Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2009FRMPracticeExams
TableofContents
2009FRMLevelIPracticeExamCandidateAnswerSheet.............................................3 2009FRMLevelIPracticeExamQuestions ...................................................................5 2009FRMLevelIPracticeExamAnswerKey...............................................................19 2009FRMLevelIPracticeExamAnswers&Explanations...........................................21 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamICandidateAnswerSheet ..........................47 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIQuestions..................................................49 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIAnswerKey ...............................................65 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIAnswers&Explanations ...........................67 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIICandidateAnswerSheet .........................99 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIIQuestions...............................................101 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIIAnswerKey ............................................117 2009FRMFullExamFRMPracticeExamIIAnswers&Explanations ........................119
Introduction
TheFRMexamisapracticeorientedexamination.Itsquestionsarederivedfromacombination oftheory,assetforthinthecorereadings,andrealworldworkexperience.Candidatesare expectedtounderstandriskmanagementconceptsandapproachesandhowtheywouldapply toariskmanagersdaytodayactivities. The FRM examination is also a comprehensive examination, testing a risk professional on a numberofriskmanagementconceptsandapproaches.Itisveryrarethatariskmanagerwillbe facedwithanissuethatcanimmediatelybeslottedintoonecategory.Intherealworld,arisk manager must be able to identify any number of riskrelated issues and be able to deal with themeffectively. The2009FRMPracticeExamshavebeendevelopedtoaidcandidatesintheirpreparationfor the FRM Examination in November 2009. These practice exams are based on a sample of questionsfromthe2007FRMExaminationandarerepresentativeofthequestionsthatwillbe in the 2009 FRM Examination. Wherever necessary and possible, questions, answers and referenceshavebeenupdatedtobetterreflectthetopicsandcorereadingslistedinthe2009 FRMExaminationStudyGuide. The2009FRMLevelIPracticeExamandtheFRMFullExamPracticeExamsIandIIcontain40 and 50 multiplechoice questions, respectively. Note that the 2009 FRM Level I and Full Examination will consist of a morning and afternoon session containing 50 and 70 multiple choice questions, respectively. The practice exams were designed to be shorter to allow candidatestocalibratetheirpreparednesswithoutbeingoverwhelming.
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2009FRMPracticeExams
The2009FRMPracticeExamsdonotnecessarilycoveralltopicstobetestedinthe2009FRM Examination. For a complete list of topics and core readings, candidates should refer to the 2009 FRM Examination Study Guide. Core readings were selected by the FRM Committee to assistcandidatesintheirreviewofthesubjectscoveredbytheexam.QuestionsfortheFRM examination are derived from the core readings. It is strongly suggested that candidates reviewthesereadingsindepthpriortosittingfortheexam.
SuggestedUseofPracticeExams
Tomaximizetheeffectivenessofthepracticeexams,candidatesareencouragedtofollow theserecommendations: Planadateandtimetotakeeachpracticeexam.Setdatesappropriatelytogive sufficientstudy/reviewtimebetweeneachpracticeexamandpriortotheactualexam. Simulatethetestenvironmentascloselyaspossible. o Takeeachpracticeexaminaquietplace. o Haveonlythepracticeexam,candidateanswersheet,calculator,andwriting instruments(pencils,erasers)available. o Minimizepossibledistractionsfromotherpeople,cellphonesandstudy material. o Allocate90minutesforeachpracticeexamandsetanalarmtoalertyouwhen 90minuteshavepassed.Completeeachexambutnotethequestionsanswered afterthe90minutemark. o FollowtheFRMcalculatorpolicy.YoumayonlyuseaTexasInstrumentsBAII Plus(includingtheBAIIPlusProfessional)calculatororaHewlettPackard12C (includingtheHP12CPlatinum)calculator. Aftercompletingeachpracticeexam, o Calculateyourscorebycomparingyouranswersheetwiththepracticeexam answerkey.Onlyincludequestionscompletedinthefirst90minutes. o UsethepracticeexamAnswers&Explanationstobetterunderstandcorrectand incorrectanswersandtoidentifytopicsthatrequireadditionalreview.Consult referencedcorereadingstoprepareforexam. o Pass/failstatusfortheactualexamisbasedonthedistributionofscoresfromall candidates,souseyourscoresonlytogaugeyourownprogressand preparedness.
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2009FRMLevelIPracticeExam CandidateAnswerSheet
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
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2009FRMLevelIPracticeExam Questions
1. Tohedgeagainstfuture,unanticipated,andsignificantincreasesinborrowingrates,whichofthe followingalternativesoffersthegreatestflexibilityfortheborrower?
a. b. c. d.
3. ConsidertwostocksAandB.Assumetheirannualreturnsarejointlynormallydistributed,the marginaldistributionofeachstockhasmean2%andstandarddeviation10%,andthecorrelationis 0.9.WhatistheexpectedannualreturnofstockAiftheannualreturnofstockBis3%?
a. b. c. d.
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4. InpricingaderivativeusingtheMonteCarlomethod,weneedtosimulateareasonablenumberof pathsforthepriceoftheunderlyingasset.Supposeweuseasimplemodelforthereturnofthe underlyingasset:
y(t)=drift*t+vol*t*e(t),ande(t)isdistributed~N(0,1),
a. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usetheinversenormalfunction togete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedureuntilyouget thefulldesiredpath. b. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usethecumulativenormal functiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedure untilyougetthefulldesiredpath. c. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usetheinverse cumulativenormalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthe sameprocedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath. d. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usethecumulative normalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesame procedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath.
5. Ariskmanagerestimatesthedailyvariance(ht)usingaGARCHmodelondailyreturns(rt):
ht = 0 + 1r2t-1 + ht-1
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6. AsinglestockhasapriceofUSD10andacurrentdailyvolatilityof2%.Usingthedeltanormal method,theVaRatthe95%confidencelevelofalongatthemoneycallonthisstockovera1day holdingperiodisapproximately:
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
10. Ifthegoldleaserateishigherthantheriskfreerate,whatisthemarketstructureoftheforward marketforgold?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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14. ItisJune2ndandafundmanagerwithUSD10millioninvestedingovernmentbondsisconcerned thatinterestrateswillbehighlyvolatileoverthenextthreemonths.Themanagerdecidestouse theSeptemberTreasurybondfuturescontracttohedgethevalueoftheportfolio.Thecurrent futurespriceis95.0625.EachcontractisforthedeliveryofUSD100,000facevalueofbonds.The durationofthemanagersbondportfoliointhreemonthswillbe7.8years.Thecheapesttodeliver bondintheTreasurybondfuturescontractisexpectedtohaveadurationof8.4yearsatmaturityof thecontract.AtthematurityoftheTreasurybondfuturescontract,thedurationoftheunderlying benchmarkTreasurybondis9years.Whatpositionshouldthefundmanagerundertaketomitigate hisinterestrateriskexposure? a. Short94contracts b. Short98contracts c. Short105contracts d. Short113contracts
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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17. ConsiderastockpriceSthatfollowsageometricBrownianmotiondS = S dt + S dz, with strictlypositiveand afixedvalue.Whichofthefollowingstatementsistrue?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
19. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingHypothesisTestingisincorrect?
a. b. c. d.
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21. ThecurrentvalueoftheS&P500indexis1457,andeachS&PfuturescontractisfordeliveryofUSD 250timestheindex.AlongonlyequityportfoliowithmarketvalueofUSD300,100,000hasbetaof 1.1.Toreducetheportfoliobetato0.75,howmanyS&Pfuturescontractshouldyousell?
a. b. c. d.
Thefollowinginformationshouldbeusedforthenexttwoquestions. OnJanuary1,ariskmanagerobservesthatthe1yearcontinuouslycompoundedinterestrateis5% andstoragecostsofacommodityproductAisUSD0.05perquarter(payableateachquarterend). HefurtherobservesthefollowingforwardpricesforproductA: March 5.35 June 5.90 September 5.30 December 5.22
22. GiventhefollowingexplanationofsupplyanddemandforcommodityproductAhowwouldyou bestdescribeitsforwardpricecurvefromJunetoDecember? Marketdescription Explanation a. Backwardation ExcessdemandforAinearlysummer b. Backwardation Supplyisexpectedtodeclineaftersummer c. Contango ExcessdemandforAinearlysummer d. Contango Supplyisexpectedtodeclineaftersummer
a. b. c. d.
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24. AninvestorsellsaJune2008callofABCLimitedwithastrikepriceofUSD45forUSD3andbuysa June2008callofABCLimitedwithastrikepriceofUSD40forUSD5.Whatisthenameofthis strategyandthemaximumprofitandlosstheinvestorcouldincur? a. BearSpread,MaximumLossUSD2,MaximumProfitUSD3 b. BullSpread,MaximumLossUnlimited,MaximumProfitUSD3 c. BearSpread,MaximumLossUSD2,MaximumProfitUnlimited d. BullSpread,MaximumLossUSD2,MaximumProfitUSD3
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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27. Whichofthefollowingtrade(s)containbasisrisk?
Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsNov07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts II. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandlong2,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilat themoneyput III. Long1,000lotsNov07BrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07ICEBrentOil contracts IV. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts
I.
a. b. c. d.
28. Accordingtoputcallparity,buyingaputoptiononastockisequivalentto:
a. b. c. d.
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30. ResearchandmodelprojectionsindicatethataspecificeventislikelytomovetheCHFagainstthe USD.Whilethedirectionofthemoveishighlyuncertain,itishighlylikelythatmagnitudeofthe movewillbesignificant.Basedonthisinformation,whichofthefollowingstrategieswouldprovide thelargesteconomicbenefit?
a. b. c. d.
32. Whichofthefollowingstrategiescreatesacalendarspread? a. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice b. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice c. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyashortermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice d. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandsellalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice
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33. Whichofthefollowingunderlyingmacroeconomicconditionswouldleaveanemergingmarket mostvulnerabletothecontagioneffectsofacurrencycrisis?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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36. TheinformationratiooftheSteroleUSFundfor2006againsttheS&P500,itsbenchmarkindex,is1. Forthesametimeperiod,thefundsSharperatiois2,thefundhasatrackingerrorof7%against theS&P500,andthestandarddeviationoffundreturnsis5%.TheriskfreerateintheUSis4%. CalculatethereturnfortheS&P500duringthetimeperiod.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
Portfolioparameter Value Beta 1.25 Alpha 0.26 Coefficientofdetermination 0.66 Standarddeviationoferror 2.42
a. b. c. d.
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TheauditcommitteeoftheBoardshouldfirstdefineitsobjectivestoensurethatallthe firmsbusinessunitsoperationalriskprogramsareprovidingrequiredinformation II. Theauditingdepartmentistobechargedwithdevelopinganoperationalriskprogramfor eachbusinessunit,withthebusinessunitbeingmadeclearlyawarethattheywillbeheld accountableforitsimplementation III. Thatyourdepartmentimmediatelyassesstheoperationalriskforeachbusinessunitusing independentdatafeedstoensuretheinformationfedintotheassessmentcannotbe manipulated IV. Aseniormanagerfromeachprofitcenteristobechargedwithdevelopingtheirown operationalriskselfassessmentprogrambasedonguidelinesyouprovide.
I.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
ENDOF2009FRMLevelIPRACTICEEXAM
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2009FRMLevelIPracticeExam AnswerKey
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
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2009FRMLevelIPracticeExam Answers&Explanations
1. Tohedgeagainstfuture,unanticipated,andsignificantincreasesinborrowingrates,whichofthe followingalternativesoffersthegreatestflexibilityfortheborrower?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D
Reference:Hull,Chapter7.
2. AninvestmentbankusestheExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(EWMA)techniquewith lambdaof0.9tomodelthedailyvolatilityofasecurity.Thecurrentestimateofthedailyvolatilityis 1.5%.TheclosingpriceofthesecurityisUSD20yesterdayandUSD18today.Usingcontinuously compoundedreturns,whatistheupdatedestimateofthevolatility?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B Thecurrentreturnofthesecurityis=ln(18/20)=10.536%.
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UsinganEWMAmodel,theupdatedvolatilityisgivenas: V(t) ={lambda*((V[t1]^2)+(1lambda)*(currentreturn^2)}^0.5 ={0.9 *((0.015^2)+(10.9)*(0.10536^2)}^0.5 =3.62% INCORRECT:AForgetstosquarethevolatilityterms INCORRECT:CForgetstosquarethevolatilitytermsandtotakethesquarerootoftheresulting variance,thenmiscalculatesconversiontopercentage. INCORRECT:DForgetstotakethesquarerootofthevariance,thenmiscalculatesconversionto percentage. Reference:Hull,Chapter21.
