Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................... 3
Aerospace & Defence ........................................................................................................ 4
Automobiles & Parts .......................................................................................................... 4
Banks ............................................................................................................................... 4
Beverages ........................................................................................................................ 4
Chemicals ......................................................................................................................... 4
Construction & Building Materials ....................................................................................... 5
Electronics & Electrical Equipment ...................................................................................... 5
Engineering & Machinery ................................................................................................... 5
Food & Drug Stores ........................................................................................................... 5
Food Producers & Processors ............................................................................................. 6
General Retail ................................................................................................................... 6
Health .............................................................................................................................. 6
Household Goods & Textiles .............................................................................................. 6
Information Technology & Hardware .................................................................................. 6
Insurance ......................................................................................................................... 7
Leisure & Hotels................................................................................................................ 7
Life Assurance .................................................................................................................. 7
Media & Entertainment ...................................................................................................... 7
Mining .............................................................................................................................. 8
Oil & Gas .......................................................................................................................... 8
Personal Care & Household Products .................................................................................. 8
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology ....................................................................................... 8
Software & Computer Services ........................................................................................... 9
Speciality & Other Finance ................................................................................................. 9
Support Services ............................................................................................................. 10
Telecommunication Services ............................................................................................ 10
Transport ....................................................................................................................... 11
Utilities ........................................................................................................................... 11
DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................................... 12
RISK WARNING .............................................................................................................. 13
Page 2 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will
identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and
information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically,
before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that
influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been
established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading
indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as
well as some 74% accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks
analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
However, like all trading and investment systems active position monitoring is critical for
maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommend that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not
separate from, a subscribers existing trading system as well discussing investment options
with their chosen financial advisers.
Page 3 of 13
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
Price
271.8
316
215.1
375.4
804.5
997.5
1610
548.75
12M Lo
248.1
316
165.9
305
545.04
869.5
1305
243.5
12M Hi
340.8
677
239.5
413.5
859
1250
1780
576.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Beta
0.649
0.515
0.909
1.335
1.100
0.721
0.602
0.795
Price
182.5
312.2
59.75
14
12M Lo
157
268.6
47
6.8
12M Hi
245
425.4
72.75
19.71
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.979
1.415
1.341
1.131
Price
176.1
509.6
25.95
19.99
1286.5
12M Lo
138.85
463.5
21.84
17.34
1169.5
12M Hi
277.45
