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OUTLINE
Transferable Vote
Strategic Voting with Plurality Rule
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The individual is a consumer: individuals
demand a variety of consumption goods
and services from which they drive
welfare.
The individual provides productive
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services: the most obvious resource
provided by the individual is labor.
The individual participates in the
political process: by voting and other
political activities, the individual
expresses his or her preferences regarding
the governments provision of goods and
services.
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The acceptance or rejection by a
corporations broad of directors of merger
offer tendered by competing firm.
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rank and file of the labor contract
negotiated by unions officers.
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Ifthe secret ballots are used, then the
voters are playing a static game.
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TWO DIFFERENT MODELS OF
VOTER:
Naive voter: he always casts his ballot honestly,
even when it is not in his best interest to do so.
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Strategic voter: she always casts her ballot so as
to obtain the best outcome possible given her
information, the voting rules, and her beliefs
about how the other voters will behave.
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CHOOSING AMONG VOTING
MECHANISMS
Plurality voting: ballots are prepared which
voters choose only one of the candidate and
vote for him.
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After the election, these ballots are tallied
(counted) and the person receiving the largest
number of votes is declared the winner.
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Approval voting: voters could be allowed to
vote for as many candidates as they approve of.
The ballots are tallied and the candidate
receiving the highest number of approval votes
is declared the winner.
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Social choice mechanism (SCM): voting is
just one procedure the members of a group could
use to from a collective ranking of a group of
candidates on the basis of their individual
rankings. We will refer to any such mechanism
as a Social choice mechanism
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ARROWS IMPOSSIBILITY
THEOREM:
There is no social choice mechanism that
simultaneously satisfies the Pareto condition ,
the independence of irrelevant alternatives
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condition, and the transitivity with unlimited
domain condition, and is also non-dictatorial.
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ARROWS REQUIREMENTS:
1) No candidate is ranked higher by every member of the group
than the candidate ranked highest by SCM.
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transitive whenever the ranking of every member of the
group is complete and transitive.
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who receives the most votes.
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WE WILL STUDY THE BEHAVIOR
OF VOTING RULES ASSUMING
THAT:
all voters are well informed
their preferences are common knowledge
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they take voting mechanism
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CANDIDATE AND VOTER
LOCATIONS ON LEFT-TO-RIGHT
SCALE
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Location of voter
Location of
candidate A Location of
candidate B
0 0,30 0,39 1
0,35
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Candidate Position Game: the candidates are
assumed to choose their positions simultaneously
and cannot budge from that choice once it is made.
We will also suppose that voter preferences and
candidates objectives are common knowledge. We
will refer to the resulting game as the Candidate
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Position Game.
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of voter preferences is common
knowledge, and the election is decided by
majority rule; then the unique Nash
equilibrium strategy in the Candidate
position game is both candidates to
position themselves at the median voters
position.
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DISTRIBUTION OF VOTER
PREFERENCES
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Voter
position 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Number of
voters 36 15 10 8 5 3 1 2 3 5 13
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PLURALITY RULE AND THE
CONDORCET CANDIDATE
A candidate who is preferred by a majority of
voters to any other alternative in a series of
pairwise comparisons is called condorcet
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candidate after the Marquis de Condorcet
(French mathematician and philosopher 1743-
1794).
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HYPOTHETICAL VOTER
PREFERENCE
Voter Number of voters
preference
type with that type
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A 95 b>d>e
B 95 d>b>e
C 110 e>b>d
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A 1 x>y>z
B 1 y>z>x
C 1 z>x>y
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Single transferable vote: voters are given a
slate of candidates and are asked to vote for one.
if no one candidate receives a majority of the
votes cast, a second ballot is taken in which the
candidate receiving the smallest number of votes
from the first ballot dropped from the list of
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eligible candidates.
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SHAREHOLDER
PREFERENCES
Number of
Voter Preference
Shares/voters
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A 8 z>y>x
B 7 x>z>y
C 6 y>x>z
D 3 y>z>x
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THE OUTCOME OF THE
ELECTION AS BS VOTE
CHANGES WHEN THE OTHER
VoterARE
Bs Ballot
HONESTWinner
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VOTERS
x>z>y (honest) Z
x>y>z Y
z>x>y Z
z>y>x Z
y>x>z Y
y>z>x Y
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STRATEGIC VOTING WITH
PLURALITY RULE
Chairmans paradox: one member of a
committee -the chairman is given the
power to break ties. the resulting plurality-
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rule voting game has a unique iterated
dominant strategy equilibrium whose
outcome is the one considered the worst by
the powerful chairman.
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AN EXAMPLE
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There are considering three options.
require no math courses for students majoring in
economics. L (low requirement)
require one term of Univariate calculus. M
(medium requirement)
require two terms of calculus: one of Univariate
calculus and one of multivariate. H (high
requirement)
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VOTER PREFERENCES
voter preferences One of the
Ms. Aye L > M >H committee members,
Mr. Ali H > L >M Ms. Aye, has been
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Ms. Fatma M > H >L designated the Chair
of committee.
The chair carries the power to cast a tie-
breaking vote. It is more likely that Ms. Ayes
preferred outcome will be chosen. This
institution is confirmed by the nave model.
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THE NAVE VOTING
MODEL
If all three members of the committee vote
naively, then the outcome of vote is
straightforward and intuitive:
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Ms. Aye L L is chosen by the
Ms. Fatma M committee and
Mr. Ali H economics majors
will not be required
to take any math
course.
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THE STRATEGIC VOTING
MODEL
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strategies and the set of moves coincide. The
concept we will employ to make predictions about
Strategic voting behavior is Nash equilibrium.
But, if we can find dominant strategies and
iterated dominant strategies, we will use them as
our predictors. Because of Ms. Ayes voting power,
it is likely that he has dominated strategies that
can be removed from the game.
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Consider Ms. Ayes best response to every possible
pair of votes by Ms. Fatma and Mr. Ali.
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all three of Ms. Ayes strategies are equally good.
If Ms. Fatma and Mr. Ali split their vote, then Ms.
Ayes vote determines the outcome. Hence Ms.
Aye has a weakly dominant strategy of voting for
L. we would predict, and so presumably would Ms.
Fatma and Mr. Ali, that he will vote for L.
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PAYOFF MATRIX ASSUMING MS.
AYE VOTES FOR L
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Ms. Fatmas vote
H M L
Mr. H (Best, Middle, worst) (Middle, worst best,) (Middle, worst, best)
Alis
vote M (middle, worst, best) (worst, Best, middle) (Middle, worst, best)
L (middle, Worst, best) (Middle, Worst, best) (Middle, Worst, best)
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PAYOFF MATRIX ASSUMING MS. AYE
VOTES FOR L AND MS. FATMA DOES
NOT VOTE FOR L
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H M
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PAYOFF MATRIX ASSUMING MS. AYE
VOTES FOR L, MS. FATMA DOES NOT
VOTE FOR L, AND MR. ALI VOTES FOR
H
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Ms. Fatmas vote
H M
Mr. Alis
vote (Best, Middle,
H (Middle, worst best,)
worst)
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H wins, even though the Chair of the committee,
Ms. Aye, considers this his worst outcome. The
power to break ties turns out to be a bad thing for
the person who is unlucky enough to be saddled
with it. Oddly enough, once the committee is
assigned, there should be a fight among the
members not to be chosen as Chair, even though
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the Chair brings with it extra voting privileges.
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