3. ConsidertwostocksAandB.Assumetheirannualreturnsarejointlynormallydistributed,the marginaldistributionofeachstockhasmean2%andstandarddeviation10%,andthecorrelationis 0.9.WhatistheexpectedannualreturnofstockAiftheannualreturnofstockBis3%? a. 2.9% b. 2% c. 1.1% d. 4.7%
4. InpricingaderivativeusingtheMonteCarlomethod,weneedtosimulateareasonablenumberof pathsforthepriceoftheunderlyingasset.Supposeweuseasimplemodelforthereturnofthe underlyingasset: y(t)=drift*t+vol*t*e(t),ande(t)isdistributed~N(0,1), wheredriftandvolareknownparametersand t isthestepsize.
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Thegenerationofeachpathrequiresanumberofsteps.Whichofthefollowingdescribesthe correctprocedure?
a. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usetheinversenormalfunction togete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedureuntilyouget thefulldesiredpath. b. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usethecumulativenormal functiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedure untilyougetthefulldesiredpath. c. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usetheinverse cumulativenormalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthe sameprocedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath. d. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usethecumulative normalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesame procedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath.
5. Ariskmanagerestimatesthedailyvariance(ht)usingaGARCHmodelondailyreturns(rt): ht=0+1r2t1+ht1 Assumethemodelparametervaluesare0 =0.005,1=0.04,=0.94.Thelongrunannualized volatilityisapproximately: a. 25.00% b. 13.54% c. 72.72% d. 7.94%
CORRECT:D
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Thelongrunvarianceis0.005/(10.040.94)=0.005/0.02=0.25.Thedailyvolisthusthesquare root,or0.5%andannualvol7.935%. INCORRECT:AThedailyvarianceisindeed0.25%,andthedailyvolatility0.5%butthisneedstobe annualized. INCORRECT:BMiscalculatesvarianceassqrt(0.04/(10.940.005))*15.87=13.54% INCORRECT:CMiscalculatesvarianceas0.04/(10.940.005)=72.72% Reference:Hull,Chapter21.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D ThisquestionrequirescandidatestoknowtheformulaforthedeltanormalVaRapproximation,and alsotoknowthatthedeltaofanatthemoneycallis0.5. VaR =| | 1.645 S = 0.5 1.645 0.02 10 = 0.1645 . INCORRECT:AWegetAbyusing2.326insteadof1.645. INCORRECT:BWegetBifweuse2insteadof2%forthevolatility. INCORRECT:CWegetCifweuseadeltaof1. Reference:Allenetal,Chapter3,8689
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a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C Theprice/yieldlinewithyieldonthexaxisandpriceontheyaxisisconvextotheorigin.The durationatanyyieldlevelisthetangenttothatcurve.Therefore,exceptattheexactpointof tangency,durationwillalwaysunderestimatethepricechange. INCORRECT:ADurationwillalwaysunderestimatepricechangefornegativeyieldshocks INCORRECT:BFullrepricingwillnevergenerateasmallerpositivepricechangethanduration becausedurationrepresentsthepointoftangency INCORRECT:DFullrepricingwillgenerateahigherpriceforalargenegativeyieldchangethanwill durationplusconvexity Reference:Allen,Boudoukh,Saunders,Chapter3
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9. Considerapositionina5yearreceivefixedswapthatmakesannualpaymentsonaUSD100million notional.Thefloatingleghasjustbeenreset.Thetermstructureisflatat5%,theMacaulay durationofa5yearparbondis4.5years,andtheannualvolatilityofyieldchangesis100bp.Your bestestimateoftheswapsVaRwith95%confidenceoverthenextmonthis a. USD1.6million b. USD2.0million c. USD5.5million d. USD7.1million CORRECT:A Becausethefloatingrateleghasjustbeenreset,itsdurationis1.Netdurationis4.51=3.5year,or modifieddurationof3.5/1.05=3.33.The95%VaRofmonthlychangesinyieldsis1.65*1%/12= 0.48%.Multiplying,thisgivesUSD100*0.48%*3.33=USD1.588 INCORRECT:BThisusesanetdurationof4.5yearsandignoresthedurationofthefloatingrate leg. INCORRECT:CThisistheannualVaR,butshouldbetranslatedtoamonthlyhorizon. INCORRECT:DThisistheannualVaRcomputedbyignoringthedurationofthefloatingrateleg. Reference:Allenetal. 10. Ifthegoldleaserateishigherthantheriskfreerate,whatisthemarketstructureoftheforward marketforgold?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
11. Thepriceofa3yearzerocoupongovernmentbondis85.16.Thepriceofasimilar4yearbondis 79.81.Whatistheoneyearimpliedforwardratefromyear3toyear4?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D
1 + Forward rate = Price of three bond 85.16 = = 1.067034 Price of four year bond 79.81
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A
V = - D mod y V + 0.5 Convexity y 2 V V = - 8 0.0025 100M + 0.5 150 (0.0025) 2 100M V = - 2M + 46,875 V = - 1,953,125
INCORRECT:BOmits0.5fromthesecondterm INCORRECT:CSubtractsthesecondterm INCORRECT:DMakesbothmistakes Reference:Tuckman
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13. Afirmisgoingtobuy10,000barrelsofWestTexasCrudeOil.Itplanstohedgethepurchaseusing theBrentCrudefuturescontract.Thecorrelationbetweenthespotandfuturespricesis0.72.The volatilityofthespotpriceis0.35peryear.ThevolatilityoftheBrentCrudefuturespriceis0.27per year.Whatisthehedgeratioforthefirm?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B
0.35 N = 0.72 0.27 N= 0.9333
14. ItisJune2ndandafundmanagerwithUSD10millioninvestedingovernmentbondsisconcerned thatinterestrateswillbehighlyvolatileoverthenextthreemonths.Themanagerdecidestouse theSeptemberTreasurybondfuturescontracttohedgethevalueoftheportfolio.Thecurrent futurespriceis95.0625.EachcontractisforthedeliveryofUSD100,000facevalueofbonds.The durationofthemanagersbondportfoliointhreemonthswillbe7.8years.Thecheapesttodeliver bondintheTreasurybondfuturescontractisexpectedtohaveadurationof8.4yearsatmaturityof thecontract.AtthematurityoftheTreasurybondfuturescontract,thedurationoftheunderlying benchmarkTreasurybondis9years.Whatpositionshouldthefundmanagerundertaketomitigate hisinterestrateriskexposure?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B.
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10,000,000 7.8 N= 95,062.50 8.4
N = 97.68 or 98 contracts
a. b. c. d.
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16. SupposethatAandBarerandomvariables,eachfollowsastandardnormaldistribution,andthe covariancebetweenAandBis0.35.Whatisthevarianceof(3A+2B)?
a. b. c. d.
17. ConsiderastockpriceSthatfollowsageometricBrownianmotiondS = S dt + S dz, with strictlypositiveand afixedvalue.Whichofthefollowingstatementsistrue?
a. b. c. d.
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18. ThejointprobabilitydistributionofrandomvariablesXandYisgivenbyf(x,y)=kxyforx=1,2,3,y= 1,2,3,andkisapositiveconstant.WhatistheprobabilitythatX+Ywillexceed5?
a. b. c. d.
f ( x, y) = 1
x =1 y =1
19. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingHypothesisTestingisincorrect?
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20. Ifstockreturnsareindependentlyidenticallynormallydistributedandtheannualvolatilityis30%, thenthedailyVaRatthe99%confidencelevelofastockmarketportfolioisapproximately:
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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Thefollowinginformationshouldbeusedforthenexttwoquestions. OnJanuary1,ariskmanagerobservesthatthe1yearcontinuouslycompoundedinterestrateis5% andstoragecostsofacommodityproductAisUSD0.05perquarter(payableateachquarterend). HefurtherobservesthefollowingforwardpricesforproductA: March 5.35 June 5.90 September 5.30 December 5.22
Marketdescription Explanation Backwardation ExcessdemandforAinearlysummer Backwardation Supplyisexpectedtodeclineaftersummer Contango ExcessdemandforAinearlysummer Contango Supplyisexpectedtodeclineaftersummer CORRECT:A Aiscorrectwhenfurthertermcommodityforwardshavelowerpricethanneartermforwards,the marketissaidtobeinbackwardation.PossibleexplanationcanbeseasonalityofproductA excessdemandinearlysummercausesJuneforwardstohavehigherprice INCORRECT:BMarketdescriptioniscorrect,butexplanationisnotexpecteddeclineinsupply shouldincreasefurthertermcommodityforwardprice INCORRECT:CWrongmarketdescriptionofcontango INCORRECT:DWrongmarketdescriptionofcontango Reference:RobertLMcDonald,DerivativesMarkets,Chapter6
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C
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Byformula F0,T = S0erT + C, where F0,T = Juneforwardprice, S0 = Marchforwardprice,r=risk freeinterestrate,T=lengthofcashandcarry,C=storagecost Solving5.90=5.35er*3/12+0.05 Solutionisr=35.7% INCORRECT:A8.9=LN((5.90.05)/5.35)(forgetstoannualizethereturn) INCORRECT:B9.8=LN((5.9)/5.35)(forgetstoincludethestoragecostandtoannualizethereturn) INCORRECT:D39.1=(12/3)LN((5.9)/5.35)0.05(forgetstoincludethestoragecost) Reference:RobertLMcDonald,DerivativesMarkets,Chapter6
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D BuyingacalloptionatlowerstockpriceandsellingcalloptionathigherstrikepriceiscalledasBull Spread.BearSpreadisbuyingthecalloptionathigherpriceandsellingthecallatlowerstrikeprice. TheCostofstrategywillbeUSD3USD5=USD2 ThePayoff,whenStockpriceSTUSD40willbeUSD2(thecostofstrategy)asnoneoftheoption willbeexercised. ThePayoff,whenstockpriceST45,(asbothoptionswillbeexercise)willbeUSD5, SincethecostofstrategyisUSD3,henceprofitwillbeUSD5USD2=USD3 WhenStockpriceisUSD40<ST>USD45,Onlythecalloptionboughtbytheinvestorwouldbe exercisedhencethepayoffwillbeST40,sincethecostofstrategyisUSD3,TheNetprofitwillbe ST43,whichwouldalwaysbelowerthanUSD3. Reference:Hull.Chapter10TradingStrategiesInvolvingOptions.
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25. WhichofthefollowingproblemsareNOTinherentdisadvantagesofthehistoricalsimulation approachtoestimatingVaR?
I. Itgivestoolittleweighttomorerecentobservations II. Forlongonlyportfolios,itislikelytounderstateVaRfollowingarecentstructuralincrease involatilities III. Italwaysignoresthefattailspresentinthedistributionofreturnsonmanyfinancial assets IV. Becauseofthedeltaapproximation,itinadequatelymeasurestheriskofnonlinear instruments
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B
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Itstheresultofthiscalculation:thenotionalamountis60millionUSD.Thereforethebankwill receivetheinterestpaymentlinkedtotheLIBORrate:60millionUSD*(6,25%+100bp)=4.35 millionUSD. Thebankwillpaythefixedcouponplusthechangeinthevalueofthebond:60millionUSD*6.5%+ 60million*(99.35%101.82%)=2.418millionUSD. Hencethetotalnetamountthebankwillreceiveis:4.35millionUSD2.418millionUSD=1.932 millionUSD. Reference:Hull,Chapter7 27. Whichofthefollowingtrade(s)containbasisrisk?
I. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsNov07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts II. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandlong2,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilat themoneyput III. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07ICEBrentOil contracts IV. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts
a. b. c. d.
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28. Accordingtoputcallparity,buyingaputoptiononastockisequivalentto:
Buyingacalloptionandbuyingthestockwithfundsborrowedattheriskfreerate. Sellingacalloptionandbuyingthestockwithfundsborrowedattheriskfreerate. Buyingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate. Sellingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate. CORRECT:C Buyingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate.Putcallparity statesP=CS+XeRT INCORRECT:ABuyingacalloptioniscorrect,buttherestofthestatementisincorrect. INCORRECT:BTheentirestatementisincorrect. INCORRECT:DSellingacalloptionisincorrect,buttherestofthestatementiscorrect. Reference:Hull,Chapter10
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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30. ResearchandmodelprojectionsindicatethataspecificeventislikelytomovetheCHFagainstthe USD.Whilethedirectionofthemoveishighlyuncertain,itishighlylikelythatmagnitudeofthe movewillbesignificant.Basedonthisinformation,whichofthefollowingstrategieswouldprovide thelargesteconomicbenefit?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A Numberofcalls=200contractsx100=20,000calls.
