Presentation

of
Feasibility Study Report of Nibu
Khola III MHS
Prepared By:
Manchan Tiwari (507)
Sandeep Joshi (517)
Nishant Poudyal (506)
Baibhav
Ramanuj Dhungana
Overview
Background
Introduction
Methodology
Technical Aspects
Financial and Economic Aspects
Risk Analysis
Conclusion
Background
Micro hydro : Decentralised energy system
Lightening and end use purpose
Social-economic development/ upliftment of
living standard of the people of the region
Tarrif collection
Possibility of end use produce revenue and
employement opportunity
Introduction
Feasilibity study of energy project
Nibu Khola III MHS situated in Aangsarang
VDC, Panchthar
12 kW energy system
116 beneficiary households
Design flow available 12 months
End uses revenue are based on assumptions
Salient Features
Project Location
Name of Project : Nibu Khola III MHS
Location : Aangsarang VDC Ward no.-2,
Sisneri
District : Panchthar
Name of source : Nibu Khola
Nos. of Household Benefited : 116
Altitude : 915 m AMSL
Nearest Road Head : Ranke
Walking hours from Ranke : 5 hrs (For unladen local)
Ownership Type : Community

Technical Features
Gross Head : 19 m
Net Head : 17.95 m
Measured Flow : 180 lps at 14
th
April
Minimum Flow Available : 177.75 lps
Design flow for intake : 143.33 lps
Design flow for power generation : 129 lps
Head Race length : 492 m
Power Output : 12 kW
Overall efficiency : 50%

Contd...
Electro-Mechanical
Type of Turbine : Crossflow T15, 16 KW Shaft
Output,
75% Efficiency
Mech. Transmission : Belt drive, V-belt
Generator : 25 KVA, 3 Ph., 50 HZ, 400/230
V, 1500 rpm Synchronous
Generator, Brush less
Penstock Pipe : Length 44 m, 260 mm ID,
MS, 3mm thick.
Electric Poles : 156 Nos. of wooden poles.
T & D Lines : 6.259 km (one way length)
Load controller : ELC, 12kW
Ballast Load : 15 kW

Methodology
Based on desk survey and calculations
Datas from field survey were available from
DDC:DEES Panchthar
Provided Datas: Head, site flow, canal length,
settlement, length of conductors required,
penstock length, topography, geology water
right and energy use pattern.
Technical Aspects
Components:
Headwork
Gravel trap/Silting basin
Headrace canal
Forebay
Penstock
Anchor Block/ Slide Blocks
Power house
Machine foundation
Tailrace canal
Turbine
Penstock
Expansion Joint
Trashrack
Valves
Drive System
Flushing set
Generator
Governing System
Protection System
Transmission and distribution system
Financial and Economic Aspects
Total Project Cost


SN Descriptions
Cost (NRs)
%age of Total
Total Local Non Local
1 Mechanical works 462,777 - 462,777 16.29
2 Electrical works 1,305,379 36,320 1,269,059 45.95
3 Civil works 783,365 356,025 427,341 27.57
4 Transportation 65,000 - 65,000 2.29
5 Tools 14,690 - 14,690 0.52
6 Spare parts 18,306 - 18,306 0.64
7
Installation and Testing-
Commissioning 75,000 - 75,000 2.64
8 Sub-Total 2,724,517 392,345 2,332,172 95.90
9
Contingencies (5% of Non
Local Cost) 116,609 116,609 4.10
10 Total Project Cost 2,841,126 392,345 2,448,781 100.00
Sources of Finance
S.N. Sources Amount (Rs) Share (%) Remarks
1
AEPC/REDP
Subsidy 1,020,000 3
6

AEPC
/REDPSubsidy
2 DDC Investment 142,056 5.00 5% of TPC
3 VDC Investment 300,000 10 10%-15% of TPC
4
Community
Contribution
1379070

49


Total Source of
Finance: 2,841,126 100.00
Expected Annual Revenue
Lightening : NRs. 2 per watt per month
End Use: NRs. 7 per kWh

S.N.
Type of
Business
Location
Power
(kW)
Operatin
g Hours
Operatin
g Days
/Month
Operatin
g Months
/Year
Total
Energy
Consum
p (kwh)
Tariff/kW
h
Total
Income
Remarks
1
Agro-
processing
Unit 5.50 7 25 12 11550 7 80850
Huller/Gri
nder
2
Dairy

