Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FREEMARK ABBEY
WINERY
Khurram Masoods section
Decision Basis
Information
Uncertainties
Decision Diagram
Detector/
No Detector
Rain/
No Rain
Detector
Prediction
Acidity Level
Harvest/
Not harvest
Spores/
No Spores
Botrytise/
Thin wine
Sugar Level
Immigration Law
Passed/Failed
Bottle/
Not Bottle
Value $
Decision Tree
Harvest Now
Immigration Law
Passed
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Immigration Law
Passed
Buy Spores
No Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Mold Develops
Mold Develops
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Normal
Sugar
Acidity
< 25%
Sugar
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Sell Wine Case
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Sell Wine Case
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Normal
Sugar
Acidity
< 25%
Sugar
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Normal
Sugar
Acidity
< 25%
Sugar
Normal
Acidity
Do Not Rent
Weather Detector
Immigration Law
Passed
Harvest Later
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Do Not
Buy Spores
Immigration Law
Passed
No Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Harvest Now
Immigration Law
Passed
Rain
Immigration Law
Passed
Buy Spores
Says
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Mold Develops
Mold Develops
Low
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
No Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Sell Wine Case
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Sell Wine Case
Low
Acidity
>= 25%
Normal
Sugar
Acidity
< 25%
Sugar
Low
Normal
Acidity
Rent
Weather
Detector
Immigration Law
Passed
Harvest Later
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Do Not
Buy Spores
Immigration Law
Passed
No Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
Harvest Now
Immigration Law
Passed
Rain
Immigration Law
Passed
Buy Spores
Says
No
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Mold Develops
Mold Develops
Low
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
No Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Low
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
Immigration Law
Passed
Harvest Later
Rain
Immigration Law
Failed
Do Not
Buy Spores
Immigration Law
Passed
Immigration Law
Failed
< 25%
Sugar
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Mold Develops
Sell Wine In Bulk
No Mold
Low
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
No Rain
>= 25%
Sugar
Low
Acidity
Normal
Acidity
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
>= 25%
Sugar
< 25%
Sugar
No turning
point!
No turning
point!
No turning
point!