Open

12.34
12.08
12.10
12.12
11.96
11.98
11.76
11.60
11.80
11.78
11.90
12.00
11.98
12.30
12.46
12.30
12.02
12.00
12.40
13.42
12.98
12.98
12.80
12.68
12.60
12.60
12.90
12.70
12.96
12.90

High
12.34
12.22
12.12
12.12
12.02
12.00
11.76
11.90
12.00
11.82
12.04
12.02
12.42
12.42
12.46
12.30
12.04
12.30
13.50
12.44
12.98
13.14
12.88
12.72
12.62
12.98
12.98
12.94
12.98
13.00

Low
12.08
12.08
12.06
12.00
11.96
11.66
11.54
11.58
11.18
11.60
11.90
11.90
11.98
12.30
12.28
11.62
11.96
11.98
12.30
13.00
12.68
12.80
12.64
12.56
12.50
12.60
12.84
12.70
12.90
12.90

Close
12.16
12.20
12.08
12.00
11.98
11.68
11.60
11.70
11.18
11.70
12.00
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12.00
12.30
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.80
12.66
12.56
12.60
12.80
12.86
12.94
12.96
13.00

Volume
63,700,972
11,837,506
21,735,288
48,602,986
88,951,374
48,376,390
116,670,302
60,816,862
77,696,242
89,021,906
31,168,634
98,771,134
34,470,364
42,752,206
34,147,580
54,903,230
49,510,110
40,608,166
151,414,248
152,771,730
111,205,448
49,577,996
42,417,266
33,721,350
19,132,010
32,262,148
19,758,656
31,332,928
28,549,344
28,100,588

R
14

13

13

Price

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

12

12

11
1 2 3 4 5

Using Holt-Winter's Method for Multiplicative Seasonal Effect

Week

Day

1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3

Time Period Closing Price Base Level

1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00

12.16
12.20
12.08
12.00
11.98
11.68
11.60
11.70

12.08
11.61
11.49
11.70

Trend

S. Factor

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.01
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00

4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
17.00
18.00
19.00
20.00
21.00
22.00
23.00
24.00
25.00
26.00
27.00
28.00
29.00
30.00

11.18
11.70
12.00
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12.00
12.30
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.80
12.66
12.56
12.60
12.80
12.86
12.94
12.96
13.00
13.06

11.26
11.80
11.93
11.87
12.42
12.41
12.43
11.91
11.89
12.30
13.53
13.13
12.88
12.68
12.66
12.65
12.71
12.72
12.74
12.94
13.05
13.11

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.99
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99

RLC 30-day Historical Price

14

13

Open
High
Low
Close

Price

13

12

12

11
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Day

l Effect
Predicted Price

12.16
11.72
11.49

14.00

alpha
beta
gamma

1
0
1

MSE

#NAME?

14.00
13.50
13.00
12.50

Sales

11.62
11.16
11.88
12.04
11.86
12.34
12.30
12.51
12.02
11.88
12.22
13.42
13.22
13.00
12.67
12.58
12.54
12.79
12.84
12.73
12.85
12.94
13.20
13.24
13.11
13.02
13.00

12.00
11.50
11.00
10.50
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Period

3 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Open
High
Low
Close

Closing Price
Forecast Price

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Period

sing Price
ecast Price

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Open
12.34
12.08
12.1
12.12
11.96
11.98
11.76
11.6
11.8
11.78
11.9
12
11.98
12.3
12.46
12.3
12.02
12
12.4
13.42
12.98
12.98
12.8
12.68
12.6
12.6
12.9
12.7
12.96
12.9

High
12.34
12.22
12.12
12.12
12.02
12
11.76
11.9
12
11.82
12.04
12.02
12.42
12.42
12.46
12.3
12.04
12.3
13.5
12.44
12.98
13.14
12.88
12.72
12.62
12.98
12.98
12.94
12.98
13

Low
12.08
12.08
12.06
12
11.96
11.66
11.54
11.58
11.18
11.6
11.9
11.9
11.98
12.3
12.28
11.62
11.96
11.98
12.3
13
12.68
12.8
12.64
12.56
12.5
12.6
12.84
12.7
12.9
12.9

Close
12.16
12.2
12.08
12
11.98
11.68
11.6
11.7
11.18
11.7
12
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12
12.3
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.8
12.66
12.56
12.6
12.8
12.86
12.94
12.96
13

