Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Rohit Kapoor
PERT
Program Evaluation and Review
Technique
For each activity
Project manager estimates the following
three quantities
a = Estimate of the activitys duration under the
most favorable conditions
b = Estimate of the activitys duration under the
least favorable conditions
m = Most likely value for the activitys duration
Modeling Aspects
Tij = random variable be the duration
of activity (i, j)
E(Tij) = (a + 4m + b)/6 & Var (Tij) = (b a)2/36
An Illustrative Example
Predecess
Activity ors a b m
A = Train Workers - 5 13 9
B = Purchase Raw
Materials - 2 10 6
C = Produce Product 1 A, B 3 13 8
D = Produce Product 2 A, B 1 13 7
E = Test Product 2 D 8 12 10
F = Assemble Products 1
and 2 C, E C9 15 12 F
3 5 6
D E
1
B
2 4
A Question
What is the probability that the project will
be completed within 35 days?
Present Case
?