Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FAILURE
Group Members
Aditya Jha (15113)
Ankit Pokharel (15121)
Sajal Shrestha (15132)
Story
Buy Securities
using those fund
Borrow from
another Bank
Keeping the same
securities as
collateral
This theory could leverage to infinity
Trading Strategies
Convergence Strategy
Long Position in the cheap securities and short
positions in rich securities.
1996
1995 41%
43%
1994
20%
Timeline
Meriwether, head of fixed income trading at Salomon
Brothers, founded LTCM after being let go by Salomon in
1993 1991.
Salomon Brothers was selling all the thing that Long Term
July 17, owned making the fund fall down by 10%.
1998
Russia Default on its debt. It is also called Ruble
August Crisis
17, 1998
Swap
Margin Money
Russian Sovereign
Default
Flight to Liquidity
All the fixed income portfolio managers began
to shift their assets to more liquid assets in this
case US Government Bonds
LTCM had to liquidate a number of positions
due to panic caused among investors by
Ruble Crisis.
Domino Effect
FED as protector
Micro level risk analysis
Reason for Failure
Overconfidence
Banks credit
US Federal Reserve System
Information Asymmetry (Transparency)
Unregulated Market (Sloppy Market)
Major Losers
LTCM Partners - $ 1.1 billion
UBS - $ 690 million
Dresdner Bank - $ 145 million
Bank of Italy - $ 100 million
Sumitomo Bank - $ 100 million
Credit Suisse - $ 55 million
Liechtenstein Global Trust - $ 30 million
Merrill Lynch - $ 22 million (employees deferred payment)
Bear Sterns Executives - $ 20 million
McKinsey Executives - $ 10 million
Sandy Weill - $ 10 million (Co-ceo, Citigroup)
Donald Marron - $ 10 million (Chairman, PaineWebber)
Prudent Life Corp - $ 5.43 million
Lessons Learned