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K10476 TFL

The Foundation for Data Analysis & Modeling

In a technological society, virtually every engineer and scientist needs to be able to collect, analyze, interpret, and properly use vast arrays of data. This means acquiring a solid foundation in the methods of data analysis and synthesis. Understanding the theoretical aspects is important, but learning to properly apply the theory to real-world problems is essential. Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Third Edition introduces the fundamentals of probability, statistics, reliability, and risk methods to engineers and scientists for the purposes of data and uncertainty analysis and modeling in support of decision making. The third edition of this bestselling text presents probability, statistics, reliability, and risk methods with an ideal balance of theory and applications. Clearly written and firmly focused on the practical use of these methods, it places increased emphasis on simulation, particularly as a modeling tool, applying it progressively with projects that continue in each chapter. This provides a measure of continuity and shows the broad use of simulation as a computational tool to inform decision making processes. This edition also features expanded discussions of the analysis of variance, including single- and two-factor analyses, and a thorough treatment of Monte Carlo simulation. The authors not only clearly establish the limitations, advantages, and disadvantages of each method, but also show that data analysis is a continuum rather than the isolated application of different methods. Like its predecessors, this book continues to serve its purpose well as both a textbook and a reference. Ultimately, readers will find the content of great value in problem solving and decision making, particularly in practical applications.

FEATURES
Emphasizes risk and reliability for the engineering statistics market from a practical point of view Includes various applications in engineering Provides additional material on simulation, the mathematics related to uncertainty, the rand function, sample variability, dependence, the Poisson process, and more Contains additional illustrations on histogram samples and hypothesis testing along with Venn diagrams for conditional probabilities
SOLUTIONS
MANUAL AVAILABLE FOR QUALIFYING INSTRUCTORS

Catalog no. K10476, April 2011, c. 674 pp. ISBN: 978-1-4398-0951-8, $119.95 / 76.99
See reverse side for Contents and ordering infor mation

O R D E R O N L I N E AT

Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Third Edition
CONTENTS Introduction Introduction. Knowledge, Information, and Opinions. Ignorance and Uncertainty. Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties in System Abstraction. Characterizing and Modeling Uncertainty. Simulation for Uncertainty Analysis and Propagation. Simulation Projects Data Description and Treatment Introduction. Classification of Data. Graphical Description of Data. Histograms and Frequency Diagrams. Descriptive Measures. Applications. Analysis of Simulated Data. Simulation Projects Fundamentals of Probability Introduction. Sets, Sample Spaces, and Events. Mathematics of Probability. Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions. Moments. Application: Water Supply and Quality. Simulation and Probability Distributions. Simulation Projects Probability Distributions for Discrete Random Variables Introduction. Bernoulli Distribution. Binomial Distribution. Geometric Distribution. Poisson Distribution. Negative Binomial and Pascal Probability Distributions. Hypergeometric Probability Distribution. Applications. Simulation of Discrete Random Variables. A Summary of Distributions. Simulation Projects Probability Distributions for Continuous Random Variables Introduction. Uniform Distribution. Normal Distribution. Lognormal Distribution. Exponential Distribution. Triangular Distribution. Gamma Distribution. Rayleigh Distribution. Beta Distribution. Statistical Probability Distributions. Extreme Value Distributions. Applications. Simulation and Probability Distributions. A Summary of Distributions. Simulation Projects Multiple Random Variables Introduction. Joint Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions. Functions of Random Variables. Modeling Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty. Applications. Multivariable Simulation. Simulation Projects Simulation Introduction. Monte Carlo Simulation. Random Numbers. Generation of Random Variables. Generation of Selected Discrete Random Variables. Generation of Selected Continuous Random Variables. Applications. Simulation Projects Fundamentals of Statistical Analysis Introduction. Properties of Estimators. Method-of-Moments Estimation. Maximum Likelihood Estimation. Sampling Distributions. Univariate Frequency Analysis. Applications. Simulation Projects Hypothesis Testing Introduction. General Procedure. Hypothesis Tests of Means. Hypothesis Tests of Variances. Tests of Distributions. Applications. Simulation of Hypothesis Test Assumptions. Simulation Projects Analysis of Variance Introduction. Test of Population Means. Multiple Comparisons in the ANOVA Test. Test of Population Variances. Randomized Block Design. Two-Way ANOVA. Experimental Design. Applications. Simulation Projects Confidence Intervals and Sample-Size Determination Introduction. General Procedure. Confidence Intervals on Sample Statistics. Sample Size Determination. Relationship between Decision Parameters and Types I and II Errors. Quality Control. Applications. Simulation Projects Regression Analysis Introduction. Correlation Analysis. Introduction to Regression. Principle of Least Squares. Reliability of the Regression Equation. Reliability of Point Estimates of the Regression Coefficients. Confidence Intervals of the Regression Equation. Correlation versus Regression. Applications of Bivariate Regression Analysis. Simulation and Prediction Models. Simulation Projects Multiple and Nonlinear Regression Analysis Introduction. Correlation Analysis. Multiple Regression Analysis. Polynomial Regression Analysis. Regression Analysis of Power Models. Applications. Simulation in Curvilinear Modeling. Simulation Projects Reliability Analysis of Components Introduction. Time to Failure. Reliability of Components. First-Order Reliability Method. Advanced Second-Moment Method. Simulation Methods. ReliabilityBased Design. Application: Structural reliability of a Pressure Vessel. Simulation Projects Reliability and Risk Analysis of Systems Introduction. Reliability of Systems. Risk Analysis. Risk-Based Decision Analysis. Application: System Reliability of a PostTensioned Truss. Simulation Projects Bayesian Methods Introduction. Bayesian Probabilities. Bayesian Estimation of Parameters. Bayesian Statistics. Applications Appendix A: Probability and Statistics Tables Appendix B: Taylor Series Expansion Appendix C: Data for Simulation Projects Appendix D: Semester Simulation Project Index
Problems appear at the end of each chapter.

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