Professional Documents
Culture Documents
I.
OBJETIVOS:
II.
MARCO TERICO:
III.
Ao
Caudal de
Estacin en
Estadio
Ao
Caudal de
Estacin ndice
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
16.949
12.812
16.010
14.080
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.684
17.690
15.055
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.270
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.480
30.106
8.250
13.641
18.306
15.935
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
22.802
22.386
28.268
13.736
31.352
25.602
27.134
23.199
22.960
28.324
34.369
15.523
13.689
28.123
72.637
20.793
23.595
30.560
34.191
22.688
25.087
22.306
18.445
29.043
18.330
23.679
27.359
14.599
34.778
6.695
21.972
22.073
38.698
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
33.480
25.139
20.321
13.632
15.395
15.277
10.026
11.300
9.613
20.690
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
24.518
43.620
27.522
39.454
23.153
29.701
6.462
16.494
6.395
m3/seg
30
20
10
0
1939
1944
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
1979
(aos)
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1939
1944
1949
1954
1959
(aos)
1964
1969
1974
1979
Ao
Caudal de
Estacin
en
Estudio
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
16.949
12.812
16.01
14.08
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.684
17.69
15.055
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.27
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.48
30.106
8.25
13.641
18.306
15.935
33.48
25.139
20.321
Caudal
Caudal
Caudal de Acumulado Acumulado
Estacin
de
de
ndice
Estacin
Estacin
en Estudio
ndice
22.802
16.949
22.802
22.386
29.761
45.188
28.268
45.771
73.456
13.736
59.851
87.192
31.352
86.555
118.544
25.602
100.427
144.146
27.134
108.8
171.28
23.199
123.533
194.479
22.96
137.381
217.439
28.324
153.045
245.763
34.369
164.872
280.132
15.523
175.455
295.655
13.689
195.914
309.344
28.123
215.33
337.467
72.637
235.014
410.104
20.793
252.704
430.897
23.595
267.759
454.492
30.56
279.244
485.052
34.191
289.356
519.243
22.688
299.228
541.931
25.087
313.504
567.018
22.306
325.774
589.324
18.445
346.963
607.769
29.043
363.986
636.812
18.33
386.134
655.142
23.679
404.322
678.821
27.359
422.377
706.18
14.599
432.857
720.779
34.778
462.963
755.557
6.695
471.213
762.252
21.972
484.854
784.224
22.073
503.16
806.297
38.698
519.095
844.995
24.518
552.575
869.513
43.62
577.714
913.133
27.522
598.035
940.655
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
13.632
15.395
15.277
10.026
11.3
9.613
20.69
39.454
23.153
29.701
6.462
16.494
6.395
611.667
627.062
642.339
652.365
663.665
673.278
693.968
980.109
1003.262
1032.963
1039.425
1055.919
1062.314
A. Evaluacin, cuantificacin
submuestra 1 y 2
correccin
de
datos
de
MUESTRA DUDOSA 1
ao
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
caudal
16.949
12.812
16.01
14.08
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
22.802
22.386
28.268
13.736
31.352
25.602
27.134
23.199
22.96
28.324
34.369
15.523
13.689
n1= 13
Clculo de media:
MUESTRA DUDOSA 2
ao
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
caudal
19.416
19.684
17.69
15.055
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.27
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.48
30.106
8.25
13.641
18.306
15.935
28.123
72.637
20.793
23.595
30.56
34.191
22.688
25.087
22.306
18.445
29.043
18.33
23.679
27.359
14.599
34.778
6.695
21.972
22.073
38.698
n1= 20
Clculo de media:
A.1.1
1.701
Criterio de decisin
Criterio de decisin
correccin
de
datos
de
sub muestra 1*
ao
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
22.802
22.386
28.268
13.736
31.352
25.602
27.134
23.199
22.96
28.324
34.369
15.523
13.689
28.123
72.637
20.793
23.595
30.56
34.191
22.688
25.087
22.306
caudal
16.949
12.812
16.01
14.08
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.684
17.69
15.055
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.27
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
18.445
29.043
18.33
23.679
27.359
14.599
34.778
6.695
21.972
22.073
38.698
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.48
30.106
8.25
13.641
18.306
15.935
Clculo de media:
MUESTRA CONFIABLE
ao
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
24.518
43.62
27.522
39.454
23.153
29.701
6.462
16.494
caudal
33.48
25.139
20.321
13.632
15.395
15.277
10.026
11.3
1980
1981
6.395
9.613
20.69
Clculo de media:
Criterio de decisin
|
No se realizan correcciones.
