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HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)

1

Section A (50 marks)

1. (a) Expand
3
(2 1) x +
(b) Expand
ax
e

in ascending powers of x as far as the term in


2
x , where a is a constant.
(c) If the coefficient of
2
x in the expansion of
3
(2 1)
ax
x
e
+
is 4 , find the value(s) of a.
(5 marks)

2. It is given that
1
3
2
2 1 t y y

= + + and
2
1 t x
e x
+
= .
(a) Find
dt
dy
.
(b) By expressing t in terms of x, find
dt
dx
.
(c) Find
dy
dx
in terms of x and y.
(5 marks)

3. A glass container is in the shape of a vertically
inverted right circular cone of base radius 15 cm
and height 20 cm. Initially, the container is full of
water. Suppose the water is running out from it at a
constant rate of 2 cm
3
/s. Let h cm be the depth
of water remaining in the container, r cm be the
radius of water surface (see Figure 1), V cm
3
be the volume of the water, and A cm
2
be the
area of the wet surface of the container. It is given that
2
1
3
V r h = and
2 2
A r r h = + .
(a) Express V and A in terms of r only.
(b) When r = 3,
(i) find the rate of change of the radius of the water surface;
(ii) find the rate of change of the area of the wet surface of the container.
(6 marks)

HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
2

4. Consider the curve C:
1
2
(2 1) y x x = , where
1
2
x > .
(a) Find
dy
dx
.
(b) Using (a), find the equation of the two tangents to the curve C which are parallel to the
straight line 2 0 x y = .
(6 marks)
5. Consider the two curves
1
: 1
x
e
C y
e
= and
2
:
x
C y e e = .
(a) Find the x-coordinates of all the points of intersection of
1
C and
2
C .
(b) Find the area of region bounded by
1
C and
2
C .
(5 marks)

6. A random sample of size 10 is drawn from a normal population with mean and variance 8.
Let X be the mean of the sample.
(a) Calculate Var(2 7) X + .
(b) Suppose the mean of the sample is 50. Construct a 97% confidence interval for .
(5 marks)

7. In a game, there are two bags, A and B, each containing 5 balls. Bag A contains 3 red and 2
blue balls, while bag B contains 4 red and 1 blue balls. A player first chooses a bag at random
and then draws a ball randomly from the bag. The player will be rewarded if the ball drawn is
blue. The ball is then replaced for the next players turn.
(a) Find the probability that a player is rewarded in a particular game.
(b) Two players participate in the game. Given that at least one of them is rewarded, find the
probability that both of them are rewarded.
(c) If 60 players are rewarded, find the expected number of players among them having
drawn a blue from bag A.
(5 marks)
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
3

8. Eggs from a farm are packed in boxes of 30. The probability that a randomly selected egg is
rotten is 0.04.
(a) Find the probability that a box contains more than 1 rotten egg.
(b) Boxes of eggs are inspected one by one.
(i) Find the probability that the 1
st
box containing more than 1 rotten egg is the 6
th

box inspected.
(ii) What is the expected number of boxes inspected until a box containing more than
1 rotten egg is found?
(7 marks)

9. Suppose A and B are two events. Let ' A and ' B be the complementary events of A and B
respectively. It is given that ( | ') 0.6 P A B = , ( ) 0.12 P A B = and ( ') P A B k = , where
0 k > .
(a) Find ( ) P A , ( ) P B and ( ) P A B in terms of k.
(b) If A and B are independent, find the value of k.
(6 marks)











HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
4

Section B (50 marks)

10. An engineer models the rates of production of an alloy in the first 10 weeks by two new
machines A and B respectively by
5
2
61
( 1)
dx t
dt
t
=
+
and
2
15ln( 100)
16
dy t
dt
+
= for 0 10 t s s ,
where x (in million kg) and y (in million kg) are the amount of the alloy produced by
machine A and B respectively, and t (in weeks) is the time elapsed since the beginning of the
production.
(a) Using the substitution 1 u t = + , find the amount of the alloy produced by machine A in
the first 10 weeks.
(4 marks)

(b) Using the trapezoidal rule with 5 sub-intervals, estimate the amount of alloy produced
by machine B in the first 10 weeks.
(2 marks)

(c) The engineer use the result of (a) and (b) to claim that machine B is more productive
than machine A in the first 10 weeks. Do you agree? Explain your answer.
(4 marks)











HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
5

11. A researcher models the rate of change of the population size of a kind of inserts in a forest
by
20
'( )
a
t
P t kte = , where ( ) P t , in thousand, is the population size, t ( 0) > is the time
measured in weeks since the start of the research, and a, k are integers.
The following table shows some values of t and '( ) P t .



