war -- an unlikely prospect -- Europe or East Asia could become
dominated by a hostile power. Such a development would threaten U.S. interests. A power that achieved such dominance would seek to exclude the United States
from the area and threaten its interests-economic and political -- in the region. Besides, with the domination of Europe or East Asia, such a power might seek
global hegemony and the United States would face another global Cold War and the risk of a world war even more catastrophic
than the last. In the Persian Gulf, U.S. withdrawal is likely to lead to an intensified struggle for
regional domination. Iran and Iraq have, in the past, both sought regional hegemony. Without U.S. protection, the weak oil-rich states of the Gulf Cooperation Council
(GCC) would be unlikely to retain their independence. To preclude this development, the Saudis might seek to acquire, perhaps by purchase, their own
nuclear weapons. If either Iraq or Iran controlled the region that dominates the world supply of oil, it could gain a significant capability to damage the U.S. and world
economies. Any country that gained hegemony would have vast economic resources at its disposal that could be used to build military capability as well as gain leverage over the United
States and other oilimporting nations. Hegemony over the Persian Gulf by either Iran or Iraq would bring the rest of the Arab Middle East under its influence and domination because of the
increasing the risk of war between the Arabs and the Israelis. The extension of instability, conflict, and
hostile hegemony in East Asia, Europe, and the Persian Gulf would harm the economy of the United States even in the unlikely event that it was
able to avoid involvement in major wars and conflicts. Higher oil prices would reduce the U.S. standard of living. Turmoil in Asia and Europe would force major economic readjustment in the
United States, perhaps reducing U.S. exports and imports and jeopardizing U.S. investments in these regions. Given that total imports and exports are equal to a quarter of U.S. gross domestic
product, the cost of necessary adjustments might be high. The higher level of turmoil in the world wouldalso increasethe likelihood of the proliferation of
weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and means for their delivery. Already several rogue states such as North Korea and Iran are seeking nuclear weapons and long-range missiles. That
many states possessed WMD capabilities; the likelihood of their actual use would increase accordingly. If this
happened, the security of every nation in the world, including the United States, would be harmed.
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Peace
United States to lead, to serve as an honest broker, as not only the world’s strongest power but also its most trustworthy.
One cannot conceive of a unified European defense policy without the U nited States: the Russian aid program
would surely collapse without the United States: and in Asia the United States is seen as the balancing force keeping China, Japan, and
the two Koreas away, potentially, from each others’ throats. The peace process in the Middle East has no
chances of success without the United States: and humanitarian assistance in Africa would surely
dry up if the United States were not involved and so on. It is clear that both US interests and the world’s interests demand that we remain a
major player in that world. But we are in a new era, which demands that all those interests be redefined, sorted out, and reformulated. Both we and the rest of the world need to
recognize that fact. US foreign policy and its global interests obviously cannot be abandoned but they do need to be reconstructed.
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Ferguson
Collapse causes nuclear war, economic collapse, and epidemics.
Ferguson, History and Finance Professor at New York University, 2K4 (Niall, “A World Without Power,” Foreign
Policy, July / August)
one can imagine
Could an apolar world today produce an era reminiscent of the age of Alfred? It could, though with some important and troubling differences. Certainly,
the world's established powers--the United States, Europe, and China--retreating into their own regional spheres of influence. But
what of the growing pretensions to autonomy of the supranational bodies created under U.S. leadership after the Second World War? The United Nations, the International Monetary Fund, the
World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (formerly the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) each considers itself in some way representative of the "international community."