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Numberofshares =(Numberofcalls)x(NewdeltaOlddelta) =20,000x(0.70400.5739) =+2,602shares Positivesignindicatesthatthemanagershouldpurchasenewshares. INCORRECT:BTheformulaisincorrect,i.e.olddeltaminusnewdelta INCORRECT:CThenumberofshares(insteadofnumberofcalls)isusedinthecalculation INCORRECT:DAsperexplanationinCaboveandsignerror Reference:HullChapters9and10 32. Whichofthefollowingstrategiescreatesacalendarspread?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B
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INCORRECT:ALargecurrentaccountsurplusandnonconvertiblecurrencywouldprotectthelocal currency INCORRECT:CHighforeignexchangereservesandnonconvertiblecurrencywouldprotectthelocal currency INCORRECT:DLargecurrentaccountsurplusandhighforeignexchangewouldprotectthelocal currency Reference:Saunders,Chapter15,ForeignExchangeRisk
a. b. c. d.
1 2 T1T2 2
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CORRECT:C CIscorrect,asthestrategypopularlyknownasthebullspreadwillresultinpositivepayoffwhenthe spotrises.Asinflationincreases,spotlevelsincommoditiesareexpectedtorise.Sellingacallat higherlevelwillreducethecostofthestrategy.Althoughitmaylimittheupside,butthatwouldbe inlinewiththeviewasonlyamoderateriseisexpectedinspot. INCORRECT:AIsincorrect,asthestrategypopularlyknownasastraddleistobeusedwhenthe viewisthatthevolatilityinthemarketwillrise,andthereisnodirectionalviewonthespot INCORRECT:BIsincorrect,astheaboveoptionwillbesuitablewhenthespotisexpectedtofall fromtheexistinglevels INCORRECT:DIsincorrect,asthepayoffinthiscaseissimilartoshortpositioninspotandwould makesensewhentheunderlyingisexpectedtofall Reference:Hull,Chapter10.
36. TheinformationratiooftheSteroleUSFundfor2006againsttheS&P500,itsbenchmarkindex,is1. Forthesametimeperiod,thefundsSharperatiois2,thefundhasatrackingerrorof7% against theS&P 500,andthestandarddeviationoffundreturnsis5%.TheriskfreerateintheUSis4%. CalculatethereturnfortheS&P500duringthetimeperiod. a. 3.5% b. 7% c. 11% d. 14%
CORRECT:B SharpeRatio=2 (FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/SD=2 (FundReturn4%)/5%=2 FundReturn=14% InformationRatio=1 (FundReturnS&P500Return)/TrackingError=1 (14%S&P500Return)/7%=1 S&P500Return=7% INCORRECT:AIncorrectlydividesS&P500Returnby2 INCORRECT:CThecandidatemightusetheTrackingErrorastheNumeratorinboththeRatios
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SharpeRatio=2 (FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/TrackingError=2 (FundReturn4%)/7%=2 FundReturn=18% InformationRatio=1 (FundReturnS&P500Return)/TrackingError=1 (18%S&P500Return)/7%=1 S&P500Return=11% INCORRECT:DThecandidatecanstopwiththefundreturncalculation,andendupwith14% SharpeRatio=2 (FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/SD=2 (FundReturn4%)/5%=2 FundReturn=14% Reference:AmencandLeSourd,PortfolioTheoryandPerformanceAnalysis.Chapter4
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A
Sharperatioequalsto
R p RF
(R p )
9 .3 % 3 .2 % = 0.452 13.5%
WhileSortinoratioequalsto
R p RF
L ( RP )
Trackingerrorisusedtocalculatethevalueoftheinformationratio,whichisdefinedas
R p RB
( RP RB )
, Thecalculationofinformationratioisnotrequiredinthisquestion.
0.7260.452=0.274 INCORRECT:B2.1780.452=1.727
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INCORRECT:C0.7260.0.73=0.653(0.073=(.0930.032)/0.83 INCORRECT:D0.730.452=0.378 Reference:AmencandLeSourd,PortfolioTheoryandPerformanceAnalysis.Chapter4
38. Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutthelinearregressionofthereturnofaportfoliooverthe returnofitsbenchmarkpresentedbelowarecorrect? Portfolioparameter Value Beta 1.25 Alpha 0.26 Coefficientofdetermination 0.66 Standarddeviationoferror 2.42
IIandIV IIIandIV I,IIandIII II,IIIandIV CORRECT:B Theportfolioreturnisthedependentvariableandforanestimatedportfolioreturnof12%,the95% confidenceintervalis[12%2*2.42%,12%+2*2.42%]or[7.16%,16.84%]. However,thecorrelationisthesquarerootofthecoefficientofdeterminationandisthereforeequal to0.81,and66%ofthevariationintheportfolioreturnsisexplainedbyvariationinthebenchmark return. Reference:AmencandLeSourd,PortfolioTheoryandPerformanceAnalysis.Chapter4
a. b. c. d.
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39. YourBoardofDirectorswantsacomprehensivereviewofeachbusinessunitsoperationalrisk activities.Astheheadofthecorporateoperationalriskunit,youknowthatlittlehasbeendoneto implementanoperationalriskprocessatthebusinessunitlevelandthatyouneedtoimmediately comeupwithaframework.Whichofthefollowingstatementsoffersthebeststrategy?
I. TheauditcommitteeoftheBoardshouldfirstdefineitsobjectivestoensurethatallthe firmsbusinessunitsoperationalriskprogramsareprovidingrequiredinformation II. Theauditingdepartmentistobechargedwithdevelopinganoperationalriskprogramfor eachbusinessunit,withthebusinessunitbeingmadeclearlyawarethattheywillbeheld accountableforitsimplementation III. Thatyourdepartmentimmediatelyassesstheoperationalriskforeachbusinessunit usingindependentdatafeedstoensuretheinformationfedintotheassessmentcannot bemanipulated IV. Aseniormanagerfromeachprofitcenteristobechargedwithdevelopingtheirown operationalriskselfassessmentprogrambasedonguidelinesyouprovide.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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ENDOF2009FRMLevelIPRACTICEEXAM Questions&Explanations
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamI CandidateAnswerSheet
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamI Questions
1. Giventheinformationprovidedinthetablebelow,whatistheportfolioVaR,atthe99%confidence level,ofthefollowing100millionCHFequallyweightedinvestmentportfolio?
Volatility 18% 6%
a. b. c. d.
2. YouareaskedbyyourbosstoestimatetheexposureofahedgefundtotheS&P500.Thoughthe fundclaimstomarktomarketweekly,itdoesnotdosoandmarkstomarketonceamonth.The fundalsodoesnottellinvestorsthatitsimplyholdsanETFwhichisindexedtotheS&P500.Because oftheclaimsofthehedgefund,youdecidetoestimatethemarketexposurebyregressingweekly returnsofthefundontheweeklyreturnoftheS&P500.Whichofthefollowingpropertiescorrectly describesapropertyofyourregressionestimates?
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3. ThefollowingtableshowsthecompositionoftheGARPBondFund.Whataretheportfolioduration andportfolioyieldofthefund?
GARP Bond Fund Rating Amount Duration Mn USD in years AAA Company A 600 1.5 Company B 300 4 Company C 200 2.5 AA Company D 400 4 Company E 350 0.5 A Company F 150 1.5
Total 2000
Rating valuation matrix Years 0-1 Rating AAA 6.25% AA 6.75% A 7.75% 1-2 6.75% 7.35% 8.45% 2-3 7.35% 8.05% 9.15%
a. b. c. d.
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5. ConsidertwostocksAandB.Assumetheirannualreturnsarejointlynormallydistributed,the marginaldistributionofeachstockhasmean2%andstandarddeviation10%,andthecorrelationis 0.9.WhatistheexpectedannualreturnofstockAiftheannualreturnofstockBis3%?
a. b. c. d.
6. InpricingaderivativeusingtheMonteCarlomethod,weneedtosimulateareasonablenumberof pathsforthepriceoftheunderlyingasset.Supposeweuseasimplemodelforthereturnofthe underlyingasset: y(t)=drift*t+vol*t*e(t),ande(t)isdistributed~N(0,1), wheredriftandvolareknownparametersandtisthestepsize. Thegenerationofeachpathrequiresanumberofsteps.Whichofthefollowingdescribesthe correctprocedure? a. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usetheinversenormalfunction togete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedureuntilyouget thefulldesiredpath. b. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usethecumulativenormal functiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedure untilyougetthefulldesiredpath. c. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usetheinverse cumulativenormalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthe sameprocedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath. d. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usethecumulative normalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesame procedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath.
7. SupposethatAandBarerandomvariables,eachfollowsastandardnormaldistribution,andthe covariancebetweenAandBis0.35.Whatisthevarianceof(3A+2B)?
a. b. c. d.
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8. YoudonthaveaccesstoKMVsdata.Yourbosswantsyoutotellhimyourestimateofthe probabilityofdefaultofacredit.Todoso,youusetheMertonModelbecausethecredityouare consideringhasnosystematicrisk.InMertonsModel,thedistancetodefault(DD)andthe expecteddefaultfrequency(EDF)are
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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12. ThejointprobabilitydistributionofrandomvariablesXandYisgivenbyf(x,y)=kxyforx=1,2,3,y= 1,2,3,andkisapositiveconstant.WhatistheprobabilitythatX+Ywillexceed5? a. 1/9 b. 1/4 c. 1/36 d. Cannotbedetermined
13. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingHypothesisTestingisincorrect?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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16. Aportfolioconsistsoftwozerocouponbonds,eachwithacurrentvalueofUSD10.Thefirstbond hasamodifieddurationof1yearandthesecondhasamodifieddurationof9years.Theyieldcurve isflatandallyieldsare5%.Assumeallmovesoftheyieldcurveareparallelshifts.Giventhatthe dailyvolatilityoftheyieldis1%,whichofthefollowingisthebestestimateoftheportfoliodailyVaR atthe95%confidencelevel?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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20. Thepriceofa3yearzerocoupongovernmentbondis85.16.Thepriceofasimilar4yearbondis 79.81.Whatistheoneyearimpliedforwardratefromyear3toyear4?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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24. WhichofthefollowingproblemsareNOTinherentdisadvantagesofthehistoricalsimulation approachtoestimatingVaR?
a. b. c. d.
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26. Whichofthefollowingtrade(s)containbasisrisk?
I. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsNov07NYMEXWTICrude Oilcontracts II. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandlong2,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilatthe moneyput III. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07ICEBrentOil contracts IV. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07NYMEXWTICrude Oilcontracts
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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29. ResearchandmodelprojectionsindicatethataspecificeventislikelytomovetheCHFagainstthe USD.Whilethedirectionofthemoveishighlyuncertain,itishighlylikelythatmagnitudeofthe movewillbesignificant.Basedonthisinformation,whichofthefollowingstrategieswouldprovide thelargesteconomicbenefit?
a. b. c. d.
31. Whichofthefollowingstrategiescreatesacalendarspread? a. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. b. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. c. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyashortermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. d. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandsellalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice.
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32. Whichofthefollowingunderlyingmacroeconomicconditionswouldleaveanemergingmarket mostvulnerabletothecontagioneffectsofacurrencycrisis?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
36. Tohedgeagainstfuture,unanticipated,andsignificantincreasesinborrowingrates,whichofthe followingalternativesoffersthegreatestflexibilityfortheborrower?
a. b. c. d.
37. Assumingotherthingsconstant,bondsofequalmaturitywillstillhavedifferentDV01perUSD100 facevalue.TheirDV01perUSD100facevaluewillbeinthefollowingsequenceofhighestvalueto lowestvalue: a. Zerocouponbonds,parbonds,premiumbonds b. Premiumbonds,parbonds,zerocouponbonds c. Premiumbonds,zerocouponbonds,parbonds d. Zerocouponbonds,premiumbonds,parbonds 38. TheinformationratiooftheSteroleUSFundfor2006againsttheS&P500,itsbenchmarkindex,is1. Forthesametimeperiod,thefundsSharperatiois2,thefundhasatrackingerrorof7%against theS&P500,andthestandarddeviationoffundreturnsis5%.TheriskfreerateintheUSis4%. CalculatethereturnfortheS&P500duringthetimeperiod.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
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40. YourfirmhasnopriorderivativestradeswithitscounterpartySuperBank.Yourbosswantsyouto evaluatesometradessheisconsidering.Inparticular,shewantstoknowwhichofthefollowing tradeswillincreaseyourfirmscreditriskexposuretoSuperBank:
a. b. c. d.
41. Considerthefollowingoneperiodtransitionmatrix:
A B Default
IfacompanyisoriginallyinStateA,whatistheprobabilitythatthecompanywillhavedefaulted strictlybeforethefourthtransitionperiodfromnow?
a. b. c. d.