(a) Express
'( )
ln
P t
t
as a linear function of t.
(1 marks)

(b) By plotting a suitable straight line on the graph paper, estimate the integer a and k.
(5 marks)

(c) Suppose that (0) 30 P = . Using the estimates in (b),
(i) find the value of t such that the rate of change of the population size of the
insect is the greatest;
(ii) find
20
a
t
d
te
dt
| |
|
\ .
and hence, or otherwise, find ( ) P t ;
(iii) estimate the population size after a very long time.
[Hint: You may use the fact that lim 0
mt
t
t
e

= for any positive constant m.]


(9 marks)





t 1 2 3 4
'( ) P t
22.83 43.43 61.97 78.60
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
6

11. (cont)









HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
7

12. A staff of a school studies the school sick room utilization. The number of visits to the sick
room per day on 100 randomly selected school days recorded as follows:



(a) Find an unbiased estimate of the mean number of visits per day.
(1 marks)

(b) (i) Find the sample proportion of school days with less than 4 visits per day.
(ii) Construct an approximate 95% confidence interval for the proportion of school
days with less than 4 visits per day.
(3 marks)

(c) Suppose then number of visits per day follows a Poisson distribution with mean .
Assume that the unbiased estimate obtained in (a) is used for . The sick room is said
to be crowded on a particular day if there are more than 3 visits on that day.
(i) Find the probability that the sick room is crowded on a particular day.
(ii) In a certain week of 5 school days, give that the sick room is crowded on at least 2
days, find the probability that the sick room is crowded on alternate days in the
week.
(6 marks)






Number of visits per day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Frequency 6 12 18 21 20 12 7 4
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
8

13. In a supermarket, there are two cashier counters: a regular counter and an express counter. It
is known that 88% of customers pay at the regular counter. It is found that the waiting time
for a customer to pay at the regular counter follows the normal distribution with mean 6.6
minutes and standard deviation 1.2 minutes.
(a) Find the probability that the waiting time for a customer to pay at the regular counter is
more than 6 minutes.
(2 marks)

(b) Suppose 12 customers who pay at the regular counter are randomly selected. Assume
that their waiting times are independent.
(i) Find the probability that there are more than 10 of the 12 customers each having
a waiting time of more than 6 minutes.
(ii) Find the probability that the average waiting time of the 12 customers is more
than 6 minutes
(5 marks)

(c) It is found that the waiting time for a customer to pay at the express counter follows the
normal distribution with mean minutes and standard deviation 0.8 minutes.
It is known that exactly 21.19% of the customers at the regular counter wait less than k
minutes, while exactly 3.95% of the customers at the express counter wait more than k
minutes.
(i) Find k and .
(ii) Two customers are randomly selected. Assume that their waiting times are
independent. Given that both of them wait more than minutes to pay, find
the probability that exactly one of them pays at the regular counter.
(8 marks)
End of Paper
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
9

Solution
1. (a)
3 3 2 2 3 3 2
(2 1) (2 ) 3(2 ) (1) 3(2 )(1) (1) 8 12 6 1 x x x x x x x + = + + + = + + +

(b)
2 2
2
( )
1 ( ) ... 1 ...
2! 2
ax
ax a
e ax ax x


= + + + = + +

(c) ( )
3 2
3 2 2
(2 1)
(2 1) 1 6 12 ... 1 ...
2
ax
ax
x a
x e x x ax x
e

| | +
= + = + + + + +
|
\ .
Coefficient of
2
2
6 12 4
2
a
x a = + =
2
12 32 0 a a + = 8 a = or 4 a =

2. (a)
3
2
2
3
dt
y y
dy

=
(b)
2 1
t x
e x
+
=
2
1
ln
x
t x
+
=
2
( 1) ln t x x = +
2
1
2 ln
dt x
x x
dx x
+
= +
(c)
2
3
2 2
2
3 7
2
2 2
1
2 ln
1 ( 2 ln 1)
3 (3 1)
x
x x
dy dy dt dt y x x x
x
dt
dx dt dx dx
y y x y
dy

+
+
+ +
= = = =



3. (a)
15 20
r h
= (corr. sides, A s)
4
3
h r =

2 3
1 4 4
3 3 9
V r r r
| |
= =
|
\ .