5.00 5 20 12 6000 7 42000
At
Village
3
Battery
Charger 1.00 7 25 12 2100 7 14700
At
Village
Total: 5.5 19650 137550
Income from tarriff collection
S.N.
No of
Househ
olds
Locatio
n Ward
Power
(kW)
Operati
ng
Hours
Operati
ng Days
/Month
Operati
ng
Months
/Year
Total
Energy
Consu
mp
(kWh)
Tariff
Total
Income
Remark
s
1 116
Ward
no.2,1 12 8 28 12 32256 2 288000
Power
Basis*
12 32256 288000
Total revenue= NRs. 425550
Annual expenses
S.N. Component
Monthly
Expense
s
Misc
Expense
Total
Expenses
Month
Total
Annual
Expenditur
e Remarks
1 MH Operator I
4000

4000
12
48000

2

Repair &
Maint. 7103 7103 12 85234
3 % of
TPC
3
Miscellaneous 150 150 12 1800
Max.12000
.0
Total: 11253 11253 135034
Cash
Outflow, 0
Cash Flow Diagram
-2,000,000
-1,750,000
-1,500,000
-1,250,000
-1,000,000
-750,000
-500,000
-250,000
0
250,000
500,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cash Flow Diagram(Project life 15 years)
IRR and NPV calculations
Year Investment Revenue Expense Cumulative Amount (P/F) factor(10%) Present Value
0 1821126 -1821126 1 -1821126
1 425570 135034 290536 1.1 264123.6364
2 425570 135034 290536 1.21 240112.3967
3 425570 135034 290536 1.331 218283.997
4 425570 135034 290536 1.4641 198439.9973
5 425570 135034 290536 1.6105 180401.1177
6 425570 135034 290536 1.7716 163996.3874
7 425570 135034 290536 1.9487 149092.2153
8 425570 135034 290536 2.1436 135536.4807
9 425570 135034 290536 2.3579 123218.1178
10 425570 135034 290536 2.5937 112016.0389
11 425570 135034 290536 2.8531 101831.6918
12 425570 135034 290536 3.1384 92574.56029
13 425570 135034 290536 3.4523 84157.22851
14 425570 135034 290536 3.7975 76507.17577
15 425570 135034 290536 4.1772 69552.8105
IRR = 13.6%
NPV = NRs. 388714
Payback Period = 6.2 years
Benefit-cost calculations
Investment cost = NRs. 2841126
Annual cost = 135034
Depreciation = 121408
Revenue = 425550
Benefits:
Kerosine replacement = 307800
Diesel replacement = 189000
Battery cell replacement = 76800
Year Initial Cost
Annual
cost
Depreciatio
n
Total Cost
Annual
Benefit
Annual
Revenue
Total
Benefit
(P/F)
factor(10%
)
Present Value
for Cost
Present Value
for Benefit
0 2841126 2841126 0 1 2841126 0
1 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.1 233129.0909 908336.3636
2 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.21 211935.5372 825760.3306
3 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.331 192668.6702 750691.2096
4 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.4641 175153.3365 682446.5542
5 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.6105 159231.2946 620409.8106
6 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.7716 144751.6369 563993.0007
7 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 1.9487 131596.4489 512736.6963
8 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 2.1436 119631.4611 466117.7458
9 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 2.3579 108758.6412 423754.188
10 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 2.5937 98871.11077 385229.5948
11 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 2.8531 89881.88286 350205.0401
12 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 3.1384 81711.06296 318369.2327
13 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 3.4523 74281.4935 289421.5451
14 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 3.7975 67529.16392 263112.5741
15 135034 121408 256442 573600 425570 999170 4.1772 61390.88385 239196.1122
B/C ratio = 1.58

Simple Levelized Cost of Energy

LCOE is the cost of generating energy for a
particular system
It is the minimum price at which energy must be
sold for an energy project to break even
It includes
initial investment,
operations and maintenance,
cost of fuel,
cost of capital.

calculation
sLCOE = {(overnight capital cost * capital recovery factor + fixed
O&M cost )/(8760 * capacity factor)} + (fuel cost * heat rate) +
variable O&M cost.

Where capital recovery factor is the ratio of a constant annuity to the
present value of receiving that annuity for a given length of time.

Using an interest rate i, the capital recovery factor is:
CRF = {i(1 + i)^n} / {[(1 + i)^n]-1}
where n is the number of annuities received.

capacity factor representing the portion of a year that the power
plant is generating power.


Period 15 years
Discount Rate(%) 10
Capital Cost($/kW) 2835.5
Capacity Factor (%) 67
Fixed O & M Cost ($/kW-yr) 135.59
Variable O&M Cost ($/kWh) 0.029
Electricity Cost (cents/kWh)
9
Cost Escalation Rate (%)
6
Calculation Parameters
Results
10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5 13 13.5
Levelized Cost of Utility (Cents/kWh)
Simple Levelised Cost of the MHP
(Cents/kWh)