Surely their aspirations to global governance are fundamentally different from the spirit of the Dark Ages? Yet universal claims were also an integral part of the rhetoric of that era. All the
empires claimed to rule the world; some, unaware of the existence of other civilizations, maybe even believed that they did. The reality, however, was not a global Christendom, nor an all-
embracing Empire of Heaven. The reality was political fragmentation. And that is also true today. The defining characteristic of our age is not a shift of power upward to supranational
institutions, but downward. With the end of states' monopoly on the means of violence and the collapse of their control over channels of communication, humanity has entered an era
characterized as much by disintegration as integration. If free flows of information and of means of production empower multinational corporations and nongovernmental organizations (as
well as evangelistic religious cults of all denominations), the free flow of destructive technology empowers both criminal organizations and terrorist cells. These groups can operate, it seems,
wherever they choose, from Hamburg to Gaza. By contrast, the writ of the internationl community is not global at all. It is, in fact, increasingly confined to a few strategic cities such as Kabul
and Pristina. In short, it is the nonstate actors who truly wield global power--including both the monks and the Vikings of our time. So what is left? Waning empires. Religious revivals.
find itself reliving. The trouble is, of course, that this Dark Age would be an altogether more dangerous one than the Dark Age of the ninth century. For the
world is much more populous-roughly 20 times more--so friction between the world's disparate "tribes" is bound to be more frequent. Technology has transformed production; now human
societies depend not merely on freshwater and the harvest but also on supplies of fossil fuels that are known to be finite. Technology has upgraded destruction, too, so it is now possible not
just to sack a city but to obliterate it. For more than two decades, globalization-the integration of world markets for commodities, labor, and capital--has raised living standards throughout the
would produce-- would certainly lead to economic stagnation and even depression. As the United States sought to protect itself after a second September 11
devastates, say, Houston or Chicago, it would inevitably become a less open society, less hospitable for foreigners seeking to work, visit, or do business.
Meanwhile, as Europe's Muslim enclaves grew, Islamist extremists' infiltration of the EU would become irreversible, increasing trans-Atlantic tensions over the Middle East to the breaking
point.An economic meltdown in China would plunge the Communist system into crisis, unleashing the centrifugal
forces that undermined previous Chinese empires. Western investors would lose out and conclude that lower returns at home are preferable to the risks of default abroad. The worst effects of
the new Dark Age would be felt on the edges of the waning great powers. The wealthiest ports of the global economy--from New York to Rotterdam to Shanghai--
would become the targets of plunderers and pirates. With ease, terrorists could disrupt the freedom of the
seas, targeting oil tankers, aircraft carriers, and cruise liners, while Western nations frantically concentrated on making their airports secure. Meanwhile, limited nuclear
wars could devastate numerous regions, beginning in the Korean peninsula and Kashmir, perhaps ending catastrophically in the Middle East. In Latin
America, wretchedly poor citizens would seek solace in Evangelical Christianity imported by U.S. religious orders. In Africa, the great plagues of aids and
malaria would continue their deadly work. The few remaining solvent airlines would simply suspend services to many cities in these continents; who
would wish to leave their privately guarded safe havens to go there? For all these reasons, the prospect of an apolar world should frighten us today a great deal more than it frightened the heirs
If the United States retreats from global hegemony--its fragile self-image dented by minor setbacks on the imperial frontier-
of Charlemagne.
its critics at home and abroad must not pretend that they are ushering in a new era of multipolar
harmony, or even a return to the good old balance of power. Be careful what you wish for. The alternative to unipolarity would not be
multipolarity at all. It would be apolarity-a global vacuum of power. And far more dangerous forces
than rival great powers would benefit from such a not-so-new world disorder.
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Human Rights
Key To Survival
Copelon 99, (Rhonda, Professor, Law, CUNY, “The Indivisible Framework of International Human Rights,” NEW
YORK CITY LAW REVIEW, 1998/1999, p. 71-72.)
The indivisible human rights framework survived the Cold War despite U.S. machinations to truncate it in the international arena. The framework is
there to shatter the myth of the superiority [*72] of the U.S. version of rights, to rebuild popular expectations, and to help develop a culture and
jurisprudence of indivisible human rights. Indeed, in the face of systemic inequality and crushing
poverty, violence by official and private actors, globalization of the market economy, and military and
environmental depredation, the human rights framework is gaining new force and new
dimensions. It is being broadened today by the movements of people in different parts of the world, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere
and significantly of women, who understand the protection of human rights as a matter of individual and
collective human survival and betterment. Also emerging is a notion of third-generation rights, encompassing collective rights that cannot be solved on a state-by-
state basis and that call for new mechanisms of accountability, particularly affecting Northern countries. The emerging rights include human-centered sustainable development, environmental
Given the poverty and inequality in the United States as well as our role in the
protection, peace, and security. 38
world, it is imperative that we bring the human rights framework to bear on both domestic and
foreign policy.