2
2 2 2
4 25 5
3 9 3
A r r r r r r
| |
= + = =
|
\ .

(b) (i)
3
4
9
V r =
2
4
3
dV dr
r
dt dt
=
Put 2
dV
dt
= and r = 3, we have
2
3
4
2 (3)
3
r
dr
dt

=
=
3
1
6
r
dr
dt
=
= cm/s
The rate of change of the radius of the water surface is
1
6
cm/s
(ii)
2
5
3
A r =
10
3
dA dr
r
dt dt
=
3
10 1 5
(3)
3 6 3
r
dA
dt

=
| |
= =
|
\ .
cm
2
/s
The rate of change of the area of the wet surface of the container is
5
3

cm
2
/s

HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
10

4. (a) ( ) ( )
1 1
2 2
1 3 1
2 1 (2) 2 1
2 2 1
dy x
x x x
dx x

(
= + =
(


(b) Let (a, b) be the point of contact,
Slope of tangent = 2 =
3 1
2 1
a
a


2
9 6 1
4
2 1
a a
a
+
=


2
9 14 5 0 a a + =
1 a = or
5
9
a =
Hence the point of contact (a, b) = (1, 1) and
5 5
,
9 27
| |
|
\ .

The equation of tangent at (1, 1) is
1
2
1
y
x

2 1 0 x y =
The equation of tangent at
5 5
,
9 27
| |
|
\ .
is
5
27
2
5
9
y
x

54 27 25 0 x y =

5. (a) 1
x
x
e
e e
e
=
2
( 1) 0
x x
e e e e + + =

2
1 ( 1) 4
2
x
e e e
e
+ +
=

1 1
2
x
e e
e
+ +
= or
1 1
2
x
e e
e
+ +
=

x
e e = or 1
x
e =
1 x = or 0 x =
The point of intersection are (1, 0) and (0,1 e ).
(b) Area =
( ) ( )
1 1
0 0
1
x x x
x
e
e e dx x e e e ex
e

( | |
(
= + +
| (

\ .

}

| | | |
1 1 0 1 0 3 e e e e = + + + + = sq. units





HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
11

6. (a)
Var( ) 8 4
Var( )
10 5
X
X
n
= = =

2
4 16
Var(2 7) 2 Var( ) 4
5 5
X X
| |
+ = = =
|
\ .

(b) 97% confidence interval =
( )
8 8
50 2.17 , 50 2.17 48.0591, 51.9409
10 10
| |
+ =
|
|
\ .


7. (a) P (rewarded)
1 2 1 1 3
0.3
2 5 2 5 10
= + = =
(b) P (both rewarded| at least one rewarded)

2
2
(both rewarded) 0.3 3
0.1765
1 (both no rewarded) 1 0.7 17
P
P
= = = ~


(c) P (from A| rewarded) =
1 2
2
2 5
1 2 1 1
3
2 5 2 5

=
+

The expected number of players =
2
60 40
3
=

8. (a) Let X be the number of rotten eggs, then ~ (30, 0.04) X B
( 1) 1 ( 0) ( 1) P X P X P X > = = =
30 30 29
1
1 (1 0.04) (1 0.04) (0.04)
0.338820302 0.3388
C =
= ~

(b) Let Y be the number of box inspected until 1
st
box containing more than 1 rotten egg is
found, then ~ (0.338820302) Y Geo

5
( 6) (1 0.338820302) (0.338820302) 0.042812143 0.0428 P Y = = = ~
(c)
1
( ) 2.95147002
0.338820302
E Y = ~
The required expected number of boxes is 2.9515

HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
12

9. (a) ( ) ( ) ( ') P A P A B P A B = +
( ) 0.12 P A k = +
( ') ( | ') ( ') P A B P A B P B =
| |
( ')
1 ( )
( | ')
P A B
P B
P A B

