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GhaniGasesLtd:GoodoptionforIslamicmutualfunds
FIPIUpdate*July6,2011
(USDmn)
GrossBuy
1.71
WelikeGhaniGasesLtd(GGL)whichisinagrowingphase.Wehavepreparedamodel
onGGLwhereinweassumeannualsalesgrowthintherangeof15%25%atthe
pretextthatthecompanyisgettingmanyordersfromPakistaniindustrialconcerns
suchassteel,fertilizer,glassandPTAfactories.
GrossSell
1.50
NetBuy/(Sell)
0.21
AssuminggrowthinthesaleweseeearningpropensityinGGL.Weexpectitwillyield
FY11EPSofRs.1.22/shwhichisgoodomenconsideringthefactthethecompanyis
nd
yearofoperations.WeconsiderGGLavalueproposition.
onlyinits2
**SourceSBPwebsite
*SourceNCCPLwebsite
TotalForeignportfolioupdate**
2,822
KSE100Index
KSE100Index(July6,2011)
12,533.53
ProfitandLossa/c
Change
(42.93)
Rs .000
FY09A
FY10A
FY11E
FY12E
FY13E
Volume(mn)
68.50
NetSal es
25,651
270,617
452,499
545,562
631,181
KSEMarketCapitalization(bn)
3,297.45
Gros
s Margi n
1,910
25,508
164,357
213,343
268,640
KSEMarketCapitalization(USD)
38.34
PBIT
(36,366)
(27,987) 162,340
233,891
303,763
SCRA(July4,2011)(USD)
(1.97)
PAT
(38,368)
(64,204)
88,689
133,541
188,778
EPSRs /s h.
1.84
2.61
Ratios
GPmargi n
7.4%
9.4%
36.3%
39.1%
42.6%
Netma rgins
150%
24%
20%
24%
30%
P.Ex
N/m
N/m
10.76
7.15
5.05
Source:GGLfinancialreportsandscstraderesearch
GGLmanagementbeingexponentsofShariahcompliance,prefertouseIslamic
financing(Ijarahfinancing)tofulfillthefinancialneedsandensureallthebusiness
transactioninaccordancewiththeSHARIAcompliance.WeconsiderGGLtobeone
goodinvestmentoptionavailabletocountrysIslamicmutualfundindustry.
GGLhasrecentlycomeupwithmanydevelopmentswhichincludeinitialsetupof
storagecapacityatPortQasimthustargetingpotentialmarketinKarachiand
enhancementoffleetofmobiletankers.Moreover,ithasrecentlyfinalizedacontract
forthepurchaseofstandbycompressorwhichwillensurecontinuoussupplyof
product.
WithLiquidOxygenandnitrogengascurrentlytakingamajorportionofsalesof
about6065%and3035%respectively,GGLhasenteredanewmarketofCalcium
Carbidewhichwillfurtheraddtotheearninggrowthbyforming2530%partintotal
salesincomingyears(currentlycontributing35%intotalsales).
WeexpectGGLtoyieldFY12P.Eof7.15xgivenincreasingpropensityofearnings.We
maintainBUYratingsonthestock.Wealsoexpectatokendividendroundthecorner
attheaftermathofFY11results.
Analyst:ZainSaleem
GDRUpdate
(USD)
MCB(1GDR=2Shares)
2.60
OGDC(1GDR=10Shares)
16.25
UBL(1GDR=4Shares)
2.00
LUCK(1GDR=4Shares)
1.70
HUBC(1GDR=25Shares)
11.35
KeyFinancialMarketUpdate
CPIInflation%(July10Jun2011
13.92
FXReservesJune25,2011(USD)
17.47
CurrentA/C(Jul10May11)
$205mn
TradeBalance(July10May11)(USD)
(14.11)
6MonthsKIBOR%July5,2011
PKRUSDparityJuly5,2011
13.78
86.06
VolumeLeadersJuly6,2011
Vol(mn)
LOTPTA
11.02
DSFL
6.09
NBP
5.29
NICL
4.63
BAFL
3.46
TradingSignalsgeneratedonJuly6,2011
GGL
Buy
RMPL
ATLH
Buy
Sell
PAKRI
Sell
PICT
Sell
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