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Iran Prolif
The Impact Is Nuclear War
Cirinione 05, (Joseph, Senior Associate and Director for Non-Proliferation, Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, “Proliferation Threats and Solutions,” NOTRE DAME JOURNAL OF LAW, ETHICS & PUBLIC POLICY v.
19, 2005, p. 341.)
. If Iran becomes a
The primary danger to the United States and the world from the emergence of new nuclear states is the regional instability that will likely result
nuclear state, other states in the region will, for their own geo-political reasons, feel like they have to match the
nuclear weapon capability in kind. For example, Egypt might restart the nuclear program that it had in the 1960s. Saudi Arabia, who heavily financed
Pakistan's nuclear weapons program, might use their influence in Pakistan and invite Pakistan to station nuclear weapons on Saudi territory. Turkey would consider their nuclear options. A
reaction throughout the region surrounding a new nuclear state. Suddenly, a Middle East with
one nuclear power - Israel - would become a region of two, three, or four nuclear powers. This
scenario, in combination with existing unresolved tensions, political disputes, and territorial and religious disputes, would
be a recipe for nuclear war.
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North Korea
No shotgun marriage would mean that North Korea would emerge as a major nuclear power
with an intercontinental missile strike capability, or the North Koreans fighting a nuclear duel
with the Americans, with their ICBMs crossing paths above the Pacific. A thermonuclear
conflagration would envelop metropolitan America as well as South Korea and Japan. North
Korea will never perish alone.
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Nuclear Testing
interior is a result of nuclear decay. Over the last few decades, allsuperpowers have been developing so-called " neutron bombs " [1]. These
bombs are designed to emit intensive neutron radiation while creating relatively little local mechanical damage. Military seem very keen to use neutron bombs in combat, because lethal
neutron radiation can penetrate even the largest and deepest bunkers. However, the military seem to ignore the fact that a neutron radiation is capable to reach significant depths in the
isotopes inside the planet to disintegrate. Stimulated disintegration, in turn, produces more neutrons. This process causes not only an increase in
radiation levels but also increased nuclear heat generation in the planetary interior, far greater than the energy of the bomb itself. It typically takes many days or even weeks for this extra heat
to conduct/convect to the surface of the planet and cause increased seismic/volcanic activity. Due to this variable and seemingly inconsistent delay, nuclear tests are not currently associated
with seismic/volcanic activity, simply because it is believed that there is no theoretical basis for such an association. Perhaps you heard that after every major series of nuclear test there is
always a period of increased seismic activity in some part of the world. This actually cannotbe explained by direct energy from the explosion. The mechanism of neutron radiation accelerating
decay of radioactive isotopes in the planetary interior – a process that generates more neutrons and heat, however, is a very realistic explanation of Observable Reality. The process of
accelerating volcanic activity is nuclear in essence. Accelerated decay of radioactive isotopes already present in the planetary interior provides the necessary energy. The TRUE danger of
interior, global volcanic activity and, in extreme circumstances, may even cause the entire
planet to be demolished. So far, nuclear tests on Earth were limited to a few per year. Can we really predict what will happen if the US army uses dozens of their
Neutron Bombs to destroy all “suspected” and “potential” weapon sites in Iraq?
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Nuclear War
Although terrorism throughout human history has been tragic, until relatively recently it has been more of an irritant than any major hazard. However, the existence of
weapons of mass destruction now renders terrorism a potential threat to the very existence of
human life (Hoge & Rose, 2001). Such potential global destruction, or globicide as one might call it, supersedes even
that of genocide in its lethality. Although religious factors are not the only determinant of ‘suicide’ bombers, the revival of religious
fundamentalism towards the end of the 20th century renders the phenomenon a major global
threat. Even though religion can be a force for good, it can equally be abused as a force for evil. Ultimately, the parallel traits in human nature of good and evil may perhaps be the most
durable of all the characteristics of the human species. There is no need to apply a psychiatric analysis to the ‘suicide’ bomber because the phenomenon can be explained in political terms.