Volume
63,700,972
11,837,506
21,735,288
48,602,986
88,951,374
48,376,390
116,670,302
60,816,862
77,696,242
89,021,906
31,168,634
98,771,134
34,470,364
42,752,206
34,147,580
54,903,230
49,510,110
40,608,166
151,414,248
152,771,730
111,205,448
49,577,996
42,417,266
33,721,350
19,132,010
32,262,148
19,758,656
31,332,928
28,549,344
28,100,588

Week
1

Day
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

Open
12.34
12.08
12.10
12.12
11.96
11.98
11.76
11.60
11.80
11.78
11.90
12.00
11.98
12.30
12.46
12.30
12.02
12.00
12.40
13.42
12.98
12.98
12.80
12.68
12.60
12.60
12.90
12.70
12.96
12.90
12.79
12.81
12.66
12.86
12.90

High
12.34
12.22
12.12
12.12
12.02
12.00
11.76
11.90
12.00
11.82
12.04
12.02
12.42
12.42
12.46
12.30
12.04
12.30
13.50
12.44
12.98
13.14
12.88
12.72
12.62
12.98
12.98
12.94
12.98
13.00
13.22
13.14
13.11
13.18
13.03

Low
12.08
12.08
12.06
12.00
11.96
11.66
11.54
11.58
11.18
11.60
11.90
11.90
11.98
12.30
12.28
11.62
11.96
11.98
12.30
13.00
12.68
12.80
12.64
12.56
12.50
12.60
12.84
12.70
12.90
12.90
12.80
12.93
12.87
12.89
12.90

Volume
63,700,972
11,837,506
21,735,288
48,602,986
88,951,374
48,376,390
116,670,302
60,816,862
77,696,242
89,021,906
31,168,634
98,771,134
34,470,364
42,752,206
34,147,580
54,903,230
49,510,110
40,608,166
151,414,248
152,771,730
111,205,448
49,577,996
42,417,266
33,721,350
19,132,010
32,262,148
19,758,656
31,332,928
28,549,344
28,100,588
50,360,451
28,670,543
21,789,879
24,195,533
28,100,588

Using Holt-Winter's Method for Multiplicative Seasonal Effect to Predic

Week

Day

Time Period

Opening Price

Base Level

Trend

1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30.00

12.34
12.08
12.1
12.12
11.96
11.98
11.76
11.6
11.8
11.78
11.9
12
11.98
12.3
12.46
12.3
12.02
12
12.4
13.42
12.98
12.98
12.8
12.68
12.6
12.6
12.9
12.7
12.96
12.9

12.12
11.84
11.81
11.66
11.77
11.90
11.79
11.99
12.03
12.22
12.51
12.26
12.07
12.06
12.26
13.21
13.00
13.02
12.89
12.61
12.45
12.58
12.86
12.81
12.87
12.77

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Using Holt-Winter's Method for Multiplicative Seasonal Effect to Predic

Week

Day

Time Period

Highest Price

1
2
3

1
2
3

12.34
12.22
12.12

Base Level

Trend

4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

12.12
12.02
12
11.76
11.9
12
11.82
12.04
12.02
12.42
12.42
12.46
12.3
12.04
12.3
13.5
12.44
12.98
13.14
12.88
12.72
12.62
12.98
12.98
12.94
12.98
13

12.16
12.03
11.90
11.91
11.96
11.95
11.92
11.94
12.14
12.26
12.40
12.31
12.19
12.24
12.74
12.69
12.76
12.91
12.92
12.84
12.82
12.84
12.89
12.93
12.95
13.04

0.00
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03

Using Holt-Winter's Method for Multiplicative Seasonal Effect to Predic

Week

Day

Time Period

Lowest Price

Base Level

Trend

1
2
3
4
5
1
2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

12.08
12.08
12.06
12
11.96
11.66
11.54

12.04
11.67
11.52

0.00
0.00
0.00

3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

11.58
11.18
11.6
11.9
11.9
11.98
12.3
12.28
11.62
11.96
11.98
12.3
13
12.68
12.8
12.64
12.56
12.5
12.6
12.84
12.7
12.9
12.9

11.55
11.25
11.63
11.87
11.88
11.94
12.33
12.31
11.68
11.91
11.94
12.28
12.94
12.77
12.75
12.61
12.55
12.46
12.66
12.77
12.68
12.87
12.86

