A Study of Agricultural Land Use Change and Water Quality Analysis

Summer Intern activities
TDEC/Division of Water Resources

Summer 2013
NEXRAD data (Created map)

Land use data from NLCD [created raster
from polygon (1974) and from TIFF image
(2006)]
Chemical data analysis (organized and
analyzed data for North Fork Obion and Red
River Watersheds)
Monthly total precipitation data was
calculated and graphed for 40 year period
Tillage data was graphed
Go to lunch!
Kendall Rank Correlation for Atrazine, Nitrate

Score
-3239.000
Tau
-.039
Z-Value
-1.177
P-Value
.2392
Tau corrected for ties
-.069
Tied Z-Value
-2.086
Tied P-Value
.0369
# Ties, Atrazine
# Ties, Nitrate
80
67 cases w ere omitted due to missing values.
Has the stream water quality changed over

the years?
If there is a change, can we identify potential
reasons?
Background Maps
Land Use Maps
Bivariate Scattergram
Split By: Crop Type
90
80
Percent No-Till
70
Corn
Cotton
60
Soybeans
Wheat
50
40
30
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Split By: District
Split By: District
90
Cotton
80
80
75
70
70
10- Obion
65
30- Red
State
60
Percent No-Till
Percent No-Till
85
55
60
10- Obion
50
30- Red
State
40
30
50
20
Corn
Split By: District
90
Soybeans
85
55
50
80
45
75
10- Obion
70
30- Red
65
State
60
Percent No-Till
Percent No-Till
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Year
Split By: District
40
10- Obion
35
30- Red
State
30
25
55
50
20
Wheat
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Year
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
15
1999
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Year
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
45
2006
Year
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
10
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
45
Data preparation included:

Retrieved data from legacy STORET
Retrieved data from TDEC database
Retrieved additional data (USACOE)
Combined datasets by monitoring site
Converted recent data from alpha-numeric to
number format
Change MDL to MDL when necessary
Graph data to see patterns (Excel)
Analyze data to see differences (StatView)
Number of Years Spanned at Stations of the

Red River Watershed
53%
50%
40%
30%
23%
20%
13%
7%
10%
0%
0-5
6-10
11-15
16-20
N=30
0%
0%
0%
21-25
26-30
31-35
3%
36-40
Number of Years
Number of Years Spanned at Stations of the

North Fork Obion River Watershed
35%
29%
30%
Percent of Stations
Percent of Stations
60%
25%
20%
19%
23%
19%
15%
10%
6%
5%
0%
0%
1-5
6-10
11-15
16-20
21-25
Number of Years
26-30
N=31
3%
31-35
0%
36-40
Number of Data Entries for Stations in the

Red River for Total Phosphorus
33%
30%
27%
25%
20%
17%
15%
10%
7%
N=30
7%
3%
3%
51-60
61-70
5%
0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
3%
0%
0%
71-80
81-90
Number of Data Entries
Number of Data Entries for Stations in the

Red River Watershed for Nitrate + Nitrite
Percent of Stations
Percent of Stations
35%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
38%
21%
17%
10%
0-10
10%
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
N=29
0%
0%
0%
51-60
61-70
71-80
3%
81-90
Number of Data Entries for Stations in the North Fork Obion

23%
25%
20%
15%
10%
6%
6%
6%
5%
10%
13%
13%
6%
3%
3%
3%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
N=31
Number of Data Entries in the North Fork Obion River

Watershed for Nitrate plus Nitrite
30%
Percent of Stations
Percent of Stations
River Watershed for Total Phosphorus
25%
25%
20%
20%
20%
15%
15%
10%
5%
0%
5%
0%
0%
5%
0%
5%
0%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
N=20
'2011-04-13
'2011-01-24
'2010-11-06
'2010-08-19
'2010-06-01
'2010-03-14
'2009-12-25
'2009-10-07
'2009-07-20
'2009-05-02
'2009-02-12
'2008-11-25
'2008-09-07
'2008-06-20
'2008-04-02
'2008-01-14
'2007-10-27
'2007-08-09
'2007-05-22
'2007-03-04
'2006-12-15
'2006-09-27
'2006-07-10
'2006-04-22
'2006-02-02
'2005-11-15
'2005-08-28
'2005-06-10
'2005-03-23
'2005-01-03
'2004-10-16
'2004-07-29
'2004-05-11
'2004-02-22
'2003-12-05
'2003-09-17
'2003-06-30
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Springfield
300
250
200
150
100
50
'2012-08-25
'2012-07-10
'2012-05-25
'2012-04-09
'2012-02-23
'2012-01-08
'2011-11-23
'2011-10-08
'2011-08-23
'2011-07-08
'2011-05-23
'2011-04-07
'2011-02-20
'2011-01-05
'2010-11-20
'2010-10-05
'2010-08-20
'2010-07-05
'2010-05-20
'2010-04-04
'2010-02-17
'2010-01-02
'2009-11-17
'2009-10-02
'2009-08-17
'2009-07-02
'2009-05-17
'2009-04-01
'2009-02-14
'2008-12-30
'2008-11-14
'2008-09-29
'2008-08-14
'2008-06-29
'2008-05-14
'2008-03-29
'2008-02-12
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Guthrie, KY
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
'2011-09-17
'2010-08-21
'2009-07-25
'2008-06-28
'2007-06-02
'2006-05-06
'2005-04-09
'2004-03-13
'2003-02-15
'2002-01-19
'2000-12-23
'1999-11-27
'1998-10-31
'1997-10-04
'1996-09-07
'1995-08-12
'1994-07-16
'1993-06-19
'1992-05-23
'1991-04-27
'1990-03-31
'1989-03-04
'1988-02-06
'1987-01-10
'1985-12-14
'1984-11-17
'1983-10-22
'1982-09-25
'1981-08-29
'1980-08-02
'1979-07-07
'1978-06-10
'1977-05-14
'1976-04-17
'1975-03-22
'1974-02-23
'1973-01-27
'1972-01-01
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Clarksville, TN WWTP
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
Figure 1: Water Monitoring Station at SPRIN001.3
Figure 2: Water Monitoring Station at SPRIN015.2_KY
Figure 3: Water Monitoring Station at 3BAR20031 (Red River RM0.4)
Figure 4: Water Monitoring Station at ELK004.5
2205
-.5
WARTR001.1RN
SUMME006.7TO8.6SR
SUMME000.8RN
SULPH023.2TO.3RN
SULPH000.1RN
SSPRI000.1MT
SPRIN015.2_KY
SPRIN011.3MT
SPRIN001.3RN
SFRED007.9RN
RED081.8RN
RED049.0RN
RED025.5MT
MILLE000.6RN
LWEST009.6TO10.5MT
LWEST002.5MT
FREY000.5RN
ELK004.5RN
ECO71E14
ECO71E09
DUNBA001.2MT
CARR10.0T0.4RN
CARR001.4RN
3BAR20031
Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

Box Plot
Grouping Variable(s): Prim ary Station ID
3.5
2.5
1.5
.5
Total Phosphorus by Monitoring Site in the

Red River Watershed (1973-2012)
-2
WARTR000.8TO1.1RN
SUMME006.7TO8.6SR
SUMME000.8RN
SULPH023.2TO.3RN
SULPH000.1RN
SSPRI000.1MT
SPRIN015.2_KY
SPRIN001.3RN
SFRED007.9RN
RED081.8RN
RED049.0RN
RED025.5MT
MILLE000.6RN
LWEST002.5MT
FREY000.5RN
ELK004.5RN
ECO71E14
ECO71E09
CARR10.0T0.4RN
CARR001.4RN
3BAR20031
Nitrate plus Nitrite (mg/L)