Most participants in terrorism are not usually mentally disordered and their behaviour can be construed more in terms of group dynamics (Colvard, 2002). On the other hand, perhaps
psychiatric terminology is as yet deficient in not having the depth to encompass the emotions and behaviour of groups of people whose levels of hate, low self-esteem, humiliation and
alienation are such that it is felt that they can be remedied by the mass destruction of life, including their own.
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Nuclear War Outweighs
justice, or freedom, or for happiness, or for any of the other things that we may want in life. We do not even necessarily ask for our
personal survival; we ask only that we be survived. We ask for assurance that when we die as
individuals, as we know we must, [hu]mankind will live on. Yet once the peril of extinction is present , as it is for
us now, the hope for human survival becomes the most tremendous hope , just because it is the
foundation for all the other hopes, and in its absence every other hope will gradually wither and die.
Life without hope for human survival is a life of despair.
same time as an end, never simply as a means”: and “So act as if you were always through actions in a law-making member in a universal Kingdom of Ends.” No one with a
concern for humanity could consistently will to risk eliminating humanity in the person of himself and every other or to risk the death of
all members in a universal Kingdom of Ends for the sake of justice. To risk their collective death for the sake of
following one’s conscience would be, as Rawls said, “irrational, crazy,” And to say that one did not
intend such a catastrophe, but that one merely failed to stop other persons from bringing it about would be
beside the point when the end of the world was at stake. For although it is true that we cannot be held responsible for most of the
wrongs that others commit, the Latin maxim presents a case where we would have to take such a responsibility seriously - perhaps to the point of
deceiving, bribing, even killing an innocent person, in order that the world would not perish.
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Poverty
Poverty Makes Global Nuclear War Inevitable
Caldwell 03 (Joseph George Caldwell, PhD, The End of the World, and the New World Order, updae of an article
published 10/26/00, March 6, 2003, www.foundation.bw/TheEndOfTheWorld.htm.
It would appear that global nuclear war will happen very soon, for two main reasons, alluded to above.
First, human poverty and misery are increasing at an incredible rate. There are now three
billion more desperately poor people on the planet than there were just forty years ago. Despite decades
of industrial development, the number of wretchedly poor people continues to soar. The pressure for war mounts as the population
explodes. Second, war is motivated by resource scarcity -- the desire of one group to acquire the land, water, energy, or other resources possessed by another. With each passing
year, crowding and misery increase, raising the motivation for war to higher levels.
killed in a nuclear that caused 232 million deaths; and every single year, two to three times as
many people die from poverty throughout the world as were killed by the Nazi genocide of the Jews
over a six-year period. This is, in effect, the equivalent of an ongoing, unenending, in fact accelerating, thermonuclear war, or genocide,
perpetuated on the weak and poor ever year of every decade, throughout the world.
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Prolif
Unless we get serious about stopping proliferation, we are headed for "a world filled with
nuclear-weapons states where every crisis threatens to go nuclear," where "the survival of
civilization truly is in question from day to day," and where "it would be impossible to keep these weapons out of the hands of terrorists,
religious cults, and criminal organizations," So writes Ambassador Thomas Graham Jr., a moderate Republican who served as a career arms-controller under six presidents and led the
successful Clinton administration effort to extend the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.
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Racism
Must Reject
Barndt ‘91 [Joseph, Co-director of Ministry Working to Dismantle Racism, "Dismantling Racism" p. 155//wdc]
But we have also seen that the walls of racism can be dismantled. We are not condemned to an inexorable fate, but are offered the vision and the
possibility of freedom. Brick by brick, stone by stone, the prison of individual, institutional, and cultural racism
can be destroyed. You and I are urgently called to joing the efforst of those who know it is time
to tear down, once and for all, the walls of racism.The danger point of self-destruction seems to be drawing even more near. The results of centuries of
national and worldwide conquest and colonialism, of military buildups and violent aggression,
of overconsumption and environmental destruction may be reaching a point of no return. A small and
predominantly white minority of the global population derives its power and privelage from the sufferings of vast majority of peoples of all color. For the sake of the
condemned to an inexorable fate, but are offered the vision and the possibility of freedom.