A.2.3 Evaluacin de la consistencia en la varianza
Criterio de decisin
AO
CAUDAL
CAUDAL
CORREGIDO
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
16.949
12.812
16.01
14.08
26.704
13.872
8.373
14.733
13.848
15.664
11.827
10.583
20.459
19.416
19.354
13.013
17.915
14.957
34.304
14.638
6.210
15.957
14.601
17.384
11.504
9.597
24.733
23.135
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
19.684
17.69
15.05477
11.485
10.112
9.872
14.276
12.27
21.189
17.023
22.148
18.188
18.055
10.48
30.106
8.25
13.641
18.306
15.935
23.545
20.489
16.451
10.980
8.875
8.508
15.257
12.183
25.852
19.467
27.322
21.253
21.049
9.439
39.518
6.022
14.284
21.433
17.800
A.
Anlisis de Tendencias
A continuacin presentamos un cuadro de resumen de los clculos y los
parmetros.
El siguiente cuadro muestra todos los clculos que se han realizado
previamente para poder hallar los parmetros estadsticos, antes de
corregir los datos:
ti
(ti - t)^2
Tmi
t * Tm
Tm
(Am+Bm*t)
1
2
3
4
1190.25 7.91
1122.25 8.01
1056.25 13.27
992.25 16.39
7.91
16.02
39.81
65.56
34.330
34.121
33.913
33.705
930.25
404.15
33.496
80.83
870.25
60.08
360.48
33.288
7
8
9
812.25
756.25
702.25
21.55
27.71
28.63
150.85
221.68
257.67
33.079
32.871
32.663
10
650.25
30.27
302.7
32.454
11
600.25
33.43
367.73
32.246
12
552.25
35.16
421.92
32.037
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
506.25
462.25
420.25
380.25
342.25
306.25
272.25
240.25
210.25
182.25
156.25
132.25
27.21
15.58
64.81
51.26
33.48
25.79
25.8
18.93
16.15
38.3
54.54
59.4
353.73
218.12
972.15
820.16
569.16
464.22
490.2
378.6
339.15
842.6
1254.4
1425.6
31.829
31.621
31.412
31.204
30.995
30.787
30.579
30.370
30.162
29.953
29.745
29.537
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
110.25
90.25
72.25
56.25
42.25
30.25
20.25
12.25
6.25
2.25
0.25
0.25
2.25
6.25
12.25
20.25
30.25
42.25
56.25
72.25
90.25
110.25
132.25
156.25
182.25
24.58
28.49
10.05
28.01
34.92
31.36
42.74
12.94
41.16
35.9
33.76
29.28
19.77
29.37
30.06
9.67
10.42
23.99
42.17
16
22.78
32.69
34.28
20.24
22.88
614.5
740.74
271.35
784.28
1012.7
940.8
1324.9
414.08
1358.3
1220.6
1181.6
1054.1
731.49
1116.1
1172.3
386.8
427.22
1007.6
1813.3
704
1025.1
1503.7
1611.2
971.52
1121.1
29.328
29.120
28.911
28.703
28.495
28.286
28.078
27.869
27.661
27.453
27.244
27.036
26.827
26.619
26.411
26.202
25.994
25.785
25.577
25.369
25.160
24.952
24.743
24.535
24.327
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
210.25
240.25
272.25
306.25
342.25
380.25
420.25
462.25
506.25
552.25
600.25
650.25
702.25
756.25
812.25