Box Plot
Grouping Variable(s): Colum n 1
12
10
NO2+NO3 by Monitoring Site in the

Red River Watershed (1977-2012)
Waterbody ID
Impacted Waterbody
County
Miles/Acres
Impaired
TN05130206039 - 0150
SPRING CREEK
Montgomery
22.5
CAUSE / TMDL Priority
Pollutant Source
Loss of biological
integrity due to
siltation L
Total Phosphorus M
Nitrate+Nitrite M
Alteration of streamside or littoral
vegetation L
Nonirrigated Crop Production

Land Development
Sources Outside State
Total Phosphorus at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

0.09
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
N=10
0.04
71e: 0.04 mg/L
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
6-Jul-09
25-Aug-09
14-Oct-09
3-Dec-09
22-Jan-10
13-Mar-10
2-May-10
21-Jun-10
10-Aug-10
ANOVA Table for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

DF
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
.003
.003
13.807
.0059
13.807
.912
Residual
.001
1.817E-4
Box Plot
Grouping Variable(s): Date group
.08
.07
Means Table for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)
Effect: Date group
Count
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
2009
.060
.015
.006
2010
.028
.010
.005
.06
.05
.04
.03
.02
Interaction Bar Plot for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
.01
.07
2009
2010
.06
2.25
2
.05
Count
Cell Mean
1.75
.04
1.5
1.25
1
.03
.75
.5
.02
.25
Column 1
.080
3329999872
.07
0
2010
2009
Cell
Fisher's PLSD for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
Significance Level: 5 %
2009, 2010
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
.032
.020
.0059
.06
.08
3339999744
3349999872
.01
3360000000
.07
.06
.05
.05
.04
.04
.03
.03
Count
S
.02
.02
3329999872 3339999744 3349999872 3360000000 0
Column 1
.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
NO2+NO3 at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

8
7
6
5
4
N=10
71e: 3.48
mg/L
3
2
1
0
6-Jul-09
25-Aug-09
14-Oct-09
3-Dec-09
22-Jan-10
13-Mar-10
2-May-10
21-Jun-10
10-Aug-10
Dissolved Oxygen at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

16
14
Dissolved Oxygen (mg/L)
12
10
N=10
WQS 5.0 mg/L
0
6-Jul-09
25-Aug-09
14-Oct-09
3-Dec-09
22-Jan-10
13-Mar-10
2-May-10
21-Jun-10
10-Aug-10
ANOVA Table for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

DF
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
20.545
20.545
9.301
.0158
9.301
.769
Residual
17.671
2.209
Histogram
3.5
3
2.5
Count
Means Table for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
Count
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
2009'
8.837
.793
.324
2010'
11.762
2.201
1.100
2
1.5
1
.5
0
Interaction Bar Plot for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
12
10
10
11
12
13
Box Plot
15
14
6
4
2
0
2009'
2010'
Cell
Cell Mean
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
2009'
Fisher's PLSD for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
2009', 2010'
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
-2.926
2.212
.0158
2010'
14
15
Waterbody ID
TN05130206002 0300
Impacted Waterbody
SPRING CREEK
County
Robertson
Miles/Acres Impaired
12.25
Nitrate+Nitrite M
Loss of biological
integrity due to siltation L
Escherichia coli H
Pollutant Source
Pasture Grazing
Total Phosphorus at Site SPRIN001.3RN

0.2
0.18
0.16
0.14
0.12
0.1
N=24
0.08
0.06
71e: 0.04 mg/L
0.04
0.02
0
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10
NO2+NO3 at Site SPRIN001.3RN

7
4
71e: 3.48 mg/L
N=25
0
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10
Histogram
ANOVA Table for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
11.951
11.951
23
34.777
1.512
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
7.904
.0099
7.904
.777
7
6
Count
Means Table for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
Count Mean Std. Dev. Std. Err.
2004-2006
14
4.107
1.575
.421
2009-2010
11
5.500
.504
.152
4
3
2
1
0
0
Interaction Bar Plot for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
3
4
5
Box Plot
Cell Mean
3
2
1
0
2004-2006
2009-2010
Cell
5
4
3
2
1
0
2004-2006
Fisher's PLSD for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
Mean Diff. Crit. Diff
2004-2006, 2009-2010
-1.393
1.025
P-Value
.0099 S
2009-2010
Kolm ogorov-Sm irnov Test for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Grouping Variable: Date group
DF
2
Count, 2004-2006
Count, 2009-2010
Maximum Difference
14
11
.584
Chi Square
8.416
P-Value
.0298
Total Ammonia at Site SPRIN001.3RN

0.25
Total Ammonia (mg/L)
0.2
0.15
N=13
0.1
0.05
0
23-Apr-04
1-Aug-04
9-Nov-04
17-Feb-05
28-May-05
5-Sep-05
14-Dec-05
24-Mar-06
2-Jul-06
10-Oct-06
3.5
ANOVA Table for Total Am m onia (m g/L)
Residual
DF
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
.010
.010
4.526
.0568
4.526
.484
11
.024
.002
Count
Date group
2.5
2
1.5
Means Table for Total Am m onia (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
'2004'
.080
.069
.028
'2005-2006'
.024
.008
.003
.5
Column 1
.220
3169999872
.2
.18
.09
.08
.07
Cell Mean
.06
.05
.04
.03
.02
.01
0
'2004'
'2005-2006'
Cell
Fisher's PLSD for Total Am m onia (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
'2004', '2005-2006'
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
.056
.058
.0568
.16
Interaction Bar Plot for Total Am m onia (m g/L)

Effect: Date group
.14
.22
3189999872
3209999872
Count
3229999872
.2
.18
.16
.14
.12
.12
.1
.1
.08
.08
.06
.06
.04
.04
.02
.02
Count
0
0
3169999872 3189999872 3209999872 3229999872 0
Column 1
Total Phosphorus at Site ELK004.5RN

0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
N=21
0.06
71e: 0.04
mg/L
0.04
0.02
0
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10

Date group
Residual
DF
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
.006
.006
6.107
.0231
6.107
.649
19
.019
.001
Box Plot
.14
.12
Effect: Date group
Count
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
2004-2005
11
.076
.035
.010
2009-2010
10
.042
.027
.009

Effect: Date group
.1
.08
.06
.04
.02
.08
0
.07
2004-2005
Cell Mean
.06
2009-2010
Histogram
6
.05
.04
.03
.02
Count
.01
0
2004-2005
2009-2010
Cell
3
2
1

Effect: Date group
2004-2005, 2009-2010
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
.034
.029
.0231
0
S
.02
.04
.06
.08
.1
.12
.14
NO2+NO3 at Site ELK004.5RN

7
71e: 3.48
mg/L
N=22
0
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10
Waterbody ID
TN05130206002 - 1000
Impacted
Waterbody
RED RIVER
County
Montgomery
2.4

Loss of biological integrity due to
siltation L Escherichia coli NA
Other Habitat Alterations L
Nutrients M
Pollutant Source
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Collection System
Failure
Land Development
Total Phosphorus at Sites 3BAR20031 TO 4701L1

(Red River at RM0.4)
0.45
0.40
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
N=40
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
71f: 0.03
mg/L
Box Plot

DF
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Column 4
.093
.046
7.036
.0026
14.073
.919
Residual
37
.243
.007
.45
.4
.35
.3

Effect: Colum n 4
.25
Count
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
1973-1974'
13
.161
.103
.028
1984-1985'
.020
.015
.006
2004-2011'
20
.096
.078
.017
.2
.15
.1
.05
0

Effect: Colum n 4
-.05
1973-1974'
1984-1985'
.18
2004-2011'
.16
.14
.12
Cell Mean
Histogram
16
14
.06
.04
12
.02
10
Count
.1
.08
0
1973-1974'
1984-1985'
Cell
2004-2011'
6
4