Brick by brick, stone by stone, the prison of individual, institutional, and cultural racism can be
destroyed. You and I are urgently called to join the efforts of those who know it is time to tear
down, once and for all, the walls of racism. The danger point of self-destruction seems to be
drawing even more near. The results of centuries of national and worldwide conquest and colonialism, of military buildups and violent aggression, of overconsumption
and environmental destruction, may be reaching a point of no return. A small and predominately white minority of the global population derives its power and privilege from the suffering of
the vast majority of peoples of color. For the sake of the world and ourselves, we dare not allow it to continue.
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Rape
Rape is a fate worse than death and causes traumatic long-term psychological problems
Glazer 97, Assistant District Attorney of Bronx County, ‘97 [Yale, "Child Rapists Beware! The Death Penalty and
Louisiana's Amended Aggravated Rape Statute", American Journal of Criminal Law, Fall, 25 Am. J. Crim. L. 79]
Rape is one of the fastest growing violent crimes reported in the United States; it is estimated that a rape is
reported every two to six minutes and that one of every six women will be raped at some point in their lives. Studies of rape show it to be a violent and brutal crime, often involving sexual
humiliation and physical abuse. "Rape is unique among acts of violence: it shatters not only a victim's physical well-being but also
her emotional world. Psychologists say that the surviving victim's sense of self-esteem, security and basic
trust may be irreparably damaged." Rape has been called a "fate worse than death." As a result of being
raped, victims often suffer extreme trauma, both physically and emotionally. The symptoms experienced by rape victims have been
compared in severity to post-traumatic stress disorder observed in war veterans. Rape often
induces a cycle of behavioral problems that extend well beyond the time when the physical
damage from the assault has healed. Women often experience "intense attacks on [their] psychic equilibrium," often requiring intensive psychotherapy treatments. Other
long-term consequences of rape include self-destructive behavior, impaired self-esteem, interpersonal problems, and a greater likelihood of becoming a drug or alcohol addict.
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Space
One hundred trillion humans are lost every second of delayed colonization
Bostrom, Professor of Philosophy at Yale & Oxford, 2K4 (Nick, “Astronomical Waste: The Opportunity Cost
of Delayed Technological Development,” http://www.nickbostrom.com/astronomical/waste.html)
our great common endowment
"As I write these words, suns are illuminating and heating empty rooms, unused energy is being flushed down black holes, and
of negentropy is being irreversibly degraded into entropy on a cosmic scale. These are resources that an
advanced civilization could have used to create value-structures, such as sentient beings living worthwhile lives. The rate of this
loss boggles the mind. One recent paper speculates, using loose theoretical considerations based on the rate of increase of entropy, that the loss of potential human lives in our own galactic
supercluster is at least ~10^46 per century of delayed colonization.[1] This estimate assumes that all the lost entropy could have been used for productive purposes, although no currently
known technological mechanisms are even remotely capable of doing that. Since the estimate is meant to be a lower bound, this radically unconservative assumption is undesirable. We can,
however, get a lower bound more straightforwardly by simply counting the number or stars in our galactic supercluster and multiplying this number with the amount of computing power that
the resources of each star could be used to generate using technologies for whose feasibility a strong case has already been made. We can then divide this total with the estimated amount of
computing power needed to simulate one human life. As a rough approximation, let us say the Virgo Supercluster contains 10^13 stars. One estimate of the computing power extractable from
a star and with an associated planet-sized computational structure, using advanced molecular nanotechnology[2], is 10^42 operations per second.[3] A typical estimate of the human brain's
processing power is roughly 10^17 operations per second or less.[4] Not much more seems to be needed to simulate the relevant parts of the environment in sufficient detail to enable the
simulated minds to have experiences indistinguishable from typical current human experiences.[5] Given these estimates, it follows that the potential for approximately 10^38 human lives is
lost every century that colonization of our local supercluster is delayed; or equivalently, about 10^31 potential human lives per second. While this estimate is conservative in that it assumes
only computational mechanisms whose implementation has been at least outlined in the literature, it is useful to have an even more conservative estimate that does not assume a non-biological
average star. Then the Virgo Supercluster could contain 10^23 biological humans. This corresponds to a loss of potential equal to about 10^14 potential human lives per second of
delayed colonization. What matters for present purposes is not the exact numbers but the fact that they are huge. Even with the most conservative
estimate, assuming a biological implementation of all persons, the potential for one hundred trillion potential human
beings is lost for every second of postponement of colonization of our supercluster.[6]"
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Terrorism
Extinction
Alexander 00 (Yonah, Professor and Director, Inter-University Center for Terrorism, “Terrorism in the Twenty-
First Century: Threats and Responses,” DEPAUL BUSINESS LAW JOURNAL v. 12, Fall 1999/Spring 2000, p. 66-
67.)
