Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Lecture 1
Portfolio Perspective
What is a Portfolio? Diversification Evaluate how individual securities contribute to risk/return
of a portfolio?
Markowitz framework: Standard deviation as a measure
of risk
Types of Clients
Individual Investors
Characteristics
Institutional Investors
Banks Insurance Companies Investment companies Others
Asset Classes
Equities Fixed Income / Bonds Commodities Real Estate
Pooled Investments
Mutual Funds Open-ended / Closed Ended Types of Fund (Stock, Bond, Index Fund) Active/Passive
Hedge Funds Absolute returns, high leverage, large investors Strategies: shorting, derivatives
Private Equity Funds Buy-out funds, Venture capital funds
Example
Stock A
Stock B
Portfolio
Return
E(RA) A
E(RB) B
E(RP) P
Risk
Expected Returns
15.00%
15.00%
15.00%
Variance
Standard Deviation
0.0200
14.14%
0.0200
14.14%
0.0090
9.49%
Total Risk = Systematic Risk + Unsystematic Risk Market Risk Unique Risk
=
=1
( )
= +
Expected Return
16.80%
Correlation
Value between -1 and 1
Portfolio Risk
Standard deviation of portfolio
Portfolio Risk
Example
Weight Expected Return Standard Deviation 0.6 20% 40% 0.4 12% 16%
Stock A Stock B
Correlation
-1
16.80% 17.60%
Variance:
Matrix Multiplication
Variance-covariance matrix:
Efficient Frontier
A portfolio of two securities
Security A Security B Expected Returns Standard Deviation Correlation 12% 20% -0.2 A B Expected Standard Proportion Proportion Return Deviation 1 1 0 12.00% 20.00% 2 0.9 0.1 12.80% 17.64% 3 0.76 0.24 13.92% 16.27% 4 0.5 0.5 16.00% 20.49% 5 0.25 0.75 18.00% 29.41% 6 0 1 20.00% 40.00% 20% 40%
Portfolio
Efficient Frontier
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00% 0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
Efficient Frontier
Benefit of diversification
Minimum Variance
Portfolio (Portfolio C) Feasible set or opportunity set represented by the curved line AB The curve bends backwards. Investors invest above MVP.
O r = -1
r=0
r=1
Efficient Portfolio
A portfolio is efficient if there is no alternative with:
Higher expected return with same level of risk Same expected return with lower level of risk Higher expected return for lower level of risk
R E(Rm)
P Rf
= + =
CAL
R E(Rm)
P Rf
Risk Aversion
Risk aversion refers to the behaviour of investor to prefer
Risk
Risk
Risk
E(R) = A * Variance +U
Homogeneity of expectations
Market portfolio
CML
R E(Rm)
Rf
Rf
Beta
A measure of volatility of a portfolio or a security in
Market Beta = 1
Frictionless markets
Single holding period Homogenous expectations Investments are infinitely divisible Investors are price takers
CAPM Equation
= +
0.8 1 1.2
Question
The risk-free rate is 5%. The return on Sensex is 12%.
XYZ Corp. is 20% less volatile than the market. Calculate the required rate of return on XYZ Corp.
Question
The stock market is expected to generate 11% return. The
standard deviation of the market returns is 15%. ABC Corp. is 20% more volatile than the market. Risk-free rate is 4%. Calculate the expected return on XYZ Corp.
Multi-factor Models