Effect: Colum n 4
2
0
0
.05
.1
.15
.2
.25
.3
.35
.4
.45
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
1973-1974', 1984-1985'
.141
.077
.0007
1973-1974', 2004-2011'
.065
.059
.0311
1984-1985', 2004-2011'
-.076
.072
.0396
NO2+NO3 at Sites 3BAR20031 TO 4701L1

(Red River at RM0.4)
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
N=40
1.00
71f: 0.32
mg/L
0.00
28-Jun-12
28-Jun-11
4.00
28-Jun-10
28-Jun-09
28-Jun-08
28-Jun-07
28-Jun-06
28-Jun-05
28-Jun-04
28-Jun-03
28-Jun-02
28-Jun-01
28-Jun-00
28-Jun-99
28-Jun-98
28-Jun-97
28-Jun-96
28-Jun-95
28-Jun-94
28-Jun-93
28-Jun-92
28-Jun-91
28-Jun-90
28-Jun-89
28-Jun-88
28-Jun-87
28-Jun-86
28-Jun-85
28-Jun-84
Dissolved Oxygen at Site 3BAR20031 (Red River RM0.4)
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
WQS 5.00
mg/L
2.00
0.00

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
24.706
24.706
38
103.968
2.736
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
9.030
.0047
9.030
.849
Histogram
10
9
8
7
Count

Effect: Date group
6
5
1984-1985
6.367
.585
.239
2003-2012
34
8.568
1.760
.302
3
2
1

Effect: Date group
0
4
7
8
9
10
11
Cell Mean
Box Plot
13
6
5
12
4
11
3
2
1
0
1984-1985
2003-2012
Cell
10

Effect: Date group
1984-1985, 2003-2012
-2.201
1.483
P-Value
.0047 S
4
1984-1985
2003-2012
12
13
Waterbody ID
TN05130206002 3000
Impacted Waterbody
RED RIVER
County
Montgomery
Robertson
Miles/Acres Impaired CAUSE / TMDL Priority

17.5
Nitrates M
Pollutant Source
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Total Phosphorus at Sites RED025.2TO.5MT

0.60
0.50
0.40
Red River_025.2
0.30
RED025.5MT
0.20
0.10
0.00
1/31/1993
71e:
0.04
mg/L
10/28/1995
7/24/1998
4/19/2001
1/14/2004
10/10/2006
7/6/2009
4/1/2012
12/27/2014

DF Sum of Squares
Histogram
25
22.5
20
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
.005
.002
.422
.6575
.843
.114
Calendar Season
.022
.007
1.362
.2608
4.087
.339
Date group * Calendar Season
.075
.012
2.315
.0419
13.888
.771
75
.404
.005
Residual
15
Effect: Date group * Calendar Season
Count Mean Std. Dev.
12.5
10
7.5
5
2.5
0
-.1
.1
.2
.3
.4

DF Sum of Squares
.5
.6
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
.008
.004
.697
.5009
1.395
.159
Season
.007
.007
1.147
.2874
1.147
.175
.032
.016
2.644
.0773
5.288
.501
80
.484
.006
Date group * Season

Residual
Std. Err.
1996-1999, 'Spring
.070
1996-1999, 'Summer
.087
.045
.018
1996-1999, Fall
.062
.035
.016
1996-1999, Winter
.050
2000-2005, 'Spring
16
.054
.055
.014
2000-2005, 'Summer
12
.135
.031
.009
2000-2005, Fall
16
.075
.063
.016
2000-2005, Winter
.100
.057
.040
2006-2012, 'Spring
14
.065
.049
.013
2006-2012, 'Summer
.091
.041
.015
2006-2012, Fall
.204
.238
.106
2006-2012, Winter
.030
.028
.020

.23
.2
.17
Std. Err.
1996-1999, Grow ing
.064
.032
.013
1996-1999, Non-Grow ing
.081
.043
.016
2000-2005, Grow ing
33
.067
.059
.010
12
.137
.031
.009
2006-2012, Grow ing
19
.102
.135
.031
.078
.046
.015
Cell Mean

Effect: Date group * Season
.15
'Spring
.13
'Summer
Fall
.1
Winter
.08
.05
.03
0
1996-1999

.12
.1
.08
Grow ing
Non-Grow ing
.06
.04
.02
0
1996-1999
2000-2005
Cell
2006-2012
2000-2005
Cell
2006-2012

Effect: Date group
.14
Cell Mean
Count
17.5
P-Value
1996-1999, 2000-2005
-.011
.046
.6287
1996-1999, 2006-2012
-.021
.049
.4016
2000-2005, 2006-2012
-.010
.035
.5876

Effect: Calendar Season
P-Value
'Spring, 'Summer
-.052
.039
.0104 S
'Spring, Fall
-.038
.039
.0553
'Spring, Winter
-.003
.070
.9406
'Summer, Fall
.014
.041
.5024
'Summer, Winter
.049
.072
.1752
Fall, Winter
.035
.071
.3272
Interaction Line Plot for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Error Bars: 95% Confidence Interval
.16
.14
Cell Mean
.12
.1
.08
.06
.04
.02
0
-.02
'Spring
'Summer
Fall
Cell
Winter
NO2+NO3 at Sites RED025.2TO.5MT

8
7
Total Nitrogen (mg/L)
6
5
RED025.5MT
4
71e: 3.48
mg/L
3
2
1
0
1/31/1993
10/28/1995
7/24/1998
4/19/2001
1/14/2004
10/10/2006
7/6/2009
4/1/2012
12/27/2014
Red River_025.2

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
48.894
24.447
83
203.221
2.448
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
9.985
.0001
19.969
.989
Histogram
16
14
12

Effect: Date group
13
1.595
.779
.216
2000-2005
46
2.849
1.707
.252
2006-2012
27
3.906
1.580
.304
Count
1996-1999
10
8
6
4
2

Effect: Date group
4
0
0
3.5
3
4
5
Box Plot
2.5
2
1.5
1
.5
0
1996-1999
2000-2005
Cell
2006-2012

Effect: Date group
P-Value
1996-1999, 2000-2005
-1.255
.978
.0125 S
1996-1999, 2006-2012
-2.312
1.051
<.0001 S
2000-2005, 2006-2012
-1.057
.755
.0066 S
Cell Mean
5
4
3
2
1
0
1996-1999
2000-2005
2006-2012

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
20.898
10.449
4.928
.0096
9.857
.801
Season
7.872
7.872
3.713
.0575
3.713
.463
Date group * Season
.915
.457
.216
.8064
.431
.082
80
169.619
2.120
Residual

Std. Err.
1.990
12
1.562
.804
.232
2000-2005, Grow ing
17
3.679
1.868
.453
29
2.363
1.422
.264
2006-2012, Grow ing
14
4.621
1.252
.334
13
3.136
1.572
.436
1996-1999, Grow ing

5
4.5
4
Cell Mean
3.5
3
Grow ing
2.5
Non-Grow ing
2
1.5
1
.5
0
1996-1999
2000-2005
Cell
2006-2012

Effect: Date group
P-Value
1996-1999, 2000-2005
-1.255
.910
.0075 S
1996-1999, 2006-2012
-2.312
.978
<.0001 S
2000-2005, 2006-2012
-1.057
.703
.0037 S

Effect: Season
Grow ing, Non-Grow ing
1.668
.646
P-Value
<.0001 S
Total Ammonia at Sites RED025.2TO.5MT

0.25
0.2
0.15
RED025.5MT
Red River_025.2
0.1
0.05
0
1/31/1993
10/28/1995
7/24/1998
4/19/2001
1/14/2004
10/10/2006
7/6/2009
4/1/2012
12/27/2014