More specifically, present-day terrorists have introduced into contemporary life a new scale of terror violence in terms of both threats and responses that has made clear that we have entered
that evolve from modern day terrorism are those relating to the safety, welfare, and rights of
ordinary people; the stability of the state system; the health of economic [*67] development; the
expansion of democracy; and possibly the survival of civilization itself.
weapons of mass destruction now renders terrorism a potential threat to the very existence of
human life (Hoge & Rose, 2001). Such potential global destruction, or globicide as one might call it, supersedes
even that of genocide in its lethality. Although religious factors are not the only determinant of ‘suicide’ bombers, the revival of
religious fundamentalism towards the end of the 20th century renders the phenomenon a major
global threat. Even though religion can be a force for good, it can equally be abused as a force for evil. Ultimately, the parallel traits in human nature of good and evil may
perhaps be the most durable of all the characteristics of the human species. There is no need to apply a psychiatric analysis to the ‘suicide’ bomber because the phenomenon can be explained
in political terms. Most participants in terrorism are not usually mentally disordered and their behaviour can be construed more in terms of group dynamics (Colvard, 2002). On the other hand,
perhaps psychiatric terminology is as yet deficient in not having the depth to encompass the emotions and behaviour of groups of people whose levels of hate, low self-esteem, humiliation
and alienation are such that it is felt that they can be remedied by the mass destruction of life, including their own.
40
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Toxic Waste
Toxic contamination of the planet threatens human survival. In our time, we will detennine
whether there is clean air to breath, water to drink and places to live for our children and theirs.
Industrial technology-with its shadow of pollution-overwhelms us and threatens the democratic
structures on which we depend. The scientific community and the nuclear industry undermine citizens' confidence in their ability to understand nuclear power
and its effects. Many people have withdrawn from the process, potentially allowing vital decisions to be dictated outside of democratic safeguards. This "meltdown of democracy" is
exemplified in the atomic power industry.
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Trade Good
result? A trade war in which both sides lose. But all too often a depressed
goods of Country "A". The
economy is not the only negative outcome of a trade war . . . WHEN GOODS DON'T CROSS BORDERS, ARMIES OFTEN DO
History is not lacking in examples of cold trade wars escalating into hot shooting wars : Europe suffered
from almost non-stop wars during the 17th and 18th centuries, when restrictive trade policy (mercantilism) was the rule; rival governments fought each other to expand their empires and to
exploit captive markets. British tariffs provoked the American colonists to revolution, and later the Northern-dominated US government imposed restrictions on Southern cotton exports - a
major factor leading to the American Civil War. In the late 19th Century, after a half century of general free trade (which brought a half-century of peace), short-sighted politicians throughout
Europe again began erecting trade barriers. Hostilities built up until they eventually exploded into World War I. In 1930, facing only a mild recession, US President Hoover ignored warning
pleas in a petition by 1028 prominent economists and signed the notorious Smoot-Hawley Act, which raised some tariffs to 100% levels. Within a year, over 25 other governments had
retaliated by passing similar laws. The result? World trade came to a grinding halt, and the entire world was plunged into the "Great Depression" for the rest of the decade. The depression in
turn led to World War II. THE #1 DANGER TO WORLD PEACE The world enjoyed its greatest economic growth during the relatively free trade period of 1945-1970, a
period that also saw no major wars. Yet we again see trade barriers being raised around the world by short-sighted politicians. Will the world again end up in a
Can we afford to allow this to happen in the nuclear age?
shooting war as a result of these economically-deranged policies ?