42. Asanapproximation,itistruethat
a. b. c. d.
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43. InaCDO,theSPVistypically
a. b. c. d.
a. Golongriskybondsandshortriskfreebondsatthebeginningoftherecession. b. Shortriskybondsandgolongriskfreebondsatthebeginningoftherecession. c. Sellcreditdefaultswapsonbondswithalowcreditqualityandbuycreditdefaultswapson bondswithahighercreditqualityatthebeginningoftherecession. d. Sellcreditdefaultswapsonbondswithlowcreditqualityandgolonglowcreditqualitybonds. 45. BankBhasaEUR100millionloanportfolioandhassetasideareservetocoverthefirstEUR20 millionindefaultrelatedlosses.IfthebankwantstoacquireprotectionfortheremainingEUR80 millioninriskexposure,whichofthefollowingsolutionswouldworkandwouldexposethebankto theleastamountofcounterpartyrisk?
a. b. c. d.
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47. UsingtheMertonmodel,thevalueofthedebtincreasesifallotherparametersarefixedand
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
49. ItisJune2ndandafundmanagerwithUSD10millioninvestedingovernmentbondsisconcerned thatinterestrateswillbehighlyvolatileoverthenextthreemonths.Themanagerdecidestouse theSeptemberTreasurybondfuturescontracttohedgethevalueoftheportfolio.Thecurrent futurespriceis95.0625.EachcontractisforthedeliveryofUSD100,000facevalueofbonds.The durationofthemanagersbondportfoliointhreemonthswillbe7.8years.Thecheapesttodeliver bondintheTreasurybondfuturescontractisexpectedtohaveadurationof8.4yearsatmaturityof thecontract.AtthematurityoftheTreasurybondfuturescontract,thedurationoftheunderlying benchmarkTreasurybondis9years.Whatpositionshouldthefundmanagerundertaketomitigate hisinterestrateriskexposure?
a. b. c. d.
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50. AbondtraderhasboughtapositioninTreasuryBondswitha4%annualcouponrateonFebruary 15,2015.TheDV01ofthepositionisUSD80,000.Thetraderdecidestohedgehisinterestraterisk withthe4.5%couponrateTreasuryBondsmaturingonMay15,2017whichhasaDV01of.076per USD100facevalue.Toimplementthishedge,approximatelywhatfaceamountofthe4.5% TreasurybondsmaturingonMay15,2017shouldthetradersell?
a. b. c. d.
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamI AnswerKey
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25.
a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a.
b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b.
c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c.
d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50.
a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a.
b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b.
c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c.
d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamI Answers&Explanations
1. Giventheinformationprovidedinthetablebelow,whatistheportfolioVaR,atthe99%confidence level,ofthefollowing100millionCHFequallyweightedinvestmentportfolio?
Volatility 18% 6%
a. b. c. d.
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CORRECT:C Thealphaisspuriousandresultsfromthefactthatreturnsarenonsynchronous.d.isincorrect becausethetrueexposureislinear.Thebetaisgreaterthanzeroandlessthanonebecauseofnon synchroneity. Reference:AmencandLeSourd,PortfolioTheoryandPerformanceAnalysis.Chapter4
3. ThefollowingtableshowsthecompositionoftheGARPBondFund.Whataretheportfolioduration andportfolioyieldofthefund?
GARP Bond Fund Rating Amount Duration Mn USD in years AAA Company A 600 1.5 Company B 300 4 Company C 200 2.5 AA Company D 400 4 Company E 350 0.5 A Company F 150 1.5
Total 2000
Rating valuation matrix Years 0-1 Rating AAA 6.25% AA 6.75% A 7.75% 1-2 6.75% 7.35% 8.45% 2-3 7.35% 8.05% 9.15%
a. b. c. d.
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Thisanswerreflectstheproportionofamounttakenasweightstocalculatetheportfolioduration andportfolioyield.
GARP Bond Fund Amount Proportion % Duration Yield AAA Co A 600 30% 1.5 6.75% Co B 300 15% 4 8.00% Co C 200 10% 2.5 7.35% AA Co D 400 20% 4 8.80% Co E 350 18% 0.5 6.75% A Co F 150 8% 1.5 8.45% Total 2000 100% 2.30 7.54%
a. b. c. d.
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=3.62% INCORRECT:AForgetstosquarethevolatilityterms INCORRECT:CForgetstosquarethevolatilitytermsandtotakethesquarerootoftheresulting variance,thenmiscalculatesconversiontopercentage. INCORRECT:DForgetstotakethesquarerootofthevariance,thenmiscalculatesconversionto percentage. Reference:Hull,Chapter21.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A
E[ra|rb=x]=a+(abab/ a)(xb)=0.02+0.9*(0.030.02)=0.029
Reference:DamodarGujarati,chapter2.
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b. GeneratearandomnumberfromanormaldistributionN(0,1),usethecumulativenormal functiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesameprocedure untilyougetthefulldesiredpath. c. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usetheinverse cumulativenormalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthe sameprocedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath. d. Generatearandomnumberfromauniformdistributiondefinedin[0,1],usethecumulative normalfunctiontogete(t),whichwillbefedintothemodeltogety(t).Repeatthesame procedureuntilyougetthefulldesiredpath.
7. SupposethatAandBarerandomvariables,eachfollowsastandardnormaldistribution,andthe covariancebetweenAandBis0.35.Whatisthevarianceof(3A+2B)?
15.10 14.47 9.20 17.20 CORRECT:D Sinceeachvariableisstandardized,itsvarianceis1.ThereforeV(3A+2B)=9V(A)+4V(B)+2x3x2 xCov(A,B)=9+4+4.2=17.2 INCORRECT:A9+4+6*0.35=15.1 INCORRECT:B9+4+12*0.35^2= INCORRECT:C3+2+12*0.35=9.2 Reference:DamodarGujarati
a. b. c. d.
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8. YoudonthaveaccesstoKMVsdata.Yourbosswantsyoutotellhimyourestimateofthe probabilityofdefaultofacredit.Todoso,youusetheMertonModelbecausethecredityouare consideringhasnosystematicrisk.InMertonsModel,thedistancetodefault(DD)andthe expecteddefaultfrequency(EDF)are
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D Theriskneutralprobabilityofdefault,EDF,intheMertonModelis1N(d2).Thehigherthedistance
ln(
V 1 ) 2 T V rT 2 De V T ,thelowertheriskneutralprobabilityofdefaultis.On
18.18% 81.82% 20.01% 79.99% CORRECT:A (1+10%)*(1PD)+(1+10%)*PD*(1LGD)=1+8% 1.1x0.9+1.1x0.10x(1LGD)=1.08 0.99+0.11x(1LGD)=1.08 0.11x(1LGD)=1.080.99 (1LGD)=(1.080.99)/0.11 LGD=1(1.080.99)/0.11=18.18% or
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a. b. c. d.
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LGD=1((1+rf)(1+r)x(1PD))/((1+r)xPD) Reference:DeServignyandRenault,MeasuringandManagingCreditRisk,Chapter3,4.
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C
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INCORRECT:ATheexpectedpriceislessthantodaysprice,butnotthepriceinallthestatesof world. INCORRECT:BTheinstantaneousrateofreturnonthestockfollowsnormaldistribution. INCORRECT:DThismodeldoesnotimposemeanreversion. Reference:PhilippeJorion,ValueatRisk:TheNewBenchmarkforManagingFinancialRisk,3 ed. (NewYork:McGrawHill,2007).Chapter12
rd
f ( x, y) = 1 .
x =1 y =1
13. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingHypothesisTestingisincorrect?
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a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D
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ThisquestionrequirescandidatestoknowtheformulaforthedeltanormalVaRapproximation,and alsotoknowthatthedeltaofanatthemoneycallis0.5. VaR =| | 1.645 S = 0.5 1.645 0.02 10 = 0.1645 . INCORRECT:AWegetAbyusing2.326insteadof1.645 INCORRECT:BWegetBifweuse2insteadof2%forthevolatility INCORRECT:CWegetCifweuseadeltaof1 Reference:Allenetal,Chapter3
a. b. c. d.
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17. ConsiderthefollowingthreemethodsofestimatingtheP&Lofabulletbond:fullrepricing,duration (PV01),anddurationplusconvexity.RankingtheestimatedP&Limpactofalargenegativeyield shockfromthelowestP&LimpacttothehighestP&Limpact,whatistherankingofthemethodsto estimatetheP&Limpact?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C Theprice/yieldlinewithyieldonthexaxisandpriceontheyaxisisconvextotheorigin.The durationatanyyieldlevelisthetangenttothatcurve.Therefore,exceptattheexactpointof tangency,durationwillalwaysunderestimatethepricechange. INCORRECT:ADurationwillalwaysunderestimatepricechangefornegativeyieldshocks INCORRECT:BFullrepricingwillnevergenerateasmallerpositivepricechangethanduration becausedurationrepresentsthepointoftangency INCORRECT:DFullrepricingwillgenerateahigherpriceforalargenegativeyieldchangethanwil durationplusconvexity Reference:Allen,Boudoukh,Saunders,Chapter3
a. b. c. d.
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INCORRECT:BThisusesanetdurationof4.5yearsandignoresthedurationofthefloatingrate leg. INCORRECT:CThisistheannualVaR,butshouldbetranslatedtoamonthlyhorizon. INCORRECT:DThisistheannualVaRcomputedbyignoringthedurationofthefloatingrateleg. Reference:Hull,Chapter,Chapter7 19. Ifthegoldleaserateishigherthantheriskfreerate,whatisthemarketstructureoftheforward marketforgold?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D
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1 + Forward rate = 85.16 Price of three bond = = 1.067034 Price of four year bond 79.81
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A
V = - D mod y V + 0.5 Convexity y 2 V V = - 8 0.0025 100M + 0.5 150 (0.0025) 2 100M V = - 2M + 46,875 V = - 1,953,125
INCORRECT:BOmits0.5fromthesecondterm INCORRECT:CSubtractsthesecondterm INCORRECT:DMakesbothmistakes Reference:Tuckman 22. WhatistheannualizedrateofreturnearnedonacashandcarrytradeenteredintoinMarchand closedoutinJune? a. 8.9% b. 9.8% c. 35.7% d. 39.1%
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CORRECT:D BuyingacalloptionatlowerstockpriceandsellingcalloptionathigherstrikepriceiscalledasBull Spread.BearSpreadisbuyingthecalloptionathigherpriceandsellingthecallatlowerstrikeprice. TheCostofstrategywillbeUSD3USD5=USD2 ThePayoff,whenStockpriceSTUSD40willbeUSD2(thecostofstrategy)asnoneoftheoption willbeexercised. ThePayoff,whenstockpriceST45,(asbothoptionswillbeexercise)willbeUSD5, SincethecostofstrategyisUSD3,henceprofitwillbeUSD5USD2=USD3 WhenStockpriceisUSD40<ST>USD45,Onlythecalloptionboughtbytheinvestorwouldbe exercisedhencethepayoffwillbeST40,sincethecostofstrategyisUSD3,TheNetprofitwillbe ST43,whichwouldalwaysbelowerthanUSD3. Reference:Hull,Chapter10TradingStrategiesInvolvingOptions.
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24. WhichofthefollowingproblemsareNOTinherentdisadvantagesofthehistoricalsimulation approachtoestimatingVaR?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C ThedisadvantagewiththeHistoricalSimulationModelisthatitmaynotrecognizethechangesin volatilityandcorrelationfollowingrecentstructuralchanges.Themodelcanbeadjustedsothatit givesmoreweighttorecentobservations.Theotheroptions,i.e.III&IV,aredisadvantagesofMonte CarlomethodandDeltanormalmethod. Reference:Allenetal.Chapters2,3. 25. AbankholdsUSD60millionworthof10year6.5%couponbondsthataretradingatacleanpriceof 101.82.Thebankisworriedbytheexposureduetothesebondsbutcannotunwindthepositionfor fearofupsettingtheclient.Therefore,itpurchasesatotalreturnswap(TRS)inwhichitreceives annualLibor+100bpsinreturnforthemarktomarketreturnonthebond.Forthefirstyear,the Liborsetsat6.25%andbytheendoftheyearthecleanpriceofthebondsisat99.35.Thenet receipt/paymentforthebankinthetotalreturnswapwillbe:
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itstheresultofthiscalculation:thenotionalamountis60millionUSD.Thereforethebankwill receivetheinterestpaymentlinkedtotheLIBORrate:60millionUSD*(6,25%+100bp)=4.35 millionUSD. Thebankwillpaythefixedcouponplusthechangeinthevalueofthebond:60millionUSD*6.5%+ 60million*(99.35%101.82%)=2.418millionUSD. Hencethetotalnetamountthebankwillreceiveis:4.35millionUSD2.418millionUSD=1.932 millionUSD. Reference:HullChapter7Swaps
26. Whichofthefollowingtrade(s)containbasisrisk?
I. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsNov07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts II. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandlong2,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilat themoneyput III. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07ICEBrentOil contracts IV. Long1,000lotsNov07ICEBrentOilcontractsandshort1,000lotsDec07NYMEXWTI CrudeOilcontracts
I&III II&IV IIII&IV I,III&IV CORRECT:D BasisRiskisspreadrisk,whicharisefromtradingthespread(longandshort2positivelycorrelated assetsorsameassetwithdifferentexpiration) Iisspreadtradeinhighlycorrelatedassetwithsameexpirationmonth IIfaceswithgammaandvegarisk IIIisspreadtradeintradingtheflatteningoftheforwardcurve IVisspreadtradeintrading2assetswithdifferentexpirationdate Reference:RobertL.McDonald,DerivativesMarkets(Boston:AddisonWesley,2003),Chapter6.
a. b. c. d.