639.5
53.13
42.6
1672
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Beta
1.860
1.139
1.766
1.296
1.704
Price
1120
1495.5
2419.5
12M Lo
1031
1112
1979
12M Hi
1395
1614.5
2660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.418
0.545
0.984
Price
2094
199
2082
1266
192.5
172.5
12M Lo
1597
107.5
1523
1025
148
109
12M Hi
2282
208.1
2408
1590
253
186.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Beta
1.082
1.071
1.469
1.221
1.288
1.011
Banks
Stock
BARC LAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SC TL.GP.
STANDARD C HARTERED
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Chemicals
Stock
C RODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VIC TREX
YULE C ATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
Page 4 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Price
259.8
117.1
692
1186
423
259.9
50
201
597.5
413
1154
52
85.25
642
550
115.1
89.5
41.21
912.5
2128
12M Lo
214.6
67.5
540.5
1025
326.5
259.9
35.5
180
383.75
239.25
1095
38
83.25
510
374
103.5
76.95
28.71
715
1404
12M Hi
326.7
151.5
859.5
1414
518.5
391.4
92.75
247.5
653
535
1489
76.75
120
725
706.5
135.3
153.5
52.75
1125
2558
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.844
1.446
1.018
0.680
1.074
1.092
0.807
0.564
1.052
1.319
1.039
1.106
1.351
0.887
1.104
0.977
1.591
1.496
1.894
1.439
Price
958.5
545
130
211
185.4
1110
1407
1618
0.14
162
214
12M Lo
643.5
434.3
86.75
180.9
128.5
714
800
1039
0.14
120.5
212
12M Hi
1095
701.5
149.5
333.9
222
1285
1886
1902
0.24
208
295
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.766
1.178
1.336
1.459
2.159
0.985
1.288
1.421
0.634
1.592
1.133
Price
67.75
358.7
292.5
645.5
380
373.1
322.5
858.5
7.12
270.8
1983
197.4
180
1982
645
1466
12M Lo
62.5
225.6
252.5
395.8
280
306.3
235
636.5
7.12
224
1501
135.6
150
1649
488
1375
12M Hi
121
437.1
358
747.5
483.7
429.6
393.5
1119
11.5
360
2260
213
250
2334
690
2236
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.325
1.583
0.986
2.282
1.410
0.760
1.410
1.407
0.855
1.768
0.986
1.757
1.057
0.850
1.515
1.383
Price
467
271.2
292.7
313.7
22.38
12M Lo
445
268.5
263.5
310.45
9.5
12M Hi
558
328
345.6
419.5
67.88
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.516
0.453
0.637
0.735
0.766
Page 5 of 13
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
Price
1173
818.5
309.5
299.9
108.5
656.5
2024
12M Lo
977
588.5
290.4
232
32.9
544.5
1892
12M Hi
1242
841
401.2
332.2
337.2
720.5
2189
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.595
0.604
0.934
0.339
1.401
0.622
0.580
Price
21.13
235.9
1373
617.5
13.8
3.33
27.25
274
11.88
750
48.5
271.2
337
42
163.5
2899
840
33
12M Lo
16
222.4
1092
375
9.36
2.2
27.25
269.5
5.2
570
46.76
217
301.8
26
127.3
2153
633
21.5
12M Hi
24
293.7
1600
741
19.91
8.7
103
405.9
26.5
1030
151.1
313.8
399.9
51
446.2
3060
928.5
68.63
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.709
0.490
1.362
1.047
1.454
0.969
0.927
0.647
0.860
0.474
1.285
0.976
0.737
1.057
0.557
0.779
0.557
1.330
Price
625
46
580
12M Lo
498
35.25
521
12M Hi
668
57.75
694
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Beta
0.394
0.749
0.362
Price
44.25
580
272.25
88.5
12M Lo
21.75
405
233.25
88.5
12M Hi
44.5
580
310
145
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.479
0.382
0.925
0.654
12M Lo
464
154.1
14.5
296.9
41
105.8
96
12M Hi
645
375.1
35
717
92
174
243
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.769
1.194
0.659
0.962
1.168
1.000
1.063
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
C ARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENC H C ONNEC TN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELEC TRIC ALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENC ER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERC ARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Health
Stock
C ONSORT MEDIC AL
C ORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
Page 6 of 13
Price
470
202.4
23.5
531.5
55
150.6
184.75
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
C ATLIN GROUP
HISC OX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANC E GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
Price
1090
320.4
134.9
410.1
378.8
666
98.7
377
12M Lo
787
270.6
109.6
336
340.5
576
98.45
285
12M Hi
1748
426.4
151.8
449
424.7
764.5
138.1
379.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.519
0.483
0.515
0.304
0.488
0.321
0.432
0.497
Price
1969
63.5
166.5
705
475.9
161.5
1395
460
231
124.5
8
122
289.1
377
1786
264.9
98.3
12M Lo
1742
26.5
136.7
621
410
114
955
371.2
215.6
100.6
8
109.5
254.9
371.3
1409
183.3
84.6
12M Hi
2575
82.5
239.2
752
527.5
181.4
1532
526.5
336.4
174
14.99
153.7
309.7
454.2
2006
281.7
110.3
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.075
1.717
0.953
0.441
0.867
0.992
1.314
1.399
1.023
1.265
1.298
0.996
0.856
0.729
1.017
0.945
1.257
Price
264.9
162
108.6
139.3
665.5
304.4
12M Lo
264.9
161.75
89.8
98.47
509
294
12M Hi
446.3
255
135
165.31
797.5
376
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.259
0.590
1.671
1.658
1.719
0.816
Price
158
106.5
685.5
34.75
403.5
695.5
383.9
205
78.85
6.08
1137
36.5
305
28.38
107
70.25
26.25
527.5
94
767
3.22
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.5
30.5
343.4
522.5
313.9
157.7
51.65
4.11
1038
36.5
198.5
26.21
76.25
67.5
26.25
416
78.5
578
3.03
12M Hi
187.4
133
850
56.25
501
828
451
248.6
89.9
7.9
1255
67
357.5
38.04
146
102.25
54.25
641.5
124.75
880
11
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.315
