Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Presented by Auckland Kuteya and Christopher Kambole ACF/IAPRI Budget Breakfast Meeting Pamodzi Hotel, Lusaka November 30, 2011
Outline of Presentation
PF Manifesto and Agriculture Overview of Zambias Ag. Sector Zambia Ag. Development Goals Ag Sector Challenges in Zambia 2012 Ag Budget Analysis Recommendations
Agricultural production
Rural poverty
5 0
19 80
19 85
19 90
19 95
Percent in poverty
iv.
v.
10
RDC 8.5%
Grants 0.7%
ZK' Billion
1500
1200 900 600 300
An Increase of 31% if we ignore supplemental funding to FRA and FISP
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Year
MAL - Allocation MAL - Actual (2011-interim )
14
CAADP Target
% Share o Agriculture
8
6 4 2 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0.2% drop if we ignore supplemental funding to FRA and FISP in 2011
Year
Allocation
%
12.60
8.51 0.72 50.36 5.63 21.56
16
ZK Billion
Personel Emoluments (PE) Recurrent Departmental Charges Grants and Other Payments
ZK` Billion
205.89 139.01 11.81
%
12.60 8.51 0.72
Poverty Reduction Programs o/w FISP FRA Other PRP Allocations Capital Expenditure
Agricultural show Agricultural Development Programs Allocation to other ministries Arrears (Mostly PE related) TOTAL
59.64
5.16 186.03 124.54 8.21 1371.5
4.35
0.38 13.56 9.14 0.6 100
ZK Billion
Personnel Emoluments (PE) Recurrent Departmental Charges
ZK` Billion
154.59 131.50
12.70 10.80
173.10 84.36
8.22 4.01
5.55
551.47 430.00 100.00 21.47 40.92 2.50 247.00 84.07 1217.60
0.46
45.29 79.97 18.13 1.90 3.36 0.21 20.29 6.90 100
11.81
822.94 500.00 300.00 22.94 91.98 5.87 352.24 4.37 1,634.11
0.72
50.36 60.76 36.45 2.79 5.63 0.36 21.56 0.27 100.00 18
Released
Other 1%
19
Nation Wide Random Surveys CFS/PHS/SS 99/00 = 364 SEAs CFS 2006/07 onward = 660 SEAs
20
21
22
23
RDCs/PEs
0.4
0.2 0.0
2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
Year
*Not actual (Allocation)
24
78,384 (5.2%)
4.3
3.0
8.1
8.6
499,530 (33.2%)
3.4
2.0
1.3
1.7
927,971 (61.6%)
2.2
1.2
0.2
25
26
Recommendations
Enactment of the Agricultural Marketing Act Effectively reform FISP and FRA Streamline the FRA activities Flexible FISP programme covering other farm inputs (crops and livestock) Use of E-voucher with private sector procuring and distributing the inputs Leverage private sector resources
27
28
% of farms
30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0-0.99 ha
23.5
0.5 > 10 ha
70 60 50 40 30 20
30.6 45.1
58.5
52.6
10
0
14.3
0-0.99
1-1.99
2-4.99
5-9.99
10-20
30
350
300 346
310
250
200 150 100 50 0 24 0-0.99 ha 1-1.99 ha 2-4.99 ha 5-9.99 ha > 10 ha FISP fertilizer received per hh 69 140
2001/02
2003/04
2005/06
3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0
2007/08
2009/10
Global
MT/HA
Source: CFS datasets, various years with Global figures obtained from COMESA
32