DF Sum of Squares
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
.017
.017
10.381
.0018
10.381
.908
Season
.013
.013
7.916
.0061
7.916
.806
Date group * Season
.005
.005
2.978
.0882
2.978
.383
81
.133
.002
Residual

Count Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
'1996-2002', Grow ing
10
.050
.041
.013
'1996-2002', Non-Grow ing
31
.093
.053
.010
'2003-2012', Grow ing
21
.036
.027
.006
23
.046
.028
.006
Box Plot
.25
.23
Mean Square
Date group
.2
.17
.15
.13
.1
.08
.05
.03
0

'1996-2002'
'2003-2012'
.1
.09
Histogram
.08
60
.06
Grow ing
.05
50
Non-Grow ing
.04
40
.03
Count
Cell Mean
.07
.02
.01
30
0
'1996-2002'
'2003-2012'
20
Cell
Effect: Date group
'1996-2002', '2003-2012'
.042
.018

Effect: Season
-.033
.018
10
0
P-Value
<.0001 S
P-Value
.0005 S
.03
.05
.08
.1
.13 .15 .17
.2
.23
.25
Waterbody ID
TN05130206019 0321
Impacted Waterbody
FREY BRANCH
County
Robertson

7.2
Nitrate+Nitrite M
Total Phosphorus M
Loss of biological
Escherichia coli NA
Pollutant Source
Municipal Point Source
Unrestricted Cattle
Access
Total Ammonia at Site FREY000.5RN

3
2.5
1.5
N=27
0.5
0
12/6/1999
4/19/2001
9/1/2002
1/14/2004
5/28/2005
10/10/2006
2/22/2008
7/6/2009
11/18/2010
4/1/2012
Image date:
February, 2008

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
4.757
2.378
24
3.906
.163
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
14.614
<.0001
29.227
.999
Box Plot
3

Effect: Date group
2.5
Std. Err.
'2000-2001'
1.403
1.194
.689
'2004-2005'
12
.030
.023
.007
'2009-2011'
12
.119
.309
.089

Effect: Date group
2
1.5
1
.5
0
-.5
1.6
-1
'2000-2001'
1.4
'2004-2005'
'2009-2011'
Bivariate Scattergram w ith Low ess

Tension = 66
1.2
Cell Mean
1
.8
2.5
.6
.4
2
0
'2000-2001'
'2004-2005'
Cell
'2009-2011'

Effect: Date group
.2
1.5
.5
P-Value
'2000-2001', '2004-2005'
1.373
.537
<.0001 S
'2000-2001', '2009-2011'
1.284
.537
<.0001 S
'2004-2005', '2009-2011'
-.089
.340
.5942
-.5
3E9
3049999872
3.1E9
3150000128
3.2E9
Column 1
3249999872
3.3E9
3350000128
3.4E9
Figure 5: Water Monitoring Station at K (Obion River RM60.9)
Figure 7: Water Monitoring Station at OBION020.9
Figure 6: Upstream of Water Monitoring Station at REELFOOTLKIS10

(Running Reelfoot Bayou RM0.1)
Figure 8: Water Monitoring Station at 1410 (Harris Fork RM8.9)
'2011-12-14
'2010-11-25
'2009-11-06
'2008-10-18
'2007-09-30
'2006-09-11
'2005-08-23
'2004-08-04
'2003-07-17
'2002-06-28
'2001-06-09
'2000-05-21
'1999-05-03
'1998-04-14
'1997-03-26
'1996-03-07
'1995-02-17
'1994-01-29
'1993-01-10
'1991-12-23
'1990-12-04
'1989-11-15
'1988-10-27
'1987-10-09
'1986-09-20
'1985-09-01
'1984-08-13
'1983-07-26
'1982-07-07
'1981-06-18
'1980-05-30
'1979-05-12
'1978-04-23
'1977-04-04
'1976-03-16
'1975-02-26
'1974-02-07
'1973-01-19
'1972-01-01
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Dyersburg III Golf
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
2011-11-02
2010-11-16
2009-11-30
2008-12-14
2007-12-29
2007-01-12
2006-01-26
2005-02-09
2004-02-24
2003-03-10
2002-03-24
2001-04-07
2000-04-21
1999-05-06
1998-05-20
1997-06-03
1996-06-17
1995-07-02
1994-07-16
1993-07-30
1992-08-13
1991-08-28
1990-09-11
1989-09-25
1988-10-09
1987-10-24
1986-11-07
1985-11-21
1984-12-05
1983-12-20
1983-01-03
1982-01-17
1981-01-31
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Samburg WR
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
2011-10-07
2010-07-12
2009-04-16
2008-01-20
2006-10-25
2005-07-30
2004-05-04
2003-02-07
2001-11-12
2000-08-17
1999-05-23
1998-02-25
1996-11-30
1995-09-05
1994-06-10
1993-03-15
1991-12-19
1990-09-23
1989-06-28
1988-04-02
1987-01-06
1985-10-11
1984-07-16
1983-04-21
1982-01-24
1980-10-29
1979-08-04
1978-05-09
1977-02-11
1975-11-17
1974-08-22
1973-05-27
1972-03-01
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Union City
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
2012-01-16
2011-01-01
2009-12-17
2008-12-02
2007-11-18
2006-11-03
2005-10-19
2004-10-04
2003-09-20
2002-09-05
2001-08-21
2000-08-06
1999-07-23
1998-07-08
1997-06-23
1996-06-08
1995-05-25
1994-05-10
1993-04-25
1992-04-10
1991-03-27
1990-03-12
1989-02-25
1988-02-11
1987-01-27
1986-01-12
1984-12-28
1983-12-14
1982-11-29
1981-11-14
1980-10-30
1979-10-16
1978-10-01
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Dresden
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
2013-01-31
2012-07-19
2012-01-05
2011-06-23
2010-12-09
2010-05-27
2009-11-12
2009-04-30
2008-10-16
2008-04-03
2007-09-20
2007-03-08
2006-08-24
2006-02-09
2005-07-28
2005-01-13
2004-07-01
2003-12-18
2003-06-05
2002-11-21
2002-05-09
2001-10-25
2001-04-12
2000-09-28
2000-03-16
1999-09-02
1999-02-18
1998-08-06
1998-01-22
1997-07-10
1996-12-26
1996-06-13
1995-11-30
Precipitation (mm)
Monthly Total Precipitation at Paris
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-.5
RREEL003.7DY
REELFOOTLKIS10
REELFOOTLKIS09
REELFOOTLKIS08
REELFOOTLKIS07
REELFOOTLKIS06
REELFOOTLKIS05
REELFOOTLKIS04
REELFOOTLKIS03
REELFOOTLKIS02
REELFOOTLKIS01
REELF004.2OB
OBION020.9DY
NFOBI010.7OB
NFOBI005.9OB
HURRI000.0WY
ECO74B04
ECO74B01
ECO74A08
ECO73A04
CANE002.0OB
2030
2027
2000
1999
1997
1410
Column 2
Box Plot
4.5
3.5
2.5
1.5
.5
Total Phosphorus by Monitoring Site in the

North Fork Obion River Watershed
(1972-2012)
-2
WARTR000.8TO1.1RN
SUMME006.7TO8.6SR
SUMME000.8RN
SULPH023.2TO.3RN
SULPH000.1RN
SSPRI000.1MT
SPRIN015.2_KY
SPRIN001.3RN
SFRED007.9RN
RED081.8RN
RED049.0RN
RED025.5MT
MILLE000.6RN
LWEST002.5MT
FREY000.5RN
ELK004.5RN
ECO71E14
ECO71E09
CARR10.0T0.4RN
CARR001.4RN
3BAR20031