"What generates war is the economic philosophy of nationalism: embargoes, trade and foreign exchange controls, monetary
devaluation, etc. The philosophy of protectionism is a philosophy of war ." Ludwig von Mises Classical Liberal philosopher John
Stuart Mill astutely observed in the last century that "Trade barriers are chiefly injurious to the countries imposing them." It is true today as it was then, for the following reasons:
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Trade Bad
Trade Ensures Massive Poverty, Social Disorder, And Multilple Scenarios For Eco-Doom
Jerry Mander, Program Director, Foundation for Deep Ecology, “Facing the Rising Tide,” THE CASE AGAINST
THE GLOBAL ECONOMY, ed. J. Mander & E. Goldwmith, 1996, p. 3-4.
The occasional descriptions or predictions about the global economy that are found in the media usually come from the leading advocates and beneficiaries of this
new order: corporate leaders, their allies in government, and a newly powerful centralized global trade bureaucracy. The visions they offer us are unfailingly
Shockingly enough, the euphoria they express is based
positive, even utopian: Globalization will be a panacea for our ills.
on their freedom to employ, at a global level—through the new global free trade rules, and through
deregulation and economic restructuring regimes— large-scale versions of the economic theories, strategies, and
policies that have proven spectacularly unsuccessful over the past several decades wherever
they’ve been applied. In fact, these are the very ideas that have brough us to the grim situation
of the moment: the spreading disintegration of the social order, and the increase in poverty,
landlessness, homelessness, violence, alientation, and deep within the hearts of many people,
extreme anxiety about the future. Equally important, these are practices that have led us to the
near breakdown of the natural world, as evidenced by such symptoms as global climate change,
ozone depletion, massive species loss, and near maximum levels of air, soil, and water
pollution. We are now being asked to believe that the development processes that have further impoverished people and devastated the planet will lead to
diametrically different and highly beneficial outcomes, if only they can be accelerated and applied everywhere, freely, without restriction; that is, when they are
globalized. That’s the bad news. The good news is that it is not too late to stop this from happening.
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Warming Bad
The sea rise, the tropic roast but the media networks no longer cover it. The Amazon
nations’ heartlands.
rainforest becomes the Amazon desert. Oxygen levels fall, but profits rise for those who can
provide it in bottles.
An equatorial high pressure zone forms, forcing drought in central Africa and Brazil, the Nile
dries up and the monsoons fail, Then inevitably, at some unlucky point in time, a major
unexpected event occurs—a major volcanic eruption, a sudden and dramatic shift in ocean circulation or a large asteroid impact ( those who think freakish accidents
do not occur have paid little attention to life or mars), or a nuclear war that starts between Pakistan and India and escalates to involve China and Russia… Suddenly the
gradual climb in global temperatures goes on a mad excursion as the oceans warm and release
large amounts of dissolved carbon dioxide from their lower depths into the atmosphere.
Oxygen levels go down precipitously as oxygen replaces lost oceanic carbon dioxide. Asthma cases
double and then double again. Now a third of the world fears breathing.. As the oceans dump carbon dioxide, the greenhouse effect
increases, which further warms, the oceans, causing them to dump even more carbon. Because
of the heat, plants die and burn in enormous fires which release more carbon dioxide, and the
oceans evaporate, adding more water vapor to the greenhouse. Soon, we are in what is termed a
runaway greenhouse effect, as happened to Venus eons ago. The last two surviving scientist inevitably argue, one telling the other, “See! I told you the missing sink
was in the ocean!”
Earth, as we know it dies. After this Venusian excursion in temperatures, the oxygen disappears into the soil, the oceans evaporate and are lost and the dead earth
loses it ozone layer completely.