=
5
( ) 1
3
k
P B =
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) P A B P A P B P A B = +

5 2
( ) 0.12 1 0.12 1
3 3
k k
P A B k = + + =

9. (b) ( ) ( ) ( ) P A P B P A B = [for independent]
( )
5
0.12 1 0.12
3
k
k
| |
+ =
|
\ .
0.48 k = or k = 0 (rejected as k is positive)

Alternatively, as A and B are independent, ( | ') ( ) P A B P A =

0.12 0.6 k + = 0.48 k =

10. (a) Let 1 u t = + , du dt =
3 5
10 11 11
2 2
5 5
0 1 1
2 2
61 1
61 61
( 1)
t u
x dt du u u du
t u

| |

= = =
|
\ .
+
} } }

11
1 3
2 2
1
122
122
3
x u u

(
= +
(


1 3
2 2
122 122
122(11) (11) 122
3 3
x

= + +

3904 244
45.6636
3 33 11
= + ~
The amount produced by machine A in the first 10 weeks is 45.6636 million kg




(shaded region = ' A B )
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
13

10. (b)
10
2
0
15
ln( 100)
16
y t dt = +
}

( )
15 2
ln(100) 2 ln(104) ln(116) ln(136) ln(164) ln(200)
16 2

( ~ + + + + +
`

)

( )
15
ln(20000) 2 ln 269075456
16
45.6792
( ~ +

~

The amount produced by machine B in the first 10 weeks is 45.6792 million kg

10. (c)
2
2
2
ln( 100) 0
100
d t
t
dt t
+ = >
+
,
so the graph is increasing in0 10 t s s (1)

2 2
2
2 2 2 2 2
2( 100) (2 )(2 ) 2( 10)( 10)
ln( 100)
( 100) ( 100)
d t t t t t
t
dt t t
+ +
+ = =
+ +

Since
2
2
2
ln( 100) 0
d
t
dt
+ < for 0 10 t s s ,
the curve of
2
ln( 100) y t = + is concave downward for 0 10 t s s ,..(2)
Also, at t = 0,
2
ln( 100) y t = + attains minimum point and
it is (0, ln100) , where ln100 is positive.(3)
Combining (1), (2), and (3),
the graph of
2
ln( 100) y t = + is above the t-axis and concave
downward for 0 10 t s s .
Therefore the estimation of
10
2
0
ln( 100) t +
}
is underestimated.
Since the value of y ( ~45.6792) is underestimated
but still greater than that of x( ~45.6636),
I agree with the engineer that machine B is more productive than machine A in the
first 10 weeks


HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
14

11. (a)
20
'( )
a
t
P t
ke
t
=
20
'( )
ln ln
a
t
P t
ke
t
=

20
'( )
ln ln ln
a
t
P t
k e
t
= +

'( )
ln ln
20
P t a
k t
t
= +
(b)




From the graph, ln 3.18 k ~ k 24 ~

3.128 2.978
20 1 4
a
~

1 a =

t 1 2 3 4
'( ) P t
22.83 43.43 61.97 78.60
'( )
ln
P t
t

3.128 3.087 3.028 2.978
HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
15

11. (c) (i)
20
( )
a
t
dP t
kte
dt
=

2
20 20 20
2
( )
1
20 20
a a a
t t t
d P t a a
k te e ke t
dt
| |
| |
= + = +
| |
\ .
\ .


1 2
20
2
( ) 1
24 1
20
t
d P t
e t
dt

| |
= +
|
\ .

Set
2
2
( )
0
d P t
dt
=
1
1 0
20
t
| |
+ =
|
\ .
20 t =
t 0 20 t s < 20 t = 20 t >
2
2
( ) d P t
dt
+ 0 -
The rate of change of the population size of the insect is the greatest if t = 20
(ii)
1 1 1
20 20 20
1
20
t t t
d
te te e
dt

| |

= +
|
\ .