Box Plot
12
10
NO2+NO3 by Monitoring Site in the North Fork

Obion River Watershed (1979-2012)
Waterbody ID
Impacted Waterbody
County
Pollutant Source
TN08010202025 1000
HARRIS FORK
CREEK
Obion
9.6
Loss of biological integrity

due to siltation L
Physical Substrate Habitat
Alterations L
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Discharges from
MS4 Area
Channelization
Total Phosphorus at Site 1410 (Harris Fork RM8.9)

2.50
2.00
1.50
N=17
1.00
0.50
74b: 0.10
mg/L
0.00
11-Aug-87
23-Dec-88
7-May-90
19-Sep-91
31-Jan-93
15-Jun-94
28-Oct-95

DF Sum of Squares

Tension = 45
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
3.863
3.863
28.820
.0001
28.820
.999
Season
.715
.715
5.334
.0380
5.334
.565
Date group * Season
.382
.382
2.853
.1150
2.853
.334
13
1.742
.134
Residual
2.25
1.75
1.5

Std. Err.
88-'89, Grow ing
.860
.339
.240
88-'89, Non-Grow ing
1.643
.564
.282
90-'94, Grow ing
.140
.109
.054
90-'94, Non-Grow ing
.261
.326
.123
1.25
.75

.5
1.8
1.6
.25
1.2
1
Grow ing
0
2660000000
Non-Grow ing
2.7E9
2740000000
2780000000
2820000000
2860000000
Column 1
.8
.6
.4
Histogram
7
.2
0
88-'89
90-'94
Cell

Effect: Date group
P-Value
88-'89, 90-'94
1.164
.401
<.0001 S

Effect: Season
-.384
.401
Kolm ogorov-Sm irnov Test for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Grouping Variable: Date group
DF
2
Count, 88-'89
Count, 90-'94
11
Maximum Difference
P-Value
.0595
Chi Square
P-Value
.909
Count
Cell Mean
1.4
4
3
2
1
12.834
.0033
0
0
.25
.5
.75
1
1.25 1.5 1.75
2.25
NO2+NO3 at Site 1410 (Harris Fork at RM8.9)

3
2.5
1.5
N=16
74b: 1.19
mg/L
0.5
0
11-Aug-87
23-Dec-88
7-May-90
19-Sep-91
31-Jan-93
15-Jun-94
28-Oct-95
Total Ammonia at Site 1410 (Harris Fork at RM8.9)

3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
N=17
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
11-Aug-87
23-Dec-88
7-May-90
19-Sep-91
31-Jan-93
15-Jun-94
28-Oct-95

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
6.263
6.263
15
4.008
.267
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
23.442
.0002
23.442
.998
Histogram
9
8
7
6
Count

Effect: Date group
Std. Err.
1988-1989'
1.488
.863
.352
1990-1994'
11
.218
.168
.051
5
4
3
2

Effect: Date group
1.6
1.4
-.5
Cell Mean
1.2
.5
1
1.5
2
Box Plot
.8
.6
.4
2.5
0
1988-1989'
1990-1994'
Cell

Effect: Date group
1988-1989', 1990-1994'
1.270
.559
.2
2
1.5
1
.5
P-Value
.0002 S
0
-.5
1988-1989'
1990-1994'
2.5
Waterbody ID
TN08010202029
1000
Impacted Waterbody
RUNNING REELFOOT
BAYOU
County
Obion Lake
23.8
Low Dissolved Oxygen L

Loss of biological integrity
due to siltation L
Flow Alteration NA
Nutrients M
Physical Substrate Habitat
Alterations L
Pollutant Source
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Channelization
Upstream
Impoundment
Landfill
Total Phosphorus at Site REELFOOTLKIS10

0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
N=61
0.30
73a: 0.25
mg/L
0.20
0.10
0.00
25-May-79
18-Feb-82
14-Nov-84
11-Aug-87
7-May-90
31-Jan-93
28-Oct-95
24-Jul-98
Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Phos. Date groups
.109
.109
8.866
.0043
8.866
.849
Phos. Grow ing Season
.085
.085
6.923
.0109
6.923
.741
2.778E-4
2.778E-4
.023
.8809
.023
.053
57
.699
.012
Phos. Date groups * Phos. Grow ing Sea...

Residual

Effect: Phos. Date groups * Phos. Grow ing Season
Box Plot
Grouping Variable(s): Phos. Date groups
.8
.7

DF
Std. Err.
1981-1987', Grow ing
10
.180
.133
.042
1981-1987', Non-Grow ing
11
.264
.164
.049
1990-1995', Grow ing
16
.095
.061
.015
24
.170
.097
.020
.6
.5
.4
.3
.2
.1
0
-.1

Effect: Phos. Date groups * Phos. Grow ing Season
1981-1987'
1990-1995'
.3
Histogram
20
.2
18
Grow ing
.15
Non-Grow ing
16
.1
14
.05
12
0
1981-1987'
1990-1995'
Count
Cell Mean
.25
Cell
Effect: Phos. Date groups
1981-1987', 1990-1995'
.084
.060
10
P-Value
.0066 S
4

Effect: Phos. Grow ing Season
-.071
.057
P-Value
.0156 S
0
-.1
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8

DF Sum of Squares
ANOVA Table for Som e of Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Phos. Date groups
.024
.024
1.956
.1678
1.956
.264
Some of Phos. Date groups
.096
.096
7.533
.0091
7.533
.772
Calendar Season
.105
.035
2.790
.0494
8.370
.636
Some of Calendar Season
.074
.074
5.771
.0212
5.771
.648
Phos. Date groups * Calendar Season
.014
.005
.368
.7765
1.104
.116
Some of Phos. Date groups * Some of C...
.002
.002
.132
.7180
.132
.064
53
.663
.013
39
.499
.013
Residual
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Residual
Means Table for Som e of Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Som e of Phos. Date groups * Som e of Calendar Season

Effect: Phos. Date groups * Calendar Season
1981-1987', Fall
Mean Square
Std. Err.
1981-1987', Fall
.279
.183
.065
1981-1987', Spring
10
.180
.133
.042
1990-1995', Fall
1981-1987', Summer
.270
.113
.080
1990-1995', Spring
1981-1987', Winter
.130
1981-1987', Spring
1990-1995', Fall
1990-1995', Spring
1990-1995', Summer
1990-1995', Winter
.168
.079
.026
16
.095
.061
.015
.216
.065
.029
10
.148
.122
.039
.279
.183
.065
10
.180
.133
.042
.168
.079
.026
16
.095
.061
.015
Interaction Bar Plot for Som e of Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Som e of Phos. Date groups * Som e of Calendar Season
.3
.25
Cell Mean

Effect: Phos. Date groups * Calendar Season
.3
Fall
.15
Spring
.1
.25
.2
.05
Fall
Spring
.15
0
1981-1987'
Summer
.1
Fisher's PLSD for Som e of Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Som e of Phos. Date groups
P-Value
.05
0
1981-1987'
1990-1995'
Cell
Winter
1990-1995'
Cell
1981-1987', 1990-1995'

Tension = 65
.103
.071
.0055 S
.8

Effect: Phos. Date groups
1981-1987', 1990-1995'
.084
Fisher's PLSD for Som e of Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Effect: Som e of Calendar Season
P-Value
.7
P-Value
.060
.6
Fall, Spring
.0073 S
.5

P-Value
Fall, Spring
Fall, Summer
Fall, Winter
.092
.070
.0107 S
-.011
.101
.8209
.074
.087
.0948
Spring, Summer
-.104
.096
.0339 S
Spring, Winter
-.019
.081
.6445
.085
.108
.1217
Summer, Winter
Cell Mean
.2
.4
.3
.2
.1
-.1
2.4E9
2449999872
2.5E9
2550000128
2.6E9
2649999872
Phos. Dates
2.7E9
2750000128
2.8E9
2849999872
2.9E9
.092
.071
.0126 S
Interaction Line Plot for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Error Bars: 95% Confidence Interval
.33
.3
.28
Cell Mean
.25
.23
.2
.17
.15
.13
.1
.08
.05
'Spring
'Summer
Fall
Cell
Winter
NO2+NO3 at Site REELFOOTLKIS10