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27. Accordingtoputcallparity,buyingaputoptiononastockisequivalentto:
Buyingacalloptionandbuyingthestockwithfundsborrowedattheriskfreerate. Sellingacalloptionandbuyingthestockwithfundsborrowedattheriskfreerate. Buyingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate. Sellingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate. CORRECT:C Buyingacalloption,sellingthestockandinvestingtheproceedsattheriskfreerate. INCORRECT:ABuyingacalloptioniscorrect,buttherestofthestatementisincorrect. INCORRECT:BTheentirestatementisincorrect. INCORRECT:DSellingacalloptionisincorrect,buttherestofthestatementiscorrect. Reference:Options,Futures,andOtherDerivatives,6thedition,byJohnHull,Chapter10.
a. b. c. d.
28. A3monthfuturescontractonanequityindexiscurrentlypricedatUSD1000,theunderlyingindex stocksarevaluedatUSD990andpaydividendsatacontinuouslycompoundedrateof2percent andthecurrentcontinuouslycompoundedriskfreerateis4percent.Thepotentialarbitrageprofit percontract,giventhissetofdata,isclosestto
a. b. c. d.
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29. ResearchandmodelprojectionsindicatethataspecificeventislikelytomovetheCHFagainstthe USD.Whilethedirectionofthemoveishighlyuncertain,itishighlylikelythatmagnitudeofthe movewillbesignificant.Basedonthisinformation,whichofthefollowingstrategieswouldprovide thelargesteconomicbenefit?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
Numberofshares =(Numberofcalls)x(NewdeltaOlddelta) =20,000x(0.70400.5739) =+2,602shares Positivesignindicatesthatthemanagershouldpurchasenewshares. INCORRECT:BBecausetheformulaisincorrect,i.e.olddeltaminusnewdelta. INCORRECT:CBecausethenumberofshares(insteadofnumberofcalls)isusedinthecalculation. INCORRECT:DAsperexplanationinCaboveandsignerror. Reference:Hull.
31. Whichofthefollowingstrategiescreatesacalendarspread? a. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. b. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. c. Sellacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandbuyashortermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice. d. Buyacalloptionwithacertainstrikepriceandsellalongermaturitycalloptionwiththesame strikeprice.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B
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INCORRECT:ALargecurrentaccountsurplusandnonconvertiblecurrencywouldprotectthelocal currency INCORRECT:CHighforeignexchangereservesandnonconvertiblecurrencywouldprotectthelocal currency INCORRECT:DLargecurrentaccountsurplusandhighforeignexchangewouldprotectthelocal currency Reference:Saunders,Chapter15,ForeignExchangeRisk
a. b. c. d.
1 2
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CORRECT:C Asthestrategypopularlyknownasthebullspreadwillresultinpositivepayoffwhenthespotrises. Asinflationincreases,spotlevelsincommoditiesareexpectedtorise.Sellingacallathigherlevel willreducethecostofthestrategy.Althoughitmaylimittheupside,butthatwouldbeinlinewith theviewasonlyamoderateriseisexpectedinspot. INCORRECT:AAsthestrategypopularlyknownasastraddleistobeusedwhentheviewisthatthe volatilityinthemarketwillrise,andthereisnodirectionalviewonthespot. INCORRECT:BAstheaboveoptionwillbesuitablewhenthespotisexpectedtofallfromthe existinglevels. INCORRECT:DAsthepayoffinthiscaseissimilartoshortpositioninspotandwouldmakesense whentheunderlyingisexpectedtofall. Reference:Hull,Chapter10.
Anoptionholdercanneverbeveganegative. Adeepinthemoneyupandoutcalloptionhasanegativevega. Adeepoutofmoneyupandoutcalloptionhasanegativevega. Adeepoutofmoneydigitaloptionhasanegativevega. CORRECT:B DeepinthemoneyUpandOutcalloptionbecauseanincreaseinthevolatilityofsuchoptionsleads totheincreasingchancesofoptioneitherbeingknockedout(ifthepriceincreasesbeyondthe barrier)orloosingitsmoneyness(ifthepricesfalls)andhencetheincreasingvolatilitytendstohave negativeimpactonthepriceoftheoption. INCORRECT:AAsanoptionholdercanbeVeganegativeasshownabove. INCORRECT:ChavepositiveVegaasanincreaseinthevolatilitywouldincreasethechancesof gettingtowardsmoneynessandhencepositiveVegafromaholdersperspective. INCORRECT:DhavepositiveVegaasanincreaseinthevolatilitywouldincreasethechancesof gettingtowardsmoneynessandhencepositiveVegafromaholdersperspective. Reference:Hull,Chapters17,1824.
a. b. c. d.
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36. Tohedgeagainstfuture,unanticipated,andsignificantincreasesinborrowingrates,whichofthe followingalternativesoffersthegreatestflexibilityfortheborrower?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D Thequestionfocusesonflexiblemanagementofborrowingexpenses.Whileafixedforfloating swapcouldreduceborrowingexpenses,itisalongtermcontractualcommitmenttoexchange payments.Ifinterestratesdecline,theborrowermaygrossuptotheagreedfixedrate.Aninterest ratecollarisacombinationofaninterestratefloorandcap,i.e.,itlocksintheinterestexpenses withinatightrange.Moreover,collarsusuallyofferinterestrateprotectionatoneparticularpoint oftimeunlessseveralcontractswithdifferentmaturitiesareexchanged.Acallswaptiongivesthe companytherighttoenterintoaswapwhentheborrowingexpensesexceedacertainreference rate.Ifthereferencerateisbelowtheborrowingexpenses,theoptionisnotexercised. Reference:Hull.
a. Zerocouponbonds,parbonds,premiumbonds b. premiumbonds,parbonds,zerocouponbonds c. Premiumbonds,zerocouponbonds,parbonds d. Zerocouponbonds,premiumbonds,parbonds CORRECT:B DV01iscertainmultipleofDirtyPrice(whichincludesCoupons)andnotCleanPrice.Thus,itis proportionaltoBasePrice,whichisDirtyPrice.Ordinarily,PremiumBondwillhavethehighest (dirty)pricefollowedbyParBondandwiththeleastpriceofZeroCouponBond.Hence,DV01of PremiumBondisthehighestwhilethatofZeroCouponBondsisthelowest. INCORRECT:APremiumBondwillhaveahigherBasePriceandhencehigherDV01thanthatof ZeroCouponBond. INCORRECT:CBasePriceofParBondishigherthanthatofZeroCouponBondandhence,itsDV01 cannotbelessthanthatofZeroCouponBond.
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INCORRECT:DDV01perUSD100FaceValueisanAbsoluteAmountofUSDbasedonactualBase PriceChange.Ordinarily,BasePriceofaZeroCouponBondwillbelowerthanthatofPar&Premium Bond.Hence,DV01ofZeroCouponBondislessthanthatofPremiumBondofsamematurity. Reference:Tuckman,FixedIncomeSecurities,Chapter5.
CORRECT:B SharpeRatio=2 (FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/SD=2 (FundReturn4%)/5%=2 FundReturn=14% InformationRatio=1 (FundReturnS&P500Return)/TrackingError=1 (14%S&P500Return)/7%=1 S&P500Return=7% INCORRECT:AIncorrectlydividesS&P500Returnby2 INCORRECT:CThecandidatemightusetheTrackingErrorastheNumeratorinboththeRatios. SharpeRatio=2 (FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/TrackingError=2 (FundReturn4%)/7%=2 FundReturn=18% InformationRatio=1 (FundReturnS&P500Return)/TrackingError=1 (18%S&P500Return)/7%=1 S&P500Return=11% INCORRECT:DThecandidatecanstopwiththefundreturncalculation,andendupwith14%. SharpeRatio=2
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(FundReturnRiskFreeRate)/SD=2 (FundReturn4%)/5%=2 FundReturn=14% Reference:AmencandLeSourd,PortfolioTheoryandPerformanceAnalysis.Chapter4
R p RF
(R p )
9 .3 % 3 .2 % = 0.452 13.5%
WhileSortinoratioequalsto
R p RF
L ( RP )
Trackingerrorisusedtocalculatethevalueoftheinformationratio,whichisdefinedas
R p RB
( RP RB )
,Thecalculationofinformationratioisnotrequiredinthisquestion.
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40. YourfirmhasnopriorderivativestradeswithitscounterpartySuperBank.Yourbosswantsyouto evaluatesometradessheisconsidering.Inparticular,shewantstoknowwhichofthefollowing tradeswillincreaseyourfirmscreditriskexposuretoSuperBank: I. buyingaputoption II. sellingaputoption III. buyingaforwardcontract IV. sellingaforwardcontract
a. b. c. d.
41. Considerthefollowingoneperiodtransitionmatrix:
A B Default
IfacompanyisoriginallyinStateA,whatistheprobabilitythatthecompanywillhavedefaulted strictlybeforethefourthtransitionperiodfromnow?
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Theeasiestwaytodeterminetheanswerwouldbetomakethisasquarematrixincludingdefaultin initialstate.Thenselfmultiplyingthematrixthreetimesyieldsthreeperiodtransitionmatrix.We canalsomanuallydothecalculation; Afteryear1thereisa0%chanceofdefaultand5%chanceofbeinginstateB. Afteryear2thereis95%*5%+80%*5%chanceofbeinginstateBand5%*10%chanceofdefault. Afteryear3thereisa(95%*5%+80%*5%)*10%additionalchanceofdefault.AnswerAassumes justoneyear INCORRECT:AOnlyconsidersthethirdyeartransitionfromBtodefault. INCORRECT:BOnlyconsidersthesecondyeartransitionfromBtodefault. INCORRECT:DMistakenlydoublesthesecondyeartransitionfromBtodefault. Reference:DeServignyandRenault,MeasuringandManagingCreditRisk,Chapter2,Appendix2A, page4952.
42. Asanapproximation,itistruethat
a. b. c. d.
43. InaCDO,theSPVistypically
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A
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InaCDOtransaction,theSpecialPurposeVehiclearespecialentitiesoffinancialinstitutionsandare usuallyAAArated.TheSPVandtheinstitutionarelegallydistinctandcreditqualitydeteriorationof thefinancialinstitutiondoesnotaffecttheSPV.InthiscaseSPVcounterpartyriskislow,whichis desiredbytheinvestor. Reference:Hullchapter23,CulpChapters16,17,18.
CORRECT:B Shortingriskybondsandgoinglonginriskfreebondsatthebeginningoftherecessionisthecorrect answer.Duringarecession,creditspreadstypicallystartwidening,andfinancingalongpositionin riskfreebondsthroughdecliningcreditqualityriskybondsreducestheeffectivefinancingcost. INCORRECT:AGoinglonginriskybondsandshortingriskfreebondsatthebeginningofthe recessionisincorrect.Thisstrategyispreferableatthebeginningofaneconomicexpansion,when thecreditspreadtypicallystartstightening. INCORRECT:CSellingcreditdefaultswapsonbondswithacertaincreditqualityandbuyingcredit defaultswapsonbondswithahighercreditqualityatthebeginningoftherecessionwouldbe preferableatthebeginningofaneconomicexpansion. INCORRECT:DSellingcreditdefaultswapsonbondswithlowcreditqualityandgoinglonginlow creditqualitybondseffectivelymagnifiesthecreditrisk,whichunderdeterioratingcreditconditions shouldbeavoided. Reference:Culp,Chapter12,13,16.