1 1 1
20 20 20
1
20
t t t
te te dt e dt

= +
} }


1 1 1
20 20 20
1
20
240
240 24
t t t
te te dt e

= +
}


1 1
20 20
240 '( ) 4800
t t
te P t dt e

=
}


1 1
20 20
( ) 240 4800
t t
P t te e C

= +
Consider (0) 30 P = , 30 4800 C = + 4830 C =
Hence,
1 1
20 20
( ) 240 4800 4830
t t
P t te e

= +
(iii) For very long time,
1 1
20 20
lim ( ) 240lim 4800lim 4830
t t
t t t
P t te e


= +
240(0) 4800(0) 4830
4830
= +
=





HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
16

12. (a) mean = 3.21
(b) (i) proportion = 0.57
(ii) 95% confidence interval
=
(0.57)(1 0.57) (0.57)(1 0.57)
0.57 1.96 , 0.57 1.96
100 100
| |

+
|
|
\ .

( ) 0.4730, 0.6670 =
(c) (i) Let ~ (3.21) X Po be the number of days such that there are more than 3 visits
on that day
P (crowded) ( 3) P X = >
2 3
3.21
1 ( 0) ( 1) ( 2) ( 3)
3.21 3.21
1 1 3.21
2 3!
0.39970529 0.3997
P X P X P X P X
e

= = = = =
| |
= + + +
|
\ .
= ~

(ii) Let ~ (5, 0.399705729) Y B be the number of crowded days in 5 days,
P ( 2 Y > ) 1 ( 0) ( 1) P Y P Y = = =
5 5 4
1
1 (1 0.399705729) (1 0.399705729) (0.399705729)
0.662531312
C =
=

Let C be the event of crowded,
P (crowded on alternate days in the week | 2 Y > )
=
( ' ' ) ( ' ' ')
( 2)
P C C C C C P C C C C C
P Y
+
>

=
2 3 3 2
(1 0.39970529) (0.39970529) (1 0.39970529) (0.39970529)
0.662531312
+

=
2 2
(1 0.39970529) (0.39970529)
0.662531312


=0.086896526 0.0869 ~


HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
17

13. (a) Let
2
~ (6.6,1.2 ) X N be the waiting time (in unit of minutes) at the regular counter.
6 6.6
( 6) ( 0.5) 0.5 0.1915 0.6915
1.2
P X P Z P Z
| |
> = > = > = + =
|
\ .

(b) (i) Let ~ (12, 0.6915) M B be the number of customers (out of 12 customers) having
a waiting time of more than 6 minutes
( 10) ( 11) ( 12) P M P M P M > = = + =
12 11 1 12 12 0
11 12
(0.6915) (1 0.6915) (0.6915) (1 0.6915) C C = +
12 11 1 12 12 0
11 12
(0.6915) (0.6915) (0.6915) (0.6915) C C = +
0.075949454 0.0759 = ~
(ii) Let
2
1.2
~ 6.6,
12
X N
| |
|
\ .
be the average waiting time (in unit of minutes) of the
12 customers at the regular counter.
( )
6 6.6
6 ( 1.732)
1.2
12
P X P Z P Z p
| |
|

> = > = > = |


|
|
\ .

0.4591 0.4582 0.4582
1.74 1.73 1.732 1.73
p
=


0.45838 p =
Hence the required probability is 0.4584







HKDSE Practice Paper 2012 Mathematics (Module 1)
18

13. (c) (i) Let
2
~ ( , 0.8 ) Y N be the waiting time (in unit of minutes) at the express
counter.
( ) 0.2119 P X k < =
6.6
0.2119
1.2
k
P Z
| |
< =
|
\ .


6.6
0.8
1.2
k
=
5.64 k =

5.64
( ) ( 5.64) 0.0359
0.8
P Y k P Y P Z
| |
> = > = > =
|
\ .

5.64
1.8
0.8

=
4.2 =
(ii)
4.2 6.6
( 4.2) ( 2) 0.5 0.4772 0.9772
1.2
P X P Z P Z
| |
> = > = > = + =
|
\ .

Required probability
| | | |
2 2
2(0.88) ( 4.2)(0.12) ( 4.2)
(0.88) ( 4.2) 2 (0.88)( 4.2)(0.12) ( 4.2) (0.12) ( 4.2)
P X P Y
P X P X P Y P Y
> >
=
> + > > + >
=
( )( )
( )
2
2(0.88)(0.12) 0.9772 0.5
0.88 0.9772 0.12 0.5 +

0.121936057
0.1219
=
~


End of Solution

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