1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
N=64
0.60
0.40
73a: 0.39
mg/L
0.20
0.00
25-May-79
18-Feb-82
14-Nov-84
11-Aug-87
7-May-90
31-Jan-93
28-Oct-95
24-Jul-98
Dissolved Oxygen at Site REELFOOTLKIS10

18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
N=46
8.00
6.00
WQS
5.00
mg/L
4.00
2.00
0.00
6-Oct-80
18-Feb-82
3-Jul-83
14-Nov-84 29-Mar-86 11-Aug-87 23-Dec-88
7-May-90
19-Sep-91
31-Jan-93
15-Jun-94
Histogram

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
39.279
39.279
44
357.065
8.115
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
4.840
.0331
4.840
.568
14
12
10
1981-1987'
14
7.021
2.646
.707
1990-1993'
32
9.030
2.930
.518
Count

Effect: Date group
8
6
4
2

Effect: Date group
10
6
8
10
12
14
Box Plot
6
5
4
18
16
2
1
0
1981-1987'
1990-1993'
Cell

Effect: Date group
1981-1987', 1990-1993'
-2.008
1.840
P-Value
.0331 S
Cell Mean
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1981-1987'
1990-1993'
16
18

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
43.193
43.193
5.690
.0217
5.690
.643
Season
13.842
13.842
1.823
.1841
1.823
.247
Date group * Season
35.626
35.626
4.693
.0360
4.693
.554
42
318.837
7.591
Residual

Std. Err.
1981-1987', Grow ing
8.375
2.253
.797
5.217
2.062
.842
1990-1993', Grow ing
12
8.572
3.299
.952
20
9.305
2.737
.612

10
9
8
Cell Mean
7
6
Grow ing
Non-Grow ing
4
3
2
1
0
1981-1987'
1990-1993'
Cell

Effect: Date group
1981-1987', 1990-1993'
-2.008
1.782

Effect: Season
.132
1.654
P-Value
.0281 S
P-Value
.8730
Waterbody ID
TN08010202001
1000
Impacted Waterbody
OBION RIVER
County
Dyer
Pollutant Source
28.6
Loss of biological
Physical Substrate
Habitat Alterations L
Escherichia coli H
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Channelization
Undetermined Source
Total Phosphorus at Site OBION020.9

5.00
4.50
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
N=117
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
21-Nov-77
73a: 0.25 mg/L
21-Nov-80
21-Nov-83
21-Nov-86
21-Nov-89
21-Nov-92
21-Nov-95
21-Nov-98
21-Nov-01
21-Nov-04

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
.542
.271
111
6.218
.056
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
4.838
.0097
9.675
.797
Histogram
70
60
50

Effect: Date group
81
.332
.270
.030
'1990-1992'
11
.227
.144
.043
'2001-2005'
22
.162
.097
.021
40
Count
'1977-1989'
30
20

Effect: Date group
.35
10
.3
0
-.5
.5
1.5
2
2.5
3.5
Box Plot
.2
.15
1.6
.1
1.4
.05
0
'1977-1989'
'1990-1992'
Cell
'2001-2005'

Effect: Date group
P-Value
'1977-1989', '1990-1992'
.104
.151
.1729
'1977-1989', '2001-2005'
.169
.113
.0036 S
'1990-1992', '2001-2005'
.065
.173
.4589
Cell Mean
.25
1.2
1
.8
.6
.4
.2
0
-.2
'1977-1989'
'1990-1992'
'2001-2005'
4.5

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
1.083
.120
103
5.649
.055
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
2.194
.0282
19.745
.872

Effect: Date group

Effect: Date group
1977-1978'
14
.429
.376
.100
1979'
11
.312
.134
.040
1980'
11
.278
.237
.071
1981'
12
.423
.378
.109
1982-1983'
12
.292
.189
.055
1984-1986'
.392
.267
.089
1987-1989'
12
.188
.111
.032
1990-1992'
11
.227
.144
.043
2001-2002'
.174
.089
.036
2004-2006'
15
.160
.105
.027
.117
.187
.2188
1977-1978', 1980'
.150
.187
.1140
1977-1978', 1981'
.005
.183
.9548
1977-1978', 1982-1983'
.137
.183
.1403
1977-1978', 1984-1986'
.036
.198
.7171
1977-1978', 1987-1989'
.240
.183
.0105 S
1977-1978', 1990-1992'
.201
.187
.0353 S
1977-1978', 2001-2002'
.254
.227
.0284 S
1977-1978', 2004-2006'
.268
.173
.0026 S
1979', 1980'
.034
.198
.7369
1979', 1981'
-.112
.194
.2566
1979', 1982-1983'
.020
.194
.8371
1979', 1984-1986'
-.080
.209
.4467
1979', 1987-1989'
.123
.194
.2094
1979', 1990-1992'
.085
.198
.3991
1979', 2001-2002'
.137
.236
.2506
1979', 2004-2006'
.152
.184
.1061
1980', 1981'
-.145
.194
.1406
1980', 1982-1983'
-.013
.194
.8905
1980', 1984-1986'
-.114
.209
.2811
1980', 1987-1989'
.090
.194
.3602
.15
1980', 1990-1992'
.051
.198
.6113
.1
1980', 2001-2002'
.104
.236
.3850
.05
1980', 2004-2006'
.118
.184
.2075
1981', 1982-1983'
.132
.190
.1714
1981', 1984-1986'
.031
.205
.7638
1981', 1987-1989'
.235
.190
.0156 S
1981', 1990-1992'
.196
.194
.0475 S
1981', 2001-2002'
.249
.232
.0360 S
1981', 2004-2006'
.263
.180
.0046 S
1982-1983', 1984-1986'
-.101
.205
.3324
1982-1983', 1987-1989'
.103
.190
.2823
1982-1983', 1990-1992'
.064
.194
.5115
1982-1983', 2001-2002'
.117
.232
.3193
1982-1983', 2004-2006'
.131
.180
.1504
1984-1986', 1987-1989'
.204
.205
.0510
1984-1986', 1990-1992'
.165
.209
.1202
1984-1986', 2001-2002'
.218
.245
.0807
1984-1986', 2004-2006'
.232
.196
.0207 S
1987-1989', 1990-1992'
-.039
.194
.6912
1987-1989', 2001-2002'
.014
.232
.9062
1987-1989', 2004-2006'
.028
.180
.7576
1990-1992', 2001-2002'
.053
.236
.6580
1990-1992', 2004-2006'
.067
.184
.4727
2001-2002', 2004-2006'
.014
.224
.9001

Effect: Date group
.45
.4
.35
.3
.25
Cell
2004-2006'
2001-2002'
1990-1992'
1987-1989'
1984-1986'
1982-1983'
1981'
1980'
1979'
.2
1977-1978'
Cell Mean
P-Value
1977-1978', 1979'
NO2+NO3 at Site OBION020.9DY

5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
N=26
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
6-Dec-99
73a: 0.39
mg/L
19-Apr-01
1-Sep-02
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10
1-Apr-12

DF Sum of Squares
Histogram
9
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
3.169
3.169
5.538
.0302
5.538
.601
Season group
1.991
1.991
3.479
.0786
3.479
.410
Date group * Season group
3.227
3.227
5.638
.0289
5.638
.610
18
10.301
.572
Residual

Effect: Date group * Season group
Std. Err.
2.027
2.145
1.238
.485
.107
.053
2004-2006', Grow ing
.308
.204
.102
11
.493
.307
.093
Count
2001-2002', Grow ing

