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BENCH
BEDSIDE
COMMUNITY/ POLICY
1. Observe
1. Observe a phenomenon and/or ask a question 2. Form a hypothesis
An assumption about the nature of an phenomenon Specific and falsifiable prediction
2. Hypothesis formation
Hypothesis : An assumption about the nature of a phenomenon A prediction about what will happen A statement that often takes one of two forms:
relationship between two or more variables. differences between groups.
Independent Variable
Dependent variable
CHOCOLATE
OBESITY
Quantitative/Numerical
Categorical/Descriptive
Can be measured
Height Age Weight Test Scores
2. Hypothesis formation
Defining and measuring variables
Operationalization- How variables are measured
Hypothesis Formation
Identifying the nature of the relationship between two quantitative variables
How does the independent variable affect the dependent variable? If the Independent variable changes, what happens to the dependent variable?
Prediction?
Independent Variable
Dependent variable
Do you want to see what happens to one variable when you change another (cause and effect)?
EXPERIMENTAL
In both observational and experimental research, sample size and characteristics are important Sample size (n)
How many participants in a study
Sample characteristics
Age, sex, socioeconomic status, race/ethnicity, location
Experimental research
At least one variable is manipulated (changed)
Experimental research
Variables manipulated Population vs. Sample Pop- everyone Sample- those who participate
Observational Research
Uncover, explore, or define relationships between variables Collect quantitative (numerical) data
Measurement of two or more variables
Statistically manipulate or analyze and evaluate data Describe relationships or predict future outcomes
Observational Research
Describe relationships or predict future outcomes
Chocolate consumption in negatively related to BMI
Retrospective studies
Recruit subjects and compare current characteristics or disease states with past behaviors or exposures
Experimental Research
Research design that makes it possible to determine cause and effect (causal inference) ALWAYS prospective
Baseline must be established Identify change
Experimental Research
Controlling for variables
Keep as many factors the same as possible between groups Measure and examine other factors that can influence outcome of dependent variable
Statistically control
Randomization
Each individual has an equal chance of receiving the treatment Reduces researcher bias & selection bias Helps make each group equal at the start of a trial
Blinding
Hiding or disguising who is getting what treatment
Researchers interacting with participants Participates dont know if they are on the placebo or control Statisticians dont know which group is which (or what the hypothesis is)
Randomization
Each individual has an equal chance of receiving the treatment
Experimental Research
Experimental study examining the hypothesis: Eating chocolate will cause individuals to lose weight Independent variable? Chocolate Dependent variable? Obesity/BMI Nature of relationship (positive/negative)?
Chocolate Intake
Obesity
Experimental Research
How could we operationalize these variables?
Chocolate Intake
Weight
Experimental Research
Eating chocolate will cause individuals to lose weight. How do we set up the study to control for variables and test cause and effect? 1. Begin with 2 groups that are approximately EQUAL at the beginning 2. Only manipulate one variable
Keep all other variables approximately the same
Calorie intake Fat, carb, protein intake Physical activity level Interactions with researchers
DATA
Statistical tests
Data Analysis
Analyze data and draw conclusions
Statistically analyze data
Statistical tests are used to determine the nature of a relationship between 2 variables
Is it a TRUE relationship or is it due to chance
P-value
P<0.05 is standard cut-point this means there is less than a 5% chance the results are by chance
Statistical Significance
p-values come in all forms
0.05 is the cut off Often see 0.01, 0.001, .0000
NOTE: A smaller p-value does not mean a result is more significant or stronger
p <0.001 is just as significant as p <0.05 The chance that this is a random occurrence is smaller Approaching significance is NOT significant
See approaching significance p-values 0.06-0.08
Significance is significance
CHOCOLATE
MEAN % BF= 30%
Numerically quantify the relationship between the dependent (Y-variable) and independent (x-variable)
CHOCOLATE INTAKE
Body fatness
r= - 0.11 p-value=0.01
What can we conclude about chocolate and body weight?
Error in Research
No research study or researcher is perfect Measurement error
Incorrect use of measurement tools Measurement tools that dont measure what they are meant to measure
Researcher error
Recording results Implementing experimental procedures
Participant error
Memory bias (record incorrectly) Social desirability bias Misunderstanding of the questions
Provides check on research promoting publication of only quality, systematic, and informative research
Peer-reviewed journals
Specific subject areas Experts on the editorial boards & as reviewers
Evidence Pyramid
Systematic Reviews Randomized controlled trials Cohort studies Case-control studies Case series Case reports Ideas, Editorials, Opinions Animal research In vitro (cell) research
Strongest Evidence
Weak Evidence
For more information (if you are interested) http://researchguides.uic.edu/ebm