870.25
930.25
992.25
1056.25
1122.25
1190.25
SUMA
PROMEDIO
DESV. ESTAN
17.57
14.6
31.14
18.2
24.69
22.99
11.78
32.26
4.76
12.7
16.19
30.14
30.57
45.38
18.91
34.99
21.49
29.26
4.58
12.46
3.14
878.5
744.6
1619.3
964.6
1333.3
1264.5
659.68
1838.8
276.08
749.3
971.4
1838.5
1895.3
2858.9
1210.2
2274.4
1418.3
1960.4
311.44
859.74
219.8
24.118
23.910
23.701
23.493
23.285
23.076
22.868
22.659
22.451
22.243
22.034
21.826
21.617
21.409
21.201
20.992
20.784
20.575
20.367
20.159
19.950
2485
35.5
28578
408.3
1899.8
27.14
61401 1899.8
877.16 27.14
20.3510851 367.7
14.767
589.69 4.241
Yt X (t ) Tm Tm
Yt X (t ) Am Bm * t Tm
A continuacin un cuadro donde se muestran todos los clculos hechos, para poder
corregir y dejar libre de tendencias en la media.
ti
Tm
(Am+Bm*t)
Xti
Datos
Corregidos
1
2
3
4
34.330
34.121
33.913
33.705
7.91
8.01
13.27
16.39
0.72
1.03
6.50
9.83
5
6
33.496
33.288
80.83
60.08
74.47
53.93
7
8
9
33.079
32.871
32.663
21.55
27.71
28.63
15.61
21.98
23.11
10
32.454
30.27
24.96
11
32.246
33.43
28.32
12
32.037
35.16
30.26
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
31.829
31.621
31.412
31.204
30.995
30.787
30.579
30.370
30.162
29.953
27.21
15.58
64.81
51.26
33.48
25.79
25.8
18.93
16.15
38.3
22.52
11.10
60.54
47.20
29.62
22.14
22.36
15.70
13.13
35.49
23
24
29.745
29.537
54.54
59.4
51.94
57.00
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
29.328
29.120
28.911
28.703
28.495
28.286
28.078
27.869
27.661
27.453
27.244
27.036
26.827
26.619
26.411
26.202
25.994
25.785
25.577
25.369
25.160
24.952
24.743
24.535
24.327
24.118
23.910
23.701
23.493
23.285
23.076
22.868
22.659
22.451
22.243
22.034
21.826
21.617
21.409
21.201
20.992
24.58
28.49
10.05
28.01
34.92
31.36
42.74
12.94
41.16
35.9
33.76
29.28
19.77
29.37
30.06
9.67
10.42
23.99
42.17
16
22.78
32.69
34.28
20.24
22.88
17.57
14.6
31.14
18.2
24.69
22.99
11.78
32.26
4.76
12.7
16.19
30.14
30.57
45.38
18.91
34.99
22.39
26.51
8.28
26.45
33.57
30.21
41.80
12.21
40.64
35.59
33.66
29.38
20.08
29.89
30.79
10.61
11.57
25.34
43.73
17.77
24.76
34.88
36.68
22.84
25.69
20.59
17.83
34.58
21.85
28.55
27.05
16.05
36.74
9.45
17.60
21.30
35.45
36.09
51.11
24.85
41.14
66
67
68
69
70
20.784
20.575
20.367
20.159
19.950
21.49
29.26
4.58
12.46
3.14
27.85
35.82
11.35
19.44
10.33
SUMA
PROMEDIO
2485
35.5
1899.8
27.14
1899.8
27.14
1899.8
27.14
DESV. ESTAN
20.3510851
4.241
14.7666214
14.13
100.00
50.00
Aos
Histograma Corregido
1980
1975
1970
1965
1960
1955
1950
1945
1940
1935
1930
1925
1920
1915
0.00
1910
Caudal m3/seg
HISTOGRAMA DE LA ESTACIN
SALMAR