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July7,2011

GhaniGasesLtd:GoodoptionforIslamicmutualfunds

FIPIUpdate*July6,2011

(USDmn)

GrossBuy

1.71

WelikeGhaniGasesLtd(GGL)whichisinagrowingphase.Wehavepreparedamodel
onGGLwhereinweassumeannualsalesgrowthintherangeof15%25%atthe

pretextthatthecompanyisgettingmanyordersfromPakistaniindustrialconcerns

suchassteel,fertilizer,glassandPTAfactories.

GrossSell

1.50

NetBuy/(Sell)

0.21

AssuminggrowthinthesaleweseeearningpropensityinGGL.Weexpectitwillyield

FY11EPSofRs.1.22/shwhichisgoodomenconsideringthefactthethecompanyis
nd

yearofoperations.WeconsiderGGLavalueproposition.
onlyinits2

**SourceSBPwebsite

*SourceNCCPLwebsite
TotalForeignportfolioupdate**

2,822

KSE100Index
KSE100Index(July6,2011)

12,533.53

ProfitandLossa/c

Change

(42.93)

Rs .000

FY09A

FY10A

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Volume(mn)

68.50

NetSal es

25,651

270,617

452,499

545,562

631,181

KSEMarketCapitalization(bn)

3,297.45

Gros
s Margi n

1,910

25,508

164,357

213,343

268,640

KSEMarketCapitalization(USD)

38.34

PBIT

(36,366)

(27,987) 162,340

233,891

303,763

SCRA(July4,2011)(USD)

(1.97)

PAT

(38,368)

(64,204)

88,689

133,541

188,778

EPSRs /s h.

(0.79) (0.89) 1.22

1.84

2.61

Ratios

GPmargi n

7.4%

9.4%

36.3%

39.1%

42.6%

Netma rgins

150%

24%

20%

24%

30%

P.Ex

N/m

N/m

10.76

7.15

5.05

Source:GGLfinancialreportsandscstraderesearch

GGLmanagementbeingexponentsofShariahcompliance,prefertouseIslamic
financing(Ijarahfinancing)tofulfillthefinancialneedsandensureallthebusiness

transactioninaccordancewiththeSHARIAcompliance.WeconsiderGGLtobeone

goodinvestmentoptionavailabletocountrysIslamicmutualfundindustry.

GGLhasrecentlycomeupwithmanydevelopmentswhichincludeinitialsetupof
storagecapacityatPortQasimthustargetingpotentialmarketinKarachiand

enhancementoffleetofmobiletankers.Moreover,ithasrecentlyfinalizedacontract
forthepurchaseofstandbycompressorwhichwillensurecontinuoussupplyof

product.

WithLiquidOxygenandnitrogengascurrentlytakingamajorportionofsalesof
about6065%and3035%respectively,GGLhasenteredanewmarketofCalcium
Carbidewhichwillfurtheraddtotheearninggrowthbyforming2530%partintotal
salesincomingyears(currentlycontributing35%intotalsales).
WeexpectGGLtoyieldFY12P.Eof7.15xgivenincreasingpropensityofearnings.We
maintainBUYratingsonthestock.Wealsoexpectatokendividendroundthecorner
attheaftermathofFY11results.

Analyst:ZainSaleem

GDRUpdate

(USD)

MCB(1GDR=2Shares)

2.60

OGDC(1GDR=10Shares)

16.25

UBL(1GDR=4Shares)

2.00

LUCK(1GDR=4Shares)

1.70

HUBC(1GDR=25Shares)

11.35

KeyFinancialMarketUpdate
CPIInflation%(July10Jun2011

13.92

FXReservesJune25,2011(USD)

17.47

CurrentA/C(Jul10May11)

$205mn

TradeBalance(July10May11)(USD)

(14.11)

6MonthsKIBOR%July5,2011
PKRUSDparityJuly5,2011

13.78
86.06

VolumeLeadersJuly6,2011

Vol(mn)

LOTPTA

11.02

DSFL

6.09

NBP

5.29

NICL

4.63

BAFL

3.46

TradingSignalsgeneratedonJuly6,2011
GGL

Buy

RMPL
ATLH

Buy
Sell

PAKRI

Sell

PICT

Sell

Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by Standard Capital Securities (Pvt) Ltd and is provided for information purposes only. The information and data on which this report is based are obtained from
sources which we believe to be reliable but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Standard Capital Securities (Pvt) Ltd accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any direct or indirect
consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. Investors are advised to take professional advice before making investments and Standard Capital Securities (Pvt) Ltd does not take
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