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45. BankBhasaEUR100millionloanportfolioandhassetasideareservetocoverthefirstEUR20 millionindefaultrelatedlosses.IfthebankwantstoacquireprotectionfortheremainingEUR80 millioninriskexposure,whichofthefollowingsolutionswouldworkandwouldexposethebankto theleastamountofcounterpartyrisk?
a. b. c. d.
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INCORRECT:CWronglyinterpretstherecoveryrateasameasureofcreditloss,whilecreditloss equals(1recoveryrate).Inthiscaseitequals(10.60)=40%. INCORRECT:DIsacombinationofmistakeBandC. Reference:deServignyandRenault,MeasuringandManagingCreditRisk.
47. UsingtheMertonmodel,thevalueofthedebtincreasesifallotherparametersarefixedand
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D Accordingtothemodel,thevalueofthebondisB=VS,whereVisthevalueoftheassetsandSis thevalueoftheequity,orKertN(d2)+Vx(1N(d1)).d1=ln(V/Kert)/T+T/2andd2=1d1.Value ofthedebtwillincreaseifinterestratesdecreasesandvolatilityofthefirmdecreases. INCORRECT:AIIistruebutIisfalse.Valueofthedebtwillincreaseifvalueofthefirmincreases. Thevalueofthedebtwillincreaseifinterestratedecreases. INCORRECT:BVistruebutIisfalse. INCORRECT:CIIistruebutIIIisfalse.Thevalueofthedebtwillincreaseofthetimetomaturity decreases Reference:Stulz,RiskManagement&Derivatives,Chapter18,p.580 deServignyandRenault,MeasuringandManagingCreditRisk.
2009FRMPracticeExams
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B
0.35 N = 0.72 0.27 N= 0.9333
49. ItisJune2ndandafundmanagerwithUSD10millioninvestedingovernmentbondsisconcerned thatinterestrateswillbehighlyvolatileoverthenextthreemonths.Themanagerdecidestouse theSeptemberTreasurybondfuturescontracttohedgethevalueoftheportfolio.Thecurrent futurespriceis95.0625.EachcontractisforthedeliveryofUSD100,000facevalueofbonds.The durationofthemanagersbondportfoliointhreemonthswillbe7.8years.Thecheapesttodeliver bondintheTreasurybondfuturescontractisexpectedtohaveadurationof8.4yearsatmaturityof thecontract.AtthematurityoftheTreasurybondfuturescontract,thedurationoftheunderlying benchmarkTreasurybondis9years.Whatpositionshouldthefundmanagerundertaketomitigate hisinterestrateriskexposure?
N = 97.68 or 98 contracts
INCORRECT:AIsmadeup.
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INCORRECT:CLeavesoutthedurations INCORRECT:DInvertsthedurations. Reference:Hull,Chapter6.
a. b. c. d.
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamII CandidateAnswerSheet
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
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2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamII Questions
a. b. c. d.
Year 0 rating
AA 4 30 5 1 0
A 2 4 40 2 0
BBB 0 3 2 30 0
Default 0 2 3 1 0
Total 51 42 52 34 0
a. b. c. d.
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4. BetaBankownsaportfolioof10AAratedbondswithatotalvalueof200millionUSD.Theoneyear probabilityofdefaultforeachissueris5%andtherecoveryrateforeachissueequals40%.Theone yearexpectedlossoftheportfoliois:
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
6. Determinethepercentageofthefollowingportfoliothatisinvestmentgrade:
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
7. Aspartofacurrencyhedgingstrategy,aU.S.portfoliomanagerenteredaoneyearforward contractwithabanktodeliverEUR5,000,000forUSdollarsattheendoftheyear.Atthebeginning oftheyear,theoneyearforwardratewas0.9216USD/EUR.Sixmonthsintothecontractthespot rateis0.9201USD/EUR,theU.S.interestrateis6.5%,andtheEurointerestrateis6.25%.Ifthe currentspotrate(0.9201USD/EUR)weretocontinueforthenextsixmonths,whatisthecreditrisk thattheportfoliomanagerwouldbearatmaturity?
a. b. c. d.
8. Realizingthebenefitsofnettingofthecounterpartyexposuremaybechallengingbecauseof:
a. b. c. d.
9. Inpricingafirsttodefaultcreditbasketswap,whichofthefollowingistrue,allelsebeingequal?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
11. YouaregiventhefollowinginformationaboutfirmA:
MarketValueofAssetattime0=1000 MarketValueofAssetattime1=1200 ShorttermDebt=500 LongtermDebt=300 AnnualizedAssetVolatility=10% AccordingtotheKMVmodel,whataretheDefaultPointandtheDistancetoDefaultattime1? Default Distanceto Point Default a. 800 3.33 b. 650 7.50 c. 650 4.58 d. 500 5.83
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
14. Abankisconsideringbuying(i.e.sellingprotectionon)aAAAratedsuperseniortranche[10% 11%]ofasyntheticCDOreferencinganinvestmentgradeportfolio.Thepricingofthetranche assumesafixedrecoveryof40%forallnames.Allelsebeingequal,whichoneofthefollowingfour changeswillmaketheprincipalinvestedmorerisky?
a. b. c. d.
15. Twobanksenterintoafiveyearfirsttodefaultbasketcreditdefaultswaptransaction.Thebasket containsthreeuncorrelatedcredits,W,XandY,eachwithaUSUSD25millionnotionalamount.The protectionsellerhastosettleonthecreditthatdefaultsfirstduringthetransaction.Afterthat,the protectionsellerhasnoobligationandthetransactionterminates.Supposethecreditshavethe following5yearcumulativeprobabilityofdefaults. 5YearProbabilities Credit ofDefault W 9.68% X 8.97% Y 8.02% Whichofthefollowingistheprobabilityofatleastonedefaultinthebasketduringthe5years? a. 8.02% b. 9.68% c. 24.38% d. 26.67%
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
17. A3yearcreditlinkednotewithunderlyingcompanyZhasaLIBOR+60bpssemiannualcoupon. ThefacevalueoftheCLNisUSD100.LIBORis5%forallmaturities.Current3yearcreditdefault swap(CDS)spreadforcompanyZis90bps.ThefairvalueoftheCLNisclosestto:
a. b. c. d.
18. Ariskmanagerestimatesthedailyvariance(ht)usingaGARCHmodelondailyreturns(rt): ht=0+1r2t1+ht1 Assumethemodelparametervaluesare0 =0.005, =0.04,=0.94.Thelongrunannualized volatilityisapproximately: a. 25.00% b. 13.54% c. 72.72% d. 7.94%
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
20. Considerthefollowingpotentialoperationalrisks.Duetoaroguetrader,weestimatethatovera1 yearperiodthereisa10%chancewecouldloseanywherebetween0and100MM(equal probabilityforallpointswithinthatrangeand0probabilityofanylossesoutsidethatrange).Due tomodelrisk,weestimatethatovera1yearperiodthereisa20%chancethatwewilllose25MM normallydistributedwithastandarddeviationof5MM.Whichofthefollowingstatementsis true?
21. Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutliquidityriskelasticity(LRE)isincorrect?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
23. Whichofthefollowingstatementsregardingeconomiccapitalaretrue?
I. Economiccapitalisdesignedtoprovideacushionagainstunexpectedlossesataspecified confidenceleveloverasettimehorizon. II. Sinceregulatorycapitalmodelsandeconomiccapitalmodelshavedifferentobjectives, economiccapitalmodelscannothelpregulatorsinsettingregulatorycapital requirements. III. Firmswhosecapitalexceedstheirrequiredregulatorycapitalarefirmsthatemploytheir capitalinefficientlyandtheirshareholderswouldbenefitiftheyusedsomeoftheircapital torepurchasesharesorincreasedividends. IV. Economiccapitalcanbeusedtovalidateafirmsregulatorycapitalrequirementagainst itsownassessmentoftherisksitisrunning.
a. b. c. d.
25. Yourbankisusingtheinternalmodelsapproachtoestimateitsgeneralmarketriskcharge.The multiplicationfactork,setbytheregulator,is3andbanksareallowedtousethesquarerootrule toscaledailyVaR.Thepreviousdays1dayVaRestimateisEUR3million,andtheaverageofthe dailyVaRoverthelast60daysisEUR2million.Giventheaboveinformation,whatwillbethe marketriskchargeforyourbank? a. EUR18.97million b. EUR9.49million c. EUR6.32million d. EUR28.46million
2009FRMPracticeExams
26. UndertheBaselIICapitalAccord,banksthathaveobtainedpriorregulatoryapprovalcanusethe internalmodelsapproachtoestimatetheirmarketriskcapitalrequirement.Whatapproachor methodologyisusedundertheinternalmodelsapproachtocomputecapitalrequirements?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
29. Tohandlethefinancingofalargecomplexproject,yourbankisestablishingaspecialpurposeentity (SPE)forwhichyourbankwillactastrustee.Whichofthefollowingcouldresultinliabilitytoyour bankthroughitsroleastrustee?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
32. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingBaselIInonadvancedapproachesisincorrect?
a. Incontrasttocreditriskregulatorycapitalforcorporateloans,banksusingtheAMAapproach mayhavetosetasidecapitalforbothexpectedandunexpectedoperationalrisklosses. b. IncontrasttothecreditriskIRBapproaches,banksusingtheAMAapproachmayestimatethe correlationbetweendifferenttypesofoperationalrisksiftheirmodelssatisfyregulatory requirements. c. Toevaluateexposuretohighseverityoperationalriskevents,banksusingtheAMAapproach mayuseeitherscenarioanalysisofexpertopinion,orVaRmodelestimatesbasedoninternal datausingextremevaluetheory. d. Reportingofoperationalriskexposuretoseniormanagementisanecessaryconditionfora banksabilitytousetheAMAapproach.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
35. Whichofthefollowingisnotincludedasanelementincalculatingoperationalriskcapitalunderthe AdvancedMeasurementApproach?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
0.5 1/
2009FRMPracticeExams
38. Allthefollowingareoperationalrisklossevents,except:
a. Aloanofficerinaccuratelyentersclientfinancialinformationintothebanksproprietarycredit riskmodel b. Anindividualshowsupatabranchpresentingacheckwrittenbyacustomerforanamount substantiallyexceedingthecustomerslowcheckingaccountbalance.Whenthebankcallsthe customertoaskhimforthefunds,thephoneisdisconnectedandthebankcannotrecoverthe funds. c. Duringanadversemarketmovement,thecomputernetworksystembecomesoverwhelmed andonlyintermittentpricinginformationisavailabletothebankstradingdesk,leadingtolarge lossesastradersbecomeunabletoaltertheirhedgesinresponsetofallingprices d. Abank,actingasatrusteeforaloanpool,receiveslessthantheprojectedfundsduetodelayed repaymentofcertainloans.
a. b. c. d.
40. Supposeyouaregiventhefollowinginformationabouttheoperationalrisklossesatyourbank.
WhatistheestimateoftheVaRatthe95%confidencelevel,assumingthatthefrequencyand severitydistributionsareindependent?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
41. Tocontrolrisktakingbytraders,yourbanklinkstradercompensationwiththeircompliancewith imposedVaRlimitsontheirtradingbook.Whyshouldyourbankbecarefulintyingcompensation totheVaRofeachtrader?
42. Thesurplusofapensionfundismostimportantfor:
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
45. Whichofthefollowingisnotanapproachfordetectingstyledriftofhedgefunds?
a. b. c. d.
46. Allofthefollowingstrategiesareexamplesofcapitalstructurearbitrage,except:
ThevolatilityofEAFEis17.5%andtheannualizedperformanceis10.6%.Theriskfreerateis3.5%. Fund Volatility AnnualizedPerformance GlobalAssetManagementI 24.5% 12.5% InternationalMomentumII 27.3% 13.6%
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
49. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingExtremeValueTheory(EVT)isincorrect?