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Using Holt-Winter's Method for Multiplicative Seasonal Effect to Predic

Week

Day

Time Period

Volume

Base Level

Trend

1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

63,700,972
11,837,506
21,735,288
48,602,986
88,951,374
48,376,390
116,670,302
60,816,862
77,696,242
89,021,906
31,168,634

46,965,625
38,692,967
349,286,692
189,762,347
105,792,449
62,747,441
35,057,727

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

98,771,134
34,470,364
42,752,206
34,147,580
54,903,230
49,510,110
40,608,166
151,414,248
152,771,730
111,205,448
49,577,996
42,417,266
33,721,350
19,132,010
32,262,148
19,758,656
31,332,928
28,549,344
28,100,588

225,897,002
139,248,683
79,914,688
39,025,205
55,666,823
97,816,317
146,306,926
246,414,997
193,828,237
134,465,282
107,729,564
140,747,829
77,875,653
38,628,909
38,908,033
41,855,940
87,333,681
71,663,260
60,734,521

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Close
12.16
12.20
12.08
12.00
11.98
11.68
11.60
11.70
11.18
11.70
12.00
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12.00
12.30
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.80
12.66
12.56
12.60
12.80
12.86
12.94
12.96
13.00

Predicted Price
12.18
12.08
12.02
12.02
12.09
11.7
11.7
11.75
11.41
11.71
11.93
12.05
12.22
12.39
12.31
11.73
11.98
12.15
13.3
12.85
12.98
13.03
12.78
12.64
12.52
12.87
12.93
12.89
12.98
13.02
13.16
13.17
13.15
13.13
13.03

onal Effect to Predict Opening Price

S. Factor

Predicted Price

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.98
0.95
0.95
0.12
30

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable
X Variable
X Variable
X Variable

1
2
3
4

4
25
29
Coefficients
-1.55
-0.42
0.63
0.91
0

1.02
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
0.99
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.02
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.01
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.01

alpha
beta
gamma

0.78
0
1

MSE

#NAME?

alpha
beta
gamma

0.39
0.04
0.09

12.34
11.80
11.79
11.66
11.61
12.04
11.75
11.93
12.06
12.09
12.62
12.26
12.02
12.14
12.21
13.25
12.94
12.96
13.04
12.81
12.43
12.54
12.77
12.88
13.03
12.79
12.81
12.66
12.86
12.90

onal Effect to Predict Highest Price

S. Factor

1.01
1.00
1.00

Predicted Price

1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99

MSE

#NAME?

alpha
beta
gamma

0.88
0
1

MSE

#NAME?

12.34
12.08
11.85
11.86
11.81
12.10
11.95
11.89
12.11
12.13
12.57
12.36
12.19
12.23
12.63
12.85
12.81
12.94
13.00
12.72
13.00
12.90
12.90
12.99
12.82
13.22
13.14
13.11
13.18
13.03

onal Effect to Predict Lowest Price

S. Factor

1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.00
1.00

Predicted Price

12.08
11.71

1.00
0.99
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.99
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.00
1.00
1.00

11.54
11.52
11.18
11.62
11.90
11.90
11.87
12.30
12.34
11.70
11.94
11.91
12.26
12.88
12.82
12.79
12.63
12.61
12.38
12.71
12.80
12.69
12.91
12.80
12.93
12.87
12.89
12.90

onal Effect to Predict the Volume of Trading

S. Factor

1.36
0.25
0.46
1.03
1.89
1.25
0.33
0.32
0.73
1.42
0.89

Predicted Volume

63,700,972
9,752,414
161,646,881
196,378,024
200,367,473
78,450,812

alpha
beta
gamma

0.73
0
1

MSE

#NAME?

0.44
0.25
0.53
0.88
0.99
0.51
0.28
0.61
0.79
0.83
0.46
0.30
0.43
0.50
0.83
0.47
0.36
0.40
0.46

11,710,139
72,397,644
102,267,218
113,377,657
34,695,983
24,339,744
24,213,974
78,270,266
215,616,442
191,169,458
68,060,127
29,900,840
86,485,104
61,380,109
31,946,872
17,905,784
12,614,152
37,816,821
35,493,164
50,360,451
28,670,543
21,789,879
24,195,533
28,100,588