Effect: Date group * Season group
2.25
2
1.75
-.5
1.25
.5
1.5
2
2.5
3.5
Grow ing
Non-Grow ing
Box Plot
.75
.5
.25
4.5
0
2001-2002'
2004-2006'
Cell

Effect: Date group
2001-2002', 2004-2006'
.702
.727

Effect: Season group
.554
.727
P-Value
.0576
P-Value
.1273
Cell Mean
1.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
.5
0
-.5
2001-2002'
2004-2006'
4.5

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
1.472
1.472
2.750
.1195
2.750
.326
Calendar Season
3.664
1.221
2.282
.1239
6.845
.451
Date group * Calendar Season
4.943
1.648
3.078
.0622
9.234
.586
14
7.494
.535
Residual

Std. Err.
2001-2002', Fall
.340
2001-2002', Spring
2.700
2.546
1.800
2001-2002', Summer
.530
2001-2002', Winter
.583
.100
.058
2004-2006', Fall
.532
.155
.069
2004-2006', Spring
.293
.248
.143
2004-2006', Summer
.557
.495
.286
2004-2006', Winter
.360
.308
.154

3
Cell Mean
2.5
2
Fall
Spring
1.5
Summer
Winter
1
.5
0
2001-2002'
2004-2006'
Cell

Effect: Date group
2001-2002', 2004-2006'
.702
P-Value
.718

P-Value
Fall, Spring
-.756
.950
.1100
Fall, Summer
-.050
1.013
.9172
Fall, Winter
.044
.873
.9149
Spring, Summer
.706
1.053
.1723
Spring, Winter
.800
.919
.0828
Summer, Winter
.094
.984
.8401
.0546
Total Phosphorus at Site ECO74B01

(Terrapin Creek RM4.6)
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
N=48
0.30
0.20
74b: 0.10
mg/L
0.10
0.00
1/31/1993
10/28/1995
7/24/1998
4/19/2001
1/14/2004
10/10/2006
7/6/2009
4/1/2012
Box Plot

DF Sum of Squares
.8
.7
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
.114
.038
3.010
.0475
9.031
.640
Season
.047
.047
3.700
.0650
3.700
.445
Date group * Season
.076
.025
2.013
.1359
6.038
.451
27
.342
.013
Residual
.6

1996-1999, Grow ing
.4
.3
.2
Std. Err.
.018
.020
.009
11
.038
.032
.010
2001-2002, Grow ing
.260
.398
.230
.068
.053
.026
2004-2006, Grow ing
.020
.023
.024
.009
2010-2011, Grow ing
.270
.043
.023
.013
.1

.3
0
.25
1996-1999
2001-2002
2004-2006
2010-2011
Histogram
Cell Mean
-.1
.2
Grow ing
.15
16
.1
14
.05
12
Non-Grow ing
0
1996-1999
10
Count
.5
2001-2002
2004-2006
Cell
2010-2011

Effect: Date group
6
4
2
0
-.1
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
P-Value
1996-1999, 2001-2002
-.118
.105
.0283 S
1996-1999, 2004-2006
.009
.100
.8488
1996-1999, 2010-2011
-.068
.129
.2883
2001-2002, 2004-2006
.128
.119
.0374 S
2001-2002, 2010-2011
.050
.145
.4844
2004-2006, 2010-2011
-.078
.141
.2705

Effect: Season
.077
.086
P-Value
.0792
NO2+NO3 at Site ECO74B01 (Terrapin Creek at RM4.6)

2.5
1.5
N=48
74b: 1.19
mg/L
0.5
0
31-Jan-93
28-Oct-95
24-Jul-98
19-Apr-01
14-Jan-04
10-Oct-06
6-Jul-09
1-Apr-12
ANOVA Table for Colum n 2

DF Sum of Squares
Histogram
14
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
7.163
.0020
14.326
.929
Column 3
3.117
1.559
Residual
45
9.792
.218
12
10
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
1996-2002
24
.861
.529
.108
2004-2006
10
.348
.235
.074
2010-2011
14
.354
.469
.125
Count
Means Table for Colum n 2

Effect: Colum n 3
Count Mean
Interaction Bar Plot for Colum n 2

Effect: Colum n 3
.9
.8
Cell Mean
.7
2
.6
.5
.4
0
-.25
.3
.25
.5
.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
.2
Box Plot
.1
0
1996-2002
2004-2006
Cell
2010-2011
2.25
Fisher's PLSD for Colum n 2

Effect: Colum n 3
Mean Diff.
Crit. Diff
P-Value
1996-2002, 2004-2006
.513
.354
.0054 S
1996-2002, 2010-2011
.507
.316
.0023 S
2004-2006, 2010-2011
-.006
.389
.9762
2
1.75
1.5
1.25
1
.75
.5
.25
0
-.25
-.5
1996-2002
2004-2006
2010-2011
2.25
Waterbody ID
TN08010202009 1000
Impacted
Waterbody
NORTH FORK
OBION RIVER
County
Obion Weakley
Miles/Acres
Impaired
14.61
CAUSE / TMDL
Priority
Loss of biological
integrity due to
siltation L
Physical Substrate
Habitat Alterations
L
Pollutant Source
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Channelization
Total Phosphorus at Site

NFOBI005.9OB/1999/J
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
Image date:
April, 2012
0.60
0.50
0.40
N=158
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
65e: 0.04 mg/L

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date Group
Histogram
Residual
70
60
.329
.066
152
2.439
.016
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
4.104
.0016
20.522
.958

Effect: Date Group
50
40
30
1979-1984
50
.233
.096
.014
1985-1990
32
.264
.141
.025
1991-1995
18
.123
.117
.027
1997-2003
23
.181
.163
.034
2004-2007
16
.181
.113
.028
2008-2012
19
.260
.141
.032
20

Effect: Date Group
.3
10
.25
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
Box Plot
Grouping Variable(s): Date Group
.9
.2
.15
.05
.9
.8
.7
2008-2012
2004-2007
.1
1997-2003
.2
1991-1995
.1
1985-1990
1979-1984
-.1
Cell Mean
Cell
.6
.5
.4

Effect: Date Group
.3
.2
P-Value
.110
.069
.0019 S
1979-1984, 1997-2003
.052
.063
.1045
1979-1984, 2004-2007
.052
.072
.1545
-.1
1979-1984, 2008-2012
-.027
.067
.4312
1985-1990, 1991-1995
.141
.074
.0002 S
1985-1990, 1997-2003
.083
.068
.0175 S
1985-1990, 2004-2007
.083
.077
.0337 S
1985-1990, 2008-2012
.004
.072
.9108
1991-1995, 1997-2003
-.058
.079
.1471
1991-1995, 2004-2007
-.058
.086
.1835
1991-1995, 2008-2012
-.137
.082
.0012 S
1997-2003, 2004-2007
-6.793E-5
.081
.9987
1997-2003, 2008-2012
-.079
.078
.0458 S
2004-2007, 2008-2012
-.079
.085
.0680
2008-2012
1979-1984, 1991-1995
2004-2007
.2805
.1
1997-2003
.057
1991-1995
-.031
1985-1990
1979-1984, 1985-1990
1979-1984
Count
NO3+NO2 at Site J (NFOBI005.9OB)

2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
74b: 1.19 mg/L
1.00
N=97
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
7/11/1979
7/11/1983
7/11/1987
7/11/1991
7/11/1995
7/11/1999
7/11/2003
7/11/2007
7/11/2011

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
.980
.490
95
5.593
.059
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
8.327
.0005
16.655
.970
30
25
42
.595
.202
.031
1998-2006
33
.777
.312
.054
2007-2012
23
.819
.192
.040
Count

Effect: Date group
1979-1984
Histogram
35
20
15
10
5

Effect: Date group
.9
.8
.2
.4
.6
.8
1
1.2 1.4
1.6
.6
.5
Box Plot
.4
.3
.2
1.8
.1
0
1979-1984
1998-2006
Cell
2007-2012