ENDOF2009FRMFULLEXAMPRACTICEEXAMI
2009FRMPracticeExams
2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamII AnswerKey
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. a. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. b. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. c. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
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2009FRMPracticeExams
2009FRMFullExamPracticeExamII Answers&Explanations
1. ThecurrentvalueoftheS&P500indexis1457,andeachS&PfuturescontractisfordeliveryofUSD 250timestheindex.AlongonlyequityportfoliowithmarketvalueofUSD300,100,000hasbetaof 1.1.Toreducetheportfoliobetato0.75,howmanyS&Pfuturescontractshouldyousell?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
INCORRECT:CThisiscalculatedusing0.06/0.75=0.08 INCORRECT:DThisiscalculatedusing0.06/(0.05*0.75)=1.6 Reference:Saunders,FinancialInstitutionsManagement,5thedition,Chapter11,p.313
Year0 rating
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
4. BetaBankownsaportfolioof10AAratedbondswithatotalvalueof200millionUSD.Theoneyear probabilityofdefaultforeachissueris5%andtherecoveryrateforeachissueequals40%.Theone yearexpectedlossoftheportfoliois:
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
Attheendofthefirstyear,RABwillpaytheinterestearnedontheloan,8millionUSD.Theloan valuedeclinedby2millionUSD,thusthereturnearnedbyRABis6millionUSD;thisisthepayment madebyRABtotheTRORreceiver. TheTRORreceiveswillpaytoRABLIBORplus30basispointsi.e.6.3%witha6%LIBOR;6.3%of100 millionUSD=6.3millionUSD. Sothepaymentsare+6.3millionUSD6.0millionUSDor+0.3millionUSD. Reference:Stulz,RiskManagement&Derivatives.Chapter18CreditRisksandCreditDerivatives 6. Determinethepercentageofthefollowingportfoliothatisinvestmentgrade:
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
7. Aspartofacurrencyhedgingstrategy,aU.S.portfoliomanagerenteredaoneyearforward contractwithabanktodeliverEUR5,000,000forUSdollarsattheendoftheyear.Atthebeginning oftheyear,theoneyearforwardratewas0.9216USD/EUR.Sixmonthsintothecontractthespot rateis0.9201USD/EUR,theU.S.interestrateis6.5%,andtheEurointerestrateis6.25%.Ifthe currentspotrate(0.9201USD/EUR)weretocontinueforthenextsixmonths,whatisthecreditrisk thattheportfoliomanagerwouldbearatmaturity?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D Valuetothemanageratthesettlementdate=contractcashflowspotmarketcashflow[bothat contractmaturity]. Contractcashflow =EUR5,000,000x0.9216USD/EUR=4,608,000USD Spotmarketcashflow =Theamounttheportfoliomanagercouldreceiveifthespotrateafter6 monthsremainedineffectuntilthesettlementdate =EUR5,000,000x0.9201USD/EUR=4,600,500USD Valuetothemanager =USD4,608,000USD4,600,500=USD7,500 Asthevalueispositive,thebankowesthisamounttotheportfoliomanager.Sincethequestionasks theamountofcreditriskatmaturity,weneednotdiscountthisbacktosixmonths. INCORRECT:AThisanswerisarrivedatbydiscountingthecorrectanswerfortwelvemonthsatthe USDinterestrate,whichisnotarequirementofthequestion. INCORRECT:BThisanswerisarrivedatbydiscountingthecorrectanswerforsixmonthsattheUSD interestrate,whichisnotarequirementofthequestion. INCORRECT:CThecorrectanswerdiscountedattheEurorateforsixmonth. Reference:Stulz,RiskManagementandDerivatives,Chapter18
8. Realizingthebenefitsofnettingofthecounterpartyexposuremaybechallengingbecauseof:
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C
Copyright2009GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals 123 Allrightsreserved.
2009FRMPracticeExams
Thispresentsalegalchallengetoenforcingnettingagreement INCORRECT:AThesecrediteventsdonotmakenettingmorechallenging INCORRECT:BRatingsarenotrequiredtoestablishnetting INCORRECT:DOncontrary,crossproductnettingallowstorealizemorebenefitsinreducing exposuretocounterparty Reference:Culp
9. Inpricingafirsttodefaultcreditbasketswap,whichofthefollowingistrue,allelsebeingequal?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B Thelowerthecorrelationbetweentheassetsofthebasket,thehigherthepremium. Inthecaseofafirsttodefaultswap,acrediteventoccursthefirsttimeanyoftheentitiesdefaults. Thisswapprovidesdefaultprotectionagainstlossesrelatedtothisfirstdefault,butnottoany subsequentdefaults.Thus,thequestioniswhetherthelevelofcorrelationbetweenassetsofthe basketincreasesordecreasesthelikelihoodofthetriggeringevent.Ifthecorrelationbetweenthe assetsinacreditbasketswapislower,thebasketwouldbeexposedtogreaterdefaultrisk.For example,thebasketcontainsassetsfromdifferentsectors,thenthebasketwouldbeexposedtothe defaultriskofeachandeverysectorinthebasket.Ifthebasketonlycontainsassetsfromonesector, thenthecorrelationishigher,andthedefaultriskislower. Reference:Hull,22,23
2009FRMPracticeExams
a. b. c. d.
11. YouaregiventhefollowinginformationaboutfirmA:
AccordingtotheKMVmodel,whataretheDefaultPointandtheDistancetoDefaultattime1? Default Distanceto Point Default a. 800 3.33 b. 650 7.50 c. 650 4.58 d. 500 5.83 CORRECT:C AccordingtoKMV, DefaultPoint=STD+LTD=500+1/2(300)=650. Distancetodefault
2009FRMPracticeExams
=(Marketvalueofassetattime1DefaultPoint)/AnnualizedAssetvolatilityattime1 =(1200650)/(1200*0.1) =4.58 INCORRECT:AIncorrectlysetsDefaultPointasSTD+LTDinstead(500+300). INCORRECT:BIncorrectlysetsDefaultPointvalueasLTD,distancetodefault=(1200STD)/120= 7.50 INCORRECT:DIncorrectlysetsDefaultPointasSTDonly,distancetodefault=(1200500)/120= 5.83 Reference:deServignyandRenault,MeasuringandManagingCreditRisk,Chapter4.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:D Topreventarbitrage,thereturnontheriskfreegovernmentbondmustequalthereturnontherisky bondlessthepremiumonthedefaultswap,ortheriskcorporatebondreturnmustequalthereturn ontheriskfreegovernmentbondandthecreditdefaultswappremium. Riskfreebondreturn=riskybondreturndefaultswappremium. Inthiscase,adjustmentforthearbitrageprofitchangestherelationshipto Arbitrageprofit=riskybondreturndefaultswappremiumriskfreegovernmentbondreturn Riskfreebondreturn=3% Riskybondreturn=15% Defaultswappremium=X% ArbitrageProfit=5%. Theshortpositionintreasurycosts3%,returnfromtheriskycorporatebondis15%,thedefault swappremiumis7%,endsupinanarbitrageprofitof5%(3%+15%7%).Thisisavalidarbitrage strategy. Reference:Hull,Chapter23.
Copyright2009GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals 126 Allrightsreserved.
2009FRMPracticeExams
13. BankAmakesa10millionUSDfiveyearloanandwantstooffsetthecreditexposuretotheobligor. Afiveyearcreditdefaultswapwiththeloanasthereferenceassettradesonthemarketataswap premiumof50basispointspaidquarterly.InordertohedgeitscreditexposureBankA:
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B Tooffsetthecreditriskintheloan,thebankneedstobuycreditprotectionusingtheCDSwithsame maturity.Sincethebankisbuyingprotection,itpaystheinsurancepremiumquarterly.Theannual insurancepremiumswappaymentonthistransactionwouldbenotionalamountxswappremium or10,000,000*0.005=50,000.ThequarterlypremiumisUSD12,500. INCORRECT:ABankAneedstohedgeitscreditexposureandthereforehastobuythe5YearCDS (BankAbuyscreditprotection) INCORRECT:CThequarterlypaymentisUSD12,500=notionalxswappremiumx90/360=10USD millionx0.005x90/360 INCORRECT:DBankAneedstohedgeitscreditexposureandthereforehastobuythe5YearCDS (BankAbuyscreditprotection) Reference:HullChapter23.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
exhibitsfattertailandtheprobabilityofaseniortranchebeinghitincreases,leadingtoamorerisky tranche. Reference:Culp,Chapters16,17,18.
15. Twobanksenterintoafiveyearfirsttodefaultbasketcreditdefaultswaptransaction.Thebasket containsthreeuncorrelatedcredits,W,XandY,eachwithaUSUSD25millionnotionalamount.The protectionsellerhastosettleonthecreditthatdefaultsfirstduringthetransaction.Afterthat,the protectionsellerhasnoobligationandthetransactionterminates.Supposethecreditshavethe following5yearcumulativeprobabilityofdefaults. 5YearProbabilitiesof Credit Default W 9.68% X 8.97% Y 8.02% Whichofthefollowingistheprobabilityofatleastonedefaultinthebasketduringthe5years? a. 8.02% b. 9.68% c. 24.38% d. 26.67%
2009FRMPracticeExams
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:A Thisquestionrequiresnocalculation.Becausethediscountfactor(0.5*(0.05+0.009)=0.0295)is greaterthanthecouponrate,thepresentvaluehastobelessthanthefacevaluethecorrect answerisA. Thisquestioncanbeworkedoutbyusingcalculator,whereN=6,I/Y=2.95,PMT=2.8,FV=100> PV=99.19. INCORRECT:BIsthefacevalue. INCORRECT:CIswhereonlyLiborrateisusedfordiscounting.N=6,I/Y=2.5,PMT=2.8,FV=100> PV=101.65. INCORRECT:DIswhereonlyCDSspreadisusedfordiscounting.N=6,I/Y=0.9,PMT=2.8,FV=100> PV=101.65. Reference:Hull,Culp
2009FRMPracticeExams
18. Ariskmanagerestimatesthedailyvariance(ht)usingaGARCHmodelondailyreturns(rt): ht=0+1r2t1+ht1 Assumethemodelparametervaluesare0 =0.005, =0.04,=0.94.Thelongrunannualized volatilityisapproximately: a. 25.00% b. 13.54% c. 72.72% d. 7.94% CORRECT:D Thelongrunvarianceis0.005/(10.040.94)=0.005/0.02=0.25.Thedailyvolisthusthesquare root,or0.5%andannualvol7.935%. INCORRECT:AThedailyvarianceisindeed0.25%,andthedailyvolatility0.5%butthisneedstobe annualized. INCORRECT:BMiscalculatesvarianceassqrt(0.04/(10.940.005))*15.87=13.54% INCORRECT:CMiscalculatesvarianceas0.04/(10.940.005)=72.72% Reference:Hull
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:B ThisquestionassessescandidatesabilitiestocarryoutCVaRcalculationscorrectly.
2009FRMPracticeExams
Using,e.g.,equation7.29fromJorion2ndedition,wehave CVaR = VaRwi i ,where wi isthe shareoftheithassetintheportfolioand i isitsbeta.Usingtheinformationgiven,VaR=2.33* 0.02*1,000,000,000=46,600,000,soCVaR=46,600,000*0.01*0.6=279,600. INCORRECT:AIncorrectlymultipliesthevolatilitybybetaintheVaRcalculation. INCORRECT:CIncorrectlyuses1.645intheVaRcalculation. INCORRECT:DIncorrectlyusesthesquarerootofthevolatilityintheVaRcalculation. Reference:Jorion,VaR,2ndedition,p.160,chapter7(Portfoliorisk:analyticalmethods).
CORRECT:D Thisquestiontestsunderstandingofexpectedvs.unexpectedloss.Theroguetraderhasanexpected loss(severitymultipliedbyprobability)of5MMwhilethemodelriskhasanexpectedlossof5MM. ThereforebothAandBareincorrect.Wethereforemustexamineunexpectedlosses.Therogue traderhasamuchwiderdistribution(Uniform)andalowerprobabilityofoccurrencethanthemodel risk(normaldistribution).Thereforetheroguetraderhasagreaterriskofunexpectedlosses. Unexpectedlossforroguetraderat95%confidencelevel:50MM5MM=45MM Thelossfrommodelriskatthe95thpercentilecorrespondstothe75thpercentileforthenormal distributionwithmean25andstandarddeviation5,sounexpectedlossformodelriskat95% confidencelevel:<(25MM+1.645*5MM)5MM<30MM Reference:Dowd,Chapter16.
2009FRMPracticeExams
21. Whichofthefollowingstatementsaboutliquidityriskelasticity(LRE)isincorrect?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
23. Whichofthefollowingstatementsregardingeconomiccapitalaretrue?
I. Economiccapitalisdesignedtoprovideacushionagainstunexpectedlossesataspecified confidenceleveloverasettimehorizon. II. Sinceregulatorycapitalmodelsandeconomiccapitalmodelshavedifferentobjectives, economiccapitalmodelscannothelpregulatorsinsettingregulatorycapital requirements. III. Firmswhosecapitalexceedstheirrequiredregulatorycapitalarefirmsthatemploytheir capitalinefficientlyandtheirshareholderswouldbenefitiftheyusedsomeoftheircapital torepurchasesharesorincreasedividends. IV. Economiccapitalcanbeusedtovalidateafirmsregulatorycapitalrequirementagainst itsownassessmentoftherisksitisrunning.