SS

MS
7.78
0.38
8.16

Standard Error
0.65
0.15
0.09
0.15
0

1.95
0.02

t Stat
-2.37
-2.81
7.25
6.02
3.79

F
127.75

P-value
0.03
0.01
0
0
0

Significance F
0

Lower 95%
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
-2.9
-0.21
-2.9
-0.72
-0.11
-0.72
0.45
0.81
0.45
0.6
1.22
0.6
0
0
0

RLC 30-day Historical Price

14

13

Price

13

12

Upper 95.0%
-0.21
-0.11
0.81
1.22
0

12

11
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Day

ical Price

6 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Open
High
Low
Close

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Open
12.34
12.08
12.1
12.12
11.96
11.98
11.76
11.6
11.8
11.78
11.9
12
11.98
12.3
12.46
12.3
12.02
12
12.4
13.42
12.98
12.98
12.8
12.68
12.6
12.6
12.9
12.7
12.96
12.9

High
12.34
12.22
12.12
12.12
12.02
12
11.76
11.9
12
11.82
12.04
12.02
12.42
12.42
12.46
12.3
12.04
12.3
13.5
12.44
12.98
13.14
12.88
12.72
12.62
12.98
12.98
12.94
12.98
13

Low
12.08
12.08
12.06
12
11.96
11.66
11.54
11.58
11.18
11.6
11.9
11.9
11.98
12.3
12.28
11.62
11.96
11.98
12.3
13
12.68
12.8
12.64
12.56
12.5
12.6
12.84
12.7
12.9
12.9

Close
12.16
12.2
12.08
12
11.98
11.68
11.6
11.7
11.18
11.7
12
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12
12.3
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.8
12.66
12.56
12.6
12.8
12.86
12.94
12.96
13

Volume
63,700,972
11,837,506
21,735,288
48,602,986
88,951,374
48,376,390
116,670,302
60,816,862
77,696,242
89,021,906
31,168,634
98,771,134
34,470,364
42,752,206
34,147,580
54,903,230
49,510,110
40,608,166
151,414,248
152,771,730
111,205,448
49,577,996
42,417,266
33,721,350
19,132,010
32,262,148
19,758,656
31,332,928
28,549,344
28,100,588

Week
1

Day
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
1

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Time Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31

Actual Price

Linear Trend

12.16
12.20
12.08
12.00
11.98
11.68
11.60
11.70
11.18
11.70
12.00
11.98
12.42
12.32
12.32
11.98
12.00
12.30
13.44
13.02
12.96
12.80
12.66
12.56
12.60
12.80
12.86
12.94
12.96
13.00

11.68
11.73
11.77
11.82
11.86
11.91
11.95
12.00
12.04
12.09
12.13
12.18
12.22
12.27
12.31
12.36
12.40
12.45
12.50
12.54
12.59
12.63
12.68
12.72
12.77
12.81
12.86
12.90
12.95
12.99
13.04

13.06

% of Trend
104.09%
104.03%
102.62%
101.55%
100.99%
98.09%
97.05%
97.52%
92.83%
96.79%
98.90%
98.37%
101.60%
100.41%
100.05%
96.93%
96.74%
98.80%
107.56%
103.83%
102.98%
101.34%
99.88%
98.73%
98.70%
99.91%
100.03%
100.30%
100.10%
100.06%

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.75
R Square
0.57
Adjusted R Square
0.55
Standard Error 0.36
Observations
30
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
1
28
29

MS
4.63
3.53
8.16

CoefficientsStandard Error
Intercept
11.64
0.13
X Variable 1
0.05
0.01

F
4.63
0.13

t Stat
87.5
6.06

Significance F
36.7
0

P-value
0
0

Lower 95%
11.36
0.03

Day
1
2
3
4
5

Seasonal Index
100.15%
99.59%
100.12%
100.20%
100.07%

Intercept
slope

11.64
0.05

MSE

#NAME?

14.00
13.50
13.00

Price

Seasonal Forecast
11.70
11.68
11.79
11.84
11.87
11.93
11.90
12.01
12.07
12.10
12.15
12.13
12.24
12.29
12.32
12.38
12.35
12.46
12.52
12.55
12.60
12.58
12.69
12.75
12.77
12.83
12.80
12.92
12.97
13.00
13.06

12.50
12.00
11.50
11.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
11.91
11.36
11.91
0.06
0.03
0.06

4.00

3.50

3.00
Actual Price
Predicted Price

2.50

2.00

1.50

1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1
Day

Price
ed Price