Effect: Date group
P-Value
1979-1984, 1998-2006
-.182
.112
.0017 S
1979-1984, 2007-2012
-.225
.125
.0006 S
1998-2006, 2007-2012
-.042
.131
.5209
Cell Mean
.7
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
.8
.6
.4
.2
0
1979-1984
1998-2006
2007-2012
1.8
Total Ammonia at Site NFOBI005.9

1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
N=106

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
Date group
4.362
2.181
88.920
<.0001
177.841
1.000
Season
.005
.005
.222
.6386
.222
.074
Date group * Season
.006
.003
.130
.8781
.260
.069
97
2.379
.025
Residual
Histogram
25
22.5
20
'1982-1988', Grow ing

'1989-1995', Grow ing
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
.614
.270
.096
13
.600
.308
.085
.066
.070
.026
18
.067
.086
.020
'1997-2012', Grow ing
14
.089
.130
.035
43
.049
.092
.014
Count
17.5
Count Mean
15
12.5
10
7.5
5
2.5

.7
-.2
.2
.6
.4
.6
.8
1.2
Cell Mean
.5
.4
Grow ing
Box Plot
Non-Grow ing
.3
1.4
.2
.1
1.2
'1982-1988'
'1989-1995'
Cell
'1997-2012'

Effect: Date group
P-Value
'1982-1988', '1989-1995'
.538
.092
<.0001 S
'1982-1988', '1997-2012'
.546
.079
<.0001 S
'1989-1995', '1997-2012'
.008
.075

Effect: Season
.078
.068
.8374
1
.8
.6
.4
.2
0
P-Value
.0257 S
-.2
'1982-1988'
'1989-1995'
'1997-2012'
1.4
Total Phosphorus at Site 2000 (North Fork Obion River at

RM4.6)
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
N=57
1.50
1.00
0.50
65e: 0.04 mg/L
0.00
3/8/1971
7/20/1972
12/2/1973
4/16/1975
8/28/1976
1/10/1978

DF Sum of Squares
Mean Square
Date group
Residual
5.293
5.293
55
17.151
.312
F-Value
P-Value
Lambda
Pow er
16.974
.0001
16.974
.991
Histogram
30
25
20
1972-1974
25
.876
.794
.159
1975-1977
32
.262
.256
.045
Count

Effect: Date group
15
10
5
0

Effect: Date group
-.5
.9
.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
.8
Box Plot
.6
3.5
.5
3
.4
.3
.2
.1
0
1972-1974
1975-1977
Cell
Cell Mean
.7
2.5
2
1.5
1
.5
0

Effect: Date group
1972-1974, 1975-1977
.614
.299
-.5
1972-1974
P-Value
.0001 S
1975-1977
3.5
Waterbody ID
TN08010202009 0710
Impacted Waterbody
HURRICANE CREEK
County
Weakley

13.6
Nitrate+Nitrite M
Loss of biological
integrity due to
siltation L
Alteration in streamside or littoral
vegetative cover L
Escherichia coli NA
Pollutant Source
Nonirrigated Crop
Production
Channelization
Pasture Grazing
Total Phosphorus at Site HURRI000.0WY

0.5
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
N=20
0.2
0.15
74b: 0.10 mg/L
0.1
0.05
0
6-Dec-99
19-Apr-01
1-Sep-02
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
18-Nov-10
1-Apr-12
Image date:
June, 2012
110
% Agriculture
14.77 - 42.77
100
42.77 - 59.41
90
59.41 - 69.48
69.48 - 77.25
North Fork Obion River
80
77.25 - 92.7
Ecological Index
70
60
Obion River Upper
50
40
30
North Fork Obion River Outlet
20
Running Reelfoot Bayou
10
0
10
10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Stressor Index
Note: Circle size increases with Social Index score
90
100
110
110
% Agriculture
10.29 - 21.22
100
21.22 - 47.03
90
47.03 - 58.72
58.72 - 68.32
80
68.32 - 79.39
Ecological Index
70
60
South Fork Red River Upper
50
Brush Creek-Sulpher Fork

Creek
40
Dunbar Lake-Red River
30
Oak Grove-West Fork Red

River
20
Valley Branch-Spring Creek
10
Lower Elk Fork
Spring Creek
10
10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Stressor Index
Note: Circle size increases with Social Index score
100
110
This project provides an appropriate method

for determining streams appropriate for
removal from 303d list
Some sites are trending lower for N or P
Land use, cropping practices, or BMPs may
account for these improvements
I like Mongolian Stir Fry
More long-term data in the North Fork Obion
Watershed
More significant changes in nutrient data
found in the North Fork Obion Watershed
Data over time is hard to statistically analyze

and interpret
Analysis on this scale takes a good amount of
work and a much longer amount of time than
anticipated
Large amounts of data are needed to make
appropriate correlation studies
For those HUC-12s identified by the recovery

potential tool, there should be more frequent
monitoring in order to better assess the
changes in water quality
More factors affecting in-stream nutrient data
might be considered on a more local scale,
such as slope or soil type in the area
surrounding certain monitoring sites

A Study of Agricultural Land Use Change and Water Quality Analysis

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

A Study of Agricultural Land Use Change and Water Quality Analysis

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Summer Intern activities

TDEC/Division of Water Resources

NEXRAD data (Created map)

Kendall Rank Correlation for Atrazine, Nitrate

Tau corrected for ties

Has the stream water quality changed over

Land Use Maps

Data preparation included:

Number of Years Spanned at Stations of the

Number of Years Spanned at Stations of the

Number of Data Entries for Stations in the

Number of Data Entries

Number of Data Entries for Stations in the

Number of Data Entries

Number of Data Entries for Stations in the North Fork Obion

Number of Data Entries

Number of Data Entries in the North Fork Obion River

River Watershed for Total Phosphorus

Number of Data Entries

Monthly Total Precipitation at Springfield

Monthly Total Precipitation at Guthrie, KY

Monthly Total Precipitation at Clarksville, TN WWTP

Figure 1: Water Monitoring Station at SPRIN001.3

Figure 2: Water Monitoring Station at SPRIN015.2_KY

Figure 3: Water Monitoring Station at 3BAR20031 (Red River RM0.4)

Figure 4: Water Monitoring Station at ELK004.5

Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

Total Phosphorus by Monitoring Site in the

Nitrate plus Nitrite (mg/L)

NO2+NO3 by Monitoring Site in the

CAUSE / TMDL Priority

Nonirrigated Crop Production

Total Phosphorus at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

71e: 0.04 mg/L

ANOVA Table for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

Interaction Bar Plot for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Fisher's PLSD for Total Phosphorus (m g/L)

Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

NO2+NO3 at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

Nitrate plus Nitrite (mg/L)

Dissolved Oxygen at Site SPRIN015.2_KY

Dissolved Oxygen (mg/L)

WQS 5.0 mg/L

ANOVA Table for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Means Table for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Interaction Bar Plot for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

Dissolved Oxygen (mg/L)

Fisher's PLSD for Dissolved Oxygen (m g/L)

CAUSE / TMDL Priority

Total Phosphorus at Site SPRIN001.3RN

Total Phosphorus (mg/L)

NO2+NO3 at Site SPRIN001.3RN

Nitrate plus Nitrite (mg/L)

ANOVA Table for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Means Table for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Interaction Bar Plot for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Nitrate plus Nitrite (mg/L)

Fisher's PLSD for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Kolm ogorov-Sm irnov Test for Nitrate plus Nitrite (m g/L)

Total Ammonia at Site SPRIN001.3RN

Total Ammonia (mg/L)

ANOVA Table for Total Am m onia (m g/L)