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C Economiccapitalisdefinedasacapitalbufferthatisrequiredtoabsorbtheimpactofunexpected lossesduringatimehorizonataportfoliomanagerslevelofconfidence.Afirmmayemploythe economiccapitalasitsowninternalassessmenttochecktheefficiencyofoverallamountofcapitalit holds.Therefore,IandIIIarecorrect. RecentregulatorychangessuchastheinternalratingsbasedapproachinBaselIIprovides encouragementforfirmstodeveloptheirinternalriskmanagementmodels.Therefore,economic capitalwillbecomeakeyregulatorytoolwithaconvergingtrendbetweeneconomiccapitaland regulatorycapitalmodels.IIisincorrectandIViscorrect Reference:Crouhy,Galai,andMark,RiskManagement.Chapter14CapitalAllocationand PerformanceMeasurement
2009FRMPracticeExams
24. YouareananalystatBankAlpha.YouweregiventhetasktodeterminewhetherunderBaselIIyour bankcanusethesimplifiedapproachtoreportoptionsexposureinsteadoftheintermediate approach.Whichofthefollowingcriteriawouldyourbankhavetosatisfyinorderforittousethe simplifiedapproach?
25. Yourbankisusingtheinternalmodelsapproachtoestimateitsgeneralmarketriskcharge.The multiplicationfactork,setbytheregulator,is3andbanksareallowedtousethesquarerootrule toscaledailyVaR.Thepreviousdays1dayVaRestimateisEUR3million,andtheaverageofthe dailyVaRoverthelast60daysisEUR2million.Giventheaboveinformation,whatwillbethe marketriskchargeforyourbank? a. EUR18.97million b. EUR9.49million c. EUR6.32million d. EUR28.46million
2009FRMPracticeExams
INCORRECT:D10*Max(3*3,3*2)=28.46 Reference:BaselII:InternationalConvergenceofCapitalMeasurementandCapitalStandards:A RevisedFrameworkComprehensiveVersion(BaselCommitteeonBankingSupervisionPublication, June2006). 26. UndertheBaselIICapitalAccord,banksthathaveobtainedpriorregulatoryapprovalcanusethe internalmodelsapproachtoestimatetheirmarketriskcapitalrequirement.Whatapproachor methodologyisusedundertheinternalmodelsapproachtocomputecapitalrequirements?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C BaselIIprescribesa10dayVaRat99%confidencelevelforcapitalchargecomputation.However, banksarefreetochoosethemethodtocomputeVaR. INCORRECT:AStresstestingandbacktestingareusedtosupplementandvalidatetheresultsof capitalcomputation,andarenotthemethodpersetobeadoptedforcapitalcomputation INCORRECT:BInternalratingapproachandvendormodelsaresomethingassociatedwithcredit riskratherthanmarketrisk INCORRECT:DRegulationprescribesVaRandnotETLorCVaR,evenwhenitisknownthatVaRis notsubadditiveatalltimes. Reference:BaselII:InternationalConvergenceofCapitalMeasurementandCapitalStandards:A RevisedFrameworkComprehensiveVersion(BaselCommitteeonBankingSupervisionPublication, June2006).
2009FRMPracticeExams
a. TheestimatedlossdistributionlikelyoverstatesBankZsrealriskbecausemanyincidencesin thepastwerelikelyoneoff. b. TheestimatedlossdistributionlikelyaccuratelyrepresentsBankZsrealriskbecausethe recordsareaccurateandcomplete. c. TheestimatedlossdistributionlikelyunderstatesBankZsrealriskbecausethebankhasnot experiencedahugeloss. d. TheestimatedlossdistributionlikelyisthebestestimateofBankZsrealriskbecausethereisno betterlossdataforthebankthanitsown.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
29. Tohandlethefinancingofalargecomplexproject,yourbankisestablishingaspecialpurposeentity (SPE)forwhichyourbankwillactastrustee.Whichofthefollowingcouldresultinliabilitytoyour bankthroughitsroleastrustee?
CORRECT:C Reference:Culp
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
loanshavethesameProbabilityofDefault,PD,of2%withaLossGivenDefault,LGD,of50%. OperatingcostsareUSD10million.ThefundingcostofthebusinessisUSD30million.RAROCis estimatedusingacreditVaRforloanbusinesses.Inthiscase,theappropriatecreditVaRforthe loansis7.5%.Theeconomiccapitalisinvestedandearns6%.TheRAROCis:
a. b. c. d.
32. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingBaselIInonadvancedapproachesisincorrect?
2009FRMPracticeExams
a. Incontrasttocreditriskregulatorycapitalforcorporateloans,banksusingtheAMAapproach mayhavetosetasidecapitalforbothexpectedandunexpectedoperationalrisklosses. b. IncontrasttothecreditriskIRBapproaches,banksusingtheAMAapproachmayestimatethe correlationbetweendifferenttypesofoperationalrisksiftheirmodelssatisfyregulatory requirements. c. Toevaluateexposuretohighseverityoperationalriskevents,banksusingtheAMAapproach mayuseeitherscenarioanalysisofexpertopinion,orVaRmodelestimatesbasedoninternal datausingextremevaluetheory. d. Reportingofoperationalriskexposuretoseniormanagementisanecessaryconditionfora banksabilitytousetheAMAapproach.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
35. Whichofthefollowingisnotincludedasanelementincalculatingoperationalriskcapitalunderthe AdvancedMeasurementApproach?
a. b. c. d.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
37. Abankwouldliketoestimatethenumberofoperationalriskeventsduetoproblemswithtellers (largemistakes,fraud,andsoon).Thebankdecidestomodeltelleroperationalriskeventsasa PoissonProcesswithrate (numberofeventsperyear).Withthismodel,telleroperationalrisk eventsareassumedtooccurindependentlyofoneanotherandthenumberoftelleroperationalrisk eventsinayearisPoissondistributedwithmean . OtherpropertiesofaPoissondistributionwith mean include: Variance: Skewness: Excesskurtosis -0.5 1/
2009FRMPracticeExams
38. Allthefollowingareoperationalrisklossevents,except:
a. Aloanofficerinaccuratelyentersclientfinancialinformationintothebanksproprietarycredit riskmodel b. Anindividualshowsupatabranchpresentingacheckwrittenbyacustomerforanamount substantiallyexceedingthecustomerslowcheckingaccountbalance.Whenthebankcallsthe customertoaskhimforthefunds,thephoneisdisconnectedandthebankcannotrecoverthe funds. c. Duringanadversemarketmovement,thecomputernetworksystembecomesoverwhelmed andonlyintermittentpricinginformationisavailabletothebankstradingdesk,leadingtolarge lossesastradersbecomeunabletoaltertheirhedgesinresponsetofallingprices d. Abank,actingasatrusteeforaloanpool,receiveslessthantheprojectedfundsduetodelayed repaymentofcertainloans.
CORRECT:D AbroadinterpretationoftheFDICandBaselIIrulesdefiningoperationalriskswouldconsiderall,but alternatived,asoperationalriskeventsandoperationalrisklosses.Aloanofficerentering inaccurateclientfinancialinformationintothebanksproprietarycreditriskmodelisaprocessrisk andanylossesattributabletothisemployeeerrorshouldbeconsideredasanoperationalriskevent. Customerswritingchecksexceedingthebalanceofacheckingaccountanddepositingthefundsina savingsaccountisanexampleofcheckkiting.Ifduringtimesofadversemarketmovement,the computernetworkbecomesoverwhelmedandonlydelayedpricinginformationreachesthebanks tradingdeskandtradesarebasedontheavailableinformation,thebankissubjecttobusiness disruptionandsystemfailures.Whenabank,actingasatrusteeforaloanpool,receiveslessthan theprojectedfundsduetodelayedrepaymentofcertainloansinthepoolisnotanoperationalrisk lossevent. Reference:BaselII:InternationalConvergenceofCapitalMeasurementandCapitalStandards:A RevisedFrameworkComprehensiveVersion(BaselCommitteeonBankingSupervisionPublication, June2006).
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
40. Supposeyouaregiventhefollowinginformationabouttheoperationalrisklossesatyourbank.
WhatistheestimateoftheVaRatthe95%confidencelevel,assumingthatthefrequencyand severitydistributionsareindependent?
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C Thelossdistributionis: Totalloss 0 1,000 2,000 10,000 11,000 20,000 100,000 101,000 110,000 200,000 Probability 0.5 0.18 0.072 0.09 0.072 0.018 0.03 0.024 0.012 0.002
2009FRMPracticeExams
The95%VaRis100,000.Theotheranswersarefromthisdistribution,butnotcorrespondingtothe 95%VaR.
Reference:Allenetal.,chapter5.
42. Thesurplusofapensionfundismostimportantfor:
2009FRMPracticeExams
43. Amutualfundinvestingincommonstockshasadoptedaliquidityriskmeasurelimitingeachofits holdingstoamaximumof30%ofitsthirtydayaveragevaluetraded.IfthefundsizeisUSD3billion, whatisthemaximumweightthatthefundcanholdinastockwithathirtydayaveragevaluetraded ofUSD2.4million?
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
45. Whichofthefollowingisnotanapproachfordetectingstyledriftofhedgefunds? a. Performanceattribution b. Peergroupcomparison c. Cashflowanalysis d. Communicationwithfundmanager
46. Allofthefollowingstrategiesareexamplesofcapitalstructurearbitrage,except:
CORRECT:D Alongpositioninthebondsissuedbythecompanyandshortpositioninthecompanysstock,anda shortpositioninthebondsissuedbythecompanyandalongpositioninthecompanysstockare bothcapitalizingonthedifferentspeedofadjustmenttoinformationinthebondandequities markets.Alongpositioninacreditdefaultswaponthecompanyandwritingputoptionsonthe companysstockcapitalizesonthedifferencesinthevolatilitysurfacebetweenbondsandequity. Shortpositioninthepreferredstockissuedbythecompanyandwritingcalloptionsonthe companysstockinfactisanetshortpositionwhichshouldnotbesensitivetorelativechangesinthe differencebetweenthetwoinstruments. Reference:Jaeger,ThroughtheAlphaSmokescreens,Chapter5
2009FRMPracticeExams
47. Youhavebeenaskedtoevaluatetheperformanceoftwohedgefunds:GlobalAssetManagementI andInternationalMomentumII.BotharebenchmarkedtoMSCIEAFE.Whichofthetwofundshad ahigherrelativeRiskAdjustedPerformance(RAP)lastyear,andwhatistheRAP?
ThevolatilityofEAFEis17.5%andtheannualizedperformanceis10.6%.Theriskfreerateis3.5%. Fund Volatility AnnualizedPerformance GlobalAssetManagementI 24.5% 12.5% InternationalMomentumII 27.3% 13.6%
a. b. c. d.
CORRECT:C Theannualizedriskadjustedperformanceism/p(RpRm)+Rf= mbenchmarkvolatility pportfoliovolatility Rpportfolioreturn Rmbenchmarkreturn Rfriskfreereturn TheriskadjustedperformanceforGlobalisthenm/p(RpRm)+Rf=17.5/24.5x(12.510.6)+3.5 =4.85% TheriskadjustedperformanceforInternationalisthenm/p(RpRm)+Rf=17.5/27.3x(13.610.6) +3.5=5.42%.InternationalhasagreaterRAP. Reference:Grinold,Kahn,Chapters14,17.
a. b. c. d.
2009FRMPracticeExams
CORRECT:C Thesurplusatthebeginningoftheyearwas10085or15billionEUR.Duringtheyear,theequity portfoliodeclines15%,or15billionEUR,to85billionEUR.Duetotheincreaseinyields,thedollar valueoftheliabilitiesdecreasesby12.5*1.2%*85billionEUR,or12.75.Thusattheendofthe year,theassetsareworth(10015)=85billionEURandtheliabilities(8512.75)=72.25billion. Thesurplusisthen12.75,adecreaseof2.25billionEUR. INCORRECT:A15istheequitylossin2006 INCORRECT:B12.93=15*(1(.15.012)) INCORRECT:D12.57=15*(1(.15+.012)) Reference:Jorion,VaR,3rded,Chapter17.
49. WhichofthefollowingstatementsregardingExtremeValueTheory(EVT)isincorrect?
2009FRMPracticeExams
50. Consideraportfoliowith40%investedinassetXand60%investedinassetY.Themeanand varianceofreturnonXare0and25respectively.ThemeanandvarianceofreturnonYare1and 121respectively.ThecorrelationcoefficientbetweenXandYis0.3.Whatisthenearestvaluefor portfoliovolatility? a. b. c. d. 9.51% 8.60% 13.38% 7.45%
CORRECT:D Theportfoliovolatilityiscalculatedasfollows:
2 2 2 2 portfolio variance = w x x + w y y + 2w x w y xy x y
ENDOF2009FRMFULLEXAMPRACTICEEXAMII Questions&Explanations