Earth is too far from the sun for it to be the second Venus for long. Its atmosphere is slowly lost- as is its water- because of ultraviolet bombardment breaking up all the molecules apart from
carbon dioxide. As the atmosphere becomes thin, the earth becomes colder. For a short while temperatures are nearly normal, but the ultraviolet sears and life that tries to make a comeback.
The carbon dioxide thins out to form a think veneer with a few wispy clouds and dust devils. Earth becomes the second Mars- red, desolate,
with perhaps a few hardy microbes surviving.
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Warming Bad – Chalko
The real danger for our entire civilization comes not from slow climate changes, but from overheating the
planetary interior. Galileo discovered that Earth moves. Copernicus discovered that Earth moves around the Sun. In 2000 Tom Chalko, inspired by Desmarquet's report,
discovered that the solid nucleus of our planet is in principle a nuclear reactor and that our collective
ignorance may cause it to overheat and explode. The discovery has been published in June 2001 by the new scientific journal NUJournal.net.
Polar ice caps melt not because the air there is warmer than 0 deg Celsius, but because they are overheated from underneath. Volcanoes become active and erupt violently not because the
Earth's interior "crystallizes", but because the planetary nucleus is a nuclear fission reactor that needs COOLING. It seems that the currently adopted doctrine of a "crystalline inner core of
Earth" is more dangerous for humanity than all weapons of mass destruction taken together, because it
prevents us from imagining, predicting and preventing truly global disasters. In any nuclear reactor, the danger of overheating has to be recognized early. When external symptoms intensify it
is usually too late to prevent disaster. Do we have enough imagination, intelligence and integrity to comprehend the danger before the situation becomes irreversible? Did you see the figure
if we do not do anything today about Greenhouse Emissions that cause the entire
above? It seems that
atmosphere to trap more Solar Heat, we may not survive the next decade. In a systematically
under-cooled spherical core reactor the cumulative cause-effect relationship is hyperbolic and
leads to explosion. It seems that there will be no second chance... If you doubt whether a planet can explode - you need to see a witness report of a planetary explosion in our
Solar system. Plato (428-348 BC) reported that the explosion of the planet Phaeton had been perceived by our ancestors on Earth to be as bright as lightning... * the first few months of 2002
were the WARMEST ever recorded on Earth. The trend continues. * Huge parts of Antarctic and Arctic ice have already melted. Key Antarctic glaciers (Hektoria, Green and Evans for
example) increased their melting rate 8 times in 3 years (between 2000 and 2003, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L18401). When glaciers begin to slide to the ocean, the sea level rise will cause a
global planetary flood. * Volcanoes become active under Arctic Ocean and in Antarctica * The Largest Volcanoes on Earth are losing their snow-caps * Oceans are warmer than ever.
Their increased evaporation produces large amount of clouds, rain and widespread flooding * In heated oceans all currents are severely disrupted * Mountain glaciers melt around the
globe * The weather around the globe becomes more violent every month What causes 8-fold increase in Antarctic glacier melting in just 3 years? Sun does not deliver 8 times the energy
under the Antarctic ice does it? Some scientists predict that effects of "global warming" will take many decades. Can they explain the increase of the melting rate of Antarctic glaciers 8 times
in 3 years? Overheating of the fission heated planetary interior can... The matter seems URGENT. Please forward this page (or the link to it) to ANY scientist or person of integrity whom you
know. Our ONLY chance seems to be to UNDERSTAND and PROVE to everyone what will happen if we do not change our attitude to atmospheric pollution. Avoid the mass media - it
seems that they are controlled by those who run the "economy" and are interested in keeping humanity misinformed to the greatest extent possible. To withhold, distort or otherwise interfere
with the truth about the Planetary Core is a Crime Against Humanity - one of the greatest crimes that man can commit.
Money cannot save the Planet. Only Understanding can. Focus on Understanding. It cannot be undone.
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Warming Good – Health
than cold periods in human expansion. The warmest period since the end of the last Ice Age
produced the highest rate of population growth compared with what would have been expected
—in that era agriculture was spreading. Moreover, the Mini Ice Age, which saw the coldest temperatures in the last 10,000 years,
underwent the slowest relative population expansion. The figure demonstrates that mankind has
prospered in warm periods and the hotter, the better!
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