0.513
0.604
1.044
1.086
1.058
1.519
1.414
1.517
1.464
0.664
0.853
0.335
0.505
0.812
1.320
1.405
1.297
0.863
1.294
1.140
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
C HESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLAC E
Page 7 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERIC AN
ANGLO PAC IFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURC ES
RIO TINTO
UK C OAL
VEDANTA RESOURC ES
XSTRATA
Price
2019
243.8
1035
1704.5
778
4894
2788
12.5
958.5
914.7
12M Lo
2019
237.9
900.5
1667
778
4580
2712.5
12.5
928
764
12M Hi
3181
340
1491
2521.5
1600
7565
4595
47
2169
1425.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.748
0.944
1.378
1.401
1.913
0.335
1.420
0.928
2.091
1.773
Price
1245.5
391.95
286
9.15
724
115.75
106
328.1
1982
2044
265.1
1336
685.5
12M Lo
1144
363.2
286
9
530
113.25
95.25
310
1883.5
1890.5
254.9
945.5
469.9
12M Hi
1547
504.6
501.41
14.25
968
295
245
485
2402
2489
397.5
1601
798
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.703
1.061
1.352
0.853
1.303
1.357
1.156
1.363
0.911
0.918
0.468
1.066
1.349
Price
117
328.9
3390
12M Lo
107.06
285
3100
12M Hi
148.71
387.9
3660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.873
0.739
0.333
Price
2.83
2621.5
359.5
461.5
1403.5
3.55
6.63
1915
68.5
23.38
12M Lo
2.73
2543.5
236.8
392.5
1205
2.88
6.4
1818
31
18.75
12M Hi
5.35
3189.5
387.7
524.84
1497
7.2
9.5
2300
87
49
ST Rating
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.963
0.457
0.713
0.300
0.482
0.609
0.916
0.624
0.707
0.817
Page 8 of 13
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
Price
20
111
1469
379.4
245
21.25
64.7
435.9
349
203
72
1449
249.3
12M Lo
20
57.75
1298
324.7
225
16.75
58.95
242.9
214.9
154.75
41.5
1444
231.7
12M Hi
27
129.75
1799
490
503.5
23
142.2
476.7
420.2
262.75
156.63
2109
312.4
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.717
0.839
1.475
1.095
1.109
0.922
1.357
0.741
1.323
0.881
0.476
0.822
0.649
Price
241.1
147.8
9300
276
144
693
70.6
1.18
92.85
338.4
227.7
310.4
992
75.3
1190
1174
975
12M Lo
167.8
113.7
8800
240
115.63
590
56.05
1.18
92.85
311.6
197.9
310.4
756.5
75.3
977
1174
970
12M Hi
283.8
177
10950
350
160
812
81.7
4.83
163.7
498.8
345
522
1093
259.6
1351
1665
1393
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.071
0.723
0.871
0.953
0.703
0.839
0.911
0.671
1.414
1.069
1.652
1.553
1.168
1.275
0.738
1.308
1.302
Page 9 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
21 May 2012
Support Services
Stock
AC AL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABC OC K INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
C APITA
C OMMUNISIS
C OMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELEC TROC OMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVIC E GROUP
MANAGEMENT C NSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MIC HAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUC HEL GROUP
OFFIC E2OFFIC E
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RIC ARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERC O GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP
Price
180
2034
950
215
827
337.5
990
239.5
606.5
29
616
470.5
1002
831
450
206.8
455.2
271
74.65
226.8
272.5
2456
28.5
31.75
584.5
347.9
271.7
5.38
136.5
629.5
180.5
89.35
79.25
399
327
227.75
374.3
214.7
513.5
84.95
25
74
39.5
244.5
50.5
245.75
12M Lo
166.25
1522
740.5
99.4
570.5
275
676.5
192.25
606.5
23.75
512.5
402.7
730
727
284
182.2
296.3
219.9
58.85
214.7
270.1
1744
25.25
27.75
445.5
323
208
4.75
124.75
455.75
144.5
64
58.2
299.8
325
158.25
300.5
156.6
458
82.8
18.5
38.5
36.25
191
47
160
12M Hi
329.75
2316
1187
271.1
868.5
392.5
1063
318.5
767
39.75
671
568
1024
866
460.5
294.9
484.5
292.1
113.5
531.5
341.25
2605
36
45.5
652
552.5
296.7
75.25
166.5
670
301
117.5
98.7
438
410
326
393.2
253
597.5
130.9
34
79.75
52.88
269
700
345
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Beta
0.936
1.155
1.005
1.523
0.546
0.729
0.544
0.349
0.439
0.767
0.708
1.014
#NA
0.192
1.005
1.014
1.112
0.573
0.973
0.656
1.346
0.862
1.136
0.679
1.461
1.350
0.607
0.916
0.397
0.711
1.179
1.398
1.294
0.873
0.818
1.245
0.835
1.581
0.567
1.460
1.310
0.606
0.873
0.901
0.763
0.948
Price
204
29
390.8
68.6
700
164.3
12M Lo
161
29
389.3
62.25
476
155.05
12M Hi
232.1
48.25
610.5
84
802
182.7
ST Rating
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.921
0.644
0.529
1.271
0.040
0.623
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
C ABLE & WIRELESS C OMMS.
INMARSAT
KC OM GROUP
TELEC OM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
Page 10 of 13
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
C LARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGEC OAC H GROUP
WINC ANTON
Price
189.6
340
1315
487.7
200.8
535
1131
196.3
182.1
236
42.5
12M Lo
156
282
1015
302.54
190
440.5
1094
196.3
182.1
219.96
42.25
12M Hi
222.4
476.5
1390
534
370.2
615
1598
265.9
333.9
287.4
123.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.409
0.943
0.814
0.766
1.084
0.827
0.944
1.290
1.379
0.875
0.854
Price
315
666.5
718
1655
622.5
12M Lo
278.8
569
623.5
1375
560
12M Hi
330.3
682.5
751
1720
642
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.489
0.551
0.588
0.458
0.576
Utilities
Stock
C ENTRIC A
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
Page 11 of 13
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
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Intellisys
21 May 2012
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